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Big data in crisis
monitoring:
case study Flanders and
Brussels
Steven Valcke
Visit Flanders
IFITT 2018, Jönköping
Flanders
Northern part of Belgium
Visit Flanders is responsible for promotion of and
destination development in Flanders and Brussels
A research team of 7
One of 3 Belgian NTO’s
Big data at Visit Flanders
• 5 years+ of experience and experimenting with
ups and downs
• Only ready for use by third parties (we are not
the data scientists)
• Sources:
1.Credit card data for expenditures
2.Mobile data for measuring the success for
certain events, on ad hoc basis;
3.webmonitoring (all public available sources
incl social media) for social listening,
brand monitoring and campaign monitoring;
4.Flight data to monitor campaigns and do
research on booking behaviour;
5.Scraping hotel review scores to monitor the
satisfaction of the visitors
Start
Control
reputation
Detect
influencers
Monitor
competitors
Find customer
insights
Engage on major
social networks
Prevent Bad Buzz
Listening is owned by PR team
worried about the harm of a
potential social media crisis
Measure Campaigns
Marketing teams use social
media to fuel campaigns and
measure results with various
metrics (#fans, likes, sentiment,
etc.)
So What?
Brands struggle to leverage
the value of listening and
engagement
Social Becomes Strategic
Top management set
objectives and clear
performance indicators to track
marketing and PR results
Build
Benchmark
s
Incentivize
teams
Implement online
customer support
Build the Voice
of the Customer
Connect social
media results
with customer
surveys to get
the full picture
of the customer
journey
Integrate with Sales
Compare social media
indicators with customer
satisfaction metrics (Net
Promoter Score) or sales
Scale across
the enterprise
Predictive analytics
THE SOCIAL INTELLIGENCE MATURITY CURVE
MAKE SMARTER BUSINESS DECISION WITH SOCIAL INSIGHTS.
Attacks Brussels 22nd March 2016
Implications tourism industry
• Tourism industry was hit hard
• Damage: brand and numbers of tourists
 Crisis management
 Market specific communication required
 Big data leaded the way we communicated and
which actions were taken
 Monitoring:
 Brand damage: web monitoring by Synthesio
 Numbers of tourists: flight data by Amadeus
Webmonitoring – Query setup
• Query from the Paris attacks Nov 15 was
reused
• Query Requirements:
• Built fast
• Languages of all of our markets
• Tracking of unsafety feeling against
our destination
• Query NON requirements
• Track all news
 Simple query
 Lot of noise
("flanders" OR "flemish" OR
"belgium" OR "belgian" OR
"mechelen" OR "antwerp" OR
"bruges" OR "brussels" OR
"leuven" OR "ghent")
AND ("unsafe" OR "safety" OR
"cautious" OR "anxious" OR
"dangerous)
in English, French, German,
Dutch, Spanish, Italian,
Swedish, Norwegian, Danish,
Webmonitoring - interpretation
• Tracking of volume (and sentiment):
• Challenge: Determining the level of noise:
Average of volume (excl outliers) of the week
before
+ or –
Standard deviation
• Normal situation: three days in a row back to
noise level
Webmonitoring - results
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
day -
1
day 0day 1dag 2day 3day 4day 5day 6day 7day 8day 9 day
10
day
11
day
12
day
13
day
14
day
15
day
16
day
17
Numberofmentions
Total buzz
March 16 November 15
Source: Synthesio
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
day 0 day 1 day 2 day 3 day 4 day 5 day 6 day 7 day 8 day 9
Other Professional news, Industry news
Forum National newspaper
Blog TV, radio
Regional newspaper General news, Magazine
Webmonitoring - results
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Numberofmentions
Spain
0
50
100
150
200
250
Numberofmentions
Russia
Source: Synthesio
Flight data
• We used:
• Data on weekly base
• Only leisure
• Natural change of number of bookings throughout
the year!
