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Brazilian Exploration Scenario and Opportunities
Vivian Azor de Freitas
Appraisal Plan Coordinator – Exploration Superintendence - ANP
Rio de Janeiro, Brasil
January 16th, 2020
This institutional presentation is based upon or derived from sources
believed to be reliable for informational purposes only.
Projections and future values are presented, but no representation
regarding their accuracy or completeness is made.
Forward-looking statements regarding our intent, belief or current
expectations may change without prior notice.
Disclaimer
Agenda
Brazillian E&P Scenario
1
2
3 Closing Remarks
Investment Opportunities
“The most excitement at the moment is from the
deepwater,” Mr Brown* told the Financial Times, saying
projects in Brazil, the Gulf of Mexico and West of
Shetland in the North Sea were among the most
attractive.
* Andy Brown, Shell’s head of exploration and production
October 2019 – Ten companies agrees to pay more
than $2 billion (8.9 billion reais) for the exploration and
production rights in 12 offshore oil blocks in Brazil, in
what could be a promising sign for even bigger
upcoming oil auctions.
This fresh investment, notably in offshore pre-salt
basins, follows the introduction of significant
regulatory changes to the oil and gas sector within
Brazil.
December 2019 – “Norway's Equinor ASA has submitted
to Brazil's oil industry regulator ANP declarations of the
commercial viability of two blocs licensed in the
Carcara oil field in the pre-salt region of the Santos
basin, the company said on Thursday.”
Main Regulatory Enhancements
14
Bidding Rounds
(in 2017/2021)
2016
Petrobras is no
longer the sole
Operator for
Pre-salt
2019
➢Open Acreage
➢Transfer of Rights
Surplus
➢ R&D Ordinance
Update
➢Discussion of
Decommissioning
Rules
2017
➢New Simplified
Contract Rules
➢New Local Content
Rules
2017 & Beyond
➢Bidding Schedule
2018/2019
➢Extension -
Exploration Phase
(Rounds 11 and 12)
2018
➢Local Content Waiver
(previous rounds - up to 13th
Round)
➢Royalties Reduction
(incremental production in
mature fields)
➢Collateral Burden
Reduction
(100% to 30% in marginal
fields)
➢Reserve Based
Lending (RBL)
Round Acquired Blocks Area (km2) Signing Bonus (US$ billion) Registered Companies
Winner
Companies
37
(24 onshore and 13 offshore)
25,011.7 1.035 32 17
3 655.74 0.889 10 7
3 6,130.78 0.768 14 6
3 3,521.04 0.849 16 7
22 16,400.3 2.009 17 12
4 2,860.75 1.838 12 8
12 11,762.78 2.235 17 10
33
(30 onshore and 3 offshore)
16,730.43 1.873 47 10
1 4,475.68 1.295 17 2
2017 - 2019 Bidding Rounds Results – Exploration Blocks
Total 72 87,549.20 6.1
Round Acquired Blocks Area (km2) Signing Bonus (US$ billion) Registered Companies
Winner
Companies
37
(24 onshore and 13 offshore)
25,011.7 1.035 32 17
3 655.74 0.889 10 7
3 6,130.78 0.768 14 6
3 3,521.04 0.849 16 7
22 16,400.3 2.009 17 12
4 2,860.75 1.838 12 8
12 11,762.78 2.235 17 10
33
(30 onshore and 3 offshore)
16,730.43 1.873 47 10
1 4,475.68 1.295 17 2
Total 72 87,549.20 6.1
Areaequivalent
to Portugal
2017 - 2019 Bidding Rounds Results – Exploration Blocks
New Investments
~ 33 New Platforms
Tax Revenues
Million bpd
(added peak production)
Hundreds of Wells!
