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Nafisa Nazin Lutfa
Roll:17411048
Strategy as a Duel: RMA Meets
“The Ultimate Determinant in War is
the Man on the Scene with the Gun”
In this volume, Professor Colin Gray develops and
applies the theory and scholarship on the allegedly
historical practice of the 'Revolution in Military Affairs'
(RMA), in order to improve our comprehension of
how and why strategy 'works’. The author explores
the RMA hypothesis both theoretically and
historically. The book argues that the conduct of an
RMA has to be examined as a form of strategic
behavior, which means that, of necessity, it must
"work" as strategy works. The focus of his analysis is
how these grand RMAs functioned strategically. The
conclusions that he draws from these empirical
exercises are then applied to help us understand
what, indeed, is - and what is not - happening with
the much vaunted information-technology-led RMA
The author presents three
historical RMAs as case studies
for his argument: those arguably
revealed in the wars of the
French Revolution and
Napoleon; in World War I; and in
the nuclear age.
The great RMA debate of the 1990s is
reviewed empathetically, though skeptically,
by the author, with every major school of
thought allowed its day in court.
The notion of military revolutions grew from
Soviet writing of the 1970s and 1980s. Early
studies talked of a "Military Technical
Revolution" (MTR), which is the impact of a
new technology on warfare, but this quickly
evolved into the more holistic concept of
“Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA)”,
which encompasses the subsequent
The genesis of the current thinking
about a revolution in military affairs
began in Russia in the early 1980s,
when Soviet Marshal Nikolai Ogarkov,
the Soviet chief of staff at that time,
wrote about a "military technical
revolution" that would dramatically
improve the lethality and capabilities
of conventional weapons
General William Westmoreland
testified before Congress and said: On
the battlefield of the future, enemy forces
will be located, tracked and targeted
almost instantaneously through the use of
data links, computer assisted intelligence
evaluation, and automated fire control. . .
.I am confident the American people
expect this country to take full advantage
of its technology—to welcome and
applaud the developments that will
replace wherever possible the man with
RMA- Revolution In Military Affairs
kjTECHNOLOGICAL ORGANIZATIONALInformational Technology,
Telecommunication, and space
technology
international terrorism, the new roles of
non-state actors, and the new
emphasis on asymmetric warfare,
however, that are now doing most to
make us rethink almost every form of
cooperation in national security, the
tools we use in meeting these threats,
and the way in which we train and
educate.It forces us to think, educate,
train and act far beyond the limits of
what we once called the “Revolution in
RMA “is a major change in the nature of
warfare brought about by the innovative
application of new technologies which,
combined with dramatic changes in
military doctrine, operational and
organizational concepts, fundamentally
alters the character and conduct of military
operations”
consists of a combination of two terms;
revolution and military affair
Military affairs is generally understood as
the policies that come under the
responsibility of the ministry of war or
defense
Department of Defense (DoD)
+
Intelligence Agency
+
Technology
the fairly obvious observation that progress
in military technologies is usually tied to
progress in the technological and economic
base of countries fielding a military. Large
standing armies depended on agricultural
surpluses, and Napoleon's huge army
depended on the kinds of logistical
complexities that had allowed cities to feed
off of remote farms. The American Civil War,
World War I and World War II were
obviously wars of heavy industry.
One example frequently mentioned in the
literature as a landmark was when U.S. bombers
flew 800 bombing sorties over the Thanh Hoa
bridge in North Vietnam, losing ten aircraft
without damaging the bridge, but then the
bridge was destroyed in one pass by four
Phantom F-4 fighter-bombers using laser-
guided Paveway 1 bombs (U.S. News and World
Report 1987).
Politics and RMA
*RMA is never apart from political
context
*RMAs are made by people through
lengthy period of gesture, experiment,
time
*Has to be translated into politically
defined goals
*success in military innovations could
only postpone defeat ,it couldn’t pint to
an alternative, apolitical route to
success
Example: Napoleon
If the French had been able to attack
in the early hours they could have
swept the British from the field before
the arrival of their Prussian allies
Strategy is a Duel:
* Newton’s 3rd law of motion
*There is no law of Strategic history
requiring a particular foe to be
successfully adaptive at a particular
time
*War is nothing but a duel on a larger
scale
*War is not a lifeless thing
*Long as I have not overthrown my
opponent I am bond to fear he may
overthrow me
*war id not a single shot
Example: red army
*As strategy is a united behavior thus
RMA must be
*Detail of each RMA is unique but
common in nature
*context for analysis includes
dimensions like alliance ,human, ethical
issue, geopolitical and temporal.
*Theory of strategy is needed to reveal
the secrets & outcome of a RMA
*RMAs are example of strategy in
action
Strategy need not to be Chaotic:
*Nature of war is chaotic but nature of
strategy is not
*Chance , friction is not unnecessary
*Mistaken over view: chaos rules in war in
reality over strategy
*If strategy history truly were nonlinear &
chaotic, then chance would rule
*Strategic history humors chaos,but it is not
pervasively chaotic
Example:
NORTH KOREA & USA
Continuity in strategic history:
*Our theory of strategy includes the
proposition that every dimension always is
in play, though the relative importance of
say, geography, ethics or technology must
vary in historical context
déjà vu all over again :
*The action that matters most in strategic
history, to repeat an all too familiar refrain,
is the political and the human.
*armies that do not train hard are not
likely to fight well, almost regardless of the
quality of their weapons or the operational
skills of their generals.
*The professionals at the ‘what if...’ game are
those scholars and officials who must look to
the future.
