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MGT3059 Week 2 Project Rubric
Course: MGT3059-Operations Management SU01
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion Score
Identified
inefficiencies in
the way that
human
resources are
utilized in a
business at
which you have
worked in the
past or with
which you are
familiar.
/ 5Did not identify
inefficiencies in the
way that human
resources are
utilized.
Described human
resource utilization
in a way that
indicated that the
current practices
were as efficient as
possible.
Described human
resource
utilizations that are
not clearly
inefficient.
Identified
inefficiencies in the
way that human
resources are
utilized in a
business at which
you have worked in
the past or with
which you are
familiar.
Provided insightful
observations as to
why human
resources are not
being utilized
efficiently.
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-6)
6 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (7)
7 points
Proficient (B
Range) (8)
8 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (9-10)
10 points
Criterion Score
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-6)
6 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (7)
7 points
Proficient (B
Range) (8)
8 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (9-10)
10 points
Criterion Score
Proposed
solutions to
eliminate
inefficiency in
terms of the use
of human
resources.
/ 10Did not suggest
solutions that
might eliminate the
inefficiencies.
Proposed solutions
that would actually
decrease efficiency.
Proposed solutions
that did not appear
to be directly
related to the
inefficiency under
discussion.
Proposed solutions
that might
eliminate the
inefficiency in
terms of the use of
human resources.
Offered thoughtful
solutions to the
inefficiency
problem in human
resource
deployment.
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion Score
Defined
changes to job
designs that
might be
needed to
implement the
proposed
solutions.
/ 5Did not suggest job
design changes that
might be needed.
Described changes
to job designs that
would make it less
likely to be able to
improve efficiency.
Described changes
to job design that
are not clearly
related to proposed
solutions.
Defined changes to
job designs that
might be needed to
implement the
proposed solutions.
Provided clever and
convincing
proposals to
change job designs.
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion Score
Identified
changes to
work
measurement
that might be
needed to
implement the
proposed
solutions.
/ 5Did not define
changes to work
measurement that
might be needed.
Identified work
measurement
changes that would
lessen the ability to
implement the
proposed solutions.
Suggested changes
to work
measurement that
would not have an
impact on the
success of the
proposed solutions.
Identified changes
to work
measurement that
might be needed to
implement the
proposed solutions.
Offered changes to
work measurement,
including a clear
rationale for each
such change.
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-6)
6 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (7)
7 points
Proficient (B
Range) (8)
8 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (9-10)
10 points
Criterion Score
Explained if and
why changes to
compensation
might be
needed to
implement the
proposed
solutions.
/ 10Did not discuss
changes in
compensation.
Provided irrational
explanations as to
why compensation
changes might be
needed.
Did not offer a
clear rationale as to
whether or not
changes to
compensation
might be justified.
Explained if and
why changes to
compensation
might be needed to
implement the
proposed solutions.
Offered insightful
analysis as to why
compensation
changes might be
needed.
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion ScoreCriteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion Score
Communication:
Use of tone,
word choice,
audience,
transitions, and
progression of
ideas.
/ 5
Mechanics: Use
of grammar,
sentence
structure, and
spelling.
/ 5
Submission
contained no
discernible overall
intent in author’s
selection of ideas.
Submission
contained random
presentation of
ideas, which
prevented
understanding the
majority of author’s
overall intent.
Ideas presented in
a way that forced
the reader to make
repeated inferences
in order to identify
and follow the
author’s overall
intent.
The reader could
follow the author’s
overall intent as
stated.
The writer’s overall
argument and
language were clear
and tightly focused,
leaving the reader
with no room for
confusion about
author’s intent.
Errors in basic
writing conventions
were sufficiently
numerous to
prevent reader
comprehension.
Errors in basic
writing conventions
were sufficiently
numerous to
prevent reader
comprehension of
majority of the
work.
Errors in basic
writing conventions
interfered with, but
did not prevent,
reader
comprehension.
The reader noticed
a few errors in
basic writing
conventions but
these few errors
did not interfere
with reader
comprehension.
Test was basically
error free, so that a
reader would have
to purposely search
to find any errors
that may be
present.
Total / 50
Criteria
No Submission
0 points
Emerging (F
through D Range)
(1-2)
2 points
Satisfactory (C
Range) (3)
3 points
Proficient (B
Range) (4)
4 points
Exemplary (A
Range) (5)
5 points
Criterion Score
Academic/APA/
PPT Formatting
Use of citations,
references, and
structural
formatting
including title
page, running
head, page
numbers,
headings, title
slides, graphics,
data, notes
section, (as
appropriate),
introduction,
and conclusion.
/ 5No attempt at
Academic/APA/PP
T formatting in
presentation.
Academic/APA/PP
T format
attempted, but
errors were
significant,
preventing
comprehension of
message.
Academic/APA/PP
T format attempted
but errors were
distracting.
Used
Academic/APA/PP
T format
accurately. Errors
noticeable but
minor.
