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波蘭、烏克蘭、俄國的三角關係
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2015年底,波蘭總統訪問烏克蘭時公開承諾會協助烏克蘭加入歐盟,究竟此事對於波蘭、烏克蘭以及他們共同的敵人兼親戚俄國會有什麼影響呢?北約組織又有什麼潛在危機呢?
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Has your project been caught in a storm of deadlines, clashing requirements, and the need to change course halfway through? If yes, then check out how the administration team navigated through all of this, relocating 160 people from 3 countries and opening 2 offices during the most turbulent time in the last 20 years. Belka Games’ Chief Administrative Officer, Katerina Rudko, will share universal approaches and life hacks that can help your project survive unstable periods when there seem to be too many tasks and a lack of time and people.
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According to the latest State of the American Manager report from Gallup, employees who have regular meetings with their managers are almost three times as likely to be engaged as those who don’t. These regular check-ins keep managers and employees in sync and aligned. Want to see better manager/employee relationships in your organisation? Then make an all-in commitment to 1:1 meetings. Not sure how? You’ve come to the right place. In this webinar with Jamie Resker, Founder and Practice Leader for Employee Performance Solutions (EPS), and Teala Wilson, Talent Management Consultant at Saba Software, you’ll get the inside track on how to hold effective 1:1 meetings, including tips for getting managers on board. • Go beyond discussing the status of everyday work to higher level topics, including recognition, performance, development, and career aspirations • Learn how to decide meeting frequency, what to cover, as well as roles and responsibilities of the manager and employee • Understand how managers can build trust and make it comfortable for employees to provide upward feedback • Unite your organisation with a unified approach to 1:1 meetings Join us for this 1-hour webinar to get practical tips for building better manager-employee relationships with intention and purpose. About the Speakers Jamie Resker - Founder and Practice Leader for Employee Performance Solutions (EPS) Jamie Resker, Practice Leader and Founder of Employee Performance Solutions, is a recognized innovator in performance management. She is the originator of the-the Performance Continuum Feedback Method® and Conversations to Optimize Employee Performance training program; tools and training that reshape communications between managers and employees to drive and align performance. Jamie is on the faculty for the Northeast Human Resources Association, is a contributor to Halogen Software's Talent Space Blog, and is an editorial advisory board member for HR Examiner. Teala Wilson - Senior Consultant, Strategic Services, Saba Software Teala is a Talent Management Consultant at Halogen Software, now a part of Saba Software. She has worked with teams on a national and global level supporting human resources in areas such as performance management, recruitment, employee benefit programs, training and talent development, workforce planning and internal communications. Teala also has a personal passion for visual arts and design. Want to learn more? Join us for an upcoming Product Tour! http://bit.ly/2yitfqu
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More than Just Lines on a Map: Best Practices for U.S Bike Routes
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Good Stuff Happens in 1:1 Meetings: Why you need them and how to do them well
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波蘭、烏克蘭、俄國的三角關係
1.
2.
歷史 HISTORY 25年前,蘇聯解體,波蘭和烏克蘭 先後獨立,然而,長時間的統治加上同屬 斯拉夫民族,使得三國就像是吵著分家的 三兄弟,表面爭吵卻又密不可分,老大實 力最強,長年欺負老二老三,特別是在老 二近幾年接觸到國外教育,開始有了新的 想法後,更是衝突不斷;老三看到老二接 觸國外後的進步,也不禁心生嚮往,然而 從小就由老大扶養成長的他,與大哥緊密 的關係使得他內心產生許多矛盾。 這裡的老大正是俄國,老二是波蘭,老三 則是烏克蘭。
3.
國防NATIONAL SECURITY 對波蘭和俄國來說,誰能成功拉 攏烏克蘭,就意味著誰能在自己的國 土旁設立緩衝區,進而降低外來勢力 的軍事威脅,對俄國來說,波蘭的背 後其實就是以美國為首的西方勢力, 一旦失去烏克蘭,美國的影響力將可 直達俄國西南方邊境,不僅國防安全 出現嚴重的風險,更可能會失去對高 加索地區的控制,而這個地區為什麼 重要,請繼續看下去。
4.
能源 ENERGY 因此,為了讓天然氣能更加穩定的輸 送到歐盟國家,俄國近年來試圖建造 數條天然氣管線通往歐洲,其中一個 重要的輸送路徑就是穿越高加索地區 旁的黑海直達保加利亞,並通往東歐 及南歐一帶,所以讓高加索地區保持 穩定,除了國防安全外,對俄國的能 源輸出戰略布局也有十分重要的影響。 在普丁的戰略中,能源輸出(特別 是天然氣)是俄國發展非常重要的一環, 歐盟的能源有超過一半從國外進口, 其中天然氣更是高度依賴俄國,因此, 只要俄國能繼續提高歐盟對它的能源 依賴,便可在增強自身實力,在國際 談判時也會有更多的籌碼,畢竟能源 不只會嚴重影響經濟,更會直接對人 民生活造成影響。
5.
政治 正如同一開始提到的,俄國和波蘭與烏 克蘭的淵源太深,因此當波蘭在加入歐盟後, 經濟快速成長、人民生活大幅改善,使得俄 國人民開始出現對於社會主義和普丁的極權 統治的反對聲音,假使和俄國相似程度更高 的烏克蘭投向西方民主與資本主義的懷抱後 也開始大幅的成長,俄國人民就會想說「國 家說烏克蘭人是我們的同胞,既然他們可以, 為什麼我們不行?」,這將會讓普丁難以阻 止國內改革的聲浪,進而威脅他的政治地位, 或許這才是普丁最害怕的事情。 POLITIC
6.
北約 NATO 最近,ISIS和歐洲難民的議題十分火熱,在 西方國家紛紛聯手俄國來打擊ISIS時,波羅的 海三小國紛紛呼籲國際不要忘記俄國在克里 米亞和喬治亞等地的惡行,並宣示不會加入 任何有俄國的聯盟,這項舉動反應了三小國 對於俄國的恐懼,許多專家的分析也都指出 三小國將會是下一個發生軍事衝突的地區, 而一旦屬於北約組織的三小國受到俄國攻擊, 根據協定,其他會員國必須出兵保護三小國, 然而,西歐國家是否會出兵受到不少人的懷 疑,即使決定出兵,可能也要經歷好幾天的 討論,為時已晚,若發展至此,歐盟國家之 間的信任將瞬間瓦解,北約組織也就不攻自 破。因此,歐盟對於烏克蘭的態度會影響三 小國的危機,三小國的危機則會影響北約組 織的存亡。
7.
我在交換時修了一門名為「波蘭與東歐關 係」的課,從這門課我學到的其中一件事就 是很多議題並不能從單一面向來看,政治、 經濟、國防、能源、文化、外交彼此常常會 有很多隱性的影響。 把地點拉回到台灣,距離選舉只剩下十天, 我們在檢視候選人的政見時,也必須全面性 地去瞭解,並強迫自己去思考這對其他領域 會有什麼影響,這樣的農業政策對外交有幫 助嗎?這樣的經濟發展又會怎麼樣影響國防 安全呢?我相信沒有一位候選人可以在每個 領域都勝出,但我們有權力也有責任去知道 他們想帶給我們什麼樣的未來。 結論 CONCLUSION
8.
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