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   Measuring	
  the	
  Public	
  Health	
  Impacts	
  of	
  Air	
  
   Pollu8on	
  in	
  Minnesota	
  
   	
  
   	
  


Barbara	
  P.	
  	
  Yawn,	
  MD	
  MSc	
  
Director	
  of	
  Research	
  
Olmsted	
  Medical	
  Center	
  
Rochester,	
  MN	
  
byawn@olmmed.org	
  
Air	
  pollu)on	
  affects	
  en)re	
  popula)ons	
  
¥    Suscep)ble	
  popula)on	
  is	
  growing	
  
                                                                                           2004	
  
       ¥    Aging	
  popula)on	
  
       ¥    Increasing	
  obesity,	
  diabetes	
  rates	
  
¥    Effects	
  observed	
  in	
  children	
  
       ¥    Lung	
  development	
                                                         2009	
  

       ¥    Asthma	
  exacerba)ons	
  
¥               Even	
  very	
  small	
  increases	
  associated	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  with	
  disease	
  and	
  death	
  
                                                                            Obesity	
  in	
  MN	
  
PM2.5	
  pyramid	
  of	
  health	
  effects	
  

                                    	
  
                                  Death	
  

                               Hospital	
  
                              admissions	
  
                          Emergency	
  room	
  
                               visits	
  
                             Doctor	
  visits	
  
                  Asthma	
  aOacks,	
  medica8on	
  
                          use,	
  symptoms	
  
              Lung	
  func8on	
  changes,	
  immune	
  cell	
  
                responses,	
  heart	
  rate	
  variability	
  
                             responses	
  
Fine	
  par)cle	
  pollu)on:	
  PM2.5	
  
Air	
  pollu)on	
  epidemiology	
  studies	
  

¥  Health	
  impacts	
  are	
  measurable	
  

¥  Large	
  body	
  of	
  evidence	
  –	
  PM2.5	
  

¥  Respiratory	
  and	
  cardiovascular	
  effects	
  

¥  Long-­‐term	
  effects	
  à	
  increased	
  risk	
  

¥  Short-­‐term	
  effects	
  à	
  triggering/exacerba)ons	
  

¥  Effects	
  observed	
  even	
  at	
  low	
  concentra)ons	
  
AQI:	
  Number	
  of	
  unhealthy	
  air	
  days	
  in	
  MN	
  




                                   Source:	
  MN	
  Pollu)on	
  Control	
  	
  Agency	
  
Improving	
  air,	
  preven)ng	
  deaths	
  
¥    Air	
  quality	
                                                             MN	
  (2006)	
  
      improvement	
  
      scenarios	
  
                                                                           5	
  
¥    Es)mated	
  number	
  
      of	
  prevented	
  deaths	
  

¥    10%	
  reduc)on	
  PM2.5	
                                                     78	
  	
  
      concentra)ons	
                                                                (MSP	
  metro)	
  


¥    BenMAP	
  soUware	
  
                                                                           4	
  

                                      Source:	
  CDC	
  Environmental	
  Public	
  Health	
  Tracking	
  
Air	
  pollu)on	
  and	
  health	
  research	
  in	
  MN	
  

¥  Purpose:	
  method/indicator	
  development	
  
         ¥  Local	
  area	
  analyses	
  
         ¥  Using	
  local	
  sources	
  of	
  data	
  


¥  Track	
  health	
  effects	
  associated	
  with	
  changes	
  in	
  
        air	
  quality	
  in	
  MSP	
  and	
  Olmsted	
  during	
  
	
  
        2003-­‐2009	
  
         ¥  Fine	
  par)culate	
  maaer	
  pollu)on	
  (PM2.5)	
  
         ¥  Hospitaliza)ons	
  and	
  mortality	
  

               ¥    Respiratory	
  ,	
  cardiovascular	
  
MN	
  air	
  pollu)on	
  reduc)on	
  ini)a)ves	
  
        ¥     Minnesota	
  Emissions	
  Reduc)on	
  Project	
  (MERP)	
  

        ¥    Diesel	
  retrofits	
  	
  
               ¥    School	
  buses;	
  heavy	
  duty	
  public	
  vehicles	
  
               ¥    Project	
  Green	
  Fleet	
  

        ¥    Other	
  local	
  ini)a)ves	
  
               ¥    An)-­‐idling	
  ordinances	
  
               ¥    Go	
  Greener	
  Ini)a)ve	
  (Met	
  Council)	
  

        ¥    Na)onal	
  ini)a)ves	
  
               ¥    Ultra	
  Low	
  Sulfur	
  Diesel	
  Fuel	
  Rule	
  
               ¥    Heavy	
  Duty	
  Diesel	
  Regula)ons	
  
               ¥    Transport	
  Rule	
  
Measuring	
  impacts	
  using	
  local	
  area	
  data	
  	
  