Estimated Impact from Recent Oil Auctions 2017 - 2019
Area : 7.5 millions km2
Oil Production ~ 3.1 MMbbl/d
Natural Gas Production
~137 MMm3/d
Total Production ~ 3.9 MMboe/d
(Nov/2019)
Area under concession
~ 280,000 km2
274 Blocks
52 areas in Appraisal Plan
435 fields
9th largest oil producer in
the world and the largest in
Latin America
31th largest natural gas producer
(2018)
Brazil´s Current State
Oil
13.2 Billion bbl
Gas
~370 Billion m³
March, 2019
March, 2019
Proven Reserves
Pre-Salt
59%
ConventionalOffshore
34%
Onshore
6%
60%
36%
4%
Oil Proven Reserves
Pre-Salt
Conventional Offshore
Onshore
57%
24%
19%
Gas Proven Reserves
Pre-Salt
Conventional Offshore
Onshore
Source: ANP’s statistical yearbook
Oil Production
Onshore Oil Equivalent Production
(Nov, 2019)
38%
269 Mboe/d
Development Wells Concluded
2012/2019
4.500
9.500
14.500
19.500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Northeast Basins Offshore Oil Production
bpd
SEAL
Exploratory Wells Concluded
Foster Conventional Production
0
200
400
600
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
122
62%
2014/2018
0
50
100
150
200
250
27
76%
2015/2019
88%
2011/2019
RNCE
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Thousand
bpd
Post-Salt Campos Basin Oil Production
Thousand
bpd
41%
2012/2018
Foster Conventional Production
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
836
2012/2019
Pre-salt Oil Production
Agenda
Brazillian E&P Scenario
1
2
3 Closing Remarks
Investment Opportunities
E&P Environments
The Pre-salt Play
The Pre-saltPolygon is 3x
Larger than Switzerland
~150 Thousand km2
The Pre-salt Play
After Avila, 2019
BaseofSaltStructuralMap
The Pre-salt Play
After Freitas, 2019
W E
25 50
0
km
Post-Salt
Aptian Evaporites Economic Basement
Pre-salt
Fault
SchematicProfile
DepositionalModel
differentiated microbial
platforms
deep (>300m) lake
Linear ridges and cone-
like buildups
shallow evaporitic alkaline lake
Low gradient ramp-like deposition
Source: Wright & Barnett (2017)
The Pre-salt Play
Platforms
Buildup
Transgressive limestone
Micritic limestone (mudstone -
wakestone)
Mud flat dolomite
Argillaceous limestone & marl Siltstone
Sandstone
Conglomerate
Basement
Intraclast-spherulite
(packtone - grainstone)
Wackestone - packstone
with spherulites
Argillaceous limestone & marl
with spherulites
Lime packestone - grainstone
with mollusk shells
Shale (commonly organic-rich)
Shrubby microbial boundstone
Domal to branching microbial
(chert boundstone)
Synrifte
Upper Synrifte
SAG
SAG
SAG
Basement
Source: Edited of Saller et all, 2016. Availible at Technical Seminar 3rd Pre-salt Bidding Round
Lower Synrifte
The Pre-salt Play
DepositionalModel
The Pre-salt Play
Grainstone
Stromatolite Shrub-like
(arborescent)
Spherulites
Laminite
DepositionalTextures
Thin sections from pre-salt wells
Pre-salt Exploration Scenario
Before 2017 Currently
Before2017 Currently
The Pre-salt Play Production
Lapa (2 wells)
Oil: 19 M bbl/d
Gas: 561 M m3/d
Barracuda/Caratinga
(2 wells)
Oil: 6.7 M bbl/d
Gas: 177 M m3/d
Jubarte (18
wells)
Oil: 168 M bbl/d
Gas: 6,020 M
m3/d
Marlim Leste
(3 wells)
Oil: 16.4 M bbl/d
Gas: 293 M m3/d
Berbigão (2 wells)
Oil: 19 M bbl/d
Gas: 217 M m3/d
Marlim/Voador
