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FEATURE
Forget fail fast
How a customized and adaptive strategy can
drive your digital supply network
Richard Bradley and Meg Alderman
A DELOITTE SERIES ON INDUSTRY 4.0, DIGITAL MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISES, AND DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORKS
2
D
IGITAL SUPPLY NETWORKS (DSNs) offer a
profound vision: the transformation of linear
supply chains into dynamic, interconnected,
and open systems. By integrating information from
many sources and locations, businesses can attain a
holistic view of what’s happening, where and when.
In short, a DSN can transform the way organiza-
tions make, move, and manage goods and services.
To test such new capabilities, organizations often
begin with small pilots to prove the business case
for a large technological investment. Where they
find themselves challenged is scaling those pilots
to an enterprise level. To simply pilot is not enough,
and failing to scale successful programs leaves sig-
nificant opportunities untapped.
As they seek to scale DSN capabilities, most
business leaders don’t always have to navigate un-
charted territory these days. Many DSN applications
that were once considered bold leaps of faith have
evolved into standard capabilities. Leveraging the
proven business cases of others, who have success-
fully scaled these capabilities into enterprisewide
solutions, can help create a more informed, targeted
path for an organization’s own evolution. It can also
provide a roadmap to scaling that doesn’t have
to involve failure. On the other hand, identifying
which innovations have not been truly proven may
help leaders understand how—and when—to invoke
a more traditional approach to piloting, learning,
and scaling.
The following sections explore and analyze
these criteria that can help organizations scale
successfully:
•	 Understand why the mantra of “fail fast” may no
longer be appropriate in many cases;
•	 Understand potential DSN tactical archetypes;
•	 Build archetype-appropriate strategies for suc-
cess at scale; and
•	 Build a programmatic approach to DSN plans.
As companies begin to use digital supply networks, they face challenges in
scaling pilots to an enterprise level. Moving beyond the mantra of “fail fast” to
a more customized approach may be the solution.
A BRIEF LOOK AT THE DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORK
In Deloitte’s first publication of this series, The rise of the digital supply network, we examined how
supply chains traditionally are linear in nature, with a discrete progression of design, plan, source,
make, and deliver. Today, however, many supply chains are transforming from a static sequence to
a dynamic, interconnected system—the digital supply network—that can more readily incorporate
ecosystem partners and evolve to a more optimal state over time. Digital supply networks integrate
information from many different sources and locations to drive the physical act of production
and distribution.1
In figure 1, the interconnected lattice of the new digital supply network model is visible, with digital
at the core. There is potential for interactions between each node and every other point of the
network, allowing for greater connectivity among areas that previously did not exist. In this model,
communications are multidirectional, creating connectivity among traditionally unconnected links in
the supply chain.
Continued
Forget fail fast
3
A BRIEF LOOK AT THE DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORK, CONT.
Source: Deloitte analysis.
Deloitte Insights | deloitte.com/insights
FIGURE 1
Shift from traditional supply chain to digital supply network
Sensor-driven replenishment
3D printing
Develop Plan Source Make Deliver Support
Quality sensing
Cognitive planning
Digital
core
Dynamic
fulfillment
Digital
development
Synchronized planning
Connected
customer
Smart
factory
Intelligent supply
Traditional supply chain
Digital supply networks
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
4
When building DSN capabilities,
business leaders often start with
a lofty view of innovation, and
are encouraged to think big, start
small, and scale fast.
Brave new world: Finding
a path to DSN success
DSNs allow businesses to create new sources
of revenue by providing new and faster access to
markets. They can also support the production of
smart products, enable more informed decisions,
and allow systems to adapt and learn from the
world around them, driving more flexible processes.
What’s more, the interconnected, smart technolo-
gies that drive DSNs—a phenomenon known as
Industry 4.0—can lead to changes that could
positively affect the broader world, socially and
economically. But the path to successfully imple-
menting advanced technologies and scaling DSN
capabilities is often considered somewhat nuanced.
In a recent Deloitte global survey of more than
1,600 C-suite executives in 19 countries, only 18
percent said they felt their organizations were
highly prepared to address smart and autonomous
technologies; only 8 percent felt there was a strong
business case for new solutions.2
Some executives
pointed to a lack of internal alignment about which
strategies to follow, as well as inadequate collabora-
tion with external partners, “short-termism”, and
few plans for how to scale or where in their business
to do so. In other words, it seems that many orga-
nizations reportedly struggle not only to make the
business case for new solutions, but to scale them
at an industrial level. In another study, numerous
executives reported that their digital transforma-
tion initiatives were much more often driven by a
desire to improve current processes than a need to
seek innovation or new business models.3
When building DSN capabilities, business
leaders often start with a lofty view of innovation,
and are encouraged to think big, start small, and
scale fast.4
Thinking big means considering the to-
tality of what might be possible, immersing oneself
in innovation and understanding the ecosystem.
Starting small requires taking that big-picture
thinking and applying it to an initial pilot project,
starting with one or two transformations and giving
the innovators permission to fail as they learn the
ropes. Scaling fast is perhaps the most challenging,
and possibly the most critical aspect:
knowing when—and how—to scale
those small pilots up to the organiza-
tional level, prove success, and market
that success. Behind this view is the
idea of failing fast, which has long been
a mainstay of technology companies
and has pervaded the general business
consciousness with respect to building
new technology capabilities.5
Beyond “fail fast”: Learning
from others to move
beyond the mainstay
Many organizations pursue an intensive and
immersive experience with emerging Industry 4.0
technologies, then identify use cases to pilot and
expect them to fail fast. This can set the expectation
that a use case can—and should—require minimal
investment, with the project ended as soon as the
hypothesis has been disproved. Complementing
this process is the notion of “failing smarter”: failing
fast but learning from the experience as part of a
continuous improvement strategy.6
The individuals
testing new business models should have the
license to either gain market traction or fail smartly.
True innovation can often require such permission
to fail; otherwise, innovators may feel the risks of
trying something truly new are simply too high.
At a certain point, however, some use cases
evolve and should no longer be regarded as inno-
vation with an apt “fail fast, fail smart” mentality.
Forget fail fast
5
Instead, they should be fundamental bases of opera-
tions. The rapid rise of 4.0 technologies may seem
dizzying, but some DSN use cases have matured;
what were once considered unproven innovations—
“killer apps” such as predictive maintenance and the
digital twin, among others—are now largely proven,
or even standard, capabilities for many. Failing to
build these tools can mean leaving opportunities
untapped.
Predictive maintenance, for example, can re-
liably increase uptime and availability in most
industries, leading to positive impacts within the
first year. Unplanned downtime can decrease and
maintenance costs shrink in a matter of months.
Reduced labor costs and higher-quality products
are additional benefits.7
In fact, there are very few
instances where predictive maintenance cannot
have a positive return on investment; organizations
can choose from many successful, real-world use
cases to learn and build a convincing business case
for investment, then develop a model for their own
efforts.8
In another example, blockchain and aug-
mented or virtual reality (AR/VR), among other
technologies,9
are being deployed within supply
chains, in various ways and at various levels10
(see
sidebar, “Technology vs. use case”). Their potential
benefits have been well documented in many
business models and industries—particularly
manufacturing, industrial products, and oil and
gas exploration. Examining how others have scaled
these types of capabilities into enterprisewide
solutions can help inform a targeted path for your
business’s own evolution.
