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Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
KENYA
TOWARDS AN INSTITUTIONALIZED
INDUSTRIAL POLICY FRAMEWORK
Kenya’s industrial policy is contained in the National Industrial
Policy 2011–2015 and the country’s long term development
framework Vision 2030 which aims to foster industrialization and
a robust, diversified and globally competitive manufacturing
sectorby2030.Thisistobeachievedthroughimprovedindustrial
infrastructure,enhancedaccesstofinancialservicesandmarkets,
especiallyforsmallandmediumindustries,increasedvalueaddi-
tion in the agricultural and natural resource sectors, intensified
researchanddevelopment,innovationandtechnologyadoption
as well as technical and managerial skills upgrading in domestic
firms.
Historically, government efforts to spur industrialization through
the import substitution policy and structural adjustment
programs did not lead to significant industrial development. Not
only was the country’s industrial base eroded, but the high levels
of protectionist in favour of domestic industries, high tariffs on
imports, foreign exchange controls and overvalued exchanged
rates contributed to declining industrial output and lack of
competitiveness. In addition, the country did not have a clear
long term industrial policy framework. With the failure of these
interventions, Kenya adopted an export-oriented industrializa-
tion strategy, which offered incentives for encouraging indus-
tries to produce for exports. This new policy aimed to improve
efficiency, stimulate private investment and increase the sector’s
foreign exchange earnings. The trade liberalization measures to
encourage export production included removing quantitative
restrictions, reducing tariffs and establishing a more flexible
exchange rate regime.
KENYA’S MANUFACTURING HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PROMOTE
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION,
JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE
GROWTH
Manufacturing constitutes one of the economy’s key sectors,
although its performance has declined in the last few years. It
grew by 4.5 per cent in 2010 and 3.3 per cent in 2011. In terms
of job creation, manufacturing contributed 12.9 per cent of total
wage employment in 2011 and some 2.5 million private sector
jobs (about 17 per cent of jobs in the private sector), compared
with 281,000 public sector jobs (just 4 per cent of jobs in the
public sector). Manufacturing is expected to help propel the
economy to a 10 per cent growth rate, envisaged in Vision 2030,
as well as realize other development goals like creating jobs,
generatingforeignexchangeandattractingforeigndirectinvest-
ment.However,thishingesonthecapacityoftheStatetoformu-
late, implement and monitor coherent industrial policies which
promote competitiveness, raise productivity and strengthen
local production capacities.
KENYA HAS INITIATED THE RE
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES TO
HIGH PRODUCTIVE ACTIVITIES AND
SECTORS
In order to foster structural transformation, increase productivity
and raise incomes, Kenya has adopted industrial strategies to
develop niche products based on its comparative advantage. As
stipulated in the Vision 2030, Kenya aims to increase the produc-
tion of manufactured and value added products by 20 per cent,
increase the share of locally produced industrial components
and spare parts by 25 per cent, and the share of manufac-
turing in micro, small and medium enterprise output by 20 per
cent. Acknowledging the need to foster backward and forward
linkages, the country also aims to increase the local content of
manufactured goods for exports to at least 60 per cent.
INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES ARE
CONSTRAINING THE GROWTH OF
KENYA’S MANUFACTURING SECTOR
Despitethesectorsimportance,itsdecliningperformancecanbe
attributedtoseveralkeychallenges.First,lackofcompetitiveness
has diminished the sector’s role and businesses have to contend
with high input and energy costs, low productivity levels and
limited linkages with other sectors. Low levels of coordination
between different ministries and industrial policy organization
has resulted in heavy regulation and affected the ease of doing
business. In addition, dumping of sub-standard imports and
counterfeit goods into the domestic market is making it unfa-
vourable for local manufacturers to compete while the high cost
of imported intermediate capital goods and spare parts increase
production costs. Other impediments include low domestic and
foreign investments, the use of inappropriate industrial technol-
ogies, the low state of physical infrastructure, limited access to
finance and inadequate research and development. To this end,
Kenya has adopted several industrial policy tools to address
these constrains and spur industrialization.
DEVELOPMENT OF A COHERENT
INDUSTRIAL POLICY FRAMEWORK
Kenya has institutionalized its industrialization strategy, priori-
ties, targets, actions and implementation plans in its Vision 2030
and NIP development frameworks. However, there is need to
promote stronger coordination between government minis-
tries, and industrial policy institutions (IPOs) such as the Kenya
National Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the Kenya Private
Sector Alliance and the Federation of Kenyan Employers. This is
vital in eliminating overlapping and conflicting mandates. Also,
it is crucial to ensure that IPOs are dynamic and constantly adapt
to the changing needs of the industrial sector. Enhancing stra-
tegic collaboration and dialogue with key stakeholders as well as
heighten political commitment and private sector participation
in industrial policy design and implementation remains vital.
EMBRACING REGIONAL GROWTH
STRATEGIES TO ADDRESS EXISTING
INFRASTRUCTURAL DEFICITS
Kenya has also adopted the growth pole strategy and it aims
to develop at least 2 Special Economic Zones and 5 Industrial
Parks to foster industrial production. It also aims to increase the
share of industries located outside major urban centres to 50 per
cent. In partnership with its neighbouring countries, Kenya has
initiated the Lamu Port–South Sudan–Ethiopia Transport Devel-
opment Corridor Project in order to enhance transport connec-
tivity, increase cross-border trade and competitiveness, as well
as facilitate international trade by linking domestic markets to
international ones.
MOBILIZING FINANCIAL RESOURCES
TO BRIDGE THE FINANCING GAP
CONSTRAININGINDUSTRIALIZATION
Giventhecostlynatureofindustrializationandtheneedtomobi-
lize domestic and foreign investments, the government intends
to establish an Industrial Development Fund for long term
financing as well as increase the share of FDI in industrial sectors
by 10 per cent.
ENHANCING TECHNOLOGICAL
INNOVATION TO BOOST REGIONAL
AND DOMESTIC COMPETITIVENESS
IN MANUFACTURED EXPORTS
In order to improve domestic productive capabilities, the
government is enhancing technology accumulation by boosting
science, technology and innovation in manufacturing as well
as increasing investments in research and development. This is
expected to raise the share of Kenyan exports in the regional
market from the current 7 per cent to 15 per cent by 2030.
Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
MAURITIUS
FROM MONO-CROP ECONOMY TO
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRY
Mauritius has transformed itself from a low-income mono-crop
economy to a middle-income country, and is now one of the
most successful African countries. The country’s exports were
heavily concentrated in the sugar, textile and garment sectors
(accounting for over 80 per cent of total exports in the 1980s).
With private investment from the boom of sugar prices in the
1980s, coupled with thoughtful and forward-looking govern-
ment strategies (geared towards major investment in educa-
tion and infrastructure), Mauritius has successfully moved from
dependence on a few products to a relatively well-diversified
economy, with tourism and services emerging as major contrib-
utors to export growth.
The inception of the industrial zone in the 1970s has brought
about positive contributions towards its macroeconomic indica-
tors.Aftermorethan40years,thecontributionofmanufacturing
has changed significantly. In 2012, manufacturing accounted for
18 per cent of GDP. Infact, the success of the Mauritian economy
can be largely attributed to its trade openness, given its small
domestic market. To that end, the local economy has been
growing almost consistently at 5 per cent since its indepen-
dence,withGDPpercapitarisingfrom$260in1968tomorethan
$6,000 in 2011.
This commendable economic performance has been attributed
to sound economic and, more particularly, well-conceived and
appropriate industrial policies. Since independence, ,Mauritius
pursued a progressive industrial development policy, despite
its agrarian dependence and history. Earlier incentives in manu-
facturing were built on income tax ordinances, which allowed
generous fiscal incentives to promote import substitution indus-
tries and to attract new enterprises considered beneficial to
Mauritius’s economic development. More recent industrial poli-
cies aim to move away from incentive-driven processes to create
clear, transparent and rule-based processes and procedures for
investing in Mauritius and improve the investment climate.