(1 well)
Oil: 5.1 M bbl/d
Gas: 157 M m3/d
Lula (60 wells)
Oil: 1,129 M bbl/d
Gas: 47,232 M m3/d
Sapinhoá (13 wells)
Oil: 211 M bbl/d
Gas: 9.169 M m3/d
Nov/2019
Mero (1 well)
Oil: 42.1 M bbl/d
Gas: 2,852 M m3/d
The Pre-salt Play Production
Búzios (17 wells)
Oil: 443 M bbl/d
Gas: 16,900 M m3/d
~2.1 million barrels of oil/day
1º
2º
3º
4º
Oil Production
Fonte: ANP’s Monthly Bulletin of Production - November/2019
Most productive oil wells in Pre-Salt
1º 7-BUZ-24D-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 50.84 Mbbl/d
2º 7-BUZ-31D-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 49.79 Mbbl/d
3º 7-BUZ-10-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 43.00 Mbbl/d
4º 3-BRSA-1305A-RJS - Mero – Santos Basin 42.13 Mbbl/d
5º 9- BRSA-1191-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 40.13 Mbbl/d
The Pre-Salt comprises huge accumulations underneath the salt
layers;
Light Oil with excellent quality accumulations and high commercial
values;
✓ Great prospectivity, potential for giant and supergiant oil fields;
✓ High well productivity related to high quality carbonate reservoirs and
extensive and thick production zones.
The Pre-salt Play Prospectivity
Source: Petrobras
2019 2020 2021
3rd Quarter
To be
defined
To be
defined
Bidding Rounds Schedule
128 Offshore blocks
~64,105 km2
Pará-Maranhão, Potiguar,
Campos, Santos and
Pelotas basins
17th Bidding Round (2020)
7 Blocks up for Offer
3 in the 7th Bid
4 in the 8th Bid
Round 7 Pre-salt
Round 8 Pre-salt
Pre-salt Polygon
Offshore Basin
Next Pre-Salt Bidding Rounds ‘
SectorsUnder
Examinationfor18th
BiddingRounds
2021
Ceará,EspíritoSanto&Pelotas
Basins
Continuous offer of blocks and
mature fields.
Companies can bid on blocks not sold
in previous auctions.
Applications can be submitted
anytime and not just at designated
points.
It will promote exploration activity
especially in onshore areas.
Open Acreage
567
Blocks
2
Brown
Fields
10
Sedimentary
Basins
Open Acreage
Open Acreage Under Study
Technical and Economical
Parameters under study
19
Sedimentary
Basins
990
Blocks
Solimões
Amazonas
FZAM PAMA
Barreirinhas
Potiguar
PEPB
SEAL
Tucano
Recôncavo
Jequitinhonha
Espírito-Santo
São Francisco
Santos
Pelotas
Paraná
Parecis
Agenda
Brazillian E&P Scenario
1
2
3 Closing Remarks
Investment Opportunities
Attract Suitable Players
➢Major Operators
➢Exploration Specialists
➢Mature Field Players
Small and mid -
sized Companies
03
02
➢Supermajors
➢Major Operators
01
Pre-Salt Conventional
Offshore
Onshore
Supported by Oilfield Service Companies, Suppliers and Financial Institutions !
Increase E&P Activities
❖ Accelerate Pre-Salt Development
❖ Improve Mature Fields Production
❖ Improve Recovery Factor
❖ Enhance Onshore Incentives
❖ Expedite Environmental Licensing
Attract the Right Players
❖ Giant Fields
❖ New Frontiers
❖ Mature Fields
❖ Onshore
Create a Secondary Market
Attract mid/small-sized
companies
Maximize Production
❖ Diversity of Players
❖ New RD&I Focus
❖ Financing Opportunities
Final Remarks
Promote a Predictable and
Stable Regulatory
Framework, that Attracts
New Investments and
Accelerates the
Development of the Pre-
Salt, Conventional Offshore
and Onshore E&P
Environment.
