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[IEK] 2022-11 Looking into 2023 Industry Trends| Resource Patch for all workshops.pdf
1.
©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Industry Trends Looking into Resource
Patch for all workshops joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
2.
ISTI 1 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Participants Lecturers Sessions Days 16 5,000↑ 2,880 66 8 Thanks to
Department of Industrial Technology (DoIT), MOEA for support and guidance: Acknowledgements to the following organizations 7 23 3 1,120 683 2012 2022 Minutes • Taiwan Electrical and Electronic Manufacturers‘ Association (TEEMA) • Taiwan Power and Energy Engineering Association • Taiwan Printed Circuit Association • Allied Association for Science Park Industries • Chinese Professional Management Association • Photonics Industry & Technology Development Association (PIDA) • ITRI Alumni • ELECLEAN Co., Ltd. • dp Smart technology Co., Ltd joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
3.
ISTI 2 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Looking into
2023: Four global trends; opportunities arising from crises Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Policy-driven investments in semiconductors Transformation of the internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle supply chain, propelled by electric vehicles (EV) Localization and domino effects of decarbonization Trend 1: Digital transformation Trend 2: Supply chain reshuffling Trend 3: Investment in semiconductors Trend 4: Net zero joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
4.
ISTI 3 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Three strategic
measures for net zero: Maximum green energy, low carbon, and electrification Maximum green energy 1 • Green energy is a key tool to achieve SDGs. Solar and wind remain the main power. The U.S. and European countries seek to revive the industry with policy measures. • The storage industry is rapidly developing. However, companies are moving international due to limited domestic demand. • Global development in hydrogen drives the convergence of green energy, green hydrogen CO2 and the creation of a green industry ecosystem. Low carbonization 2 • Smart charging points will become a basic infrastructure. This will gradually increase the adoption of demand response for electric vehicles. • Bidirectional charging technology has moved further for commercialization, allowing EVs to serve as a resource for distributed power by balancing the demand and supply in the grid. New business models are emerging as a result. Electrification 3 • Gradual rollout of supporting policies and measures is expected to achieve net zero with smartness and electrification. The adoption is likely to grow over the mid/long term with further development of technologies and enhancement of cost competitiveness. • Electrification of heating, i.e., the use of heat pumps and electric boilers, can meet low- temperature heating needs. The meeting of other needs for mid-to-high temperatures in the long run depends on the development of electrical thermal technologies. CO2 Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
5.
ISTI 4 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Advanced manufacturing
processes, auto chips and net zero accelerates the growth in annual production value of the Taiwan semiconductor industry Gaining traction in the auto electronics market • MediaTek, Realtek, TSMC, UMC and ASE Group, etc. have made inroads into the OEM supply chain in verticals by offering products in 5G, automotive Ethernet, advanced manufacturing process, high power solutions and automotive testing/packaging. • Net zero is an important issue in sustainability for the industry. • Certification and commitment to carbon reduction for the sustainable development of the semiconductor industry. Continued advancement of manufacturing processes and higher production value • 2022 production value reached NT$4.7 trillion, up 15.6% (compared with the global average of 4.0%). • 3nm to ramp up in Q4 2022; 2nm to ramp up in 2025. Hit the NT$5 trillion production value in 2023, ahead of expectations Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Voluntary publication of sustainability reports to disclose ESG data and sustainable development joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
6.
ISTI 5 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Resilience and
transformation of the components industry amid headwinds in 2022 The year 2022 posed the biggest challenge of the past five years: shrinking demand, high inventory, production disruption, the U.S.-China competition. Difficult to maintain the production value of NT$2.4 trillion amid a slew of adverse factors. Strengthens in production management translated to technological competitiveness and indispensability. Taiwan’s components industry ensures global leadership with resilience and transformation against the odds. Maintenance of NT$ 2.4 Trillion mark Passive components 2,464 -5.9% Battery components 1,830 5.7% Sensing components 2,047 -6.9% Printed circuit boards 9,274 13.4% Displays 8,085 -22.3% LED components 670 -18.3% High specs / high unit prices Customer segmentation Units: NT$100m, annual growth 3C PLUS Production path to net zero Digitalization, smartness and modularization CHINA+1 production diversification Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
7.