Selecting the right strategy:
A new model for scaling fast
A
S FORMERLY CUTTING-EDGE capabilities
could become increasingly proven and
fundamental to DSNs, decision-makers can
replace the fail-fast model with more customized
piloting and scaling, based on two key aspects: the
maturity of the use case and the position of
the use case within the organization’s business
model. This new approach allows organizations to
build a constellation of pilots that can deliver rapid
business impact. By changing the lens used to view
what your business is piloting, you can put the
focus on configuring approach and capabilities to fit
strategy and priorities.11
MATURITY OF THE USE CASE
Maturity can be assessed in distinct ways.
One way is the extent to which a use case has
been deployed industrially and in a production
environment—has the capability been used in
the real world? A second is the maturity of the
quantitative benefits from such a deployment—have
we seen measurable results over a long enough
period to assess its impact?
In general, a use case can be considered mature
if it:
1.	 Hasbeendeployedindustriallyandatproduction
scale;
2.	 Has delivered a positive net return on investment
to date; and
3.	 Is expected to continue that return on investment
at scale.
There is one belief that use cases need to
have been deployed in a comparable industry for
organizations to assess their maturity and apply the
results for their own use. However, recent research
has shown that you need not limit your organization
to analogous peers; looking across industries for
use cases is positively linked to more successful
innovation.12
For mature use cases, outcomes and
returns on investment can be industry agnostic.
True innovation can often
require permission to fail;
otherwise, innovators
may feel the risks of
trying something truly
new are simply too high.
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
6
TECHNOLOGY VS. USE CASE
In the past 18 months, blockchain has been widely discussed and seems to have sparked significant
enthusiasm as an important technology. It has not been uncommon for many organizations
to gravitate to blockchain’s market potential and embrace pilots that feature the use case as a
secondary consideration to the technology itself. The challenge to adjust these priorities appears
all too real: In the rush to build a proof-of-concept for an exciting new technology, the original
challenge—and the use case or capability that may help solve it—can be quickly obfuscated by the
technology itself. The effects are also significant; applying immature technology to a mature use case
could be detrimental, with technology that could be applied to other, critical use cases disregarded
as unable to live up to its promise.16
The problem could lie in confusing the steps at the pilot planning stage. It is rarely good practice
to pick a technology, and then pick a use case. Instead, consider starting by absorbing a deep
understanding of the issue you are trying to solve or the opportunity you are trying to harness,
which is of primary importance; the choice of technologies that can enable solutions would follow. In
other words, before implementing a new, specific technology, take a step back and think strategically
about what is needed and why.
Even if you encounter a lack of deployment in
comparable industries, you can build a compelling
business case for piloting and scaling DSN
capabilities.
POSITION OF THE USE CASE:
CORE VS. PERIPHERY
Assessing the position of a use case means
evaluating where it sits within the business model.
The core of an organization is where resources
are presently deployed: typically, the primary
capabilities and main revenue streams. The
periphery represents the peripheral areas of the
organization, where new business models with high
growth potential are explored.13
More simply put,
the core of a business is typically focused on internal
productivity, whereas the periphery is generally
focused on driving revenue from externally focused
activities.
Building the right approach:
Assessing both aspects
to scale smartly
Combining a use case’s maturity and position
can determine the approach to scaling DSN capabil-
ities for your business. It’s an approach that mimics
the adoption curve for Industry 4.0 in general:14
As
organizations begin to scale and monetize use cases,
they typically focus first on improving operations
and productivity—the same things they have always
focused on, but aiming for better and faster results.
Only after they have mastered those relatively
lower-hanging fruit, and built a strong foundation
of proven DSN use cases, do most businesses tend to
progress to capabilities that generate new streams
of revenue and lead to new business models.15
To build a strong DSN foundation on top of
proven use cases, decision makers can use four
archetypes (figure 2) to help identify the business’s
current position, and gauge the capabilities and jus-
tification needed to pilot and scale more-innovative
use cases.
Forget fail fast
7
Archetype A Archetype B Archetype C Archetype D
Typical P&L
impact
Operations and
productivity
Operations,
productivity, and
revenue
Revenue Revenue and new
business models
Typical
examples
•	 Predictive
maintenance
•	 Demand-sensing
•	 Control towers
•	 Quality-sensing and
prediction
•	 Autonomous
trucks and delivery
optimization
•	 Automated sales
forecasting and
replenishment
•	 AR/VR
•	 Dynamic load-
balancing and
replenishment
•	 Model-based design
and manufacturing
•	 Data as product or
service
•	 Ultra-delayed
differentiation
•	 Predictive after-market
maintenance and
service
•	 Make-to-use with 3D
printing
•	 Direct-to-consumer
drone delivery
•	 AR-enabled customer
support
Internal
sponsor/s
Supply chain and
operations
Supply chain and
operations
CEO and
operations
CEO and
operations
Key criteria
for success
at scale
•	 Focus on vendor
selection and technical
maturity
•	 Clear statement of
intended value of use
cases
•	 Trusted integrator
partner with clear
experience
•	 Clear focus on
skills and talent
development
•	 Focus on the use case,
not the technology
•	 Strong links to
innovation
•	 Forward-thinking
supply chain and
operations leaders
•	 Early market traction
in new business model
•	 Supply-chain
organization with
influence
•	 Clear C-suite
sponsorship
•	 Focus on skills and
talent development,
especially cross-
functional skills
transfer
•	 Ability to fail fast
with embedded
culture of continuous
improvement
•	 Clear C-suite
sponsorship
•	 Strong internal
stakeholder alignment
and links to startup
environment
Source: Deloitte analysis.
FIGURE 2
Tactical archetypes of DSN use cases, categorized by maturity and position
Mature
Emerging
Core Periphery
Archetype A
Money on the table
Archetype B
Future-proofing
operations
Archetype C
To the office of
the CEO
Archetype D
Fail fast,
fail smart
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
8
ARCHETYPE A: MONEY ON
THE TABLE
Archetype A denotes mature, proven use cases
at the core of a business: the low-hanging fruit
of an organization’s DSN. Because the use cases
often focus on improving current processes, they
typically have an almost immediate impact on an
organization’s bottom line—specifically, a reduction
in the cost of goods sold through manufacturing or
supply-chain efficiencies.
A broad range of use cases can fall into this group,
including predictive maintenance, demand sensing,
control towers, and quality sensing and prediction,
all of which have already shown business benefits
at scale across industries.17
Many automotive com-
panies, for example,
are using tools such
as predictive quality
analytics at scale to
identify warranty
issues before they
turn into major
recalls; predictive
maintenance use
cases can also be
considered compel-
ling and are used
by many organi-
zations to reduce
downtime and lost
production.18
Given the multitude of proven initiatives, use
cases in this category can be considered “money
on the table,” and should be a core component of
a DSN strategy. By studying the successes of others
who have built and scaled these capabilities, orga-
nizations can be well-positioned to achieve success
without the need to first “fail fast.” To scale effec-
tively, select vendors with proven technical maturity
and partners with clear, documented experience;
align leaders on a clear direction and statement of
intent about why they are pursuing a use case; and
develop the skills and talent to implement and use
the capabilities successfully.
ARCHETYPE B: FUTURE-
PROOFING OPERATIONS
Archetype B consists of use cases being devel-
oped or driven by parallel advances in technology,
and affecting the core of a business, specifically
operations. This can mean a blurred line between
technology and use case, particularly as organiza-
tions may still be trying to decide the most relevant
areas for a technology. In this way, use cases of
this type are somewhat less proven, but still driven
by increasingly accepted, and even standard,
technologies.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is an example of a tech-
nology that is fostering DSN use cases, particularly
in planning. Statistical forecasting has long been
a mature use case,
typically enabled by
a range of supply-
chain planning
technologies, but de-
velopments in AI and
cognitive computing
have begun to drive
more predictive and
intelligent planning
capabilities.19
Such
technology is also
being used to power
driverless trucks in
warehousing and lo-
gistics strategies.
