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What is futurechallenges.org?
URL Pandemics > Pandemics refer to illnesses that occur not just locally or regionally,
www.futurechallenges.org but globally. They represent the emergence of diseases new to a
population and containing agents that infect humans, causing
significant, persistent illness that spreads easily among humans.
USP
Discussing megatrend intersections and organizing projects Globalization > Economic globalization basically describes the increasingly tight
in a trans-disciplinary and international way. knit economic interdependence of all states with escalating
exchange of goods, services, capital, technologies and workers.
Globalization has accelerated enormously in recent decades.
Megatrends
Demographic Change > Demographic change describes changes to the size and structure of
a country’s population through rises and falls in the birth rate and Points of Entry
mortality rate as well as by migratory movements of people.. Learn – more about the megatrend correlations.
Engage – translate ideas into action.
Migration > The concept of migration designates moving a person’s domicile Connect – with others to realize your project.
within one country or over a country’s borders permanently or tem-
porarily. The reasons for migration can be of an economic, political,
cultural or social nature. Who?
Bertelsmann Stiftung in collaboration with international
Climate Change > Climate change refers to the permanentl changes in the atmosphere bloggers, scientists and everybody who wants to participate.
over a longer period of time. Although there have been changes in
the earth’s climate for millions of years, global warming in the th
century must be predominantly attributed to human activity. Why?
The idea is to foster “science as a public good” and initiate a
New Governance > Broadly speaking, governance includes all forms of coordination broader dialogue between experts and non-experts. For us it is
among individual and collective players. Todays governance always an obligation to make science public.
functions in a globalized multilevel system among state and non-state
actors.
How?
Natural Resources + Biodiversity > Biodiversity describes the totality of living organisms which can The Bertelsmann Stiftung will become part of the Net. It will
be measured by the number of species of animals, plants and no longer provide ready-made solutions, but act as a moderator in
microorganisms living in a particular region. Natural resources are establishing new forms of participatory culture.
raw materials provided by nature. People can mine but cannot
manufacture them. This renders their sustainable use imperative.
When?
Security + Anti-Terror Policy > War and conflict have always been defining moments not just for Launch: May
international politics, but also for nation states. The global security
architecture of the future must take account of new kinds of (inter-
national) threats such as cyber-terrorism, chemical-terrorism and Contact
bio-terrorism. Ole.Wintermann@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
Henrik.Scheller@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
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FutureChallenges
Correlations between the Megatrends
Jonathan Stevens / Henrik Scheller
Energy and Natural Climate Change and Threats to Global Demographics and
Economic Globalization Global Governance Resources Biodiversity Security Migration
Economic Globalization Global Economic Systems Governance vs Economics Resources Equal Economic Climate Drives Commerce Security Increases Cost Centers of Productivity
Unified Regulations Global Financial Regulation Clout Climate Change Mitigations Cost Attribution of Attacks Cost of New Migrants
Endogenous Technologyn New Economic Governancen Extraction and Use Technology Evolving Climate Technologies Escalating Technologies Aging Western Powers
Shifts in Source and Use Biodiversity as Economic
Use Affected by Economic Value
Climate
Global Governance Economic Agreements Shift in Major Powers Use Influenced by Compacts International Climate Rise in Sub-state Powers Governing Aging Societies
Regional Agreements Emerging Powers Common Geographic Compacts Technology Empowered Growing Unstable Regions
Economic Stabilityn Social and Civil Movements Resources Global Resource Sharing Individuals Re-evaluating Citizenship
Ungoverned Spaces Nuclear Energy Treaties Green Accountability Governing Evolving Threats Growth in Transient
Concepts of Sovereignty Democratization of Threats Transcend Geography Populations
Biodiversity
Energy and Natural Consumption Shifts Common Resource Shifting Resource Locations Mixed Impact of Biofuels Unstable Energy-Rich Fuel/Resource Migrations
Resources Technological Models Governance Alternative Fuels GHG and Climate Change Regions Increasing Standards
Alternative Fuels Regulation of Nuclear Power Carbon Consumption Rates Alternative Fuel Markets Dual Use Technologies of Living
Shared Responsibility Resource Technologies Rise in Alternative Fuels Migrants Stress Resources
of GHGs
Climate Change and Decreased Biodiversity Agreements over Biofuel Land Needs Adaption Strategies Unstable Regions Most Urbanization Stresses
Biodiversity Increased GHGs Species Loss GHG Output Growth Species Abundance and Vulnerable Biodiversity
Food vs Fuel Shared Responsibility Dual Role of New Fuels Distribution Developing World More People Equals More GHGs
on Climate Land and Water Viability Consumption Climate Migration
Worsening Threats of High Population in Vulnerable
Bio-Attacks Areas
Threats to Global Cost/Threat Sharing Un/Under-governed Spaces Resources Threaten Unstable Regions Most Rising Sub-state Powers Migrants Challenge Security
Security Increased Business Costs Empowered Individuals Sovereignty Affected Governing Evolving Threats Security for/from
Impact on Commerce Appropriate Responses Technological Distribution Destabilized Un/Undergoverned Spaces Quasi-citizens
Security vs Liberty New Fuels Threaten Powers Production/Transit Nuclear Containment Rise in Radicalization
Security Influences Use Worsening Bio-threats Migrants in Ungoverned
Growth vs Climate Change Spaces
Demographics and Commerce Influences Governing Migrants Energy Needs of Future Climate Refugees Security-driven Migrations Demographic Transition
Migration Migrants Regions of Rapid Growth Population Decline in Regional Outputs Regional Threats in Rate and Direction of Growth
Laborer Centers Shift Aging World Powers Increases in Energy Space Needs of Biodiversity Demographics Aging Western/Eastern
Cost of Aging Society Use Varies Urbanization Stresses Unstable Regions Grow Powers
Resources Drive Migrants Biodiversity Fastest Growth in Unstable Regions