SUCCESS OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY
LINKED TO PROMOTING HIGH LEVEL
COORDINATION AND PUBLIC-
PRIVATE DIALOGUE, AMONGST
OTHERS
Continual government efforts to involve public and private
stakeholders in discussions on formulating and executing indus-
trial policies have contributed to the unique success the country
has registered. Behind the industrial strategy of the manufac-
turing sector lies a network of government and private sector
institutions responsible for elaborating policies, negotiating
internationally, laying out export promotion programmes and
implementing agreements and decisions.
Through regular contacts, their representatives are capable of
monitoring the performance, constraints and opportunities of
current and future production activities. Such close cooperation
between government and private sector is fairly unique, made
possible through structured dialogue. The main bodies are the
Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Consumer Protection, the
Board of Investment, the Development Bank of Mauritius, the
Mauritius Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MCCI), and the
Mauritius Export Association (MEXA). Of these, the first three
are government and public authorities and MCCI and MEXA are
private organisations. Other institutions have also been created
as necessary to support effective implementation and the evolu-
tion of these institutions has been driven by careful evaluation of
their performance each year.
These structured forms of dialogues exist in three parts. First are
the regular meetings between government ministries directly
concerned with the country’s economic development, the
presidents and directors of the main private sector institutions,
including weekly cabinet meetings to ensure inter-ministerial
coordination. Second, sees the presence of private sector repre-
sentativessittingasfull-fledgedmembersonahostofpublicand
parastatal bodies in charge of running investment and export
promotion programmes, elaborating national economic devel-
opment strategies and outlining strategies and stands to be
adopted. Third, Mauritius’s core private institutions have repre-
sentatives in European offices and at the World Trade Organisa-
tion. These multiple levels of regular public-private interactions
allow for informed policy decisions and it is little wonder why
Mauritius is one of Africa’s success stories.
RESPONDING TO THE CHANGING
NEEDS OF INDUSTRY – MAURITIUS
BOARD OF INVESTMENT (BOI)
Industrialisation is not a costless process and attracting sustain-
able investment is vital for Mauritius to achieve its industrial
policy goals. This objective forms a central role that the BOI, set
upin2001followingtheInvestmentPromotionAct2001,playsin
industrial development. BOI seeks to attract“sustainable invest-
ment”and it achieves success largely through the flexibility and
adaptabilityofitsleadershipindevelopingstrategiesthatadjusts
to a changing business climate.Through close coordination with
private sector stakeholders, goal setting is heavily influenced
by the changing needs of domestic business as well as global
conditions. Mauritius has benefited from this dynamism, having
witnessed the influx of foreign direct investments from a diverse
range of markets, including non-traditional markets such as the
Middle East, China and Russia. Not resting on its laurels, BOI has
also altered its internal structures to better market Mauritius to
potential investors and is currently in the process of moving to a
cluster-based sales team approach.
SUPPORTING SMALL AND MEDIUM
ENTERPRISES (SMES) TO COUNTER
MARKET FAILURES
Recognising that the industrial sector faced the key challenges
of low technology adoption and innovation, Mauritian govern-
ment created the Small and Medium Enterprises Development
Authority (SMEDA) to ‘facilitate the promotion, development
and competitiveness of small and medium enterprises (SME).
SMEDA’s objectives centre on equipping existing SMEs with the
technical and innovative capabilities to raise productivity, effi-
ciency and profitability.
ANTICIPATING FUTURE GROWTH
CHALLENGES
Notwithstanding the notable success, the country faces some
challenges.Risingproductioncosts,logisticconstraintsandlackof
capabilities in ancillary services constitute major hurdles. Interna-
tionally,manufacturingisfacingasharptransitionfromdepending
on trade preferences and tariff protection to competing glob-
ally.. To mitigate potential adverse impact on future growth,
the government’s new strategy centres on an entrepreneurial
and innovation-led model of industrial development, driven
by innovation and technology, high-tech investment, product
and market diversification, green production, value addition,
improved response time, sustainable development, synergized
support services and a dynamic regional and multilateral trade
policy, among critical factors. The government has also intro-
duced the Economic and Social Transformation Plan, which lays
out the policies and strategies for Mauritius to become a high-in-
come country over the next 10 years. In addition, over the last
few years, policies to promote new sectors (land-based oceanic
activities, hospitality and property development, healthcare and
biomedical activities, and the knowledge hub, among others)
have been promulgated. These sectors will help diversify and
expand the export base.
Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
NIGERIA
NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIALISATION AND
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS
From independence in 1960 to date, successive administra-
tions in Nigeria have made efforts at industrialization, but their
attempts have not been very successful in propelling the manu-
facturingsectorasexpected.Hencein2009,itadoptedtheVision
20:2020 plan designed to propel the country to be among the
top 20 economies in the world by 2020 through technologically
driven and globally competitive manufacturing sector with a
high level of local content and contribution to GDP. It identified
five subsectors as priority areas: chemicals and pharmaceuticals;
basic metal, iron and steel and fabricated metal; food, beverages
and tobacco; textiles, wearing apparel and leather and leather
footwear;andnon-metallicmineralproducts.Thesepriorityareas
are believed to represent segments of the manufacturing sector
where Nigeria has or can easily develop comparative advantage.
They have the highest potential to provide raw material for other
key industries in the longer term. The manufacturing sector is
expected to be private sector driven with government providing
the enabling environment that would enhance operating effi-
ciency, productivity and profitability. In this regard sectoral plans
have also been developed to encourage local production of
such commodities as sugar, cement and automobiles in order to
reduce imports and boost youth employment.
However, so far these plans have not been very effective as
evidenced by the still tiny contribution of manufacturing to GDP.
CHALLENGES TO POLICY
IMPLEMENTATION FOR NIGERIA’S
INDUSTRIALIZATION
While successive administrations from independence in 1960
to date have made elaborate efforts for industrialization, their
attemptshavenotbeenveryeffectiveowinglargelytounderlying
issues in industrial policy structure - poor coordination among
actors, weak private sector participation, inadequate support
for industrial policy organizations and major gaps in support
of the private sector efforts in industry. Nigeria’s travails lead to
policy institutions that are disconnected from the private sector,
with inefficient communication. All of this is also evidenced by
the low contribution of the sector to gross domestic product in
the last decade which has been hovering below 5 per cent since
1999. The sector remains structurally impaired due to pervasive
growth-inhibiting factors and a myriad of challenges. Industrial
policy organizations do not receive adequate support from their
supervising ministry, and do not have the capacity adequately
support the growth of the private sector. Another drawback is
poor implementation of existing plans. Observers also point at
under funding of relevant institutions with inadequate human
capacity and skills. All of these, together with the inadequate
infrastructure,poortechnologicalsupportandlowlevelsofinno-
vation often result in the production of low quality goods.
FOSTERING INDUSTRIALIZATION -
NIGERIAN INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
PLAN
The challenges confronting the industrial sector prompted the
government to launch the Nigerian Industrial Revolution Plan
(NIRP) and the Nigerian Enterprise Development Programme
(NEDEP) in February 2014. The thrust of NIRP is to increase the
contribution of manufacturing to over 15 per cent over a five
year period and limit age-long constraints that have persistently
been against the development of the manufacturing sector,
while NEDEP strives to place micro, small and medium enter-
prises at the centre of Nigeria’s National Economic Policy. The
NIRP focuses on developing industrial sectors where Nigeria
has a natural comparative advantage such as agribusiness, solid
minerals, and oil and gas. The enablers targeted by the plan are
financing, skills development, innovation, infrastructure, busi-
nessenvironment,enforcementofstandards,andincreasedlocal
patronage.
STRENGTHENING INDUSTRIAL
POLICY EFFECTIVENESS
With an elaborate set of industrial policy organizations, strength-
ening high-level coordination and improving coherence is
essential for improving industrial policy effectiveness in Nigeria.
Effective industrial policy institutions reflect apex coordinating
bodies that incorporate private sector inputs, provide system-
atic coordination and encourage super-ministerial collaboration.
Nigeria needs to move industrial policies from its current focus
on specific sectors to a comprehensive industrial policy that will
articulate the broad vision and direction of industrialization and
structural transformation. However, the success of its policies
rests on effective engagement with key stakeholders and the
presence of high-level coordination.
Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
RWANDA
ROBUST GROWTH AND INDUSTRIAL
PERFORMANCE
Rwanda’s growth over the period 2008–2012 exceeded ambi-
tious expectations as real GDP growth averaged 8.1 per cent
annually, translating into GDP per capita growth averaging 5 per
cent per year. Construction is the largest industrial sub-sector,
with 7 per cent of total GDP or 52 per cent of industrial output
in 2010, up from 41 per cent in 2002. Manufacturing makes up
43 per cent of industrial output and with also 7 per cent of total
GDP, dominated by food processing and beverages and tobacco
industries.
However, the industrial sector in Rwanda is still small with
4,752 firms, mainly small-scale firms carrying out commodity
processing, adding value to the country’s primary products
and only contributed 15 per cent of GDP in 2010. The catego-
rization based on employment indicates that 93.2 per cent are
micro, 3.9 per cent are small, 2.2 per cent are medium and 1 per
cent is large. Currently, the industrial sector employs only 4 per
cent of the work force, which is expected to reach 26 per cent
by 2020, with, employment reaching 1.4 million people whilst
ensuring that Rwandan enterprises are competitive regionally
and beyond.
LINKING INDUSTRIAL POLICY TO
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS
Rwanda’s industrialization strategy has a short history, with the
first five year strategy put in place in 2006 and the second one
in 2011 to run up to 2015. These strategies are based on targets
set in the Vision 2020 document, which aims at transforming
Rwanda into a middle income country with per capita income
of more than USD 1,000 by year 2020. The government is also
guided by the medium-term Economic Development Poverty
Reduction Strategy (EDPRS 2, 2013 - 2018). Among others, its
goal is to achieve an annual GDP growth rate of 11.5 per cent
with the industrialization strategy key to realizing the set targets.
This is envisaged to be done by increasing non farm employ-
ment, developing business, technical skills in the Rwandan work
force, supporting targeted value added clusters, and strengthen
the financial sector. In this regard, the Ministry of Trade and
Industry has developed a number of key policies and strategies
aimed at improving the business environment and comple-
menting efforts to develop the industrial sector. These include
the SME Development Policy (2010),Trade Policy (2010), and the
Competition policy (2010).
HIGH LEVEL INSTITUTIONAL
COORDINATION FOR
INDUSTRIALIZATION
Rwanda’s current industrial development strategy was devel-
oped through a consultative process involving all stakeholders,
with the Ministry of Trade and Industry being the strategic
policy oversight institutions. Rwanda’s industrial policy has three
priorities. The first is to increase domestic production for local
consumption, second, to improve its export competitiveness
and,third,tocreateanenablingenvironmentforRwanda’sindus-
trialization. To revitalize the industrial sector, the government
established the Rwanda Development Board in 2008 to provide
exporters with trade and market information to stimulate export
trade. It also acts as a one-stop-shop for investors and has signifi-
cantly reduced the cost of doing business, making Rwanda the
most reformed economy in the region.
The government also provides support to the Private Sector
Federation of Rwanda to strengthen private companies, build
human capacity for the private sector, facilitate sustainable
funding sources for businesses and provide economic dispute
arbitration centre. Good governance and zero-tolerance to
corruption has given Rwanda a competitive edge. Due to the
ease of doing business reforms, including zero tolerance on
corruption, Rwanda now ranks second-best to do business in
Africa after Mauritius. On global scale, the annual World Bank
report, which assesses country-by-country performance in
ease of doing business shows that Rwanda moved 22 places, to
32ndof 189 countries.
Recognizing the importance of consultations between the
government and the private sector in the development of the
industrial sector, Rwanda also established the high-level council
for industry, the Industrial Development and Export Council
(IDEC), composed of relevant ministries and agencies, headed
by the Ministry of Trade and Commerce and RDB providing
secretarial support. IDEC provides mechanisms for stakeholder
interaction and of views on issues of industrial development.
Annually, IDEC reviews industrial policy implementation at the
Annual Leadership Retreat where major decisions are made.The
IDEC reports to the Prime Minister, who in turn takes the urgent
matters arising from the industrial sector to the Cabinet chaired
by the President of Rwanda.
SOME CHALLENGES TO THE
COUNTRY’S INDUSTRIALIZATION
EFFORTS
The key challenges facing industrial policy effectiveness are in
areas of infrastructure, financing and human capital develop-
ment. Other constraints are lack of research, technology transfer
and innovation for industries, high cost of doing business, high
cost of raw materials and difficulty in accessing markets. Along-
side minerals, tea and coffee, Rwanda has a number of much
smaller existing exports—horticulture, pyrethrum, hides and
skins, and handicrafts. However, these exports have shown
significant volatility in recent years, particularly due to the global
economic crisis.
Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
SOUTH AFRICA
LINKING INDUSTRIAL POLICY TO
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS
South Africa’s national industrial policy illustrates sophisticated
andefficienthigh-levelcoordinationamonggovernmentauthor-
ities, public organizations and private stakeholders.The National
IndustrialPolicyFramework,launchedin2007,wasSouthAfrica’s
first comprehensive industrial policy. It is aimed at facilitating
diversification beyond reliance on traditional commodities and
non-tradable services, and to foster long-term intensification
of the economy to build a knowledge-based economy and to
promote labour-absorbing industrialization. It is centred on a
strategy to strengthen the manufacturing base by mobilizing
trade, financing and procurement instruments that would help
develop prioritized sectors. The current approach to industrial
policy is influenced by unconventional economic perspectives
while earlier policies were more influenced by economic ortho-
doxy that favoured a smaller role for the state and a larger role
for the markets.
The Growth Employment and Redistribution (GEAR) policy and
the findings of the Industrial Strategy Project (ISP) emphasized
giving market forces a prominent role in coordinating economic
activity, based on a conviction that free markets would drive
economic and employment growth. Adopted in 1996, GEAR
focused on building an economy that displayed strong macro-
economic fundamentals that appeared credible to foreign inves-
tors.SoGEAR’sproposalsincludedtheliberalizationofthecapital
account, inflation targeting, the privatization of state owned
enterprises and a floating exchange rate.
The ISP entrenched a liberal trade agenda that focused on
export-led growth, arguing that the previous trade protection
strategy had induced an anti-export bias that created an uncom-
petitive industrial sector with capital-intensive, mineral-based
sectors at the expense of downstream labour-absorbing sectors.
It was hoped that trade liberalization would improve the indus-
trial sector’s competitiveness and generate a diversified indus-
trial base that would be integrated into the global economy.
The multiplicity of public and private actors involved in the
formulation and implementation of the country’s industrial
policy allows the involvement and contributions from different
sectors and ministries and making sure that the industrial policy
is in line with the national development strategy.
EFFICIENT AND SOPHISTICATED
HIGH LEVEL COORDINATION
The design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of
national industrial policy plans in South Africa illustrate sophis-
ticated and efficient high-level coordination among government
authorities, public organizations and private stakeholders. The
process of designing and implementingThe NIPF andThe Indus-
trial Policy Action Plan (IPAP) provides a useful example of this
coordination and collaboration.
The NIPF is the articulation of South Africa’s national industrial
policy vision, and the Industrial Policy Action Plan (IPAP) is its
implementation document. IPAPs are three-year rolling plans
that are published annually (South Africa is currently imple-
menting IPAP 2). These plans emphasize the importance of
manufacturing and its ability to generate dynamic increasing
returns to the depth of its linkages and recognize the technolog-
ical progress that is embedded within manufacturing.
The design and implementation of the NIPF and the IPAPs are
the responsibility ofThe Industrial Development Policy Develop-
ment Division (IDPDD), which is under The Department of Trade
and Industry (DTI). IDPDD is also responsible for two interlinked
programmes: the Industrial Competitiveness Program (ICP) and
the Customized Sector Program (CSP). ICP is responsible for
designing and implementing “cross cutting or transversal inter-
ventions that are aimed at building capabilities and competi-
tiveness across the targeted IPAP sectors”, while CSP designs and
implements“high impact sectoral strategies.”
The policy design of the CSP and design, implementation and
monitoring and evaluation of the IPAP involves all main primary
and secondary stakeholders. The primary actors as “the core
actors responsible for managing the activities and outputs in the
policy phase” and the secondary actors are those who “provide
inputs, reflections and commentary in the policy phase.”The CSP
articulates the targeted sectors’ strategic and implementation
plans, which are then incorporated into IPAP as key action plans.
