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www.mercercapital.com
Second Quarter 2018
VALUE FOCUS
Transportation & Logistics
Fourth Quarter 2020 | Article: Seeking the Value of SEACOR
In This Issue
Seeking the Value of SEACOR 1
Industry Macro Trends	 3
Trucking	 7
Rail  Intermodal	 10
MA Activity	 11
Select Transactions	 12
Public Company Performance	15
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
On December 7, 2020, publicly traded SEACOR Holdings announced that it had entered into an agreement with American
Industrial Partners (AIP) to go private. The cash transaction, estimated to be worth slightly over $1 billion, is expected to
close during the first quarter of 2021. Other transportation companies in AIP’s portfolio include EnTrans International, LLC
(bulk and energy transportation) and Rand Logistics (bulk freight shipping).
What is particularly notable about the SEACOR transaction is the premium AIP is paying for the company. The purchase
price of $41.50 per share is a premium of 14% relative to the December 4, 2020 trading price and reflects a premium of
31% over the 90-day volume-weighted average share price. The transaction also implies revenue and EBITDA multiples
of 1.5x and 11.3x, respectively. For perspective, on December 31, 2020, the median enterprise value multiple for marine-
based companies was 8.5x EBITDA and the median logistics company multiple was 8.3x. This indicates that AIP paid a
significant control premium for SEACOR, possibly reflecting the additional value AIP will get from a strategic relationship
with SEACOR.
FEATURE ARTICLE
Seeking the
Value of
SEACOR
0.0
2.0
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6.0
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Truckload Less-than-Truckload Marine Rail Air Logistics
Publicly Traded Transportation Companies EBITDA Mulitple Trends
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
As shown in the chart on the previous page, most segments of the transportation industry have experienced a decline in
enterprise value to EBITDA multiples relative to 2018. The only segment that has experienced significant expansion in
EBITDA multiples has been railroad companies.
While no single transaction sets the market for all, transaction activity trends can provide important insight regarding val-
uation. Whether it is two trucking lines merging to take advantage of complementary lanes, or a privately held company
installing an ESOP, or simply getting an offer that may just be too good to refuse from private equity, it’s important to keep
in mind recent market trends and what they mean for the value of your company.
FEATURE ARTICLE
Seeking the
Value of
SEACOR
(continued)
Samantha L. Albert, ASA
alberts@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9702
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Industry Macro
Trends
Industrial Production Index
Demand for services in the logistics industry
is tied to the level of domestic industrial
production. The Industrial Production Index
is an economic measure of all real output
from manufacturing, mining, electric, and
gas utilities. The COVID-19 pandemic
resulted in numerous shutdowns and lock-
downs that began in March 2020. Many
shutdowns and restrictions continued
throughout 2020. Production recovered
during summer months, but uncertainties
remained as the U.S. headed into winter
months. The index value in December
2020 was 105.7, a 3% increase from the
September 2020 value of 102.6, but down
3.6% on a year-over-year basis. The index
in December 2020 increased 1.6% from
November 2020. Production levels remain
below historically observed levels and are
3% below the February 2020 index amount
of 109.3. In the fourth quarter of 2020,
materials, manufacturing, and consumer
goods increased 9%, 11%, and 2.5%,
respectively, relative to levels in the third
quarter of 2020.
Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2012
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Industry Macro
Trends
Transportation Services
Index
The Transportation Services Index, which
measures freight traffic in the United States,
increased in December 2020, relative to
the prior month but was slightly down on
a year-over-year basis. The index rose to
136.3, up 0.8% from 132.7 in November
2020, reaching pre-COVID levels (the index
was at 136.0 in February 2020). The index
declined 0.2% on a year-over-year basis.
Cass Freight Index
The Cass Freight Index of shipments and
expenditures is considered one of the best
indicators of overall U.S. freight activity. In
April 2020, shipments fell to their lowest levels
since January 2010 due to COVID-19 related
shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad. By the
end of September 2020, both the shipments
and expenditures indices had surpassed Feb-
ruary 2020 levels. Both indices continued to
grow in the fourth quarter and both posted
growth on a year-over-year basis.
Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted)
Cass Freight Index
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
D
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-
0
5
D
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c
-
0
6
D
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-
0
7
D
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0
8
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-
0
9
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1
0
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1
1
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1
2
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4
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5
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1
6
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-
1
7
D
e
c
-
1
8
D
e
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-
1
9
D
e
c
-
2
0
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Shipments Expenditures
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Industry
Macro Trends
Shipments
Shipments in December 2020 increased
6.7% relative to December 2019. After 22
months of declines on a year-over-year
basis, the shipments index has posted
positive year-over-year gains for three
straight months. The Cass report expects
January 2021 growth on the order of 5.5%.
Cass Freight Shipments Index
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Feb
M
ar
Apr
M
ay
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
O
ct
Nov
Dec
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners
Indexed to January 1990
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Industry
Macro Trends 	
			 	
Expenditures
The expenditures index measures the total
amount spent on freight. The expenditures
index hit 3.077 in December 2020, an
increase of 6.5% on a quarterly basis
and an increase of 3.6% on a monthly
basis. December 2020 marked the fourth
straight month of year-over-year, growing
13% relative to December 2019. The May
2020 Expenditures Index was the lowest
recording since January 2016. The Cass
Report indicated that lower fuel prices
have offset index gains. Reduced capacity
combined with higher levels of consumer
consumption are serving to drive up rates.
Cass Freight Expenditures Index
2.00
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
Jan
Feb
M
ar
Apr
M
ay
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
O
ct
Nov
Dec
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Broughton Capital
Indexed to January 1990
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted)
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
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9
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1
1
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2
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Seasonally-adjusted
Tonnage
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015
Truck Tonnage
The American Trucking Association (ATA)
estimates trucking accounts for over 70%
of all domestic freight tonnage and over
80% of total freight expenditures. The truck
tonnage index ended 2020 at 116.7, slightly
higher than its reported levels in December
2019 but 0.3% lower than Pre-COVID levels
in February 2020. The index has had a
generally upward trend since the initial
COVID related drop in March 2020.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Trucking
Spot vs. Contract Rates
The Spot vs. Contract Rates charts depicts
monthly national average line haul rates and
fuel surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter
contracts that lock in a static contract rate
for a period of time. Spot rates, on the other
hand, are one-time shipping quotes for a
specific transaction or series of transactions.