Used
Academic/APA/PP
T format
proficiently. Work
basically error free.
Overall Score
No Submission
0 points minimum
Emerging (F through D Range)
1 point minimum
Satisfactory (C Range)
35 points minimum
Proficient (B Range)
40 points minimum
Exemplary (A Range)
45 points minimum
Excel Independent Challenge 2
Create the worksheet (name it DATA) shown below. Wait to
create the Pivot Table until
instructed to do so.
You work for Brain Trust, a home-based business that creates
and manufactures 3-D
printed toys for all age groups. The Excel spreadsheet just
created shows the category,
related age-group, inventory quantity, and sales price for each
item.
1. Apply Data Bars (Hint: Conditional Formatting) to the Total
column. (Your choice
of color).
2. Apply Conditional Formatting of your choice to the Age
Group Column so that it
is easy to see each Age Group.
3. Insert a new worksheet into your workbook. Name it
REPORT..
4. Create the illustrated Pivot Table sorting on Category and
Total.
5. Format the Totals in the Pivot Chart as Accounting.
6. Change the Quantity of STEM Card Sets to 500 and Foam and
Foam and Clay
Kit to 100.
7. Apply Data Bars (Hint: Conditional Formatting) to the Total
column. (Your choice
of color).
8. Apply Conditional Formatting of your choice to the Age
Group Column so that it
is easy to see each Age Group.
9. Create each of the graphs described below and put on a
separate worksheet
labeled using the “letter” shown beside the description. In other
words, you will
have a worksheet labeled “a”, “b”, etc. You will add a
descriptive title to each
chart and a legend of your choosing.
a. Create a Pie Chart that shows each Category as a Percentage
of Total
Sales.
b. Create a Pie Chart that shows Quantity of each item as a
percentage of
total quantity.
c. Create a Line Chart that shows the total in dollars of each
item in the
Toddler category.
d. Extra-Credit: Create a 2-D column chart that shows Quantity
(of units by
Category).
Excel Independent Challenge 1
Create the six-month budget shown in the picture below.
Sunlight Systems is a small-
consulting company that advises consumers and business about
energy options. Apply
the following formatting to the spreadsheet:
1. Landscape Orientation
2. Apply the Integral Theme
3. Use Median Color Theme to apply shading as shown. (Your
choice).
4. Enter Formulas to derive Totals cells through worksheet.
5. Profit/Loss formula is Total Revenues minus Total Expenses.
6. Save the file as Excel Independent Challenge 1.
Answer the following questions and insert the answers in the
question blanks at the
bottom of the spreadsheet:
1. In February, you estimate that three new business will ask for
consultations at an
average rate of 1200 per consultation. These contracts are in
addition to the
current revenue for consultations. You project that the contract
revenue
generated in February will increase by 5 percent in March, 10
percent in April,
then 20 percent in May and June. Calculate all increases based
on February
revenue. Hint: The formula for cell D6 is =$C$6*1.05. What is
the total revenue
for consulting in cell H6? Enter the cell address H^ in cell B20.
2. Make the salaries expense for both May and June $15,000.
What is the total
salaries expense for the six-month period after the change.
3. Increase the advertising costs for March by 30% of the costs
for February. Hint:
The required formula is =C14*1.3. Enter the answer to Question
3 using a cell
address.
4. Double the equipment lease for March. What is the total
projected profit/loss for
March after the increase? Insert a cell address in B23 which is
the answer to
question 4.
5. Create a pie chart (using totals after steps 1-4 above are
applied) that shows the
percentage of each expense for the six-month period as a part of
the total
expense. (What percentage was Salaries, Rent, etc. of the total
expense?) Insert
the chart under the spreadsheet. Add a title to the chart. Add
labels for each pie
segment. Show percentages for each segment. Display the labels
outside the
pie. HINT: Think carefully when you are choosing your ranges
for the pie chart.
1
Productivity In More Depth
Getting all you can out of what you have
In this course, you will focus on processes, usually including
people (labor), capital equipment, and
activities to create the good or the service. Throughout this
course, you will consider the following
questions:
• How do you change the inputs into outputs?
• What impact do these inputs have on an organization?
• How can you improve the performance of these processes?
As children, most people learn about the five Ws (who, what,
where, when, and why) of writing a paper.
The same basic questions are important in OM. As an operations
manager, you need be aware of the
following:
• Who will do the work (staffing decisions)?
• What is the product or the service?
• Where will the production happen (in what facility or on what
production line)?
• When will the production happen (the planning of input and
output)?
• Why is there a need for the product or the service (to meet
customer demand)?
Due to the fact that the profit of many organizations (after all
expenses have been taken into consideration)
is often not much larger than 2%, the ability to save $2 in the
operations of a company has the same net
impact on the organization’s bottom line as does a sales
increase of $100. Using this relationship, since it is
often easier to save $200 than to increase sales by $10,000, it is
vital to have an understanding of operations
and how to effectively manage OM processes.