Both of these are “living documents and are thus under contin-
uousreviewandrevisionsasmilestonesaremetorredesignedor
key actions introduced”.
STRONG PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
SECTOR PARTICIPATION
The agenda setting and implementation strategy of sector plans
is determined through research of the outcomes of the sector
and extensive consultation with organized business and labor in
that sector, before the CSP is formally adopted, and incorporated
into the national strategy in the IPAP.This illustrates the multiple
stagesoffeedbackandcollaborationandformalfeedbackmech-
anismsintheprocess. Thiscoordinationallowstheprivatesector
to have more confidence in upcoming policy because they
were heavily involved in its creation. This creates confidence in
businesses and interventions that are useful to and needed by
the private sector. In addition, the multiplicity of public actors
involved in the creation of IPAP through multiple CSPs, allows
for national strategies that involve the coordination of different
sectorsandministriesandthatareinlinewiththenationaldevel-
opment strategy.
HIGH-LEVEL REVIEW,
MONITORING AND EVALUATION
OF THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY
IMPLEMENTATION
The performance of the IPAP is monitored regularly within the
DepartmentofTradeandIndustryandattheCabinetandDirector
General levels, as well as an oversight being provided by the
Parliamentary Committee on Trade and Industry. During these
meetingsthechallengesarediscussedandsolutionsdesignedto
fast track the implementation of the IPAP milestones. The IPAPs
arealsomonitoredbyseveralotherbodies,includingacouncilof
differentdepartmentscalledtheForumofSouthAfricanDirector
Generals (FOSAD), which draws members from multiple depart-
ments to facilitate joint or coordinated policy development and
implementation.
INNOVATIVE FUNDING CONCEPT
The Industrial Development Corporation play san essential part
in South Africa’s industrial development, especially through its
most recent and innovative funding mechanism—the Manu-
facturing Competitiveness Enhancement Programme, which
disburses grant funding for production incentives and a working
capital loan facility for IPAP sectors. The programme is aimed at
improving productivity levels, value addition and job retention
and creation. State financing has recently been injected into the
Industrial Development Corporation for IPAP programmes to
augmentitson-balancesheetfunding.Thisispartofthestrategy
to broaden its developmental mandate.
In summary, the country’s first comprehensive industrial policy
in the past six years has been successful. Still, continuous fine-
tuning will ultimately see that the broad objectives of the policy-
makers are realized before 2020. However, recent labour market
frictions, particularly regular strikes, have tended to disrupt
productivity and thus slow the process of industrialization.
Economic Report on Africa 2014
Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms
COUNTRY CASE STUDY
TUNISIA
FROM“TUNISIFICATION”TO
LIBERALIZATION
Since the 1950s, theTunisian government has strived to support
industrial development and bridge the inherent gaps and short-
comings. The early years of independence were devoted to a
“Tunisification” of the economy by nationalizing production
unitsandcreatingheavyindustry.Intheabsenceentrepreneurial
class, the bulk of investments were made by the state to create
a basic industrial network. The private sector was marginalized,
investment and productivity low.. Business was limited to the
creation of a fragile and light industry, import substitution and
dependence on a tiny domestic market.
The period 1970 and 1980 was marked by the desire to pursue a
liberal policy with an emphasis on developing export industries.
However, at least two weaknesses were observed in the export
structure during this period. First, some 70 per cent of manufac-
tured goods exports were from the textile, clothing and leather
secto, and by 1977, 54 per cent of new investments and 87 per
cent of jobs were in those industries. Second, private investment
was largely confined to a few regions, particularly coastal areas.
Due to the economic crisis and the social unrest during this
period, the first Structural Adjustment Plan was introduced with
the International Monetary Fund’s help.
In 1993, a new code of investment incentives was adopted and
intended mainly to stimulate investment in such areas as high-
tech and export-oriented industries. The free trade agreement
withtheEuropeanUnionwasalsosignedin1995withindustryin
mind, to ensure greater integration in the liberalization process
by lowering tariff barriers.
DEVELOPMENT PLANS
CONSISTENT WITH FOCUS ON
INDUSTRIALIZATION
Threemajorprogrammeswereimplementedtoraisethecompet-
itive edge of enterprises by restructuring and modernizing the
private sector. First was the Upgrade Programme, part of the
9th (1996–2001) and 10th (2002–2006) Development Plans. It
intended to help the private sector by providing access to tech-
nical assistance and training and through investment incentives.
Second is the Industrial Modernization Programme (2003–2008),
which aimed to boost business productivity and thus competi-
tiveness by focusing on intangible investment. And third was the
Program to Support the Competitiveness of Enterprises and for
Facilitating Market Access, which stretched over 2010–2013 with
a budget of 23 million euros. Its main aim was to enhance the
capacity of Tunisia’s industry to cope and respond to the stan-
dards and quality requirements of the European market.
Also two main activities had a significant impact on industrial
development—the 72-83 law on export promotion and the
investment incentives code, which offered a range of tax incen-
tives to attract foreign direct investment.The 72-83 law provided
incentives to foreign investors to establish manufacturing firms,
and the investment incentives code provides tax benefits on
imported inputs and on profits made by companies producing
for export—“offshore” companies. These companies are largely
spared the paperwork and red tape that face their counterparts
which primarily produce for the domestic market—“onshore.”
This compartmentalization has resulted in productivity spill-
overs and limited linkages between the productive offshore
sectorsandtherelativelyinefficientonshorecompanies,keeping
the country stuck as a low value added economy.
However,Tunisiahastocontinueitsgradualshiftfromtraditional
sectors to more advanced technological industries. Following a
study conducted in 2008, the government adopted a new indus-
trial policy known as“Horizon 2016.”Its objectives are to double
exports between 2008 and 2016, triple industrial investments
within the same period, and raise the share of technology in
industrial exports from 25 per cent to 50 per cent.
These programmes and initiatives, coupled with changes in the
overall thrust of the economic policy with a consistent focus on
industrialization since independence, have played a key role in
the economic transformation and social development of the
country. Since the mid-1960s, Tunisia has undergone profound
structural economic changes, with domestic production shifting
from agriculture and raw materials to services and manufac-
turing. This structural change has enabled Tunisia to achieve
a growth rate close to 5 per cent each year over the last two
decades, making industry – and the manufacturing sector in
particular – a major source of job creation. In 2011, the manu-
facturing sector’s contribution to GDP exceeded 18 per cent, and
manufactured goods accounted for 75 per cent of total exports,
against 35 per cent in 1980, indicating increased private invest-
ment, export diversification and impact of the export promotion
policy.
INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND
INSTITUTIONAL COORDINATION
Industrial development policy lies with the Ministry of Industry,
while export promotion policy lies with the Ministry of Trade
and Crafts. Both ministries coordinate their strategies with the
Ministry of Development and International Cooperation. The
institutional network for implementing industrial policy includes
governmental and non-governmental organizations and insti-
tutions as well as agencies jointly managed by the public
and private sector. Among them is the Upgrade Programme
Office formed under the Ministry of Industry. It is charged with
improving the competitive edge of Tunisian companies, helping
them cope with competition both in the domestic market and
in foreign markets and contributing to their export strategy and
modernization plans.
Recentlythegovernmenthascomeupwithsectorspecificindus-
trial strategies. In 2007 – 2008 a strategic orientation for each
sector was designed to develop specific measures applicable to
a sector based on its status. The new strategies were oriented
towards a knowledge economy as recommended by the 10th
(2002-2006) and 11th (2007-2011) Development Plans.
ENHANCING TECHNOLOGY
TRANSFER, INNOVATION AND
COMPETITIVENESS
Tunisian industrial strategy has opted for “clustering” as a key
growth factor on which innovation and added value in the
sectoral development strategy would be anchored by 2016. In
order to raise the competitive edge of the Tunisian economy
through innovation and help create a new generation of compa-
nieswithhighvalueaddedcapacity,thedevelopmentofclusters
and technology has been made the strategic focus of the coun-
try’s economic development policy. The programme of compet-
itive clusters was formally launched in 2006 when progress
towards a knowledge-based economy became part of the 10th
Development Plan (2002 - 2006) although it is still being stream-
lined and structured. The competitive clusters approach aims at
accommodating,withinagivengeographicalarea,firms,training
centres, public and private research units through partnership
aimed at developing synergies for a technologically developed
industry so as to promote competitiveness and industrial inno-
vation. Targeting key sectors of the economy with their cluster’s
location based on the existence of economic assets specific to
each region of the country.