As capacity has tightened during 2020, spot
rates have eclipsed contract rates in the
reefer and dry van categories; spot rates
continue to lag contract rates in the flatbed
market.
All classes of rates increased during the
third quarter and all classes except for
reefer contract increased on a year-over-
year basis. Reefer spot and dry van spot
rates increased 17% and 27% on a year-
over-year basis, respectively.
Spot vs. Contract Rates
$1.45
$1.65
$1.85
$2.05
$2.25
$2.45
$2.65
$2.85
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2019 2020
Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot
Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract
Source: DAT
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Trucking
Load-to-Truck Ratio
The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by
dividing the total number of loads for shipment
by the total number of trucks available. As
a result, the load-to-truck ratio can signal a
shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn
influences changes in freight. An increase
in the ratio (i.e., a higher number of loads
relative to the level of available trucks)
is typically associated with shipping rate
increases). While economic factors typically
push supply and demand, compression or
expansion that occurs faster in the shipping
industry can accelerate movements faster
than the overall economy.
All three classes experienced modest
drops in their respective load-to-truck ratios
during the fourth quarter of 2020. Dry van
decreased 11% and reefer decreased 12%,
while flatbed decreased less than 1% during
the fourth quarter. Conversely, on a year-
over-year basis, all three classes posted
gains. Relative to December 2019, the van,
reefer, and flatbed ratios increased 47%,
23%, and 203%, respectively.
Dry Van Load-to-Truck
Reefer Load-to-Truck
Flatbed Load-to-Truck
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
D
ec-17
M
ar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
D
ec-18
M
ar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
D
ec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
D
ec-20
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
D
ec-17
M
ar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
D
ec-18
M
ar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
D
ec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
D
ec-20
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0
125.0
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Source: DAT
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Rail 
Intermodal
Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
1,300,000
D
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0
Rail
Carloads
(Seasonally
Adjusted)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Rail Freight Intermodal
Traffic
As reported by the Bureau of
Transportation Statistics, intermodal
shipments decreased 0.6% in December
2020 relative to November, with intermodal
freight volumes up 1.6% from September
2020 (the prior quarter end) and 13.5%
from February 2020 (pre-COVID). On
an annual basis, rail carloads increased
12.1% from December 2019. American
Association of Railroads (AAR) Senior
Vice President of Policy and Economics
John T. Gray, stated that 2020 was
negatively impacted by trade disputes
prior to the pandemic. However, the AAR
believes that rail traffic will improve in 2021.
The AAR also observed that U.S. railroads
originated 1% fewer carloads in December
2020 compared to December 2019. The
AAR estimated that, in all of 2020, rail
carloads and intermodal shipments were
down 12.9% and 1.8%, respectively, from
the same period in 2020.
Cass Intermodal Index
The Journal of Commerce analyzes the costs savings of the intermodal market relative to domestic trucking. In general, a
higher number on the index means intermodal is that much cheaper relative to trucking. A lower number implies trucking
is cheaper relative to intermodal. A value of 100 on the index means the costs are identical. The JOC tracks both the Spot
Intermodal Savings Index (ISI) and the Contract ISI.
In December 2020, the 12-month Spot ISI was 113.3, implying that intermodal was approximately 13% cheaper than
trucking. The 12-month Contract ISI was 122.7, implying that intermodal was 23% cheaper than trucking. The 3-month
Spot ISI and Contract ISI were 108.5 and 130.2, respectively. The JOC expects the Spot ISI to decline in the first quarter
of 2021 as truck spot prices appear to have peaked and are now declining.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
MA Activity
Featured Transactions
Andlauer Healthcare Group Acquires McAllister
Courier and TDS Logistics
Penske Acquires Privately Held Black Horse Carriers
Canadian-based Andlauer (TSE:AND) acquired
healthcare-delivery specialists McAllister and TDS
Logistics. Based on an enterprise value of $11.98
million, the deal represented 0.723x LTM Revenue.
In a deal that closed December 31, 2020, Penske Lo-
gistics, Inc. acquired Chicago-based Black Horse Car-
riers. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
SEACOR to be Acquired by Private Equity Firm
Forward Air Acquires Value Logistics to Expand
Intermodal Operations
On December 7, SEACOR (NYSE:CKH) announced
an agreement to be acquired by American Industrical
Partners (“AIP”), a New York-based private equity firm.
The purchase values SEACOR at $41.50 per share, a
14% premium relative to the closing price on December
4 and a 31% premium over the 90-day average
weighted price. The implied enterprise value of $1.2
billion is 1.5x LTM revenue and 11.3x LTM EBITDA.
On October 5, Forward Air Corporation (NASDAQ:F-
WRD) acquired Memphis, Tennessee-based Value
Logistics for $2.25 million (a value that is 0.4x LTM
revenue). The acquisition of Value Logistics greatly
expands Forward Air’s intermodal drayage presence in
the Memphis market.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Select Transactions
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Trucking
Dry Bulk Business of Grammer Logistics TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/5/20 Closed - - -
TDS Logistics Ltd./McAllister Courier Inc. Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc. (TSX:AND) 10/5/20 Closed $12.0 0.7x -
Manning's Truck Brokerage, Inc. Fitzmark, Inc. 10/5/20 Closed - - -
Selected Assets of TBM Logistics Ltd. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/22/20 Closed - - -
Direct Service Network Ltd. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/22/20 Closed - - -
Paul's Hauling Ltd. RTL-Westcan Group of Companies 10/2/20 Closed - - -
Quality Transportation Services NB Ltd Jardine Transport Ltd. 11/2/20 Closed - - -
Fort Transfer Co., Inc. The Kenan Advantage Group, Inc. 11/10/20 Closed - - -
Montway, Inc. AEA Investors LP 11/5/20 Closed - - -
Substantially All Assets and Certain Liabilities
of Cougar Express, Inc.
