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                                                                                            we_special_/   we_special_/                                                                                       




                                      What is futurechallenges.org?
                                      URL                                                                                                Pandemics >     Pandemics refer to illnesses that occur not just locally or regionally,
                                      www.futurechallenges.org                                                                                           but globally. They represent the emergence of diseases new to a
                                                                                                                                                         population and containing agents that infect humans, causing
                                                                                                                                                         significant, persistent illness that spreads easily among humans.
                                      USP
                                      Discussing megatrend intersections and organizing projects                                       Globalization >   Economic globalization basically describes the increasingly tight
                                      in a trans-disciplinary and international way.                                                                     knit economic interdependence of all states with escalating
                                                                                                                                                         exchange of goods, services, capital, technologies and workers.
                                                                                                                                                         Globalization has accelerated enormously in recent decades.
                                      Megatrends
         Demographic Change >         Demographic change describes changes to the size and structure of
                                      a country’s population through rises and falls in the birth rate and                                               Points of Entry
                                      mortality rate as well as by migratory movements of people..                                                       Learn – more about the megatrend correlations.
                                                                                                                                                         Engage – translate ideas into action.
                     Migration >      The concept of migration designates moving a person’s domicile                                                     Connect – with others to realize your project.
                                      within one country or over a country’s borders permanently or tem-
                                      porarily. The reasons for migration can be of an economic, political,
                                      cultural or social nature.                                                                                         Who?
                                                                                                                                                         Bertelsmann Stiftung in collaboration with  international
               Climate Change >       Climate change refers to the permanentl changes in the atmosphere                                                  bloggers, scientists and everybody who wants to participate.
                                      over a longer period of time. Although there have been changes in
                                      the earth’s climate for millions of years, global warming in the th
                                      century must be predominantly attributed to human activity.                                                        Why?
                                                                                                                                                         The idea is to foster “science as a public good” and initiate a
              New Governance >        Broadly speaking, governance includes all forms of coordination                                                    broader dialogue between experts and non-experts. For us it is
                                      among individual and collective players. Todays governance always                                                  an obligation to make science public.
                                      functions in a globalized multilevel system among state and non-state
                                      actors.
                                                                                                                                                         How?
Natural Resources + Biodiversity >    Biodiversity describes the totality of living organisms which can                                                  The Bertelsmann Stiftung will become part of the Net. It will
                                      be measured by the number of species of animals, plants and                                                        no longer provide ready-made solutions, but act as a moderator in
                                      microorganisms living in a particular region. Natural resources are                                                establishing new forms of participatory culture.
                                      raw materials provided by nature. People can mine but cannot
                                      manufacture them. This renders their sustainable use imperative.
                                                                                                                                                         When?
    Security + Anti-Terror Policy >   War and conflict have always been defining moments not just for                                                    Launch: May 
                                      international politics, but also for nation states. The global security
                                      architecture of the future must take account of new kinds of (inter-
                                      national) threats such as cyber-terrorism, chemical-terrorism and                                                  Contact
                                      bio-terrorism.                                                                                                     Ole.Wintermann@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
                                                                                                                                                         Henrik.Scheller@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
                                                                                       we_special_/                                     we_special_/                                                                                      




FutureChallenges
Correlations between the Megatrends
Jonathan Stevens / Henrik Scheller




                                                                                                                       Energy and Natural               Climate Change and              Threats to Global             Demographics and
                                                              Economic Globalization     Global Governance             Resources                        Biodiversity                    Security                      Migration

                                     Economic Globalization   Global Economic Systems    Governance vs Economics       Resources Equal Economic         Climate Drives Commerce         Security Increases Cost       Centers of Productivity
                                                              Unified Regulations        Global Financial Regulation   Clout                            Climate Change Mitigations      Cost Attribution of Attacks   Cost of New Migrants
                                                              Endogenous Technologyn     New Economic Governancen      Extraction and Use Technology    Evolving Climate Technologies   Escalating Technologies       Aging Western Powers
                                                                                                                       Shifts in Source and Use         Biodiversity as Economic
                                                                                                                       Use Affected by Economic         Value
                                                                                                                       Climate

                                     Global Governance        Economic Agreements        Shift in Major Powers         Use Influenced by Compacts       International Climate           Rise in Sub-state Powers      Governing Aging Societies
                                                              Regional Agreements        Emerging Powers               Common Geographic                Compacts                        Technology Empowered          Growing Unstable Regions
                                                              Economic Stabilityn        Social and Civil Movements    Resources                        Global Resource Sharing         Individuals                   Re-evaluating Citizenship
                                                                                         Ungoverned Spaces             Nuclear Energy Treaties          Green Accountability            Governing Evolving Threats    Growth in Transient
                                                                                         Concepts of Sovereignty                                        Democratization of              Threats Transcend Geography   Populations
                                                                                                                                                        Biodiversity

