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© Tracey Hollings

Conservation Biology
Volume 28, Number 1, February 2014

Featured
Paper…
Trophic Cascades Following the Disease-Induced
Decline of an Apex Predator, the Tasmanian Devil
Contributed Paper by:

a photo essay…

Conservation Biology
February 2014
Mark Burgman, Editor-in-Chief
www.conbio.org
Published by Wiley

Tracey Hollings
Menna Jones
Nick Mooney
Hamish McCallum
©Rodrigo Hamede

The Tasmanian Devil is threatened with extinction from a
The Tasmanian Devil is threatened with extinction from a
transmissible cancer, devil facial tumor disease.
transmissible cancer, devil facial tumor disease.
Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the
Tasmanian Devil

Devil facial tumor disease
(DFTD) has led to apparent
population declines of
Tasmanian Devils in excess of
95% in some areas and has
spread to more than 80% of
their range.
(Hollings, 2013)

Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
©Georgina Anderson

The Tasmanian devil is the apex mammalian predator in the
The Tasmanian devil is the apex mammalian predator in the
Tasmanian ecosystem. As apex predators disappear worldwide, there
Tasmanian ecosystem. As apex predators disappear worldwide, there
is escalating evidence of their importance in maintaining the integrity
is escalating evidence of their importance in maintaining the integrity
and diversity of the ecosystems they inhabit...
and diversity of the ecosystems they inhabit...
Wild Tasmanian devils at home in a den.
Wild Tasmanian devils at home in a den.
DFTD was first detected in the north-east of Tasmania in
1996. Prior to its arrival, devils were widespread and have
been recorded in all Tasmanian vegetation types.

©Ryan Burrows
Rapid Ecosystem Change and Polar Bear Conservation
Conservation Letters

Map of Tasmania
showing individual
spotlight survey
transects within
each of 4 regions
representing
different year
ranges of arrival of
DFTD (late, mid,
disease-free,
early). Years are
range of arrival of
DFTD in each
region.

A sub-adult female polar bear on a frozen lake along the shore of Hudson Bay. Small bears
like this are usually wary of adult males which can be predatory.

Hollings, 2013
©Hugh Maguire

©Ryan Burrows

©Ryan Burrows

Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania retains a nearly
Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania retains a nearly
intact mammalian fauna community.
intact mammalian fauna community.
Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the
Tasmanian Devil

Our results suggest that the decline of
the Tasmanian devil, the apex
mammalian predator in the
Tasmanian ecosystem, has had a
substantial effect on terrestrial
mammal fauna, a result consistent
with evidence from apex predator loss
in other ecosystems
(Hollings, 2013)

Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the
Tasmanian Devil

Maintaining populations of the devil
in the Tasmanian ecosystem, at
densities sufficient to exert top–down
control, may protect populations of
smaller mesopredators…

Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
©

Tracey Hollings

There is strong compelling evidence to support the
There is strong compelling evidence to support the
assertion that devils can exert top-down control on feral
assertion that devils can exert top-down control on feral
cat populations.
cat populations.
©Tracey Hollings

Feral cats like this one increase in
areas where DFTD has been
present the longest & feral cat
occurrence is significantly and
negatively associated with devils.
As devil populations
declined and cats
increased, the smaller
native mesopredator,
the eastern quoll
(pictured), declined, and
there was no sign of
population recovery,
which lead to concerns
for its conservation.
©Menna Jones
The best-fitting generalized linear model (GLM) for the mean number of animals per
transect for devils & eastern quolls. The best model, the linear model for feral cats, was
not significantly different from models containing a DFTD arrival variable, so the secondbest model was used to illustrate devil facial tumor disease arrival effects (vertical lines,
period of disease arrival; shaded areas, 95% CIs for GLMs; points, actual values).
Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the
Tasmanian Devil

Our results are consistent with assertions that DFTD
causes rapid and severe population decline in devils
that results in substantially reduced apex predator
populations within a few years. There was no
indication of population recovery, and with no
effective management options at present that could
aid recovery of wild populations, the trophic
cascades in the Tasmanian ecosystem resulting
from loss of devils are likely to continue.

Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
©

Tracey Hollings

SCB Members log in to your
member home page at
www.conbio.org to read:

Trophic Cascades Following
the Disease-induced Decline
of an Apex Predator, the
Tasmanian Devil

Note: The February issue is freely
available at:
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/
(ISSN)1523-1739

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A Photo Essay trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of the apex predator, the tasmanian devil - hollings

  • 1. © Tracey Hollings Conservation Biology Volume 28, Number 1, February 2014 Featured Paper…
  • 2. Trophic Cascades Following the Disease-Induced Decline of an Apex Predator, the Tasmanian Devil Contributed Paper by: a photo essay… Conservation Biology February 2014 Mark Burgman, Editor-in-Chief www.conbio.org Published by Wiley Tracey Hollings Menna Jones Nick Mooney Hamish McCallum
  • 3. ©Rodrigo Hamede The Tasmanian Devil is threatened with extinction from a The Tasmanian Devil is threatened with extinction from a transmissible cancer, devil facial tumor disease. transmissible cancer, devil facial tumor disease.
  • 4. Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the Tasmanian Devil Devil facial tumor disease (DFTD) has led to apparent population declines of Tasmanian Devils in excess of 95% in some areas and has spread to more than 80% of their range. (Hollings, 2013) Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
  • 5. ©Georgina Anderson The Tasmanian devil is the apex mammalian predator in the The Tasmanian devil is the apex mammalian predator in the Tasmanian ecosystem. As apex predators disappear worldwide, there Tasmanian ecosystem. As apex predators disappear worldwide, there is escalating evidence of their importance in maintaining the integrity is escalating evidence of their importance in maintaining the integrity and diversity of the ecosystems they inhabit... and diversity of the ecosystems they inhabit... Wild Tasmanian devils at home in a den. Wild Tasmanian devils at home in a den.
  • 6. DFTD was first detected in the north-east of Tasmania in 1996. Prior to its arrival, devils were widespread and have been recorded in all Tasmanian vegetation types. ©Ryan Burrows
  • 7. Rapid Ecosystem Change and Polar Bear Conservation Conservation Letters Map of Tasmania showing individual spotlight survey transects within each of 4 regions representing different year ranges of arrival of DFTD (late, mid, disease-free, early). Years are range of arrival of DFTD in each region. A sub-adult female polar bear on a frozen lake along the shore of Hudson Bay. Small bears like this are usually wary of adult males which can be predatory. Hollings, 2013
  • 8. ©Hugh Maguire ©Ryan Burrows ©Ryan Burrows Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania retains a nearly Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania retains a nearly intact mammalian fauna community. intact mammalian fauna community.
  • 9. Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the Tasmanian Devil Our results suggest that the decline of the Tasmanian devil, the apex mammalian predator in the Tasmanian ecosystem, has had a substantial effect on terrestrial mammal fauna, a result consistent with evidence from apex predator loss in other ecosystems (Hollings, 2013) Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
  • 10. Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the Tasmanian Devil Maintaining populations of the devil in the Tasmanian ecosystem, at densities sufficient to exert top–down control, may protect populations of smaller mesopredators… Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
  • 11. © Tracey Hollings There is strong compelling evidence to support the There is strong compelling evidence to support the assertion that devils can exert top-down control on feral assertion that devils can exert top-down control on feral cat populations. cat populations.
  • 12. ©Tracey Hollings Feral cats like this one increase in areas where DFTD has been present the longest & feral cat occurrence is significantly and negatively associated with devils.
  • 13. As devil populations declined and cats increased, the smaller native mesopredator, the eastern quoll (pictured), declined, and there was no sign of population recovery, which lead to concerns for its conservation. ©Menna Jones
  • 14. The best-fitting generalized linear model (GLM) for the mean number of animals per transect for devils & eastern quolls. The best model, the linear model for feral cats, was not significantly different from models containing a DFTD arrival variable, so the secondbest model was used to illustrate devil facial tumor disease arrival effects (vertical lines, period of disease arrival; shaded areas, 95% CIs for GLMs; points, actual values).
  • 15. Trophic cascades following the disease-induced decline of an apex predator, the Tasmanian Devil Our results are consistent with assertions that DFTD causes rapid and severe population decline in devils that results in substantially reduced apex predator populations within a few years. There was no indication of population recovery, and with no effective management options at present that could aid recovery of wild populations, the trophic cascades in the Tasmanian ecosystem resulting from loss of devils are likely to continue. Conservation Biology - Vol 28, Issue 1, February 2014
  • 16. © Tracey Hollings SCB Members log in to your member home page at www.conbio.org to read: Trophic Cascades Following the Disease-induced Decline of an Apex Predator, the Tasmanian Devil Note: The February issue is freely available at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/ (ISSN)1523-1739