GRAPPLING WITH UNEMPLOYMENT
AND SOCIAL INEQUALITY
Despite all these developments, the Industrial sector is yet to
enable Tunisia to cope with unemployment and regional devel-
opment—the major challenges it faces. Industrial development
was seen as an outlet to sustained growth capable of generating
decentjobsandreducinginequalityanddependenceonprimary
commodities and mining. But as the socio-political upheavals
of 2011 demonstrated, growth in manufacturing remain insuf-
ficient for Tunisia to absorb unemployment, especially among
young graduates, and bridge the inequality gap.

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Kenya's efforts to strengthen its industrial policy framework

  • 1. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY KENYA TOWARDS AN INSTITUTIONALIZED INDUSTRIAL POLICY FRAMEWORK Kenya’s industrial policy is contained in the National Industrial Policy 2011–2015 and the country’s long term development framework Vision 2030 which aims to foster industrialization and a robust, diversified and globally competitive manufacturing sectorby2030.Thisistobeachievedthroughimprovedindustrial infrastructure,enhancedaccesstofinancialservicesandmarkets, especiallyforsmallandmediumindustries,increasedvalueaddi- tion in the agricultural and natural resource sectors, intensified researchanddevelopment,innovationandtechnologyadoption as well as technical and managerial skills upgrading in domestic firms. Historically, government efforts to spur industrialization through the import substitution policy and structural adjustment programs did not lead to significant industrial development. Not only was the country’s industrial base eroded, but the high levels of protectionist in favour of domestic industries, high tariffs on imports, foreign exchange controls and overvalued exchanged rates contributed to declining industrial output and lack of competitiveness. In addition, the country did not have a clear long term industrial policy framework. With the failure of these interventions, Kenya adopted an export-oriented industrializa- tion strategy, which offered incentives for encouraging indus- tries to produce for exports. This new policy aimed to improve efficiency, stimulate private investment and increase the sector’s foreign exchange earnings. The trade liberalization measures to encourage export production included removing quantitative restrictions, reducing tariffs and establishing a more flexible exchange rate regime. KENYA’S MANUFACTURING HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PROMOTE STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION, JOB CREATION AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH Manufacturing constitutes one of the economy’s key sectors, although its performance has declined in the last few years. It grew by 4.5 per cent in 2010 and 3.3 per cent in 2011. In terms of job creation, manufacturing contributed 12.9 per cent of total wage employment in 2011 and some 2.5 million private sector jobs (about 17 per cent of jobs in the private sector), compared with 281,000 public sector jobs (just 4 per cent of jobs in the public sector). Manufacturing is expected to help propel the economy to a 10 per cent growth rate, envisaged in Vision 2030, as well as realize other development goals like creating jobs, generatingforeignexchangeandattractingforeigndirectinvest- ment.However,thishingesonthecapacityoftheStatetoformu- late, implement and monitor coherent industrial policies which promote competitiveness, raise productivity and strengthen local production capacities. KENYA HAS INITIATED THE RE ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES TO HIGH PRODUCTIVE ACTIVITIES AND SECTORS In order to foster structural transformation, increase productivity and raise incomes, Kenya has adopted industrial strategies to develop niche products based on its comparative advantage. As stipulated in the Vision 2030, Kenya aims to increase the produc- tion of manufactured and value added products by 20 per cent, increase the share of locally produced industrial components and spare parts by 25 per cent, and the share of manufac- turing in micro, small and medium enterprise output by 20 per cent. Acknowledging the need to foster backward and forward linkages, the country also aims to increase the local content of manufactured goods for exports to at least 60 per cent. INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES ARE CONSTRAINING THE GROWTH OF KENYA’S MANUFACTURING SECTOR Despitethesectorsimportance,itsdecliningperformancecanbe attributedtoseveralkeychallenges.First,lackofcompetitiveness has diminished the sector’s role and businesses have to contend with high input and energy costs, low productivity levels and limited linkages with other sectors. Low levels of coordination between different ministries and industrial policy organization has resulted in heavy regulation and affected the ease of doing business. In addition, dumping of sub-standard imports and counterfeit goods into the domestic market is making it unfa- vourable for local manufacturers to compete while the high cost
  • 2. of imported intermediate capital goods and spare parts increase production costs. Other impediments include low domestic and foreign investments, the use of inappropriate industrial technol- ogies, the low state of physical infrastructure, limited access to finance and inadequate research and development. To this end, Kenya has adopted several industrial policy tools to address these constrains and spur industrialization. DEVELOPMENT OF A COHERENT INDUSTRIAL POLICY FRAMEWORK Kenya has institutionalized its industrialization strategy, priori- ties, targets, actions and implementation plans in its Vision 2030 and NIP development frameworks. However, there is need to promote stronger coordination between government minis- tries, and industrial policy institutions (IPOs) such as the Kenya National Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the Kenya Private Sector Alliance and the Federation of Kenyan Employers. This is vital in eliminating overlapping and conflicting mandates. Also, it is crucial to ensure that IPOs are dynamic and constantly adapt to the changing needs of the industrial sector. Enhancing stra- tegic collaboration and dialogue with key stakeholders as well as heighten political commitment and private sector participation in industrial policy design and implementation remains vital. EMBRACING REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGIES TO ADDRESS EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURAL DEFICITS Kenya has also adopted the growth pole strategy and it aims to develop at least 2 Special Economic Zones and 5 Industrial Parks to foster industrial production. It also aims to increase the share of industries located outside major urban centres to 50 per cent. In partnership with its neighbouring countries, Kenya has initiated the Lamu Port–South Sudan–Ethiopia Transport Devel- opment Corridor Project in order to enhance transport connec- tivity, increase cross-border trade and competitiveness, as well as facilitate international trade by linking domestic markets to international ones. MOBILIZING FINANCIAL RESOURCES TO BRIDGE THE FINANCING GAP CONSTRAININGINDUSTRIALIZATION Giventhecostlynatureofindustrializationandtheneedtomobi- lize domestic and foreign investments, the government intends to establish an Industrial Development Fund for long term financing as well as increase the share of FDI in industrial sectors by 10 per cent. ENHANCING TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION TO BOOST REGIONAL AND DOMESTIC COMPETITIVENESS IN MANUFACTURED EXPORTS In order to improve domestic productive capabilities, the government is enhancing technology accumulation by boosting science, technology and innovation in manufacturing as well as increasing investments in research and development. This is expected to raise the share of Kenyan exports in the regional market from the current 7 per cent to 15 per cent by 2030.