National Agency for Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels – ANP
Exploration Superintendence
Av. Rio Branco, 65, 19th floor
Vivian Azor de Freitas
vafreitas@anp.gov.br
Additional Information
www.anp.gov.br

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16-01-2020-brazilian-exploration-scenario-opportunities.pdf

  • 1. Brazilian Exploration Scenario and Opportunities Vivian Azor de Freitas Appraisal Plan Coordinator – Exploration Superintendence - ANP Rio de Janeiro, Brasil January 16th, 2020
  • 2. This institutional presentation is based upon or derived from sources believed to be reliable for informational purposes only. Projections and future values are presented, but no representation regarding their accuracy or completeness is made. Forward-looking statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations may change without prior notice. Disclaimer
  • 3. Agenda Brazillian E&P Scenario 1 2 3 Closing Remarks Investment Opportunities
  • 4. “The most excitement at the moment is from the deepwater,” Mr Brown* told the Financial Times, saying projects in Brazil, the Gulf of Mexico and West of Shetland in the North Sea were among the most attractive. * Andy Brown, Shell’s head of exploration and production October 2019 – Ten companies agrees to pay more than $2 billion (8.9 billion reais) for the exploration and production rights in 12 offshore oil blocks in Brazil, in what could be a promising sign for even bigger upcoming oil auctions. This fresh investment, notably in offshore pre-salt basins, follows the introduction of significant regulatory changes to the oil and gas sector within Brazil. December 2019 – “Norway's Equinor ASA has submitted to Brazil's oil industry regulator ANP declarations of the commercial viability of two blocs licensed in the Carcara oil field in the pre-salt region of the Santos basin, the company said on Thursday.”
  • 5. Main Regulatory Enhancements 14 Bidding Rounds (in 2017/2021) 2016 Petrobras is no longer the sole Operator for Pre-salt 2019 ➢Open Acreage ➢Transfer of Rights Surplus ➢ R&D Ordinance Update ➢Discussion of Decommissioning Rules 2017 ➢New Simplified Contract Rules ➢New Local Content Rules 2017 & Beyond ➢Bidding Schedule 2018/2019 ➢Extension - Exploration Phase (Rounds 11 and 12) 2018 ➢Local Content Waiver (previous rounds - up to 13th Round) ➢Royalties Reduction (incremental production in mature fields) ➢Collateral Burden Reduction (100% to 30% in marginal fields) ➢Reserve Based Lending (RBL)
  • 6. Round Acquired Blocks Area (km2) Signing Bonus (US$ billion) Registered Companies Winner Companies 37 (24 onshore and 13 offshore) 25,011.7 1.035 32 17 3 655.74 0.889 10 7 3 6,130.78 0.768 14 6 3 3,521.04 0.849 16 7 22 16,400.3 2.009 17 12 4 2,860.75 1.838 12 8 12 11,762.78 2.235 17 10 33 (30 onshore and 3 offshore) 16,730.43 1.873 47 10 1 4,475.68 1.295 17 2 2017 - 2019 Bidding Rounds Results – Exploration Blocks Total 72 87,549.20 6.1
  • 7. Round Acquired Blocks Area (km2) Signing Bonus (US$ billion) Registered Companies Winner Companies 37 (24 onshore and 13 offshore) 25,011.7 1.035 32 17 3 655.74 0.889 10 7 3 6,130.78 0.768 14 6 3 3,521.04 0.849 16 7 22 16,400.3 2.009 17 12 4 2,860.75 1.838 12 8 12 11,762.78 2.235 17 10 33 (30 onshore and 3 offshore) 16,730.43 1.873 47 10 1 4,475.68 1.295 17 2 Total 72 87,549.20 6.1 Areaequivalent to Portugal 2017 - 2019 Bidding Rounds Results – Exploration Blocks