                        Reduc8ons	
  in	
      Reduc8ons	
  in	
  
   Regulatory	
  
                         Popula8on	
             Adverse	
  
    or	
  Policy	
  
                         Exposures	
             	
  Health	
  
    Changes	
  
                                                Outcomes	
  

                       •  PM2.5	
  	
  	
     •  Respiratory	
  diseases	
  
                                              •  Cardiovascular	
  disease	
  
                                              •  Hospitaliza)ons	
  and	
  
                                                 Deaths	
  
Source:	
  MN	
  Pollu)on	
  Control	
  Agency	
  
MN	
  air	
  pollu)on	
  health	
  impacts	
  over	
  )me	
  

                                             	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Amount	
  aOributable	
  to	
  PM2.5	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Hospitaliza8ons	
   Time	
  period	
  
                                             	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Percent	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  #	
  hosp./yr	
  
Total	
  respiratory	
     2003-­‐2005	
                         3.0%	
                                                             354	
  
                           2006-­‐2007	
                         2.6%	
                                                             309	
  
                           2008-­‐2009	
                           -­‐-­‐	
                                                          -­‐-­‐	
  
COPD	
  +	
  asthma	
      2003-­‐2005	
                         3.3%	
                                                             154	
  
                           2006-­‐2007	
                         2.9%	
                                                             140	
  
                           2008-­‐2009	
                           -­‐-­‐	
                                                          -­‐-­‐	
  
Asthma	
                   2003-­‐2005	
                         3.8%	
                                                               92	
  
                           2006-­‐2007	
                           -­‐-­‐	
                                                           -­‐-­‐	
  
                           2008-­‐2009	
                           -­‐-­‐	
                                                           -­‐-­‐	
  
PM2.5	
  pyramid	
  of	
  health	
  effects	
  
                                   	
  
                                 Death	
  

                               Hospital	
  
                              admissions	
  

                             Doctor	
  visits	
  

                 Asthma	
  aaacks,	
  medica)on	
  
                      use,	
  symptoms	
  
            Lung	
  func)on	
  changes,	
  immune	
  cell	
  
             responses,	
  heart	
  rate	
  or	
  variability	
  
                            responses	
  
Air	
  pollu)on	
  and	
  health	
  research	
  in	
  MN	
  


 Traffic	
  and	
  Asthma	
  in	
  Olmsted	
  County	
  
 ¥  High	
  traffic	
  areas	
  associated	
  with	
  increased	
  asthma	
  
     exacerba)ons	
  in	
  Olmsted	
  County	
  
 ¥  Associa)on	
  remained	
  aUer	
  adjus)ng	
  for	
  poverty	
  
Summary	
  
¥    Air	
  pollu)on	
  affects	
  health	
  even	
  at	
  low	
  levels	
  
¥    Air	
  pollu)on	
  affects	
  en)re	
  popula)ons	
  
       ¥    Impact	
  on	
  a	
  growing	
  number	
  of	
  suscep)ble	
  
             people	
  
¥    All	
  regions	
  of	
  MN	
  experience	
  poor	
  air	
  quality	
  
BUT…	
  

	
   MN	
  has	
  been	
  making	
  improvements	
  in	
  air	
  quality	
  
¥ 


	
   Con)nued	
  efforts	
  will	
  lead	
  to	
  a	
  healthier	
  MN	
  
¥ 

	
  
Project	
  Team	
  
MN	
  Dept.	
  of	
  Health	
          MN	
  Pollu8on	
  Control	
  Agency	
     Olmsted	
  Medical	
  Center	
  
    Jean	
  Johnson	
                        Greg	
  PraO	
  	
                         Barbara	
  Yawn	
  
    Chuck	
  Stroebel	
                      Kari	
  Palmer	
                           Peter	
  Wollan	
  	
  
    Allan	
  Williams	
                      Margaret	
  McCourtney	
            	
  
    Naomi	
  Shinoda	
                       Cassie	
  McMahon	
  
    Wendy	
  Brunner	
                       Lisa	
  Herschberger	
  
    Paula	
  Lindgren	
  




                                  Measuring	
  the	
  Impact	
  of	
  Fine	
  Par)cles:	
  
                                  hap://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/hpcd/cdee/airquality.html	
  
                                  	
  

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Yawn - Measuring the Public Health Impacts of Air Pollution in Minnesota