In the Operations and Productivity video, you were introduced
to the calculation of productivity. That
equation can be used for a single input resource to calculate
what is considered a “partial” (or “single
factor”) productivity measure. For example, if you used 25
hours of labor make 100 widgets, your partial
productivity would be 4 (four widgets per hour of labor).
Besides labor hours, you would also use materials, capital,
energy, and overhead when making the widgets.
Including more of these variables in your productivity measure
will give you a broader view of system
productivity. This type of productivity measure is a multifactor
productivity measure, in which you can use
two or more inputs, typically represented in dollars. When all
factors are included in such a multifactor
measure, it is known as a total productivity measure.
2 Productivity In More Depth
Getting all you can out of what you have
Generally, you need to be concerned about three key
productivity variables: labor, capital, and
management. A change in these variables will directly link to
productivity, and the variables are often the
focus of productivity improvement projects.
© 2017 South University
Page 2 of 2
Operations Management
©2017 South University
Forecasts and Errors
Can We Predict The Future?
Let’s use the following table to demonstrate how forecasts
differ on the basis of the selected technique.
Using each technique, you’ll estimate the demand for Week 10.
Week Demand
1 960
2 1,340
3 1,790
4 1,500
5 1,220
6 1,710
7 1,140
8 1,030
9 1,560
Naïve Approach: This is the easiest forecasting technique. The
forecast for the demand in the next period
is equal to the sales in the previous period. Therefore, the
forecast for the demand in Week 10 is 1,560.
Moving Averages: This technique is slightly more difficult. You
need to use the historical demand over a
specific number of periods in order to estimate the demand in
the next period. If you’re using a three-week
moving average, the forecast for the demand in Week 10 will be
equal to the sum of the demand in the
previous three weeks divided by 3.
(1,140 + 1,030 + 1,560)/3 = 1,243.33 ~ 1,244 units
Note: In forecasting, you always need to round off (represented
by ~) because you can’t produce partial
units such as 1,243.33. Rounding is usually done in the upward
direction, as you want to be sure to able to
plan on enough inventory (or capacity) for the level of demand
that you are anticipating.
Exponential Smoothing: This technique is a bit more
complicated than the moving average forecast.
Exponential smoothing uses a smoothing factor, α (the Greek
symbol alpha), having a value between 0 and
1 to weigh the difference between the demand and forecast for
the last period. For example, if the forecast
for Week 9 is 1,294 ([1,710 + 1,140 + 1,030]/3) using a three
week moving average and α = 0.15, the
forecast for Week 10 will be:
2 Forecasts and Errors
Can You Predict The Future?
1,294 + 0.15(1,560 – 1,294) = 1,294 + 0.15(266) = 1,294 + 39.9
= 1,333.9 ~ 1,334
Now we turn our attention to measures that check the accuracy
of a forecast. As stated in the video lecture,
three of the most commonly used measures of forecast accuracy
are MAD, MSE, and MAPE. The
following table shows the forecast and actual demand data for a
product for five weeks. On the basis of this
information, we wish to calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE,
in order to determine how effective the
forecasts have been.
Note that the “Error Squared” column in the table is simply
generated by multiplying the value in the
“Deviation” column by itself (“squaring” it). Also, note that
the “Absolute Percent Error” column is
calculated by dividing the value in the “Absolute Deviation”
column by the value in the “Actual” column,
and expressing it as a percentage (by multiplying it by 100).
Week Forecast Actual Deviation Absolute
Deviation
Error
Squared
Absolute
Percent
Error
1 10 12.4 2.4 2.4 5.76 19.35%
2 10 8.2 -1.8 1.8 3.24 21.95%
3 10 11.2 1.2 1.2 1.44 10.71%
4 10 9.7 -0.3 0.3 0.09 3.09%
5 10 10.7 0.7 0.7 0.49 6.54%
Sum 6.4 11.2 0.616552
MAD = Sum of absolute deviation / n = 6.4/5 = 1.28
MSE = Sum of errors squared / n = 11.02/5 = 2.204
MAPE = (100 × Absolute percent error) / n = (100 ×
0.616552)/5 = 12.33%
Therefore:
MAD MSE MAPE
1.28 2.204 12.33%
What do these values tell you? Is a MAD of 1.28 good or bad?
This is difficult to say. Organizations may
compare such values among several forecasting techniques (like
those discussed above) in order to
determine what is “good enough” as a forecast.
The MAD can change based on the magnitude of the data. The
MAD measures the dispersion of the
observed values from the expected value. You organization
must make a judgment as to whether or not
your forecast is doing an adequate job in terms of the MAD
value. The MSE measures the squared
differences between the actual demand and the forecast demand.
Like the MAD, the MSE can change based
Page 2 of 3
Operations Management
©2017 South University
3 Forecasts and Errors
Can You Predict The Future?
on the magnitude of the data. The MAPE measures the average
of the absolute differences between the
forecast demand and the actual demand. The MAPE value of 12
percent indicates that, on average, your
forecast is off by 12 percent.