TLSS Acquisition, Inc. 11/12/20 Announced - - -
Black Horse Carriers, Inc. Penske Logistics, Inc. 11/30/20 Closed - - -
RCB Trucking, LLC HouseSmart Construction 10/20/20 Closed - - -
Flatland Trucking, Inc. Hidden Harbor Capital Partners, LLC 12/2/20 Closed - - -
Marocchi Trucking Company, Inc. Terpening Trucking Co., Inc. 12/15/20 Effective - - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Rail
The Western Railroad Builders/5 Shortline Railroads Jaguar Transport Holdings, LLC 11/5/20 Closed - - -
Las Vegas Xpress, Inc. Maptelligent, Inc. (OTCPK:MAPT) 10/13/20 Closed - - -
Salt Lake Garfield  Western Railway Company Inc. Patriot Rail Company LLC 10/28/20 Closed - - -
Marion Industrial Center, Inc. Jaguar Transport Holdings, LLC 11/2/20 Closed - - -
Pan Am Railways, Inc. CSX Corporation (NasdaqGS:CSX) 11/30/20 Closed - - -
Marine
Business Assets of Cheryl K LLC and San
Jacinto River Fleet LLC
Houston Fleeting Services LLC 11/10/20 Announced - - -
SEACOR Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CKH) AIP, LLC 12/7/20 Announced $1,128.9 1.5x 11.3x
Air Freight  Logistics
International Warehousing  Distribution Inc. Mullen Group Ltd. (TSX:MTL) 10/2/20 Announced $3.8 - -
Assets of Value Logistics, Inc Forward Air Corporation (NasdaqGS:FWRD) 10/5/20 Announced $2.3 0.4x -
Landstar Blue, LLC Landstar System, Inc. (NasdaqGS:LSTR) 11/19/20 Closed - - -
International Mail and Parcel Logistics Business of R. R.
Donnelley  Sons Company
ePost Global, LLC 10/27/20 Closed $13.0 - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
Select Transactions (continued)
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Air Freight  Logistics (cont.)
Hall's Warehouse Corp. Americold Realty Trust (NYSE:COLD) 11/5/20 Closed $480.0 - -
Certain Assets of Top Gun Freight, Inc. TA Services, Inc. 11/2/20 Closed - - -
Metro New York Franchise Pilot Freight Services, Inc. 11/4/20 Closed - - -
TA Logistics, Inc.
The Keller Manufacturing Company, Inc. (OTCPK:KM-
FI)
11/18/20 Closed - - -
Four Companies in US and Storage Business of
DataSafe, Inc. and Beverly Hills Transfer  Storage
Access Corp. 11/18/20 Closed - - -
Substantially all assets of Donlen Corporation Athene Holding Ltd. (NYSE:ATH) 11/25/20 Announced - - -
Associated Couriers, Inc. SLS Special Logistics Services GmbH 11/19/20 Closed - - -
NonstopDelivery, Inc. Hub Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HUBG) 12/9/20 Closed $94.5 - -
World Wide International Logistics Inc. Manitoulin Global Forwarding Inc. 12/3/20 Closed - - -
Versacold International Corporation
TorQuest Partners, Inc.; Investment Management Cor-
poration of Ontario; The OPSEU Pension Trust
12/16/20 Closed - - -
US operations of Toll Holdings Limited Taylored Services, LLC 12/17/20 Closed - - -
Fetch Logistics, Inc. Fitzmark, Inc. 12/15/20 Closed - - -
Connect Global Logistics INC. Terra Worldwide Logistics LLC 12/17/20 Closed - - -
Weber Logistics LLC Stellex Capital Management LLC 12/10/20 Closed - - -
Moulton Logistics Management, Inc. Amware Fulfillment, LLC 12/23/20 Closed - - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
Select Transactions (continued)
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
Public
Company
Performance
Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of December 31, 2020)
1.7x
3.7x 4.0x
5.9x
14.4x
4.0x
18.0x
20.2x
23.7x
15.2x
16.0x
18.3x
5.4x
7.2x
6.5x
8.5x
15.6x
8.3x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
Truckload LTL Air Freight Marine Rail Logistics
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Data as of December 31, 2020, excludes outliers
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
12/31/20
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Truckload
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $136.65 8% $15,565 7% 795% $9,637 13% 1.6x 12.4x 28.5x 10.6x 22.2x
Ryder System, Inc. R $61.76 46% $10,330 68% 222% $8,420 27% 1.2x 4.5x nm 4.3x 13.8x
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $41.82 3% $7,870 10% 428% $4,674 23% 1.7x 7.3x 17.3x 6.3x 12.4x
Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $134.66 7% $5,048 -2% 1089% $4,136 8% 1.2x 16.1x 26.9x 13.3x 20.3x
Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $20.70 -16% $3,164 -16% 532% $4,553 13% 0.7x 5.3x 17.3x 4.6x 13.1x
Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $39.22 -7% $2,855 5% 670% $2,372 20% 1.2x 5.9x 16.0x 5.1x 12.3x
Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $18.10 -3% $1,381 -6% 531% $645 29% 2.1x 7.3x 20.7x 6.2x 17.3x
Daseke, Inc. DSKE $5.81 8% $1,067 59% 294% $1,454 11% 0.7x 6.8x 60.9x 6.3x 42.5x
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $20.59 -1% $1,102 50% 490% $1,391 11% 0.8x 7.2x 11.5x 5.4x 6.9x
Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $17.23 6% $1,337 -7% 636% $874 22% 1.5x 7.0x 20.5x 6.2x 17.4x
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $14.81 -15% $407 38% 0% $839 9% 0.5x 5.6x nm 4.2x 8.2x
P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $49.00 30% $528 47% -2% $0 na nm nm nm 5.0x 9.2x
USA Truck, Inc. USAK $8.93 -6% $256 71% 252% $551 10% 0.5x 4.6x 15.8x 3.5x 4.9x
U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $6.84 -17% $1,007 66% 235% $1,742 8% 0.6x 7.5x 18.3x 5.3x 6.6x
Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $8.78 -2% $17 -76% 10% $89 10% 0.2x 2.0x nm nm nm
Median -1% 10% 12.0% 1.0x 6.9x 18.3x 5.3x 12.7x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