Although the use case of intelligent, automated
sales forecasting and replenishment is not yet fully
mature, it offers a potentially significant opportu-
nity for scaling because it drives the core business of
an organization. This could be particularly relevant
as more organizations connect their systems to
develop DSNs, thereby harnessing a broad scale and
scope of data over time and geography, to enable in-
telligent forecasting. In addition, some mature use
cases in this category do make convincing business
cases for such scaling; for example, one organization
realized a 40 percent improvement in the quality of
its sales forecasts across 600,000 SKUs.20
As organizations begin to
scale and monetize use cases,
they typically focus first on
improving operations and
productivity—the same things
they have always focused
on, but aiming for better and
faster results.
Forget fail fast
9
AR/VR is another example. NASA has been
researching virtual reality since the mid-1990s, to
train astronauts in spacewalking, but you don’t have
to be part of NASA to realize the potential business
benefits.21
Proven AR/VR use cases are prolifer-
ating: for quality control and to help workers spot
defects;22
in logistics, inventory management, and
order picking;23
for maintenance; in training;24
and
for end-to-end visibility throughout the DSN.25
Airbus used AR/VR to reduce the inspection time
for 60,000 to 80,000 brackets in the fuselage of
one of its jetliners, to three days from three weeks.26
Within the automotive industry, some major brands
are using virtual reality to assess prototype builds,
and applying it in sales: Customers can now try out
different features of cars before buying.27
For organizations that seek to scale use cases
to “future-proof” core DSN operations, consider fo-
cusing on the use case, not the technology, to ensure
you are steering toward applications that can propel
the business forward. Then begin to move toward
an incubator-like approach, as seen in the fail-fast
model, emphasizing innovative, startup-driven uses
of technology that can power capabilities that are
core to the business.
ARCHETYPE C: TO THE
OFFICE OF THE CEO
Archetype C focuses on applying tested, proven
use cases to new business models: pursuing new
forms of revenue at the periphery of the organi-
zation, rather than streamlining operations and
productivity at the core. In this archetype, the focus
on new revenue models elevates the DSN beyond
the supply chain to decisions made by the chief
operating officer (COO) and the CEO. Success in
this archetype requires significant collaboration
across an enterprise, whereby the chief supply chain
officer brings operations expertise to support the
company’s growth into new product segments and
markets. In this way, decision-making and business
processes could change, and an organization could
move closer to the connectivity and end-to-end vis-
ibility, which are the hallmarks of a fully realized
DSN.
Given the focus on revenue growth, use cases in
this category tend to focus on the customer, whether
via new products and services or aftermarket
support. Two examples are data from connected
systems offered as a product/service unto itself, and
ultra-delayed differentiation.28
To succeed at scale with use cases in this cat-
egory, consider the importance of the first-mover
advantage. Gain early market traction in new busi-
ness models, empower the supply chain to engage
in technology investment discussions,29
ensure
C-suite buy-in for scaling new initiatives, and focus
on developing skills and talent to manage new ca-
pabilities—specifically, cross-functional skills, given
the broader need for collaboration in this archetype.
ARCHETYPE D: FAIL FAST, FAIL SMART
Archetype D brings emerging use cases together
with peripheral business models, representing typi-
cally the riskiest, most innovative components of a
DSN. In these cases, a return to the “fail fast, fail
smart” mentality is recommended, using small-scale
pilots to build a business case. In 2017, Iceland’s
leading e-commerce platform, AHA, partnered with
Israeli company Flytrex to pilot direct-to-consumer
drone delivery.30
Although the use case for drones
is relatively mature, its expansion to direct-to-con-
sumer deliveries is far from proven, not least due to
the evolving nature of regulations. Another example
in this category can be found in make-to-use appli-
cations of additive manufacturing (AM), extending
beyond proven AM use cases of prototyping and
specific production runs. AR-enabled customer
support also qualifies as an Archetype D use case.
Given that use cases in this category are often
completely new, and rely on relatively unproven
applications of new technologies, both the CEO and
COO will likely be involved in decisions to invest.
To nurture success, foster a culture of continuous
improvement, allow teams to fail and learn, and en-
courage a startup mindset and environment. Clear
C-suite sponsorship can be critical here, as well as
strong stakeholder alignment on the goals for each
endeavor.
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
10
Select a winning constellation
to scale successfully
It is important to approach each initiative indi-
vidually,gaugingitsrespectivematurityandposition
within the organization. However, to deliver a truly
connected, “always on” DSN frequently requires
multiple initiatives. In other words, businesses may
have use cases in multiple archetype categories si-
multaneously, based on their needs, risk appetites,
and internal and external factors. Each typically
needs a comprehensive and connected strategy for
scaling. Consider taking advantage of the following
methods to help build a balanced portfolio of scal-
able results:
1.	 Use the DSN strategic choice cascade, as de-
scribed in Deloitte’s The rise of the digital
supply network,31
to decide where to differ-
entiate: speed, agility, service, cost, quality,
or innovation.
2.	 Identify relevant areas of focus for supply-
chain transformation and configuration that
could support the selected differentiation areas.
Consider the archetype model to segregate and
prioritize use cases to develop accordingly, for
maximum success.
3.	 Build a balanced portfolio of DSN tactics that
support those transformation/configuration
areas. These tactics would depend on many
factors, both internal (e.g., current performance
metrics and risk appetite) and external (e.g.,
competitive pressure and the current regulatory
landscape).
An organization in an industry characterized by
wafer-thin margins may choose to adopt a tactic
portfolio predominantly comprising Archetype
A use cases, with a few resources dedicated to
Archetype B. Similarly, an organization whose
supply chain is not a core part of the business may
wholly focus on Archetype A. A business with strong
efficiencies, substantial existing investments in its
DSN, and supply chain and operations representa-
tion at the C-suite level may focus on Archetype C,
taking its proven use cases internally and devel-
oping new business models. Archetype D adoption
Forget fail fast
11
may be best suited to innovative organizations that
are open to embracing risk. Whatever the specific
needs of your business’s stakeholders, consider
tailoring your constellation of initiatives to them,
laying the foundation for scalable results.
Conclusion
In the aforementioned Deloitte global survey of
C-suite executives, 87 percent said they believed
Industry 4.0 will lead to more social and economic
equality and stability. They regard technology as
an equalizer, providing more access to education,
jobs, and financing across geographies and social
groups.32
DSNs can provide an effective way to
harness these technologies to bring about more con-
nected organizations.
Organizations seeking to build DSNs should
adopt a customized strategy that builds upon the
lessons of others’ successes—not just in analogous
industries but further afield. Rather than using
a blanket approach to starting small and cycling
through failures, tailor DSN tactics by archetype,
based on the maturity of the use case and its posi-
tion within the organization’s business model. This
focus on archetypes means that the right lens is
trained on success from the start, by matching
strategies to specific needs. First and foremost, you
should become intimately familiar with the issue
you are trying to solve, or the opportunity you are
trying to harness; from there you can choose from
the myriad of technologies that can bring about real
and lasting improvements.
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
12
1.	 Mark Cotteleer and Brenna Sniderman, Forces of change: Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights, December 18, 2017.