© 2017 South University
Page 3 of 3
Operations Management
©2017 South University
Forecasting
Life is full of uncertainties. You don't know what the weather
will be tomorrow or what your
organization's sales �gures will be. However, you can try to
predict the future. You can use the weather
forecast to estimate the weather and historical sales data to
predict future sales.
In a business environment, a forecast is often an estimate of
future demand. A forecast can be
quantitative or qualitative. In addition, it can be based on
factors that are either internal or external to
the organization.
Forecasts help reduce uncertainty as well as anticipate and
manage change. There are three types of
forecasts: economic, technological, and demand. In this course,
you will focus on demand forecasts. An
operations manager uses forecasts to anticipate inventory and
capacity demand, manage lead times,
estimate costs for budgeting, and improve productivity.
Let's start with qualitative forecasts. There are no numbers
involved in generating a qualitative
analysis. There are multiple methods, such as expert opinions or
a consensus, which an organization
can use to collect data without performing a numerical analysis.
Focus groups and market research are
used to collect data on a new product in case historical data is
not available.
Another way to forecast a new product is to conduct a historical
analogy. This process works especially
well when the new product is similar to a previous product of
the organization. The use of historical
analogy assumes that the results experienced in offering the new
product will be similar to the results
experienced when the previous product was launched.
In some situations, a qualitative forecast is appropriate.
However, in other cases, a qualitative forecast
can be developed in conjunction with a quantitative forecast.
Such quantitative forecasts will be
discussed next.
Quantitative Forecasting
Quantitative forecasts are number based. They may be simple or
may rely heavily on statistical
methods.
You can determine the quality of a forecast by calculating a
number of different measures of forecast
accuracy. Among the most widely used are the mean absolute
deviation (MAD), the mean squared
error (MSE), or the mean absolute percent error (MAPE).
Besides forecast accuracy, other factors also should be
considered when evaluating a forecast. For
example, is the data seasonal? What are the current trends? Are
the customers' preferences changing?
These factors can have an impact on the forecast and need to be
included. Seasonality can be included
through the use of a seasonal index that relates the average
demand in a period to the average demand
in all periods.
A forecast can be created by graphing a series of historical data
points and then �tting a line to the
series to predict future values. This graph is considered a trend
projection because it assumes the
future will follow the current trend and the same path.
Another technique that helps you forecast demand is regression.
This technique assumes a linear
relationship between the independent and dependent variables.
Regression differs from other
forecasting techniques because it can provide a distribution of
possible values rather than a single
value. This distribution is referred to as the standard error of
the estimate. In addition, a regression
equation indicates through the coef�cient of correlation how
closely the model represents your data.
Quantitative forecasts require calculation. See the
Supplemental Media entitled “Forecasts and
Errors” in order to review multiple forecasting techniques and
the calculations associated with the
measures of forecast error listed in the video.
Additional Materials
Forecasts and Errors
(media/week2/SUO_MGT3059%20W2%20L3%20Forecasts%20
And%20Errors.pdf?
_&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=8645
8)
https://myclasses.southuniversity.edu/content/enforced/86458-
17101179/media/week2/SUO_MGT3059%20W2%20L3%20Fore
casts%20And%20Errors.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvL
XZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=86458
Operations and Productivity
How do you de�ne OM? One simple de�nition is taking a set
of inputs and transforming these into an
output. For example, you might have two slices of bread,
peanut butter, and grape jelly (three inputs).
From those inputs, you can assemble them (a process) into a
peanut butter and jelly sandwich (an
output).
What is considered an input? That depends on the situation. It
could be raw materials, information, or
customers themselves. The output could be a product or a
service.
It is easy to understand a product; it's something you can feel
and touch. However, if someone is a
consultant, it may not be clear what is being offered by the
person. This is a key difference between
goods and services. A service is usually intangible, being
produced and consumed simultaneously.
There are many key decisions that need to be made within an
organization, and OM plays an important
role. It creates the goods or services that are sold by the
organization. However, it is also an expensive
activity, because most of the money within the organization is
spent in OM.
No matter what type of product is being produced, an
organization is interested in utilizing its
resources well. Organizations must focus on making the best use
of their resources (labor, equipment,
and activities).
To determine how well you are doing as an organization or a
department, it’s necessary to measure
your performance or productivity. This is calculated as the
ratio of outputs to inputs.
Productivity=
Units Produced
=
Outputs
Inputs used Inputs
For example, if it takes 100 hours of work to make 100 widgets,
you have a productivity factor of 1. If
you make an improvement to your process and now take only 50
hours to make 100 widgets, you’ve
doubled your productivity to a factor of 2.
The relationship between operations and productivity has many
other �ne points that must be
considered. Review the Supplemental Media entitled
“Productivity In More Depth” to understand
some of these �ner points.
Additional Materials
Productivity In More Depth
(media/week1/SUO_MGT3059%20W1%20L1%20Productivity%
20In%20More%20Depth.pdf?