12/31/20
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Less-Than-Truckload
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $195.18 8% $22,522 -2% 1355% $4,015 29% 5.6x 19.3x 34.0x 15.8x 27.1x
Saia, Inc. SAIA $180.80 43% $4,895 4% 750% $1,822 17% 2.7x 15.7x 33.8x 12.5x 26.9x
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $42.67 37% $1,144 5% 346% $2,940 7% 0.4x 5.4x 15.2x 4.2x 10.5x
Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $8.55 26% $1,235 33% 418% $914 18% 1.4x 7.6x 16.5x 7.4x 17.7x
Yellow Corporation YRCW $0.00 nm $1,221 81% 54% $4,514 3% 0.3x 8.0x nm 4.3x nm
Median 32% 5% 17% 1.4x 8.0x 25.2x 7.4x 22.3x
Air Freight
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $25.67 -7% $3,478 81% 211% $2,703 18% 1.3x 7.3x nm 5.5x 3.1x
Air T, Inc. AIRT $12.51 -38% $133 73% 341% $245 6% 0.5x 9.1x nm nm nm
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $50.65 -28% $1,586 10% 681% $1,431 10% 1.1x 10.8x 18.5x 15.4x 28.9x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $18.28 -22% $2,572 58% 397% $1,493 30% 1.7x 5.7x 6.1x 5.5x 13.3x
Cargojet Inc. CJT $71.35 -10% $1,549 29% 414% $352 27% 4.4x 16.5x 159.6x 11.0x 47.4x
Median -22% 58% 18% 1.3x 9.1x 18.5x 8.3x 21.1x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
12/31/20
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Marine
Kirby Corporation KEX $51.83 43% $4,774 35% 154% $2,171 17% 2.2x 13.0x nm 13.0x 36.1x
Atlas Corp. ATCO $10.84 21% $7,620 65% 390% $0 na nm nm nm 7.6x 8.2x
Triton International Limited TRTN $48.51 19% $10,301 62% 414% $1,360 89% 7.6x 8.5x 10.1x 7.4x 6.7x
Matson, Inc. MATX $56.97 42% $3,502 30% 566% $2,383 16% 1.5x 9.3x 12.7x 7.4x 11.0x
Textainer Group Holdings Limited TGH $19.18 35% $4,617 79% 251% $665 73% 6.9x 9.5x 13.4x 7.4x 5.3x
Costamare Inc. CMRE $8.28 36% $2,484 60% 372% $460 63% 5.4x 8.6x 113.3x 6.1x 5.3x
Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $19.00 16% $662 64% -83% $0 na nm nm nm 6.7x 11.5x
Navios Maritime Partners L.P. NMM $11.20 86% $667 81% 143% $0 na nm nm nm 4.1x 1.9x
Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $2.77 7% $287 57% 302% $0 na nm nm nm 6.0x 4.6x
Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $11.89 72% $932 77% 561% $0 na nm nm nm 4.9x 4.7x
Genco Shipping  Trading Limited GNK $7.36 7% $646 52% 34% $356 19% 1.8x 9.6x nm 6.1x 10.6x
Algoma Central Corporation ALC $10.92 45% $677 39% 386% $428 27% 1.6x 5.8x 11.5x 4.9x 10.7x
Sino-Global Shipping America, Ltd. SINO $2.06 45% $5 -139% -7224% $7 -261% 0.8x -0.3x nm nm nm
Median 36% 60% 2.0x 9.0x 12.7x 6.4x 7.4x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 19
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
12/31/20
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Railroads
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $208.22 6% $167,313 16% 794% $19,533 52% 8.6x 16.6x 26.2x 14.7x 21.8x
Canadian National Railway Company CNR $109.83 3% $88,935 12% 787% $10,845 52% 8.2x 15.8x 27.9x 15.0x 23.4x
CSX Corporation CSX $90.75 17% $83,485 17% 707% $10,583 55% 7.9x 14.4x 25.1x 13.1x 20.8x
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $237.61 11% $71,993 16% 573% $9,789 47% 7.4x 15.5x 30.0x 13.4x 21.1x
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $346.52 14% $54,365 14% 993% $6,051 57% 9.0x 15.8x 24.3x 15.2x 21.5x
Kansas City Southern KSU $204.13 13% $22,618 16% 657% $2,633 53% 8.6x 16.2x 31.0x 14.0x 22.6x
Median 12% 16% 8.4x 15.8x 27.1x 14.3x 21.7x
Logistics  Intermodal
United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $168.40 1% $165,089 12% 147% $84,628 5% 2.0x 40.2x 108.4x 13.3x 18.9x
FedEx Corporation FDX $259.62 3% $98,929 30% 348% $69,217 9% 1.4x 15.6x 53.5x 10.3x 15.0x
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $95.11 5% $15,064 -7% 1364% $10,116 10% 1.5x 15.1x 23.1x 14.5x 22.5x
TFI International Inc. TFII $51.43 23% $5,878 18% 577% $3,781 15% 1.6x 10.6x 17.4x 6.5x 13.2x
XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $119.20 41% $18,002 39% 219% $16,252 8% 1.1x 13.9x 99.1x 10.1x 21.9x
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $93.87 -8% $14,008 9% 860% $16,207 5% 0.9x 18.6x 25.2x 15.7x 21.4x
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $76.84 34% $2,305 8% 453% $1,270 9% 1.8x 20.8x 89.1x 14.4x 24.6x
Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $57.00 14% $2,036 4% 346% $3,496 7% 0.6x 8.6x 26.5x 7.3x 18.1x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $31.34 25% $3,324 44% 553% $1,571 35% 2.1x 6.1x 57.6x 6.2x 18.8x
Echo Global Logistics, Inc. ECHO $26.82 4% $843 15% 203% $2,512 2% 0.3x 17.4x 45.1x 8.9x 14.8x
Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $5.80 13% $307 7% 490% $855 4% 0.4x 8.4x 26.9x 7.3x 11.4x
Median 13% 12% 1.4x 15.1x 45.1x 10.1x 18.8x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020
Publicly Traded Companies
Mercer
Capital
Transportation  Logistics
Industry Services
Contact Us
Copyright © 2021 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged.
Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an
information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing
list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory
services to the transportation  logistics industry.
Industry Segments
Mercer Capital serves the following industry
segments:
•	 Trucking
•	 Air Freight
•	 Marine
•	 Railroads
•	 Logistics  Intermodal
Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence.
