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Food Delivery Tech:
Battle for the
European Consumer
March 2017
data contribution from
Research by
Manual curation &
research by Dealroom
Machine learning and
natural language
processing
12,000+ contributors
(founders, VCs, analysts)
Automatic data feeds
and web crawlers
■ Founded in 2013 in Amsterdam, Dealroom provides a 360° view on
Europe’s high-growth industries, tracking over 500,000 companies
and 10,000 investors in Europe and beyond
■ Dealroom enables venture capital & private equity firms,
corporates, consultants and investment banks to find growth
opportunities, conduct market intelligence research, and stay ahead
of developments
■ Data is sourced and consolidated from multiple sources, including:
internal manual research; contributions from over 12,000 local
market experts such as journalists, VCs and founders; automatic
data feeds and crawlers; machine learning and natural language
processing to organise data and spot below the radar companies
■ Dealroom membership is free
Authors of this report:
■ Yoram Wijngaarde (yoram@dealroom.co)
Founder & CEO at Dealroom
Formerly M&A at Lehman Brothers and NOAH
■ Sara de Miguel (sara@dealroom.co)
Data Analyst at Dealroom
Carlos III University, Madrid
Consolidating multiple data sources…
About Dealroom
2
… resulting in rich data-driven intelligence
About Priori Data
■ Priori Data is a leading mobile market intelligence company
■ Priori’s solutions provide customers with insights to help them
understand, benchmark, and track their mobile market share so
that they can win their mobile markets
■ Priori enables app businesses, agencies, marketers, and analysts to
benchmark performance against competitors, reveal competitor
mobile strategy, discover new opportunities, and identify emerging
trends in the app stores
■ The Company was founded in Berlin in 2013 by alumni of Morgan
Stanley, Google, and the University of Cambridge
Contributors to this report:
■ Patrick Kane (patrick@prioridata.com)
Founder & CEO at Priori Data
Vestar Capital Partners, Morgan Stanley, INSEAD
■ Simon Singharaj (simon@prioridata.com)
Director of Marketing at Priori Data
Jumia, Microsoft, EDHEC
Resulting in global, real-time Proprietary Data on apps
Priori’s crawlers collect Public Data from App Stores...
APPS
4m+
PUBLISHERS
1m+
TOP CHARTS
35k+
COUNTRIES
57
LANGUAGES
35
...which is combined with Confidential Data from partners
PARTNER
APPS
20k+
PARTNER
PUBLISHERS
1k+
MONTHLY
DOWNLOADS
150m+
MONTHLY
REVENUE
$50m+
Market Trends
Competitive Tracking
API
1. Introduction
2. Food tech economics
3. Consolidation wave
4. Market size and market share
5. Investment and exits
Contents
Introduction
5
About this report
▪ This report combines proprietary data from Dealroom and Priori Data with annual reports, investor presentations and equity research from
Just Eat, Takeaway.com and Rocket Internet. SimilarWeb data was used for online usage
▪ By combining these data-points, a market model was constructed to estimate the size and market share of key European markets
Eating habits
▪ Consumers are seeking convenience, resulting in a drive towards on-demand delivery and away from home-cooking
▪ Supermarkets are most likely to lose in this trend. Prepared grocery models (HelloFresh) are gaining scale, but economically not validated yet
▪ Majority of restaurants see trend as “a good thing for business” according to a recent UK survey by Morgan Stanley
Consolidation
and IPOs
▪ Just Eat and Takeaway.com have so far benefitted the most from this trend, through asset-light software-only operations with 50%+ margins
▪ Both outperformed: Just Eat’s share price more than doubled in 2 years since it’s IPO. Takeaway.com is up > 40% since their Oct ‘16 IPO
▪ Their model requires #1 or #2 market position to be profitable. Result: a wave of consolidation, and still more M&A anticipated (France?)
Increased
competition
▪ Deliveroo, Uber EATS and Amazon entered the market and scaled rapidly with a model offering full-service logistics
▪ This model involves more operating risk and requires enough population density (and higher order value) to work (Take Eat Easy failed)
▪ So far, these new models have not taken share from existing online marketplaces, but rather created a new premium market segment
Challenges
▪ Delivery Hero (38% Rocket owned) is likely getting ready to IPO. However, it is being challenged in some key markets by Takeaway (Germany,
Poland) and Just Eat (Italy). It absorbed loss making Food Panda but still lacks a clear cash-cow market position anywhere
▪ Conceivable that Delivery Hero is instead acquired by someone like Priceline, Expedia, Recruit
▪ Deliveroo was hit with strikes after trying to convert its drivers to a pay-per-delivery wage
▪ Uber lost some of its aura of invincibility. But now another powerhouse is also around the corner: Amazon
▪ Fully integrated models with own kitchen have struggled to make economics work (Spoonrocket closed) but others (Sprig, Maple, Forky) are
working to get the economics right
Outlook
▪ Just Eat and Takeaway.com has so far enjoyed a rapid path to profitability (Takeaway.com built a €1 billion business in relatively small market)
▪ There is still big upside, as online penetration of delivery and take-out is only about 15% in many parts of Europe (50% in UK and 30% in NL)
▪ The various models (Deliveroo vs. Just Eat) might soon converge: Just Eat is already starting to offer logistics services to restaurants to continue
expanding their footprint. Delivery Hero is heavily investing in the roll-out of Foodora, its full-service logistics brand
▪ The last mile and waste reduction are key to further unlocking the potential: high hopes for autonomous delivery (e.g. Starship Technologies)
Eating habits are evolving. Convenience is the driver
Grocery Delivery
Prepared
Groceries
Food Delivery
Restaurant
Bookings
Meal
Substitutes
Agritech Waste Reducing
Delivery & portal
Online Supermarkets:
:
Own fleet
Delivery software
Vertically integrated
6
1. Introduction
2. Food tech economics
3. Consolidation wave
4. Market size and market share
5. Investment and exits
Contents
8
Key considerations between the various models.