2.	 Punit Renjen, “Industry 4.0: Are you ready?,” Deloitte Review 22, January 22, 2018.
3.	 Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018.
4.	 Adam Mussomeli, Doug Gish, and Stephen Laaper, The rise of the digital supply network, Deloitte University Press,
December 1, 2016.
5.	 James B. Stewart, “A fearless culture fuels U.S. tech giants,” New York Times, June 18, 2015.
6.	 Rita Gunther McGrath, “Failing by design,” Harvard Business Review, April 2011.
7.	 Ian Richter, “Quantifying the benefits of predictive maintenance: 8 benefits,” Seebo IoT Academy, May 3, 2018.
8.	 Xiaoning Jin et al., “The present status and future growth of maintenance in US manufacturing: results from a
pilot survey,” Manufacturing Rev 3, no. 10 (2016): DOI: 10.1051/mfreview/2016005.
9.	 We make the distinction between technology and use case. Predictive maintenance is a DSN use case, which
could be enabled by a variety of technologies. Blockchain and augmented/virtual reality are technologies, which
may underlie a variety of use cases.
10.	 Deloitte, Using blockchain to drive supply chain transparency, 2017; Abe Eshkenazi, “Using augmented reality to
improve supply chains,” APICS Supply Chain Management Now, December 16, 2016.
11.	 Mussomeli, Gish, and Laaper, The rise of the digital supply network.
12.	 Ellen Enkel and Oliver Gassmann, “Creative imitation: Exploring the case of cross-industry innovation,” R&D Man-
agement, 40, no. 3 (2010): pp. 256–70 (special issue: “The future of open innovation,” edited by Ellen Enkel, Oliver
Gassmann, and Henry Chesbrough, June 2010).
13.	 Deloitte has examined in depth the notion of scaling at the edges. For further reading, see Deloitte Center for the
Edge, Scaling edges: a pragmatic pathway to broad internal change, 2012.
14.	 Eli Tidhar, Jeremy Siegman, and Dan Paikowsky, Toward the next horizon of Industry 4.0: Building capabilities
through collaborations and startups, Deloitte Insights, August 1, 2018.
15.	 Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018.
16.	 John Lucker, Susan Hogan, and Brenna Sniderman, Fooled by the hype: Is it the next big thing or merely a shiny new
object?, Deloitte Insights, July 30, 2018.
17.	 For specific examples of the multitude of proven outcomes from predictive maintenance, demand sensing, and
AR/VR, see: Chris Coleman et al., Making maintenance smarter, Deloitte University Press, May 9, 2017; Tim Gaus,
Ken Olsen, and Mike Deloso, Synchronizing the digital supply network, Deloitte Insights, May 22, 2018; and Allan
V. Cook et al., Digital reality: The focus shifts from technology to opportunity, Deloitte Insights, December 5, 2017.
18.	 Chris Coleman et al., Making maintenance smarter.
19.	 Gaus, Olsen, and Deloso, Synchronizing the digital supply network.
20.	 Sean Monahan and Michael Hu, “A.I. and the path to breakthrough supply chain planning,” Supply Chain Manage-
ment Review, January 25, 2018.
21.	 Erin Carson, “How NASA uses virtual reality to train astronauts,” TechRepublic, May 19, 2015.
Endnotes
Forget fail fast
22.	 Daniel Segovia et al., “Augmented reality as a tool for production and quality monitoring,” Procedia Computer
Science, 75 (2015): pp. 291–300, 2015 International Conference on Virtual and Augmented Reality in Education.
23.	 Jay Samit, “5 ways augmented reality is disrupting the supply chain,” Fortune, March 1, 2018.
24.	 Tony DeMarinis, Lynne Calligaro, Cary Harr, Joe Mariani, Real learning in a virtual world: How VR can improve learn-
ing and training outcomes, Deloitte Insights, August 14, 2018.
25.	 Samit, “5 ways augmented reality is disrupting the supply chain.”
26.	 Ian Wright, “What can augmented reality do for manufacturing?,” engineering.com, May 11, 2017.
27.	 Christian Titze, Samantha Searle, and C. Dwight Klappich, “The 2018 top 8 supply chain technology trends you
can’t ignore,” Gartner, January 9, 2018.
28.	 For further information about opportunities in these areas, see: Mark Cotteleer and Brenna Sniderman, Forces
of change: Industry 4.0; John van Wyk, Peter Brooke, and Justine Bornstein, Selling Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights,
March 29, 2018; and Gianmarco Monsellato et al., Tax governance in the world of Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights,
August 27, 2018.
29.	 Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018.
30.	 Scott Bretton, “AHA and Flytrex team up to offer drone delivery in Iceland,” Ecommerce Guide, August 29, 2017.
31.	 For more information about the strategic choice cascade, see Mussomeli, Gish, and Laaper, The rise of the digital
supply network.
32.	 Punit Renjen, “Industry 4.0: Are you ready?.”
14
RICHARD BRADLEY is a director at Deloitte Consulting AG and leads Deloitte’s Digital Supply Network
(DSN), as well as the Strategy and Smart Operations team in Switzerland. With over 15 years of experi-
ence in digitally enabled supply chain transformation and as a thought leader and speaker on digital
supply chain topics, he is passionate about bringing disruptive topics to business, breaking down
barriers to adoption, and harnessing business impact across all areas of the value chain. He is on
LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/rbradley2017/.
MEG ALDERMAN is a senior consultant with Deloitte Switzerland’s Digital Supply Network (DSN), as
well as the Strategy and Smart Operations team. She joined the Swiss practice from the United States
after working extensively on topics as diverse as supply chain, strategic risk, and enterprise risk. Her
unique experiences have driven a passion for problem-solving in the digital age and managing risk
driven by disruption, innovation, and change. She is on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/
meg-alderman-cscp-csm-348a3025/.
The authors would like to thank Georg Ziegner and Alex Nedelchev of Deloitte Consulting AG; Adam
Mussomeli, Stephen Laaper, and Aaron Parrott of Deloitte Consulting LLP; and Brenna Sniderman
of Deloitte Services LP.
About the authors
Acknowledgments
Forget fail fast
15
Contacts
Adam Mussomeli
Digital Supply Networks leader
Principal
Deloitte Consulting LLP
+1 203 905 2646
amussomeli@deloitte.com
Stephen Laaper
Digital Supply Networks leader
Principal
Deloitte Consulting LLP
+1 312 513 7900
slaaper@deloitte.com
Richard Bradley
Director
Deloitte Consulting AG
D: +41 58 279 8712 | M: +41 795 707 556
ribradley@deloitte.comh
Deloitte’s Center for Integrated Research focuses on developing fresh perspectives on critical business
issues that cut across industry and function, from the rapid change of emerging technologies to the
consistent factor of human behavior. We uncover deep insights and look at transformative topics in new
ways, delivering new thinking in a variety of formats such as research articles, short videos, or in-person
workshops.
About the Center for Integrated Research
Deloitte Consulting LLP’s Supply Chain and Manufacturing Operations practice helps companies
understand and address opportunities to apply Industry 4.0 technologies in pursuit of their busi-
ness objectives. Our insights into additive manufacturing, the Internet of Things, and analytics
enable us to help organizations reassess their people, processes, and technologies in light of
advanced manufacturing practices that are evolving every day.
How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
About Deloitte Insights
Deloitte Insights publishes original articles, reports and periodicals that provide insights for businesses, the public sector and
NGOs. Our goal is to draw upon research and experience from throughout our professional services organization, and that of
coauthors in academia and business, to advance the conversation on a broad spectrum of topics of interest to executives and
government leaders.
