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SmartBetaMasterPresentation_16May2016_17h15FINAL
1.
2. Index Tracking Team
Patrick Mamathuba
Head of Beta Quants
Franchise and Portfolio
Manager
BCom(Hons), CFA
24 years of experience
Leonard Jordaan
Head of Distribution
BCom(Hons)(Economics),
CFP
10 years of experience
Teboho Tsotetsi
Portfolio Manager
Quants Analyst
MSc(Quantitative Risk
Management)
11 years of experience
Ryan Basdeo
Trading and Management
of ETF Portfolio
BCom(Taxation), Registered
Security Trader
10 years of experience
Ann Sebastian
Quants Analyst
BSc(Hons)(Advanced
Mathematics of Finance)
4 years of experience
3. Agenda
Len Jordaan
Head of Distribution for STANLIB Index Trackers
Presentation: Evolution of Index Investing
Teboho Tsotetsi
Assistant Portfolio Manager and Quants Analyst
Presentation: Multi-Factor Portfolios
Benjamin Simonds
Client Portfolio Manager
Presentation: Alternative Beta Strategies
6. Evolution of Index Investing
Smart BetaMarket Cap Beta
(Traditional
Index)
7. Smart Beta vs SWIX
Cumulative Returns
Time
Smart beta SWIX
Source: illustration
8. Evolution of Index Investing
Smart BetaMarket Cap Beta
(Traditional
Index)
Multi-Factor
Models
9. Evolution of Index Investing
Smart BetaMarket Cap Beta
(Traditional
Index)
Multi-Factor
Models
Alternative
Beta Strategies
10. Reasons why Smart Beta Index Funds are Popular
Availability of index funds in
most risk factors
No active funds available for
many factors
The outcome can be customised to specific clients requirement and it is very important to
have a thorough understanding of the client, to give the best solution for them
Why rules based investing is
popular is because of the cost
Index funds generally cheaper
The predictability of all rules
based investing
Construction methodology of
index is cast in stone
13. Agenda
WHY SMART BETA HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
14. WHY SMART BETA HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
15. Why Should You Consider Smart Beta
➜ Seeks to improve returns, reduce risk and enhance diversification
➜ Smart beta has been part of active funds
➜ Most active managers use screening tools that employ factors
used in the creation of smart betas
➜ Blackrock study: 35% of the active risk of international equity
portfolios is accounted for by smart beta
➜ Smart betas can now be sourced easily through passively managed
strategies at lower fees
➜ The push for passive in the new retirement reforms
➜ Smart beta provides excess return at lower fees
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
16. WHY SMART BETA HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
17. Ingredients for a Good Smart Beta Product
➜ Strong performance and persistency over time
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
18. Strong performance and persistency (Last 15 years)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Value Growth and Quality Momentum Size Low Volatility
Information coefficient 0.03 0.05 0.06 -0.02 0.05
Relative return 2% 4% 5% -3% 6%
Hit rate 53% 61% 62% 42% 58%
19. Ingredients for a Good Smart Beta Product
➜ Strong performance and persistency over time
➜ Good economic intuition
➜ Reward for systematic risk
➜ Exploiting behavioral biases
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
20. Ingredients for a Good Smart Beta Product
➜ Strong performance and persistency over time
➜ Good economic intuition
➜ Reward for systematic risk
➜ Exploiting behavioral biases
➜ Diversification benefits
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
22. Diversification
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Sentiment Value Growth Momentum Size Low Vol
Active
fund 1
Active
fund 2
Active
fund 3
Active
fund 4
Sentiment
1.00
Value
-0.54 1.00
Growth
0.03 0.28 1.00
Momentum
0.78 -0.61 0.13 1.00
Size
0.32 -0.41 0.04 0.38 1.00
Low Vol
0.04 0.26 0.28 0.03 -0.34 1.00
Active fund
1
-0.07 -0.12 -0.18 -0.21 -0.18 0.26 1.00
Active fund
2
-0.18 0.20 0.13 -0.23 -0.53 0.37 0.22 1.00
Active fund
3
-0.38 0.26 -0.37 -0.63 -0.43 -0.11 0.36 0.21 1.00
Active fund
4
-0.19 0.21 -0.04 -0.28 -0.34 0.22 0.29 0.41 0.45 1.00
Low correlations
amongst factors
Negative correlated
with active fund
mostly
Source: Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
23. Ingredients for a Good Smart Beta Product
➜ Strong performance and persistency over time
➜ Good economic intuition
➜ Reward for systematic risk
➜ Exploiting behavioral biases
➜ Diversification benefits
➜ Sector neutrality
➜ Not overly concentrated in any sector
➜ Improves risk adjusted returns
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
24. 0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Value Growth &
Quality
Momentum Size Volatility
Sharpe ratio
Non Sector Neutral Sector Neutral
A general pick up in sharpe ratios as a result of declines in volatility
Benefits of Sector Neutrality
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: STANLIB Quants Research
25. WHY SMART BETA HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
26. How to use Smart Beta
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
➜ Buy and hold an individual smart beta product
➜ Factors are highly cyclical thus require long investment horizon
➜ Long investment horizon required vs. performance measurement period
which is typically 3-5 years
➜ Employ factor timing techniques
➜ Very challenging - factor performance affected by a variety of
unpredictable factors
➜ Create solutions
➜ Factors perform differently at different times
➜ Combining them results in more consistent and stable performance
➜ Blends well with market cap beta and active funds
27. WHY SMART BETA INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
28. Creating Solutions
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
➜ Practical example
➜ Creating a portfolio to achieve outperformance of
at least 2% relative to SWIX within a TE of 4%
29. Active fund 3
Active fund 2
Active fund 4
Active fund 1
-2.5%
