The document analyzes crime rates in different neighborhoods in Minneapolis from 2000-2013. It finds that crime rates are generally highest in the summer months and lowest in winter. The neighborhood with the most frequent crime, Downtown West, has darker shading on the map indicating higher crime rates. Graphs of crime rates in the neighborhoods show peaks in summer and lower rates in winter. While most years follow this pattern, some have higher fall crime rates. The analysis concludes that the data supports the hypothesis that summer has the highest crime rates compared to other seasons.
2. Introduction
It is important to know if there are higher
crime rates in the summer than any other
seasons and the lower crime rates occur in
the winter months. The data shown contains
trends of how frequent crime occurs in the
respective seasons.
3. • RESEARCH QUESTION
• What season has the highest crime rates?
• Which season has the lowest crime rates?
• Which areas in Minneapolis have the most
crimes?
4. Data
The crime rates shown focus on certain
neighborhoods in Minneapolis, each of them
from a different region. They essentially
show where the most crime rates are taking
place.
5. Data
• Six neighborhoods were selected when
gathering the data. Each neighborhood is a
sample from a different sector in
Minneapolis.
8. Data
• The selected neighborhoods were
organized into a ranking system which
indicates the frequency of crime rates. The
greater the frequency, the darker the color
is.
• The following map provides an indication
of this ranking system.
11. Data
• The graphs in the subsequent slides show
the crime rates and average temperatures
throughout the seasons. They show the
patterns of the crime rates that occur
seasonally.
13. Crime Rate 2006-2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
W 2006 Sp 2006 Su 2006 F 2006 W 2007 Sp 2007 Su 2007 F 2007 W 2008 Sp 2008 Su 2008 F 2008 W 2009 Sp 2009 Su 2009 F 2009 W 2010 Sp 2010 Su 2010 F 2010
Hawthorne
Holland
Marcy-Holmes
Downtown West
Whittier
Longfellow
Average Temp
15. Analysis
• This map is a layout of Minneapolis. The
neighborhoods where the data was
obtained are a different color from the
majority.
• This map shows which selected
neighborhoods have higher crime rates,
with the darker colors representing the
highest rates and the lighter colors
representing the lower rates.
16. Analysis
• The graphs shown represent the crime
rates of the different neighborhoods. One
can see that the crime rates tend to peak in
the summer most of the time, as well as
the lower crime rates occurring during the
winter.
17. Analysis
• The neighborhood with the most frequent
crime rates was Downtown West.
• The neighborhood with the fewest crime
rates was Holland.
18. Conclusion
My findings have noticed that most of the
time, crime rates are higher during the
summer months than most of the other
seasons. There were some years that had the
fall rates have more crime rates. The Winter
months have been proven to be the least
active for crime rates.
19. Conclusion
• In the end, this project was mostly
successful because the data provided the
data needed to support the thesis.
20. References
• Andresen, M. A. and Malleson, N. 2013. Crime Seasonality and its variations across space.
• Applied Geography 43: 25-35.
•
• Biermann, T., Asemann, R., McAuliffe, C., Strobel, A., Keller, J., Sperling, W., Bleich, S.,
• Kornhuber, J., and Reulbach, U. 2009. Relationship between lunar phases and serious crimes of battery: a population-based study.
Comprehensive Psychiatry 50 (6): 573-577.
•
• Bushman, B., Wang, M., Anderson, C. 2005. Is the Curve Relating Temperature to Agression
• Linear or Curvliniear? Assaults and Temperature in Minneapolis Reexamined. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 89 (1): 62-66.
•
• Carbone-Lopez, K. and Lauritsen, J. 2013. Seasonal variation in violent victimization:
• Opportunity and the annual rhythm of the school calendar. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 29 (3): 399-422.
•
• Cohn, E., and Rotton, J. 2000. Weather, Seasonal trends and property crimes in Minneapolis,
• 1987-1988. A moderator-variable time-series analysis of routine activities. Journal of Environmental Psychology 20 (3): 257-272.
•
• Hipp, J., Bauer, D., Curran, P., and Bollen, K. 2004. Crimes of Opportunity or Crimes of
• Emotion? Testing Two Explanations of Seasonal Change in Crime. Social Forces 82 (4): 1333-1372.
•
• Mares, D. 2013. Climate change and crime: monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies
• and crime rates in St. Louis, MO 1990-2009. Crime, Law and Social Change 59 (2): 185-208.
•
• McDowall, D., Loftin, C., Pate, M. 2012. Seasonal cycles in crime, and their variability. Journal
• of Quantitative Criminology. 28 (3): 389-410.
•
• Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension. Criminal Justice Data Reporting. 2015.
• https://dps.mn.gov/divisions/bca/bca-divisions/mnjis/Pages/uniform-crime-reports.aspx
•
• Rock, D., Greenberg, D., and Hallmayer, J. 2003. Cyclical changes in homicide rates: a
• reanalysis of Brearley’s 1932 data. Journal of Interpersonal Violence 18 (8): 942.
•
• Schafer, J. Varano, S., Jarvis, J., Cancino, J. 2010. Bad moon on the rise? Lunar cycles and
• incidents of crime. Journal of Criminal Justice. 38 (4): 359-367.
•
• Uniform Crime Reports–City of Minneapolis. 2015.
• http://www.minneapolismn.gov/police/statistics/WCMS1P-104396