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ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 1
Tours Val de Loire Airport
Gateway to an innovative metropolis
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 2
The ESCP Europe MBA in IM is, in a way, an
evolution from ESCP Europe’s previous Masters in
European Business program and provides young
professionals with 3-10 years of work experience
with the necessary knowledge, skills, and mindset
to succeed in an international management career.
As members of this inaugural class, we have
welcomed with excitement the Company
Consultancy Project module.
The Company Consultancy Project has enabled
us to select and work with the Tours Val de Loire
Airport (TVDL) at a critical time in the airport’s
history.
From September 2017 through January 2018, we
have worked hand-in-hand with a representative
from the TVDL, ecosystem partners, third party
consultants, local officials, ESCP Europe tutors, and
our professor to establish multi-scenario financial
projections for the airport.
Multiple work phases ensured results
Client and tutor kickoff meetings, followed by the
utilization of business model canvas and fishbone
analysis tools enabled us to understand TVDL and
the industry overall, to deliver an exhaustive
engagement proposal, which would govern our
working relationship.
As we began to dive deeper, we analyzed 70+
client-provided documents, amounting to 2,000+
pages and researched benchmark data through
databases such as Amadeus, Orbis. Additional
client interviews supplemented this research, and
all sufficiently prepared us to begin our data
analysis.
For this analysis, we created 3 scenarios of 10-year
financial projection. Rigorous excel work, and
constant iterative verification with TVDL and third
party consultants ensured the reasonability of our
results.
These final results, summarized through this
presentation, will next be utilized by TVDL to
persuade further subsidization by the elected
officials of the Tours Val de Loire region.
Foreword
- ESCP Europe, MBA in IM, TVDL Team
January 18, 2018
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 3
A quick introduction of our team to begin:
Oscar Aparici BALLESTER
Spanish, 26
Financial Expertise
Filippo BOSCHERO
Italian, 28
Financial Expertise
Oliver MADDEN
American, 26
Communications
Madhumitha MURALI
Indian, 23
Planning and Coordination
Amina NDICHI
Moroccan, 27
Financial Expertise
Jyh Shin SHI
Taiwanese/Japanese/American, 30
Quality Control
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 4
Tours is the largest city in the Centre-Val de Loire region of
France
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 5
Late Middle Ages
De facto capital of
France: Treaty of
Tours
Antiquity
Settled by the
Turones, Romans
as Civitas
Turonorum
And it serves as a metropolitan gateway to the region’s
rich cultural history
Early Middle Ages
Defender of
Western Europe:
Battle of Tours
Renaissance
Birthplace of the
French Renaissance
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 6
From a pre-Roman settlement…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 7
…to defense of Western Europe against the Moors
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 8
Tours even served as the de facto capital of
France for 150 years…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 9
…before giving birth to the French Renaissance
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 10
1970’s
Experienced a
”Golden
Commercial Age”
WWI
Established as
French Air Force
training center
1950’s
Served as a flight
school
1990’s
Depression and
recovery
The Tours Val de Loire Airport (TVDL) has a rich history
as well
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 11
From a WWI Air Force training center…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 12
…to a 1950’s flight school
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 13
TVDL experienced a “Golden Commercial Age” in
the 1970’s, but then it fell into depression…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 14
…until the government subsidized recovery in the
1990’s, which continues today
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 15
Future
Aspirations as a
tourist destination
2017
Métropole formed
to increase region’s
power
At present, Tours has very positive outlook
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 16
On March 22, 2017 – 22 communes joined together
to form the Tours Métropole Val de Loire
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 17
And the Métropole has big plans for itself as a
tourist destination
Heritage
Green Spaces
Cycling
Contemporary Art
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 18
But the Air Force will vacate the airport by 2021
To keep the
airport running:
• The Tours
Metropole
must be
persuaded to
invest
subsidies
• The French
Ministry of
transport must
take over the
air traffic
control
Reconsider
management
• Current
management
concession with
EDEIS expires
Gain further
subsidization
• Local
government
must be
persuaded to
continue
subsidies
• A new
development
plan for the
airport must be
presented
Manage Air
Force transition
• The French Air
Force will leave
• More than 200
ha are to be
transferred to
the commercial
airport
• Military air
traffic control
will cease
2018 2021 2022
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 19
How much should
the Tours
Métropole invest
in TVDL?
