Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Elliot wave ratios
1. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 179
Lengths
The price distance of each wave is measured as a vertical distance from the
beginning of the wave to the end of the wave. The length is measured in price
points or units.
In the examples below, the length of each wave is indicated by the length of its
corresponding arrow.
C H A P T E R
WaveRatiosandMeasurements
10
Length of Wave 2
2
1
2
2
Length of Wave 3
Length of Wave 4
1
1
Length of Wave 1
2
Length of Wave 5
1
3
4
5
1
3
3
2
1
3
4
4
5
2. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 180
Fibonacci Ratios of Waves
Fibonacci Ratio Background
Fibonacci ratios are mathematical ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence.
The Fibonacci sequence is the work of Leonardo Fibonacci, circa 1180 CE. The
Fibonacci sequence is used in many applications, including engineering, space
studies, stock market actions, and many other fields. This is all the information
one needs as to the origin of the Fibonacci ratios, at least for trading purposes.
The most common Fibonacci ratios used in the stock markets are:
1 - 1.618 - 2.618 - 4.23 - 6.85 (multiples)
0.14 - 0.25 - 0.38 - 0.5 & 0.618 (ratios)
The ratios used in this manual slightly deviate from the standard Fibonacci ratios
listed below. These deviated ratios best fit the short-term wave pattern.
The first wave in an Elliott sequence is Wave 1. The measurement of Wave 1 is
used to find ratios of other waves. These ratios are not rules, but guidelines in
estimating the lengths of different waves.
Ratios for Wave 2
Fibonacci Rule for Wave 2:
Wave 2 is always related to Wave 1.
Common Ratios for Wave 2:
Wave 2 = either 50% of Wave 1
or 62% of Wave 1
of Wave 1
1
Length
of
Wave
One
}
50%
2
62%
3. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 181
Ratios for Wave 3
Wave 3 is related to Wave 1 by one of the following:
Wave 3 = either 1.62 x length of Wave 1
or 2.62 x length of Wave 1
or 4.25 x length of Wave 1
The most common multiples are 1.62 and 2.62. However, if the 3rd
Wave is an
extended wave, then 2.62 and 4.25 ratios are more common.
Ratios for Wave 4
Wave 4 is related to Wave 3 by one of the following:
Wave 4 = either 24% of Wave 3
or 38% of Wave 3
or 50% of Wave 3
The 24% and 38% are the most common ratios for Wave 4.
Times
Length
ofWave 1
1
2
3
3
4.25
2.62
3
1.62
Length
of
Wave
One
1
3
Length
of
Wave
3
4
4
24%
38%
Times
Length
of Wave 3
2
4. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 182
Ratios for Wave 5
Wave 5 has two different relationships. Both are shown below.
If Wave 3 is greater than 1.62 or extended, then Wave 5 ratios are as
follows:
Wave 5 either = Wave 1 or
= 1.62 x Wave 1 or
= 2.62 x Wave 1
If Wave 3 is less than 1.62, Wave 5 ratios are as follows:
When Wave 3 is less than 1.62, the 5th
Wave overextends itself. From research,
the ratio of Wave 5 will be based on the entire length from the beginning of Wave
1 to the top of Wave 3.
Extended Wave 5 = either 0.62 x length
(beginning of Wave 1 to top of Wave 3) or
= length of
(beginning of Wave 1 to top of Wave 3) or
= 1.62 x length of
(beginning of Wave 1 to top of Wave 3)
3
4
5
1
5 based on length of 1
1 2
1
2
3
4
5
5 based on length of 1 3
1
3
5. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 183
Elliott Channels for Top of a Wave 5
Once the 5th
Wave starts, the Elliott Channel Technique can be used to project
the end of the 5th
Wave. Once Wave 4 has been completed, draw a straight line
between Waves 2 and 4.
Now draw two lines parallel to the lower channel line connecting the tops of
Waves 1and 3.
Expect Wave 5 to end on one of the two upper channel lines. Usually, if Wave 3
was a normal wave, Wave 5 tends to end on the channel drawn from the Wave
3 top. If Wave 3 was extended and a runaway type of wave, Wave 5 tends to
end on the channel drawn from the top of Wave 1.
Lower
Channel Line
1
2
3
4
Lower
Channel Line
5
5
1
2
3
4
Wave1Upper
Channel Line
6. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 184
Statistical Analysis of Wave 2 Ratios
73% Retraced between
50% and 60%
Only 12% held within a
38% retracement
of Wave One
38%
1
2
15% Retraced below
the 62% level
62%
2
1
50%
62%
2
1
7. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 185
Wave 2 Ratio
Figure 10-1: Daily Chart,Alcoa
In the Alcoa Inc. (AA) chart above, Wave 2 retraced between 50% and 62% of
Wave 1.
8. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 186
Statistical Analysis of Wave 3 Ratios
Less than 3 = 1
only 2% of the time
3
1
2
3
1
2
1.75 X 1
1.6 X 1
45% of the time
}
2.62 X 1
1.75 X 1
1
2
3
30% of
the time
}
15% of the
time
1.60 X 1
1 X 1 }
3
1
2
2.62 X 1
1
2
Greater than 2.62 X 1
8% of the time
3
9. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 187
Wave 3 Ratios
Figure 10-2: Daily Chart,Alcoa
In the Alcoa Inc. (AA) chart above, Wave 3 wound up between 1.618 and 2.618
of Wave 1.
10. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 188
Statistical Analysis of Wave 4 Ratios
More than 62% Retracement of Wave 3 = 10% of the time
Retrace 24-30% of Wave 3
only 15% of the time
50%
30%
}Retrace between 30-50% of
Wave 3 60% of the time
50%
62%
} Retrace between 50-62% of
Wave 3 15% of the time
3
1
1
2
2
2
3
1
3
24%
30% }
11. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 189
Wave 4 Ratios
Figure 10-3: Daily Chart,Alcoa
In the Alcoa Inc. (AA) chart above, Wave 4 retraced between 24% and 38% of
Wave 3.
12. eSignal, Part 2 Applying Technical Analysis
10~ 190
Elliott / Fibonacci Ratios
Wave 5
Extended if Wave 3 is less than 1.62 X Wave One
5 = .62 X Length of 0 to 3
5 = 1 X Length of 0 to 3
5 = 1.62 X Length of 0 to 3
3
0
1
2
3
4
28000
28200
28100
28400
28300
1
2
3
4
5
?
13. Chapter 10 Wave Ratios and Measurements
10~ 191
Elliott / Fibonacci Ratios for Wave 5
Even when Wave 3 is extended, our research has found that the Wave 5 sequence
will often end inside the ratios calculated from 0–3 where 0 (Zero) is the start of
Wave 1. This is the start of the new Five-Wave sequence. The length of 0–3 is
extended from the end of Wave 4.
Wave 5 usually ends inside the windows of 62% of 0–3 and equal to 0–3 added
to the end of Wave 4.
Figure 10-4: Daily Chart,Alcoa
