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Economics
HS20001
Source : The Economy
Introduction
Some news headlines –
• GDP likely to contract by 7.7% in 2020-21, says Govt
• https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/indias-real-gdp-estimated-to-
contract-by-77-in-2020-21/article33521311.ece
• India’s GDP to contract 7.7% in current fiscal, advance estimates show
• https://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/gdp-to-contract-7-7-in-
current-fiscal-advance-estimates-show-7137643/
• India’s GDP set to drop 7.7%, biggest contraction since 1952
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/80155191.cms?utm_source=con
tentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
• https://www.mospi.gov.in/documents/213904/416359//Presss%20note_FAE-
2020-211610021181596.pdf/9fff7a5d-29da-9a4b-971f-cfb7b0f05500
https://www.mospi.gov.in/documents/213904/416359//PRESS_NOTE-Q2_2020-211606480008567.pdf/f2b98a11-
a06d-8b6f-6f37-621f33ca8f25
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
GROWTH RATES
Per-Capita Inome GDP
• http://www.mospi.gov.in/sites/default/files/press_release/PRESS%20
NOTE%20PE%20and%20Q4%20estimates%20of%20GDP.pdf
• https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Handb
ook%20of%20Statistics%20on%20Indian%20Economy
• https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-
indicators
• https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Handb
ook%20of%20Statistics%20on%20Indian%20Economy
Rapid, sustained growth in average living standards since 1700.
How did this happen?
Inequality
How unequal is the world?
In Singapore, the richest country on the furthest right, the average incomes
of the richest and poorest 10% are $67,436 and $3,652 respectively.
In Liberia, the furthest left, the corresponding incomes are $994 and $17.
1980 1990
2014
Measuring income and living standards
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) = A measure of total income and
output of the economy in a given period.
• Usually expressed in per-capita terms (as an average income).
GDP per capita ≠ Disposable income
Disposable income = Total income – taxes + government transfers
Both are imperfect measures of well-being
“Hockey-stick” growth
GDP growth rates
“Hockey-stick” curves represent the sustained rapid growth in
GDP per capita experienced by countries worldwide.
The Technological Revolution
Technology = A process that uses inputs to produce an output.
By reducing the amount of work-time it takes to produce the
things we need, technological changes allowed significant
increases in living standards.
Remarkable scientific and technological advances occurred
more or less at the same time as the upward kink in the hockey
stick in Britain in the middle of the 18th century.
The Industrial Revolution
For example, today the productivity
of labour in producing light is half a
million times greater than it was
among our ancestors around their
campfire.
Industrial Revolution = a wave of technological advances starting in
Britain in the 18th century, which transformed an agrarian and craft-
based economy into a commercial and industrial economy.
A Connected World
Technological progress also greatly improved the speed at which
information travels, making the world more connected.
Figure 1.5 The economy is part of society, which is part of the
biosphere.
Environmental consequences
Increased production and population growth affects the environment
• Global impacts – climate change
• Local impacts – pollution in cities, deforestation
Technology may provide the solution
Environmental consequences
These effects are results of both
• the expansion of the economy (illustrated by the growth in total
output)
• the way the economy is organized (what kinds of things are valued
and conserved, for example).
The permanent technological revolution may also be part of the
solution, by making it possible to use less resources to produce more
output.
Capitalism
Capitalism
Institutions are the laws and social customs governing the
production and distribution of goods and services.
Capitalism = an economic system where the main institutions are
private property, markets, and firms.
The Capitalist Revolution
Capitalism led to growth in living standards because of:
• impact on technology: firms competing in markets had strong
incentives to adopt and develop new technologies
• specialization: the growth of firms and the expansion of
markets linking the entire world allowed historically
unprecedented specialization in tasks and production
Together with the technological revolution, this increased worker
productivity.
The gains from specialization
Specialization increases productivity of labour because we
become better at producing things when we each focus on a
limited range of activities
• learning by doing
• taking advantage of natural differences in skill and talent
• economies of scale
People can only specialize if they have a way to acquire the other
goods they need. In a capitalist society, this is done via markets.
• Adam Smith begins The Wealth of Nations with the following
sentence:
• The greatest improvement in the productive powers of labour, and the greater
part of the skill, dexterity, and judgement with which it is anywhere directed,
or applied, seem to have been the effects of the division of labour.