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 20
It depends…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 21
Source: ACI Traffic Data
European air network chart European rail network chart
Vs
First of all, increased connectivity makes airports
worthwhile
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 22
Regional airports in particular are advancing this strategy
Source: ACI Traffic Data
Direct connectivity at European hubs
and regional airports from 2005 to
2017
Direct connectivity at small European
regional airports (below 5mpaa) from
2005 to 2017
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 23
Source: ACI Traffic Data
Share of direct connectivity at
European regional airports in 2017
Share of direct connectivity at small
European regional airports (below
5mpaa) by traffic in 2017
Tours and the smallest regional airports contribute most to
this trend
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 24
Within France, usage and performance vary widely…
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 25
…but there are 3 reasonable benchmarks for Tours
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 26
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total passengers per year in Tours,
Dijon, Nimes, and Rennes
Aéroport Rennes - Saint-Jacques
Aéroport de Dijon - Bourgogne
Aéroport de Nîmes-Alès-Camargue-Cévennes
Aéroport de Tours - Val-de-Loire
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total movements per year in Tours,
Dijon, Nimes, and Rennes
Aéroport Rennes - Saint-Jacques
Aéroport de Dijon - Bourgogne
Aéroport de Nîmes-Alès-Camargue-Cévennes
Aéroport de Tours - Val-de-Loire
Dijon, Nîmes and Rennes offer 3 future development
options
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 27
Tours
2017
Today, Tours is fairly comparable to Nîmes
Dijon
2017
Nîmes
2017
Rennes
2017
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Now
Increase in revenue of TVDL from 2010 to
2016
Fall Rise
18%
7%
5%
48%
12%
4%6%
Revenue break up for TVDL 2016
Assistance aeroporture
Reventes
Redevances dominales
Tax d'aeroport
Redevance passager
Redevance d'atterissage
Autres
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 28
Tours
2017
Today, Tours is fairly comparable to Nîmes
Dijon
2017
Nîmes
2017
Rennes
2017
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Now
Progression of overall costs of TVDL from 2010 to
2016
Fall Rise
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Segregation of total cost of TVDL from 2010 to 2016
Achats Charges externes Charges de personnel Marketing
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 29
1. Scale back to a general
aviation airport
2. Build the gateway to an
innovative metropolis
3. Create the airport of
tomorrow
It depends... What
would they like to
accomplish?
How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 30
1
Scale back to a
general aviation
airport
0 €
Scaling back to a general aviation airport requires no
investment
Tours
2017
Dijon
2017
Nîmes
2017
Rennes
2017
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 31
Dijon
2017
Rennes
2017
1
Scale back to a
general aviation
airport
0 €
2
Build the gateway
to an innovative
metropolis
Building the gateway to an innovative metropolis maintains
Tours’ growth with minimal investment
Tours
2017
Nîmes
2017
6.5M €
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 32
Dijon
2017
Rennes
2017
3
Create the airport
of tomorrow
35M €
TBC
1
Scale back to a
general aviation
airport
0 €
2
Build the gateway to
an innovative
metropolis
6.5M
Tours
2017
Nîmes
2017
Creating the airport of tomorrow requires heavy investment
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 33
Parking
Rentals
Village
Advertising
Shuttle
1 Current 2 3
Commercial Aviation
Business Aviation
Aeroclub
Training School
Hospital Aviation
The amount of subsidy received will drastically change the
future of TVDL
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 34
Parking
Rentals
Village
Advertising
Shuttle
1 Current 2 3
Commercial Aviation
Business Aviation
Aeroclub
Training School
Hospital Aviation
The current situation is unsustainable, due to Air Force
departure
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 35
Optimizing a regional hub is our most reasonable option
Parking
Rentals
Village
Advertising
Shuttle
1 Current 2 3
Commercial Aviation
Business Aviation
Aeroclub
Training School
Hospital Aviation
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 36
It depends... What
would they like to
accomplish?