_&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=8645
8)
https://myclasses.southuniversity.edu/content/enforced/86458-
17101179/media/week1/SUO_MGT3059%20W1%20L1%20Prod
uctivity%20In%20More%20Depth.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=SWzq
LkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=86458

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MGT3059 Week 2 Project RubricCourse MGT3059-Operations Mana

  • 1. MGT3059 Week 2 Project Rubric Course: MGT3059-Operations Management SU01 Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points Satisfactory (C Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5) 5 points Criterion Score Identified inefficiencies in the way that
  • 2. human resources are utilized in a business at which you have worked in the past or with which you are familiar. / 5Did not identify inefficiencies in the way that human resources are utilized. Described human resource utilization in a way that indicated that the current practices
  • 3. were as efficient as possible. Described human resource utilizations that are not clearly inefficient. Identified inefficiencies in the way that human resources are utilized in a business at which you have worked in the past or with which you are familiar. Provided insightful
  • 4. observations as to why human resources are not being utilized efficiently. Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-6) 6 points Satisfactory (C Range) (7) 7 points Proficient (B Range) (8) 8 points Exemplary (A Range) (9-10) 10 points Criterion Score
  • 5. Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-6) 6 points Satisfactory (C Range) (7) 7 points Proficient (B Range) (8) 8 points Exemplary (A Range) (9-10) 10 points Criterion Score Proposed solutions to eliminate inefficiency in terms of the use of human resources.
  • 6. / 10Did not suggest solutions that might eliminate the inefficiencies. Proposed solutions that would actually decrease efficiency. Proposed solutions that did not appear to be directly related to the inefficiency under discussion. Proposed solutions that might eliminate the inefficiency in terms of the use of
  • 7. human resources. Offered thoughtful solutions to the inefficiency problem in human resource deployment. Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points Satisfactory (C Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5) 5 points Criterion Score
  • 8. Defined changes to job designs that might be needed to implement the proposed solutions. / 5Did not suggest job design changes that might be needed. Described changes to job designs that would make it less likely to be able to improve efficiency. Described changes to job design that
  • 9. are not clearly related to proposed solutions. Defined changes to job designs that might be needed to implement the proposed solutions. Provided clever and convincing proposals to change job designs. Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points Satisfactory (C
  • 10. Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5) 5 points Criterion Score Identified changes to work measurement that might be needed to implement the proposed solutions. / 5Did not define changes to work measurement that
  • 11. might be needed. Identified work measurement changes that would lessen the ability to implement the proposed solutions. Suggested changes to work measurement that would not have an impact on the success of the proposed solutions. Identified changes to work measurement that might be needed to
  • 12. implement the proposed solutions. Offered changes to work measurement, including a clear rationale for each such change. Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-6) 6 points Satisfactory (C Range) (7) 7 points Proficient (B Range) (8) 8 points Exemplary (A Range) (9-10) 10 points Criterion Score
  • 13. Explained if and why changes to compensation might be needed to implement the proposed solutions. / 10Did not discuss changes in compensation. Provided irrational explanations as to why compensation changes might be needed. Did not offer a clear rationale as to
  • 14. whether or not changes to compensation might be justified. Explained if and why changes to compensation might be needed to implement the proposed solutions. Offered insightful analysis as to why compensation changes might be needed. Criteria No Submission 0 points
  • 15. Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points Satisfactory (C Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5) 5 points Criterion ScoreCriteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points Satisfactory (C Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5)
  • 16. 5 points Criterion Score Communication: Use of tone, word choice, audience, transitions, and progression of ideas. / 5 Mechanics: Use of grammar, sentence structure, and spelling. / 5 Submission contained no
  • 17. discernible overall intent in author’s selection of ideas. Submission contained random presentation of ideas, which prevented understanding the majority of author’s overall intent. Ideas presented in a way that forced the reader to make repeated inferences in order to identify and follow the author’s overall
  • 18. intent. The reader could follow the author’s overall intent as stated. The writer’s overall argument and language were clear and tightly focused, leaving the reader with no room for confusion about author’s intent. Errors in basic writing conventions were sufficiently numerous to prevent reader
  • 19. comprehension. Errors in basic writing conventions were sufficiently numerous to prevent reader comprehension of majority of the work. Errors in basic writing conventions interfered with, but did not prevent, reader comprehension. The reader noticed a few errors in basic writing
  • 20. conventions but these few errors did not interfere with reader comprehension. Test was basically error free, so that a reader would have to purposely search to find any errors that may be present. Total / 50 Criteria No Submission 0 points Emerging (F through D Range) (1-2) 2 points
  • 21. Satisfactory (C Range) (3) 3 points Proficient (B Range) (4) 4 points Exemplary (A Range) (5) 5 points Criterion Score Academic/APA/ PPT Formatting Use of citations, references, and structural formatting including title page, running head, page numbers, headings, title
  • 22. slides, graphics, data, notes section, (as appropriate), introduction, and conclusion. / 5No attempt at Academic/APA/PP T formatting in presentation. Academic/APA/PP T format attempted, but errors were significant, preventing comprehension of message.