• Division of Labour is Limited by the Extent of the Market’, in which Smith
explains:
• When the market is very small, no person can have any encouragement to dedicate
himself entirely to one employment, for want of the power to exchange all that surplus
part of the produce of his own labour, which is over and above his own consumption, for
such parts of the produce of other men’s labour as he has occasion for.
Comparative advantage
• Greta has absolute advantage in production of both crops
• Greta has a comparative advantage in wheat
• Carlos has a comparative advantage in apples = he is least
disadvantaged in production of apples.
Production if 100% of time is spent on one good
Greta 1250 apples or 50 tonnes of wheat
Carlos 1000 apples or 20 tonnes of wheat
Self-sufficiency Complete specialization and trade
Production Trade Consumption
1 2 3 4
Greta Apples 500 0 600
Wheat 30 50 = 15 + 35
Carlos Apples 300 1,000 = 600 + 400
Wheat 14 0 15
Total Apples 800 1,000 600 1,000
Wheat 44 50 15 50
Comparative advantage
All producers can benefit by specializing and trading goods, even
when this means that one producer specializes in a good that
another could produce at lower cost.
Markets contribute to increasing the productivity of labour by
allowing people to specialize.
Did capitalism cause the hockey-stick growth?
Natural experiment: the division of Germany at the end of World
War II into two separate economic systems, capitalist in the west
and centrally planned in the east.
Divergence in growth
Not all capitalist economies are equally
successful
• economic conditions: firms, private
property, or markets may fail
• political conditions: capitalist
institutions are regulated by the
government
• the government also provides
essential goods and services
(infrastructure, education)
Political systems
Capitalism coexists with many political systems.
A political system determines how governments will be selected,
and how those governments will make and implement decisions.
In most countries today, capitalism coexists with democracy
• individual rights of citizens (e.g. freedom of speech)
• fair elections
But capitalism has coexisted with non-democratic systems, too.
Economics
What is Economics?
Economics is the study of how people interact with each other and
with their natural surroundings in producing their livelihoods, and
how this changes over time.
Summary
1. Important trends in economic variables over time
• Income inequality across regions has increased a lot over time
• “Hockey-stick” growth in GDP, and its negative consequences
• Technological progress helped bring about these trends
2. The adoption of capitalism was another key factor
• Capitalism = Private property + Markets + Firms
• Failure of these institutions can explain divergence in
economic growth across countries
• Political systems and the role of government also determine
the type of capitalist society

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HS20001- Lectuer-1.pptx

  • 3. Some news headlines – • GDP likely to contract by 7.7% in 2020-21, says Govt • https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/indias-real-gdp-estimated-to- contract-by-77-in-2020-21/article33521311.ece • India’s GDP to contract 7.7% in current fiscal, advance estimates show • https://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/gdp-to-contract-7-7-in- current-fiscal-advance-estimates-show-7137643/ • India’s GDP set to drop 7.7%, biggest contraction since 1952 http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/80155191.cms?utm_source=con tentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst • https://www.mospi.gov.in/documents/213904/416359//Presss%20note_FAE- 2020-211610021181596.pdf/9fff7a5d-29da-9a4b-971f-cfb7b0f05500
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 GROWTH RATES Per-Capita Inome GDP
  • 14. Rapid, sustained growth in average living standards since 1700. How did this happen?
  • 16. How unequal is the world? In Singapore, the richest country on the furthest right, the average incomes of the richest and poorest 10% are $67,436 and $3,652 respectively. In Liberia, the furthest left, the corresponding incomes are $994 and $17. 1980 1990 2014
  • 17.
  • 18. Measuring income and living standards Gross Domestic Product (GDP) = A measure of total income and output of the economy in a given period. • Usually expressed in per-capita terms (as an average income). GDP per capita ≠ Disposable income Disposable income = Total income – taxes + government transfers Both are imperfect measures of well-being
  • 20. GDP growth rates “Hockey-stick” curves represent the sustained rapid growth in GDP per capita experienced by countries worldwide.
  • 21. The Technological Revolution Technology = A process that uses inputs to produce an output. By reducing the amount of work-time it takes to produce the things we need, technological changes allowed significant increases in living standards. Remarkable scientific and technological advances occurred more or less at the same time as the upward kink in the hockey stick in Britain in the middle of the 18th century.
