SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 59
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
1
FIN 640: Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management
Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
By: Kelly A. Giambra
Southern New Hampshire University
Module 9: July 1, 2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
2
Introduction:
As a new investment manager of XYZ Tech Company, the CEO has requested an
investment analysis report. Using the provided information and investment parameters, as well as
financial database research, a report was prepared on the companies: Apple (AAPL), Caterpillar
(CAT), Consolidated Edison (ED), Northern Trust (NTRS), and Macy’s (M), all which are the
companies that XYZ would like to invest in. The analysis includes compiled data spreadsheets, a
complete portfolio, and a justification of investment strategies for these investments.
I. Company Description and Market Analysis:
Apple, Inc. (AAPL)
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Apple, Inc. (AAPL) is the world’s largest consumer electronics and personal computer
business with headquarters in Cupertino, California (CA). The Company, headed by Steve Jobs,
Steve Wozniak, and Ronald Wayne first began in the late 1970’s by selling hand-made personal
computer kits, but in recent years shifted focus to consumer electronics such as the iPhone, iPad,
and iPod (NASDAQ, 2018). AAPL has consistently developed new hardware, software, systems,
and services to provide its customers with the best possible user experiences. The Company invests
significantly in marketing and advertising which they believe are essential in the sale of its
products. AAPL has retail store locations around the world with five reportable operating
segments of the Americas, Europe, Japan, Asia-Pacific, and Retail (NASDAQ, 2018). However,
the Company still faces a number of risks such as changing global economy, changes in consumer
demand, global competition, and supply chain disruptions (NASDAQ, 2018).
Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT)
Industry: Machinery
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
3
Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) is a Delaware formed corporation with 2017 sales and revenues
totaling over 45.46 billion, and is the world’s leading manufacturer of construction and mining
equipment, diesel fuel and natural gas engines, gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives
(NASDAQ, 2018). The Company mainly operates within three segments of construction
industries, resource industries, and energy and transportation (NASDAQ, 2018). CAT also
provides financial and other related services through their financial products segment (NASDAQ,
2018).
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED)
Industry: Multi-Utilities & Regulated Electric
Consolidated Edison, Inc. or Con-Ed (ED) is a holding company that was incorporated in
New York State (NYS) in 1997 and owns all of the outstanding shares of common stock of
Consolidated Edison Company of New York, Inc. (CECONY), Orange and Rockland Utilities,
Inc. (O&R), Con Edison Clean Energy Businesses, Inc., and Con Edison Transmission, Inc.
(NASDAQ, 2018). Con Edison’s primary business activities consist mainly regulated electric, gas
and steam delivery, as well as O&R’s operations of regulated electric and gas delivery businesses
(NASDAQ, 2018). The Clean Energy businesses operations consist of renewable and energy
infrastructure projects and provide energy related products and services to customers (NASDAQ,
2018).
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS)
Industry: Capital Markets
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is a financial services company that was first formed
as a holding company in 1971, and provides asset servicing, fund administration, asset
management, fiduciary and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
4
individual consumers worldwide (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company conducts businesses through
several subsidiaries including The Northern Trust Bank and has offices throughout Canada,
Europe, the Middle East, and the Asian-Pacific (NASDAQ, 2018). As of December 31, 2017,
Northern Trust had total assets of 138.6 billion and stockholder’s equity of 10.2 billion NASDAQ.
(2018). The Bank is the corporation’s primary subsidiary headquartered in Chicago and was
founded in 1889 (NASDAQ, 2018).
Macy’s Inc. (M)
Industry: Multi-line Retail
Macy’s, Inc. (M) is a Delaware formed corporation since 1985 and had been in the
department store business since 1830 (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company operates about 850 retail
stores in 44 states, the District of Columbia (DC), Guam, and Puerto Rico (NASDAQ, 2018). As
of February 2018, Macy’s operations were conducted through Macy’s, Bloomingdale’s,
Bloomingdale’s Outlet, Macy’s Backstage, Blue mercury, and Macy’s China (NASDAQ, 2018).
The Company also has global operations through Bloomingdale’s in Dubai, United Arab Emirates,
Al Zahra, and Kuwait (NASDAQ, 2018). Macy’s sells a wide range of merchandise such as
clothing, accessories, cosmetics, home décor and furniture, and other consumer goods (NASDAQ,
2018).
A. Financial Markets
Ai. Five-Year Performance Of The Domestic Economy Relative To The Financial Markets
According to The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), it is projected that for the periods
of 2018 to 2028, the domestic economy (U.S.) will follow a cyclical path with economic growth
expecting to rise especially in 2018 (CBO, 2018). This will be followed by a slow down a few
years afterward, then finally rise to match the maximum sustainable growth outcomes during the
final years of the projection. According to the CBO, demand is expected to exceed supply which
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
5
will push up inflation and interest rates as well as a possible decline in employment rates (CBO,
2018). The growth of real GDP is expected to be relatively strong this year which will moderate
in future years. In the CBO’s economic projections, real GDP will expand by 3.3 percent in 2018
and by 2.4 percent in 2019 mostly driven by consumer spending, business investments, and federal
spending (CBO, 2018). It is expected that the 2017 tax act on incentives to work, save and invest
will raise GDP from the periods of 2018 to 2028. In addition, it is likely that there will be an
increase in wage and inflation rates leading to the Federal Reserve (The Fed) raising rates to about
2 percent by the end of 2018. During 2018 and beyond, investment outlook will be one of both
higher risks and lower returns. As a result, the market outlook will require the need for investors
to remain disciplined and globally diversified with more realistic expectations of returns as well
as lower-cost strategies (CBO, 2018):
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 18625 19387 20362 21369 22247 23079
In Billions 2.8 4.1 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.7
Percentage change, annual rate
Real GDP 16716 17093 17613 18118 18472 18754
In Billions 1.5 2.3 3.0 2.9 2.0 1.5
Percentage change, annual rate
Source: CBO's April 2018 report The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2022
Labor
Unemployment Rate,Age 16+ % 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.1
Labor Force Age 16+ (Millions) 159 160 162 163 165 166
Percentage change, annual rate 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7
Interest Rates %
10-Year Treasury Note
3-Month Treasury Bill 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.2
Federal Funds Rate 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.8
0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 3.8 4.0
Income, Personal
Billions of dollars 15929 16417 17284 18327 19304 20206
Compensation of Employees, % of GDP 85.5 84.7 84.9 85.8 86.8 87.6
Billions of dollars 9979 10295 10828 11432 11985 12484
Wages and Salaries % of GDP 53.6 53.1 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.1
8085 8340 8795 9304 9759 10160
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
6
Currently the three largest U.S. financial markets indices include the Dow Jones Industrial
Average (DJIA), the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ, which are utilized for benchmarking to tell how
the market is performing. As of May 17, 2018, the Dow is currently 24,820 points, up 49.56 points
or 20 percent (Google Finance, 2018). The DJIA consists of 30 large-cap blue-chip companies
which include Apple and Caterpillar as a part of the group. The NASDAQ is the market cap-
weighted index of over 3,300 common equities listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange which
includes all NASDAQ listed stocks that are not derivatives, preferred shares, funds, exchange-
traded funds (ETFs) or debentures. As of May 17, 2018 the NASDAQ is currently at 7414.50
points, up 13 points or 17 percent (Google Finance, 2018). The S&P 500 is the third major index
of 505 stocks issued by 500 of the largest companies with market caps of about 6.1 billion and a
leading indicator of U.S. equities, and a market value weighted index and most common
benchmark for the U.S. stock market. As of May 17, 2018 the S&P was at 2724.92 points, up 2.50
points or .098 percent (Google Finance, 2018).
0.00
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
Close Close Close
S&P 500 Dow Jones Nasdaq
Top 3 U.S. Financial Indices
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
12/1/2013 12/1/2014 12/1/2015 12/1/2016 12/1/2017 5/17/2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
7
Aii. Five Year Sector Market Performance, Industry Performance And Current Trends
Apple (AAPL) Sector Market Performance:
AAPL is traded on the NASDAQ and stock prices as of May 17, 2018 were currently at
$187.98 per share and down by 11 percent, which is likely to cause investors a loss (Google
Finance, 2018). APPL is also expected to lose market share in China due to lack of demand for
iPhones thus gross margins and operating margins are at risk in this Country in the short run
(Delventhal, 2018). APPL has recently experienced decelerated sales growth in China despite
significant gains from 2013 to 2018 trending upward in the U.S. (Delventhal, 2018). However, on
the longer-term, the firm indicates growth due to the App Store and Apple Music and these
segments are likely to increase P/E (Delventhal, 2018). Other risks to the Company include the
global trade war and imposed tariffs of 100 billion on Chinese imports may negatively impact
APPL since many of their products are assembled there (Delventhal, 2018).
Caterpillar (CAT) Sector-Market Performance:
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.00 12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
9/1/2017
12/1/2017
3/1/2018
Price
Date
Apple, Inc. Stock Prices (AAPL)
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
8
Caterpillar’s (CAT) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 154.47 up by 44 percent (Google
Finance, 2018). Revenues have gradually increased from 2016 to 2017 from 38.5 to 45.5 billion,
and though earnings per share (EPS) were -0.11 in 2016, there was an increase in 2017 to 1.27
which is likely to climb in future reporting years (Rains, 2018). Stock prices have also increased
over the periods 2013 to 2017, however, there was a slight decline in May 2018 which may be of
some concern to investors. CAT is also trading with a Forward P/E of 15.81 which is a slight
discount compared to the construction and mining industry average of 15.85 (Rains, 2018).
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Sector- Market Performance:
Consolidated Edison Inc.’s (ED) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 74.13 down by .58
percent which is concerning for investors (Google Finance, 2018). Though stock price history
from 2013 to 2017 has increased the price has continued to fall in May for several days in a row
which analysts are currently recommending this company as a sell candidate (Stockinvest, 2018).
Analysts report that ED signalizes a slower rising rate, but may also be an early warning sign about
a possible trend shift (Stockinvest, 2018). Due to trends being broken there will now be resistance
at the bottom line of the trend at $75.64 (Stockinvest, 2018). A reaction back to this level may
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
9/1/2017
12/1/2017
3/1/2018
Price
Date
Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) Stock Prices
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
9
hold a second chance to get out before further falls. However, this stock is usually traded at good
volume and with minor daily changes with risk being relatively low. For the last week, the stock
had a daily average volatility rate of 1.28 percent (Stockinvest, 2018).
Northern Trust (NTRS) Sector-Market Performance
Northern Trust’s (NTRS) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 109.29 up by 1.02 percent
(Google Finance, 2018). NTRS had first quarter 2018 EPS of 1.58 and a favorable increase from
1.10 in 2017 (Zacks, 2018). Revenue growth and other credit metrics are showing significant
improvement and on an upward trend with 2016 revenues of 4.96 billion increasing to 5.36 billion
in 2017 (Zacks, 2018). However, operating expenses have continued to increase which could drag
down performance. The future outlook appears to be promising and management expects realizing
250 million in expense run rate savings by 2020 which on a combined basis will create roughly 55
million in annual net savings to be fully realized by first quarter of 2019 (Zacks, 2018).
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
9/1/2017
12/1/2017
3/1/2018
Price
Date
Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Stock Prices
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
10
Macy’s (M) Market Performance:
Macy’s (M) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 34.48 up by 3.95 percent (Google Finance,
2018). Macy’s has a trailing twelve months of P/E ratio of 7.9 percent which is pretty favorable
since the P/E for the S&P 500 is currently about 21.1 percent and also compares favorably with
the market sector which is 30.1 percent, indicating that the stock is undervalued compared to its
peers (Zacks, 2018). Macy’s is not only considered by analysts to be a good choice for value
investors but revenues are expected to remain steady over the next 6 years with EPS likely to
increase during this same time period (Zacks, 2018). In fact, over the past year, the industry has
outperformed the broader market (Zacks, 2018).
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
9/1/2017
12/1/2017
3/1/2018
Price
Date
Northern Trust(NTRS) Stock Prices
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
12/1/2013
3/1/2014
6/1/2014
9/1/2014
12/1/2014
3/1/2015
6/1/2015
9/1/2015
12/1/2015
3/1/2016
6/1/2016
9/1/2016
12/1/2016
3/1/2017
6/1/2017
9/1/2017
12/1/2017
3/1/2018
Price
Date
Macy's (M) Stock Prices
December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
11
Industry Performance:
The technology industry (AAPL) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018
increased to 11.2 percent, year over year, above the industry average. Sales growth accelerated to
6.06 percent year over year but remained below industry average (CSI Markets, 2018). The farm
and construction equipment industry (CAT) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018
increased to 15.47 percent above industry average where revenue fell by 6.32 percent and overall
ranking has declined compared to the previous quarter (CSI Markets, 2018). The regulated electric
industry’s (ED) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 increased to 4.87 percent year
over year above the industry average, and revenue grew by 7.23 percent (CSI Markets, 2018). The
investment services industry (NTRS) revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 decelerated to
16.49 percent year over year but still remained above industry average, while revenue grew by
3.97 percent (CSI Markets, 2018). The department and discount retail industry’s (M) pace of
revenue growth in the first quarter 2018 accelerated to 6.68 percent year over year above industry
average, though revenue fell by 3.45 percent (CSI Markets, 2018).
Aiii. Impact Of The Five-Year And Current Macroeconomic Data On Asset Prices
The following data projects stock valuations for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M:
Fiscal year ends in September. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD in millions except per share data.
Revenues 215,639 229,234 238,403 247,939 257,857 268,171
Cost of Goods Sold 131,376 141,048 166,882 173,558 180,500 187,720
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 14,194 15,261 40,529 42,150 42,546 44,248
Research and development 10,045 11,581 10,813 11,197 11,005 11,101
Operating Income 60,024 72,925 30,992 32,232 34,811 36,203
Net Interest Expenditure 1,456 2,323 1,890 2,106 1,998 2,052
Pre-Tax Income 61,372 64,089 29,103 30,126 32,813 34,151
Taxes 18,412 19,227 8,731 9,038 9,844 10,245
Net Income 42,960 44,862 20,372 21,088 22,969 23,906
Earnings Per Share 7.85 8.60 3.81 3.99 4.32 4.51
Shares Outstanding 5,471 5,217 5,344 5,281 5,312 5,296
Apple (AAPL) Stock
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
12
Caterpillar (CAT) Stock
Fiscal year ends in December 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD in Million except per share data
Revenues 38,537 45,462 47,280 49,172 51,139 53,184
Cost of Goods Sold 28,309 31,049 33,096 34,420 35,797 37,229
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 4,686 5,177 8,038 8,359 8,438 8,775
Research and development 1,951 1,905 1,928 1,917 1,922 1,919
Operating Income 1,905 9,236 6,146 6,392 6,904 7,180
Net Interest Expenditure 1,101 1,177 1,139 1,158 1,149 1,153
Pre-Tax Income 804 8,059 5,007 5,234 5,755 6,027
Taxes 192 3,339 1,502 1,570 1,727 1,808
Net Income 612 4,720 3,505 3,664 4,029 4,219
Earnings Per Share -0.11 1.27 5.91 6.17 6.79 7.11
Shares Outstanding 592 594 593 594 593 593
Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock
Fiscal year ends in December. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD in millions except per share data.
Revenues 12,075 12,033 12,514 13,015 13,535 14,077
Cost of Goods Sold 3,088 2,625 8,760 9,110 9,475 9,854
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 3,269 3,303 2,127 2,213 2,233 2,323
Research and development 0 0 0 0 0 0
Operating Income 5,718 6,105 1,627 1,692 1,827 1,900
Net Interest Expenditure 702 737 720 728 724 726
Pre-Tax Income 5,016 5,368 907 964 1,103 1,174
Taxes 698 472 272 289 331 352
Net Income 4,318 4,896 635 675 772 822
Earnings Per Share 14.39 15.95 2.09 2.21 2.54 2.70
Shares Outstanding 300 307 304 305 304 305
Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock
Fiscal year ends in December. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD in millions except per share data.
Revenues 4,962 5,375 5,590 5,814 6,046 6,288
Cost of Goods Sold 3,473 3,763 3,913 4,070 4,232 4,402
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 844 914 950 988 998 1,038
Research and development 84 95 90 92 91 92
Operating Income 645 699 727 756 816 849
Net Interest Expenditure 182 340 261 301 281 291
Pre-Tax Income 463 359 466 455 535 558
Taxes 139 108 140 137 161 167
Net Income 324 251 326 319 375 391
Earnings Per Share 1.42 1.10 1.43 1.40 1.64 1.71
Shares Outstanding 228 228 228 228 228 228
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
13
The impact of the five-year and current macroeconomic data came in higher than expected.
However, trades in China likely to be impacted on the trade front as a result of additional tariffs
up to USD 100 billion worth of Chinese imports and a rapidly transforming global market (CBO,
2018). The U.S. economy is still the largest in the world and represents about 20 percent to the
total global output which is still larger than China (CBO, 2018).. The U.S. economy is dominated
by services-oriented businesses in areas such as technology, financial services, healthcare and
retail (CBO, 2018). The U.S. is the second leading manufacturer in the world and a leader in auto,
aerospace, machinery, telecommunications, and chemicals (CBO, 2018). The five-year impact of
current macroeconomic data on asset prices shows that it continues to recover from a period of
turmoil due to a mix of factors (CBO, 2018).. These factors include low interest rates, a hike in
mortgage lending activity, high consumer debt, and lax government regulations which had led to
a recession in 2008 (CBO, 2018). The economy continues to recover, however, there are still
concerns over challenges going forward.
B. Company Valuation
Bi. Key Ratios And Comparison To Peers And Industry:
Macy's (M) Stock
Fiscal year ends in January. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
USD in millions except per share data.
Revenues 27,079 25,778 24,837 25,830 26,864 27,938
Cost of Goods Sold 16,496 15,621 15,152 18,081 18,805 19,557
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 8,256 8,265 8,131 4,391 4,433 4,610
Research and development 0 0 0 0 0 0
Operating Income 2,327 1,892 1,554 3,358 3,627 3,772
Net Interest Expenditure 363 367 311 339 325 332
Pre-Tax Income 1,964 1,525 1,243 3,019 3,302 3,440
Taxes 589 458 373 906 990 1,032
Net Income 1,375 1,068 870 2,113 2,311 2,408
Earnings Per Share 4.19 3.47 2.85 6.89 7.56 7.87
Shares Outstanding 328 308 305 307 306 306
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
14
As of May 2018, AAPL had a debt/assets ratio of .33 percent which represents the amount
of financed assets lasting longer than one year. The ratio increased from .25 in March of 2017 to
.28 in March 2018 to 33 in May 2018, which is a sign that they may be using an increasing amount
of debt to fund their operations (CSI Market, 2018). AAPL’s debt/equity ratio as of May 2018 was
.79 percent higher than the industry average of .32 percent (CSI Market, 2018). The current ratio
is 1.46 which is lower than the industry average of 1.94 (CSI Market, 2018). The current ratio of
1.46 generally indicates good short term financial strength and is ranked lower than 82 percent of
the 2227 companies in the global industry (CSI Market, 2018). Apple’s EBITA/Interest ratio is
20.07 percent which is lower than the industry average of 59.34 and ranked lower than 60 percent
of the 1906 companies, where the Debt/EBITDA ratio is 1.55, lower than the industry average of
2.03 and a sign that the Company spends less time paying off debt than other competitors in the
industry. AAPL’s cash flow ops/total debt is .72 percent, where the industry average is 1.41 and
an indicator that there may not be enough cash in hand to pay off its debt (CSI Market, 2018).
Apple (AAPL)
Industry: Consumer Electronics Firm Ind Avg
Debt & Coverage Ratios
Debt/Assets 0.33
Debt/Equity 0.79 0.32
Current Assets/Current Liability 1.46 1.94
EBITDA/Interest 20.07 59.34
Debt/EBITDA 1.55 2.03
Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.72 1.14
Caterpillar (CAT)
Industry: Farm and Construction Equipment Firm Ind Avg
Debt & Coverage Ratios
Debt/Assets 0.45
Debt/Equity 2.32 0.39
Current Assets/Current Liability 1.36 1.79
EBITDA/Interest 8.52 37.06
Debt/EBITDA 2.87 2.96
Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.22 0.54
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
15
As of May 2018, CAT had a debt/asset ratio of .45 percent, and a debt/equity ratio of 2.32
percent which is higher than the industry average of .39 (Guru Focus, 2018). This generally means
that the Company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt which will result in volatile
earnings from interest expenses. However, CAT ranked lower than 94 percent of the 128
companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). CAT’s current assets/current liability ratio
is 1.36 which is lower than the industry average of 1.79 and a sign that when compared to peers,
they are better able to pay off short-term obligations.
CAT’s EBITDA/interest ratio is 8.52 and a sign of low financial strength, where the
industry average was 37.06 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company ranks lower than 81 percent of the
132 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). CAT’s debt/EBITDA ratio is 2.87
where the industry average is 2.96. CAT is ranked lower than 64 percent of the 122 companies in
the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). CAT’s cash flow ops/total debt ratio is .22 percent and
a sign that it could not pay off debt using cash in hand, where the industry average is .54 percent
(Guru Focus, 2018). The Company ranked lower than 78 percent of the 154 companies in the
global industry (CSI Markets, 2018).
As of May 2018, ED had a debt/assets ratio of .36 percent. ED had a debt/equity ratio of
1.11 percent where the industry average is.96 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company’s high
debt/equity ratio is an indicator that it has been more aggressive than its peers in financing growth
Consolidated Edison (ED)
Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric Firm Ind Avg
Debt & Coverage Ratios
Debt/Assets 0.36
Debt/Equity 1.11 0.96
Current Assets/Current Liability 0.67 1.07
EBITDA/Interest 3.83 5.16
Debt/EBITDA 3.99 3.63
Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.04 0.25
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
16
with debt. However, ED ranked lower than 55 percent of the 568 companies in the global industry
(Guru Focus, 2018). ED’s current assets/current liability ratio is .67 percent which is lower than
the industry average of 1.07 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company is ranked lower than 77 percent
of the 637 company in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). ED’s EBITDA/Interest ratio is 3.83
which is lower than the industry average of 5.16 and a sign that financial strength is lower when
compared to its peers.
Currently, ED is ranked lower than 64 percent of the 611 peer companies in the global
industry (Guru Focus, 2018). ED had a debt/EBITDA ratio of 3.99 where the industry average was
3.63 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company is ranked lower than 52 percent of the 568 Companies in
the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). The cash flow ops/total debt ratio was .04 percent and
lower than the industry average of .25 percent and a sign that it may be less likely to pay off debt
using cash in hand. With this regard, ED’s cash flow ops/total debt is ranked lower than 81 percent
of the 621 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018).
As of May 2018, NTRS had a debt/assets ratio of .14 percent. The Company’s debt/equity
ratio was 1.80 percent, higher than the industry average of .27 (Guru Focus, 2018). This indicates
that NTRS uses aggressive financing tactics in its growth as opposed to its industry peers. This
can result in volatile earnings as a result of a large amount of interest expense (Guru Focus, 2018).
During the past 13 years, the highest debt/equity ratio of NTRS was 4.49 where the lowest was .40
Northern Trust (NTRS)
Industry: Asset Management Firm Ind Avg
Debt & Coverage Ratios
Debt/Assets 0.14
Debt/Equity 1.80 0.27
EBITDA/Interest -122 2.81
Debt/EBITDA 0 3.03
Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 2.20 9999.0
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
17
and the median was 1.33 (Guru Focus, 2018). The debt/equity ratio of NTRS ranked lower than
88 percent of the 554 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). NTRS
EBITDA/Interest ratio is currently operating at a loss and did not have earnings to cover the interest
expense (CSI Markets, 2018).
For the first quarter of 2018, NTRS’s interest expense was -122 million and its operating
income was 0 million (Guru Focus, 2018). The debt/EBITDA at the end of the first quarter 2018
was 0 million a sign that it is able to pay off its debt quickly. NTRS also ranked lower than 77
percent of the 533 companies in the global industry where the industry average is 3.03 versus 3.31
for NTRS (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company had a cash flow ops/total debt ratio of 2.20 as
opposed to the industry average of 9999.0 and ranked lower than 81 percent of the 1151 companies
in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018).
Macy’s (M) had a debt/assets ratio of .30 percent and a debt/equity ratio of 1.04 which is
higher than the industry average of .48 (Guru Focus, 2018). The high debt/equity ratio generally
means that Macy’s has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Macy’s current
assets/current liability ratio is 1.47 which is lower than the industry average of 1.59 and indicates
good financial strength (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company’s EBITDA/Interest ratio was 15.37
percent and lower than the industry average of 28.48 percent which shows a weaker financial
strength when compared to its peers (Guru Focus, 2018). Macy’s debt/EBITDA ratio is 1.00 where
Macy's (M)
Industry: Department Stores Firm Ind Avg
Debt & Coverage Ratios
Debt/Assets 0.30
Debt/Equity 1.04 0.48
Current Assets/Current Liability 1.47 1.59
EBITDA/Interest 15.37 28.48
Debt/EBITDA 1.00 2.40
Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.25 1.02
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
18
the industry average is higher at 2.40 percent (Guru Focus, 2018). The low ratio indicates that
Macy’s can pay of its debt faster when compared to its peers. Macy’s cash flow ops/total debt ratio
is .25 percent where the industry average is 1.02 percent which shows the Company is unable to
pay off its debt using cash in hand (Guru Focus, 2018).
Bii. The Intrinsic Value Of Stock Assets
A stock is capable of holding intrinsic value outside of what the market price and is an
important factor to consider by value investors when selecting a company to invest in. One variety
of this model is the Gordon Growth Model which assumes the company in consideration is within
a steady state and growing in dividends (Alvarez, 2018). This valuation method takes the value of
the stock based on the difference in EPS and per-share book value to arrive at an intrinsic value to
see if the security is higher or lower than market price (Alvarez, 2018).
The following data estimates the intrinsic value of stock assets for AAPL, CAT, ED,
NTRS, and M:
Apple (AAPL) Stock
Current Stock Market Price: 187.98
EPS Estimate 3.81
Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018
Intrinsic Value 198.44
ROI 2.0
Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
Caterpillar (CAT) Stock
Current Stock Market Price: 154.47
EPS Estimate 5.91
Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018
Intrinsic Value 307.81
ROI 3.8%
Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
19
C. Industry Trends
Ci. Historic Industry Microeconomic Data:
Apple (AAPL): The Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industry in the
Information Technology Sector:
Apple operates within the technology, hardware, storage, and peripherals industry of the
information technology sector (Collelo, 2018). Historical industry data have shown that there is an
upward trend, and that Apple’s financial results have been strong hence providing investors with
a decent forecast for upcoming reporting periods. One of the most critical factors for Apple in
maintaining its growth is the Company’s ability to retain customers and prevent loss of business
Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock
Current Stock Market Price: 74.13
EPS Estimate 2.09
Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018
Intrinsic Value 108.85
ROI 2.8%
Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock
Current Stock Market Price: 109.29
EPS Estimate 1.43
Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018
Intrinsic Value 74.48
ROI 1.3%
Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
Macy's (M) Stock
Current Stock Market Price: 34.48
EPS Estimate 2.85
Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018
Intrinsic Value 148.44
ROI 8.3%
Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
20
from other competitors in the IT sector. Since the product life cycles in the consumer electronics
industry are relatively short, competitor products may have chances to lure iOS customers away
from Apple, which could make it difficult to forecast future performance (Collelo, 2018).
Alongside these lines, Apple must be able to continuously develop new products or services since
investors in the tech industry are more likely to flock to a Company that will provide greater returns
on investment (Collelo, 2018). However, in comparison, no other competitors such as Nokia,
Motorola, or BlackBerry have offered secondary devices that partner with their phones which
gives Apple a unique edge in addition to its brand name (Collelo, 2018).
Source: Fidelity, 2018
AAPL’s Historical Growth Rates:
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
21
Caterpillar (CAT): Sector: Industrials, Industry: Machinery
Caterpillar’s historical performance has shown has shown a fluctuation of higher net
income and revenue earnings during the years 2013 to 2015, a net loss of income in 2016, followed
by improvement in 2017. Analysts have forecasted that activity in the industrials sector and
machinery industry is likely to strengthen, however, other analysts note concerns over trade wars
that are impacting sales. The farm and construction industry has been in growth mode recently due
to a number of factors such as U.S. tax reform, strong economic activity, and positive commodity
price trends (Schoonmaker, 2018). Caterpillar has become one of the largest to second-largest
manufacturers of just about every product it makes and controls 19 percent of the global new
construction equipment market and nearly twice as large of its direct competitor, Komatsu
(Schoonmaker, 2018). New equipment sales for the machinery industries have been tied to heavy
construction and the general construction sector, mostly within the North Americas (45%), and the
Asian-Pacific (20%). Over the past seven years, Caterpillar’s spending on R&D averaged around
2 billion per year which exceeded the spending of another competitor (Schoonmaker, 2018). The
Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Stockholders Equity 123,549 111,547 119,355 128,249 134,047
Growth % -9.71% 7.00% 7.45% 4.52%
Revenues 170,910 182,795 233,715 215,639 229,234
Growth % 6.95% 27.86% -7.73% 6.30%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 5.72 6.49 9.28 8.35 9.27
Growth Rate 13.46% 42.99% -10.02% 11.02%
Dividends Per Share 1.69 1.85 2.03 2.23 2.46
Growth Rate 9.47% 9.73% 9.85% 10.31%
Sustainable Growth (SGR)
EPS 5.72 6.49 9.28 8.35 9.27
DPS 1.69 1.85 2.03 2.23 2.46
ROE 30.6% 33.6% 48.3% 36.9% 36.9%
Payout Ratio 0.30 0.29 0.22 0.27 0.27
Retention Ratio 0.70 0.71 0.78 0.73 0.73
SGR 21.59% 24.03% 37.70% 27.05% 27.09%
AAPL Historical Growth Rates
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
22
spending on R&D has allowed the Company to continuously innovate and develop better quality
products with stronger brand against its competitors.
Source: Fidelity, 2018
CAT’s Historical Growth Rates:
Consolidated Edison (ED): Utilities Sector and Multi-Utilities Industry
Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Stockholders Equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697
Growth % -19.53% -11.57% -11.29% 4.26%
Revenues 55,656 55,184 47,011 38,537 45,462
Growth % -0.85% -14.81% -18.03% 17.97%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 5.87 5.99 3.54 -0.11 1.27
Growth Rate 2.04% -40.90% -103.11% -1254.55%
Dividends Per Share 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10
Growth Rate 51.16% 13.08% 4.76% 0.65%
Sustainable Growth (SGR)
EPS 5.87 5.99 3.54 -0.11 1.27
DPS 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10
ROE 19.8% 19.7% 13.3% -0.5% 5.6%
Payout Ratio 0.29 0.43 0.83 -28.00 2.44
Retention Ratio 0.71 0.57 0.17 29.00 -1.44
SGR 13.97% 11.14% 2.26% -13.92% -8.10%
CAT Historical Growth Rates
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
23
Con-Ed operates within the utilities sector and multi-utilities industry in New York State
(NYS). The company focuses on electric and natural gas distribution, and has produced some of
the most stable earnings in the utilities sector. The regulatory framework in NYS, is a significant
factor which impacts earnings from weather and sales volume, resulting in lower earnings and cash
flow when compared to its peers (Fishman, 2018). NYS is the home to most of Con-Ed’s utility
earnings and returns are generally below the industry averages. Hence, there is less than average
confidence that the Company would be able to consistently earn profits above its cost of capital
during the next 15 years (Fishman, 2018). Con-Ed’s customers in New York City pay some of
the highest rates for electricity in the U.S. In addition, the city’s infrastructure is very old which
is more expensive to maintain placing the Company at risk from storm related damage (Fisherman,
2018).
Source: Fidelity, 2018
ED’s Historical Growth Rates:
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
24
Northern Trust (NTRS): Financials Sector and Capital Markets Industry
Northern Trust operates within the financials sector and capital markets industry, and due
to the current less stringent regulatory environment, the Company is likely to reduce excess capital
and increase its leverage by at least 5 percent (Compton, 2018). In addition, returns on equity
(ROE) are likely to increase by over 20 percent during the next five years (Compton, 2018).
Northern Trust consists of two business segments of a private bank that serves wealthy investors
in the U.S., and a custodian bank that serves institutional customers around the world (Compton,
2018).
Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Stockholders Equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697
Growth % -19.53% -11.57% -11.29% 4.26%
Revenues 12,354 12,919 12,554 12,075 12,033
Growth % 4.57% -2.83% -3.82% -0.35%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.62 3.73 4.07 4.15 4.97
Growth Rate 3.04% 9.12% 1.97% 19.76%
Dividends Per Share 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10
Growth Rate 51.16% 13.08% 4.76% 0.65%
Sustainable Growth (SGR)
EPS 3.62 3.73 4.07 4.15 4.97
DPS 2.46 2.52 2.60 2.68 2.76
ROE 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.1% 10.3%
Payout Ratio 0.68 0.68 0.64 0.65 0.56
Retention Ratio 0.32 0.32 0.36 0.35 0.44
SGR 2.82% 2.85% 3.36% 3.22% 4.56%
ED Historical Growth Rates
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
25
Northern Trust is also one of the most conservative and stable financial companies which
has often had more room for growth since it started out small (Compton, 2018). The Company’s
private banking operations serves more than 20 percent of the Forbes 400 richest families with
client relationships that have spanned over generations (Compton, 2018). This allows the
Company to maintain a strong position with high net worth clientele and investors who tend to
have less complex needs which has protected the bank from increased competition (Compton,
2018). In addition, Northern Trust is expected to grow over the next couple of years due to rising
interest rates which should improve ROE.
Macy’s (M): Consumer Discretionary Sector and Department Stores Industry:
Macy’s (M) operates within the consumer discretionary sector and the department stores
industry which is now one of the largest department stores within the U.S. However, the industry
has been extremely competitive and likely to see a reduction in profits during upcoming reporting
periods. Over the next five years, analysts have projected that Macy’s sales will decline by 1
percent on average, and operating margins will fall to 5 percent by 2021 against their 8 percent
Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Stockholders Equity 7,102 8,449 8,706 9,770 10,216
Growth % 18.97% 3.04% 12.22% 4.56%
Revenues 3,923 4,331 4,703 4,962 5,375
Growth % 10.40% 8.59% 5.51% 8.32%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.07 3.34 4.03 4.35 4.59
Growth Rate 8.79% 20.66% 7.94% 5.52%
Dividends Per Share 1.23 1.30 1.41 1.48 1.60
Growth Rate 5.69% 8.46% 4.96% 8.11%
Sustainable Growth (SGR)
EPS 3.07 3.34 4.03 4.35 4.59
DPS 1.23 1.30 1.41 1.48 1.60
ROE 10.3% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2%
Payout Ratio 0.40 0.39 0.35 0.34 0.35
Retention Ratio 0.60 0.61 0.65 0.66 0.65
SGR 6.17% 5.80% 7.09% 6.80% 7.30%
Northern Trust (NTRS) Growth Rates
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
26
three-year historical average (Brick, 2018). Investors had been rewarded total shareholder returns
of 412 percent from 2009 to 2015, but the Company has since stumbled (Brick, 2018). In addition,
spending has shifted from apparel to other categories and department stores are likely to be forced
to compete on price as a result of increased online competition (Brick, 2018). Macy’s is
continuously losing market share to other sector categories such as healthier foods or new
technologies and department store sales have fallen by 3 percent annually over the past five years.
(Brick, 2018).
Source: Fidelity, 2018
Macy's (M)
Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Stockholders Equity 6,051 6,249 5,378 4,250 4,323
Growth % 3.27% -13.94% -20.97% 1.72%
Revenues 27,686 27,931 28,105 27,079 25,778
Growth % 0.88% 0.62% -3.65% -4.80%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.29 3.93 4.3 3.26 2.01
Growth Rate 19.45% 9.41% -24.19% -38.34%
Dividends Per Share 0.95 1.19 1.39 1.49 1.51
Growth Rate 25.26% 16.81% 7.19% 1.34%
Sustainable Growth (SGR)
EPS 3.29 3.93 4.3 3.26 2.01
DPS 0.95 1.19 1.39 1.49 1.51
ROE 22.3% 24.2% 26.3% 22.3% 14.4%
Payout Ratio 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.46 0.75
Retention Ratio 0.71 0.70 0.68 0.54 0.25
SGR 15.85% 16.84% 17.76% 12.09% 3.59%
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
27
Cii. Analysis Of Quantitative Data Across Sectors And Industries
The following data shows Market-Cap & Industry Performance Breakdown for M, NTRS,
ED, CAT, & AAPL:
Source: Fidelity, 2018
The following data shows market-cap and sector performance breakdowns for AAPL,
CAT, ED, NTRS, & M:
Source: Fidelity, 2018
1.14
784.54
374.91
1.29
148.34
25.39
21.92
17.75
-7.21
27.37
34.42
13.18
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Technology Hardware, Storage &…
Machinery
Multi-Ultilities
Capital Markets
Multi-Line Retail
S&P 500
Market Cap and Industries In Comparison for
AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, M
Market Cap 1-Year % Change
9.55
4.28
1.23
7.7
5.81
25.39
27.45
11.14
-4.92
18.05
18.43
13.18
-10 0 10 20 30 40 50
Information Technology
Industrials
Utilities
Financials
Consumer Discretionary
S&P 500
Market Cap & Sector Performancefor M, NTRS,
ED, CAT, & AAPL
Market Cap 1 Year % Change
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
28
Quantitative industry data have shown that there are recent growth trends within the
information technology and consumer discretionary/multi-line retail industries and sectors
(Fidelity, 2018). Growth in these industries are likely to continue as a result of U.S. tax cuts and
fiscal stimulus acts which have helped with inflation in the first quarter of 2018 and pushed the
stock market high (Fidelity, 2018). On the other hand, the financials sector and capital markets
industries have weakened when compared to other industries and sectors (Fidelity, 2018). The
valuation of the technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary sectors have been elevated
and relative to their historical averages due to strong performance in recent quarters (Fidelity,
2018). The technology, consumer discretionary, and financials sectors have continued with steady
growth in the first quarter of 2018, are likely to be leaders in the market, where consumer
discretionary is now a part of the top three sectors and on a steady long-term uptrend (Fidelity,
2018). However, the utilities sector is continuing to lag behind with no reported change in trends
(Fidelity, 2018). The defensive sectors such as utilities, real estate, and telecom, have also lagged
in the market, with no sign of a change in trend (Fidelity, 2018).
D. Stakeholders
Di. Five Key Stakeholders And Their Needs In Relation To The Company’s Portfolio.
The five key stakeholders in relation to the Company’s portfolio includes employees,
customers, communities, investors, and regulators (HBR, 2007). Employee needs are based
around the desire to work for a company that is financially stable and able to make good
investments that lead to meeting their personal needs, job growth, improved work environment,
and improved visions that help employees become more competent and committed to working for
the company (HBR, 2007). Customers tend seek out companies they can trust to do business with
that have innovative products and services which is where investment strategies are necessary to
be able to sustain growth. Communities expect companies to make investments that not only build
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
29
organizations, but are also socially responsible. This is where it is necessary to select stocks that
have a good reputation in society and communities as to how they treat the environment and serve
the larger community. Investors expect the company to keep their promises in developing growth
strategies that align core competencies to the strategy and are committed to delivering adequate
returns on investment. When this occurs, investors gain high levels of confidence in the company
and are likely to continue to invest, which leads to higher market value. Regulators expect that
company leadership govern themselves in accordance to the securities laws and with high ethical
principles when engaging in investment activities.
Dii. Common Stockholders’ Primary Objective And Required Return On Equity.
The common stockholders’ primary objective is to invest in stocks that are profitable which
may involve measuring return on equity (ROE), or how much profit a company may generate with
the money invested (Investopedia, 2018). ROE estimates how effective the company is turning
cash into greater gains and growth for both the company and investors. The higher the ROE, the
more efficient the company is making use of the stockholders’ funds. Some factors that
stockholders consider are the weighted average number of shares issued throughout the year, the
average ROE over the past 5 to 10 years of historical growth, and whether or not a high growth
company is actually producing a higher ROE (Investopedia, 2018). The price-to-earnings (P/E)
ratio is another factor that stockholders look at which takes the stock price and divides it by net
income per share. However, one of the biggest weaknesses of ROE is its failure to recognize a
company’s debt (Early, 2018). However, higher debt would potentially increase a company’s
resource based necessary in generating additional profits. Since debt financing is more cost
effective than equity financing, companies can enhance their returns by taking on debt in a
reasonable amount (Early, 2018).
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
30
II. Portfolio:
A. Assets
Ai. Asset Classes, Considering The Portfolio’s Risk/Return Trade-Offs And Objectives.
The specific asset classes of the portfolio will consider a possible 80 percent allocation of
funds towards stocks and 20 percent toward bonds with the goal of optimizing growth. A growth
orientated corporation’s primary objective is to optimize the long-term potential for growth, and
would be willing to tolerate large short term price fluctuations, that has a long term investment
time horizon, with current income not being the primary goal (Investopedia, 2018).
Proposed Stock Portfolio for XYZ Company:
When analyzing the beta of the five stocks, a beta of 1 specifies that the stock’s price moves
with the market, where a beta of less than 1 indicates that the security is less volatile than the
market (Investopedia, 2018). A beta greater than 1 means that the stock’s price is more volatile
than the market. Therefore, a low beta is expected to underperform the benchmark in up markets
and outperform during down markets (Investopedia, 2018). Where most utilities and financial
industry stocks such as Con-Ed have a beta less than 1, and NASDAQ based stocks such as Apple,
have a beta greater than 1 which offers a possible higher return but also more risk (Investopedia,
2018). The CAPM describes the relationship between systematic risk and expected return for the
stocks, as well as generating expected portfolio returns given the risk of those assets and costs of
capital. In modern portfolio theory, the risk-free rate of return shows the rate of return of an
investment with zero risk and is the minimum return an investor expects for any investment
(Investopedia, 2018). The interest rate is generally taken on a three-month U.S. Treasury bill for
U.S. based investors. The portfolio variance measures how the aggregate actual returns of the set
of stocks fluctuate over time using the standard deviations of each security as well as the
correlations of each security in the portfolio. The variance can be reduced by selecting asset classes
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
31
with low or negative correlations (Investopedia, 2018). The Sharpe ratio shows the change in the
portfolio’s overall risk-return when a new asset allocation is added to it. A high Sharpe ratio
signifies that it actually improves the risk-return of a combined portfolio and adds a diversification
(Investopedia, 2018). If a new investment lowers the Sharpe ratio, then theoretically it should not
be added to the portfolio.
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
Macy's AAPL CAT ED NTRS
Macys Apple Caterpillar ED Northern Trust
XYZ, Inc. Proposed OptimalStock Portfolio
Beta CAPM Weight Portfolio Contribution
10%
36%
24%
12%
18%
100%
0.00880
0.10488
10%
1.92%
17.15%
1.52
100%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%
Macys
Apple
Caterpillar
ED
Northern Trust
SUM
Portfolio Variance
Standard Deviation
Market Return
Risk Free Rate
Total Portfolio Return
Sharpe Ratio
Leverage
XYZ, Inc. Optimal Portfolio
Weights, Returns, & Rates
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
32
Proposed Bond Portfolio for XYZ, Inc.:
The proposed bond portfolio was constructed using callable securities with a focus on
capital gains as well as income, as opposed to a buy and hold strategy focused on income and
principal. Callable securities assume that yields will remain relatively stable and must also have
views on the range of rates over the investment period as well as the market’s perception of future
rate uncertainty at the horizon date (Conley, 2018). Interest rate risks when investing in bonds are
also important since bond prices go in the opposite direction when related to interest rates. Hence,
when interest rates go up, the bond prices will go down and vice versa, thus adding an additional
diversification benefits to the portfolio (Gallant, 2018). Furthermore, diversifying with both long-
term and short-term bonds minimize additional risks since long term bonds are more subject to
interest rate risks when compared to short term bonds (Gallant, 2018).
4.25%
3.48%
4.17%
3.41%
6.36%
28
6
25
2
24
1046.5
1034
1039.5
1034.5
1051.3
101.74
685.87
134.8
904.54
54.5
1084.97
992.26
954.08
1001.47
816.63
Apple, Inc. (AAPL)
Caterpillar (CAT)
Consolidated Edison (ED)
Northern Trust (NTRS)
Macy’s (M)
Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Caterpillar (CAT)
Consolidated
Edison (ED)
Northern Trust
(NTRS)
Macy’s (M)
Int Value 1084.97 992.26 954.08 1001.47 816.63
PV Cash Flow 101.74 685.87 134.8 904.54 54.5
Cash Flow 1046.5 1034 1039.5 1034.5 1051.3
Maturity 28 6 25 2 24
YTM 4.25% 3.48% 4.17% 3.41% 6.36%
Bond Portfolio
Int Value PV Cash Flow Cash Flow Maturity YTM
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
33
Aii. Asset Allocation Weightings Across Asset Classes, Sectors, And Industries:
.
B. Securities
Bi. Historical Revenue And Earnings Growth In Comparison To Peers In The Industry.
The following analysis consists of historical revenue and earnings growth in
comparison to peers in the industry based on results for APPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, &
M.
Portfolio Weights Stock Beta CAPM Weight Portfolio Contribution
Macys Macy's 0.50 5.96% 10% 0.60%
Apple AAPL 1.11 10.89% 36% 3.92%
Caterpillar CAT 1.49 13.96% 24% 3.35%
ED ED 0.01 2.00% 12% 0.24%
Northern Trust NTRS 0.01 2.00% 18% 0.36%
AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
AAPL 0.05130 0.01738 0.00174 0.00605 0.00566
CAT 0.01738 0.05663 -0.00635 0.01206 -0.02015
ED 0.00002 -0.00635 0.03130 -0.01314 -0.00661
NTRS 0.00006 0.01206 -0.01314 0.03708 0.00543
M 0.00006 -0.02015 -0.00661 0.00543 0.11496
Variance-Co-Variance Matrix
12.70%
14.70%
10.20%
24.90%
2.90%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
Consumer
Discretionary
Financials Industrials Information
Technology
Utilities
Weights
Industry
Sector Weights in the S&P 500
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
34
Fiscal year ends in September.
USD in millions except per share data.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Income 37,037 39,510 53,394 45,687 48,351
Revenue 170,910 182,795 233,715 215,639 229,234
Total assets 207,000 231,839 290,479 321,686 375,319
Total stockholders' equity 123,549 111,547 119,355 128,249 134,047
Net Profit Margin 21.7% 21.6% 22.8% 21.2% 21.1%
x Total Asset Turnover 0.83 0.79 0.80 0.67 0.61
Return on Assets (ROA) 17.89% 17.04% 18.38% 14.20% 12.88%
Equity Multiplier (EM) 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.8
Return on Equity (ROE) 30.0% 35.4% 44.7% 35.6% 36.1%
AAPL Market and Industry Performance
AAPL Industry Average
Market Cap (B) 926.9 16.35
Total Annual Return 22.56% 21.09%
Beta (1 Year Annualized) 1.24 1.28
EPS TTM $10.37 $8.75
EPS Growth TTM 21.17% 17.65%
P/E TTM 18.2 17.57
Dividend Yield 1.55% 1.61%
Revenue (TTM) (B) 247.42 206.24
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 12.23% 11.48%
Shares Outstanding (Trillion ) 4.92 4.15
AAPL Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
926.9
22.56%
1.24
$10.37
21.17%
18.2
1.55%
247.42
12.23%
4.92
16.35
21.09%
1.28
$8.75
17.65%
17.57
1.61%
206.24
11.48%
4.15
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Market Cap (B)
Total Annual Return
Beta (1 Year Annualized)
EPS TTM
EPS Growth TTM
P/E TTM
Dividend Yield
Revenue (TTM) (B)
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM)
Shares Outstanding (Trillion )
AAPL Market and Industry Comparison As of May
2018
AAPL Industry Average
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
35
Fiscal year ends in January.
USD in millions except per share data.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Income 1,335 1,486 1,526 1,072 619
Revenue 27,686 27,931 28,105 27,079 25,778
Total assets 20,991 21,634 21,461 20,576 19,851
Total stockholders' equity 6,051 6,249 5,378 4,250 4,323
Net Profit Margin 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
x Total Asset Turnover 1.32 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.30
Return on Assets (ROA) 6.36% 6.87% 7.11% 5.21% 3.12%
Equity Multiplier (EM) 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.8 4.6
Return on Equity (ROE) 22.1% 23.8% 28.4% 25.2% 14.3%
Macy's (M) Market and Industry Performance
M Industry Average
Market Cap (B) $10.44 $2.12
Total Annual Return 46.10% 31.77%
Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.75 0.84
EPS TTM $5.26 $5.57
EPS Growth TTM 179.79% 47.39%
P/E TTM 6.49 14.52
Dividend Yield 4.42% 2.47%
Revenue (TTM) (B) $25.20 $31.38
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) -1.26% 6.07%
Shares Outstanding (Million ) 305.95 282.15
Macy's and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
$10.44
46.10%
0.75
$5.26
179.79%
6.49
4.42%
$25.20
-1.26%
305.95
$2.12
31.77%
0.84
$5.57
47.39%
14.52
2.47%
$31.38
6.07%
282.15
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Market Cap (B)
Beta (1 Year Annualized)
EPS Growth TTM
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM)
Macy's and IndustryPerformanceComparison As
of May 2018
M Industry Average
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
36
Fiscal year ends in December.
USD in millions except per share data.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Income 3,789 3,695 2,102 612 754
Revenues 55,656 55,184 47,011 38,537 45,462
Total assets 84,896 84,681 78,497 74,704 76,962
Total stockholders' equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697
Net Profit Margin 6.8% 6.7% 4.5% 1.6% 1.7%
x Total Asset Turnover 0.66 0.65 0.60 0.52 0.59
Return on Assets (ROA) 4.46% 4.36% 2.68% 0.82% 0.98%
Equity Multiplier (EM) 4.1 5.1 5.3 5.7 5.6
Return on Equity (ROE) 18.2% 22.1% 14.2% 4.7% 5.5%
CAT Market and Industry Performance
CAT Industry Average
Market Cap (B) $93.19 $11.21
Total Annual Return 48.40% 18.64%
Beta (1 Year Annualized) 1.3 1.22
EPS TTM $3.68 $3.57
EPS Growth TTM 0.00% 42.34%
P/E TTM 42.35 22.99
Dividend Yield 2.00% 2.02%
Revenue (TTM) (B) $48.50 $17.46
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 24.68% 18.12%
Shares Outstanding (Millions) 598 372
CAT Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
$93.19
48.40%
1.3
$3.68
0.00%
42.35
2.00%
$48.50
24.68%
598
$11.21
18.64%
1.22
$3.57
42.34%
22.99
2.02%
$17.46
18.12%
372
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Market Cap (B)
Total Annual Return
Beta (1 Year Annualized)
EPS TTM
EPS Growth TTM
P/E TTM
Dividend Yield
Revenue (TTM) (B)
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM)
Shares Outstanding (Millions)
CAT Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May
2018
CAT Industry Average
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
37
Fiscal year ends in December.
USD in millions except per share data.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Income 1,062 1,092 1,193 1,245 1,525
Revenue 12,354 12,919 12,554 12,075 12,033
Total assets 40,647 44,308 45,642 48,255 48,111
Total stockholders' equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697
Net Profit Margin 8.6% 8.5% 9.5% 10.3% 12.7%
x Total Asset Turnover 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.25
Return on Assets (ROA) 2.61% 2.46% 2.61% 2.58% 3.17%
Equity Multiplier (EM) 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.7 3.5
Return on Equity (ROE) 5.1% 6.5% 8.1% 9.5% 11.1%
Consolidated Edison (ED) Market and Industry Performance
ED Industry Average
Market Cap (B) $23.59 $5.36
Total Annual Return -7.47% -2.25%
Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.04 0.48
EPS TTM $5.04 $3.09
EPS Growth TTM 16.40% 37.59%
P/E TTM 15.06 15.11
Dividend Yield 3.77% 4.93%
Revenue (TTM) (B) $12.17 $22.51
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 0.18% 4.97%
Shares Outstanding (Million ) 310.7 727.9
Consolidated Edison (ED) and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
$23.59
-7.47%
0.04
$5.04
16.40%
15.06
3.77%
$12.17
0.18%
310.7
$5.36
-2.25%
0.48
$3.09
37.59%
15.11
4.93%
$22.51
4.97%
727.9
-100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Market Cap (B)
Total Annual Return
Beta (1 Year Annualized)
EPS TTM
EPS Growth TTM
P/E TTM
Dividend Yield
Revenue (TTM) (B)
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM)
Shares Outstanding (Million )
ED vs. Industry Comparison As of May 2018
ED Industry Average
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
38
Fiscal year ends in December.
USD in millions except per share data.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Income 728 802 950 1,009 1,149
Revenue 3,923 4,331 4,703 4,962 5,375
Total assets 102,659 109,946 116,750 123,927 138,590
Total stockholders' equity 7,102 8,449 8,706 9,770 10,216
Net Profit Margin 18.6% 18.5% 20.2% 20.3% 21.4%
x Total Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04
Return on Assets (ROA) 0.71% 0.73% 0.81% 0.81% 0.83%
Equity Multiplier (EM) 14.5 13.0 13.4 12.7 13.6
Return on Equity (ROE) 10.3% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2%
Northern Trust (NTRS) Market and Industry Performance
NTRS Industry Average
Market Cap (B) $23.99 $18.43
Total Annual Return 20.76% 2760736.00%
Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.96 1.27
EPS TTM $5.41 $5.95
EPS Growth TTM 23.52% 29.60%
P/E TTM 19.71 20.43
Dividend Yield 1.58% 2.20%
Revenue (TTM) (B) $5.97 $16.72
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 13.74% 16.25%
Shares Outstanding (Million ) 224.99 838.98
NTRS and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
$23.99
20.76%
0.96
$5.41
23.52%
19.71
1.58%
$5.97
13.74%
224.99
$18.43
2760736.00%
1.27
$5.95
29.60%
20.43
2.20%
$16.72
16.25%
838.98
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Market Cap (B)
Total Annual Return
Beta (1 Year Annualized)
EPS TTM
EPS Growth TTM
P/E TTM
Dividend Yield
Revenue (TTM) (B)
Revenue Growth Rate (TTM)
Shares Outstanding (Million )
NTRS and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018
NTRS Industry Average
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
39
Bii. The Intrinsic Value Of Assets:
The intrinsic value of the assets were calculated using the present value of the company’s
future free cash flows into a discounted cash flow (DCF) model projected over a ten year period.
The annual discount rate of 10 percent was used with the assumption that there could be another
economic recession in the next ten years. The discontinued perpetuity value was calculated using
the rate of 3 percent assuming that growth will slow down in the future:
Apple’s current stock price is $187.50, where the highest price to intrinsic value projected
FCF is ranked higher than 65 percent of the 1,289 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus,
2018). Caterpillar’s current stock price is $155.46 and the highest price to intrinsic value projected
FCF is ranked lower than 63 percent of the 93 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus,
Discounted Perpetuity CF 35,379.46 *In billions
Shares Outstanding 5,000 *In billions