-1.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Alpha
Tracking error
Alpha vs. TE (last 10 years)
Creating Solutions
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: Morningstar
30. Value
Growth &
Quality
Momentum
Active fund 3
Low Vol
Active fund 2
Active fund 4
Active fund 1
-2.5%
-1.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Alpha
Tracking error
Alpha vs. TE (last 10 years)
Creating Solutions
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: Morningstar and Factset
31. Value
Growth & Quality
Momentum
Active fund 3
Low Vol
Active fund 2
Active fund 4
Active fund 1
-2.5%
-1.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Alpha
Tracking error
Alpha vs. TE (last 10 years)
Creating Solutions
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: Morningstar and Factset
32. Value
Growth & Quality
Momentum
Active fund 3
Low Vol
Active fund 2
Active fund 4
Active fund 1
-2.5%
-1.5%
-0.5%
0.5%
1.5%
2.5%
3.5%
4.5%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Alpha
Tracking error
Alpha vs. TE (last 10 years)
Creating Solutions
Growth &
Quality
21%
Moment
um
46%
Active
fund 1
33%
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: Morningstar and Factset
33. How to use Smart Beta
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
➜ Buy and hold an individual smart beta product
➜ Factors are highly cyclical thus require long investment horizon
➜ Long investment horizon vs. performance measurement period
➜ Employ factor timing techniques
➜ Very challenging - factor performance affected by a variety of
unpredictable factors
➜ Create solutions
➜ Factors perform differently at different times
➜ Results in more consistent and stable performance
➜ Blend with Market cap beta and Active funds
➜ Risk management / complementing a portfolio
➜ Hedging of unwanted or unintentional risk
34. Risk Management /Complementing a Portfolio
Example: Hedging of Risk in a Portfolio (last 3 years data)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Value
Growth
MomentumSize
Low Volatility
Source: Morningstar, Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
35. Risk Management /Complementing a Portfolio
Example: Hedging of Risk in a Portfolio (last 3 years data)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Value
Growth
MomentumSize
Low Volatility
Active fundSource: Morningstar, Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
36. Risk Management /Complementing a Portfolio
Example: Hedging of Risk in a Portfolio (last 3 years data)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Value
Growth
MomentumSize
Low Volatility
SWIX Active fundSource: Morningstar, Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
37. Risk Management /Complementing a Portfolio
Example: Hedging of Risk in a Portfolio (last 3 years data)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Value
Growth
MomentumSize
Low Volatility
SWIX Active fund
Overweight
Value
Underweight
Momentum
Underweight
Growth
Source: Morningstar, Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
38. Risk Management /Complementing a Portfolio
Example: Hedging of Risk in a Portfolio (last 3 years data)
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Value
Growth
MomentumSize
Low Volatility
SWIX Active fund Active fund + 25% Momentum
3 year stats Active Fund
Active Fund +
25% Momentum
Annualised return 7.33% 10.41%
Volatility 12.05% 11.04%
Sharpe ratio 0.11 0.40
Source: Morningstar, Factset and STANLIB Quants Research
39. Example of Client Solution
STANLIB’s Multi-factor Model Excluding Value
1.Client Need
To identify the dominant risk factor in their portfolio (actively managed) and diversify away from it
without changing current managers.
2.Resultant Factor Weights 3. Resultant Portfolio Predictive Ability
Forecasting
ability
Hit rate
Quintile
spread
(Q1 - Q5)
Min required 0.04 50% 0.50%
4 Factor
MFM
0.08 64% 1.18%
3 Factor
MFM
0.08 60% 1.30%
Growth and
Quality,
40%
Sentiment,
40%
Price
Momentum
, 20%
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
Source: FactsetSource: STANLIB Quants Research
40. Example of Client Solution
Value Managers vs SWIX
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Jul-06
Nov-06
Mar-07
Jul-07
Nov-07
Mar-08
Jul-08
Nov-08
Mar-09
Jul-09
Nov-09
Mar-10
Jul-10
Nov-10
Mar-11
Jul-11
Nov-11
Mar-12
Jul-12
Nov-12
Mar-13
Jul-13
Nov-13
Mar-14
Jul-14
Nov-14
1 Year Relative Return
Avg Value Manager -SWIX
Source: Morningstar
41. Example of Client Solution
3 Factor model (Backtest) vs SWIX
WHY SMART BETA
INGREDIENTS FOR
SMART BETA
HOW TO USE
SMART BETA
PRACTICAL
EXAMPLES
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jul-06
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
1 Year Relative Return
3 Factor Model - SWIX Avg Value Manager -SWIX
Source: Morningstar and STANLIB Quants Research
42. In Conclusion
➜ Seeks to improve returns, reduce risk and
enhance diversification
➜ Performance and persistency
➜ Diversification
➜ Single factor strategies
➜ Multifactor strategies
➜ Blending with active funds
➜ Hedging out unwanted risk
WHY SMART BETA
HOW TO USE SMART BETA PRACTICAL EXAMPLES
INGREDIENTS FOR SMART BETA
43.
44. 1450316
Columbia Alternative Beta Strategy
Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and
Threadneedle group of companies. Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC is an
investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. For
purposes of compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®), Columbia
Management Investment Advisers, LLC has defined the institutional Firm as Columbia
Management Investments, an operating division of Columbia Management Investment
Advisers, LLC that offers investment management and related services to institutional clients.
All values are expressed in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
For Institutional Use Only. This material may only be used in one-on-one presentations with consultants and institutional separate account
prospects. Not for public distribution.
Benjamin Simonds