  • 22. The Industrial Revolution For example, today the productivity of labour in producing light is half a million times greater than it was among our ancestors around their campfire. Industrial Revolution = a wave of technological advances starting in Britain in the 18th century, which transformed an agrarian and craft- based economy into a commercial and industrial economy.
  • 23. A Connected World Technological progress also greatly improved the speed at which information travels, making the world more connected.
  • 24. Figure 1.5 The economy is part of society, which is part of the biosphere.
  • 25.
  • 26. Environmental consequences Increased production and population growth affects the environment • Global impacts – climate change • Local impacts – pollution in cities, deforestation Technology may provide the solution
  • 27. Environmental consequences These effects are results of both • the expansion of the economy (illustrated by the growth in total output) • the way the economy is organized (what kinds of things are valued and conserved, for example). The permanent technological revolution may also be part of the solution, by making it possible to use less resources to produce more output.
  • 29. Capitalism Institutions are the laws and social customs governing the production and distribution of goods and services. Capitalism = an economic system where the main institutions are private property, markets, and firms.
  • 30. The Capitalist Revolution Capitalism led to growth in living standards because of: • impact on technology: firms competing in markets had strong incentives to adopt and develop new technologies • specialization: the growth of firms and the expansion of markets linking the entire world allowed historically unprecedented specialization in tasks and production Together with the technological revolution, this increased worker productivity.
  • 31. The gains from specialization Specialization increases productivity of labour because we become better at producing things when we each focus on a limited range of activities • learning by doing • taking advantage of natural differences in skill and talent • economies of scale People can only specialize if they have a way to acquire the other goods they need. In a capitalist society, this is done via markets.
  • 32. • Adam Smith begins The Wealth of Nations with the following sentence: • The greatest improvement in the productive powers of labour, and the greater part of the skill, dexterity, and judgement with which it is anywhere directed, or applied, seem to have been the effects of the division of labour. • Division of Labour is Limited by the Extent of the Market’, in which Smith explains: • When the market is very small, no person can have any encouragement to dedicate himself entirely to one employment, for want of the power to exchange all that surplus part of the produce of his own labour, which is over and above his own consumption, for such parts of the produce of other men’s labour as he has occasion for.
  • 33. Comparative advantage • Greta has absolute advantage in production of both crops • Greta has a comparative advantage in wheat • Carlos has a comparative advantage in apples = he is least disadvantaged in production of apples. Production if 100% of time is spent on one good Greta 1250 apples or 50 tonnes of wheat Carlos 1000 apples or 20 tonnes of wheat
  • 34. Self-sufficiency Complete specialization and trade Production Trade Consumption 1 2 3 4 Greta Apples 500 0 600 Wheat 30 50 = 15 + 35 Carlos Apples 300 1,000 = 600 + 400 Wheat 14 0 15 Total Apples 800 1,000 600 1,000 Wheat 44 50 15 50
  • 35. Comparative advantage All producers can benefit by specializing and trading goods, even when this means that one producer specializes in a good that another could produce at lower cost. Markets contribute to increasing the productivity of labour by allowing people to specialize.
  • 36. Did capitalism cause the hockey-stick growth? Natural experiment: the division of Germany at the end of World War II into two separate economic systems, capitalist in the west and centrally planned in the east.
  • 37. Divergence in growth Not all capitalist economies are equally successful • economic conditions: firms, private property, or markets may fail • political conditions: capitalist institutions are regulated by the government • the government also provides essential goods and services (infrastructure, education)
  • 38. Political systems Capitalism coexists with many political systems. A political system determines how governments will be selected, and how those governments will make and implement decisions. In most countries today, capitalism coexists with democracy • individual rights of citizens (e.g. freedom of speech) • fair elections But capitalism has coexisted with non-democratic systems, too.
  • 40. What is Economics? Economics is the study of how people interact with each other and with their natural surroundings in producing their livelihoods, and how this changes over time.
  • 41. Summary 1. Important trends in economic variables over time • Income inequality across regions has increased a lot over time • “Hockey-stick” growth in GDP, and its negative consequences • Technological progress helped bring about these trends 2. The adoption of capitalism was another key factor • Capitalism = Private property + Markets + Firms • Failure of these institutions can explain divergence in economic growth across countries • Political systems and the role of government also determine the type of capitalist society