                                     Energy and Natural       Consumption Shifts         Common Resource               Shifting Resource Locations      Mixed Impact of Biofuels        Unstable Energy-Rich          Fuel/Resource Migrations
                                     Resources                Technological Models       Governance                    Alternative Fuels                GHG and Climate Change          Regions                       Increasing Standards
                                                              Alternative Fuels          Regulation of Nuclear Power   Carbon Consumption Rates         Alternative Fuel Markets        Dual Use Technologies         of Living
                                                                                         Shared Responsibility         Resource Technologies                                            Rise in Alternative Fuels     Migrants Stress Resources
                                                                                         of GHGs



                                     Climate Change and       Decreased Biodiversity     Agreements over               Biofuel Land Needs               Adaption Strategies             Unstable Regions Most         Urbanization Stresses
                                     Biodiversity             Increased GHGs             Species Loss                  GHG Output Growth                Species Abundance and           Vulnerable                    Biodiversity
                                                              Food vs Fuel               Shared Responsibility         Dual Role of New Fuels           Distribution                    Developing World              More People Equals More GHGs
                                                                                         on Climate                                                     Land and Water Viability        Consumption                   Climate Migration
                                                                                                                                                                                        Worsening Threats of          High Population in Vulnerable
                                                                                                                                                                                        Bio-Attacks                   Areas

                                     Threats to Global        Cost/Threat Sharing        Un/Under-governed Spaces      Resources Threaten               Unstable Regions Most           Rising Sub-state Powers       Migrants Challenge Security
                                     Security                 Increased Business Costs   Empowered Individuals         Sovereignty                      Affected                        Governing Evolving Threats    Security for/from
                                                              Impact on Commerce         Appropriate Responses         Technological Distribution       Destabilized                    Un/Undergoverned Spaces       Quasi-citizens
                                                                                         Security vs Liberty           New Fuels Threaten Powers        Production/Transit              Nuclear Containment           Rise in Radicalization
                                                                                                                       Security Influences Use          Worsening Bio-threats                                         Migrants in Ungoverned
                                                                                                                                                        Growth vs Climate Change                                      Spaces

                                     Demographics and         Commerce Influences        Governing Migrants            Energy Needs of Future           Climate Refugees                Security-driven Migrations    Demographic Transition
                                     Migration                Migrants                   Regions of Rapid Growth       Population                       Decline in Regional Outputs     Regional Threats in           Rate and Direction of Growth
                                                              Laborer Centers Shift      Aging World Powers            Increases in Energy              Space Needs of Biodiversity     Demographics                  Aging Western/Eastern
                                                              Cost of Aging Society                                    Use Varies                       Urbanization Stresses           Unstable Regions Grow         Powers
                                                                                                                       Resources Drive Migrants         Biodiversity                    Fastest                       Growth in Unstable Regions

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What is future_challenge.org