  • 3. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY MAURITIUS FROM MONO-CROP ECONOMY TO MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRY Mauritius has transformed itself from a low-income mono-crop economy to a middle-income country, and is now one of the most successful African countries. The country’s exports were heavily concentrated in the sugar, textile and garment sectors (accounting for over 80 per cent of total exports in the 1980s). With private investment from the boom of sugar prices in the 1980s, coupled with thoughtful and forward-looking govern- ment strategies (geared towards major investment in educa- tion and infrastructure), Mauritius has successfully moved from dependence on a few products to a relatively well-diversified economy, with tourism and services emerging as major contrib- utors to export growth. The inception of the industrial zone in the 1970s has brought about positive contributions towards its macroeconomic indica- tors.Aftermorethan40years,thecontributionofmanufacturing has changed significantly. In 2012, manufacturing accounted for 18 per cent of GDP. Infact, the success of the Mauritian economy can be largely attributed to its trade openness, given its small domestic market. To that end, the local economy has been growing almost consistently at 5 per cent since its indepen- dence,withGDPpercapitarisingfrom$260in1968tomorethan $6,000 in 2011. This commendable economic performance has been attributed to sound economic and, more particularly, well-conceived and appropriate industrial policies. Since independence, ,Mauritius pursued a progressive industrial development policy, despite its agrarian dependence and history. Earlier incentives in manu- facturing were built on income tax ordinances, which allowed generous fiscal incentives to promote import substitution indus- tries and to attract new enterprises considered beneficial to Mauritius’s economic development. More recent industrial poli- cies aim to move away from incentive-driven processes to create clear, transparent and rule-based processes and procedures for investing in Mauritius and improve the investment climate. SUCCESS OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY LINKED TO PROMOTING HIGH LEVEL COORDINATION AND PUBLIC- PRIVATE DIALOGUE, AMONGST OTHERS Continual government efforts to involve public and private stakeholders in discussions on formulating and executing indus- trial policies have contributed to the unique success the country has registered. Behind the industrial strategy of the manufac- turing sector lies a network of government and private sector institutions responsible for elaborating policies, negotiating internationally, laying out export promotion programmes and implementing agreements and decisions. Through regular contacts, their representatives are capable of monitoring the performance, constraints and opportunities of current and future production activities. Such close cooperation between government and private sector is fairly unique, made possible through structured dialogue. The main bodies are the Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Consumer Protection, the Board of Investment, the Development Bank of Mauritius, the Mauritius Chamber of Commerce and Industry (MCCI), and the Mauritius Export Association (MEXA). Of these, the first three are government and public authorities and MCCI and MEXA are private organisations. Other institutions have also been created as necessary to support effective implementation and the evolu- tion of these institutions has been driven by careful evaluation of their performance each year. These structured forms of dialogues exist in three parts. First are the regular meetings between government ministries directly concerned with the country’s economic development, the presidents and directors of the main private sector institutions, including weekly cabinet meetings to ensure inter-ministerial coordination. Second, sees the presence of private sector repre- sentativessittingasfull-fledgedmembersonahostofpublicand parastatal bodies in charge of running investment and export promotion programmes, elaborating national economic devel- opment strategies and outlining strategies and stands to be adopted. Third, Mauritius’s core private institutions have repre- sentatives in European offices and at the World Trade Organisa- tion. These multiple levels of regular public-private interactions allow for informed policy decisions and it is little wonder why Mauritius is one of Africa’s success stories.
  • 4. RESPONDING TO THE CHANGING NEEDS OF INDUSTRY – MAURITIUS BOARD OF INVESTMENT (BOI) Industrialisation is not a costless process and attracting sustain- able investment is vital for Mauritius to achieve its industrial policy goals. This objective forms a central role that the BOI, set upin2001followingtheInvestmentPromotionAct2001,playsin industrial development. BOI seeks to attract“sustainable invest- ment”and it achieves success largely through the flexibility and adaptabilityofitsleadershipindevelopingstrategiesthatadjusts to a changing business climate.Through close coordination with private sector stakeholders, goal setting is heavily influenced by the changing needs of domestic business as well as global conditions. Mauritius has benefited from this dynamism, having witnessed the influx of foreign direct investments from a diverse range of markets, including non-traditional markets such as the Middle East, China and Russia. Not resting on its laurels, BOI has also altered its internal structures to better market Mauritius to potential investors and is currently in the process of moving to a cluster-based sales team approach. SUPPORTING SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES (SMES) TO COUNTER MARKET FAILURES Recognising that the industrial sector faced the key challenges of low technology adoption and innovation, Mauritian govern- ment created the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) to ‘facilitate the promotion, development and competitiveness of small and medium enterprises (SME). SMEDA’s objectives centre on equipping existing SMEs with the technical and innovative capabilities to raise productivity, effi- ciency and profitability. ANTICIPATING FUTURE GROWTH CHALLENGES Notwithstanding the notable success, the country faces some challenges.Risingproductioncosts,logisticconstraintsandlackof capabilities in ancillary services constitute major hurdles. Interna- tionally,manufacturingisfacingasharptransitionfromdepending on trade preferences and tariff protection to competing glob- ally.. To mitigate potential adverse impact on future growth, the government’s new strategy centres on an entrepreneurial and innovation-led model of industrial development, driven by innovation and technology, high-tech investment, product and market diversification, green production, value addition, improved response time, sustainable development, synergized support services and a dynamic regional and multilateral trade policy, among critical factors. The government has also intro- duced the Economic and Social Transformation Plan, which lays out the policies and strategies for Mauritius to become a high-in- come country over the next 10 years. In addition, over the last few years, policies to promote new sectors (land-based oceanic activities, hospitality and property development, healthcare and biomedical activities, and the knowledge hub, among others) have been promulgated. These sectors will help diversify and expand the export base.
  • 5. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY NIGERIA NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIALISATION AND NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS From independence in 1960 to date, successive administra- tions in Nigeria have made efforts at industrialization, but their attempts have not been very successful in propelling the manu- facturingsectorasexpected.Hencein2009,itadoptedtheVision 20:2020 plan designed to propel the country to be among the top 20 economies in the world by 2020 through technologically driven and globally competitive manufacturing sector with a high level of local content and contribution to GDP. It identified five subsectors as priority areas: chemicals and pharmaceuticals; basic metal, iron and steel and fabricated metal; food, beverages and tobacco; textiles, wearing apparel and leather and leather footwear;andnon-metallicmineralproducts.Thesepriorityareas are believed to represent segments of the manufacturing sector where Nigeria has or can easily develop comparative advantage. They have the highest potential to provide raw material for other key industries in the longer term. The manufacturing sector is expected to be private sector driven with government providing the enabling environment that would enhance operating effi- ciency, productivity and profitability. In this regard sectoral plans have also been developed to encourage local production of such commodities as sugar, cement and automobiles in order to reduce imports and boost youth employment. However, so far these plans have not been very effective as evidenced by the still tiny contribution of manufacturing to GDP. CHALLENGES TO POLICY IMPLEMENTATION FOR NIGERIA’S INDUSTRIALIZATION While successive administrations from independence in 1960 to date have made elaborate efforts for industrialization, their attemptshavenotbeenveryeffectiveowinglargelytounderlying issues in industrial policy structure - poor coordination among actors, weak private sector participation, inadequate support for industrial policy organizations and major gaps in support of the private sector efforts in industry. Nigeria’s travails lead to policy institutions that are disconnected from the private sector, with inefficient communication. All of this is also evidenced by the low contribution of the sector to gross domestic product in the last decade which has been hovering below 5 per cent since 1999. The sector remains structurally impaired due to pervasive growth-inhibiting factors and a myriad of challenges. Industrial policy organizations do not receive adequate support from their supervising ministry, and do not have the capacity adequately support the growth of the private sector. Another drawback is poor implementation of existing plans. Observers also point at under funding of relevant institutions with inadequate human capacity and skills. All of these, together with the inadequate infrastructure,poortechnologicalsupportandlowlevelsofinno- vation often result in the production of low quality goods. FOSTERING INDUSTRIALIZATION - NIGERIAN INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION PLAN The challenges confronting the industrial sector prompted the government to launch the Nigerian Industrial Revolution Plan (NIRP) and the Nigerian Enterprise Development Programme (NEDEP) in February 2014. The thrust of NIRP is to increase the contribution of manufacturing to over 15 per cent over a five year period and limit age-long constraints that have persistently been against the development of the manufacturing sector, while NEDEP strives to place micro, small and medium enter- prises at the centre of Nigeria’s National Economic Policy. The NIRP focuses on developing industrial sectors where Nigeria has a natural comparative advantage such as agribusiness, solid minerals, and oil and gas. The enablers targeted by the plan are financing, skills development, innovation, infrastructure, busi- nessenvironment,enforcementofstandards,andincreasedlocal patronage. STRENGTHENING INDUSTRIAL POLICY EFFECTIVENESS With an elaborate set of industrial policy organizations, strength- ening high-level coordination and improving coherence is essential for improving industrial policy effectiveness in Nigeria. Effective industrial policy institutions reflect apex coordinating bodies that incorporate private sector inputs, provide system- atic coordination and encourage super-ministerial collaboration. Nigeria needs to move industrial policies from its current focus on specific sectors to a comprehensive industrial policy that will articulate the broad vision and direction of industrialization and structural transformation. However, the success of its policies rests on effective engagement with key stakeholders and the presence of high-level coordination.
  • 6.