Intrinsic Value $147.08 per share
AAPL Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
Discounted Perpetuity CF 55,169.27 *In billions
Shares Outstanding 603 *In millions
Intrinsic Value $91.49 per share
CAT Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
Discounted Perpetuity CF 3,349.19 *In millions
Shares Outstanding 310 *In millions
Intrinsic Value $10.80 per share
ED Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
Discounted Perpetuity CF 48,104.00 *In billions
Shares Outstanding 229 *In millions
Intrinsic Value $210.06 per share
NTRS Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
Discounted Perpetuity CF 28,052.11 *In millions
Shares Outstanding 306.8 *In millions
Intrinsic Value $91.43 Per share
M Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
40
2018). Consolidated Edison’s current stock price is $75.54 where the highest price to intrinsic
value projected FCF ranked lower than 54 percent of the 292 companies in the global industry
(Guru Focus, 2018). The stock price of Northern Trust is currently $105.76, whereas the highest
price to intrinsic value projected FCF is ranked lower than 56 percent of the 306 companies in the
global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). The stock price of Macy’s is currently $35.56, and the price
to intrinsic value projected FCFis ranked higher than 87 percent of the 487 companies in the global
industry (Guru Focus, 2018).
C. Rates of Return
Ci. Historical Risk And Rates Of Return Against The S&P 500
Historical rates of return were calculated and benchmarked against the S&P 500 using
a linear regression analysis of monthly data from July 1, 2017 to May 1, 2018. The R-squared
in the equation and the coefficient R of the five stocks shows the correlation between the stocks
(AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, M) and the S&P 500. A high R-squared is indicative that the stock’s
performance is in movement with the S&P 500. The higher the R-squared, the better the
performance of the security in the S&P. In the following analysis, y represents monthly returns
for the respective Company, and x represents the S&P 500. What the equation explains is that
for every increase of 1 percentage point of the S&P (x), there is a point increase in the Company
return (y), which is the slope of the line. If the S&P were zero in a month, or no movement
then the stock would decline by the percentage point in y. The R-squared is the percentage
variation in y attributed to the S&P.
The higher the R-squared, the better the performance of the security in the S&P. In the
following analysis, y represents monthly returns for the respective Company, and x represents
the S&P 500. What the equation explains is that for every increase of 1 percentage point of the
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
41
S&P (x), there is a point increase in the company return (y), which is the slope of the line. If
the S&P were zero in a month, or no movement then the stock would decline by the percentage
point in y. The R-squared is the percentage variation in y attributed to the S&P. A high R-
squared between 85 and 100 percent is a sign that the stock’s performance moves in line with
the index, where a fund with a low R-squared at 70 or lower, indicates that it does not generally
follow movements in the index (Investopedia, 2018). A higher R-squared will also provide a
more useful beta figure.
y = 1.0092x - 0.0099
R² = 0.1992
-0.14
-0.12
-0.1
-0.08
-0.06
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06
S&P-APPL
07/01/2017-05/1/2018 Monthly Returns
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
42
y = -0.3945x - 0.0067
R² = 0.0257
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06
S&P-CE
07/01/2017-05/01/2018 Monthly Returns
y = -0.0745x - 0.0128
R² = 0.0025
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06
S&P-NTRS
07/01/2017- 05/01/2018 MonthlyReturns
y = -0.9381x - 0.0049
R² = 0.0221
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06
S&P-M
07/01/2017 - 05/01/2018 Monthly Returns
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
43
Bii. Required Rates Of Return
The required rates of return for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M were calculated taking the
risk free rate plus the beta of each individual stock multiplied by the expected market return minus
the risk free rate of return. Therefore, in order to take on the investment, the individual stock must
meet or exceed the required return in order to justify the risk of owning it. However, regardless
of the risk-return objectives, to assemble an efficient portfolio, risks and returns can be minimized
through diversification with multiple stocks and bonds from different industries and sectors.
Required Rates of Return
For AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M
Stock Beta RequiredReturn
Macys 0.50 5.96
Apple 1.11 10.89
Caterpillar 1.49 13.96
ED 0.01 2.00
NorthernTrust 0.01 2.00
Risk-Free Rate 1.92
ExpectedMarketReturn 10
D. Risk/Return Trade-Off On The Investments.
The risk-return tradeoff is the concept in which a potential investment return will rise with
an increase in risk, while low levels of risk are associated with lower returns. Invested money can
lead to higher profits only if the investor is willing to accept the potential losses should they occur
(Investopedia, 2018). At the portfolio level, the risk-return tradeoff includes an assessment on the
diversity of holdings and whether or not the mix presents too much risk or a lower than expected
potential for returns. Under Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), investors may design an optimal
portfolio in order to maximize returns while taking on a quantifiable amount of risk, and the risk
can be reduced through diversification using a quantifiable method (McClure, 2017). Therefore,
investment in more than one stock would reduce the riskiness of the portfolio in the event that the
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
44
return is lower than expected or deviates from the average return. For a well-diversified portfolio,
the risk or average deviation from the mean of each stock would contribute little risk, and instead,
the covariance between the individual stocks’ risk would determine the amount of overall portfolio
risk (McClure, 2017).
The following portfolio analysis shows a comparison between the optimal risky portfolio
and an equally weighted portfolio of assets for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M taking monthly
data from December 1, 2013 to May 1, 2018.
The higher the variance, the less attractive the stock is for investing. As you can see from
the analysis, Macy’s has an extremely high variance of 11.72% when compared to the other stocks,
as well as the lowest return thus not an attractive investment. However, Macy’s could be included
as a part of the portfolio in consideration of whether it could add value by combining it with the
other four stocks. The Companies with the highest average annual returns are Apple, Caterpillar,
and Northern Trust. Assuming we have an equally weighted investment allocation of 20 percent
for each stock, the expected return of the entire portfolio would be 14.62 percent where the
standard deviation would be 10.87 percent, and the Sharpe Ratio would be 1.17. However, for an
optimal risky portfolio, the Company is likely to benefit from greater returns (Van Delsem, 2016).
An optimal risky portfolio would result in weighted allocations for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and
M of .22, .11, .35, .32, and 0 respectively, thus resulted in a higher expected return of 17.15 percent,
AAPL 0.20 AAPL 0.22 AAPL 24.44%
CAT 0.20 CAT 0.11 CAT 19.28%
ED 0.20 ED 0.35 ED 11.88%
NTRS 0.20 NTRS 0.32 NTRS 16.75%
M 0.20 M 0.00 M -0.23%
SUM 1.00 SUM 1.00
Risk Free Rate 1.92%
Expected Return 14.62% Expected Return 17.15% Aversion Rate 10
Std Deviation 10.87% Std Deviation 10.04%
Sharpe Ratio 1.17 Sharpe Ratio 1.52
Equally Weighted Portfolio Optimal Risky Portfolio Returns
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
45
a standard deviation of 10.04 percent, and a Sharpe Ratio of 1.52. This would give a much higher
Sharpe Ratio which would improve the risk-return trade off fairly dramatically by changing the
weights of the portfolio (Van Delsem, 2016). From the point of view of the risk averse investor,
high risk stocks would not be selected and safe investments would be considered including
investing in bonds (Van Delsem, 2016).
Risk-averse investors may want to invest in corporate bonds which are likely to pay out a
steady dividend to investors. Corporate bonds are safer than investing in common stocks because
in the event that the company becomes insolvent, the bond investors would receive the first
payments over the shareholders from the remaining funds after creditors are paid off (Egan, 2015).
The two primary risks faced by bonds include interest rate risk and credit risk (Egan, 2015).
Interest rate risk is the risk that occurs from the sensitivity of bond durations, prices, and the impact
of rate fluctuations. When interest rates rise, the bond prices will fall and the longer the maturity
date, the more sensitive the bond is to expected changes in interest rates (Egan, 2015). The second
risk pertains to credit ratings, or the risk that the Company may default by either not paying its
coupons or principal or by filing bankruptcy (Egan, 2015). The ratings agencies such as Fitch and
Moody’s provide ratings on bonds and issuers with the lowest ratings are viewed as more likely to
default on their payments, yet pay higher premiums over the rate offered on U.S. Treasury bonds
to incentivize investors to take on the higher risk (Egan, 2015).
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
46
Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00
Coupon Payment -$1,046.50 Coupon Payment -$1,034.00
Coupon Rate = 4.65% Coupon Rate = 3.40%
n = 1 n = 1
Apple, Inc. 1 28 Caterpillar, Inc. 1 6
YTM Time To Maturity YTM Time To Maturity
years = 1 years=28 years = 1 years = 6
5% $1,949.05 $15,845.98 5% $1,937.14 $5,994.48
10% $1,860.45 $9,808.67 10% $1,849.09 $5,067.81
15% $1,779.57 $6,857.29 15% $1,768.70 $4,345.48
20% $1,705.42 $5,206.82 20% $1,695.00 $3,773.48
The More Years to Maturity the Higher the Interest Rate Risk
Apple, Inc. Caterpillar, Inc.
Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00
Coupon Payment -$1,039.50 Coupon Payment -$1,034.50
Coupon Rate = 3.95% Coupon Rate = 3.45%
n = 1 n = 1
Con-Ed, Inc. 1 25 NTRS, Inc. 1 2
YTM Time To Maturity YTM Time To Maturity
years = 1 years = 25 years = 1 years = 2
5% $1,942.38 $14,945.96 5% $1,937.62 $2,830.59
10% $1,854.09 $9,527.88 10% $1,849.55 $2,621.86
15% $1,773.48 $6,749.86 15% $1,769.13 $2,437.94
20% $1,699.58 $5,153.50 20% $1,695.42 $2,274.93
Con-Ed, Inc. NTRS, Inc.
Macy's, Inc.
Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00
Coupon Payment -$1,051.30
Coupon Rate = 5.13% Corporate Bond Credit Ratings Moody's S&P
n = 1 Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Aa1/AA+
Caterpillar (CAT) A3/A
Macy's, Inc. 1 24 Consolidated Edison (ED) A2/A-
YTM Time To Maturity Northern Trust (NTRS) A2/A+
years = 1 years = 24 Macy’s (M) Baa3/BBB-
5% $1,953.62 $14,816.58
10% $1,864.82 $9,547.19
15% $1,783.74 $6,798.76
20% $1,709.42 $5,202.96
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
47
From the above selected corporate bonds, Apple, Con-Ed, and Macy’s have longer
maturities which present a greater level of risk, where, Caterpillar, and NTRS have shorter maturity
dates which would make the investment less subjected to interest rate risk. Macy’s was also ranked
a lower score by the ratings agencies which leaves its bonds more risky to invest in.
III. Executive Summary:
XYZ Tech Company is seeking potential investment opportunities in the following
companies: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT), Consolidated Edison (ED), Northern
Trust, Inc. (NTRS), and Macy’s, Inc. (M). The investment analysis report of the aforementioned
consists of information and parameters along with results from financial database research with
the goal of generating the maximum rates of return within the given risk class.
A. These Investments Will Position XYZ To Generate An Attractive
Absolute And Relative Investment Performance.
Making these investments will position XYZ Tech Company to generate an attractive level
of absolute and relative investment performance. The absolute performance measures the amount
of returns that an asset achieves over a given period of time and expressed as a percentage. Apple,
Caterpillar, and NTRS, provide the greatest percentages of annual and monthly returns when
looking at financial data pulled from the periods January 1, 2014 to May 1, 2018 (Yahoo Finance,
2018). Whereas, Con-Ed and Macy’s were lowest in performance. The investment performance
results have shown average annual returns of 25.44%, 19.28%, and 16.75%, and average monthly
returns of 0.44%, 0.48%, and 0.31% respectively. Whereas, Con-Ed and Macy’s produced average
annual returns of 11.88% and -0.23%, and average monthly returns of 0.99% and -0.02%
respectively. When looking at the historical variances, the stocks with the lowest variances
typically generate returns that are closer to its average. A stock with a higher variance can generate
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
48
returns that are significantly higher or lower than expected which can increase the level of
uncertainty and the risk of losing money.
AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
Average Monthly Returns 2.12% 1.61% 0.99% 1.40% -0.02%
MonthlyVariance 0.44% 0.48% 0.27% 0.31% 0.98%
Average Annual Return 25.44% 19.28% 11.88% 16.75% -0.23%
Annual Variance 5.23% 5.77% 3.19% 3.78% 11.72%
The relative return on the investments provides insights into the performance of each asset
relative to a benchmark which in this case is the S&P 500. The relative returns consider the return
of investment less the absolute return of the benchmark.
-5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00%
Average Monthly Returns
Monthly Variance
Average Annual Return
Annual Variance
AbsolutePerformanceof M, NTRS, ED, CAT, and AAPL
from 01/01/2014to 05/01/2018
M NTRS ED CAT AAPL
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
49
B. The Benefits Of The Investments To Stakeholders.
There are several benefits to the stakeholders when a corporation invests heavily in stocks,
bonds, and other securities. One most significant benefit is that the investments may increase the
firm’s overall net worth by taking a portion of the Company’s capital in high-yield securities (John,
2018). There are other defensive protections for the XYZ’s assets by investing in safer funds.
This is additionally much safer than investing the firm’s excess cash in a bank, since the FDIC has
insurance limitations and any funds in excess may be lost if the bank files for bankruptcy (John,
2018). Investments are also a beneficial source of income during an economic downturn when
consumer spending decreases thus leading to a decline in total revenues. Investing some of the
firm’s cash into securities provides the corporation with a steady income stream by using securities
to generate revenue when normal business activities do not produce as much income (John, 2018).
The firm can be protected from an economic downturn by investing some of its assets in securities
from other industries and sectors, as well as hedging against a national recession by investing in
S&P 500 AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
Average Monthly Returns 0.78% 1.34% 0.83% 0.21% 0.62% -0.80%
Monthly Variance 0.08% 0.35% 0.40% 0.18% 0.23% 0.90%
Average Annual Return 9.36% 16.08% 9.92% 2.52% 7.39% -9.59%
Annual Variance 0.97% 4.26% 4.80% 2.22% 2.81% 10.75%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
Relative Return Performancefor S&P, AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS
& M from01/01/2014 to 05/01/2018
Average Monthly Returns Monthly Variance Average Annual Return Annual Variance
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
50
foreign securities or commodities like oil and gold (John, 2018). When revenues are increasing,
the firm would have surplus cash in which investments would not suffer greatly in the event that
the securities drop in value. On the contrary, significant returns could be generated for the
corporation when high risk investments actually rise in value (John, 2018).
C. Investment Performance
As of May 1, 2018, Apple, Inc. is most likely to outperform the market when compared to
the other four investments. In 2017, the Company had Dividends Per Share (DPS) of 2.46 USD
which represents an increase when compared to the previous year 2016 of 2.23 and an average
growth rate of 9.84 percent. In 2017, Apple’s reported annual EPS was 9.27 per share with a
forecasted growth rate of 14.36 percent. In 2017, Caterpillar, Inc. had DPS of 3.10 USD which is
an increase from 2016 where DPS was 3.08 and an average growth rate of 6.16 percent. However,
during the past three years, the average EPS growth rate was -31.40 percent per year which is a
concern that the Company could be losing money. However, EPS in 2018 was 3.68 up from 1.27
in 2017 and a sign of improvement. In 2017, Con-Ed had DPS of 3.10 and performs below the
industry average. The Company’s average DPS growth rate is approximately 6.16 percent. In
2017, Con-Ed reported annual EPS of 4.97 which was an increase when compared to 2016 where
EPS was 4.15 and an average growth rate of 4.11 percent. Overall the Company performs lower
than the industry average mainly due to its location in a heavily regulated environment of New
York. In 2017, Northern Trust had 2017 DPS of 1.60 which increased from 1.48 in 2016 and has
an average growth rate of 6.81 percent. The Company reported annual 2017 EPS of 4.59 which is
an increase when compared to 4.35 in 2016 and an average growth rate of 3.88 percent. Macy’s
is the lowest performing stock in the portfolio with 2017 DPS of 1.51 up slightly from 2016 where
DPS were 1.49, and has an average growth rate of 12.45%. EPS have shown a steady decline for
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
51
the past three years 2015, 2016, and 2017 which were 4.30, 3.26, and 2.01 respectively, and a
negative growth rate.
The following revenue forecasts show growth metrics for Apple, Caterpillar, Con-Ed,
Northern Trust, and Macy’s.
In 2017, both Northern Trust and Apple experienced the highest levels of revenue growth
with rates of 34.63 percent and 9.27 percent respectively, where Con-Ed had the lowest growth
rate of 4.07 percent, where both Caterpillar and Macy’s had negative growth rates of -30.06percent
and -13.26 percent respectively (Nasdaq, 2018). In five years from now, NTRS, Apple, and
Macy’s are expected to have the highest growth at rates in the portfolio of 11.66 percent, 10.89
percent, and 8.50 percent respectively (Nasdaq, 2018).
The following analysis and forecasts show price to earnings ratio (P/E) metrics for Apple,
Caterpillar, Con-Ed, Northern Trust, and Macy’s.
2017 2018 2019 2020 5 Years
AAPL 9.27% 11.43% 1.70% 5.05% 10.89%
CAT -30.06% 3.64% 30.79% 0% 4.25%
ED 4.07% 4.23% 3.38% 0% 4.00%
NTRS 34.63% 6.68% 8.25% 0% 11.66%
M -13.26% 6.42% 5.60% 0% 8.50%
-40.00%
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
Forecasted RevenueEarnings Growth for AAPL, CAT,
ED, NTRS, & M
AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
52
The P/E ratio is the ratio used for valuing the Companies’ current share price relevant to
its EPS. In general, higher ratios suggest that investors will expect higher earnings growth in the
future when compared to other Companies in the portfolio. In theory, the median of P/E over a
period of years could formulate a standardized ratio which could be used as a benchmark in order
to determine which stocks should be invested in. In this case, Con-Ed, NTRS, and Apple had the
highest median P/E ratios of 17.66, 15.93, and 15.83, where Caterpillar and Macy’s had the lowest
median ratios of 13.55 and 11.88 respectively.
D. Investment Performance Based On Risk/Return Metrics.
One of the key principles of investing is the risk-return tradeoff which is defined as the
correlation between the level of risk and the level of potential return of the investment (Horton,
2018). By accepting a higher level of risk or volatility, it is likely that there will be a greater
potential for higher returns. When constructing the portfolio, the beta, the standard deviation, and
the Sharpe ratio metrics were evaluated in order to minimize risk and maximize returns. For an
optimal risky portfolio, it is recommended that higher weightings be allocated toward Apple and
AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
2017 20.72 22.26 17.89 22.14 11.27
2018 16.71 14.29 18.35 16.45 12.99
2019 14.95 12.8 17.42 15.41 12.21
2020 13.55 11.81 16.66 14.24 11.55
0
5
10
15
20
25
Forecasted Price/Earnings Ratios for AAPL, CAT, ED,
NTRS, & M
2017 2018 2019 2020
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
53
Caterpillar since the betas were 1.11 and 1.59 respectively. A beta of 1 means that the underlying
investments move in line with the market index, which in this was the S&P 500. Although a higher
beta would result in more volatility than the S&P, it is likely that these two companies would
produce the highest returns. The remaining companies in the portfolio, Macy’s, Consolidated
Edison, and NTRS, had betas below one which has fewer fluctuations over time and the least
amount of risk, meaning that returns would be lower as a result of less volatility. In addition to
beta, the standard deviation was calculated to show its volatility and risk-reward trade-off. The
standard deviation of the constructed portfolio was generally lower than the standard deviation for
each of the individual investments aside from Macy’s which was slightly above, which is a sign
that risk would be minimal due to the diversification benefits of investing in multiple stocks. The
Sharpe Ratio of 1.52 compared the performance of a risk-free investment using the three-month
T-Bill. Since the ratio of the portfolio was maximized to greater than 1, it depicts a return that is
greater than expected for the level of risk assumed (Horton, 2018).
E. The Strategies In The Portfolio Meet XYZ’s Investment Objectives.
The strategies in the portfolio meet XYZ’s investment objectives because it reduces risk
by selecting a variety of stocks and bonds that are likely to change in value in different ways or at
different times. The process under MPT is known as diversification which means taking on
advantages of the differences in risks among the investments in Apple, Consolidated Edison,
Caterpillar, Northern Trust, and Macy’s. These investments tend to change in value and at varying
times and directions. Therefore, since the portfolio consists of several types of investments, only
a smaller percentage of value would be lost as opposed to investing in only one company. Through
a diversified portfolio, the severity of any losses would be reduced which would maximize the
total return on investment. Overall, the optimal risky portfolio structure diversifies the investments
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
54
while also providing the highest returns on the best investments, though it may risk losing value
under opposite conditions. However, the risks would be offset by investing in other companies that
may perform well under the same conditions. Furthermore, combining stocks with bonds will
further minimize risks since stocks tend to move in the opposite direction of bonds when interest
rates change under the same conditions.
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
55
References:
Alvarez, S. (2018). What is the intrinsic value of a stock? Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/12/intrinsic-value.asp
Brick, J. (2018). Macy's 1Q Top-Line Gains Fail to Suggest Evidence of Competitive Edge;
Shares Inflated. Morningstar.
Collelo, B. (2018). Apple’s Add-On Products and Services Shine; Raising FVE to $175, Shares
Fairly Valued. Morningstar. Retrieved from:
http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/aapl/quote.html
Compton, E. (2018). Regulatory Relief Is Coming for the Banks, Watch Out for Increasing
Competition, More M&A. Morningstar. Retrieved from:
http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/ntrs/quote.html
Congressional Budget Office (CBO). (2018). Budget and Economic Outlook and Updates.
Retrieved from: https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#1
CSI Market. (2018). Retrieved from: https://csimarket.com/index.php
Conley, P. (2018). Understanding Callable Bonds. The Balance. Retrieved from:
https://www.thebalance.com/understanding-callable-bonds-417110
Delventhal, S. (2018). Apple's Stock May Plunge Into a Bear Market. Investopedia. Retrieved
from: https://www.investopedia.com/news/apples-stock-may-plunge-bear-
market/#ixzz5FnvuiDqM
Early, J. (2018). Profitability Indicator Ratios: Return On Equity. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/university/ratios/profitability-indicator/ratio4.asp
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
56
Egan, D. (2015). Bond Funds: How To Use Diversification To Minimize Risks. Betterment,
LLC. Retrieved from: https://www.betterment.com/resources/bond-funds-how-to-use-
diversification-to-minimize-risks/
Fidelity. (2018). Quarterly Sector Update. Retrieved from:
http://research2.fidelity.com/fidelity/research/reports/public/getreport.asp?feedid=2271&
doctag=q22018quarterlysectorupdate_90_20180419&versiontag=2018041912131710
Fisherman, C. (2018). Con Edison Reports Strong 1Q Earnings and Reaffirms Guidance.
Morningstar. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/ed/quote.html
Gallant, C. (2018). Interest Rate Risk Between Long-Term and Short-Term Bonds.
Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/ltbondrisk.asp#ixzz5GnblYMo3
Guru Focus. (2018). Economic Indicators. Retrieved from:
https://www.gurufocus.com/economic_indicators/58/sp-500-earnings
Horton, M. (2018). What metrics should I use to evaluate the risk return tradeoff for a mutual
fund? Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/050615/what-metrics-should-i-use-evaluate-
risk-return-tradeoff-mutual-fund.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Price-Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Risk-Return Tradeoff. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskreturntradeoff.asp
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
57
Investopedia. (2018). R-Squared. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/r-squared.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Portfolio Variance. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/portfolio-variance.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Risk-free rate of return. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/risk-freerate.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Sharpe Ratio. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sharperatio.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Growth. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/growthinvesting.asp
Investopedia. (2018). Return On Equity – ROE. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnonequity.asp
John, C. (2018). Reasons Why Corporations Invest in Securities. Chron. Small Business.
Retrieved from: http://smallbusiness.chron.com/reasons-corporations-invest-securities-
65618.html
McClure, B. (2017). Modern Portfolio Theory: Why It's Still Hip. Investopedia. Retrieved from:
https://www.investopedia.com/managing-wealth/modern-portfolio-theory-why-its-still-
hip/
Money-zine. (2017). Intrinsic Value and ROI Calculator. Retrieved from: https://www.money-
zine.com/calculators/investment-calculators/intrinsic-value-and-roi-calculator/
Morningstar. (2018).Market Performance. Retrieved from:
http://www.morningstar.com/markets.html
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
58
Morningstar. (2018). Quotes. Stock Prices. Retrieved from:
http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cat/quote.html
NASDAQ. (2018). Quotes. P/E and Growth Rates. NASDAQ. Retrieved from:
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl/pe-growth-rates
NASDAQ. (2018). AAPL Company Description. Apple Inc. Common Stock (AAPL) Quote &
Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl
NASDAQ. (2018). Caterpillar, Inc.(CAT). Caterpillar, Inc. Common Stock (CAT) Quote &
Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/cat
NASDAQ. (2018). Consolidated Edison (ED). Consolidated Edison, Inc. Common Stock (ED)
Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ed
NASDAQ. (2018). Northern Trust Corporation Common Stock (NTRS) Quote & Summary
Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ntrs
NASDAQ. (2018). Macy's Inc. Common Stock (M) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from:
https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/m
Rains, B. (2018). An Early Preview of Caterpillar's (CAT) Q1 Earnings Outlook. Zacks.
Retrieved from: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/299216/an-early-preview-of-
caterpillars-cat-q1-earnings-outlook
Schoonmaker, K. (2008). Caterpillar’s 1Q Performance Shows That Trade War Concerns Are
Overblown. Morningstar. Retrieved from:
http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cat/quote.html
Smallwood, N., Sweetman, K., and Ulrich, D. (2007). A Leader’s Five Key Stakeholders.
Harvard Business Review. Retrieved from: https://hbr.org/2007/11/a-leaders-five-key-
stakeholder
Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report
59
Stockinvest. (2018). Consolidated Edison Inc Stock Analysis. Retrieved from:
https://stockinvest.us/technical-analysis/ED
The Motley Fool. (2018). How to Calculate the Historical Variance of Stock Returns.
https://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/how-to-calculate-the-historical-variance-of-
stock.aspx
U.S. Treasury. (2018). Daily Treasury Bill Rates Data. U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Retrieved from: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-
rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=billrates
Van Delsem, S. (2016). Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. YouTube. Retrieved from:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNIVd_b7YJc&t=633s
Vanguard. (2018). Vanguard portfolio allocation models. Vanguard. Retrieved from:
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/insights/saving-investing/model-portfolio-allocations
Yahoo Finance. (2018) Retrieved from: https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/
Zacks. (2018). Why is Northern Trust (NTRS) Up 1.4% Since Last Earnings Report? Yahoo
Finance. Retrieved from: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-northern-trust-ntrs-1-
123212947.html
Zacks. (2018). Should Value Investors Consider Macy's (M) Stock Now?. Retrieved from:
https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/294902/should-value-investors-consider-macys-m-
stock-now