  • 1.  we_special_/ we_special_/  What is futurechallenges.org? URL Pandemics > Pandemics refer to illnesses that occur not just locally or regionally, www.futurechallenges.org but globally. They represent the emergence of diseases new to a population and containing agents that infect humans, causing significant, persistent illness that spreads easily among humans. USP Discussing megatrend intersections and organizing projects Globalization > Economic globalization basically describes the increasingly tight in a trans-disciplinary and international way. knit economic interdependence of all states with escalating exchange of goods, services, capital, technologies and workers. Globalization has accelerated enormously in recent decades. Megatrends Demographic Change > Demographic change describes changes to the size and structure of a country’s population through rises and falls in the birth rate and Points of Entry mortality rate as well as by migratory movements of people.. Learn – more about the megatrend correlations. Engage – translate ideas into action. Migration > The concept of migration designates moving a person’s domicile Connect – with others to realize your project. within one country or over a country’s borders permanently or tem- porarily. The reasons for migration can be of an economic, political, cultural or social nature. Who? Bertelsmann Stiftung in collaboration with  international Climate Change > Climate change refers to the permanentl changes in the atmosphere bloggers, scientists and everybody who wants to participate. over a longer period of time. Although there have been changes in the earth’s climate for millions of years, global warming in the th century must be predominantly attributed to human activity. Why? The idea is to foster “science as a public good” and initiate a New Governance > Broadly speaking, governance includes all forms of coordination broader dialogue between experts and non-experts. For us it is among individual and collective players. Todays governance always an obligation to make science public. functions in a globalized multilevel system among state and non-state actors. How? Natural Resources + Biodiversity > Biodiversity describes the totality of living organisms which can The Bertelsmann Stiftung will become part of the Net. It will be measured by the number of species of animals, plants and no longer provide ready-made solutions, but act as a moderator in microorganisms living in a particular region. Natural resources are establishing new forms of participatory culture. raw materials provided by nature. People can mine but cannot manufacture them. This renders their sustainable use imperative. When? Security + Anti-Terror Policy > War and conflict have always been defining moments not just for Launch: May  international politics, but also for nation states. The global security architecture of the future must take account of new kinds of (inter- national) threats such as cyber-terrorism, chemical-terrorism and Contact bio-terrorism. Ole.Wintermann@bertelsmann-stiftung.de Henrik.Scheller@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
  • 2.  we_special_/ we_special_/  FutureChallenges Correlations between the Megatrends Jonathan Stevens / Henrik Scheller Energy and Natural Climate Change and Threats to Global Demographics and Economic Globalization Global Governance Resources Biodiversity Security Migration Economic Globalization Global Economic Systems Governance vs Economics Resources Equal Economic Climate Drives Commerce Security Increases Cost Centers of Productivity Unified Regulations Global Financial Regulation Clout Climate Change Mitigations Cost Attribution of Attacks Cost of New Migrants Endogenous Technologyn New Economic Governancen Extraction and Use Technology Evolving Climate Technologies Escalating Technologies Aging Western Powers Shifts in Source and Use Biodiversity as Economic Use Affected by Economic Value Climate Global Governance Economic Agreements Shift in Major Powers Use Influenced by Compacts International Climate Rise in Sub-state Powers Governing Aging Societies Regional Agreements Emerging Powers Common Geographic Compacts Technology Empowered Growing Unstable Regions Economic Stabilityn Social and Civil Movements Resources Global Resource Sharing Individuals Re-evaluating Citizenship Ungoverned Spaces Nuclear Energy Treaties Green Accountability Governing Evolving Threats Growth in Transient Concepts of Sovereignty Democratization of Threats Transcend Geography Populations Biodiversity Energy and Natural Consumption Shifts Common Resource Shifting Resource Locations Mixed Impact of Biofuels Unstable Energy-Rich Fuel/Resource Migrations Resources Technological Models Governance Alternative Fuels GHG and Climate Change Regions Increasing Standards Alternative Fuels Regulation of Nuclear Power Carbon Consumption Rates Alternative Fuel Markets Dual Use Technologies of Living Shared Responsibility Resource Technologies Rise in Alternative Fuels Migrants Stress Resources of GHGs Climate Change and Decreased Biodiversity Agreements over Biofuel Land Needs Adaption Strategies Unstable Regions Most Urbanization Stresses Biodiversity Increased GHGs Species Loss GHG Output Growth Species Abundance and Vulnerable Biodiversity Food vs Fuel Shared Responsibility Dual Role of New Fuels Distribution Developing World More People Equals More GHGs on Climate Land and Water Viability Consumption Climate Migration Worsening Threats of High Population in Vulnerable Bio-Attacks Areas Threats to Global Cost/Threat Sharing Un/Under-governed Spaces Resources Threaten Unstable Regions Most Rising Sub-state Powers Migrants Challenge Security Security Increased Business Costs Empowered Individuals Sovereignty Affected Governing Evolving Threats Security for/from Impact on Commerce Appropriate Responses Technological Distribution Destabilized Un/Undergoverned Spaces Quasi-citizens Security vs Liberty New Fuels Threaten Powers Production/Transit Nuclear Containment Rise in Radicalization Security Influences Use Worsening Bio-threats Migrants in Ungoverned Growth vs Climate Change Spaces Demographics and Commerce Influences Governing Migrants Energy Needs of Future Climate Refugees Security-driven Migrations Demographic Transition Migration Migrants Regions of Rapid Growth Population Decline in Regional Outputs Regional Threats in Rate and Direction of Growth Laborer Centers Shift Aging World Powers Increases in Energy Space Needs of Biodiversity Demographics Aging Western/Eastern Cost of Aging Society Use Varies Urbanization Stresses Unstable Regions Grow Powers Resources Drive Migrants Biodiversity Fastest Growth in Unstable Regions