  • 23. Academic/APA/PP T format attempted but errors were distracting. Used Academic/APA/PP T format accurately. Errors noticeable but minor. Used Academic/APA/PP T format proficiently. Work basically error free. Overall Score No Submission 0 points minimum
  • 24. Emerging (F through D Range) 1 point minimum Satisfactory (C Range) 35 points minimum Proficient (B Range) 40 points minimum Exemplary (A Range) 45 points minimum Excel Independent Challenge 2 Create the worksheet (name it DATA) shown below. Wait to create the Pivot Table until instructed to do so. You work for Brain Trust, a home-based business that creates and manufactures 3-D printed toys for all age groups. The Excel spreadsheet just created shows the category, related age-group, inventory quantity, and sales price for each item. 1. Apply Data Bars (Hint: Conditional Formatting) to the Total column. (Your choice
  • 25. of color). 2. Apply Conditional Formatting of your choice to the Age Group Column so that it is easy to see each Age Group. 3. Insert a new worksheet into your workbook. Name it REPORT.. 4. Create the illustrated Pivot Table sorting on Category and Total. 5. Format the Totals in the Pivot Chart as Accounting. 6. Change the Quantity of STEM Card Sets to 500 and Foam and Foam and Clay Kit to 100. 7. Apply Data Bars (Hint: Conditional Formatting) to the Total column. (Your choice of color). 8. Apply Conditional Formatting of your choice to the Age Group Column so that it is easy to see each Age Group. 9. Create each of the graphs described below and put on a separate worksheet labeled using the “letter” shown beside the description. In other
  • 26. words, you will have a worksheet labeled “a”, “b”, etc. You will add a descriptive title to each chart and a legend of your choosing. a. Create a Pie Chart that shows each Category as a Percentage of Total Sales. b. Create a Pie Chart that shows Quantity of each item as a percentage of total quantity. c. Create a Line Chart that shows the total in dollars of each item in the Toddler category. d. Extra-Credit: Create a 2-D column chart that shows Quantity (of units by Category). Excel Independent Challenge 1 Create the six-month budget shown in the picture below.
  • 27. Sunlight Systems is a small- consulting company that advises consumers and business about energy options. Apply the following formatting to the spreadsheet: 1. Landscape Orientation 2. Apply the Integral Theme 3. Use Median Color Theme to apply shading as shown. (Your choice). 4. Enter Formulas to derive Totals cells through worksheet. 5. Profit/Loss formula is Total Revenues minus Total Expenses. 6. Save the file as Excel Independent Challenge 1. Answer the following questions and insert the answers in the question blanks at the bottom of the spreadsheet: 1. In February, you estimate that three new business will ask for consultations at an average rate of 1200 per consultation. These contracts are in addition to the current revenue for consultations. You project that the contract revenue generated in February will increase by 5 percent in March, 10 percent in April,
  • 28. then 20 percent in May and June. Calculate all increases based on February revenue. Hint: The formula for cell D6 is =$C$6*1.05. What is the total revenue for consulting in cell H6? Enter the cell address H^ in cell B20. 2. Make the salaries expense for both May and June $15,000. What is the total salaries expense for the six-month period after the change. 3. Increase the advertising costs for March by 30% of the costs for February. Hint: The required formula is =C14*1.3. Enter the answer to Question 3 using a cell address. 4. Double the equipment lease for March. What is the total projected profit/loss for March after the increase? Insert a cell address in B23 which is the answer to question 4. 5. Create a pie chart (using totals after steps 1-4 above are applied) that shows the percentage of each expense for the six-month period as a part of the total
  • 29. expense. (What percentage was Salaries, Rent, etc. of the total expense?) Insert the chart under the spreadsheet. Add a title to the chart. Add labels for each pie segment. Show percentages for each segment. Display the labels outside the pie. HINT: Think carefully when you are choosing your ranges for the pie chart. 1 Productivity In More Depth Getting all you can out of what you have In this course, you will focus on processes, usually including people (labor), capital equipment, and activities to create the good or the service. Throughout this course, you will consider the following questions: • How do you change the inputs into outputs? • What impact do these inputs have on an organization?