More Related Content

What's hot

A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocks
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocksA study of technical analysis in different sectors stocks
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocksProjects Kart
 
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTD
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTDFinancial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTD
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTDKHALIL AHMAD
 
summer internship project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...
summer internship  project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...summer internship  project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...
summer internship project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...Mansi Bhimani
 
Evolution of investment banking
Evolution of investment bankingEvolution of investment banking
Evolution of investment bankingAnu Thakur
 
Fundamental analysis ppt
Fundamental analysis pptFundamental analysis ppt
Fundamental analysis pptÐhaval Solanki
 
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in india
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in indiafundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in india
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in indiaKarthik Ezil
 
Summer Training Report on Fundamental Analysis
Summer Training Report on Fundamental AnalysisSummer Training Report on Fundamental Analysis
Summer Training Report on Fundamental AnalysisFellowBuddy.com
 
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra company
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra companyA project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra company
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra companyBabasab Patil
 
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...Karan Mahajan
 
Equity Research Methodology
Equity Research MethodologyEquity Research Methodology
Equity Research MethodologyVeristrat Inc
 
Project on equity analysis on banking sector
Project on equity analysis on banking sectorProject on equity analysis on banking sector
Project on equity analysis on banking sectorHIMANI PADIA
 
Sharekhan project report ,mba
Sharekhan  project report ,mbaSharekhan  project report ,mba
Sharekhan project report ,mbaShoyal Akhtar
 
motilal oswal financial services ltd.
motilal oswal financial services ltd.motilal oswal financial services ltd.
motilal oswal financial services ltd.nishchal
 
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- Report
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- ReportA Study of Mutual Funds in India- Report
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- ReportSyril Thomas
 
Finance project report on a study on financial derivatives ...
Finance project report on a study on  financial derivatives                  ...Finance project report on a study on  financial derivatives                  ...
Finance project report on a study on financial derivatives ...Mba projects free
 
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in India
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in IndiaPerformance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in India
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in IndiaAditya Mahindrakar
 
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision finance report
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision  finance reportPortfolio evaluation and investment decision  finance report
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision finance reportStudent
 
ICICI Mutual fund simplified
ICICI  Mutual fund simplifiedICICI  Mutual fund simplified
ICICI Mutual fund simplifiedamitjh25
 

What's hot (20)

A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocks
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocksA study of technical analysis in different sectors stocks
A study of technical analysis in different sectors stocks
 
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTD
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTDFinancial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTD
Financial analysis of TATA TELESERVICES LTD
 
summer internship project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...
summer internship  project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...summer internship  project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...
summer internship project at sharekhan ltd report on 'A study on investor pr...
 
Evolution of investment banking
Evolution of investment bankingEvolution of investment banking
Evolution of investment banking
 
Fundamental analysis ppt
Fundamental analysis pptFundamental analysis ppt
Fundamental analysis ppt
 
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in india
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in indiafundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in india
fundamental and technical analysis of banking sector in india
 
Summer Training Report on Fundamental Analysis
Summer Training Report on Fundamental AnalysisSummer Training Report on Fundamental Analysis
Summer Training Report on Fundamental Analysis
 
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra company
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra companyA project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra company
A project report on fundamental analysis of mahindra&mahindra company
 
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...
Methods of Promoting Financial Products - CASE STUDY: ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL...
 
Equity Research Methodology
Equity Research MethodologyEquity Research Methodology
Equity Research Methodology
 
Deepak MBA Project
Deepak MBA ProjectDeepak MBA Project
Deepak MBA Project
 
Project on equity analysis on banking sector
Project on equity analysis on banking sectorProject on equity analysis on banking sector
Project on equity analysis on banking sector
 
Sharekhan project report ,mba
Sharekhan  project report ,mbaSharekhan  project report ,mba
Sharekhan project report ,mba
 
motilal oswal financial services ltd.
motilal oswal financial services ltd.motilal oswal financial services ltd.
motilal oswal financial services ltd.
 
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- Report
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- ReportA Study of Mutual Funds in India- Report
A Study of Mutual Funds in India- Report
 
Finance project report on a study on financial derivatives ...
Finance project report on a study on  financial derivatives                  ...Finance project report on a study on  financial derivatives                  ...
Finance project report on a study on financial derivatives ...
 
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in India
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in IndiaPerformance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in India
Performance and Analysis of Mutual Funds in India
 
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision finance report
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision  finance reportPortfolio evaluation and investment decision  finance report
Portfolio evaluation and investment decision finance report
 
ICICI Mutual fund simplified
ICICI  Mutual fund simplifiedICICI  Mutual fund simplified
ICICI Mutual fund simplified
 
Project titles
Project titlesProject titles
Project titles
 

Similar to MBA 640 Final Project Investment Analysis Report

SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018
SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018
SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018Silicon Valley Bank
 
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018 F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018 F-Prime Capital
 
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018Duff & Phelps
 
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016Mark Weisman
 
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their GameBoston Consulting Group
 
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017Louis Lehot
 
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docx
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docxGuide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docx
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docxshericehewat
 
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019White Star Capital
 
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn
 
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn
 
Weekly media update 12 11_2018
Weekly media update 12 11_2018Weekly media update 12 11_2018
Weekly media update 12 11_2018BalmerLawrie
 
HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook
 HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook
HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and OutlookHAX
 
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup LandscapeTracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup LandscapeTracxn
 
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in India
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in IndiaIRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in India
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in IndiaIRJET Journal
 
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)Fabernovel
 
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup LandscapeTracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup LandscapeTracxn
 
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive Summary
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive SummaryAustralia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive Summary
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive SummaryMEDICI Inner Circle
 
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsightsRoman Pravorskyi
 
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch 2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch Peerasak C.
 