  • 8. New Investments ~ 33 New Platforms Tax Revenues Million bpd (added peak production) Hundreds of Wells! Estimated Impact from Recent Oil Auctions 2017 - 2019
  • 9. Area : 7.5 millions km2 Oil Production ~ 3.1 MMbbl/d Natural Gas Production ~137 MMm3/d Total Production ~ 3.9 MMboe/d (Nov/2019) Area under concession ~ 280,000 km2 274 Blocks 52 areas in Appraisal Plan 435 fields 9th largest oil producer in the world and the largest in Latin America 31th largest natural gas producer (2018) Brazil´s Current State
  • 10. Oil 13.2 Billion bbl Gas ~370 Billion m³ March, 2019 March, 2019 Proven Reserves Pre-Salt 59% ConventionalOffshore 34% Onshore 6% 60% 36% 4% Oil Proven Reserves Pre-Salt Conventional Offshore Onshore 57% 24% 19% Gas Proven Reserves Pre-Salt Conventional Offshore Onshore Source: ANP’s statistical yearbook
  • 12. Onshore Oil Equivalent Production (Nov, 2019) 38% 269 Mboe/d Development Wells Concluded 2012/2019 4.500 9.500 14.500 19.500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Northeast Basins Offshore Oil Production bpd SEAL Exploratory Wells Concluded Foster Conventional Production 0 200 400 600 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 122 62% 2014/2018 0 50 100 150 200 250 27 76% 2015/2019 88% 2011/2019 RNCE
  • 13. 0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Thousand bpd Post-Salt Campos Basin Oil Production Thousand bpd 41% 2012/2018 Foster Conventional Production 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 0 836 2012/2019 Pre-salt Oil Production
  • 14. Agenda Brazillian E&P Scenario 1 2 3 Closing Remarks Investment Opportunities
  • 16. The Pre-salt Play The Pre-saltPolygon is 3x Larger than Switzerland ~150 Thousand km2
  • 17. The Pre-salt Play After Avila, 2019 BaseofSaltStructuralMap
  • 18. The Pre-salt Play After Freitas, 2019 W E 25 50 0 km Post-Salt Aptian Evaporites Economic Basement Pre-salt Fault SchematicProfile
  • 19. DepositionalModel differentiated microbial platforms deep (>300m) lake Linear ridges and cone- like buildups shallow evaporitic alkaline lake Low gradient ramp-like deposition Source: Wright & Barnett (2017) The Pre-salt Play
  • 20. Platforms Buildup Transgressive limestone Micritic limestone (mudstone - wakestone) Mud flat dolomite Argillaceous limestone & marl Siltstone Sandstone Conglomerate Basement Intraclast-spherulite (packtone - grainstone) Wackestone - packstone with spherulites Argillaceous limestone & marl with spherulites Lime packestone - grainstone with mollusk shells Shale (commonly organic-rich) Shrubby microbial boundstone Domal to branching microbial (chert boundstone) Synrifte Upper Synrifte SAG SAG SAG Basement Source: Edited of Saller et all, 2016. Availible at Technical Seminar 3rd Pre-salt Bidding Round Lower Synrifte The Pre-salt Play DepositionalModel
  • 21. The Pre-salt Play Grainstone Stromatolite Shrub-like (arborescent) Spherulites Laminite DepositionalTextures Thin sections from pre-salt wells
  • 22. Pre-salt Exploration Scenario Before 2017 Currently Before2017 Currently
  • 23. The Pre-salt Play Production