  • 30. • How can you improve the performance of these processes? As children, most people learn about the five Ws (who, what, where, when, and why) of writing a paper. The same basic questions are important in OM. As an operations manager, you need be aware of the following: • Who will do the work (staffing decisions)? • What is the product or the service? • Where will the production happen (in what facility or on what production line)? • When will the production happen (the planning of input and output)? • Why is there a need for the product or the service (to meet customer demand)? Due to the fact that the profit of many organizations (after all expenses have been taken into consideration) is often not much larger than 2%, the ability to save $2 in the operations of a company has the same net impact on the organization’s bottom line as does a sales increase of $100. Using this relationship, since it is often easier to save $200 than to increase sales by $10,000, it is vital to have an understanding of operations and how to effectively manage OM processes. In the Operations and Productivity video, you were introduced to the calculation of productivity. That equation can be used for a single input resource to calculate what is considered a “partial” (or “single factor”) productivity measure. For example, if you used 25
  • 31. hours of labor make 100 widgets, your partial productivity would be 4 (four widgets per hour of labor). Besides labor hours, you would also use materials, capital, energy, and overhead when making the widgets. Including more of these variables in your productivity measure will give you a broader view of system productivity. This type of productivity measure is a multifactor productivity measure, in which you can use two or more inputs, typically represented in dollars. When all factors are included in such a multifactor measure, it is known as a total productivity measure. 2 Productivity In More Depth Getting all you can out of what you have Generally, you need to be concerned about three key productivity variables: labor, capital, and management. A change in these variables will directly link to productivity, and the variables are often the focus of productivity improvement projects. © 2017 South University Page 2 of 2 Operations Management
  • 32. ©2017 South University Forecasts and Errors Can We Predict The Future? Let’s use the following table to demonstrate how forecasts differ on the basis of the selected technique. Using each technique, you’ll estimate the demand for Week 10. Week Demand 1 960 2 1,340 3 1,790 4 1,500 5 1,220 6 1,710 7 1,140 8 1,030 9 1,560
  • 33. Naïve Approach: This is the easiest forecasting technique. The forecast for the demand in the next period is equal to the sales in the previous period. Therefore, the forecast for the demand in Week 10 is 1,560. Moving Averages: This technique is slightly more difficult. You need to use the historical demand over a specific number of periods in order to estimate the demand in the next period. If you’re using a three-week moving average, the forecast for the demand in Week 10 will be equal to the sum of the demand in the previous three weeks divided by 3. (1,140 + 1,030 + 1,560)/3 = 1,243.33 ~ 1,244 units Note: In forecasting, you always need to round off (represented by ~) because you can’t produce partial units such as 1,243.33. Rounding is usually done in the upward direction, as you want to be sure to able to plan on enough inventory (or capacity) for the level of demand that you are anticipating. Exponential Smoothing: This technique is a bit more complicated than the moving average forecast. Exponential smoothing uses a smoothing factor, α (the Greek symbol alpha), having a value between 0 and 1 to weigh the difference between the demand and forecast for the last period. For example, if the forecast for Week 9 is 1,294 ([1,710 + 1,140 + 1,030]/3) using a three week moving average and α = 0.15, the forecast for Week 10 will be:
  • 34. 2 Forecasts and Errors Can You Predict The Future? 1,294 + 0.15(1,560 – 1,294) = 1,294 + 0.15(266) = 1,294 + 39.9 = 1,333.9 ~ 1,334 Now we turn our attention to measures that check the accuracy of a forecast. As stated in the video lecture, three of the most commonly used measures of forecast accuracy are MAD, MSE, and MAPE. The following table shows the forecast and actual demand data for a product for five weeks. On the basis of this information, we wish to calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE, in order to determine how effective the forecasts have been. Note that the “Error Squared” column in the table is simply generated by multiplying the value in the “Deviation” column by itself (“squaring” it). Also, note that the “Absolute Percent Error” column is calculated by dividing the value in the “Absolute Deviation” column by the value in the “Actual” column, and expressing it as a percentage (by multiplying it by 100). Week Forecast Actual Deviation Absolute Deviation Error Squared Absolute Percent
  • 35. Error 1 10 12.4 2.4 2.4 5.76 19.35% 2 10 8.2 -1.8 1.8 3.24 21.95% 3 10 11.2 1.2 1.2 1.44 10.71% 4 10 9.7 -0.3 0.3 0.09 3.09% 5 10 10.7 0.7 0.7 0.49 6.54% Sum 6.4 11.2 0.616552 MAD = Sum of absolute deviation / n = 6.4/5 = 1.28 MSE = Sum of errors squared / n = 11.02/5 = 2.204 MAPE = (100 × Absolute percent error) / n = (100 × 0.616552)/5 = 12.33% Therefore: MAD MSE MAPE 1.28 2.204 12.33% What do these values tell you? Is a MAD of 1.28 good or bad? This is difficult to say. Organizations may compare such values among several forecasting techniques (like those discussed above) in order to determine what is “good enough” as a forecast. The MAD can change based on the magnitude of the data. The
  • 36. MAD measures the dispersion of the observed values from the expected value. You organization must make a judgment as to whether or not your forecast is doing an adequate job in terms of the MAD value. The MSE measures the squared differences between the actual demand and the forecast demand. Like the MAD, the MSE can change based Page 2 of 3 Operations Management ©2017 South University 3 Forecasts and Errors Can You Predict The Future? on the magnitude of the data. The MAPE measures the average of the absolute differences between the forecast demand and the actual demand. The MAPE value of 12 percent indicates that, on average, your forecast is off by 12 percent. © 2017 South University Page 3 of 3
  • 37. Operations Management ©2017 South University Forecasting Life is full of uncertainties. You don't know what the weather will be tomorrow or what your organization's sales �gures will be. However, you can try to predict the future. You can use the weather forecast to estimate the weather and historical sales data to predict future sales. In a business environment, a forecast is often an estimate of future demand. A forecast can be quantitative or qualitative. In addition, it can be based on factors that are either internal or external to the organization. Forecasts help reduce uncertainty as well as anticipate and manage change. There are three types of forecasts: economic, technological, and demand. In this course, you will focus on demand forecasts. An operations manager uses forecasts to anticipate inventory and capacity demand, manage lead times,
  • 38. estimate costs for budgeting, and improve productivity. Let's start with qualitative forecasts. There are no numbers involved in generating a qualitative analysis. There are multiple methods, such as expert opinions or a consensus, which an organization can use to collect data without performing a numerical analysis. Focus groups and market research are used to collect data on a new product in case historical data is not available. Another way to forecast a new product is to conduct a historical analogy. This process works especially well when the new product is similar to a previous product of the organization. The use of historical analogy assumes that the results experienced in offering the new product will be similar to the results experienced when the previous product was launched. In some situations, a qualitative forecast is appropriate. However, in other cases, a qualitative forecast can be developed in conjunction with a quantitative forecast. Such quantitative forecasts will be discussed next.