ISTI 6 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 New plastic
circular economy depends on supply chain partnerships Manufacturing Reusable and recyclable materials New value for pyrolysis oil Manufacture Products Recycle Plastic Pyrolysis Polymerization Petrochems Comprehensive recycling technologies Consumers Reusable and recyclable products, Environment incentives for price differences Recyclers Centralization of complicated processing of recycled materials Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
8.
ISTI 7 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 產品製造 Drivers of
renewable carbons and green chemical technologies Renewable carbons Development drivers Green chemical technologies Waste plastics and rubbers Waste biomass CO2 emissions • Limitations on use of single-use plastics • Regulation and commitment on recycled content target • Ocean protection regulations • Carbon neutrality regulation and commitment • Pyrolysis recycling • Chemical degradation recycling • Physical recycling (mechanical grinding or solvation) • Rising prices of fossil raw materials • Biomass procurement policy • Carbon tax • Carbon neutrality regulation and commitment • Biorefinery • Conversion of industrial biomass into chemicals and plastics • Reuse of agricultural residues • Carbon tax • Carbon utilization incentives • Carbon neutrality regulation and commitment • Carbon capture • Carbon utilization • Design and change of materials to enhance the reuse of end-products is aligned with resource sustainability and development of green chemicals. Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
9.
ISTI 8 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Biotech market
in 2022 and trends in 2023 Precision health • Precision medicare, digital health and regenerative medicine are among the technologies to achieve precision health • The global market size for these three key technologies totaled US$266.1bn in 2021, accounting for 10% of the total meditech market, and will reach US$465.4bn in 2025 at a CAGR of 15.0% for 2021-2025. Medical devices • The global medical equipment market totaled US$454.3bn in 2021 and is expected to reach US$474.4bn in 2022 and US$535.2bn in 2024, at a CAGR of 5.6%. • As the pandemic subsides, the medical equipment market growth will again be driven by the underlying demand. R&D initiatives will focus on high-end precision products, homecare and digital solutions for medical treatment and disease. Cell therapy • An important biotechnology. The launch of CAR-T (chimeric antigen receptor T) cell therapy has cured many cancer patients. Gradual development of the regulatory environment and supply chain will accelerate the industry growth. • The commercialization, scale production and expansion of treatments in fields other than cancer are a global pursuit. Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
10.
ISTI 9 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Establishment of a
resilient supply chain in Taiwan Digital health tech looks after the future of healthcare Biotech resilience Cross-disciplinary innovation Home Community Institution Hospital Genes Environment Lifestyle Value added service Software + hardware Holistic Health care All-age health Precision treatment Creation of value with biotech data New use cases of smart medicare Bio Data Data integration Bio+ICT Site validation Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
11.
ISTI 10 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Global auto
market affected by chip shortage and COVID- 19 lingering impact. However, business opportunities for vehicle electrification and intelligence continue to grow. ICEs and EVs • The number of cars sold globally is expected to drop 3.7% in 2022 to 79 million. 2022 79 3.7% Automotive electronics • The global auto electronics market exceeded US$270bn in 2021, back to the pre-pandemic level, and is expected to reach US$400bn in 2027. 2021 400 Auto components • New car sales were affected in Japan, Europe and the U.S. due to chip shortages. The number of pre-owned cars and the number of vehicles in operation increased. Enhanced preparedness in sourcing of components contributed to the growth of exports. The 2022 production value is expected to reach NT$210.22bn, up 3.6% from 2021. 2022 210.22 3.6% • In contrast, the global EV market is expected to grow by over 30% in 2022, to above 15 million units. 2022 15 30% • The production value of Taiwan’s auto electronics is expected to break the NT$350bn mark in 2022, driven by electrification, connected and autonomous cars. 2022 350 ICE and electric motorcycles • The global trend for net zero is steering the motorcycle industry towards electrification. The global motorcycle market is expected to reach 57.18 million units in 2022, with the share of electric vehicles increasing to 5.2%. Leading players in Taiwan and overseas are developing their ecosystems, in order to accelerate commercialization. 2022 57.18 5.2% 270 US$, bn 2027 million US$, bn NT$, bn million NT$, bn million Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
12.