Similar to MBA 640 Final Project Investment Analysis Report (20)

SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018
SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018
SVB State of the Markets Q3 2018
 
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018 F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018
F-Prime Capital: Market Perspective, 2018
 
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018
Canadian M&A Insights Fall 2018
 
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016
Quarterly Review of the IT Services & Business Services Sector - Q1 2016
 
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
 
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017
Morgan Stanley -state of the tech markets September 2017
 
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docx
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docxGuide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docx
Guide to collect data from Morningstar.com 1) Go to Mornin.docx
 
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019
White Star Capital Canadian Venture Capital Landscape 2019
 
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
 
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup LandscapeTracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Data as a Service Startup Landscape
 
Weekly media update 12 11_2018
Weekly media update 12 11_2018Weekly media update 12 11_2018
Weekly media update 12 11_2018
 
HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook
 HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook
HAX Hardware Review - 1H 2018 Trends and Outlook
 
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup LandscapeTracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Tech Startup Landscape
 
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in India
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in IndiaIRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in India
IRJET- Data Analysis of Startups Investments and Funding Trends in India
 
Global Insight
Global Insight Global Insight
Global Insight
 
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)
Gafanomics - The Quarterly - Episode 2 (Q2FY19)
 
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup LandscapeTracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup Landscape
Tracxn - Finance & Accounting Startup Landscape
 
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive Summary
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive SummaryAustralia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive Summary
Australia FinTech Report 2021 – Executive Summary
 
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights
2019 Fintech Trends To Watch by CBInsights
 
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch 2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch
2O19 Fintech Trends To Watch
 

More from Kelly Giambra

Mba 690 final project nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - final
Mba 690 final project   nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - finalMba 690 final project   nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - final
Mba 690 final project nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - finalKelly Giambra
 
MBA 665 final project government impact on business
MBA 665 final project government impact on businessMBA 665 final project government impact on business
MBA 665 final project government impact on businessKelly Giambra
 
Mba 665 final project government impact on business
Mba 665 final project government impact on businessMba 665 final project government impact on business
Mba 665 final project government impact on businessKelly Giambra
 
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposal
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposalMba 640 final project external capital funding proposal
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposalKelly Giambra
 
Mba 635 final project csr addendum
Mba 635 final project csr addendumMba 635 final project csr addendum
Mba 635 final project csr addendumKelly Giambra
 
Mba 515 final project final
Mba 515 final project   finalMba 515 final project   final
Mba 515 final project finalKelly Giambra
 
Mba 550 final project
Mba 550 final projectMba 550 final project
Mba 550 final projectKelly Giambra
 
Acc 675 control audit final project
Acc 675 control audit final projectAcc 675 control audit final project
Acc 675 control audit final projectKelly Giambra
 

More from Kelly Giambra (8)

Mba 690 final project nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - final
Mba 690 final project   nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - finalMba 690 final project   nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - final
Mba 690 final project nationstar mr. cooper project management plan - final
 
MBA 665 final project government impact on business
MBA 665 final project government impact on businessMBA 665 final project government impact on business
MBA 665 final project government impact on business
 
Mba 665 final project government impact on business
Mba 665 final project government impact on businessMba 665 final project government impact on business
Mba 665 final project government impact on business
 
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposal
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposalMba 640 final project external capital funding proposal
Mba 640 final project external capital funding proposal
 
Mba 635 final project csr addendum
Mba 635 final project csr addendumMba 635 final project csr addendum
Mba 635 final project csr addendum
 
Mba 515 final project final
Mba 515 final project   finalMba 515 final project   final
Mba 515 final project final
 
Mba 550 final project
Mba 550 final projectMba 550 final project
Mba 550 final project
 
Acc 675 control audit final project
Acc 675 control audit final projectAcc 675 control audit final project
Acc 675 control audit final project
 

Recently uploaded

VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Roomdivyansh0kumar0
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...lizamodels9
 
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any TimeCall Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Timedelhimodelshub1
 
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu MenzaYouth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menzaictsugar
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitHolger Mueller
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessOrganizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessSeta Wicaksana
 
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort ServiceCall US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Servicecallgirls2057
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaoncallgirls2057
 
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsCash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsApsara Of India
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckHajeJanKamps
 
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607dollysharma2066
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfpollardmorgan
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechNewman George Leech
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingShawn Pang
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportMintel Group
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Global Scenario On Sustainable and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...
Global Scenario On Sustainable  and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...Global Scenario On Sustainable  and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...
Global Scenario On Sustainable and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...ictsugar
 

Recently uploaded (20)

VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Howrah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
 
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any TimeCall Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
 
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu MenzaYouth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
 
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful BusinessOrganizational Structure Running A Successful Business
Organizational Structure Running A Successful Business
 
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort ServiceCall US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
Call US-88OO1O2216 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Female Escort Service
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
 
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsCash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
 
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
FULL ENJOY Call girls in Paharganj Delhi | 8377087607
 
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdfIntro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
Intro to BCG's Carbon Emissions Benchmark_vF.pdf
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101  - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
 
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample ReportIndia Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
India Consumer 2024 Redacted Sample Report
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
 
Global Scenario On Sustainable and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...
Global Scenario On Sustainable  and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...Global Scenario On Sustainable  and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...
Global Scenario On Sustainable and Resilient Coconut Industry by Dr. Jelfina...
 