How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
1. Scale back to a general
aviation airport
2. Build the gateway to
innovative metropolis
3. Create the airport of
tomorrow
a. Summary of financials
b. Upside/downside risks
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 37
It depends... What
would they like to
accomplish?
How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
1. Scale back to a general
aviation airport
2. Build the gateway to
innovative metropolis
3. Create the airport of
tomorrow
a. Summary of financials
b. Upside/downside risks
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 38
We can analyze projected financials in 2 segments
Consolidated P&L
Aero P&L Non Aero
2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350d
Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342
EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008
Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582
Forecast
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169
Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882
EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287
Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741
Forecast
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180
Costs 280 285 307 324 460
EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720
Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217
Forecast
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 39
Consolidated P&L
2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350
Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342
EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008
Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582
Forecast
The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall
improvement
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 40
Consolidated P&L
2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350
Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342
EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008
Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582
Forecast
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall
improvement
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 41
Tours can move to a positive EBITDA in less
than 10 years
• The EBITDA
from the aero
activities is
highly
impacted by
the incentives
paid to the
low-cost
airlines
• The EBITDA
from non aero
activities is
positive due to
low expenses
-1000000
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
Aero revenue Marketing expenses Other expenses Non aero revenue Total expenses Final EBITDA
Consolidated TVDL P&L 2018
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
Aero revenue Marketing expenses Other expenses Non aero revenue Total expenses Final EBITDA
Consolidated TVDL P&L 2027
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 42
Consolidated P&L
2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350
Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342
EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008
Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582
Forecast
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall
improvement
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 43
Aero activities represent nearly 80% of the
total revenue of the airport
• Commercial
aviation is the
main
contributor the
airport revenue
• Parking
represents 9%
of the airport
revenue with a
low level of
investment
Commercial aviation, 80%
Business aviation, 3%
Parking, 8%
Main contributors of TVDL revenue 2018
Commercial aviation Business aviation Parking Others
Business aviation, 3%
Parking, 9%
Main contributors to TVDL revenue 2027
Commercial aviation Business aviation Parking Others
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 44
Our aeronautical projections are conservative
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169
Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882
Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215
EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287
Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741
Forecast
Aero activities P&L
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
• Optimization of
the marketing
incentives
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 45
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169
Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882
Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215
EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287
Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741
Forecast
Aero activities P&L
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
• Optimization of
the marketing
incentives
Marketing incentives per passenger bring the
EBITDA down
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 46
Aero activities EBITDA breaks even in 5 years
• Revenue from
aero activities
is built around
conservative
assumptions
(maximum 15
flights per
week in 10
years)
• The marketing
incentives paid
to the low-cost
airlines are
negotiated on a
digressive
basis
(2,000,000.00)
-
2,000,000.00
4,000,000.00
6,000,000.00
8,000,000.00
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Evolution of Revenue vs Operating Costs of aero activities
EBITDA Revenue Operating Costs Marketing fees
Military leaving
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 47
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169
Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882
Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215
EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287
Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741
Commercial aviation is the main contributor in
the airport revenue
Forecast
Aero activities P&L
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
• Optimization of
the marketing
incentives
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 48
Commercial aviation is the main contributor in
the airport revenue
• The Aeroclub is
the main
contributor to
the airport
movements but
poor
contributor to
revenue
• Passengers are
mainly driven
through the
commercial
aviation which
constitute
(80%) of
activity
198,897 201,873 208,475 221,631 238,818 259,111
280,609
319,151
361,596
407,788
457,761
2016 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Total passengers (PAX)
6,199 7,099 8,536 10,210 12,111 13,662 14,963 16,537 18,304 20,291 22,529
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2016 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Total Movements
B.U. 1 : Commercial Aviation B.U. 2 : Business Aviation + Privatejets B.U. 3 : Aeroclub
B.U. 4 : Training School B.U. 5 : Hospital aviation B.U. 6 : Heritageaviation
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 49
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169
Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882
Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215
EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287
Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741
Commercial aviation is the main contributor in
the airport revenue
Forecast
Aero activities P&L
• Progressive
improvement
of the EBITDA
• Conservative
projection of
revenues
• Optimization of
the marketing
incentives
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 50
Tours can decrease marketing fees from
15€/passenger to 7€/passenger for new airlines
• Historically
Ryanair
represented
95% of total
movements
charging the
airport
15€/passenger
• Diversification
of client
portfolio and
better
negotiation of
the marketing
fee.