Timothy R. Lee, ASA
901.322.9740
leet@mercercapital.com
Nicholas J. Heinz, ASA
901.685.2120
heinzn@mercercapital.com
Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF
615.345.0234
womacks@mercercapital.com
Samantha L. Albert, ASA
901.322.9702
alberts@mercercapital.com
www.mercercapital.com
BUSINESS VALUATION 
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Services Provided
•	 Valuation of transportation and logistics companies
•	 Transaction advisory for acquisitions and
divestitures
•	 Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment
testing
•	 Fairness and solvency opinions
•	 Litigation support for economic damages and
valuation and shareholder disputes
Mercer Capital
www.mercercapital.com

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Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Transportation & Logistics | Q4 2020 | Featured Article: Seeking the Value of SEACOR

  • 1. www.mercercapital.com Second Quarter 2018 VALUE FOCUS Transportation & Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 | Article: Seeking the Value of SEACOR In This Issue Seeking the Value of SEACOR 1 Industry Macro Trends 3 Trucking 7 Rail Intermodal 10 MA Activity 11 Select Transactions 12 Public Company Performance 15
  • 2. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 On December 7, 2020, publicly traded SEACOR Holdings announced that it had entered into an agreement with American Industrial Partners (AIP) to go private. The cash transaction, estimated to be worth slightly over $1 billion, is expected to close during the first quarter of 2021. Other transportation companies in AIP’s portfolio include EnTrans International, LLC (bulk and energy transportation) and Rand Logistics (bulk freight shipping). What is particularly notable about the SEACOR transaction is the premium AIP is paying for the company. The purchase price of $41.50 per share is a premium of 14% relative to the December 4, 2020 trading price and reflects a premium of 31% over the 90-day volume-weighted average share price. The transaction also implies revenue and EBITDA multiples of 1.5x and 11.3x, respectively. For perspective, on December 31, 2020, the median enterprise value multiple for marine- based companies was 8.5x EBITDA and the median logistics company multiple was 8.3x. This indicates that AIP paid a significant control premium for SEACOR, possibly reflecting the additional value AIP will get from a strategic relationship with SEACOR. FEATURE ARTICLE Seeking the Value of SEACOR 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 6 / 1 / 1 8 8 / 1 / 1 8 1 0 / 1 / 1 8 1 2 / 1 / 1 8 2 / 1 / 1 9 4 / 1 / 1 9 6 / 1 / 1 9 8 / 1 / 1 9 1 0 / 1 / 1 9 1 2 / 1 / 1 9 2 / 1 / 2 0 4 / 1 / 2 0 6 / 1 / 2 0 8 / 1 / 2 0 1 0 / 1 / 2 0 1 2 / 1 / 2 0 Truckload Less-than-Truckload Marine Rail Air Logistics Publicly Traded Transportation Companies EBITDA Mulitple Trends
  • 3. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 As shown in the chart on the previous page, most segments of the transportation industry have experienced a decline in enterprise value to EBITDA multiples relative to 2018. The only segment that has experienced significant expansion in EBITDA multiples has been railroad companies. While no single transaction sets the market for all, transaction activity trends can provide important insight regarding val- uation. Whether it is two trucking lines merging to take advantage of complementary lanes, or a privately held company installing an ESOP, or simply getting an offer that may just be too good to refuse from private equity, it’s important to keep in mind recent market trends and what they mean for the value of your company. FEATURE ARTICLE Seeking the Value of SEACOR (continued) Samantha L. Albert, ASA alberts@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9702
  • 4. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Industry Macro Trends Industrial Production Index Demand for services in the logistics industry is tied to the level of domestic industrial production. The Industrial Production Index is an economic measure of all real output from manufacturing, mining, electric, and gas utilities. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in numerous shutdowns and lock- downs that began in March 2020. Many shutdowns and restrictions continued throughout 2020. Production recovered during summer months, but uncertainties remained as the U.S. headed into winter months. The index value in December 2020 was 105.7, a 3% increase from the September 2020 value of 102.6, but down 3.6% on a year-over-year basis. The index in December 2020 increased 1.6% from November 2020. Production levels remain below historically observed levels and are 3% below the February 2020 index amount of 109.3. In the fourth quarter of 2020, materials, manufacturing, and consumer goods increased 9%, 11%, and 2.5%, respectively, relative to levels in the third quarter of 2020. Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted) 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2012
  • 5. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Industry Macro Trends Transportation Services Index The Transportation Services Index, which measures freight traffic in the United States, increased in December 2020, relative to the prior month but was slightly down on a year-over-year basis. The index rose to 136.3, up 0.8% from 132.7 in November 2020, reaching pre-COVID levels (the index was at 136.0 in February 2020). The index declined 0.2% on a year-over-year basis. Cass Freight Index The Cass Freight Index of shipments and expenditures is considered one of the best indicators of overall U.S. freight activity. In April 2020, shipments fell to their lowest levels since January 2010 due to COVID-19 related shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad. By the end of September 2020, both the shipments and expenditures indices had surpassed Feb- ruary 2020 levels. Both indices continued to grow in the fourth quarter and both posted growth on a year-over-year basis. Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted) Cass Freight Index 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 D e c - 0 5 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 7 D e c - 0 8 D e c - 0 9 D e c - 1 0 D e c - 1 1 D e c - 1 2 D e c - 1 3 D e c - 1 4 D e c - 1 5 D e c - 1 6 D e c - 1 7 D e c - 1 8 D e c - 1 9 D e c - 2 0 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Shipments Expenditures Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
  • 6. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Industry Macro Trends Shipments Shipments in December 2020 increased 6.7% relative to December 2019. After 22 months of declines on a year-over-year basis, the shipments index has posted positive year-over-year gains for three straight months. The Cass report expects January 2021 growth on the order of 5.5%. Cass Freight Shipments Index 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep O ct Nov Dec 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
  • 7. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Industry Macro Trends Expenditures The expenditures index measures the total amount spent on freight. The expenditures index hit 3.077 in December 2020, an increase of 6.5% on a quarterly basis and an increase of 3.6% on a monthly basis. December 2020 marked the fourth straight month of year-over-year, growing 13% relative to December 2019. The May 2020 Expenditures Index was the lowest recording since January 2016. The Cass Report indicated that lower fuel prices have offset index gains. Reduced capacity combined with higher levels of consumer consumption are serving to drive up rates. Cass Freight Expenditures Index 2.00 2.20 2.40 2.60 2.80 3.00 3.20 Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep O ct Nov Dec 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Broughton Capital Indexed to January 1990
  • 8. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted) 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 D e c - 0 4 D e c - 0 5 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 7 D e c - 0 8 D e c - 0 9 D e c - 1 0 D e c - 1 1 D e c - 1 2 D e c - 1 3 D e c - 1 4 D e c - 1 5 D e c - 1 6 D e c - 1 7 D e c - 1 8 D e c - 1 9 D e c - 2 0 Seasonally-adjusted Tonnage Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015 Truck Tonnage The American Trucking Association (ATA) estimates trucking accounts for over 70% of all domestic freight tonnage and over 80% of total freight expenditures. The truck tonnage index ended 2020 at 116.7, slightly higher than its reported levels in December 2019 but 0.3% lower than Pre-COVID levels in February 2020. The index has had a generally upward trend since the initial COVID related drop in March 2020.