ISTI 11 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 2023 trends
in the advanced electronic materials industry • The characteristics and benefits of advanced electronic materials are highly relevant to the manufacturing cost of end products. • Taiwan’s electronic materials industry is a late starter. Most key materials are imported. Geopolitical developments during the past two years have resulted in the reshuffling of supply chains. • This seminar aims to explore how to grasp early opportunities for the electronic materials industry against the backdrop of changing global dynamics. • The issues of concern are compound semiconductors, micro display materials and technologies, semiconductors for high-end applications and key packaging materials. Manufacturing process Business opportunity Technology AR/MR devices VR devices Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
13.
ISTI 12 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Trends in
the communications industry in 2023 6G 5G WIN strategy for Taiwan ICT technologies to stay mainstream internationally and ahead of the game domestically Wireless Intelligence Net zero Development and opportunity of 5G open architecture and private networks These are key 5G developments going forward Ground equipment for low-earth orbit satellites moves from stationary to mobile New space-age tech for satellite communications, driven by mobile demand 6G ultra high-speed transmission; Terahertz (THz) technology development and use cases Geopolitics and technological sovereignty dictate 6G standards and global co-competition. Advanced high-frequency components are critical. ICT security trends and the supply chain of the communications industry Product and supply chain cybersecurity is essential to the resilience of the communications industry Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
14.
ISTI 13 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Digital transformation,
green transformation, supply chain restructuring Digital and green transformations for resilience of industry ecosystems Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Dual transformation: digital manufacturing + green manufacturing Next generation ICT technology Digital transformation Data Stay on top of customers’ needs and energy consumption data Management Enhance customer relationship management and energy consumption efficiency Sustainability Ensure the use of digital technology beneficial to environmental sustainability Innovation Develop innovative digital solutions to drive sustainable growth for corporates Green transformation joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
15.
ISTI 14 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Four global
trends; opportunities arising from crises Trend 1: Digital transformation Trend 2: Supply chain reshuffling Trend 3: Investment in semiconductors Trend 4: Net zero • U.S. industry policy and resilient supply chain • Energy and EV development amid the trend for net zero • U.S. tech R&D and innovation – identification of opportunities for Taiwan • Winter is coming: Transformation in Europe and seeking opportunities amid crises • New politics: industry policies and resilience readiness • U.K., France, Germany and Italy: digital innovation and energy transformation • Global and E.U.: restructuring of openness and cooperation and acceleration of innovation • Policy-driven investments in semiconductors • Transformation of the internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle supply chain, propelled by electric vehicles (EV) • Localization and domino effect of decarbonization • Net zero drives carbon reduction in emerging Asia • Record high investment in emerging Asia due to supply chain reshuffling • Thailand and Vietnam as the focal point of EVs Source: ITRI/ISTI Research joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
16.
ISTI 15 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Global deployment
of forward-looking and innovative strategy towards a digital and green future Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Korean Digital New Deal 2.0 to create new industries with hyperlinks for global business opportunities in the metaverse Korea Singapore Japan The Netherlands Forward-looking, cross-disciplinary integration for industry competitiveness and social Acceleration of digital + green transformation, to integrate and innovate the ecosystem and to strengthen national resilience and sustainability Energy and digital transformation, to achieve climate neutrality in 2050 and deepen digital inclusion 1. National guidance and the world’s first metaverse industry strategy for development of talents and companies 2. Support for strategic alliances of metaverse related corporates and organizations and development of a robust industry ecosystem 3. Integration of public and private resources for a world-class metaverse platform and encouragement of site validations 1. Reforms of macroeconomic and technological roadmap, to integrate momentum from different domains and liaise with global networks of cooperation 2. Dialogue among industries, academia and government