  • 7. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY RWANDA ROBUST GROWTH AND INDUSTRIAL PERFORMANCE Rwanda’s growth over the period 2008–2012 exceeded ambi- tious expectations as real GDP growth averaged 8.1 per cent annually, translating into GDP per capita growth averaging 5 per cent per year. Construction is the largest industrial sub-sector, with 7 per cent of total GDP or 52 per cent of industrial output in 2010, up from 41 per cent in 2002. Manufacturing makes up 43 per cent of industrial output and with also 7 per cent of total GDP, dominated by food processing and beverages and tobacco industries. However, the industrial sector in Rwanda is still small with 4,752 firms, mainly small-scale firms carrying out commodity processing, adding value to the country’s primary products and only contributed 15 per cent of GDP in 2010. The catego- rization based on employment indicates that 93.2 per cent are micro, 3.9 per cent are small, 2.2 per cent are medium and 1 per cent is large. Currently, the industrial sector employs only 4 per cent of the work force, which is expected to reach 26 per cent by 2020, with, employment reaching 1.4 million people whilst ensuring that Rwandan enterprises are competitive regionally and beyond. LINKING INDUSTRIAL POLICY TO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS Rwanda’s industrialization strategy has a short history, with the first five year strategy put in place in 2006 and the second one in 2011 to run up to 2015. These strategies are based on targets set in the Vision 2020 document, which aims at transforming Rwanda into a middle income country with per capita income of more than USD 1,000 by year 2020. The government is also guided by the medium-term Economic Development Poverty Reduction Strategy (EDPRS 2, 2013 - 2018). Among others, its goal is to achieve an annual GDP growth rate of 11.5 per cent with the industrialization strategy key to realizing the set targets. This is envisaged to be done by increasing non farm employ- ment, developing business, technical skills in the Rwandan work force, supporting targeted value added clusters, and strengthen the financial sector. In this regard, the Ministry of Trade and Industry has developed a number of key policies and strategies aimed at improving the business environment and comple- menting efforts to develop the industrial sector. These include the SME Development Policy (2010),Trade Policy (2010), and the Competition policy (2010). HIGH LEVEL INSTITUTIONAL COORDINATION FOR INDUSTRIALIZATION Rwanda’s current industrial development strategy was devel- oped through a consultative process involving all stakeholders, with the Ministry of Trade and Industry being the strategic policy oversight institutions. Rwanda’s industrial policy has three priorities. The first is to increase domestic production for local consumption, second, to improve its export competitiveness and,third,tocreateanenablingenvironmentforRwanda’sindus- trialization. To revitalize the industrial sector, the government established the Rwanda Development Board in 2008 to provide exporters with trade and market information to stimulate export trade. It also acts as a one-stop-shop for investors and has signifi- cantly reduced the cost of doing business, making Rwanda the most reformed economy in the region. The government also provides support to the Private Sector Federation of Rwanda to strengthen private companies, build human capacity for the private sector, facilitate sustainable funding sources for businesses and provide economic dispute arbitration centre. Good governance and zero-tolerance to corruption has given Rwanda a competitive edge. Due to the ease of doing business reforms, including zero tolerance on corruption, Rwanda now ranks second-best to do business in Africa after Mauritius. On global scale, the annual World Bank report, which assesses country-by-country performance in ease of doing business shows that Rwanda moved 22 places, to 32ndof 189 countries. Recognizing the importance of consultations between the government and the private sector in the development of the industrial sector, Rwanda also established the high-level council for industry, the Industrial Development and Export Council (IDEC), composed of relevant ministries and agencies, headed by the Ministry of Trade and Commerce and RDB providing secretarial support. IDEC provides mechanisms for stakeholder interaction and of views on issues of industrial development. Annually, IDEC reviews industrial policy implementation at the Annual Leadership Retreat where major decisions are made.The IDEC reports to the Prime Minister, who in turn takes the urgent matters arising from the industrial sector to the Cabinet chaired by the President of Rwanda.
  • 8. SOME CHALLENGES TO THE COUNTRY’S INDUSTRIALIZATION EFFORTS The key challenges facing industrial policy effectiveness are in areas of infrastructure, financing and human capital develop- ment. Other constraints are lack of research, technology transfer and innovation for industries, high cost of doing business, high cost of raw materials and difficulty in accessing markets. Along- side minerals, tea and coffee, Rwanda has a number of much smaller existing exports—horticulture, pyrethrum, hides and skins, and handicrafts. However, these exports have shown significant volatility in recent years, particularly due to the global economic crisis.
  • 9. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY SOUTH AFRICA LINKING INDUSTRIAL POLICY TO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS South Africa’s national industrial policy illustrates sophisticated andefficienthigh-levelcoordinationamonggovernmentauthor- ities, public organizations and private stakeholders.The National IndustrialPolicyFramework,launchedin2007,wasSouthAfrica’s first comprehensive industrial policy. It is aimed at facilitating diversification beyond reliance on traditional commodities and non-tradable services, and to foster long-term intensification of the economy to build a knowledge-based economy and to promote labour-absorbing industrialization. It is centred on a strategy to strengthen the manufacturing base by mobilizing trade, financing and procurement instruments that would help develop prioritized sectors. The current approach to industrial policy is influenced by unconventional economic perspectives while earlier policies were more influenced by economic ortho- doxy that favoured a smaller role for the state and a larger role for the markets. The Growth Employment and Redistribution (GEAR) policy and the findings of the Industrial Strategy Project (ISP) emphasized giving market forces a prominent role in coordinating economic activity, based on a conviction that free markets would drive economic and employment growth. Adopted in 1996, GEAR focused on building an economy that displayed strong macro- economic fundamentals that appeared credible to foreign inves- tors.SoGEAR’sproposalsincludedtheliberalizationofthecapital account, inflation targeting, the privatization of state owned enterprises and a floating exchange rate. The ISP entrenched a liberal trade agenda that focused on export-led growth, arguing that the previous trade protection strategy had induced an anti-export bias that created an uncom- petitive industrial sector with capital-intensive, mineral-based sectors at the expense of downstream labour-absorbing sectors. It was hoped that trade liberalization would improve the indus- trial sector’s competitiveness and generate a diversified indus- trial base that would be integrated into the global economy. The multiplicity of public and private actors involved in the formulation and implementation of the country’s industrial policy allows the involvement and contributions from different sectors and ministries and making sure that the industrial policy is in line with the national development strategy. EFFICIENT AND SOPHISTICATED HIGH LEVEL COORDINATION The design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of national industrial policy plans in South Africa illustrate sophis- ticated and efficient high-level coordination among government authorities, public organizations and private stakeholders. The process of designing and implementingThe NIPF andThe Indus- trial Policy Action Plan (IPAP) provides a useful example of this coordination and collaboration. The NIPF is the articulation of South Africa’s national industrial policy vision, and the Industrial Policy Action Plan (IPAP) is its implementation document. IPAPs are three-year rolling plans that are published annually (South Africa is currently imple- menting IPAP 2). These plans emphasize the importance of manufacturing and its ability to generate dynamic increasing returns to the depth of its linkages and recognize the technolog- ical progress that is embedded within manufacturing. The design and implementation of the NIPF and the IPAPs are the responsibility ofThe Industrial Development Policy Develop- ment Division (IDPDD), which is under The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI). IDPDD is also responsible for two interlinked programmes: the Industrial Competitiveness Program (ICP) and the Customized Sector Program (CSP). ICP is responsible for designing and implementing “cross cutting or transversal inter- ventions that are aimed at building capabilities and competi- tiveness across the targeted IPAP sectors”, while CSP designs and implements“high impact sectoral strategies.” The policy design of the CSP and design, implementation and monitoring and evaluation of the IPAP involves all main primary and secondary stakeholders. The primary actors as “the core actors responsible for managing the activities and outputs in the policy phase” and the secondary actors are those who “provide inputs, reflections and commentary in the policy phase.”The CSP articulates the targeted sectors’ strategic and implementation plans, which are then incorporated into IPAP as key action plans. Both of these are “living documents and are thus under contin- uousreviewandrevisionsasmilestonesaremetorredesignedor key actions introduced”. STRONG PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION The agenda setting and implementation strategy of sector plans is determined through research of the outcomes of the sector
  • 10. and extensive consultation with organized business and labor in that sector, before the CSP is formally adopted, and incorporated into the national strategy in the IPAP.This illustrates the multiple stagesoffeedbackandcollaborationandformalfeedbackmech- anismsintheprocess. Thiscoordinationallowstheprivatesector to have more confidence in upcoming policy because they were heavily involved in its creation. This creates confidence in businesses and interventions that are useful to and needed by the private sector. In addition, the multiplicity of public actors involved in the creation of IPAP through multiple CSPs, allows for national strategies that involve the coordination of different sectorsandministriesandthatareinlinewiththenationaldevel- opment strategy. HIGH-LEVEL REVIEW, MONITORING AND EVALUATION OF THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY IMPLEMENTATION The performance of the IPAP is monitored regularly within the DepartmentofTradeandIndustryandattheCabinetandDirector General levels, as well as an oversight being provided by the Parliamentary Committee on Trade and Industry. During these meetingsthechallengesarediscussedandsolutionsdesignedto fast track the implementation of the IPAP milestones. The IPAPs arealsomonitoredbyseveralotherbodies,includingacouncilof differentdepartmentscalledtheForumofSouthAfricanDirector Generals (FOSAD), which draws members from multiple depart- ments to facilitate joint or coordinated policy development and implementation. INNOVATIVE FUNDING CONCEPT The Industrial Development Corporation play san essential part in South Africa’s industrial development, especially through its most recent and innovative funding mechanism—the Manu- facturing Competitiveness Enhancement Programme, which disburses grant funding for production incentives and a working capital loan facility for IPAP sectors. The programme is aimed at improving productivity levels, value addition and job retention and creation. State financing has recently been injected into the Industrial Development Corporation for IPAP programmes to augmentitson-balancesheetfunding.Thisispartofthestrategy to broaden its developmental mandate. In summary, the country’s first comprehensive industrial policy in the past six years has been successful. Still, continuous fine- tuning will ultimately see that the broad objectives of the policy- makers are realized before 2020. However, recent labour market frictions, particularly regular strikes, have tended to disrupt productivity and thus slow the process of industrialization.