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
-
500,000.00
1,000,000.00
1,500,000.00
2,000,000.00
2,500,000.00
3,000,000.00
3,500,000.00
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Evolution of the marketing incentives
Marketing fees Marketing fee/passenger
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 51
Non aero revenue is lower than aero activities
but with a 50% net profit margin
• Non aero
activities break
even at year 1
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180
Costs 280 285 307 324 460
EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720
Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217
Forecast
Non Aero activities P&L
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 52
Low investment for parking and same historical level of
other activities revenue contribution
2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027
Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180
Costs 280 285 307 324 460
EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720
Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217
Forecast
Non Aero activities P&L
• Non aero
activities break
even at year 1
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 53
Non Aero EBITDA breaks even starting from year 1
• Parking
represents 9%
of the airport
revenue with a
low level of
investment.
• Rental revenue
is also a good
revenue
contributor
with low
related
expenses.
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Evolution of Revenue vs Operating Costs of Non aero activities
Revenue Operating Costs
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 54
6.5M €
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
8000000
Aero
revenue
Marketing
expenses
Other
expenses
Non aero
revenue
Total
expenses
Final
EBITDA
Consolidated TVDL P&L 2027
Parking
Rentals
Village
Advertising
Shuttle
2
Commercial Aviation
Business Aviation
Aeroclub
Training School
Hospital Aviation
To summarize, a 6.5M € will bring TVDL to operational
profitability in 2023
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 55
It depends... What
would they like to
accomplish?
How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
1. Scale back to a general
aviation airport
2. Build the gateway to
innovative metropolis
3. Create the airport of
tomorrow
a. Summary of financials
b. Upside/downside risks
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 56
5 key risks may affect our projections
• Passengers congestion (A):
• Low (3)
• Dependence on subsidies (B):
• Very High (5)
• Political party orientation (C):
• High (4)
• Tourism fluctuations (D):
• High (4)
• Low-cost airline companies’
fees per passengers (E):
• Very High (5)
EVALUATION PHASE:
Assessment of the risks based on their
probability of occurrence and their impact
MATRIX PHASE
The final step was to create the matrix risk/probabilities
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 57
Tours is a French city with a rich history, a vibrant presence, and ambitious
tourism plans for the future. The TVDL airport has long existed through Tours’
subsidies and served primarily as an Air Force base, but the military will soon
leave.
What can Tours expect if it continues to subsidize TVDL?
It depends on the value of subsidies provided: we suggest 6.5M €
With this, Tours Val de Loire Airport could:
• Achieve operational profitability in 2023
• Rely on a relatively low (and short-term) investment
• Grow commercial aviation, to assist the métropole in its tourism strategy
TVDL could become the gateway to an innovative
metropolis with a little help from the métropole
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 58
We have been one of many contributing teams to the 2021 redevelopment of
the Tours Val de Loire Airport. Through our inter-related work, a full strategy,
financial analysis, and regional economic impact assessment have been
presented to the airport.
So what’s next?