* Historical actors frequently, perhaps usually,
fail to predict at all accurately the consequences
of action and inaction, when indeed they even
attempt so to do, but that fact does not deny
the authority of strategy.
Thank you

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RMA- Revolution In Military Affairs

  • 2.
  • 3. Strategy as a Duel: RMA Meets
  • 4. “The Ultimate Determinant in War is the Man on the Scene with the Gun”
  • 5. In this volume, Professor Colin Gray develops and applies the theory and scholarship on the allegedly historical practice of the 'Revolution in Military Affairs' (RMA), in order to improve our comprehension of how and why strategy 'works’. The author explores the RMA hypothesis both theoretically and historically. The book argues that the conduct of an RMA has to be examined as a form of strategic behavior, which means that, of necessity, it must "work" as strategy works. The focus of his analysis is how these grand RMAs functioned strategically. The conclusions that he draws from these empirical exercises are then applied to help us understand what, indeed, is - and what is not - happening with the much vaunted information-technology-led RMA
  • 6. The author presents three historical RMAs as case studies for his argument: those arguably revealed in the wars of the French Revolution and Napoleon; in World War I; and in the nuclear age.
  • 7. The great RMA debate of the 1990s is reviewed empathetically, though skeptically, by the author, with every major school of thought allowed its day in court. The notion of military revolutions grew from Soviet writing of the 1970s and 1980s. Early studies talked of a "Military Technical Revolution" (MTR), which is the impact of a new technology on warfare, but this quickly evolved into the more holistic concept of “Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA)”, which encompasses the subsequent
  • 8. The genesis of the current thinking about a revolution in military affairs began in Russia in the early 1980s, when Soviet Marshal Nikolai Ogarkov, the Soviet chief of staff at that time, wrote about a "military technical revolution" that would dramatically improve the lethality and capabilities of conventional weapons
  • 9. General William Westmoreland testified before Congress and said: On the battlefield of the future, enemy forces will be located, tracked and targeted almost instantaneously through the use of data links, computer assisted intelligence evaluation, and automated fire control. . . .I am confident the American people expect this country to take full advantage of its technology—to welcome and applaud the developments that will replace wherever possible the man with
  • 10. RMA- Revolution In Military Affairs kjTECHNOLOGICAL ORGANIZATIONALInformational Technology, Telecommunication, and space technology
  • 11. international terrorism, the new roles of non-state actors, and the new emphasis on asymmetric warfare, however, that are now doing most to make us rethink almost every form of cooperation in national security, the tools we use in meeting these threats, and the way in which we train and educate.It forces us to think, educate, train and act far beyond the limits of what we once called the “Revolution in
  • 12. RMA “is a major change in the nature of warfare brought about by the innovative application of new technologies which, combined with dramatic changes in military doctrine, operational and organizational concepts, fundamentally alters the character and conduct of military operations”
  • 13. consists of a combination of two terms; revolution and military affair Military affairs is generally understood as the policies that come under the responsibility of the ministry of war or defense Department of Defense (DoD) + Intelligence Agency + Technology
  • 14. the fairly obvious observation that progress in military technologies is usually tied to progress in the technological and economic base of countries fielding a military. Large standing armies depended on agricultural surpluses, and Napoleon's huge army depended on the kinds of logistical complexities that had allowed cities to feed off of remote farms. The American Civil War, World War I and World War II were obviously wars of heavy industry.
  • 15. One example frequently mentioned in the literature as a landmark was when U.S. bombers flew 800 bombing sorties over the Thanh Hoa bridge in North Vietnam, losing ten aircraft without damaging the bridge, but then the bridge was destroyed in one pass by four Phantom F-4 fighter-bombers using laser- guided Paveway 1 bombs (U.S. News and World Report 1987).
  • 17. *RMA is never apart from political context *RMAs are made by people through lengthy period of gesture, experiment, time *Has to be translated into politically defined goals *success in military innovations could only postpone defeat ,it couldn’t pint to an alternative, apolitical route to success
  • 18. Example: Napoleon If the French had been able to attack in the early hours they could have swept the British from the field before the arrival of their Prussian allies
  • 19. Strategy is a Duel: * Newton’s 3rd law of motion *There is no law of Strategic history requiring a particular foe to be successfully adaptive at a particular time *War is nothing but a duel on a larger scale *War is not a lifeless thing
  • 20. *Long as I have not overthrown my opponent I am bond to fear he may overthrow me *war id not a single shot Example: red army
  • 21. *As strategy is a united behavior thus RMA must be *Detail of each RMA is unique but common in nature *context for analysis includes dimensions like alliance ,human, ethical issue, geopolitical and temporal. *Theory of strategy is needed to reveal the secrets & outcome of a RMA *RMAs are example of strategy in action
  • 22. Strategy need not to be Chaotic: *Nature of war is chaotic but nature of strategy is not *Chance , friction is not unnecessary *Mistaken over view: chaos rules in war in reality over strategy *If strategy history truly were nonlinear & chaotic, then chance would rule *Strategic history humors chaos,but it is not pervasively chaotic
  • 24. Continuity in strategic history: *Our theory of strategy includes the proposition that every dimension always is in play, though the relative importance of say, geography, ethics or technology must vary in historical context
  • 25. déjà vu all over again : *The action that matters most in strategic history, to repeat an all too familiar refrain, is the political and the human. *armies that do not train hard are not likely to fight well, almost regardless of the quality of their weapons or the operational skills of their generals.
  • 26. *The professionals at the ‘what if...’ game are those scholars and officials who must look to the future. * Historical actors frequently, perhaps usually, fail to predict at all accurately the consequences of action and inaction, when indeed they even attempt so to do, but that fact does not deny the authority of strategy.