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KOLKATA
RESIDENTIAL
JANUARY TO JUNE 2015
RESIDENTIAL
MARKET holds
under pressure
Will Kolkata’s residential market remain steady or is there a
decline envisaged?
Will there be a growth in prices?
Will the office market rebound to support the residential segment?
NEW LAUNCHES DROP MARGINALLY IN
H1 2015 Y-O-Y
12,033
7,742
8,444
11,891
8,372
8,895
7,050
6,390
6,245
5,883
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015
No.ofunits
Launches Sales
PRICES DECLINE BY 3%
3,352
3,467
3,614
3,514
3,495
3000
3100
3200
3300
3400
3500
3600
3700
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015
INR/sq.ft
Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
PERIPHERAL
LOCATIONS IN NORTH
AND SOUTH WITNESS
GROWTH
RAJARHAT, EXCLUDING
NEW TOWN, MOST
AFFORDABLE IN
H1 2015
59% OF NEW LAUNCHES BELOW
INR 2.5 MN IN RAJARHAT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
<`2.5 mn `2.5-5 mn `5-7.5 mn `7.5-10 mn >10 mn
Central East North Rajarhat South
INR
BT ROAD IN NORTH
WITNESSING INTEREST
DUE TO UPCOMING
EXTENSION OF METRO
RAIL AND GOOD
CONNECTIVITY WITH SALT
LAKE SECTOR V
RAJARHAT THE BEST PERFORMING
MARKET, WHILE SOUTH KOLKATA SUFFERS
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15
AgeofInventory
QTS
CENTRAL
EAST
RAJARHAT
NORTH
SOUTH
PREMIUM MARKET WITH
APARTMENTS MORE THAN
INR 1.5 CRORE
REFLECTS OVERALL CITY
TREND
LAUNCHES AND WEIGHTED AVERAGE
PRICES CONTRACT WHILE SALES
STRIVES TO HOLD STEADY597
449
255
773
148
403
284
220
284
246
9,238
9,590
9,771
9,631
9,511
8900
9000
9100
9200
9300
9400
9500
9600
9700
9800
9900
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015
Numberofunits
Launches Sales Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
OVERALL CITY AS WELL
AS PREMIUM MARKET
WILL TAKE A LITTLE OVER
4 YEARS TO EXHAUST THE
UNSOLD UNITS
PREMIUM MARKET SALES TO CATCH UP
WITH CITY’S SALES
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
No.ofquarters
PREMIUM MARKETS
KOLKATA CITY
MARKET SENTIMENTS TO
IMPROVE IN THE NEXT 6
MONTHS DUE TO AMPLIFIED
OFFICE SPACE DEVELOPMENT,
A RISE IN OFFICE SPACE
ABSORPTION AND INCREASED
HIRING ACTIVITY
OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS
LAUNCHES
(UNITS)
SALES
(UNITS)
WEIGHTED
AVERAGE PRICE
(INR/SQ FT)
H2 2014 11,891 6,245 3,514
H1 2015 8,372 5,883 3,495
H2 2015 E 9,523 5,993 3,520
HOW DOES KOLKATA
STAND COMPARED TO
OTHER CITIES
LAUNCHES- KOLKATA LARGER MARKET
THAN HYDERABAD AND AHMEDABAD
H1 2014 H2 2014
MUMBAI 35,512 26,833
NCR 35,500 37,643
BENGALURU 35,545 32,589
PUNE 16,883 16,700
CHENNAI 11,377 7,318
KOLKATA 8,444 11,891
HYDERABAD 7,899 5,151
AHMEDABAD 9,021 4,991
H1 2015
BENGALURU 21,400
MUMBAI 18,887
PUNE 12,762
NCR 11,360
CHENNAI 9,102
KOLKATA 8,372
AHMEDABAD 8,062
HYDERABAD 5,457
ABSORPTION- KOLKATA SEES LEAST
H1 2014 H2 2014
MUMBAI 31,210 36,505
NCR 28,500 12,075
BENGALURU 27,256 28,445
PUNE 14,719 20,150
CHENNAI 10,315 10,643
AHMEDABAD 10,472 8,019
HYDERABAD 7,282 7,829
KOLKATA 6,390 6,245
H1 2015
MUMBAI 28,446
BENGALURU 22,234
PUNE 15,524
NCR 14,250
CHENNAI 9,091
AHMEDABAD 7,751
HYDERABAD 7,123
KOLKATA 5,883
SALES AMONG 8 CITIES
KOLKATA PRICES ON A STEADY PATH
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Rs/sqft
MUMBAI
PUNE
AHMEDABAD
HYDERABAD
KOLKATA
NCR
BENGALURU
CHENNAI
KOLKATA ONE OF THE YOUNGEST
MARKETS; LEAST AGE OF INVENTORY
5
7
9
11
13
15
5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters
QTS
MUMBAI
PUNE
AHMEDABAD
HYDERABAD
KOLKATA
NCR
BENGALURU
CHENNAI
KEY TAKEAWAYS
KOLKATA
MARKET UNDER PRESSURE; SALES
HOLDING ON
KOLKATA
REAL
ESTATE
JANUARY TO JUNE 2015