  • 11. Economic Report on Africa 2014 Dynamic Industrial Policy in Africa: Innovative Institutions, Effective Processes and Flexible Mechanisms COUNTRY CASE STUDY TUNISIA FROM“TUNISIFICATION”TO LIBERALIZATION Since the 1950s, theTunisian government has strived to support industrial development and bridge the inherent gaps and short- comings. The early years of independence were devoted to a “Tunisification” of the economy by nationalizing production unitsandcreatingheavyindustry.Intheabsenceentrepreneurial class, the bulk of investments were made by the state to create a basic industrial network. The private sector was marginalized, investment and productivity low.. Business was limited to the creation of a fragile and light industry, import substitution and dependence on a tiny domestic market. The period 1970 and 1980 was marked by the desire to pursue a liberal policy with an emphasis on developing export industries. However, at least two weaknesses were observed in the export structure during this period. First, some 70 per cent of manufac- tured goods exports were from the textile, clothing and leather secto, and by 1977, 54 per cent of new investments and 87 per cent of jobs were in those industries. Second, private investment was largely confined to a few regions, particularly coastal areas. Due to the economic crisis and the social unrest during this period, the first Structural Adjustment Plan was introduced with the International Monetary Fund’s help. In 1993, a new code of investment incentives was adopted and intended mainly to stimulate investment in such areas as high- tech and export-oriented industries. The free trade agreement withtheEuropeanUnionwasalsosignedin1995withindustryin mind, to ensure greater integration in the liberalization process by lowering tariff barriers. DEVELOPMENT PLANS CONSISTENT WITH FOCUS ON INDUSTRIALIZATION Threemajorprogrammeswereimplementedtoraisethecompet- itive edge of enterprises by restructuring and modernizing the private sector. First was the Upgrade Programme, part of the 9th (1996–2001) and 10th (2002–2006) Development Plans. It intended to help the private sector by providing access to tech- nical assistance and training and through investment incentives. Second is the Industrial Modernization Programme (2003–2008), which aimed to boost business productivity and thus competi- tiveness by focusing on intangible investment. And third was the Program to Support the Competitiveness of Enterprises and for Facilitating Market Access, which stretched over 2010–2013 with a budget of 23 million euros. Its main aim was to enhance the capacity of Tunisia’s industry to cope and respond to the stan- dards and quality requirements of the European market. Also two main activities had a significant impact on industrial development—the 72-83 law on export promotion and the investment incentives code, which offered a range of tax incen- tives to attract foreign direct investment.The 72-83 law provided incentives to foreign investors to establish manufacturing firms, and the investment incentives code provides tax benefits on imported inputs and on profits made by companies producing for export—“offshore” companies. These companies are largely spared the paperwork and red tape that face their counterparts which primarily produce for the domestic market—“onshore.” This compartmentalization has resulted in productivity spill- overs and limited linkages between the productive offshore sectorsandtherelativelyinefficientonshorecompanies,keeping the country stuck as a low value added economy. However,Tunisiahastocontinueitsgradualshiftfromtraditional sectors to more advanced technological industries. Following a study conducted in 2008, the government adopted a new indus- trial policy known as“Horizon 2016.”Its objectives are to double exports between 2008 and 2016, triple industrial investments within the same period, and raise the share of technology in industrial exports from 25 per cent to 50 per cent. These programmes and initiatives, coupled with changes in the overall thrust of the economic policy with a consistent focus on industrialization since independence, have played a key role in the economic transformation and social development of the country. Since the mid-1960s, Tunisia has undergone profound structural economic changes, with domestic production shifting from agriculture and raw materials to services and manufac- turing. This structural change has enabled Tunisia to achieve a growth rate close to 5 per cent each year over the last two decades, making industry – and the manufacturing sector in particular – a major source of job creation. In 2011, the manu- facturing sector’s contribution to GDP exceeded 18 per cent, and manufactured goods accounted for 75 per cent of total exports, against 35 per cent in 1980, indicating increased private invest- ment, export diversification and impact of the export promotion policy.
  • 12. INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND INSTITUTIONAL COORDINATION Industrial development policy lies with the Ministry of Industry, while export promotion policy lies with the Ministry of Trade and Crafts. Both ministries coordinate their strategies with the Ministry of Development and International Cooperation. The institutional network for implementing industrial policy includes governmental and non-governmental organizations and insti- tutions as well as agencies jointly managed by the public and private sector. Among them is the Upgrade Programme Office formed under the Ministry of Industry. It is charged with improving the competitive edge of Tunisian companies, helping them cope with competition both in the domestic market and in foreign markets and contributing to their export strategy and modernization plans. Recentlythegovernmenthascomeupwithsectorspecificindus- trial strategies. In 2007 – 2008 a strategic orientation for each sector was designed to develop specific measures applicable to a sector based on its status. The new strategies were oriented towards a knowledge economy as recommended by the 10th (2002-2006) and 11th (2007-2011) Development Plans. ENHANCING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER, INNOVATION AND COMPETITIVENESS Tunisian industrial strategy has opted for “clustering” as a key growth factor on which innovation and added value in the sectoral development strategy would be anchored by 2016. In order to raise the competitive edge of the Tunisian economy through innovation and help create a new generation of compa- nieswithhighvalueaddedcapacity,thedevelopmentofclusters and technology has been made the strategic focus of the coun- try’s economic development policy. The programme of compet- itive clusters was formally launched in 2006 when progress towards a knowledge-based economy became part of the 10th Development Plan (2002 - 2006) although it is still being stream- lined and structured. The competitive clusters approach aims at accommodating,withinagivengeographicalarea,firms,training centres, public and private research units through partnership aimed at developing synergies for a technologically developed industry so as to promote competitiveness and industrial inno- vation. Targeting key sectors of the economy with their cluster’s location based on the existence of economic assets specific to each region of the country. GRAPPLING WITH UNEMPLOYMENT AND SOCIAL INEQUALITY Despite all these developments, the Industrial sector is yet to enable Tunisia to cope with unemployment and regional devel- opment—the major challenges it faces. Industrial development was seen as an outlet to sustained growth capable of generating decentjobsandreducinginequalityanddependenceonprimary commodities and mining. But as the socio-political upheavals of 2011 demonstrated, growth in manufacturing remain insuf- ficient for Tunisia to absorb unemployment, especially among young graduates, and bridge the inequality gap.