Deloitte Insights is an imprint of Deloitte Development LLC.
About this publication
This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or its and
their affiliates are, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other profes-
sional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a
basis for any decision or action that may affect your finances or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action
that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser.
None of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or its and their respective affiliates shall be responsible for any
loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication.
About Deloitte
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its
network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent
entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. In the United States, Deloitte refers to
one or more of the US member firms of DTTL, their related entities that operate using the “Deloitte” name in the United States
and their respective affiliates. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public
accounting. Please see www.deloitte.com/about to learn more about our global network of member firms.
Copyright © 2018 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
Deloitte Insights contributors
Editorial: Aditi Rao, Rupesh Bhat, and Blythe Hurley
Creative: Sonya Vasilieff
Promotion: Nabela Ahmed
Cover artwork: Traci Daberko
Sign up for Deloitte Insights updates at www.deloitte.com/insights.
Follow @DeloitteInsight

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Forget fail-fast - just fail well

  • 1. FEATURE Forget fail fast How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network Richard Bradley and Meg Alderman A DELOITTE SERIES ON INDUSTRY 4.0, DIGITAL MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISES, AND DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORKS
  • 2. 2 D IGITAL SUPPLY NETWORKS (DSNs) offer a profound vision: the transformation of linear supply chains into dynamic, interconnected, and open systems. By integrating information from many sources and locations, businesses can attain a holistic view of what’s happening, where and when. In short, a DSN can transform the way organiza- tions make, move, and manage goods and services. To test such new capabilities, organizations often begin with small pilots to prove the business case for a large technological investment. Where they find themselves challenged is scaling those pilots to an enterprise level. To simply pilot is not enough, and failing to scale successful programs leaves sig- nificant opportunities untapped. As they seek to scale DSN capabilities, most business leaders don’t always have to navigate un- charted territory these days. Many DSN applications that were once considered bold leaps of faith have evolved into standard capabilities. Leveraging the proven business cases of others, who have success- fully scaled these capabilities into enterprisewide solutions, can help create a more informed, targeted path for an organization’s own evolution. It can also provide a roadmap to scaling that doesn’t have to involve failure. On the other hand, identifying which innovations have not been truly proven may help leaders understand how—and when—to invoke a more traditional approach to piloting, learning, and scaling. The following sections explore and analyze these criteria that can help organizations scale successfully: • Understand why the mantra of “fail fast” may no longer be appropriate in many cases; • Understand potential DSN tactical archetypes; • Build archetype-appropriate strategies for suc- cess at scale; and • Build a programmatic approach to DSN plans. As companies begin to use digital supply networks, they face challenges in scaling pilots to an enterprise level. Moving beyond the mantra of “fail fast” to a more customized approach may be the solution. A BRIEF LOOK AT THE DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORK In Deloitte’s first publication of this series, The rise of the digital supply network, we examined how supply chains traditionally are linear in nature, with a discrete progression of design, plan, source, make, and deliver. Today, however, many supply chains are transforming from a static sequence to a dynamic, interconnected system—the digital supply network—that can more readily incorporate ecosystem partners and evolve to a more optimal state over time. Digital supply networks integrate information from many different sources and locations to drive the physical act of production and distribution.1 In figure 1, the interconnected lattice of the new digital supply network model is visible, with digital at the core. There is potential for interactions between each node and every other point of the network, allowing for greater connectivity among areas that previously did not exist. In this model, communications are multidirectional, creating connectivity among traditionally unconnected links in the supply chain. Continued Forget fail fast
  • 3. 3 A BRIEF LOOK AT THE DIGITAL SUPPLY NETWORK, CONT. Source: Deloitte analysis. Deloitte Insights | deloitte.com/insights FIGURE 1 Shift from traditional supply chain to digital supply network Sensor-driven replenishment 3D printing Develop Plan Source Make Deliver Support Quality sensing Cognitive planning Digital core Dynamic fulfillment Digital development Synchronized planning Connected customer Smart factory Intelligent supply Traditional supply chain Digital supply networks How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 4. 4 When building DSN capabilities, business leaders often start with a lofty view of innovation, and are encouraged to think big, start small, and scale fast. Brave new world: Finding a path to DSN success DSNs allow businesses to create new sources of revenue by providing new and faster access to markets. They can also support the production of smart products, enable more informed decisions, and allow systems to adapt and learn from the world around them, driving more flexible processes. What’s more, the interconnected, smart technolo- gies that drive DSNs—a phenomenon known as Industry 4.0—can lead to changes that could positively affect the broader world, socially and economically. But the path to successfully imple- menting advanced technologies and scaling DSN capabilities is often considered somewhat nuanced. In a recent Deloitte global survey of more than 1,600 C-suite executives in 19 countries, only 18 percent said they felt their organizations were highly prepared to address smart and autonomous technologies; only 8 percent felt there was a strong business case for new solutions.2 Some executives pointed to a lack of internal alignment about which strategies to follow, as well as inadequate collabora- tion with external partners, “short-termism”, and few plans for how to scale or where in their business to do so. In other words, it seems that many orga- nizations reportedly struggle not only to make the business case for new solutions, but to scale them at an industrial level. In another study, numerous executives reported that their digital transforma- tion initiatives were much more often driven by a desire to improve current processes than a need to seek innovation or new business models.3 When building DSN capabilities, business leaders often start with a lofty view of innovation, and are encouraged to think big, start small, and scale fast.4 Thinking big means considering the to- tality of what might be possible, immersing oneself in innovation and understanding the ecosystem. Starting small requires taking that big-picture thinking and applying it to an initial pilot project, starting with one or two transformations and giving the innovators permission to fail as they learn the ropes. Scaling fast is perhaps the most challenging, and possibly the most critical aspect: knowing when—and how—to scale those small pilots up to the organiza- tional level, prove success, and market that success. Behind this view is the idea of failing fast, which has long been a mainstay of technology companies and has pervaded the general business consciousness with respect to building new technology capabilities.5 Beyond “fail fast”: Learning from others to move beyond the mainstay Many organizations pursue an intensive and immersive experience with emerging Industry 4.0 technologies, then identify use cases to pilot and expect them to fail fast. This can set the expectation that a use case can—and should—require minimal investment, with the project ended as soon as the hypothesis has been disproved. Complementing this process is the notion of “failing smarter”: failing fast but learning from the experience as part of a continuous improvement strategy.6 The individuals testing new business models should have the license to either gain market traction or fail smartly. True innovation can often require such permission to fail; otherwise, innovators may feel the risks of trying something truly new are simply too high. At a certain point, however, some use cases evolve and should no longer be regarded as inno- vation with an apt “fail fast, fail smart” mentality. Forget fail fast