And that’s the plan: TVDL is beginning its rebirth
Combine
• ENAC, Airport creators, Tours Tourism and all other
contributing teams will have completed their work
Convince
• TVDL will meet the elected officials in March and
present new development plans for subsidies
Collect
• The subsidies determined and provided will dictate
which scenario TVDL will follow
Our financial model
will be used to show
the employment of the
subsidies, if received,
and illustrate the
future financial and
economic performance
of TVDL
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 59
Excel Business Plan
• Input-driven
• 10-year
• 3-scenario
We’ve also left behind our tool to be further utilized by
client
ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 60
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Tours Val de Loire Airport - Gateway to an innovative metropolis

  • 1. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 1 Tours Val de Loire Airport Gateway to an innovative metropolis
  • 2. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 2 The ESCP Europe MBA in IM is, in a way, an evolution from ESCP Europe’s previous Masters in European Business program and provides young professionals with 3-10 years of work experience with the necessary knowledge, skills, and mindset to succeed in an international management career. As members of this inaugural class, we have welcomed with excitement the Company Consultancy Project module. The Company Consultancy Project has enabled us to select and work with the Tours Val de Loire Airport (TVDL) at a critical time in the airport’s history. From September 2017 through January 2018, we have worked hand-in-hand with a representative from the TVDL, ecosystem partners, third party consultants, local officials, ESCP Europe tutors, and our professor to establish multi-scenario financial projections for the airport. Multiple work phases ensured results Client and tutor kickoff meetings, followed by the utilization of business model canvas and fishbone analysis tools enabled us to understand TVDL and the industry overall, to deliver an exhaustive engagement proposal, which would govern our working relationship. As we began to dive deeper, we analyzed 70+ client-provided documents, amounting to 2,000+ pages and researched benchmark data through databases such as Amadeus, Orbis. Additional client interviews supplemented this research, and all sufficiently prepared us to begin our data analysis. For this analysis, we created 3 scenarios of 10-year financial projection. Rigorous excel work, and constant iterative verification with TVDL and third party consultants ensured the reasonability of our results. These final results, summarized through this presentation, will next be utilized by TVDL to persuade further subsidization by the elected officials of the Tours Val de Loire region. Foreword - ESCP Europe, MBA in IM, TVDL Team January 18, 2018
  • 3. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 3 A quick introduction of our team to begin: Oscar Aparici BALLESTER Spanish, 26 Financial Expertise Filippo BOSCHERO Italian, 28 Financial Expertise Oliver MADDEN American, 26 Communications Madhumitha MURALI Indian, 23 Planning and Coordination Amina NDICHI Moroccan, 27 Financial Expertise Jyh Shin SHI Taiwanese/Japanese/American, 30 Quality Control
  • 4. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 4 Tours is the largest city in the Centre-Val de Loire region of France
  • 5. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 5 Late Middle Ages De facto capital of France: Treaty of Tours Antiquity Settled by the Turones, Romans as Civitas Turonorum And it serves as a metropolitan gateway to the region’s rich cultural history Early Middle Ages Defender of Western Europe: Battle of Tours Renaissance Birthplace of the French Renaissance
  • 6. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 6 From a pre-Roman settlement…
  • 7. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 7 …to defense of Western Europe against the Moors
  • 8. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 8 Tours even served as the de facto capital of France for 150 years…
  • 9. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 9 …before giving birth to the French Renaissance
  • 10. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 10 1970’s Experienced a ”Golden Commercial Age” WWI Established as French Air Force training center 1950’s Served as a flight school 1990’s Depression and recovery The Tours Val de Loire Airport (TVDL) has a rich history as well
  • 11. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 11 From a WWI Air Force training center…
  • 12. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 12 …to a 1950’s flight school
  • 13. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 13 TVDL experienced a “Golden Commercial Age” in the 1970’s, but then it fell into depression…
  • 14. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 14 …until the government subsidized recovery in the 1990’s, which continues today
  • 15. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 15 Future Aspirations as a tourist destination 2017 Métropole formed to increase region’s power At present, Tours has very positive outlook
  • 16. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 16 On March 22, 2017 – 22 communes joined together to form the Tours Métropole Val de Loire
  • 17. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 17 And the Métropole has big plans for itself as a tourist destination Heritage Green Spaces Cycling Contemporary Art
