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© Oliver Wyman
The Actuary’s Role in Life Insurance M&A
Professional and Valuation Topics
May 12, 2015
Guillaume Briere-Giroux, FSA, MAAA, CFA
11© Oliver Wyman
Agenda
I. Overview of North American M&A market
II. Role of life actuaries through case studies (Scott Sheefel, Wilton Re)
III. Background on actuarial appraisal value
IV. Standards of practice
V. Considerations for the actuarial appraisal
VI. Considerations for actuarial due diligence
VII. Key takeaways
2© Oliver Wyman 2
New entrants have emerged as key players in the M&A market
Acquirer/Seller (Date)
3© Oliver Wyman 3
There is still significant M&A activity by primary insurers and reinsurers
Acquirer/Seller (Date)
44© Oliver Wyman
Background on actuarial appraisal value
*PVFP is after corporate taxes
Value Component 8% 10% 12%
(1) Adjusted Net Worth (ANW) 200.0 200.0 200.0
Value of In-force (VIF)
Present Value of Future Profits (PVFP)* 153.8 133.3 117.6
Cost of Capital (CoC) (78.0) (94.3) (106.8)
(2) VIF Total 75.7 39.0 10.9
(3) Value of New Business (VNB) 27.9 9.5 (4.6)
Actuarial Appraisal Value (1) + (2) + (3) 303.6 248.5 206.3
Present Value of Distributable Earnings 303.6 248.5 206.3
Risk Discount Rate
55© Oliver Wyman
Standards of practice1
1 ASOP No. 19 (Appraisals of Casualty, Health and Life Insurance Businesses)
2 ASOP No. 7 (Analysis of Life, Health, or Property/Casualty Insurer Cash Flows)
3 ASOP No. 23 (Data Quality)
4 ASOP No. 41 (Actuarial Communications)
1 Actuaries should consider other ASOPs that may also apply
6© Oliver Wyman 6
Sample considerations for the actuarial appraisal
Projection of statutory
requirements
Level of required capital
The actuarial appraisal report should identify the data, assumptions, and methods used by the
actuary with sufficient detail such that another actuary could evaluate the reasonableness of
the actuary’s work
Discount rates
Value of options and
guarantees
New business
Expenses
Validations
Assumption setting
Modeling
Experience analysis
Sensitivities
7© Oliver Wyman 7
Sample considerations when performing actuarial due diligence
Dynamic validation
Appropriate communication and disclosures, including all reliances and limitations, are essential
due to constraints such as limited time for analysis and lack of availability of key information
Assumptions
Static validation
Earnings pattern
Sensitivities
Rollforwards
Independent modeling
88© Oliver Wyman
Key takeaways
1 Actuaries involved in M&A should consider all applicable ASOPs
2 Communication and disclosure is critical
3 M&A is an exciting professional challenge for actuaries

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ACHS Life Insurance M&A - Oliver Wyman

  • 1. © Oliver Wyman The Actuary’s Role in Life Insurance M&A Professional and Valuation Topics May 12, 2015 Guillaume Briere-Giroux, FSA, MAAA, CFA
  • 2. 11© Oliver Wyman Agenda I. Overview of North American M&A market II. Role of life actuaries through case studies (Scott Sheefel, Wilton Re) III. Background on actuarial appraisal value IV. Standards of practice V. Considerations for the actuarial appraisal VI. Considerations for actuarial due diligence VII. Key takeaways
  • 3. 2© Oliver Wyman 2 New entrants have emerged as key players in the M&A market Acquirer/Seller (Date)
  • 4. 3© Oliver Wyman 3 There is still significant M&A activity by primary insurers and reinsurers Acquirer/Seller (Date)
  • 5. 44© Oliver Wyman Background on actuarial appraisal value *PVFP is after corporate taxes Value Component 8% 10% 12% (1) Adjusted Net Worth (ANW) 200.0 200.0 200.0 Value of In-force (VIF) Present Value of Future Profits (PVFP)* 153.8 133.3 117.6 Cost of Capital (CoC) (78.0) (94.3) (106.8) (2) VIF Total 75.7 39.0 10.9 (3) Value of New Business (VNB) 27.9 9.5 (4.6) Actuarial Appraisal Value (1) + (2) + (3) 303.6 248.5 206.3 Present Value of Distributable Earnings 303.6 248.5 206.3 Risk Discount Rate
  • 6. 55© Oliver Wyman Standards of practice1 1 ASOP No. 19 (Appraisals of Casualty, Health and Life Insurance Businesses) 2 ASOP No. 7 (Analysis of Life, Health, or Property/Casualty Insurer Cash Flows) 3 ASOP No. 23 (Data Quality) 4 ASOP No. 41 (Actuarial Communications) 1 Actuaries should consider other ASOPs that may also apply
  • 7. 6© Oliver Wyman 6 Sample considerations for the actuarial appraisal Projection of statutory requirements Level of required capital The actuarial appraisal report should identify the data, assumptions, and methods used by the actuary with sufficient detail such that another actuary could evaluate the reasonableness of the actuary’s work Discount rates Value of options and guarantees New business Expenses Validations Assumption setting Modeling Experience analysis Sensitivities
  • 8. 7© Oliver Wyman 7 Sample considerations when performing actuarial due diligence Dynamic validation Appropriate communication and disclosures, including all reliances and limitations, are essential due to constraints such as limited time for analysis and lack of availability of key information Assumptions Static validation Earnings pattern Sensitivities Rollforwards Independent modeling
  • 9. 88© Oliver Wyman Key takeaways 1 Actuaries involved in M&A should consider all applicable ASOPs 2 Communication and disclosure is critical 3 M&A is an exciting professional challenge for actuaries