  • 9. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Trucking Spot vs. Contract Rates The Spot vs. Contract Rates charts depicts monthly national average line haul rates and fuel surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter contracts that lock in a static contract rate for a period of time. Spot rates, on the other hand, are one-time shipping quotes for a specific transaction or series of transactions. As capacity has tightened during 2020, spot rates have eclipsed contract rates in the reefer and dry van categories; spot rates continue to lag contract rates in the flatbed market. All classes of rates increased during the third quarter and all classes except for reefer contract increased on a year-over- year basis. Reefer spot and dry van spot rates increased 17% and 27% on a year- over-year basis, respectively. Spot vs. Contract Rates $1.45 $1.65 $1.85 $2.05 $2.25 $2.45 $2.65 $2.85 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019 2020 Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract Source: DAT
  • 10. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Trucking Load-to-Truck Ratio The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by dividing the total number of loads for shipment by the total number of trucks available. As a result, the load-to-truck ratio can signal a shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn influences changes in freight. An increase in the ratio (i.e., a higher number of loads relative to the level of available trucks) is typically associated with shipping rate increases). While economic factors typically push supply and demand, compression or expansion that occurs faster in the shipping industry can accelerate movements faster than the overall economy. All three classes experienced modest drops in their respective load-to-truck ratios during the fourth quarter of 2020. Dry van decreased 11% and reefer decreased 12%, while flatbed decreased less than 1% during the fourth quarter. Conversely, on a year- over-year basis, all three classes posted gains. Relative to December 2019, the van, reefer, and flatbed ratios increased 47%, 23%, and 203%, respectively. Dry Van Load-to-Truck Reefer Load-to-Truck Flatbed Load-to-Truck 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 D ec-17 M ar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 D ec-18 M ar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 D ec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 D ec-20 0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 D ec-17 M ar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 D ec-18 M ar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 D ec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 D ec-20 0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0 125.0 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Source: DAT
  • 11. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Rail Intermodal Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 1,100,000 1,200,000 1,300,000 D e c - 0 5 D e c - 0 6 D e c - 0 7 D e c - 0 8 D e c - 0 9 D e c - 1 0 D e c - 1 1 D e c - 1 2 D e c - 1 3 D e c - 1 4 D e c - 1 5 D e c - 1 6 D e c - 1 7 D e c - 1 8 D e c - 1 9 D e c - 2 0 Rail Carloads (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic As reported by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, intermodal shipments decreased 0.6% in December 2020 relative to November, with intermodal freight volumes up 1.6% from September 2020 (the prior quarter end) and 13.5% from February 2020 (pre-COVID). On an annual basis, rail carloads increased 12.1% from December 2019. American Association of Railroads (AAR) Senior Vice President of Policy and Economics John T. Gray, stated that 2020 was negatively impacted by trade disputes prior to the pandemic. However, the AAR believes that rail traffic will improve in 2021. The AAR also observed that U.S. railroads originated 1% fewer carloads in December 2020 compared to December 2019. The AAR estimated that, in all of 2020, rail carloads and intermodal shipments were down 12.9% and 1.8%, respectively, from the same period in 2020. Cass Intermodal Index The Journal of Commerce analyzes the costs savings of the intermodal market relative to domestic trucking. In general, a higher number on the index means intermodal is that much cheaper relative to trucking. A lower number implies trucking is cheaper relative to intermodal. A value of 100 on the index means the costs are identical. The JOC tracks both the Spot Intermodal Savings Index (ISI) and the Contract ISI. In December 2020, the 12-month Spot ISI was 113.3, implying that intermodal was approximately 13% cheaper than trucking. The 12-month Contract ISI was 122.7, implying that intermodal was 23% cheaper than trucking. The 3-month Spot ISI and Contract ISI were 108.5 and 130.2, respectively. The JOC expects the Spot ISI to decline in the first quarter of 2021 as truck spot prices appear to have peaked and are now declining.
  • 12. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 MA Activity Featured Transactions Andlauer Healthcare Group Acquires McAllister Courier and TDS Logistics Penske Acquires Privately Held Black Horse Carriers Canadian-based Andlauer (TSE:AND) acquired healthcare-delivery specialists McAllister and TDS Logistics. Based on an enterprise value of $11.98 million, the deal represented 0.723x LTM Revenue. In a deal that closed December 31, 2020, Penske Lo- gistics, Inc. acquired Chicago-based Black Horse Car- riers. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. SEACOR to be Acquired by Private Equity Firm Forward Air Acquires Value Logistics to Expand Intermodal Operations On December 7, SEACOR (NYSE:CKH) announced an agreement to be acquired by American Industrical Partners (“AIP”), a New York-based private equity firm. The purchase values SEACOR at $41.50 per share, a 14% premium relative to the closing price on December 4 and a 31% premium over the 90-day average weighted price. The implied enterprise value of $1.2 billion is 1.5x LTM revenue and 11.3x LTM EBITDA. On October 5, Forward Air Corporation (NASDAQ:F- WRD) acquired Memphis, Tennessee-based Value Logistics for $2.25 million (a value that is 0.4x LTM revenue). The acquisition of Value Logistics greatly expands Forward Air’s intermodal drayage presence in the Memphis market.