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Kolkata Real Estate Outlook Report H1 2015 - Knight Frank India

  • 2. RESIDENTIAL MARKET holds under pressure Will Kolkata’s residential market remain steady or is there a decline envisaged? Will there be a growth in prices? Will the office market rebound to support the residential segment?
  • 3. NEW LAUNCHES DROP MARGINALLY IN H1 2015 Y-O-Y 12,033 7,742 8,444 11,891 8,372 8,895 7,050 6,390 6,245 5,883 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 No.ofunits Launches Sales
  • 4. PRICES DECLINE BY 3% 3,352 3,467 3,614 3,514 3,495 3000 3100 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 INR/sq.ft Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
  • 5. PERIPHERAL LOCATIONS IN NORTH AND SOUTH WITNESS GROWTH
  • 6. RAJARHAT, EXCLUDING NEW TOWN, MOST AFFORDABLE IN H1 2015
  • 7. 59% OF NEW LAUNCHES BELOW INR 2.5 MN IN RAJARHAT 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% <`2.5 mn `2.5-5 mn `5-7.5 mn `7.5-10 mn >10 mn Central East North Rajarhat South INR
  • 8. BT ROAD IN NORTH WITNESSING INTEREST DUE TO UPCOMING EXTENSION OF METRO RAIL AND GOOD CONNECTIVITY WITH SALT LAKE SECTOR V
  • 9. RAJARHAT THE BEST PERFORMING MARKET, WHILE SOUTH KOLKATA SUFFERS 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 AgeofInventory QTS CENTRAL EAST RAJARHAT NORTH SOUTH
  • 10. PREMIUM MARKET WITH APARTMENTS MORE THAN INR 1.5 CRORE REFLECTS OVERALL CITY TREND
  • 11. LAUNCHES AND WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICES CONTRACT WHILE SALES STRIVES TO HOLD STEADY597 449 255 773 148 403 284 220 284 246 9,238 9,590 9,771 9,631 9,511 8900 9000 9100 9200 9300 9400 9500 9600 9700 9800 9900 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 Numberofunits Launches Sales Wt. Avg. Price (RHS)
  • 12. OVERALL CITY AS WELL AS PREMIUM MARKET WILL TAKE A LITTLE OVER 4 YEARS TO EXHAUST THE UNSOLD UNITS
  • 13. PREMIUM MARKET SALES TO CATCH UP WITH CITY’S SALES 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 No.ofquarters PREMIUM MARKETS KOLKATA CITY
  • 14. MARKET SENTIMENTS TO IMPROVE IN THE NEXT 6 MONTHS DUE TO AMPLIFIED OFFICE SPACE DEVELOPMENT, A RISE IN OFFICE SPACE ABSORPTION AND INCREASED HIRING ACTIVITY
  • 15. OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS LAUNCHES (UNITS) SALES (UNITS) WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE (INR/SQ FT) H2 2014 11,891 6,245 3,514 H1 2015 8,372 5,883 3,495 H2 2015 E 9,523 5,993 3,520
  • 16. HOW DOES KOLKATA STAND COMPARED TO OTHER CITIES
  • 17. LAUNCHES- KOLKATA LARGER MARKET THAN HYDERABAD AND AHMEDABAD H1 2014 H2 2014 MUMBAI 35,512 26,833 NCR 35,500 37,643 BENGALURU 35,545 32,589 PUNE 16,883 16,700 CHENNAI 11,377 7,318 KOLKATA 8,444 11,891 HYDERABAD 7,899 5,151 AHMEDABAD 9,021 4,991 H1 2015 BENGALURU 21,400 MUMBAI 18,887 PUNE 12,762 NCR 11,360 CHENNAI 9,102 KOLKATA 8,372 AHMEDABAD 8,062 HYDERABAD 5,457
  • 18. ABSORPTION- KOLKATA SEES LEAST H1 2014 H2 2014 MUMBAI 31,210 36,505 NCR 28,500 12,075 BENGALURU 27,256 28,445 PUNE 14,719 20,150 CHENNAI 10,315 10,643 AHMEDABAD 10,472 8,019 HYDERABAD 7,282 7,829 KOLKATA 6,390 6,245 H1 2015 MUMBAI 28,446 BENGALURU 22,234 PUNE 15,524 NCR 14,250 CHENNAI 9,091 AHMEDABAD 7,751 HYDERABAD 7,123 KOLKATA 5,883 SALES AMONG 8 CITIES
  • 19. KOLKATA PRICES ON A STEADY PATH 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Rs/sqft MUMBAI PUNE AHMEDABAD HYDERABAD KOLKATA NCR BENGALURU CHENNAI
  • 20. KOLKATA ONE OF THE YOUNGEST MARKETS; LEAST AGE OF INVENTORY 5 7 9 11 13 15 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters QTS MUMBAI PUNE AHMEDABAD HYDERABAD KOLKATA NCR BENGALURU CHENNAI
  • 21. KEY TAKEAWAYS KOLKATA MARKET UNDER PRESSURE; SALES HOLDING ON

Editor's Notes

  1. Reasons as talking point
  2. Weighted average price talking point
  3. P – SMALLER