  • 18. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 18 But the Air Force will vacate the airport by 2021 To keep the airport running: • The Tours Metropole must be persuaded to invest subsidies • The French Ministry of transport must take over the air traffic control Reconsider management • Current management concession with EDEIS expires Gain further subsidization • Local government must be persuaded to continue subsidies • A new development plan for the airport must be presented Manage Air Force transition • The French Air Force will leave • More than 200 ha are to be transferred to the commercial airport • Military air traffic control will cease 2018 2021 2022
  • 19. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 19 How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
  • 20. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 20 It depends…
  • 21. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 21 Source: ACI Traffic Data European air network chart European rail network chart Vs First of all, increased connectivity makes airports worthwhile
  • 22. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 22 Regional airports in particular are advancing this strategy Source: ACI Traffic Data Direct connectivity at European hubs and regional airports from 2005 to 2017 Direct connectivity at small European regional airports (below 5mpaa) from 2005 to 2017
  • 23. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 23 Source: ACI Traffic Data Share of direct connectivity at European regional airports in 2017 Share of direct connectivity at small European regional airports (below 5mpaa) by traffic in 2017 Tours and the smallest regional airports contribute most to this trend
  • 24. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 24 Within France, usage and performance vary widely…
  • 25. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 25 …but there are 3 reasonable benchmarks for Tours
  • 26. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 26 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total passengers per year in Tours, Dijon, Nimes, and Rennes Aéroport Rennes - Saint-Jacques Aéroport de Dijon - Bourgogne Aéroport de Nîmes-Alès-Camargue-Cévennes Aéroport de Tours - Val-de-Loire 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total movements per year in Tours, Dijon, Nimes, and Rennes Aéroport Rennes - Saint-Jacques Aéroport de Dijon - Bourgogne Aéroport de Nîmes-Alès-Camargue-Cévennes Aéroport de Tours - Val-de-Loire Dijon, Nîmes and Rennes offer 3 future development options
  • 27. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 27 Tours 2017 Today, Tours is fairly comparable to Nîmes Dijon 2017 Nîmes 2017 Rennes 2017 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Now Increase in revenue of TVDL from 2010 to 2016 Fall Rise 18% 7% 5% 48% 12% 4%6% Revenue break up for TVDL 2016 Assistance aeroporture Reventes Redevances dominales Tax d'aeroport Redevance passager Redevance d'atterissage Autres
  • 28. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 28 Tours 2017 Today, Tours is fairly comparable to Nîmes Dijon 2017 Nîmes 2017 Rennes 2017 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 9,000,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Now Progression of overall costs of TVDL from 2010 to 2016 Fall Rise 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Segregation of total cost of TVDL from 2010 to 2016 Achats Charges externes Charges de personnel Marketing
  • 29. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 29 1. Scale back to a general aviation airport 2. Build the gateway to an innovative metropolis 3. Create the airport of tomorrow It depends... What would they like to accomplish? How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL?
  • 30. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 30 1 Scale back to a general aviation airport 0 € Scaling back to a general aviation airport requires no investment Tours 2017 Dijon 2017 Nîmes 2017 Rennes 2017
  • 31. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 31 Dijon 2017 Rennes 2017 1 Scale back to a general aviation airport 0 € 2 Build the gateway to an innovative metropolis Building the gateway to an innovative metropolis maintains Tours’ growth with minimal investment Tours 2017 Nîmes 2017 6.5M €
  • 32. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 32 Dijon 2017 Rennes 2017 3 Create the airport of tomorrow 35M € TBC 1 Scale back to a general aviation airport 0 € 2 Build the gateway to an innovative metropolis 6.5M Tours 2017 Nîmes 2017 Creating the airport of tomorrow requires heavy investment
  • 33. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 33 Parking Rentals Village Advertising Shuttle 1 Current 2 3 Commercial Aviation Business Aviation Aeroclub Training School Hospital Aviation The amount of subsidy received will drastically change the future of TVDL
  • 34. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 34 Parking Rentals Village Advertising Shuttle 1 Current 2 3 Commercial Aviation Business Aviation Aeroclub Training School Hospital Aviation The current situation is unsustainable, due to Air Force departure
  • 35. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 35 Optimizing a regional hub is our most reasonable option Parking Rentals Village Advertising Shuttle 1 Current 2 3 Commercial Aviation Business Aviation Aeroclub Training School Hospital Aviation
  • 36. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 36 It depends... What would they like to accomplish? How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL? 1. Scale back to a general aviation airport 2. Build the gateway to innovative metropolis 3. Create the airport of tomorrow a. Summary of financials b. Upside/downside risks
  • 37. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 37 It depends... What would they like to accomplish? How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL? 1. Scale back to a general aviation airport 2. Build the gateway to innovative metropolis 3. Create the airport of tomorrow a. Summary of financials b. Upside/downside risks
