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Building Institutional Adaptive
Capacity in the Food System
An Ethiopia Example
Adaptive Governance

• Responding to Signals
• Managing ups and
downs
• Not vulnerability, but
dynamics
• What is our role?
Engaging a Complex System
• Ethiopian annual budget is 8 billion
• It’s a complex system – top, bottom, and inbetween
• We need to work within their system
• Tap into the energy, not create it
• Understand processes ahead of time to
reduce friction
• We need to measure progress
The CCAFS Silver Platter
• Provide a detailed decision scenario
• What key decisions are made?
• Who makes them and when?
• What information did they used last year?

• Social Learning platform for collective analysis of
gaps and opportunities
• Provide access to decision makers and gov’t buyin
• Provide a M&E/Feedback loop (survey/crowd
sourcing)
Decisions and Information
Decisions
How much flexibility is there to change decisions?
• Politics
• Policy
• Resources
• Program silos
Information
How difficult is it to change information sources?
• Multitudes of information providers in Ethiopia
• History of using specific information for specific decisions
• Cost of changing information sources
• Capacity issues
• New information does not change process
Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia

Federal

State

Zone
Woreda
Kebele
April

May

June

July

Aug

Sept
Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia
Ask Decision-Makers
• What they want to do?
• What information they
used to decide?
• What are they
tradeoffs/risks?

Pre-Negotiation Surveys

Federal

State

Zone
Woreda
Kebele
April

May

June

July

Aug

Sept
Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia
Ask Decision-Makers
• What they want to do?
• What information they
used to decide?
• What are they
tradeoffs/risks?

Pre-Negotiation Surveys

Federal

State

Observe
•Who wins or
looses?
• What information
in used?

Zone
Woreda

Observe
Negotiations

Kebele
April

May

June

July

Aug

Sept
Survey Report and Near Future
• “Decision scenarios” for inputs and food
security assessments
• Forward by regional presidents
• Information gaps identified
• Social learning platform
• Relevant sections of the questionnaires made
available to social learning partners
Social Learning Partners (so far)
Local
MoA DRMFSS
MoA Inputs Directorate
National Met Agency
EIAR
Mekele University
Ethiopia ATA
Regional Presidents
300 Decision-Makers

International
USAID FEWSNET/LAP
WFP
AFSC & CIAT
Bioversity
CIMMYT
IFPRI
IRI
World Bank
UNDP
CARE
Examples
Fertilizer:
• Partners: IRI, AFSC, CIAT, MoA, ATA, IFRPI,
CIMMYT, EIAR
Seeds:
• Bioversity (and above)
Food Security Assessment:
• Mekela University, DRMFSS, WFP, USAID-FEWS,IRI
Replication
• Latin America Proposal - Bioversity
• UNDP/GEF/ADB – Interested as M&E
component of larger Cambodia PPCR/GEF
projects
• NEPAD Secretariat has ask for concept note to
replicate in 5 African countries (they’ll pitch to
donors)

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Climate Smart Planning: Ethiopia Pilot

  • 1. Building Institutional Adaptive Capacity in the Food System An Ethiopia Example
  • 2. Adaptive Governance • Responding to Signals • Managing ups and downs • Not vulnerability, but dynamics • What is our role?
  • 3. Engaging a Complex System • Ethiopian annual budget is 8 billion • It’s a complex system – top, bottom, and inbetween • We need to work within their system • Tap into the energy, not create it • Understand processes ahead of time to reduce friction • We need to measure progress
  • 4. The CCAFS Silver Platter • Provide a detailed decision scenario • What key decisions are made? • Who makes them and when? • What information did they used last year? • Social Learning platform for collective analysis of gaps and opportunities • Provide access to decision makers and gov’t buyin • Provide a M&E/Feedback loop (survey/crowd sourcing)
  • 5. Decisions and Information Decisions How much flexibility is there to change decisions? • Politics • Policy • Resources • Program silos Information How difficult is it to change information sources? • Multitudes of information providers in Ethiopia • History of using specific information for specific decisions • Cost of changing information sources • Capacity issues • New information does not change process
  • 6. Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia Federal State Zone Woreda Kebele April May June July Aug Sept
  • 7. Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia Ask Decision-Makers • What they want to do? • What information they used to decide? • What are they tradeoffs/risks? Pre-Negotiation Surveys Federal State Zone Woreda Kebele April May June July Aug Sept
  • 8. Annual Plan and Budget Process in Ethiopia Ask Decision-Makers • What they want to do? • What information they used to decide? • What are they tradeoffs/risks? Pre-Negotiation Surveys Federal State Observe •Who wins or looses? • What information in used? Zone Woreda Observe Negotiations Kebele April May June July Aug Sept
  • 9. Survey Report and Near Future • “Decision scenarios” for inputs and food security assessments • Forward by regional presidents • Information gaps identified • Social learning platform • Relevant sections of the questionnaires made available to social learning partners
  • 10. Social Learning Partners (so far) Local MoA DRMFSS MoA Inputs Directorate National Met Agency EIAR Mekele University Ethiopia ATA Regional Presidents 300 Decision-Makers International USAID FEWSNET/LAP WFP AFSC & CIAT Bioversity CIMMYT IFPRI IRI World Bank UNDP CARE
  • 11. Examples Fertilizer: • Partners: IRI, AFSC, CIAT, MoA, ATA, IFRPI, CIMMYT, EIAR Seeds: • Bioversity (and above) Food Security Assessment: • Mekela University, DRMFSS, WFP, USAID-FEWS,IRI
  • 12. Replication • Latin America Proposal - Bioversity • UNDP/GEF/ADB – Interested as M&E component of larger Cambodia PPCR/GEF projects • NEPAD Secretariat has ask for concept note to replicate in 5 African countries (they’ll pitch to donors)