agencies, to formulate targets in key technologies and development goals 3. Prioritized investment in AI, photonics, cutting-edge materials to meet the next generation’s requirements 1. Expansion of investments in innovative technologies, to reduce the EU’s reliance on imported energy, technologies or products 2. Encouragement of corporate use of low-carbon technologies, diversification of low-carbon energy for energy transformation 3. Deepening of digital inclusion to drive the digital economy and enhance people’s standard of living 1. Continued digital transformation to enhance supply chain resilience and move towards green industry 2. Advocacy of Green Plan 2030 and energy transformation, to accelerate national sustainable development 3. A vibrant ecosystem of public-private partnerships and innovation, to explore resilient solutions for industries and the country joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
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ISTI 16 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Cross-disciplinary innovations
in digitalization, sustainability and value propositions Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Cross-disciplinary creation of value chains SDGs - Dimensions of sustainability Climate actions Climate change strategy, water resources and green energy Digital transformation Digital tools Low-carbon manufacturing Energy conservation, smart ESG, net zero, carbon reduction Source design Low-carbon innovative materials and product recycling mechanisms Smart homes Digital health, remote collaboration, entertainment and learning Smart domains Industry integration solutions for retailers, financials, medicare and industrials Resilient cities Smart grids, smart logistics, resilient supply chains AI Edge computing, machine learning, robotics, content creation Blockchain Digital certificates, consensus, smart contracts, NFTs Cloud services Open data platforms, data marketplaces, cloud natives, cybersecurity Digital enablement, open platform creation, and source product design Digi + Sustainability Sustainability joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
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ISTI 17 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 Wheels of
sustainability jointly created by the government and the private sector Source: ITRI/ISTI Research Circular economy Emerging technology R&D and innovation Cross-domain cooperation Infrastructure upgrade Cultural Sophistication Use of materials technology and change of manufacturing processes to create new business models and new value chains, for greater supply chain resilience and competitiveness Education and competence development to ensure employment during the transformation for sustainability. Law amendments and government guidance to drive awareness, changes and social justice Development and utilization of new technologies in infrastructure such as energy, water, transportation and telecommunications, to create immediate benefits in low carbon and sustainability Energy efficiency enhancement, the circular economy, low-carbon buildings and transportation to be achieved with emerging technologies or digitalization Sustainable development encompasses economic, environmental and social aspects. This involves full participation by the government, corporates, academia, educational institutions, and social organizations from different domains and functions. Tax measures, subsidies or investment incentives to encourage R&D and innovation in emerging technologies joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
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ISTI 18 ©ITRI. 工業技術研究院著作 There is
no guarantee for the timeliness and completeness of the information provided herein, given the development of leading-edge technology and changes of industry dynamics. Users should assume any potential damages due to use of data herein. The copyright belongs to the ITRI. Unless approved in writing, no reproduction, open transmission, modification, dissemination or other use of the data herein in any form in part or in all is allowed. IEKView 2022 Special Issue Thank you for your attention IEK Research Team: Meng-Chieh Wang; Zack Hsieh; Ya-chi Huang; Terry Fan; Sayumi Chung Hui-Hsiu Huang; Chi-Shin Yang; Nancy Liu; Paul Jiang; Yunnie Chang Chung-Ming Tung; Yuan-Sung Chang; Jui-Chung Hsiao; Hung-Yi Chang Chen-Cheng Fan; Chih-Chung Liu; Oakley Chen; Chun-Hui Chiu; Michelle Chen Erh-Fang Lee; Amelia Hsu; Tsz-Yin Chang; Edward Liu; Lu-Lin Hsieh Jui-Sheng Hsiao; Daisy Shen; Yu-Chien Tseng; Angela Chang; Robert Chang Jing-Han Chen; Akuei Hsu; Jack Yang; Amy Lu; Chun-Ju Chen; Peace Ku; Johnny Huang Wen-Chi Chang; Yu-Cheng Chen; Chia-Meng Chen; Wei-Chen Zhou; Saki Ho Christine Chou; Annie Shih; Cynthia Chi; Lilian Lee; Chun-Ching Chang; Alex Lin Jia-Chi Yeh; Tze-Min Lin; Yen-Shih Lin; Maurice Chou; Yu-Yi Chen; Chia-Ju Chen; Alan Tsao Stephen Su General Director Industry, Science and Technology International Strategy Center (ISTI) +886-3-5912548 stephen_su@itri.org.tw joycehsu01112023/07/11 12:15
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