  • 38. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 38 We can analyze projected financials in 2 segments Consolidated P&L Aero P&L Non Aero 2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350d Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342 EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008 Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582 Forecast 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169 Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882 EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287 Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741 Forecast 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180 Costs 280 285 307 324 460 EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720 Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217 Forecast
  • 39. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 39 Consolidated P&L 2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350 Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342 EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008 Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582 Forecast The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall improvement • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues
  • 40. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 40 Consolidated P&L 2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350 Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342 EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008 Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582 Forecast • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall improvement
  • 41. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 41 Tours can move to a positive EBITDA in less than 10 years • The EBITDA from the aero activities is highly impacted by the incentives paid to the low-cost airlines • The EBITDA from non aero activities is positive due to low expenses -1000000 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 Aero revenue Marketing expenses Other expenses Non aero revenue Total expenses Final EBITDA Consolidated TVDL P&L 2018 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 Aero revenue Marketing expenses Other expenses Non aero revenue Total expenses Final EBITDA Consolidated TVDL P&L 2027
  • 42. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 42 Consolidated P&L 2015 2016 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 5.118 4.163 3.845 4.154 4.900 5.368 8.350 Costs 4.751 4.983 4.266 4.319 4.581 4.803 6.342 EBITDA (924) (2.370) (422) (165) 318 565 2.008 Net Profit (2.625) (1.940) (725) (469) 5 86 582 Forecast • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues The consolidated P&L projection shows an overall improvement
  • 43. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 43 Aero activities represent nearly 80% of the total revenue of the airport • Commercial aviation is the main contributor the airport revenue • Parking represents 9% of the airport revenue with a low level of investment Commercial aviation, 80% Business aviation, 3% Parking, 8% Main contributors of TVDL revenue 2018 Commercial aviation Business aviation Parking Others Business aviation, 3% Parking, 9% Main contributors to TVDL revenue 2027 Commercial aviation Business aviation Parking Others
  • 44. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 44 Our aeronautical projections are conservative 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169 Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882 Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215 EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287 Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741 Forecast Aero activities P&L • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues • Optimization of the marketing incentives
  • 45. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 45 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169 Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882 Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215 EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287 Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741 Forecast Aero activities P&L • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues • Optimization of the marketing incentives Marketing incentives per passenger bring the EBITDA down
  • 46. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 46 Aero activities EBITDA breaks even in 5 years • Revenue from aero activities is built around conservative assumptions (maximum 15 flights per week in 10 years) • The marketing incentives paid to the low-cost airlines are negotiated on a digressive basis (2,000,000.00) - 2,000,000.00 4,000,000.00 6,000,000.00 8,000,000.00 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Evolution of Revenue vs Operating Costs of aero activities EBITDA Revenue Operating Costs Marketing fees Military leaving
  • 47. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 47 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169 Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882 Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215 EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287 Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741 Commercial aviation is the main contributor in the airport revenue Forecast Aero activities P&L • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues • Optimization of the marketing incentives
  • 48. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 48 Commercial aviation is the main contributor in the airport revenue • The Aeroclub is the main contributor to the airport movements but poor contributor to revenue • Passengers are mainly driven through the commercial aviation which constitute (80%) of activity 198,897 201,873 208,475 221,631 238,818 259,111 280,609 319,151 361,596 407,788 457,761 2016 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total passengers (PAX) 6,199 7,099 8,536 10,210 12,111 13,662 14,963 16,537 18,304 20,291 22,529 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2016 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total Movements B.U. 1 : Commercial Aviation B.U. 2 : Business Aviation + Privatejets B.U. 3 : Aeroclub B.U. 4 : Training School B.U. 5 : Hospital aviation B.U. 6 : Heritageaviation