• Only flights
 No indications for neighbouring countries
Flight data - interpretation
Combination of two approaches:
1. Year over year (15 vs 16):
Ratio n week xy / n week xy-1
Eliminate natural booking pattern
2. Within year (fix week 3):
Ratio n week x / n week 3
Eliminate change year over year
Flight data - results
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Week number
Spain
fix week 3
15 vs 16
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Week number
Russia
fix week 3
15 vs 16
Source: Amadeus
Learnings
1. Big data can lead the operations
2. Experience with the data is required
3. Create references to make correct conclusions
4. Queries don’t need to be complex
5. Markets react very differently in case of
crisis situations

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Big data in crisis monitoring: case study Flanders and Brussels

  • 1. Big data in crisis monitoring: case study Flanders and Brussels Steven Valcke Visit Flanders IFITT 2018, Jönköping
  • 2. Flanders Northern part of Belgium Visit Flanders is responsible for promotion of and destination development in Flanders and Brussels A research team of 7 One of 3 Belgian NTO’s
  • 3. Big data at Visit Flanders • 5 years+ of experience and experimenting with ups and downs • Only ready for use by third parties (we are not the data scientists) • Sources: 1.Credit card data for expenditures 2.Mobile data for measuring the success for certain events, on ad hoc basis; 3.webmonitoring (all public available sources incl social media) for social listening, brand monitoring and campaign monitoring; 4.Flight data to monitor campaigns and do research on booking behaviour; 5.Scraping hotel review scores to monitor the satisfaction of the visitors
  • 4. Start Control reputation Detect influencers Monitor competitors Find customer insights Engage on major social networks Prevent Bad Buzz Listening is owned by PR team worried about the harm of a potential social media crisis Measure Campaigns Marketing teams use social media to fuel campaigns and measure results with various metrics (#fans, likes, sentiment, etc.) So What? Brands struggle to leverage the value of listening and engagement Social Becomes Strategic Top management set objectives and clear performance indicators to track marketing and PR results Build Benchmark s Incentivize teams Implement online customer support Build the Voice of the Customer Connect social media results with customer surveys to get the full picture of the customer journey Integrate with Sales Compare social media indicators with customer satisfaction metrics (Net Promoter Score) or sales Scale across the enterprise Predictive analytics THE SOCIAL INTELLIGENCE MATURITY CURVE MAKE SMARTER BUSINESS DECISION WITH SOCIAL INSIGHTS.
  • 6. Implications tourism industry • Tourism industry was hit hard • Damage: brand and numbers of tourists  Crisis management  Market specific communication required  Big data leaded the way we communicated and which actions were taken  Monitoring:  Brand damage: web monitoring by Synthesio  Numbers of tourists: flight data by Amadeus
  • 7. Webmonitoring – Query setup • Query from the Paris attacks Nov 15 was reused • Query Requirements: • Built fast • Languages of all of our markets • Tracking of unsafety feeling against our destination • Query NON requirements • Track all news  Simple query  Lot of noise ("flanders" OR "flemish" OR "belgium" OR "belgian" OR "mechelen" OR "antwerp" OR "bruges" OR "brussels" OR "leuven" OR "ghent") AND ("unsafe" OR "safety" OR "cautious" OR "anxious" OR "dangerous) in English, French, German, Dutch, Spanish, Italian, Swedish, Norwegian, Danish,
  • 8. Webmonitoring - interpretation • Tracking of volume (and sentiment): • Challenge: Determining the level of noise: Average of volume (excl outliers) of the week before + or – Standard deviation • Normal situation: three days in a row back to noise level
  • 9. Webmonitoring - results - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 day - 1 day 0day 1dag 2day 3day 4day 5day 6day 7day 8day 9 day 10 day 11 day 12 day 13 day 14 day 15 day 16 day 17 Numberofmentions Total buzz March 16 November 15 Source: Synthesio - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 day 0 day 1 day 2 day 3 day 4 day 5 day 6 day 7 day 8 day 9 Other Professional news, Industry news Forum National newspaper Blog TV, radio Regional newspaper General news, Magazine
  • 11. Flight data • We used: • Data on weekly base • Only leisure • Natural change of number of bookings throughout the year! • Only flights  No indications for neighbouring countries
  • 12. Flight data - interpretation Combination of two approaches: 1. Year over year (15 vs 16): Ratio n week xy / n week xy-1 Eliminate natural booking pattern 2. Within year (fix week 3): Ratio n week x / n week 3 Eliminate change year over year
  • 13. Flight data - results 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Week number Spain fix week 3 15 vs 16 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Week number Russia fix week 3 15 vs 16 Source: Amadeus
  • 14. Learnings 1. Big data can lead the operations 2. Experience with the data is required 3. Create references to make correct conclusions 4. Queries don’t need to be complex 5. Markets react very differently in case of crisis situations