  • 24. Lapa (2 wells) Oil: 19 M bbl/d Gas: 561 M m3/d Barracuda/Caratinga (2 wells) Oil: 6.7 M bbl/d Gas: 177 M m3/d Jubarte (18 wells) Oil: 168 M bbl/d Gas: 6,020 M m3/d Marlim Leste (3 wells) Oil: 16.4 M bbl/d Gas: 293 M m3/d Berbigão (2 wells) Oil: 19 M bbl/d Gas: 217 M m3/d Marlim/Voador (1 well) Oil: 5.1 M bbl/d Gas: 157 M m3/d Lula (60 wells) Oil: 1,129 M bbl/d Gas: 47,232 M m3/d Sapinhoá (13 wells) Oil: 211 M bbl/d Gas: 9.169 M m3/d Nov/2019 Mero (1 well) Oil: 42.1 M bbl/d Gas: 2,852 M m3/d The Pre-salt Play Production Búzios (17 wells) Oil: 443 M bbl/d Gas: 16,900 M m3/d ~2.1 million barrels of oil/day 1º 2º 3º 4º
  • 25. Oil Production Fonte: ANP’s Monthly Bulletin of Production - November/2019 Most productive oil wells in Pre-Salt 1º 7-BUZ-24D-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 50.84 Mbbl/d 2º 7-BUZ-31D-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 49.79 Mbbl/d 3º 7-BUZ-10-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 43.00 Mbbl/d 4º 3-BRSA-1305A-RJS - Mero – Santos Basin 42.13 Mbbl/d 5º 9- BRSA-1191-RJS - Búzios – Santos Basin 40.13 Mbbl/d
  • 26. The Pre-Salt comprises huge accumulations underneath the salt layers; Light Oil with excellent quality accumulations and high commercial values; ✓ Great prospectivity, potential for giant and supergiant oil fields; ✓ High well productivity related to high quality carbonate reservoirs and extensive and thick production zones. The Pre-salt Play Prospectivity Source: Petrobras
  • 27. 2019 2020 2021 3rd Quarter To be defined To be defined Bidding Rounds Schedule
  • 28. 128 Offshore blocks ~64,105 km2 Pará-Maranhão, Potiguar, Campos, Santos and Pelotas basins 17th Bidding Round (2020)
  • 29. 7 Blocks up for Offer 3 in the 7th Bid 4 in the 8th Bid Round 7 Pre-salt Round 8 Pre-salt Pre-salt Polygon Offshore Basin Next Pre-Salt Bidding Rounds ‘
  • 31. Continuous offer of blocks and mature fields. Companies can bid on blocks not sold in previous auctions. Applications can be submitted anytime and not just at designated points. It will promote exploration activity especially in onshore areas. Open Acreage
  • 33. Open Acreage Under Study Technical and Economical Parameters under study 19 Sedimentary Basins 990 Blocks Solimões Amazonas FZAM PAMA Barreirinhas Potiguar PEPB SEAL Tucano Recôncavo Jequitinhonha Espírito-Santo São Francisco Santos Pelotas Paraná Parecis
  • 34. Agenda Brazillian E&P Scenario 1 2 3 Closing Remarks Investment Opportunities
  • 35. Attract Suitable Players ➢Major Operators ➢Exploration Specialists ➢Mature Field Players Small and mid - sized Companies 03 02 ➢Supermajors ➢Major Operators 01 Pre-Salt Conventional Offshore Onshore Supported by Oilfield Service Companies, Suppliers and Financial Institutions !
  • 36. Increase E&P Activities ❖ Accelerate Pre-Salt Development ❖ Improve Mature Fields Production ❖ Improve Recovery Factor ❖ Enhance Onshore Incentives ❖ Expedite Environmental Licensing Attract the Right Players ❖ Giant Fields ❖ New Frontiers ❖ Mature Fields ❖ Onshore Create a Secondary Market Attract mid/small-sized companies Maximize Production ❖ Diversity of Players ❖ New RD&I Focus ❖ Financing Opportunities Final Remarks Promote a Predictable and Stable Regulatory Framework, that Attracts New Investments and Accelerates the Development of the Pre- Salt, Conventional Offshore and Onshore E&P Environment.
  • 37. National Agency for Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels – ANP Exploration Superintendence Av. Rio Branco, 65, 19th floor Vivian Azor de Freitas vafreitas@anp.gov.br Additional Information www.anp.gov.br