  • 39. Quantitative Forecasting Quantitative forecasts are number based. They may be simple or may rely heavily on statistical methods. You can determine the quality of a forecast by calculating a number of different measures of forecast accuracy. Among the most widely used are the mean absolute deviation (MAD), the mean squared error (MSE), or the mean absolute percent error (MAPE). Besides forecast accuracy, other factors also should be considered when evaluating a forecast. For example, is the data seasonal? What are the current trends? Are the customers' preferences changing? These factors can have an impact on the forecast and need to be included. Seasonality can be included through the use of a seasonal index that relates the average demand in a period to the average demand in all periods. A forecast can be created by graphing a series of historical data points and then �tting a line to the series to predict future values. This graph is considered a trend projection because it assumes the future will follow the current trend and the same path.
  • 40. Another technique that helps you forecast demand is regression. This technique assumes a linear relationship between the independent and dependent variables. Regression differs from other forecasting techniques because it can provide a distribution of possible values rather than a single value. This distribution is referred to as the standard error of the estimate. In addition, a regression equation indicates through the coef�cient of correlation how closely the model represents your data. Quantitative forecasts require calculation. See the Supplemental Media entitled “Forecasts and Errors” in order to review multiple forecasting techniques and the calculations associated with the measures of forecast error listed in the video. Additional Materials Forecasts and Errors (media/week2/SUO_MGT3059%20W2%20L3%20Forecasts%20 And%20Errors.pdf? _&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=8645 8) https://myclasses.southuniversity.edu/content/enforced/86458- 17101179/media/week2/SUO_MGT3059%20W2%20L3%20Fore casts%20And%20Errors.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvL
  • 41. XZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=86458 Operations and Productivity How do you de�ne OM? One simple de�nition is taking a set of inputs and transforming these into an output. For example, you might have two slices of bread, peanut butter, and grape jelly (three inputs). From those inputs, you can assemble them (a process) into a peanut butter and jelly sandwich (an output). What is considered an input? That depends on the situation. It could be raw materials, information, or customers themselves. The output could be a product or a service. It is easy to understand a product; it's something you can feel and touch. However, if someone is a consultant, it may not be clear what is being offered by the person. This is a key difference between goods and services. A service is usually intangible, being produced and consumed simultaneously. There are many key decisions that need to be made within an organization, and OM plays an important role. It creates the goods or services that are sold by the organization. However, it is also an expensive
  • 42. activity, because most of the money within the organization is spent in OM. No matter what type of product is being produced, an organization is interested in utilizing its resources well. Organizations must focus on making the best use of their resources (labor, equipment, and activities). To determine how well you are doing as an organization or a department, it’s necessary to measure your performance or productivity. This is calculated as the ratio of outputs to inputs. Productivity= Units Produced = Outputs Inputs used Inputs For example, if it takes 100 hours of work to make 100 widgets, you have a productivity factor of 1. If you make an improvement to your process and now take only 50 hours to make 100 widgets, you’ve doubled your productivity to a factor of 2. The relationship between operations and productivity has many other �ne points that must be
  • 43. considered. Review the Supplemental Media entitled “Productivity In More Depth” to understand some of these �ner points. Additional Materials Productivity In More Depth (media/week1/SUO_MGT3059%20W1%20L1%20Productivity% 20In%20More%20Depth.pdf? _&d2lSessionVal=SWzqLkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=8645 8) https://myclasses.southuniversity.edu/content/enforced/86458- 17101179/media/week1/SUO_MGT3059%20W1%20L1%20Prod uctivity%20In%20More%20Depth.pdf?_&d2lSessionVal=SWzq LkE3HvLXZkZ375Dqp03nU&ou=86458