MBA 640 Final Project Investment Analysis Report

  • 1. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 1 FIN 640: Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report By: Kelly A. Giambra Southern New Hampshire University Module 9: July 1, 2018
  • 2. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 2 Introduction: As a new investment manager of XYZ Tech Company, the CEO has requested an investment analysis report. Using the provided information and investment parameters, as well as financial database research, a report was prepared on the companies: Apple (AAPL), Caterpillar (CAT), Consolidated Edison (ED), Northern Trust (NTRS), and Macy’s (M), all which are the companies that XYZ would like to invest in. The analysis includes compiled data spreadsheets, a complete portfolio, and a justification of investment strategies for these investments. I. Company Description and Market Analysis: Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Apple, Inc. (AAPL) is the world’s largest consumer electronics and personal computer business with headquarters in Cupertino, California (CA). The Company, headed by Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ronald Wayne first began in the late 1970’s by selling hand-made personal computer kits, but in recent years shifted focus to consumer electronics such as the iPhone, iPad, and iPod (NASDAQ, 2018). AAPL has consistently developed new hardware, software, systems, and services to provide its customers with the best possible user experiences. The Company invests significantly in marketing and advertising which they believe are essential in the sale of its products. AAPL has retail store locations around the world with five reportable operating segments of the Americas, Europe, Japan, Asia-Pacific, and Retail (NASDAQ, 2018). However, the Company still faces a number of risks such as changing global economy, changes in consumer demand, global competition, and supply chain disruptions (NASDAQ, 2018). Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) Industry: Machinery
  • 3. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 3 Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) is a Delaware formed corporation with 2017 sales and revenues totaling over 45.46 billion, and is the world’s leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel fuel and natural gas engines, gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company mainly operates within three segments of construction industries, resource industries, and energy and transportation (NASDAQ, 2018). CAT also provides financial and other related services through their financial products segment (NASDAQ, 2018). Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Industry: Multi-Utilities & Regulated Electric Consolidated Edison, Inc. or Con-Ed (ED) is a holding company that was incorporated in New York State (NYS) in 1997 and owns all of the outstanding shares of common stock of Consolidated Edison Company of New York, Inc. (CECONY), Orange and Rockland Utilities, Inc. (O&R), Con Edison Clean Energy Businesses, Inc., and Con Edison Transmission, Inc. (NASDAQ, 2018). Con Edison’s primary business activities consist mainly regulated electric, gas and steam delivery, as well as O&R’s operations of regulated electric and gas delivery businesses (NASDAQ, 2018). The Clean Energy businesses operations consist of renewable and energy infrastructure projects and provide energy related products and services to customers (NASDAQ, 2018). Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Industry: Capital Markets Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is a financial services company that was first formed as a holding company in 1971, and provides asset servicing, fund administration, asset management, fiduciary and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and
  • 4. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 4 individual consumers worldwide (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company conducts businesses through several subsidiaries including The Northern Trust Bank and has offices throughout Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asian-Pacific (NASDAQ, 2018). As of December 31, 2017, Northern Trust had total assets of 138.6 billion and stockholder’s equity of 10.2 billion NASDAQ. (2018). The Bank is the corporation’s primary subsidiary headquartered in Chicago and was founded in 1889 (NASDAQ, 2018). Macy’s Inc. (M) Industry: Multi-line Retail Macy’s, Inc. (M) is a Delaware formed corporation since 1985 and had been in the department store business since 1830 (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company operates about 850 retail stores in 44 states, the District of Columbia (DC), Guam, and Puerto Rico (NASDAQ, 2018). As of February 2018, Macy’s operations were conducted through Macy’s, Bloomingdale’s, Bloomingdale’s Outlet, Macy’s Backstage, Blue mercury, and Macy’s China (NASDAQ, 2018). The Company also has global operations through Bloomingdale’s in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Al Zahra, and Kuwait (NASDAQ, 2018). Macy’s sells a wide range of merchandise such as clothing, accessories, cosmetics, home décor and furniture, and other consumer goods (NASDAQ, 2018). A. Financial Markets Ai. Five-Year Performance Of The Domestic Economy Relative To The Financial Markets According to The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), it is projected that for the periods of 2018 to 2028, the domestic economy (U.S.) will follow a cyclical path with economic growth expecting to rise especially in 2018 (CBO, 2018). This will be followed by a slow down a few years afterward, then finally rise to match the maximum sustainable growth outcomes during the final years of the projection. According to the CBO, demand is expected to exceed supply which
  • 5. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 5 will push up inflation and interest rates as well as a possible decline in employment rates (CBO, 2018). The growth of real GDP is expected to be relatively strong this year which will moderate in future years. In the CBO’s economic projections, real GDP will expand by 3.3 percent in 2018 and by 2.4 percent in 2019 mostly driven by consumer spending, business investments, and federal spending (CBO, 2018). It is expected that the 2017 tax act on incentives to work, save and invest will raise GDP from the periods of 2018 to 2028. In addition, it is likely that there will be an increase in wage and inflation rates leading to the Federal Reserve (The Fed) raising rates to about 2 percent by the end of 2018. During 2018 and beyond, investment outlook will be one of both higher risks and lower returns. As a result, the market outlook will require the need for investors to remain disciplined and globally diversified with more realistic expectations of returns as well as lower-cost strategies (CBO, 2018): 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 18625 19387 20362 21369 22247 23079 In Billions 2.8 4.1 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.7 Percentage change, annual rate Real GDP 16716 17093 17613 18118 18472 18754 In Billions 1.5 2.3 3.0 2.9 2.0 1.5 Percentage change, annual rate Source: CBO's April 2018 report The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2016 to 2022 Labor Unemployment Rate,Age 16+ % 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.1 Labor Force Age 16+ (Millions) 159 160 162 163 165 166 Percentage change, annual rate 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 Interest Rates % 10-Year Treasury Note 3-Month Treasury Bill 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.2 Federal Funds Rate 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.8 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 3.8 4.0 Income, Personal Billions of dollars 15929 16417 17284 18327 19304 20206 Compensation of Employees, % of GDP 85.5 84.7 84.9 85.8 86.8 87.6 Billions of dollars 9979 10295 10828 11432 11985 12484 Wages and Salaries % of GDP 53.6 53.1 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.1 8085 8340 8795 9304 9759 10160
  • 6. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 6 Currently the three largest U.S. financial markets indices include the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ, which are utilized for benchmarking to tell how the market is performing. As of May 17, 2018, the Dow is currently 24,820 points, up 49.56 points or 20 percent (Google Finance, 2018). The DJIA consists of 30 large-cap blue-chip companies which include Apple and Caterpillar as a part of the group. The NASDAQ is the market cap- weighted index of over 3,300 common equities listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange which includes all NASDAQ listed stocks that are not derivatives, preferred shares, funds, exchange- traded funds (ETFs) or debentures. As of May 17, 2018 the NASDAQ is currently at 7414.50 points, up 13 points or 17 percent (Google Finance, 2018). The S&P 500 is the third major index of 505 stocks issued by 500 of the largest companies with market caps of about 6.1 billion and a leading indicator of U.S. equities, and a market value weighted index and most common benchmark for the U.S. stock market. As of May 17, 2018 the S&P was at 2724.92 points, up 2.50 points or .098 percent (Google Finance, 2018). 0.00 5,000.00 10,000.00 15,000.00 20,000.00 25,000.00 30,000.00 Close Close Close S&P 500 Dow Jones Nasdaq Top 3 U.S. Financial Indices December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018 12/1/2013 12/1/2014 12/1/2015 12/1/2016 12/1/2017 5/17/2018
  • 7. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 7 Aii. Five Year Sector Market Performance, Industry Performance And Current Trends Apple (AAPL) Sector Market Performance: AAPL is traded on the NASDAQ and stock prices as of May 17, 2018 were currently at $187.98 per share and down by 11 percent, which is likely to cause investors a loss (Google Finance, 2018). APPL is also expected to lose market share in China due to lack of demand for iPhones thus gross margins and operating margins are at risk in this Country in the short run (Delventhal, 2018). APPL has recently experienced decelerated sales growth in China despite significant gains from 2013 to 2018 trending upward in the U.S. (Delventhal, 2018). However, on the longer-term, the firm indicates growth due to the App Store and Apple Music and these segments are likely to increase P/E (Delventhal, 2018). Other risks to the Company include the global trade war and imposed tariffs of 100 billion on Chinese imports may negatively impact APPL since many of their products are assembled there (Delventhal, 2018). Caterpillar (CAT) Sector-Market Performance: 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00 160.00 180.00 200.00 12/1/2013 3/1/2014 6/1/2014 9/1/2014 12/1/2014 3/1/2015 6/1/2015 9/1/2015 12/1/2015 3/1/2016 6/1/2016 9/1/2016 12/1/2016 3/1/2017 6/1/2017 9/1/2017 12/1/2017 3/1/2018 Price Date Apple, Inc. Stock Prices (AAPL) December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
  • 8. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 8 Caterpillar’s (CAT) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 154.47 up by 44 percent (Google Finance, 2018). Revenues have gradually increased from 2016 to 2017 from 38.5 to 45.5 billion, and though earnings per share (EPS) were -0.11 in 2016, there was an increase in 2017 to 1.27 which is likely to climb in future reporting years (Rains, 2018). Stock prices have also increased over the periods 2013 to 2017, however, there was a slight decline in May 2018 which may be of some concern to investors. CAT is also trading with a Forward P/E of 15.81 which is a slight discount compared to the construction and mining industry average of 15.85 (Rains, 2018). Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Sector- Market Performance: Consolidated Edison Inc.’s (ED) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 74.13 down by .58 percent which is concerning for investors (Google Finance, 2018). Though stock price history from 2013 to 2017 has increased the price has continued to fall in May for several days in a row which analysts are currently recommending this company as a sell candidate (Stockinvest, 2018). Analysts report that ED signalizes a slower rising rate, but may also be an early warning sign about a possible trend shift (Stockinvest, 2018). Due to trends being broken there will now be resistance at the bottom line of the trend at $75.64 (Stockinvest, 2018). A reaction back to this level may 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00 160.00 180.00 12/1/2013 3/1/2014 6/1/2014 9/1/2014 12/1/2014 3/1/2015 6/1/2015 9/1/2015 12/1/2015 3/1/2016 6/1/2016 9/1/2016 12/1/2016 3/1/2017 6/1/2017 9/1/2017 12/1/2017 3/1/2018 Price Date Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) Stock Prices December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
  • 9. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 9 hold a second chance to get out before further falls. However, this stock is usually traded at good volume and with minor daily changes with risk being relatively low. For the last week, the stock had a daily average volatility rate of 1.28 percent (Stockinvest, 2018). Northern Trust (NTRS) Sector-Market Performance Northern Trust’s (NTRS) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 109.29 up by 1.02 percent (Google Finance, 2018). NTRS had first quarter 2018 EPS of 1.58 and a favorable increase from 1.10 in 2017 (Zacks, 2018). Revenue growth and other credit metrics are showing significant improvement and on an upward trend with 2016 revenues of 4.96 billion increasing to 5.36 billion in 2017 (Zacks, 2018). However, operating expenses have continued to increase which could drag down performance. The future outlook appears to be promising and management expects realizing 250 million in expense run rate savings by 2020 which on a combined basis will create roughly 55 million in annual net savings to be fully realized by first quarter of 2019 (Zacks, 2018). 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 12/1/2013 3/1/2014 6/1/2014 9/1/2014 12/1/2014 3/1/2015 6/1/2015 9/1/2015 12/1/2015 3/1/2016 6/1/2016 9/1/2016 12/1/2016 3/1/2017 6/1/2017 9/1/2017 12/1/2017 3/1/2018 Price Date Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Stock Prices December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
  • 10. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 10 Macy’s (M) Market Performance: Macy’s (M) stock price as of May 17, 2018 was 34.48 up by 3.95 percent (Google Finance, 2018). Macy’s has a trailing twelve months of P/E ratio of 7.9 percent which is pretty favorable since the P/E for the S&P 500 is currently about 21.1 percent and also compares favorably with the market sector which is 30.1 percent, indicating that the stock is undervalued compared to its peers (Zacks, 2018). Macy’s is not only considered by analysts to be a good choice for value investors but revenues are expected to remain steady over the next 6 years with EPS likely to increase during this same time period (Zacks, 2018). In fact, over the past year, the industry has outperformed the broader market (Zacks, 2018). 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 12/1/2013 3/1/2014 6/1/2014 9/1/2014 12/1/2014 3/1/2015 6/1/2015 9/1/2015 12/1/2015 3/1/2016 6/1/2016 9/1/2016 12/1/2016 3/1/2017 6/1/2017 9/1/2017 12/1/2017 3/1/2018 Price Date Northern Trust(NTRS) Stock Prices December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 12/1/2013 3/1/2014 6/1/2014 9/1/2014 12/1/2014 3/1/2015 6/1/2015 9/1/2015 12/1/2015 3/1/2016 6/1/2016 9/1/2016 12/1/2016 3/1/2017 6/1/2017 9/1/2017 12/1/2017 3/1/2018 Price Date Macy's (M) Stock Prices December 1, 2013 to May 17, 2018
  • 11. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 11 Industry Performance: The technology industry (AAPL) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 increased to 11.2 percent, year over year, above the industry average. Sales growth accelerated to 6.06 percent year over year but remained below industry average (CSI Markets, 2018). The farm and construction equipment industry (CAT) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 increased to 15.47 percent above industry average where revenue fell by 6.32 percent and overall ranking has declined compared to the previous quarter (CSI Markets, 2018). The regulated electric industry’s (ED) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 increased to 4.87 percent year over year above the industry average, and revenue grew by 7.23 percent (CSI Markets, 2018). The investment services industry (NTRS) revenue growth in the first quarter of 2018 decelerated to 16.49 percent year over year but still remained above industry average, while revenue grew by 3.97 percent (CSI Markets, 2018). The department and discount retail industry’s (M) pace of revenue growth in the first quarter 2018 accelerated to 6.68 percent year over year above industry average, though revenue fell by 3.45 percent (CSI Markets, 2018). Aiii. Impact Of The Five-Year And Current Macroeconomic Data On Asset Prices The following data projects stock valuations for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M: Fiscal year ends in September. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USD in millions except per share data. Revenues 215,639 229,234 238,403 247,939 257,857 268,171 Cost of Goods Sold 131,376 141,048 166,882 173,558 180,500 187,720 Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 14,194 15,261 40,529 42,150 42,546 44,248 Research and development 10,045 11,581 10,813 11,197 11,005 11,101 Operating Income 60,024 72,925 30,992 32,232 34,811 36,203 Net Interest Expenditure 1,456 2,323 1,890 2,106 1,998 2,052 Pre-Tax Income 61,372 64,089 29,103 30,126 32,813 34,151 Taxes 18,412 19,227 8,731 9,038 9,844 10,245 Net Income 42,960 44,862 20,372 21,088 22,969 23,906 Earnings Per Share 7.85 8.60 3.81 3.99 4.32 4.51 Shares Outstanding 5,471 5,217 5,344 5,281 5,312 5,296 Apple (AAPL) Stock
  • 12. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 12 Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Fiscal year ends in December 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USD in Million except per share data Revenues 38,537 45,462 47,280 49,172 51,139 53,184 Cost of Goods Sold 28,309 31,049 33,096 34,420 35,797 37,229 Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 4,686 5,177 8,038 8,359 8,438 8,775 Research and development 1,951 1,905 1,928 1,917 1,922 1,919 Operating Income 1,905 9,236 6,146 6,392 6,904 7,180 Net Interest Expenditure 1,101 1,177 1,139 1,158 1,149 1,153 Pre-Tax Income 804 8,059 5,007 5,234 5,755 6,027 Taxes 192 3,339 1,502 1,570 1,727 1,808 Net Income 612 4,720 3,505 3,664 4,029 4,219 Earnings Per Share -0.11 1.27 5.91 6.17 6.79 7.11 Shares Outstanding 592 594 593 594 593 593 Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock Fiscal year ends in December. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USD in millions except per share data. Revenues 12,075 12,033 12,514 13,015 13,535 14,077 Cost of Goods Sold 3,088 2,625 8,760 9,110 9,475 9,854 Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 3,269 3,303 2,127 2,213 2,233 2,323 Research and development 0 0 0 0 0 0 Operating Income 5,718 6,105 1,627 1,692 1,827 1,900 Net Interest Expenditure 702 737 720 728 724 726 Pre-Tax Income 5,016 5,368 907 964 1,103 1,174 Taxes 698 472 272 289 331 352 Net Income 4,318 4,896 635 675 772 822 Earnings Per Share 14.39 15.95 2.09 2.21 2.54 2.70 Shares Outstanding 300 307 304 305 304 305 Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock Fiscal year ends in December. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USD in millions except per share data. Revenues 4,962 5,375 5,590 5,814 6,046 6,288 Cost of Goods Sold 3,473 3,763 3,913 4,070 4,232 4,402 Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 844 914 950 988 998 1,038 Research and development 84 95 90 92 91 92 Operating Income 645 699 727 756 816 849 Net Interest Expenditure 182 340 261 301 281 291 Pre-Tax Income 463 359 466 455 535 558 Taxes 139 108 140 137 161 167 Net Income 324 251 326 319 375 391 Earnings Per Share 1.42 1.10 1.43 1.40 1.64 1.71 Shares Outstanding 228 228 228 228 228 228
  • 13. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 13 The impact of the five-year and current macroeconomic data came in higher than expected. However, trades in China likely to be impacted on the trade front as a result of additional tariffs up to USD 100 billion worth of Chinese imports and a rapidly transforming global market (CBO, 2018). The U.S. economy is still the largest in the world and represents about 20 percent to the total global output which is still larger than China (CBO, 2018).. The U.S. economy is dominated by services-oriented businesses in areas such as technology, financial services, healthcare and retail (CBO, 2018). The U.S. is the second leading manufacturer in the world and a leader in auto, aerospace, machinery, telecommunications, and chemicals (CBO, 2018). The five-year impact of current macroeconomic data on asset prices shows that it continues to recover from a period of turmoil due to a mix of factors (CBO, 2018).. These factors include low interest rates, a hike in mortgage lending activity, high consumer debt, and lax government regulations which had led to a recession in 2008 (CBO, 2018). The economy continues to recover, however, there are still concerns over challenges going forward. B. Company Valuation Bi. Key Ratios And Comparison To Peers And Industry: Macy's (M) Stock Fiscal year ends in January. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 USD in millions except per share data. Revenues 27,079 25,778 24,837 25,830 26,864 27,938 Cost of Goods Sold 16,496 15,621 15,152 18,081 18,805 19,557 Selling, General & Administrative Expenses 8,256 8,265 8,131 4,391 4,433 4,610 Research and development 0 0 0 0 0 0 Operating Income 2,327 1,892 1,554 3,358 3,627 3,772 Net Interest Expenditure 363 367 311 339 325 332 Pre-Tax Income 1,964 1,525 1,243 3,019 3,302 3,440 Taxes 589 458 373 906 990 1,032 Net Income 1,375 1,068 870 2,113 2,311 2,408 Earnings Per Share 4.19 3.47 2.85 6.89 7.56 7.87 Shares Outstanding 328 308 305 307 306 306
  • 14. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 14 As of May 2018, AAPL had a debt/assets ratio of .33 percent which represents the amount of financed assets lasting longer than one year. The ratio increased from .25 in March of 2017 to .28 in March 2018 to 33 in May 2018, which is a sign that they may be using an increasing amount of debt to fund their operations (CSI Market, 2018). AAPL’s debt/equity ratio as of May 2018 was .79 percent higher than the industry average of .32 percent (CSI Market, 2018). The current ratio is 1.46 which is lower than the industry average of 1.94 (CSI Market, 2018). The current ratio of 1.46 generally indicates good short term financial strength and is ranked lower than 82 percent of the 2227 companies in the global industry (CSI Market, 2018). Apple’s EBITA/Interest ratio is 20.07 percent which is lower than the industry average of 59.34 and ranked lower than 60 percent of the 1906 companies, where the Debt/EBITDA ratio is 1.55, lower than the industry average of 2.03 and a sign that the Company spends less time paying off debt than other competitors in the industry. AAPL’s cash flow ops/total debt is .72 percent, where the industry average is 1.41 and an indicator that there may not be enough cash in hand to pay off its debt (CSI Market, 2018). Apple (AAPL) Industry: Consumer Electronics Firm Ind Avg Debt & Coverage Ratios Debt/Assets 0.33 Debt/Equity 0.79 0.32 Current Assets/Current Liability 1.46 1.94 EBITDA/Interest 20.07 59.34 Debt/EBITDA 1.55 2.03 Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.72 1.14 Caterpillar (CAT) Industry: Farm and Construction Equipment Firm Ind Avg Debt & Coverage Ratios Debt/Assets 0.45 Debt/Equity 2.32 0.39 Current Assets/Current Liability 1.36 1.79 EBITDA/Interest 8.52 37.06 Debt/EBITDA 2.87 2.96 Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.22 0.54
  • 15. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 15 As of May 2018, CAT had a debt/asset ratio of .45 percent, and a debt/equity ratio of 2.32 percent which is higher than the industry average of .39 (Guru Focus, 2018). This generally means that the Company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt which will result in volatile earnings from interest expenses. However, CAT ranked lower than 94 percent of the 128 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). CAT’s current assets/current liability ratio is 1.36 which is lower than the industry average of 1.79 and a sign that when compared to peers, they are better able to pay off short-term obligations. CAT’s EBITDA/interest ratio is 8.52 and a sign of low financial strength, where the industry average was 37.06 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company ranks lower than 81 percent of the 132 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). CAT’s debt/EBITDA ratio is 2.87 where the industry average is 2.96. CAT is ranked lower than 64 percent of the 122 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). CAT’s cash flow ops/total debt ratio is .22 percent and a sign that it could not pay off debt using cash in hand, where the industry average is .54 percent (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company ranked lower than 78 percent of the 154 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). As of May 2018, ED had a debt/assets ratio of .36 percent. ED had a debt/equity ratio of 1.11 percent where the industry average is.96 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company’s high debt/equity ratio is an indicator that it has been more aggressive than its peers in financing growth Consolidated Edison (ED) Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric Firm Ind Avg Debt & Coverage Ratios Debt/Assets 0.36 Debt/Equity 1.11 0.96 Current Assets/Current Liability 0.67 1.07 EBITDA/Interest 3.83 5.16 Debt/EBITDA 3.99 3.63 Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.04 0.25
  • 16. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 16 with debt. However, ED ranked lower than 55 percent of the 568 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). ED’s current assets/current liability ratio is .67 percent which is lower than the industry average of 1.07 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company is ranked lower than 77 percent of the 637 company in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). ED’s EBITDA/Interest ratio is 3.83 which is lower than the industry average of 5.16 and a sign that financial strength is lower when compared to its peers. Currently, ED is ranked lower than 64 percent of the 611 peer companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). ED had a debt/EBITDA ratio of 3.99 where the industry average was 3.63 (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company is ranked lower than 52 percent of the 568 Companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). The cash flow ops/total debt ratio was .04 percent and lower than the industry average of .25 percent and a sign that it may be less likely to pay off debt using cash in hand. With this regard, ED’s cash flow ops/total debt is ranked lower than 81 percent of the 621 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). As of May 2018, NTRS had a debt/assets ratio of .14 percent. The Company’s debt/equity ratio was 1.80 percent, higher than the industry average of .27 (Guru Focus, 2018). This indicates that NTRS uses aggressive financing tactics in its growth as opposed to its industry peers. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of a large amount of interest expense (Guru Focus, 2018). During the past 13 years, the highest debt/equity ratio of NTRS was 4.49 where the lowest was .40 Northern Trust (NTRS) Industry: Asset Management Firm Ind Avg Debt & Coverage Ratios Debt/Assets 0.14 Debt/Equity 1.80 0.27 EBITDA/Interest -122 2.81 Debt/EBITDA 0 3.03 Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 2.20 9999.0
  • 17. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 17 and the median was 1.33 (Guru Focus, 2018). The debt/equity ratio of NTRS ranked lower than 88 percent of the 554 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). NTRS EBITDA/Interest ratio is currently operating at a loss and did not have earnings to cover the interest expense (CSI Markets, 2018). For the first quarter of 2018, NTRS’s interest expense was -122 million and its operating income was 0 million (Guru Focus, 2018). The debt/EBITDA at the end of the first quarter 2018 was 0 million a sign that it is able to pay off its debt quickly. NTRS also ranked lower than 77 percent of the 533 companies in the global industry where the industry average is 3.03 versus 3.31 for NTRS (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company had a cash flow ops/total debt ratio of 2.20 as opposed to the industry average of 9999.0 and ranked lower than 81 percent of the 1151 companies in the global industry (CSI Markets, 2018). Macy’s (M) had a debt/assets ratio of .30 percent and a debt/equity ratio of 1.04 which is higher than the industry average of .48 (Guru Focus, 2018). The high debt/equity ratio generally means that Macy’s has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Macy’s current assets/current liability ratio is 1.47 which is lower than the industry average of 1.59 and indicates good financial strength (Guru Focus, 2018). The Company’s EBITDA/Interest ratio was 15.37 percent and lower than the industry average of 28.48 percent which shows a weaker financial strength when compared to its peers (Guru Focus, 2018). Macy’s debt/EBITDA ratio is 1.00 where Macy's (M) Industry: Department Stores Firm Ind Avg Debt & Coverage Ratios Debt/Assets 0.30 Debt/Equity 1.04 0.48 Current Assets/Current Liability 1.47 1.59 EBITDA/Interest 15.37 28.48 Debt/EBITDA 1.00 2.40 Cash Flow Ops/Total Debt 0.25 1.02
  • 18. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 18 the industry average is higher at 2.40 percent (Guru Focus, 2018). The low ratio indicates that Macy’s can pay of its debt faster when compared to its peers. Macy’s cash flow ops/total debt ratio is .25 percent where the industry average is 1.02 percent which shows the Company is unable to pay off its debt using cash in hand (Guru Focus, 2018). Bii. The Intrinsic Value Of Stock Assets A stock is capable of holding intrinsic value outside of what the market price and is an important factor to consider by value investors when selecting a company to invest in. One variety of this model is the Gordon Growth Model which assumes the company in consideration is within a steady state and growing in dividends (Alvarez, 2018). This valuation method takes the value of the stock based on the difference in EPS and per-share book value to arrive at an intrinsic value to see if the security is higher or lower than market price (Alvarez, 2018). The following data estimates the intrinsic value of stock assets for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M: Apple (AAPL) Stock Current Stock Market Price: 187.98 EPS Estimate 3.81 Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018 Intrinsic Value 198.44 ROI 2.0 Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018): Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Current Stock Market Price: 154.47 EPS Estimate 5.91 Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018 Intrinsic Value 307.81 ROI 3.8% Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