  • 5. 5 Instead, they should be fundamental bases of opera- tions. The rapid rise of 4.0 technologies may seem dizzying, but some DSN use cases have matured; what were once considered unproven innovations— “killer apps” such as predictive maintenance and the digital twin, among others—are now largely proven, or even standard, capabilities for many. Failing to build these tools can mean leaving opportunities untapped. Predictive maintenance, for example, can re- liably increase uptime and availability in most industries, leading to positive impacts within the first year. Unplanned downtime can decrease and maintenance costs shrink in a matter of months. Reduced labor costs and higher-quality products are additional benefits.7 In fact, there are very few instances where predictive maintenance cannot have a positive return on investment; organizations can choose from many successful, real-world use cases to learn and build a convincing business case for investment, then develop a model for their own efforts.8 In another example, blockchain and aug- mented or virtual reality (AR/VR), among other technologies,9 are being deployed within supply chains, in various ways and at various levels10 (see sidebar, “Technology vs. use case”). Their potential benefits have been well documented in many business models and industries—particularly manufacturing, industrial products, and oil and gas exploration. Examining how others have scaled these types of capabilities into enterprisewide solutions can help inform a targeted path for your business’s own evolution. Selecting the right strategy: A new model for scaling fast A S FORMERLY CUTTING-EDGE capabilities could become increasingly proven and fundamental to DSNs, decision-makers can replace the fail-fast model with more customized piloting and scaling, based on two key aspects: the maturity of the use case and the position of the use case within the organization’s business model. This new approach allows organizations to build a constellation of pilots that can deliver rapid business impact. By changing the lens used to view what your business is piloting, you can put the focus on configuring approach and capabilities to fit strategy and priorities.11 MATURITY OF THE USE CASE Maturity can be assessed in distinct ways. One way is the extent to which a use case has been deployed industrially and in a production environment—has the capability been used in the real world? A second is the maturity of the quantitative benefits from such a deployment—have we seen measurable results over a long enough period to assess its impact? In general, a use case can be considered mature if it: 1. Hasbeendeployedindustriallyandatproduction scale; 2. Has delivered a positive net return on investment to date; and 3. Is expected to continue that return on investment at scale. There is one belief that use cases need to have been deployed in a comparable industry for organizations to assess their maturity and apply the results for their own use. However, recent research has shown that you need not limit your organization to analogous peers; looking across industries for use cases is positively linked to more successful innovation.12 For mature use cases, outcomes and returns on investment can be industry agnostic. True innovation can often require permission to fail; otherwise, innovators may feel the risks of trying something truly new are simply too high. How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 6. 6 TECHNOLOGY VS. USE CASE In the past 18 months, blockchain has been widely discussed and seems to have sparked significant enthusiasm as an important technology. It has not been uncommon for many organizations to gravitate to blockchain’s market potential and embrace pilots that feature the use case as a secondary consideration to the technology itself. The challenge to adjust these priorities appears all too real: In the rush to build a proof-of-concept for an exciting new technology, the original challenge—and the use case or capability that may help solve it—can be quickly obfuscated by the technology itself. The effects are also significant; applying immature technology to a mature use case could be detrimental, with technology that could be applied to other, critical use cases disregarded as unable to live up to its promise.16 The problem could lie in confusing the steps at the pilot planning stage. It is rarely good practice to pick a technology, and then pick a use case. Instead, consider starting by absorbing a deep understanding of the issue you are trying to solve or the opportunity you are trying to harness, which is of primary importance; the choice of technologies that can enable solutions would follow. In other words, before implementing a new, specific technology, take a step back and think strategically about what is needed and why. Even if you encounter a lack of deployment in comparable industries, you can build a compelling business case for piloting and scaling DSN capabilities. POSITION OF THE USE CASE: CORE VS. PERIPHERY Assessing the position of a use case means evaluating where it sits within the business model. The core of an organization is where resources are presently deployed: typically, the primary capabilities and main revenue streams. The periphery represents the peripheral areas of the organization, where new business models with high growth potential are explored.13 More simply put, the core of a business is typically focused on internal productivity, whereas the periphery is generally focused on driving revenue from externally focused activities. Building the right approach: Assessing both aspects to scale smartly Combining a use case’s maturity and position can determine the approach to scaling DSN capabil- ities for your business. It’s an approach that mimics the adoption curve for Industry 4.0 in general:14 As organizations begin to scale and monetize use cases, they typically focus first on improving operations and productivity—the same things they have always focused on, but aiming for better and faster results. Only after they have mastered those relatively lower-hanging fruit, and built a strong foundation of proven DSN use cases, do most businesses tend to progress to capabilities that generate new streams of revenue and lead to new business models.15 To build a strong DSN foundation on top of proven use cases, decision makers can use four archetypes (figure 2) to help identify the business’s current position, and gauge the capabilities and jus- tification needed to pilot and scale more-innovative use cases. Forget fail fast
  • 7. 7 Archetype A Archetype B Archetype C Archetype D Typical P&L impact Operations and productivity Operations, productivity, and revenue Revenue Revenue and new business models Typical examples • Predictive maintenance • Demand-sensing • Control towers • Quality-sensing and prediction • Autonomous trucks and delivery optimization • Automated sales forecasting and replenishment • AR/VR • Dynamic load- balancing and replenishment • Model-based design and manufacturing • Data as product or service • Ultra-delayed differentiation • Predictive after-market maintenance and service • Make-to-use with 3D printing • Direct-to-consumer drone delivery • AR-enabled customer support Internal sponsor/s Supply chain and operations Supply chain and operations CEO and operations CEO and operations Key criteria for success at scale • Focus on vendor selection and technical maturity • Clear statement of intended value of use cases • Trusted integrator partner with clear experience • Clear focus on skills and talent development • Focus on the use case, not the technology • Strong links to innovation • Forward-thinking supply chain and operations leaders • Early market traction in new business model • Supply-chain organization with influence • Clear C-suite sponsorship • Focus on skills and talent development, especially cross- functional skills transfer • Ability to fail fast with embedded culture of continuous improvement • Clear C-suite sponsorship • Strong internal stakeholder alignment and links to startup environment Source: Deloitte analysis. FIGURE 2 Tactical archetypes of DSN use cases, categorized by maturity and position Mature Emerging Core Periphery Archetype A Money on the table Archetype B Future-proofing operations Archetype C To the office of the CEO Archetype D Fail fast, fail smart How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 8. 