  • 13. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Select Transactions Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Trucking Dry Bulk Business of Grammer Logistics TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/5/20 Closed - - - TDS Logistics Ltd./McAllister Courier Inc. Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc. (TSX:AND) 10/5/20 Closed $12.0 0.7x - Manning's Truck Brokerage, Inc. Fitzmark, Inc. 10/5/20 Closed - - - Selected Assets of TBM Logistics Ltd. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/22/20 Closed - - - Direct Service Network Ltd. TFI International Inc. (TSX:TFII) 10/22/20 Closed - - - Paul's Hauling Ltd. RTL-Westcan Group of Companies 10/2/20 Closed - - - Quality Transportation Services NB Ltd Jardine Transport Ltd. 11/2/20 Closed - - - Fort Transfer Co., Inc. The Kenan Advantage Group, Inc. 11/10/20 Closed - - - Montway, Inc. AEA Investors LP 11/5/20 Closed - - - Substantially All Assets and Certain Liabilities of Cougar Express, Inc. TLSS Acquisition, Inc. 11/12/20 Announced - - - Black Horse Carriers, Inc. Penske Logistics, Inc. 11/30/20 Closed - - - RCB Trucking, LLC HouseSmart Construction 10/20/20 Closed - - - Flatland Trucking, Inc. Hidden Harbor Capital Partners, LLC 12/2/20 Closed - - - Marocchi Trucking Company, Inc. Terpening Trucking Co., Inc. 12/15/20 Effective - - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions
  • 14. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Rail The Western Railroad Builders/5 Shortline Railroads Jaguar Transport Holdings, LLC 11/5/20 Closed - - - Las Vegas Xpress, Inc. Maptelligent, Inc. (OTCPK:MAPT) 10/13/20 Closed - - - Salt Lake Garfield Western Railway Company Inc. Patriot Rail Company LLC 10/28/20 Closed - - - Marion Industrial Center, Inc. Jaguar Transport Holdings, LLC 11/2/20 Closed - - - Pan Am Railways, Inc. CSX Corporation (NasdaqGS:CSX) 11/30/20 Closed - - - Marine Business Assets of Cheryl K LLC and San Jacinto River Fleet LLC Houston Fleeting Services LLC 11/10/20 Announced - - - SEACOR Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CKH) AIP, LLC 12/7/20 Announced $1,128.9 1.5x 11.3x Air Freight Logistics International Warehousing Distribution Inc. Mullen Group Ltd. (TSX:MTL) 10/2/20 Announced $3.8 - - Assets of Value Logistics, Inc Forward Air Corporation (NasdaqGS:FWRD) 10/5/20 Announced $2.3 0.4x - Landstar Blue, LLC Landstar System, Inc. (NasdaqGS:LSTR) 11/19/20 Closed - - - International Mail and Parcel Logistics Business of R. R. Donnelley Sons Company ePost Global, LLC 10/27/20 Closed $13.0 - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions Select Transactions (continued)
  • 15. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Air Freight Logistics (cont.) Hall's Warehouse Corp. Americold Realty Trust (NYSE:COLD) 11/5/20 Closed $480.0 - - Certain Assets of Top Gun Freight, Inc. TA Services, Inc. 11/2/20 Closed - - - Metro New York Franchise Pilot Freight Services, Inc. 11/4/20 Closed - - - TA Logistics, Inc. The Keller Manufacturing Company, Inc. (OTCPK:KM- FI) 11/18/20 Closed - - - Four Companies in US and Storage Business of DataSafe, Inc. and Beverly Hills Transfer Storage Access Corp. 11/18/20 Closed - - - Substantially all assets of Donlen Corporation Athene Holding Ltd. (NYSE:ATH) 11/25/20 Announced - - - Associated Couriers, Inc. SLS Special Logistics Services GmbH 11/19/20 Closed - - - NonstopDelivery, Inc. Hub Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:HUBG) 12/9/20 Closed $94.5 - - World Wide International Logistics Inc. Manitoulin Global Forwarding Inc. 12/3/20 Closed - - - Versacold International Corporation TorQuest Partners, Inc.; Investment Management Cor- poration of Ontario; The OPSEU Pension Trust 12/16/20 Closed - - - US operations of Toll Holdings Limited Taylored Services, LLC 12/17/20 Closed - - - Fetch Logistics, Inc. Fitzmark, Inc. 12/15/20 Closed - - - Connect Global Logistics INC. Terra Worldwide Logistics LLC 12/17/20 Closed - - - Weber Logistics LLC Stellex Capital Management LLC 12/10/20 Closed - - - Moulton Logistics Management, Inc. Amware Fulfillment, LLC 12/23/20 Closed - - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions Select Transactions (continued)
  • 16. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 Public Company Performance Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of December 31, 2020) 1.7x 3.7x 4.0x 5.9x 14.4x 4.0x 18.0x 20.2x 23.7x 15.2x 16.0x 18.3x 5.4x 7.2x 6.5x 8.5x 15.6x 8.3x 0x 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x Truckload LTL Air Freight Marine Rail Logistics Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Data as of December 31, 2020, excludes outliers
  • 17. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 12/31/20 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Truckload J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $136.65 8% $15,565 7% 795% $9,637 13% 1.6x 12.4x 28.5x 10.6x 22.2x Ryder System, Inc. R $61.76 46% $10,330 68% 222% $8,420 27% 1.2x 4.5x nm 4.3x 13.8x Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $41.82 3% $7,870 10% 428% $4,674 23% 1.7x 7.3x 17.3x 6.3x 12.4x Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $134.66 7% $5,048 -2% 1089% $4,136 8% 1.2x 16.1x 26.9x 13.3x 20.3x Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $20.70 -16% $3,164 -16% 532% $4,553 13% 0.7x 5.3x 17.3x 4.6x 13.1x Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $39.22 -7% $2,855 5% 670% $2,372 20% 1.2x 5.9x 16.0x 5.1x 12.3x Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $18.10 -3% $1,381 -6% 531% $645 29% 2.1x 7.3x 20.7x 6.2x 17.3x Daseke, Inc. DSKE $5.81 8% $1,067 59% 294% $1,454 11% 0.7x 6.8x 60.9x 6.3x 42.5x Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $20.59 -1% $1,102 50% 490% $1,391 11% 0.8x 7.2x 11.5x 5.4x 6.9x Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $17.23 6% $1,337 -7% 636% $874 22% 1.5x 7.0x 20.5x 6.2x 17.4x Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $14.81 -15% $407 38% 0% $839 9% 0.5x 5.6x nm 4.2x 8.2x P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $49.00 30% $528 47% -2% $0 na nm nm nm 5.0x 9.2x USA Truck, Inc. USAK $8.93 -6% $256 71% 252% $551 10% 0.5x 4.6x 15.8x 3.5x 4.9x U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $6.84 -17% $1,007 66% 235% $1,742 8% 0.6x 7.5x 18.3x 5.3x 6.6x Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $8.78 -2% $17 -76% 10% $89 10% 0.2x 2.0x nm nm nm Median -1% 10% 12.0% 1.0x 6.9x 18.3x 5.3x 12.7x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 18. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 12/31/20 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Less-Than-Truckload Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $195.18 8% $22,522 -2% 1355% $4,015 29% 5.6x 19.3x 34.0x 15.8x 27.1x Saia, Inc. SAIA $180.80 43% $4,895 4% 750% $1,822 17% 2.7x 15.7x 33.8x 12.5x 26.9x ArcBest Corporation ARCB $42.67 37% $1,144 5% 346% $2,940 7% 0.4x 5.4x 15.2x 4.2x 10.5x Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $8.55 26% $1,235 33% 418% $914 18% 1.4x 7.6x 16.5x 7.4x 17.7x Yellow Corporation YRCW $0.00 nm $1,221 81% 54% $4,514 3% 0.3x 8.0x nm 4.3x nm Median 32% 5% 17% 1.4x 8.0x 25.2x 7.4x 22.3x Air Freight Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $25.67 -7% $3,478 81% 211% $2,703 18% 1.3x 7.3x nm 5.5x 3.1x Air T, Inc. AIRT $12.51 -38% $133 73% 341% $245 6% 0.5x 9.1x nm nm nm Forward Air Corporation FWRD $50.65 -28% $1,586 10% 681% $1,431 10% 1.1x 10.8x 18.5x 15.4x 28.9x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $18.28 -22% $2,572 58% 397% $1,493 30% 1.7x 5.7x 6.1x 5.5x 13.3x Cargojet Inc. CJT $71.35 -10% $1,549 29% 414% $352 27% 4.4x 16.5x 159.6x 11.0x 47.4x Median -22% 58% 18% 1.3x 9.1x 18.5x 8.3x 21.1x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 19. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 12/31/20 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Marine Kirby Corporation KEX $51.83 43% $4,774 35% 154% $2,171 17% 2.2x 13.0x nm 13.0x 36.1x Atlas Corp. ATCO $10.84 21% $7,620 65% 390% $0 na nm nm nm 7.6x 8.2x Triton International Limited TRTN $48.51 19% $10,301 62% 414% $1,360 89% 7.6x 8.5x 10.1x 7.4x 6.7x Matson, Inc. MATX $56.97 42% $3,502 30% 566% $2,383 16% 1.5x 9.3x 12.7x 7.4x 11.0x Textainer Group Holdings Limited TGH $19.18 35% $4,617 79% 251% $665 73% 6.9x 9.5x 13.4x 7.4x 5.3x Costamare Inc. CMRE $8.28 36% $2,484 60% 372% $460 63% 5.4x 8.6x 113.3x 6.1x 5.3x Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $19.00 16% $662 64% -83% $0 na nm nm nm 6.7x 11.5x Navios Maritime Partners L.P. NMM $11.20 86% $667 81% 143% $0 na nm nm nm 4.1x 1.9x Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $2.77 7% $287 57% 302% $0 na nm nm nm 6.0x 4.6x Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $11.89 72% $932 77% 561% $0 na nm nm nm 4.9x 4.7x Genco Shipping Trading Limited GNK $7.36 7% $646 52% 34% $356 19% 1.8x 9.6x nm 6.1x 10.6x Algoma Central Corporation ALC $10.92 45% $677 39% 386% $428 27% 1.6x 5.8x 11.5x 4.9x 10.7x Sino-Global Shipping America, Ltd. SINO $2.06 45% $5 -139% -7224% $7 -261% 0.8x -0.3x nm nm nm Median 36% 60% 2.0x 9.0x 12.7x 6.4x 7.4x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 20. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 19 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Fourth Quarter 2020 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 12/31/20 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Railroads Union Pacific Corporation UNP $208.22 6% $167,313 16% 794% $19,533 52% 8.6x 16.6x 26.2x 14.7x 21.8x Canadian National Railway Company CNR $109.83 3% $88,935 12% 787% $10,845 52% 8.2x 15.8x 27.9x 15.0x 23.4x CSX Corporation CSX $90.75 17% $83,485 17% 707% $10,583 55% 7.9x 14.4x 25.1x 13.1x 20.8x Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $237.61 11% $71,993 16% 573% $9,789 47% 7.4x 15.5x 30.0x 13.4x 21.1x Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $346.52 14% $54,365 14% 993% $6,051 57% 9.0x 15.8x 24.3x 15.2x 21.5x Kansas City Southern KSU $204.13 13% $22,618 16% 657% $2,633 53% 8.6x 16.2x 31.0x 14.0x 22.6x Median 12% 16% 8.4x 15.8x 27.1x 14.3x 21.7x Logistics Intermodal United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $168.40 1% $165,089 12% 147% $84,628 5% 2.0x 40.2x 108.4x 13.3x 18.9x FedEx Corporation FDX $259.62 3% $98,929 30% 348% $69,217 9% 1.4x 15.6x 53.5x 10.3x 15.0x Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $95.11 5% $15,064 -7% 1364% $10,116 10% 1.5x 15.1x 23.1x 14.5x 22.5x TFI International Inc. TFII $51.43 23% $5,878 18% 577% $3,781 15% 1.6x 10.6x 17.4x 6.5x 13.2x XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $119.20 41% $18,002 39% 219% $16,252 8% 1.1x 13.9x 99.1x 10.1x 21.9x C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $93.87 -8% $14,008 9% 860% $16,207 5% 0.9x 18.6x 25.2x 15.7x 21.4x Forward Air Corporation FWRD $76.84 34% $2,305 8% 453% $1,270 9% 1.8x 20.8x 89.1x 14.4x 24.6x Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $57.00 14% $2,036 4% 346% $3,496 7% 0.6x 8.6x 26.5x 7.3x 18.1x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $31.34 25% $3,324 44% 553% $1,571 35% 2.1x 6.1x 57.6x 6.2x 18.8x Echo Global Logistics, Inc. ECHO $26.82 4% $843 15% 203% $2,512 2% 0.3x 17.4x 45.1x 8.9x 14.8x Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $5.80 13% $307 7% 490% $855 4% 0.4x 8.4x 26.9x 7.3x 11.4x Median 13% 12% 1.4x 15.1x 45.1x 10.1x 18.8x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q4 2020 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 21. Mercer Capital Transportation Logistics Industry Services Contact Us Copyright © 2021 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory services to the transportation logistics industry. Industry Segments Mercer Capital serves the following industry segments: • Trucking • Air Freight • Marine • Railroads • Logistics Intermodal Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence. Timothy R. Lee, ASA 901.322.9740 leet@mercercapital.com Nicholas J. Heinz, ASA 901.685.2120 heinzn@mercercapital.com Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF 615.345.0234 womacks@mercercapital.com Samantha L. Albert, ASA 901.322.9702 alberts@mercercapital.com www.mercercapital.com BUSINESS VALUATION FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Services Provided • Valuation of transportation and logistics companies • Transaction advisory for acquisitions and divestitures • Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment testing • Fairness and solvency opinions • Litigation support for economic damages and valuation and shareholder disputes