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Weekly commodity-report by epic reseach 2 september 2013
1. MCX COMMODITY WEEKLY REPORT
EPIC Research Report
This Report contains all the study and strategy required by trader to
trade on MCX commodities. Refer to the chart attacted in the Report to
take proper Trading Decision.
Date: 02-September-2013
2. MCX Daily Newsletter (02-September-2013)
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WEEKLY COMMODITY WRAP…..!!!!!
Base metals
Recent macroeconomic numbers from China and Europe has
proved supportive for the base metals pack, whereby we have
witnessed an improvement in Chinese industrial production and
mitigation of recessionary conditions in Europe.
In China, HSBC flash PMI reading of manufacturing activity hit
a four month high in July and in the process crawled into the
expansion territory.
Improvement in the manufacturing activity has justified Chinese
Government efforts to revive the economy through stimulus
measures, including new investments in power grids and
Spending on urban infrastructure and railways. In Europe,
Markets urvey conveyed that business in the region improved
during August, aided by a rebound in German activity.
After every healthy recovery, markets have an inclination to
Witness profit taking at higher levels and the same holds
True for non-ferrous metals. Although the landscape in US
And improving conditions in China and Europe should be
Considered bullish, growing perception of Federal Reserve
Tapering the stimulus may exert downward pressure on the
Entire commodity pack.
Precious metals
Gold prices have retreated from the high of US$1,385/oz, as US
FOMC minutes gave an impression that the central bank will
Indeed start tapering the bond buying program later this year
and may also conclude the purchase program around the middle
of 2014 if economic conditions warrant.
US treasury bonds are under severe pressure, with the ten and thirty
year yields around 3% and 4% respectively. Greenback managed
resurgence against a number of currencies, with US dollar index
reclaiming 81.5 levels.
In physical markets, US Mint reported that demand for
gold coins plunged in recent weeks. Total sales of American Eagle
gold bullion coins during the first two weeks of August stood
at 3,000 ounces, well below the 39,000 ounces during August
2012.
Recent FOMC policy minutes have inculcated a belief among
The market participants that tapering is inevitable, however
The timing of the tightening may vary. Uncertainty may
Prevail but market consensus conveys that apex bank will
Moderately scale back during September. Fed has to start
Somewhere and September policy meeting is deemed to
be the period whereby the tapering process can eventually
Start.
In event of such a scenario, greenback will witness
Resurgence and effectuate a slide in precious metals. Gold
Prices will remain range bound during the next few weeks
Until we get more clarity from the September Fed meeting.
5. MCX Daily Newsletter (02-September-2013)
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MCX BULLIONS DAILY TECHNICAL LEVELS
GOLD MCX DAILY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
GOLD MCX as predicted last week touched 35000 levels. For thic week we may see support around 32400 levels and may see turn around from those levels. Alternatively
we may see selling below 31900 levels. GOLD COMEX if Sustains avove 1425$ may enter Bullish Zone. And USDINR May see Support Around 65$.
Immedaite Resistance @33830 and Support @32480
1. Buy GOLD MCX above 33850 TGT 34000/34300 SL 31500
2. Sell GOLD MCX below 32300 TGT 32000/31700 SL 32700
6. MCX Daily Newsletter (02-September-2013)
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SILVER MCX DAILY CANDLESTICK CHART
TRADING STRATEGY:
SILVER MCX is trading very volatile. We have already seen Selling from Higher levels from around 59000 levels. Now We may See Some Consolidation this week. Hence Sell
on Rise around higher Resistance levels @57775 are suggested. And buying may be seen at lower support levels @53100.
Immedaite Resistance @55400 and Support @53100
1. BUY SILVER MCX above 55500 TGT 56000/56500 SL 55000
2. SELL SILVER MCX Below 53000 TGT 52500/52000 SL 54000
7. MCX Daily Newsletter (02-September-2013)
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