8 ARCHETYPE A: MONEY ON THE TABLE Archetype A denotes mature, proven use cases at the core of a business: the low-hanging fruit of an organization’s DSN. Because the use cases often focus on improving current processes, they typically have an almost immediate impact on an organization’s bottom line—specifically, a reduction in the cost of goods sold through manufacturing or supply-chain efficiencies. A broad range of use cases can fall into this group, including predictive maintenance, demand sensing, control towers, and quality sensing and prediction, all of which have already shown business benefits at scale across industries.17 Many automotive com- panies, for example, are using tools such as predictive quality analytics at scale to identify warranty issues before they turn into major recalls; predictive maintenance use cases can also be considered compel- ling and are used by many organi- zations to reduce downtime and lost production.18 Given the multitude of proven initiatives, use cases in this category can be considered “money on the table,” and should be a core component of a DSN strategy. By studying the successes of others who have built and scaled these capabilities, orga- nizations can be well-positioned to achieve success without the need to first “fail fast.” To scale effec- tively, select vendors with proven technical maturity and partners with clear, documented experience; align leaders on a clear direction and statement of intent about why they are pursuing a use case; and develop the skills and talent to implement and use the capabilities successfully. ARCHETYPE B: FUTURE- PROOFING OPERATIONS Archetype B consists of use cases being devel- oped or driven by parallel advances in technology, and affecting the core of a business, specifically operations. This can mean a blurred line between technology and use case, particularly as organiza- tions may still be trying to decide the most relevant areas for a technology. In this way, use cases of this type are somewhat less proven, but still driven by increasingly accepted, and even standard, technologies. Artificial intelligence (AI) is an example of a tech- nology that is fostering DSN use cases, particularly in planning. Statistical forecasting has long been a mature use case, typically enabled by a range of supply- chain planning technologies, but de- velopments in AI and cognitive computing have begun to drive more predictive and intelligent planning capabilities.19 Such technology is also being used to power driverless trucks in warehousing and lo- gistics strategies. Although the use case of intelligent, automated sales forecasting and replenishment is not yet fully mature, it offers a potentially significant opportu- nity for scaling because it drives the core business of an organization. This could be particularly relevant as more organizations connect their systems to develop DSNs, thereby harnessing a broad scale and scope of data over time and geography, to enable in- telligent forecasting. In addition, some mature use cases in this category do make convincing business cases for such scaling; for example, one organization realized a 40 percent improvement in the quality of its sales forecasts across 600,000 SKUs.20 As organizations begin to scale and monetize use cases, they typically focus first on improving operations and productivity—the same things they have always focused on, but aiming for better and faster results. Forget fail fast
  • 9. 9 AR/VR is another example. NASA has been researching virtual reality since the mid-1990s, to train astronauts in spacewalking, but you don’t have to be part of NASA to realize the potential business benefits.21 Proven AR/VR use cases are prolifer- ating: for quality control and to help workers spot defects;22 in logistics, inventory management, and order picking;23 for maintenance; in training;24 and for end-to-end visibility throughout the DSN.25 Airbus used AR/VR to reduce the inspection time for 60,000 to 80,000 brackets in the fuselage of one of its jetliners, to three days from three weeks.26 Within the automotive industry, some major brands are using virtual reality to assess prototype builds, and applying it in sales: Customers can now try out different features of cars before buying.27 For organizations that seek to scale use cases to “future-proof” core DSN operations, consider fo- cusing on the use case, not the technology, to ensure you are steering toward applications that can propel the business forward. Then begin to move toward an incubator-like approach, as seen in the fail-fast model, emphasizing innovative, startup-driven uses of technology that can power capabilities that are core to the business. ARCHETYPE C: TO THE OFFICE OF THE CEO Archetype C focuses on applying tested, proven use cases to new business models: pursuing new forms of revenue at the periphery of the organi- zation, rather than streamlining operations and productivity at the core. In this archetype, the focus on new revenue models elevates the DSN beyond the supply chain to decisions made by the chief operating officer (COO) and the CEO. Success in this archetype requires significant collaboration across an enterprise, whereby the chief supply chain officer brings operations expertise to support the company’s growth into new product segments and markets. In this way, decision-making and business processes could change, and an organization could move closer to the connectivity and end-to-end vis- ibility, which are the hallmarks of a fully realized DSN. Given the focus on revenue growth, use cases in this category tend to focus on the customer, whether via new products and services or aftermarket support. Two examples are data from connected systems offered as a product/service unto itself, and ultra-delayed differentiation.28 To succeed at scale with use cases in this cat- egory, consider the importance of the first-mover advantage. Gain early market traction in new busi- ness models, empower the supply chain to engage in technology investment discussions,29 ensure C-suite buy-in for scaling new initiatives, and focus on developing skills and talent to manage new ca- pabilities—specifically, cross-functional skills, given the broader need for collaboration in this archetype. ARCHETYPE D: FAIL FAST, FAIL SMART Archetype D brings emerging use cases together with peripheral business models, representing typi- cally the riskiest, most innovative components of a DSN. In these cases, a return to the “fail fast, fail smart” mentality is recommended, using small-scale pilots to build a business case. In 2017, Iceland’s leading e-commerce platform, AHA, partnered with Israeli company Flytrex to pilot direct-to-consumer drone delivery.30 Although the use case for drones is relatively mature, its expansion to direct-to-con- sumer deliveries is far from proven, not least due to the evolving nature of regulations. Another example in this category can be found in make-to-use appli- cations of additive manufacturing (AM), extending beyond proven AM use cases of prototyping and specific production runs. AR-enabled customer support also qualifies as an Archetype D use case. Given that use cases in this category are often completely new, and rely on relatively unproven applications of new technologies, both the CEO and COO will likely be involved in decisions to invest. To nurture success, foster a culture of continuous improvement, allow teams to fail and learn, and en- courage a startup mindset and environment. Clear C-suite sponsorship can be critical here, as well as strong stakeholder alignment on the goals for each endeavor. How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 10. 10 Select a winning constellation to scale successfully It is important to approach each initiative indi- vidually,gaugingitsrespectivematurityandposition within the organization. However, to deliver a truly connected, “always on” DSN frequently requires multiple initiatives. In other words, businesses may have use cases in multiple archetype categories si- multaneously, based on their needs, risk appetites, and internal and external factors. Each typically needs a comprehensive and connected strategy for scaling. Consider taking advantage of the following methods to help build a balanced portfolio of scal- able results: 1. Use the DSN strategic choice cascade, as de- scribed in Deloitte’s The rise of the digital supply network,31 to decide where to differ- entiate: speed, agility, service, cost, quality, or innovation. 2. Identify relevant areas of focus for supply- chain transformation and configuration that could support the selected differentiation areas. Consider the archetype model to segregate and prioritize use cases to develop accordingly, for maximum success. 3. Build a balanced portfolio of DSN tactics that support those transformation/configuration areas. These tactics would depend on many factors, both internal (e.g., current performance metrics and risk appetite) and external (e.g., competitive pressure and the current regulatory landscape). An organization in an industry characterized by wafer-thin margins may choose to adopt a tactic portfolio predominantly comprising Archetype A use cases, with a few resources dedicated to Archetype B. Similarly, an organization whose supply chain is not a core part of the business may wholly focus on Archetype A. A business with strong efficiencies, substantial existing investments in its DSN, and supply chain and operations representa- tion at the C-suite level may focus on Archetype C, taking its proven use cases internally and devel- oping new business models. Archetype D adoption Forget fail fast