  • 49. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 49 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 3.281 3.558 4.232 4.592 7.169 Costs 3.987 4.034 4.275 4.478 5.882 Including : marketing fees 2.383 2.352 2.403 2.453 3.215 EBITDA (706) (477) (42) 113 1.287 Net Profit (948) (718) (284) (129) 741 Commercial aviation is the main contributor in the airport revenue Forecast Aero activities P&L • Progressive improvement of the EBITDA • Conservative projection of revenues • Optimization of the marketing incentives
  • 50. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 50 Tours can decrease marketing fees from 15€/passenger to 7€/passenger for new airlines • Historically Ryanair represented 95% of total movements charging the airport 15€/passenger • Diversification of client portfolio and better negotiation of the marketing fee. - 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 - 500,000.00 1,000,000.00 1,500,000.00 2,000,000.00 2,500,000.00 3,000,000.00 3,500,000.00 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Evolution of the marketing incentives Marketing fees Marketing fee/passenger
  • 51. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 51 Non aero revenue is lower than aero activities but with a 50% net profit margin • Non aero activities break even at year 1 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180 Costs 280 285 307 324 460 EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720 Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217 Forecast Non Aero activities P&L
  • 52. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 52 Low investment for parking and same historical level of other activities revenue contribution 2018 2019 … 2021 2022 … 2027 Revenue 564 596 668 776 1.180 Costs 280 285 307 324 460 EBITDA 284 311 361 452 720 Net Profit 74 82 99 129 217 Forecast Non Aero activities P&L • Non aero activities break even at year 1
  • 53. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 53 Non Aero EBITDA breaks even starting from year 1 • Parking represents 9% of the airport revenue with a low level of investment. • Rental revenue is also a good revenue contributor with low related expenses. 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Evolution of Revenue vs Operating Costs of Non aero activities Revenue Operating Costs
  • 54. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 54 6.5M € 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 Aero revenue Marketing expenses Other expenses Non aero revenue Total expenses Final EBITDA Consolidated TVDL P&L 2027 Parking Rentals Village Advertising Shuttle 2 Commercial Aviation Business Aviation Aeroclub Training School Hospital Aviation To summarize, a 6.5M € will bring TVDL to operational profitability in 2023
  • 55. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 55 It depends... What would they like to accomplish? How much should the Tours Métropole invest in TVDL? 1. Scale back to a general aviation airport 2. Build the gateway to innovative metropolis 3. Create the airport of tomorrow a. Summary of financials b. Upside/downside risks
  • 56. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 56 5 key risks may affect our projections • Passengers congestion (A): • Low (3) • Dependence on subsidies (B): • Very High (5) • Political party orientation (C): • High (4) • Tourism fluctuations (D): • High (4) • Low-cost airline companies’ fees per passengers (E): • Very High (5) EVALUATION PHASE: Assessment of the risks based on their probability of occurrence and their impact MATRIX PHASE The final step was to create the matrix risk/probabilities
  • 57. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 57 Tours is a French city with a rich history, a vibrant presence, and ambitious tourism plans for the future. The TVDL airport has long existed through Tours’ subsidies and served primarily as an Air Force base, but the military will soon leave. What can Tours expect if it continues to subsidize TVDL? It depends on the value of subsidies provided: we suggest 6.5M € With this, Tours Val de Loire Airport could: • Achieve operational profitability in 2023 • Rely on a relatively low (and short-term) investment • Grow commercial aviation, to assist the métropole in its tourism strategy TVDL could become the gateway to an innovative metropolis with a little help from the métropole
  • 58. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 58 We have been one of many contributing teams to the 2021 redevelopment of the Tours Val de Loire Airport. Through our inter-related work, a full strategy, financial analysis, and regional economic impact assessment have been presented to the airport. So what’s next? And that’s the plan: TVDL is beginning its rebirth Combine • ENAC, Airport creators, Tours Tourism and all other contributing teams will have completed their work Convince • TVDL will meet the elected officials in March and present new development plans for subsidies Collect • The subsidies determined and provided will dictate which scenario TVDL will follow Our financial model will be used to show the employment of the subsidies, if received, and illustrate the future financial and economic performance of TVDL
  • 59. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 59 Excel Business Plan • Input-driven • 10-year • 3-scenario We’ve also left behind our tool to be further utilized by client
  • 60. ESCP Europe MBA in International Management | Class of 2018 | Company Consultancy Project | Tours Val de Loire Airport 60 Thank you for coming!