  • 19. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 19 C. Industry Trends Ci. Historic Industry Microeconomic Data: Apple (AAPL): The Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industry in the Information Technology Sector: Apple operates within the technology, hardware, storage, and peripherals industry of the information technology sector (Collelo, 2018). Historical industry data have shown that there is an upward trend, and that Apple’s financial results have been strong hence providing investors with a decent forecast for upcoming reporting periods. One of the most critical factors for Apple in maintaining its growth is the Company’s ability to retain customers and prevent loss of business Consolidated Edison (ED) Stock Current Stock Market Price: 74.13 EPS Estimate 2.09 Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018 Intrinsic Value 108.85 ROI 2.8% Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018): Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock Current Stock Market Price: 109.29 EPS Estimate 1.43 Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018 Intrinsic Value 74.48 ROI 1.3% Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018): Macy's (M) Stock Current Stock Market Price: 34.48 EPS Estimate 2.85 Risk Free Interest Rate % 1.92 Source: U.S. Treasury Bill Data, 2018 Intrinsic Value 148.44 ROI 8.3% Intrinsic Value (May 17th, 2018):
  • 20. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 20 from other competitors in the IT sector. Since the product life cycles in the consumer electronics industry are relatively short, competitor products may have chances to lure iOS customers away from Apple, which could make it difficult to forecast future performance (Collelo, 2018). Alongside these lines, Apple must be able to continuously develop new products or services since investors in the tech industry are more likely to flock to a Company that will provide greater returns on investment (Collelo, 2018). However, in comparison, no other competitors such as Nokia, Motorola, or BlackBerry have offered secondary devices that partner with their phones which gives Apple a unique edge in addition to its brand name (Collelo, 2018). Source: Fidelity, 2018 AAPL’s Historical Growth Rates:
  • 21. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 21 Caterpillar (CAT): Sector: Industrials, Industry: Machinery Caterpillar’s historical performance has shown has shown a fluctuation of higher net income and revenue earnings during the years 2013 to 2015, a net loss of income in 2016, followed by improvement in 2017. Analysts have forecasted that activity in the industrials sector and machinery industry is likely to strengthen, however, other analysts note concerns over trade wars that are impacting sales. The farm and construction industry has been in growth mode recently due to a number of factors such as U.S. tax reform, strong economic activity, and positive commodity price trends (Schoonmaker, 2018). Caterpillar has become one of the largest to second-largest manufacturers of just about every product it makes and controls 19 percent of the global new construction equipment market and nearly twice as large of its direct competitor, Komatsu (Schoonmaker, 2018). New equipment sales for the machinery industries have been tied to heavy construction and the general construction sector, mostly within the North Americas (45%), and the Asian-Pacific (20%). Over the past seven years, Caterpillar’s spending on R&D averaged around 2 billion per year which exceeded the spending of another competitor (Schoonmaker, 2018). The Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stockholders Equity 123,549 111,547 119,355 128,249 134,047 Growth % -9.71% 7.00% 7.45% 4.52% Revenues 170,910 182,795 233,715 215,639 229,234 Growth % 6.95% 27.86% -7.73% 6.30% Earnings Per Share (EPS) 5.72 6.49 9.28 8.35 9.27 Growth Rate 13.46% 42.99% -10.02% 11.02% Dividends Per Share 1.69 1.85 2.03 2.23 2.46 Growth Rate 9.47% 9.73% 9.85% 10.31% Sustainable Growth (SGR) EPS 5.72 6.49 9.28 8.35 9.27 DPS 1.69 1.85 2.03 2.23 2.46 ROE 30.6% 33.6% 48.3% 36.9% 36.9% Payout Ratio 0.30 0.29 0.22 0.27 0.27 Retention Ratio 0.70 0.71 0.78 0.73 0.73 SGR 21.59% 24.03% 37.70% 27.05% 27.09% AAPL Historical Growth Rates
  • 22. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 22 spending on R&D has allowed the Company to continuously innovate and develop better quality products with stronger brand against its competitors. Source: Fidelity, 2018 CAT’s Historical Growth Rates: Consolidated Edison (ED): Utilities Sector and Multi-Utilities Industry Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stockholders Equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697 Growth % -19.53% -11.57% -11.29% 4.26% Revenues 55,656 55,184 47,011 38,537 45,462 Growth % -0.85% -14.81% -18.03% 17.97% Earnings Per Share (EPS) 5.87 5.99 3.54 -0.11 1.27 Growth Rate 2.04% -40.90% -103.11% -1254.55% Dividends Per Share 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10 Growth Rate 51.16% 13.08% 4.76% 0.65% Sustainable Growth (SGR) EPS 5.87 5.99 3.54 -0.11 1.27 DPS 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10 ROE 19.8% 19.7% 13.3% -0.5% 5.6% Payout Ratio 0.29 0.43 0.83 -28.00 2.44 Retention Ratio 0.71 0.57 0.17 29.00 -1.44 SGR 13.97% 11.14% 2.26% -13.92% -8.10% CAT Historical Growth Rates
  • 23. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 23 Con-Ed operates within the utilities sector and multi-utilities industry in New York State (NYS). The company focuses on electric and natural gas distribution, and has produced some of the most stable earnings in the utilities sector. The regulatory framework in NYS, is a significant factor which impacts earnings from weather and sales volume, resulting in lower earnings and cash flow when compared to its peers (Fishman, 2018). NYS is the home to most of Con-Ed’s utility earnings and returns are generally below the industry averages. Hence, there is less than average confidence that the Company would be able to consistently earn profits above its cost of capital during the next 15 years (Fishman, 2018). Con-Ed’s customers in New York City pay some of the highest rates for electricity in the U.S. In addition, the city’s infrastructure is very old which is more expensive to maintain placing the Company at risk from storm related damage (Fisherman, 2018). Source: Fidelity, 2018 ED’s Historical Growth Rates:
  • 24. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 24 Northern Trust (NTRS): Financials Sector and Capital Markets Industry Northern Trust operates within the financials sector and capital markets industry, and due to the current less stringent regulatory environment, the Company is likely to reduce excess capital and increase its leverage by at least 5 percent (Compton, 2018). In addition, returns on equity (ROE) are likely to increase by over 20 percent during the next five years (Compton, 2018). Northern Trust consists of two business segments of a private bank that serves wealthy investors in the U.S., and a custodian bank that serves institutional customers around the world (Compton, 2018). Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stockholders Equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697 Growth % -19.53% -11.57% -11.29% 4.26% Revenues 12,354 12,919 12,554 12,075 12,033 Growth % 4.57% -2.83% -3.82% -0.35% Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.62 3.73 4.07 4.15 4.97 Growth Rate 3.04% 9.12% 1.97% 19.76% Dividends Per Share 1.72 2.60 2.94 3.08 3.10 Growth Rate 51.16% 13.08% 4.76% 0.65% Sustainable Growth (SGR) EPS 3.62 3.73 4.07 4.15 4.97 DPS 2.46 2.52 2.60 2.68 2.76 ROE 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.1% 10.3% Payout Ratio 0.68 0.68 0.64 0.65 0.56 Retention Ratio 0.32 0.32 0.36 0.35 0.44 SGR 2.82% 2.85% 3.36% 3.22% 4.56% ED Historical Growth Rates
  • 25. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 25 Northern Trust is also one of the most conservative and stable financial companies which has often had more room for growth since it started out small (Compton, 2018). The Company’s private banking operations serves more than 20 percent of the Forbes 400 richest families with client relationships that have spanned over generations (Compton, 2018). This allows the Company to maintain a strong position with high net worth clientele and investors who tend to have less complex needs which has protected the bank from increased competition (Compton, 2018). In addition, Northern Trust is expected to grow over the next couple of years due to rising interest rates which should improve ROE. Macy’s (M): Consumer Discretionary Sector and Department Stores Industry: Macy’s (M) operates within the consumer discretionary sector and the department stores industry which is now one of the largest department stores within the U.S. However, the industry has been extremely competitive and likely to see a reduction in profits during upcoming reporting periods. Over the next five years, analysts have projected that Macy’s sales will decline by 1 percent on average, and operating margins will fall to 5 percent by 2021 against their 8 percent Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stockholders Equity 7,102 8,449 8,706 9,770 10,216 Growth % 18.97% 3.04% 12.22% 4.56% Revenues 3,923 4,331 4,703 4,962 5,375 Growth % 10.40% 8.59% 5.51% 8.32% Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.07 3.34 4.03 4.35 4.59 Growth Rate 8.79% 20.66% 7.94% 5.52% Dividends Per Share 1.23 1.30 1.41 1.48 1.60 Growth Rate 5.69% 8.46% 4.96% 8.11% Sustainable Growth (SGR) EPS 3.07 3.34 4.03 4.35 4.59 DPS 1.23 1.30 1.41 1.48 1.60 ROE 10.3% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% Payout Ratio 0.40 0.39 0.35 0.34 0.35 Retention Ratio 0.60 0.61 0.65 0.66 0.65 SGR 6.17% 5.80% 7.09% 6.80% 7.30% Northern Trust (NTRS) Growth Rates
  • 26. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 26 three-year historical average (Brick, 2018). Investors had been rewarded total shareholder returns of 412 percent from 2009 to 2015, but the Company has since stumbled (Brick, 2018). In addition, spending has shifted from apparel to other categories and department stores are likely to be forced to compete on price as a result of increased online competition (Brick, 2018). Macy’s is continuously losing market share to other sector categories such as healthier foods or new technologies and department store sales have fallen by 3 percent annually over the past five years. (Brick, 2018). Source: Fidelity, 2018 Macy's (M) Growth Rates 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Stockholders Equity 6,051 6,249 5,378 4,250 4,323 Growth % 3.27% -13.94% -20.97% 1.72% Revenues 27,686 27,931 28,105 27,079 25,778 Growth % 0.88% 0.62% -3.65% -4.80% Earnings Per Share (EPS) 3.29 3.93 4.3 3.26 2.01 Growth Rate 19.45% 9.41% -24.19% -38.34% Dividends Per Share 0.95 1.19 1.39 1.49 1.51 Growth Rate 25.26% 16.81% 7.19% 1.34% Sustainable Growth (SGR) EPS 3.29 3.93 4.3 3.26 2.01 DPS 0.95 1.19 1.39 1.49 1.51 ROE 22.3% 24.2% 26.3% 22.3% 14.4% Payout Ratio 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.46 0.75 Retention Ratio 0.71 0.70 0.68 0.54 0.25 SGR 15.85% 16.84% 17.76% 12.09% 3.59%
  • 27. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 27 Cii. Analysis Of Quantitative Data Across Sectors And Industries The following data shows Market-Cap & Industry Performance Breakdown for M, NTRS, ED, CAT, & AAPL: Source: Fidelity, 2018 The following data shows market-cap and sector performance breakdowns for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M: Source: Fidelity, 2018 1.14 784.54 374.91 1.29 148.34 25.39 21.92 17.75 -7.21 27.37 34.42 13.18 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Technology Hardware, Storage &… Machinery Multi-Ultilities Capital Markets Multi-Line Retail S&P 500 Market Cap and Industries In Comparison for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, M Market Cap 1-Year % Change 9.55 4.28 1.23 7.7 5.81 25.39 27.45 11.14 -4.92 18.05 18.43 13.18 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Information Technology Industrials Utilities Financials Consumer Discretionary S&P 500 Market Cap & Sector Performancefor M, NTRS, ED, CAT, & AAPL Market Cap 1 Year % Change
  • 28. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 28 Quantitative industry data have shown that there are recent growth trends within the information technology and consumer discretionary/multi-line retail industries and sectors (Fidelity, 2018). Growth in these industries are likely to continue as a result of U.S. tax cuts and fiscal stimulus acts which have helped with inflation in the first quarter of 2018 and pushed the stock market high (Fidelity, 2018). On the other hand, the financials sector and capital markets industries have weakened when compared to other industries and sectors (Fidelity, 2018). The valuation of the technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary sectors have been elevated and relative to their historical averages due to strong performance in recent quarters (Fidelity, 2018). The technology, consumer discretionary, and financials sectors have continued with steady growth in the first quarter of 2018, are likely to be leaders in the market, where consumer discretionary is now a part of the top three sectors and on a steady long-term uptrend (Fidelity, 2018). However, the utilities sector is continuing to lag behind with no reported change in trends (Fidelity, 2018). The defensive sectors such as utilities, real estate, and telecom, have also lagged in the market, with no sign of a change in trend (Fidelity, 2018). D. Stakeholders Di. Five Key Stakeholders And Their Needs In Relation To The Company’s Portfolio. The five key stakeholders in relation to the Company’s portfolio includes employees, customers, communities, investors, and regulators (HBR, 2007). Employee needs are based around the desire to work for a company that is financially stable and able to make good investments that lead to meeting their personal needs, job growth, improved work environment, and improved visions that help employees become more competent and committed to working for the company (HBR, 2007). Customers tend seek out companies they can trust to do business with that have innovative products and services which is where investment strategies are necessary to be able to sustain growth. Communities expect companies to make investments that not only build
  • 29. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 29 organizations, but are also socially responsible. This is where it is necessary to select stocks that have a good reputation in society and communities as to how they treat the environment and serve the larger community. Investors expect the company to keep their promises in developing growth strategies that align core competencies to the strategy and are committed to delivering adequate returns on investment. When this occurs, investors gain high levels of confidence in the company and are likely to continue to invest, which leads to higher market value. Regulators expect that company leadership govern themselves in accordance to the securities laws and with high ethical principles when engaging in investment activities. Dii. Common Stockholders’ Primary Objective And Required Return On Equity. The common stockholders’ primary objective is to invest in stocks that are profitable which may involve measuring return on equity (ROE), or how much profit a company may generate with the money invested (Investopedia, 2018). ROE estimates how effective the company is turning cash into greater gains and growth for both the company and investors. The higher the ROE, the more efficient the company is making use of the stockholders’ funds. Some factors that stockholders consider are the weighted average number of shares issued throughout the year, the average ROE over the past 5 to 10 years of historical growth, and whether or not a high growth company is actually producing a higher ROE (Investopedia, 2018). The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is another factor that stockholders look at which takes the stock price and divides it by net income per share. However, one of the biggest weaknesses of ROE is its failure to recognize a company’s debt (Early, 2018). However, higher debt would potentially increase a company’s resource based necessary in generating additional profits. Since debt financing is more cost effective than equity financing, companies can enhance their returns by taking on debt in a reasonable amount (Early, 2018).
  • 30. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 30 II. Portfolio: A. Assets Ai. Asset Classes, Considering The Portfolio’s Risk/Return Trade-Offs And Objectives. The specific asset classes of the portfolio will consider a possible 80 percent allocation of funds towards stocks and 20 percent toward bonds with the goal of optimizing growth. A growth orientated corporation’s primary objective is to optimize the long-term potential for growth, and would be willing to tolerate large short term price fluctuations, that has a long term investment time horizon, with current income not being the primary goal (Investopedia, 2018). Proposed Stock Portfolio for XYZ Company: When analyzing the beta of the five stocks, a beta of 1 specifies that the stock’s price moves with the market, where a beta of less than 1 indicates that the security is less volatile than the market (Investopedia, 2018). A beta greater than 1 means that the stock’s price is more volatile than the market. Therefore, a low beta is expected to underperform the benchmark in up markets and outperform during down markets (Investopedia, 2018). Where most utilities and financial industry stocks such as Con-Ed have a beta less than 1, and NASDAQ based stocks such as Apple, have a beta greater than 1 which offers a possible higher return but also more risk (Investopedia, 2018). The CAPM describes the relationship between systematic risk and expected return for the stocks, as well as generating expected portfolio returns given the risk of those assets and costs of capital. In modern portfolio theory, the risk-free rate of return shows the rate of return of an investment with zero risk and is the minimum return an investor expects for any investment (Investopedia, 2018). The interest rate is generally taken on a three-month U.S. Treasury bill for U.S. based investors. The portfolio variance measures how the aggregate actual returns of the set of stocks fluctuate over time using the standard deviations of each security as well as the correlations of each security in the portfolio. The variance can be reduced by selecting asset classes
  • 31. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 31 with low or negative correlations (Investopedia, 2018). The Sharpe ratio shows the change in the portfolio’s overall risk-return when a new asset allocation is added to it. A high Sharpe ratio signifies that it actually improves the risk-return of a combined portfolio and adds a diversification (Investopedia, 2018). If a new investment lowers the Sharpe ratio, then theoretically it should not be added to the portfolio. 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 Macy's AAPL CAT ED NTRS Macys Apple Caterpillar ED Northern Trust XYZ, Inc. Proposed OptimalStock Portfolio Beta CAPM Weight Portfolio Contribution 10% 36% 24% 12% 18% 100% 0.00880 0.10488 10% 1.92% 17.15% 1.52 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% Macys Apple Caterpillar ED Northern Trust SUM Portfolio Variance Standard Deviation Market Return Risk Free Rate Total Portfolio Return Sharpe Ratio Leverage XYZ, Inc. Optimal Portfolio Weights, Returns, & Rates
  • 32. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 32 Proposed Bond Portfolio for XYZ, Inc.: The proposed bond portfolio was constructed using callable securities with a focus on capital gains as well as income, as opposed to a buy and hold strategy focused on income and principal. Callable securities assume that yields will remain relatively stable and must also have views on the range of rates over the investment period as well as the market’s perception of future rate uncertainty at the horizon date (Conley, 2018). Interest rate risks when investing in bonds are also important since bond prices go in the opposite direction when related to interest rates. Hence, when interest rates go up, the bond prices will go down and vice versa, thus adding an additional diversification benefits to the portfolio (Gallant, 2018). Furthermore, diversifying with both long- term and short-term bonds minimize additional risks since long term bonds are more subject to interest rate risks when compared to short term bonds (Gallant, 2018). 4.25% 3.48% 4.17% 3.41% 6.36% 28 6 25 2 24 1046.5 1034 1039.5 1034.5 1051.3 101.74 685.87 134.8 904.54 54.5 1084.97 992.26 954.08 1001.47 816.63 Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Caterpillar (CAT) Consolidated Edison (ED) Northern Trust (NTRS) Macy’s (M) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Caterpillar (CAT) Consolidated Edison (ED) Northern Trust (NTRS) Macy’s (M) Int Value 1084.97 992.26 954.08 1001.47 816.63 PV Cash Flow 101.74 685.87 134.8 904.54 54.5 Cash Flow 1046.5 1034 1039.5 1034.5 1051.3 Maturity 28 6 25 2 24 YTM 4.25% 3.48% 4.17% 3.41% 6.36% Bond Portfolio Int Value PV Cash Flow Cash Flow Maturity YTM
  • 33. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 33 Aii. Asset Allocation Weightings Across Asset Classes, Sectors, And Industries: . B. Securities Bi. Historical Revenue And Earnings Growth In Comparison To Peers In The Industry. The following analysis consists of historical revenue and earnings growth in comparison to peers in the industry based on results for APPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M. Portfolio Weights Stock Beta CAPM Weight Portfolio Contribution Macys Macy's 0.50 5.96% 10% 0.60% Apple AAPL 1.11 10.89% 36% 3.92% Caterpillar CAT 1.49 13.96% 24% 3.35% ED ED 0.01 2.00% 12% 0.24% Northern Trust NTRS 0.01 2.00% 18% 0.36% AAPL CAT ED NTRS M AAPL 0.05130 0.01738 0.00174 0.00605 0.00566 CAT 0.01738 0.05663 -0.00635 0.01206 -0.02015 ED 0.00002 -0.00635 0.03130 -0.01314 -0.00661 NTRS 0.00006 0.01206 -0.01314 0.03708 0.00543 M 0.00006 -0.02015 -0.00661 0.00543 0.11496 Variance-Co-Variance Matrix 12.70% 14.70% 10.20% 24.90% 2.90% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% Consumer Discretionary Financials Industrials Information Technology Utilities Weights Industry Sector Weights in the S&P 500
  • 34. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 34 Fiscal year ends in September. USD in millions except per share data. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Income 37,037 39,510 53,394 45,687 48,351 Revenue 170,910 182,795 233,715 215,639 229,234 Total assets 207,000 231,839 290,479 321,686 375,319 Total stockholders' equity 123,549 111,547 119,355 128,249 134,047 Net Profit Margin 21.7% 21.6% 22.8% 21.2% 21.1% x Total Asset Turnover 0.83 0.79 0.80 0.67 0.61 Return on Assets (ROA) 17.89% 17.04% 18.38% 14.20% 12.88% Equity Multiplier (EM) 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.8 Return on Equity (ROE) 30.0% 35.4% 44.7% 35.6% 36.1% AAPL Market and Industry Performance AAPL Industry Average Market Cap (B) 926.9 16.35 Total Annual Return 22.56% 21.09% Beta (1 Year Annualized) 1.24 1.28 EPS TTM $10.37 $8.75 EPS Growth TTM 21.17% 17.65% P/E TTM 18.2 17.57 Dividend Yield 1.55% 1.61% Revenue (TTM) (B) 247.42 206.24 Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 12.23% 11.48% Shares Outstanding (Trillion ) 4.92 4.15 AAPL Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 926.9 22.56% 1.24 $10.37 21.17% 18.2 1.55% 247.42 12.23% 4.92 16.35 21.09% 1.28 $8.75 17.65% 17.57 1.61% 206.24 11.48% 4.15 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Market Cap (B) Total Annual Return Beta (1 Year Annualized) EPS TTM EPS Growth TTM P/E TTM Dividend Yield Revenue (TTM) (B) Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) Shares Outstanding (Trillion ) AAPL Market and Industry Comparison As of May 2018 AAPL Industry Average
  • 35. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 35 Fiscal year ends in January. USD in millions except per share data. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Income 1,335 1,486 1,526 1,072 619 Revenue 27,686 27,931 28,105 27,079 25,778 Total assets 20,991 21,634 21,461 20,576 19,851 Total stockholders' equity 6,051 6,249 5,378 4,250 4,323 Net Profit Margin 4.8% 5.3% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4% x Total Asset Turnover 1.32 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.30 Return on Assets (ROA) 6.36% 6.87% 7.11% 5.21% 3.12% Equity Multiplier (EM) 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.8 4.6 Return on Equity (ROE) 22.1% 23.8% 28.4% 25.2% 14.3% Macy's (M) Market and Industry Performance M Industry Average Market Cap (B) $10.44 $2.12 Total Annual Return 46.10% 31.77% Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.75 0.84 EPS TTM $5.26 $5.57 EPS Growth TTM 179.79% 47.39% P/E TTM 6.49 14.52 Dividend Yield 4.42% 2.47% Revenue (TTM) (B) $25.20 $31.38 Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) -1.26% 6.07% Shares Outstanding (Million ) 305.95 282.15 Macy's and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 $10.44 46.10% 0.75 $5.26 179.79% 6.49 4.42% $25.20 -1.26% 305.95 $2.12 31.77% 0.84 $5.57 47.39% 14.52 2.47% $31.38 6.07% 282.15 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Market Cap (B) Beta (1 Year Annualized) EPS Growth TTM Dividend Yield Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) Macy's and IndustryPerformanceComparison As of May 2018 M Industry Average
  • 36. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 36 Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions except per share data. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Income 3,789 3,695 2,102 612 754 Revenues 55,656 55,184 47,011 38,537 45,462 Total assets 84,896 84,681 78,497 74,704 76,962 Total stockholders' equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697 Net Profit Margin 6.8% 6.7% 4.5% 1.6% 1.7% x Total Asset Turnover 0.66 0.65 0.60 0.52 0.59 Return on Assets (ROA) 4.46% 4.36% 2.68% 0.82% 0.98% Equity Multiplier (EM) 4.1 5.1 5.3 5.7 5.6 Return on Equity (ROE) 18.2% 22.1% 14.2% 4.7% 5.5% CAT Market and Industry Performance CAT Industry Average Market Cap (B) $93.19 $11.21 Total Annual Return 48.40% 18.64% Beta (1 Year Annualized) 1.3 1.22 EPS TTM $3.68 $3.57 EPS Growth TTM 0.00% 42.34% P/E TTM 42.35 22.99 Dividend Yield 2.00% 2.02% Revenue (TTM) (B) $48.50 $17.46 Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 24.68% 18.12% Shares Outstanding (Millions) 598 372 CAT Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 $93.19 48.40% 1.3 $3.68 0.00% 42.35 2.00% $48.50 24.68% 598 $11.21 18.64% 1.22 $3.57 42.34% 22.99 2.02% $17.46 18.12% 372 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Market Cap (B) Total Annual Return Beta (1 Year Annualized) EPS TTM EPS Growth TTM P/E TTM Dividend Yield Revenue (TTM) (B) Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) Shares Outstanding (Millions) CAT Market and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 CAT Industry Average
  • 37. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 37 Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions except per share data. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Income 1,062 1,092 1,193 1,245 1,525 Revenue 12,354 12,919 12,554 12,075 12,033 Total assets 40,647 44,308 45,642 48,255 48,111 Total stockholders' equity 20,811 16,746 14,809 13,137 13,697 Net Profit Margin 8.6% 8.5% 9.5% 10.3% 12.7% x Total Asset Turnover 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.25 Return on Assets (ROA) 2.61% 2.46% 2.61% 2.58% 3.17% Equity Multiplier (EM) 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.7 3.5 Return on Equity (ROE) 5.1% 6.5% 8.1% 9.5% 11.1% Consolidated Edison (ED) Market and Industry Performance ED Industry Average Market Cap (B) $23.59 $5.36 Total Annual Return -7.47% -2.25% Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.04 0.48 EPS TTM $5.04 $3.09 EPS Growth TTM 16.40% 37.59% P/E TTM 15.06 15.11 Dividend Yield 3.77% 4.93% Revenue (TTM) (B) $12.17 $22.51 Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 0.18% 4.97% Shares Outstanding (Million ) 310.7 727.9 Consolidated Edison (ED) and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 $23.59 -7.47% 0.04 $5.04 16.40% 15.06 3.77% $12.17 0.18% 310.7 $5.36 -2.25% 0.48 $3.09 37.59% 15.11 4.93% $22.51 4.97% 727.9 -100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Market Cap (B) Total Annual Return Beta (1 Year Annualized) EPS TTM EPS Growth TTM P/E TTM Dividend Yield Revenue (TTM) (B) Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) Shares Outstanding (Million ) ED vs. Industry Comparison As of May 2018 ED Industry Average
  • 38. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 38 Fiscal year ends in December. USD in millions except per share data. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Income 728 802 950 1,009 1,149 Revenue 3,923 4,331 4,703 4,962 5,375 Total assets 102,659 109,946 116,750 123,927 138,590 Total stockholders' equity 7,102 8,449 8,706 9,770 10,216 Net Profit Margin 18.6% 18.5% 20.2% 20.3% 21.4% x Total Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Return on Assets (ROA) 0.71% 0.73% 0.81% 0.81% 0.83% Equity Multiplier (EM) 14.5 13.0 13.4 12.7 13.6 Return on Equity (ROE) 10.3% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% Northern Trust (NTRS) Market and Industry Performance NTRS Industry Average Market Cap (B) $23.99 $18.43 Total Annual Return 20.76% 2760736.00% Beta (1 Year Annualized) 0.96 1.27 EPS TTM $5.41 $5.95 EPS Growth TTM 23.52% 29.60% P/E TTM 19.71 20.43 Dividend Yield 1.58% 2.20% Revenue (TTM) (B) $5.97 $16.72 Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) 13.74% 16.25% Shares Outstanding (Million ) 224.99 838.98 NTRS and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 $23.99 20.76% 0.96 $5.41 23.52% 19.71 1.58% $5.97 13.74% 224.99 $18.43 2760736.00% 1.27 $5.95 29.60% 20.43 2.20% $16.72 16.25% 838.98 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Market Cap (B) Total Annual Return Beta (1 Year Annualized) EPS TTM EPS Growth TTM P/E TTM Dividend Yield Revenue (TTM) (B) Revenue Growth Rate (TTM) Shares Outstanding (Million ) NTRS and Industry Performance Comparison As of May 2018 NTRS Industry Average