  • 11. 11 may be best suited to innovative organizations that are open to embracing risk. Whatever the specific needs of your business’s stakeholders, consider tailoring your constellation of initiatives to them, laying the foundation for scalable results. Conclusion In the aforementioned Deloitte global survey of C-suite executives, 87 percent said they believed Industry 4.0 will lead to more social and economic equality and stability. They regard technology as an equalizer, providing more access to education, jobs, and financing across geographies and social groups.32 DSNs can provide an effective way to harness these technologies to bring about more con- nected organizations. Organizations seeking to build DSNs should adopt a customized strategy that builds upon the lessons of others’ successes—not just in analogous industries but further afield. Rather than using a blanket approach to starting small and cycling through failures, tailor DSN tactics by archetype, based on the maturity of the use case and its posi- tion within the organization’s business model. This focus on archetypes means that the right lens is trained on success from the start, by matching strategies to specific needs. First and foremost, you should become intimately familiar with the issue you are trying to solve, or the opportunity you are trying to harness; from there you can choose from the myriad of technologies that can bring about real and lasting improvements. How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 12. 12 1. Mark Cotteleer and Brenna Sniderman, Forces of change: Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights, December 18, 2017. 2. Punit Renjen, “Industry 4.0: Are you ready?,” Deloitte Review 22, January 22, 2018. 3. Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018. 4. Adam Mussomeli, Doug Gish, and Stephen Laaper, The rise of the digital supply network, Deloitte University Press, December 1, 2016. 5. James B. Stewart, “A fearless culture fuels U.S. tech giants,” New York Times, June 18, 2015. 6. Rita Gunther McGrath, “Failing by design,” Harvard Business Review, April 2011. 7. Ian Richter, “Quantifying the benefits of predictive maintenance: 8 benefits,” Seebo IoT Academy, May 3, 2018. 8. Xiaoning Jin et al., “The present status and future growth of maintenance in US manufacturing: results from a pilot survey,” Manufacturing Rev 3, no. 10 (2016): DOI: 10.1051/mfreview/2016005. 9. We make the distinction between technology and use case. Predictive maintenance is a DSN use case, which could be enabled by a variety of technologies. Blockchain and augmented/virtual reality are technologies, which may underlie a variety of use cases. 10. Deloitte, Using blockchain to drive supply chain transparency, 2017; Abe Eshkenazi, “Using augmented reality to improve supply chains,” APICS Supply Chain Management Now, December 16, 2016. 11. Mussomeli, Gish, and Laaper, The rise of the digital supply network. 12. Ellen Enkel and Oliver Gassmann, “Creative imitation: Exploring the case of cross-industry innovation,” R&D Man- agement, 40, no. 3 (2010): pp. 256–70 (special issue: “The future of open innovation,” edited by Ellen Enkel, Oliver Gassmann, and Henry Chesbrough, June 2010). 13. Deloitte has examined in depth the notion of scaling at the edges. For further reading, see Deloitte Center for the Edge, Scaling edges: a pragmatic pathway to broad internal change, 2012. 14. Eli Tidhar, Jeremy Siegman, and Dan Paikowsky, Toward the next horizon of Industry 4.0: Building capabilities through collaborations and startups, Deloitte Insights, August 1, 2018. 15. Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018. 16. John Lucker, Susan Hogan, and Brenna Sniderman, Fooled by the hype: Is it the next big thing or merely a shiny new object?, Deloitte Insights, July 30, 2018. 17. For specific examples of the multitude of proven outcomes from predictive maintenance, demand sensing, and AR/VR, see: Chris Coleman et al., Making maintenance smarter, Deloitte University Press, May 9, 2017; Tim Gaus, Ken Olsen, and Mike Deloso, Synchronizing the digital supply network, Deloitte Insights, May 22, 2018; and Allan V. Cook et al., Digital reality: The focus shifts from technology to opportunity, Deloitte Insights, December 5, 2017. 18. Chris Coleman et al., Making maintenance smarter. 19. Gaus, Olsen, and Deloso, Synchronizing the digital supply network. 20. Sean Monahan and Michael Hu, “A.I. and the path to breakthrough supply chain planning,” Supply Chain Manage- ment Review, January 25, 2018. 21. Erin Carson, “How NASA uses virtual reality to train astronauts,” TechRepublic, May 19, 2015. Endnotes Forget fail fast
  • 13. 22. Daniel Segovia et al., “Augmented reality as a tool for production and quality monitoring,” Procedia Computer Science, 75 (2015): pp. 291–300, 2015 International Conference on Virtual and Augmented Reality in Education. 23. Jay Samit, “5 ways augmented reality is disrupting the supply chain,” Fortune, March 1, 2018. 24. Tony DeMarinis, Lynne Calligaro, Cary Harr, Joe Mariani, Real learning in a virtual world: How VR can improve learn- ing and training outcomes, Deloitte Insights, August 14, 2018. 25. Samit, “5 ways augmented reality is disrupting the supply chain.” 26. Ian Wright, “What can augmented reality do for manufacturing?,” engineering.com, May 11, 2017. 27. Christian Titze, Samantha Searle, and C. Dwight Klappich, “The 2018 top 8 supply chain technology trends you can’t ignore,” Gartner, January 9, 2018. 28. For further information about opportunities in these areas, see: Mark Cotteleer and Brenna Sniderman, Forces of change: Industry 4.0; John van Wyk, Peter Brooke, and Justine Bornstein, Selling Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights, March 29, 2018; and Gianmarco Monsellato et al., Tax governance in the world of Industry 4.0, Deloitte Insights, August 27, 2018. 29. Deloitte Insights, The Industry 4.0 paradox, October 10, 2018. 30. Scott Bretton, “AHA and Flytrex team up to offer drone delivery in Iceland,” Ecommerce Guide, August 29, 2017. 31. For more information about the strategic choice cascade, see Mussomeli, Gish, and Laaper, The rise of the digital supply network. 32. Punit Renjen, “Industry 4.0: Are you ready?.”
  • 14. 14 RICHARD BRADLEY is a director at Deloitte Consulting AG and leads Deloitte’s Digital Supply Network (DSN), as well as the Strategy and Smart Operations team in Switzerland. With over 15 years of experi- ence in digitally enabled supply chain transformation and as a thought leader and speaker on digital supply chain topics, he is passionate about bringing disruptive topics to business, breaking down barriers to adoption, and harnessing business impact across all areas of the value chain. He is on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/rbradley2017/. MEG ALDERMAN is a senior consultant with Deloitte Switzerland’s Digital Supply Network (DSN), as well as the Strategy and Smart Operations team. She joined the Swiss practice from the United States after working extensively on topics as diverse as supply chain, strategic risk, and enterprise risk. Her unique experiences have driven a passion for problem-solving in the digital age and managing risk driven by disruption, innovation, and change. She is on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/ meg-alderman-cscp-csm-348a3025/. The authors would like to thank Georg Ziegner and Alex Nedelchev of Deloitte Consulting AG; Adam Mussomeli, Stephen Laaper, and Aaron Parrott of Deloitte Consulting LLP; and Brenna Sniderman of Deloitte Services LP. About the authors Acknowledgments Forget fail fast
  • 15. 15 Contacts Adam Mussomeli Digital Supply Networks leader Principal Deloitte Consulting LLP +1 203 905 2646 amussomeli@deloitte.com Stephen Laaper Digital Supply Networks leader Principal Deloitte Consulting LLP +1 312 513 7900 slaaper@deloitte.com Richard Bradley Director Deloitte Consulting AG D: +41 58 279 8712 | M: +41 795 707 556 ribradley@deloitte.comh Deloitte’s Center for Integrated Research focuses on developing fresh perspectives on critical business issues that cut across industry and function, from the rapid change of emerging technologies to the consistent factor of human behavior. We uncover deep insights and look at transformative topics in new ways, delivering new thinking in a variety of formats such as research articles, short videos, or in-person workshops. About the Center for Integrated Research Deloitte Consulting LLP’s Supply Chain and Manufacturing Operations practice helps companies understand and address opportunities to apply Industry 4.0 technologies in pursuit of their busi- ness objectives. Our insights into additive manufacturing, the Internet of Things, and analytics enable us to help organizations reassess their people, processes, and technologies in light of advanced manufacturing practices that are evolving every day. How a customized and adaptive strategy can drive your digital supply network
  • 16. About Deloitte Insights Deloitte Insights publishes original articles, reports and periodicals that provide insights for businesses, the public sector and NGOs. Our goal is to draw upon research and experience from throughout our professional services organization, and that of coauthors in academia and business, to advance the conversation on a broad spectrum of topics of interest to executives and government leaders. Deloitte Insights is an imprint of Deloitte Development LLC. About this publication This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or its and their affiliates are, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other profes- sional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your finances or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. None of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or its and their respective affiliates shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. In the United States, Deloitte refers to one or more of the US member firms of DTTL, their related entities that operate using the “Deloitte” name in the United States and their respective affiliates. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting. Please see www.deloitte.com/about to learn more about our global network of member firms. Copyright © 2018 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited Deloitte Insights contributors Editorial: Aditi Rao, Rupesh Bhat, and Blythe Hurley Creative: Sonya Vasilieff Promotion: Nabela Ahmed Cover artwork: Traci Daberko Sign up for Deloitte Insights updates at www.deloitte.com/insights. Follow @DeloitteInsight