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David Parkes
Director of Library and
Learning Services
De Montfort University
@daveparkes
@DMULibDirector
http://www.nmc.org/nmc-horizon-higher-education/
identifies and describes important
developments in technology likely to have a
large impact on higher education worldwide
over the coming five years.
six key trends,
six significant challenges
six important developments
Criteria Description
Diversity of opinion Each person should have private information even if it's just an eccentric interpretation of the known facts.
Independence People's opinions aren't determined by the opinions of those around them.
Decentralization People are able to specialize and draw on local knowledge.
Aggregation Some mechanism exists for turning private judgments into a collective decision.
See
Mackay, Charles (1841). Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. I (1 ed.). London: Richard Bentley. Retrieved 29
April 2015.
Leadbeater, C. (2017). We Think. [online] Charles Leadbeater. Available at: http://charlesleadbeater.net/2010/01/we-think/ [Accessed 3 Jul. 2017].
Surowiecki, J. (2014). The wisdom of crowds. London [u.a.]: Abacus.
The psychologist.bps.org.uk. (2017). The Delphi method | The Psychologist. [online] Available at: https://thepsychologist.bps.org.uk/volume-
22/edition-7/delphi-method [Accessed 3 Jul. 2017].
The Delphi Method
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:A_Devonshire_steer._Stipple_engraving_by_Neele._Wellcome_V0021699.jpg
see
https://www.ft.com/content/bfb7e6b8-d57b-11e1-af40-00144feabdc0?mhq5j=e1
The parable of the OX
http://horizon.wiki.nmc.org/
Research Question 1:
Which of the important developments in educational technology will be most important to teaching, learning, or creative
inquiry in higher education worldwide within the next five years?
Research Question 2:
What important developments in technology are missing from our list?
Research Question 3:
What trends do you expect to have a significant impact on the ways in which higher education institutions worldwide will
approach our core missions of teaching, learning, and creative inquiry?
Research Question 4:
What do you see as the significant challenges related to teaching, learning, or creative inquiry that higher education
institutions worldwide will face during the next five years?
NMC Research Questions
NMC Research Process
The Delphi Method
https://thepsychologist.bps.org.uk/volume-22/edition-7/delphi-method
Emerging Technologies
Bring in the panel
Emerging Technologies
Aggregate the results
Inform the process
The Learning Landscape
Consumer Technologies
Drones
Real-Time Communication Tools
Robotics
Wearable Technology
Digital Strategies
Location Intelligence
Makerspaces
Preservation & Conservation Technologies
Internet Technologies
Blockchain
Digital Scholarship
Internet of Things
Syndication Tools
Learning Technologies
Adaptive Learning Technologies
Microlearning Technologies
Mobile Learning
Virtual and Remote Laboratories
Social Media Technologies
Crowdsourcing
Online Identity
Social Networks
Virtual Worlds
Visualization Technologies
3D Printing/Rapid Prototyping
Information Visualization
Mixed Reality
Virtual Reality
Enabling Technologies
Affective Computing
Artificial Intelligence
Big Data
Electrovibration
Flexible Displays
Mesh Networks
Mobile Broadband
Natural User Interfaces
Near Field Communication
Next-Generation Batteries
Open Hardware
Speech-to-Speech Translation
Virtual Assistants
Wireless Power
3D Video
Electronic
Publishing
Mobile Apps
Quantified Self
Tablet Computing
Telepresence
Wearable
Technology
BYOD
Flipped
Classroom
Games and
Gamification
Location
Intelligence
Makerspaces
Preservation and
Conservation
Technologies
Cloud Computing
The Internet of
Things
Real-Time
Translation
Semantic
Applications
Single Sign-On
Syndication Tools
Badges/Microcre
dit
Learning
Analytics
Mobile Learning
MOOCs
Online Learning Open Content
Open Licensing
Personal Learning
Environments
Virtual and
Remote
Laboratories
Collaborative
Environments
Collective
Intelligence
Crowdfunding
Crowdsourcing Digital Identity
Social Networks
Tacit Intelligence
3D Printing/Rapid
Prototyping
Augmented
Reality
Information
Visualization
Visual Data
Analysis
Volumetric and
Holographic
Displays
Affective
Computing
Cellular Networks
Electrovibration
Flexible Displays
Geolocation
Location-Based
Services
Machine Learning
Mobile
Broadband
Natural User
Interfaces
Near Field
Communication
Next-Generation
Batteries
Open Hardware
Speech-to-
Speech
Translation
Statistical
Machine
Translation
Virtual Assistants
Wireless Power
Emerging Technology
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Polling_Station_2008.jpg
http://kimcofino.com/blog/wp-
content/uploads/2016/01/diffusion_of_innovation
.png
https://www.flickr.com/photos/122135325@N06/16925410471 (CC BY-ND 4.0) How Innovations Spread (Everett M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations)
How Innovations Spread
http://hackeducation.com/2017/02/16/horizon Audrey Watters
Audrey Watters
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
https://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-library-edition/
• Spurring innovation
• Spreading digital fluency
• Expanding access and convenience
• Fostering authentic learning
• Tracking and evaluating evidence
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
http://www.nmc.org/publication/nmc-horizon-report-2017-higher-education-edition/
Advancing progressive learning
cultural transformation
exchange of fresh ideas
models within and outside of the campus
reward teaching innovation
student success at the centre
Real-world skills
employability and workplace
development deliver deeper, active
learning experiences skills-based
training that integrate technology in
meaningful ways
Collaboration
key for scaling effective solutions.
Communities of practice,
multidisciplinary leadership groups,
and open social networks evidence-
based approaches
Access is still unequal.
Gaps persist
socioeconomic status, race, ethnicity,
and gender
Assessing nuanced skills
leaders must now consider how to
evaluate the acquisition of vocational
skills, competencies, creativity, and
critical thinking
Digital Fluency
Training must go beyond gaining
isolated technology skills toward
generating a deep understanding of
digital environments, co-creation of
content with others
Learning ecosystems must be
agile
remix open content and educational
apps in unique and compelling ways
Online, mobile, and blended
learning
robust strategies for integrating these
now pervasive approaches
track how these models are actively
enriching learning outcomes.
Lifelong learning
Institutions must prioritize and
recognize ongoing learning —
both formal and informal —
for their faculty, staff, and
students

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NMC Horizon Report identifies six key trends impacting higher ed