  • 39. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 39 Bii. The Intrinsic Value Of Assets: The intrinsic value of the assets were calculated using the present value of the company’s future free cash flows into a discounted cash flow (DCF) model projected over a ten year period. The annual discount rate of 10 percent was used with the assumption that there could be another economic recession in the next ten years. The discontinued perpetuity value was calculated using the rate of 3 percent assuming that growth will slow down in the future: Apple’s current stock price is $187.50, where the highest price to intrinsic value projected FCF is ranked higher than 65 percent of the 1,289 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). Caterpillar’s current stock price is $155.46 and the highest price to intrinsic value projected FCF is ranked lower than 63 percent of the 93 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, Discounted Perpetuity CF 35,379.46 *In billions Shares Outstanding 5,000 *In billions Intrinsic Value $147.08 per share AAPL Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+ Discounted Perpetuity CF 55,169.27 *In billions Shares Outstanding 603 *In millions Intrinsic Value $91.49 per share CAT Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+ Discounted Perpetuity CF 3,349.19 *In millions Shares Outstanding 310 *In millions Intrinsic Value $10.80 per share ED Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+ Discounted Perpetuity CF 48,104.00 *In billions Shares Outstanding 229 *In millions Intrinsic Value $210.06 per share NTRS Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+ Discounted Perpetuity CF 28,052.11 *In millions Shares Outstanding 306.8 *In millions Intrinsic Value $91.43 Per share M Intrinsic Value By Year 2027+ Assuming 3% Future Growth 2018+
  • 40. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 40 2018). Consolidated Edison’s current stock price is $75.54 where the highest price to intrinsic value projected FCF ranked lower than 54 percent of the 292 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). The stock price of Northern Trust is currently $105.76, whereas the highest price to intrinsic value projected FCF is ranked lower than 56 percent of the 306 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). The stock price of Macy’s is currently $35.56, and the price to intrinsic value projected FCFis ranked higher than 87 percent of the 487 companies in the global industry (Guru Focus, 2018). C. Rates of Return Ci. Historical Risk And Rates Of Return Against The S&P 500 Historical rates of return were calculated and benchmarked against the S&P 500 using a linear regression analysis of monthly data from July 1, 2017 to May 1, 2018. The R-squared in the equation and the coefficient R of the five stocks shows the correlation between the stocks (AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, M) and the S&P 500. A high R-squared is indicative that the stock’s performance is in movement with the S&P 500. The higher the R-squared, the better the performance of the security in the S&P. In the following analysis, y represents monthly returns for the respective Company, and x represents the S&P 500. What the equation explains is that for every increase of 1 percentage point of the S&P (x), there is a point increase in the Company return (y), which is the slope of the line. If the S&P were zero in a month, or no movement then the stock would decline by the percentage point in y. The R-squared is the percentage variation in y attributed to the S&P. The higher the R-squared, the better the performance of the security in the S&P. In the following analysis, y represents monthly returns for the respective Company, and x represents the S&P 500. What the equation explains is that for every increase of 1 percentage point of the
  • 41. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 41 S&P (x), there is a point increase in the company return (y), which is the slope of the line. If the S&P were zero in a month, or no movement then the stock would decline by the percentage point in y. The R-squared is the percentage variation in y attributed to the S&P. A high R- squared between 85 and 100 percent is a sign that the stock’s performance moves in line with the index, where a fund with a low R-squared at 70 or lower, indicates that it does not generally follow movements in the index (Investopedia, 2018). A higher R-squared will also provide a more useful beta figure. y = 1.0092x - 0.0099 R² = 0.1992 -0.14 -0.12 -0.1 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 S&P-APPL 07/01/2017-05/1/2018 Monthly Returns
  • 42. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 42 y = -0.3945x - 0.0067 R² = 0.0257 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 S&P-CE 07/01/2017-05/01/2018 Monthly Returns y = -0.0745x - 0.0128 R² = 0.0025 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 S&P-NTRS 07/01/2017- 05/01/2018 MonthlyReturns y = -0.9381x - 0.0049 R² = 0.0221 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 S&P-M 07/01/2017 - 05/01/2018 Monthly Returns
  • 43. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 43 Bii. Required Rates Of Return The required rates of return for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M were calculated taking the risk free rate plus the beta of each individual stock multiplied by the expected market return minus the risk free rate of return. Therefore, in order to take on the investment, the individual stock must meet or exceed the required return in order to justify the risk of owning it. However, regardless of the risk-return objectives, to assemble an efficient portfolio, risks and returns can be minimized through diversification with multiple stocks and bonds from different industries and sectors. Required Rates of Return For AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M Stock Beta RequiredReturn Macys 0.50 5.96 Apple 1.11 10.89 Caterpillar 1.49 13.96 ED 0.01 2.00 NorthernTrust 0.01 2.00 Risk-Free Rate 1.92 ExpectedMarketReturn 10 D. Risk/Return Trade-Off On The Investments. The risk-return tradeoff is the concept in which a potential investment return will rise with an increase in risk, while low levels of risk are associated with lower returns. Invested money can lead to higher profits only if the investor is willing to accept the potential losses should they occur (Investopedia, 2018). At the portfolio level, the risk-return tradeoff includes an assessment on the diversity of holdings and whether or not the mix presents too much risk or a lower than expected potential for returns. Under Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), investors may design an optimal portfolio in order to maximize returns while taking on a quantifiable amount of risk, and the risk can be reduced through diversification using a quantifiable method (McClure, 2017). Therefore, investment in more than one stock would reduce the riskiness of the portfolio in the event that the
  • 44. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 44 return is lower than expected or deviates from the average return. For a well-diversified portfolio, the risk or average deviation from the mean of each stock would contribute little risk, and instead, the covariance between the individual stocks’ risk would determine the amount of overall portfolio risk (McClure, 2017). The following portfolio analysis shows a comparison between the optimal risky portfolio and an equally weighted portfolio of assets for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M taking monthly data from December 1, 2013 to May 1, 2018. The higher the variance, the less attractive the stock is for investing. As you can see from the analysis, Macy’s has an extremely high variance of 11.72% when compared to the other stocks, as well as the lowest return thus not an attractive investment. However, Macy’s could be included as a part of the portfolio in consideration of whether it could add value by combining it with the other four stocks. The Companies with the highest average annual returns are Apple, Caterpillar, and Northern Trust. Assuming we have an equally weighted investment allocation of 20 percent for each stock, the expected return of the entire portfolio would be 14.62 percent where the standard deviation would be 10.87 percent, and the Sharpe Ratio would be 1.17. However, for an optimal risky portfolio, the Company is likely to benefit from greater returns (Van Delsem, 2016). An optimal risky portfolio would result in weighted allocations for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, and M of .22, .11, .35, .32, and 0 respectively, thus resulted in a higher expected return of 17.15 percent, AAPL 0.20 AAPL 0.22 AAPL 24.44% CAT 0.20 CAT 0.11 CAT 19.28% ED 0.20 ED 0.35 ED 11.88% NTRS 0.20 NTRS 0.32 NTRS 16.75% M 0.20 M 0.00 M -0.23% SUM 1.00 SUM 1.00 Risk Free Rate 1.92% Expected Return 14.62% Expected Return 17.15% Aversion Rate 10 Std Deviation 10.87% Std Deviation 10.04% Sharpe Ratio 1.17 Sharpe Ratio 1.52 Equally Weighted Portfolio Optimal Risky Portfolio Returns
  • 45. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 45 a standard deviation of 10.04 percent, and a Sharpe Ratio of 1.52. This would give a much higher Sharpe Ratio which would improve the risk-return trade off fairly dramatically by changing the weights of the portfolio (Van Delsem, 2016). From the point of view of the risk averse investor, high risk stocks would not be selected and safe investments would be considered including investing in bonds (Van Delsem, 2016). Risk-averse investors may want to invest in corporate bonds which are likely to pay out a steady dividend to investors. Corporate bonds are safer than investing in common stocks because in the event that the company becomes insolvent, the bond investors would receive the first payments over the shareholders from the remaining funds after creditors are paid off (Egan, 2015). The two primary risks faced by bonds include interest rate risk and credit risk (Egan, 2015). Interest rate risk is the risk that occurs from the sensitivity of bond durations, prices, and the impact of rate fluctuations. When interest rates rise, the bond prices will fall and the longer the maturity date, the more sensitive the bond is to expected changes in interest rates (Egan, 2015). The second risk pertains to credit ratings, or the risk that the Company may default by either not paying its coupons or principal or by filing bankruptcy (Egan, 2015). The ratings agencies such as Fitch and Moody’s provide ratings on bonds and issuers with the lowest ratings are viewed as more likely to default on their payments, yet pay higher premiums over the rate offered on U.S. Treasury bonds to incentivize investors to take on the higher risk (Egan, 2015).
  • 46. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 46 Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Coupon Payment -$1,046.50 Coupon Payment -$1,034.00 Coupon Rate = 4.65% Coupon Rate = 3.40% n = 1 n = 1 Apple, Inc. 1 28 Caterpillar, Inc. 1 6 YTM Time To Maturity YTM Time To Maturity years = 1 years=28 years = 1 years = 6 5% $1,949.05 $15,845.98 5% $1,937.14 $5,994.48 10% $1,860.45 $9,808.67 10% $1,849.09 $5,067.81 15% $1,779.57 $6,857.29 15% $1,768.70 $4,345.48 20% $1,705.42 $5,206.82 20% $1,695.00 $3,773.48 The More Years to Maturity the Higher the Interest Rate Risk Apple, Inc. Caterpillar, Inc. Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Coupon Payment -$1,039.50 Coupon Payment -$1,034.50 Coupon Rate = 3.95% Coupon Rate = 3.45% n = 1 n = 1 Con-Ed, Inc. 1 25 NTRS, Inc. 1 2 YTM Time To Maturity YTM Time To Maturity years = 1 years = 25 years = 1 years = 2 5% $1,942.38 $14,945.96 5% $1,937.62 $2,830.59 10% $1,854.09 $9,527.88 10% $1,849.55 $2,621.86 15% $1,773.48 $6,749.86 15% $1,769.13 $2,437.94 20% $1,699.58 $5,153.50 20% $1,695.42 $2,274.93 Con-Ed, Inc. NTRS, Inc. Macy's, Inc. Bond Face Value = FV = -$1,000.00 Coupon Payment -$1,051.30 Coupon Rate = 5.13% Corporate Bond Credit Ratings Moody's S&P n = 1 Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Aa1/AA+ Caterpillar (CAT) A3/A Macy's, Inc. 1 24 Consolidated Edison (ED) A2/A- YTM Time To Maturity Northern Trust (NTRS) A2/A+ years = 1 years = 24 Macy’s (M) Baa3/BBB- 5% $1,953.62 $14,816.58 10% $1,864.82 $9,547.19 15% $1,783.74 $6,798.76 20% $1,709.42 $5,202.96
  • 47. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 47 From the above selected corporate bonds, Apple, Con-Ed, and Macy’s have longer maturities which present a greater level of risk, where, Caterpillar, and NTRS have shorter maturity dates which would make the investment less subjected to interest rate risk. Macy’s was also ranked a lower score by the ratings agencies which leaves its bonds more risky to invest in. III. Executive Summary: XYZ Tech Company is seeking potential investment opportunities in the following companies: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT), Consolidated Edison (ED), Northern Trust, Inc. (NTRS), and Macy’s, Inc. (M). The investment analysis report of the aforementioned consists of information and parameters along with results from financial database research with the goal of generating the maximum rates of return within the given risk class. A. These Investments Will Position XYZ To Generate An Attractive Absolute And Relative Investment Performance. Making these investments will position XYZ Tech Company to generate an attractive level of absolute and relative investment performance. The absolute performance measures the amount of returns that an asset achieves over a given period of time and expressed as a percentage. Apple, Caterpillar, and NTRS, provide the greatest percentages of annual and monthly returns when looking at financial data pulled from the periods January 1, 2014 to May 1, 2018 (Yahoo Finance, 2018). Whereas, Con-Ed and Macy’s were lowest in performance. The investment performance results have shown average annual returns of 25.44%, 19.28%, and 16.75%, and average monthly returns of 0.44%, 0.48%, and 0.31% respectively. Whereas, Con-Ed and Macy’s produced average annual returns of 11.88% and -0.23%, and average monthly returns of 0.99% and -0.02% respectively. When looking at the historical variances, the stocks with the lowest variances typically generate returns that are closer to its average. A stock with a higher variance can generate
  • 48. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 48 returns that are significantly higher or lower than expected which can increase the level of uncertainty and the risk of losing money. AAPL CAT ED NTRS M Average Monthly Returns 2.12% 1.61% 0.99% 1.40% -0.02% MonthlyVariance 0.44% 0.48% 0.27% 0.31% 0.98% Average Annual Return 25.44% 19.28% 11.88% 16.75% -0.23% Annual Variance 5.23% 5.77% 3.19% 3.78% 11.72% The relative return on the investments provides insights into the performance of each asset relative to a benchmark which in this case is the S&P 500. The relative returns consider the return of investment less the absolute return of the benchmark. -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% Average Monthly Returns Monthly Variance Average Annual Return Annual Variance AbsolutePerformanceof M, NTRS, ED, CAT, and AAPL from 01/01/2014to 05/01/2018 M NTRS ED CAT AAPL
  • 49. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 49 B. The Benefits Of The Investments To Stakeholders. There are several benefits to the stakeholders when a corporation invests heavily in stocks, bonds, and other securities. One most significant benefit is that the investments may increase the firm’s overall net worth by taking a portion of the Company’s capital in high-yield securities (John, 2018). There are other defensive protections for the XYZ’s assets by investing in safer funds. This is additionally much safer than investing the firm’s excess cash in a bank, since the FDIC has insurance limitations and any funds in excess may be lost if the bank files for bankruptcy (John, 2018). Investments are also a beneficial source of income during an economic downturn when consumer spending decreases thus leading to a decline in total revenues. Investing some of the firm’s cash into securities provides the corporation with a steady income stream by using securities to generate revenue when normal business activities do not produce as much income (John, 2018). The firm can be protected from an economic downturn by investing some of its assets in securities from other industries and sectors, as well as hedging against a national recession by investing in S&P 500 AAPL CAT ED NTRS M Average Monthly Returns 0.78% 1.34% 0.83% 0.21% 0.62% -0.80% Monthly Variance 0.08% 0.35% 0.40% 0.18% 0.23% 0.90% Average Annual Return 9.36% 16.08% 9.92% 2.52% 7.39% -9.59% Annual Variance 0.97% 4.26% 4.80% 2.22% 2.81% 10.75% -15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% Relative Return Performancefor S&P, AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS & M from01/01/2014 to 05/01/2018 Average Monthly Returns Monthly Variance Average Annual Return Annual Variance
  • 50. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 50 foreign securities or commodities like oil and gold (John, 2018). When revenues are increasing, the firm would have surplus cash in which investments would not suffer greatly in the event that the securities drop in value. On the contrary, significant returns could be generated for the corporation when high risk investments actually rise in value (John, 2018). C. Investment Performance As of May 1, 2018, Apple, Inc. is most likely to outperform the market when compared to the other four investments. In 2017, the Company had Dividends Per Share (DPS) of 2.46 USD which represents an increase when compared to the previous year 2016 of 2.23 and an average growth rate of 9.84 percent. In 2017, Apple’s reported annual EPS was 9.27 per share with a forecasted growth rate of 14.36 percent. In 2017, Caterpillar, Inc. had DPS of 3.10 USD which is an increase from 2016 where DPS was 3.08 and an average growth rate of 6.16 percent. However, during the past three years, the average EPS growth rate was -31.40 percent per year which is a concern that the Company could be losing money. However, EPS in 2018 was 3.68 up from 1.27 in 2017 and a sign of improvement. In 2017, Con-Ed had DPS of 3.10 and performs below the industry average. The Company’s average DPS growth rate is approximately 6.16 percent. In 2017, Con-Ed reported annual EPS of 4.97 which was an increase when compared to 2016 where EPS was 4.15 and an average growth rate of 4.11 percent. Overall the Company performs lower than the industry average mainly due to its location in a heavily regulated environment of New York. In 2017, Northern Trust had 2017 DPS of 1.60 which increased from 1.48 in 2016 and has an average growth rate of 6.81 percent. The Company reported annual 2017 EPS of 4.59 which is an increase when compared to 4.35 in 2016 and an average growth rate of 3.88 percent. Macy’s is the lowest performing stock in the portfolio with 2017 DPS of 1.51 up slightly from 2016 where DPS were 1.49, and has an average growth rate of 12.45%. EPS have shown a steady decline for
  • 51. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 51 the past three years 2015, 2016, and 2017 which were 4.30, 3.26, and 2.01 respectively, and a negative growth rate. The following revenue forecasts show growth metrics for Apple, Caterpillar, Con-Ed, Northern Trust, and Macy’s. In 2017, both Northern Trust and Apple experienced the highest levels of revenue growth with rates of 34.63 percent and 9.27 percent respectively, where Con-Ed had the lowest growth rate of 4.07 percent, where both Caterpillar and Macy’s had negative growth rates of -30.06percent and -13.26 percent respectively (Nasdaq, 2018). In five years from now, NTRS, Apple, and Macy’s are expected to have the highest growth at rates in the portfolio of 11.66 percent, 10.89 percent, and 8.50 percent respectively (Nasdaq, 2018). The following analysis and forecasts show price to earnings ratio (P/E) metrics for Apple, Caterpillar, Con-Ed, Northern Trust, and Macy’s. 2017 2018 2019 2020 5 Years AAPL 9.27% 11.43% 1.70% 5.05% 10.89% CAT -30.06% 3.64% 30.79% 0% 4.25% ED 4.07% 4.23% 3.38% 0% 4.00% NTRS 34.63% 6.68% 8.25% 0% 11.66% M -13.26% 6.42% 5.60% 0% 8.50% -40.00% -30.00% -20.00% -10.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% Forecasted RevenueEarnings Growth for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M AAPL CAT ED NTRS M
  • 52. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 52 The P/E ratio is the ratio used for valuing the Companies’ current share price relevant to its EPS. In general, higher ratios suggest that investors will expect higher earnings growth in the future when compared to other Companies in the portfolio. In theory, the median of P/E over a period of years could formulate a standardized ratio which could be used as a benchmark in order to determine which stocks should be invested in. In this case, Con-Ed, NTRS, and Apple had the highest median P/E ratios of 17.66, 15.93, and 15.83, where Caterpillar and Macy’s had the lowest median ratios of 13.55 and 11.88 respectively. D. Investment Performance Based On Risk/Return Metrics. One of the key principles of investing is the risk-return tradeoff which is defined as the correlation between the level of risk and the level of potential return of the investment (Horton, 2018). By accepting a higher level of risk or volatility, it is likely that there will be a greater potential for higher returns. When constructing the portfolio, the beta, the standard deviation, and the Sharpe ratio metrics were evaluated in order to minimize risk and maximize returns. For an optimal risky portfolio, it is recommended that higher weightings be allocated toward Apple and AAPL CAT ED NTRS M 2017 20.72 22.26 17.89 22.14 11.27 2018 16.71 14.29 18.35 16.45 12.99 2019 14.95 12.8 17.42 15.41 12.21 2020 13.55 11.81 16.66 14.24 11.55 0 5 10 15 20 25 Forecasted Price/Earnings Ratios for AAPL, CAT, ED, NTRS, & M 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 53. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 53 Caterpillar since the betas were 1.11 and 1.59 respectively. A beta of 1 means that the underlying investments move in line with the market index, which in this was the S&P 500. Although a higher beta would result in more volatility than the S&P, it is likely that these two companies would produce the highest returns. The remaining companies in the portfolio, Macy’s, Consolidated Edison, and NTRS, had betas below one which has fewer fluctuations over time and the least amount of risk, meaning that returns would be lower as a result of less volatility. In addition to beta, the standard deviation was calculated to show its volatility and risk-reward trade-off. The standard deviation of the constructed portfolio was generally lower than the standard deviation for each of the individual investments aside from Macy’s which was slightly above, which is a sign that risk would be minimal due to the diversification benefits of investing in multiple stocks. The Sharpe Ratio of 1.52 compared the performance of a risk-free investment using the three-month T-Bill. Since the ratio of the portfolio was maximized to greater than 1, it depicts a return that is greater than expected for the level of risk assumed (Horton, 2018). E. The Strategies In The Portfolio Meet XYZ’s Investment Objectives. The strategies in the portfolio meet XYZ’s investment objectives because it reduces risk by selecting a variety of stocks and bonds that are likely to change in value in different ways or at different times. The process under MPT is known as diversification which means taking on advantages of the differences in risks among the investments in Apple, Consolidated Edison, Caterpillar, Northern Trust, and Macy’s. These investments tend to change in value and at varying times and directions. Therefore, since the portfolio consists of several types of investments, only a smaller percentage of value would be lost as opposed to investing in only one company. Through a diversified portfolio, the severity of any losses would be reduced which would maximize the total return on investment. Overall, the optimal risky portfolio structure diversifies the investments
  • 54. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 54 while also providing the highest returns on the best investments, though it may risk losing value under opposite conditions. However, the risks would be offset by investing in other companies that may perform well under the same conditions. Furthermore, combining stocks with bonds will further minimize risks since stocks tend to move in the opposite direction of bonds when interest rates change under the same conditions.
  • 55. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 55 References: Alvarez, S. (2018). What is the intrinsic value of a stock? Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/12/intrinsic-value.asp Brick, J. (2018). Macy's 1Q Top-Line Gains Fail to Suggest Evidence of Competitive Edge; Shares Inflated. Morningstar. Collelo, B. (2018). Apple’s Add-On Products and Services Shine; Raising FVE to $175, Shares Fairly Valued. Morningstar. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/aapl/quote.html Compton, E. (2018). Regulatory Relief Is Coming for the Banks, Watch Out for Increasing Competition, More M&A. Morningstar. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/ntrs/quote.html Congressional Budget Office (CBO). (2018). Budget and Economic Outlook and Updates. Retrieved from: https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#1 CSI Market. (2018). Retrieved from: https://csimarket.com/index.php Conley, P. (2018). Understanding Callable Bonds. The Balance. Retrieved from: https://www.thebalance.com/understanding-callable-bonds-417110 Delventhal, S. (2018). Apple's Stock May Plunge Into a Bear Market. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/news/apples-stock-may-plunge-bear- market/#ixzz5FnvuiDqM Early, J. (2018). Profitability Indicator Ratios: Return On Equity. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/university/ratios/profitability-indicator/ratio4.asp
  • 56. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 56 Egan, D. (2015). Bond Funds: How To Use Diversification To Minimize Risks. Betterment, LLC. Retrieved from: https://www.betterment.com/resources/bond-funds-how-to-use- diversification-to-minimize-risks/ Fidelity. (2018). Quarterly Sector Update. Retrieved from: http://research2.fidelity.com/fidelity/research/reports/public/getreport.asp?feedid=2271& doctag=q22018quarterlysectorupdate_90_20180419&versiontag=2018041912131710 Fisherman, C. (2018). Con Edison Reports Strong 1Q Earnings and Reaffirms Guidance. Morningstar. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/ed/quote.html Gallant, C. (2018). Interest Rate Risk Between Long-Term and Short-Term Bonds. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/ltbondrisk.asp#ixzz5GnblYMo3 Guru Focus. (2018). Economic Indicators. Retrieved from: https://www.gurufocus.com/economic_indicators/58/sp-500-earnings Horton, M. (2018). What metrics should I use to evaluate the risk return tradeoff for a mutual fund? Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/050615/what-metrics-should-i-use-evaluate- risk-return-tradeoff-mutual-fund.asp Investopedia. (2018). Price-Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp Investopedia. (2018). Risk-Return Tradeoff. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskreturntradeoff.asp
  • 57. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 57 Investopedia. (2018). R-Squared. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/r-squared.asp Investopedia. (2018). Portfolio Variance. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/portfolio-variance.asp Investopedia. (2018). Risk-free rate of return. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/risk-freerate.asp Investopedia. (2018). Sharpe Ratio. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sharperatio.asp Investopedia. (2018). Growth. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/growthinvesting.asp Investopedia. (2018). Return On Equity – ROE. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnonequity.asp John, C. (2018). Reasons Why Corporations Invest in Securities. Chron. Small Business. Retrieved from: http://smallbusiness.chron.com/reasons-corporations-invest-securities- 65618.html McClure, B. (2017). Modern Portfolio Theory: Why It's Still Hip. Investopedia. Retrieved from: https://www.investopedia.com/managing-wealth/modern-portfolio-theory-why-its-still- hip/ Money-zine. (2017). Intrinsic Value and ROI Calculator. Retrieved from: https://www.money- zine.com/calculators/investment-calculators/intrinsic-value-and-roi-calculator/ Morningstar. (2018).Market Performance. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/markets.html
  • 58. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 58 Morningstar. (2018). Quotes. Stock Prices. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cat/quote.html NASDAQ. (2018). Quotes. P/E and Growth Rates. NASDAQ. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl/pe-growth-rates NASDAQ. (2018). AAPL Company Description. Apple Inc. Common Stock (AAPL) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/aapl NASDAQ. (2018). Caterpillar, Inc.(CAT). Caterpillar, Inc. Common Stock (CAT) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/cat NASDAQ. (2018). Consolidated Edison (ED). Consolidated Edison, Inc. Common Stock (ED) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ed NASDAQ. (2018). Northern Trust Corporation Common Stock (NTRS) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ntrs NASDAQ. (2018). Macy's Inc. Common Stock (M) Quote & Summary Data. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/m Rains, B. (2018). An Early Preview of Caterpillar's (CAT) Q1 Earnings Outlook. Zacks. Retrieved from: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/299216/an-early-preview-of- caterpillars-cat-q1-earnings-outlook Schoonmaker, K. (2008). Caterpillar’s 1Q Performance Shows That Trade War Concerns Are Overblown. Morningstar. Retrieved from: http://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cat/quote.html Smallwood, N., Sweetman, K., and Ulrich, D. (2007). A Leader’s Five Key Stakeholders. Harvard Business Review. Retrieved from: https://hbr.org/2007/11/a-leaders-five-key- stakeholder
  • 59. Fin 640: Final Project: XYZ Tech Company: Investment Analysis Report 59 Stockinvest. (2018). Consolidated Edison Inc Stock Analysis. Retrieved from: https://stockinvest.us/technical-analysis/ED The Motley Fool. (2018). How to Calculate the Historical Variance of Stock Returns. https://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/how-to-calculate-the-historical-variance-of- stock.aspx U.S. Treasury. (2018). Daily Treasury Bill Rates Data. U.S. Department of the Treasury. Retrieved from: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest- rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=billrates Van Delsem, S. (2016). Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. YouTube. Retrieved from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNIVd_b7YJc&t=633s Vanguard. (2018). Vanguard portfolio allocation models. Vanguard. Retrieved from: https://personal.vanguard.com/us/insights/saving-investing/model-portfolio-allocations Yahoo Finance. (2018) Retrieved from: https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/ Zacks. (2018). Why is Northern Trust (NTRS) Up 1.4% Since Last Earnings Report? Yahoo Finance. Retrieved from: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-northern-trust-ntrs-1- 123212947.html Zacks. (2018). Should Value Investors Consider Macy's (M) Stock Now?. Retrieved from: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/294902/should-value-investors-consider-macys-m- stock-now