  • 1.   Measuring  the  Public  Health  Impacts  of  Air   Pollu8on  in  Minnesota       Barbara  P.    Yawn,  MD  MSc   Director  of  Research   Olmsted  Medical  Center   Rochester,  MN   byawn@olmmed.org  
  • 2. Air  pollu)on  affects  en)re  popula)ons   ¥  Suscep)ble  popula)on  is  growing   2004   ¥  Aging  popula)on   ¥  Increasing  obesity,  diabetes  rates   ¥  Effects  observed  in  children   ¥  Lung  development   2009   ¥  Asthma  exacerba)ons   ¥  Even  very  small  increases  associated              with  disease  and  death   Obesity  in  MN  
  • 3. PM2.5  pyramid  of  health  effects     Death   Hospital   admissions   Emergency  room   visits   Doctor  visits   Asthma  aOacks,  medica8on   use,  symptoms   Lung  func8on  changes,  immune  cell   responses,  heart  rate  variability   responses  
  • 5. Air  pollu)on  epidemiology  studies   ¥  Health  impacts  are  measurable   ¥  Large  body  of  evidence  –  PM2.5   ¥  Respiratory  and  cardiovascular  effects   ¥  Long-­‐term  effects  à  increased  risk   ¥  Short-­‐term  effects  à  triggering/exacerba)ons   ¥  Effects  observed  even  at  low  concentra)ons  
  • 6. AQI:  Number  of  unhealthy  air  days  in  MN   Source:  MN  Pollu)on  Control    Agency  
  • 7. Improving  air,  preven)ng  deaths   ¥  Air  quality   MN  (2006)   improvement   scenarios   5   ¥  Es)mated  number   of  prevented  deaths   ¥  10%  reduc)on  PM2.5   78     concentra)ons   (MSP  metro)   ¥  BenMAP  soUware   4   Source:  CDC  Environmental  Public  Health  Tracking  
  • 8. Air  pollu)on  and  health  research  in  MN   ¥  Purpose:  method/indicator  development   ¥  Local  area  analyses   ¥  Using  local  sources  of  data   ¥  Track  health  effects  associated  with  changes  in   air  quality  in  MSP  and  Olmsted  during     2003-­‐2009   ¥  Fine  par)culate  maaer  pollu)on  (PM2.5)   ¥  Hospitaliza)ons  and  mortality   ¥  Respiratory  ,  cardiovascular  
  • 9. MN  air  pollu)on  reduc)on  ini)a)ves   ¥  Minnesota  Emissions  Reduc)on  Project  (MERP)   ¥  Diesel  retrofits     ¥  School  buses;  heavy  duty  public  vehicles   ¥  Project  Green  Fleet   ¥  Other  local  ini)a)ves   ¥  An)-­‐idling  ordinances   ¥  Go  Greener  Ini)a)ve  (Met  Council)   ¥  Na)onal  ini)a)ves   ¥  Ultra  Low  Sulfur  Diesel  Fuel  Rule   ¥  Heavy  Duty  Diesel  Regula)ons   ¥  Transport  Rule  
  • 10. Measuring  impacts  using  local  area  data     Reduc8ons  in   Reduc8ons  in   Regulatory   Popula8on   Adverse   or  Policy   Exposures    Health   Changes   Outcomes   •  PM2.5       •  Respiratory  diseases   •  Cardiovascular  disease   •  Hospitaliza)ons  and   Deaths  
  • 11. Source:  MN  Pollu)on  Control  Agency  
  • 12. MN  air  pollu)on  health  impacts  over  )me            Amount  aOributable  to  PM2.5             Hospitaliza8ons   Time  period                Percent                                #  hosp./yr   Total  respiratory   2003-­‐2005   3.0%   354   2006-­‐2007   2.6%   309   2008-­‐2009   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐   COPD  +  asthma   2003-­‐2005   3.3%   154   2006-­‐2007   2.9%   140   2008-­‐2009   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐   Asthma   2003-­‐2005   3.8%   92   2006-­‐2007   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐   2008-­‐2009   -­‐-­‐   -­‐-­‐  
  • 13. PM2.5  pyramid  of  health  effects     Death   Hospital   admissions   Doctor  visits   Asthma  aaacks,  medica)on   use,  symptoms   Lung  func)on  changes,  immune  cell   responses,  heart  rate  or  variability   responses  
  • 14. Air  pollu)on  and  health  research  in  MN   Traffic  and  Asthma  in  Olmsted  County   ¥  High  traffic  areas  associated  with  increased  asthma   exacerba)ons  in  Olmsted  County   ¥  Associa)on  remained  aUer  adjus)ng  for  poverty  
  • 15. Summary   ¥  Air  pollu)on  affects  health  even  at  low  levels   ¥  Air  pollu)on  affects  en)re  popula)ons   ¥  Impact  on  a  growing  number  of  suscep)ble   people   ¥  All  regions  of  MN  experience  poor  air  quality   BUT…     MN  has  been  making  improvements  in  air  quality   ¥    Con)nued  efforts  will  lead  to  a  healthier  MN   ¥   
  • 16. Project  Team   MN  Dept.  of  Health   MN  Pollu8on  Control  Agency   Olmsted  Medical  Center   Jean  Johnson   Greg  PraO     Barbara  Yawn   Chuck  Stroebel   Kari  Palmer   Peter  Wollan     Allan  Williams   Margaret  McCourtney     Naomi  Shinoda   Cassie  McMahon   Wendy  Brunner   Lisa  Herschberger   Paula  Lindgren   Measuring  the  Impact  of  Fine  Par)cles:   hap://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/hpcd/cdee/airquality.html