Operating risk ranging from low to very high
Home cooking No cooking
Supermarkets Prepared groceries Software only Own fleet & logistics Vertically integrated
Online supermarket eCommerce
Positives:
v Huge market
v Migration online
v High customer life-time value
v Revenues growing 15% YoY
v EBITDA margin 7%
Weekly boxes of around €50-100 / box
Positives:
v Nearly 1 million active subscribers
Avg € 750 revenue per sub
v Starting to focus on profitability by
reducing marketing spend
(but: churn and LTV are undisclosed)
12-15% commission / restaurant does delivery
Positives:
v Just Eat and Takeaway beating expectations
v Autonomous delivery potential
v New entrants (Deliveroo, Amazon, Uber are
targeting different premium segment, so far)
V EBITDA margin 50-60% in strong markets
30% commission + delivery fee
Positives:
v Ability to advertise on packaging and on
delivery vehicles
v Autonomous delivery potential
v Own kitchen to optimize fleet utilisation
v Model works best in dense + affluent areas
v Positioned as premium
Own kitchen and delivery logistics
Positives:
v Entire GMV equals revenue
v Domino’s UK has validated this business
model, at scale:
10% revenue growth
25% EBITDA margin
Considerations:
x EBITDA-Capex negative
x Cooking is losing its appeal
x Prevailing wisdom in tech circles that
this is a winner-takes-all logistics play
that may well become dominated by
Amazon
Considerations:
x Still EBITDA negative. Cost structure:
Cost of goods 43%
Fulfilment cost 35-40%
Marketing cost: 30% (discretionary)
Other opex: 3%
=
=> Negative 15% EBITDA margin
Considerations:
x Difficult economics in competitive and new
markets as low as 100% (FoodPanda) or close to
0% (Germany)
x May need to soon invest in logistics to continue
growth)
Considerations:
x Foodora is highly loss making for Delivery Hero,
but it continues to invest heavily in roll-out
x Take Eat Easy closed operations
x Dealing with rider strikes
x Amazon moving in too
Considerations:
x Operating risk: capacity utilization,
minimal waste are key
x Spoonrocket
x Less choice for consumer (one menu)
Market verdict:
- Market values Ocado at EBITDA
multiples similar to Amazon
(17-18x 2017E EBITDA)
Market verdict:
- Push to profitability, which will curb
growth
Market verdict:
- Strong performance of public players
- No clear sign of Delivery Hero IPO yet
Market verdict:
- Strong VC backing of Deliveroo model
Market verdict:
- Domino’s is valued 17-18x EBITDA
- VCs hesitant following SpoonRocket
9
Unit economics vary widely per model and
depending on market position and growth stage
Source: Dealroom estimates, annual reports, interviews. Delivery costs assume 2.5-3 rides per hour and €10/hour wage.
1. Blended rate net of payment fees.
2. Estimate by Morgan Stanley, Dealroom (based on public peers).
(17%)
19%
(91%)
(4%)
50%
(50%)
38%
(65%)
13%
Prepared groceries
(HelloFresh)
Software only (Just Eat, Takeaway,
Delivery Hero)
Own fleet (Deliveroo,
Uber EATS)
Fully integrated (Forky,
Sprig, Maple)
Per order:
Growth
phase
Steady state
Developing
markets
Developed
market, but
competitive
Market
leadership
Lower
density
areas
Affluent &
densely
populated
Developing
market
Developed
leadership
Order value € 75.0 € 75.0 € 12.0 € 20.0 € 20.0 € 20.0 € 30.0 € 10.0 € 20.0
x Commission
(1)
100% 100% 12% 12% 15% 30% 35% 100% 100%
= Net revenue per order € 75.0 € 75.0 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 6.0 € 10.5 € 10.0 € 20.0
-/- COGS 45% 40% – – – – – 40% 30%
-/- Labour / packaging 35% 30% – – – – – 35% 30%
= Product margin per order € 15.0 € 22.5 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 6.0 € 10.5 € 2.5 € 8.0
-/- Delivery (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) - - - (€ 5.0) (€ 4.0) (€ 5.0) (€ 3.0)
= Gross margin per order € 13.5 € 21.0 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 1.0 € 6.5 (€ 2.5) € 5.0
-/- Marketing (€ 25.0) (€ 5.0) (€ 1.8) (€ 1.5) (€ 0.5) (€ 2.5) (€ 1.0) (€ 2.5) (€ 1.0)
-/- Other unit costs (2)
(€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5)
= EBITDA per unit (€ 13.0) € 14.5 (€ 1.3) (€ 0.1) € 1.5 (€ 3.0) € 4.0 (€ 6.5) € 2.5
% EBITDA margins:
New entrants have so far expanded market adding
new (premium) segments, rather than challenging
HQ London San Francisco Moscow Zurich Helsinki Athens
Copenhagen
Model Software + feel & logistics Software + feel & logistics Software + portal Software + portal Software + logistics Full service Recycle
Funding (€M) € 430M N/A € 10.9M N/A € 12.4M € 800K N/A
Launch year 2012 2014 2011 2008 2014 2014 2015
Monthly web users (1) 7.5M (+90%) 3M (+106%) 2.4M (+85%) 0.6 M 55 K 0.11M 63K
Cumulative app installs (1) 2.2M (+1,000% growth) 1.3M 5.7 M (+60% growth) N/A 0.27 M N/A 1M
Other KPIs
2,134 employees
Annual Revenues: £ 130M
Valuation £ 761M
N/A 52 employees N/A 85 employees 22 employees 62 employees
Countries
Europe: Belgium, France,
Germany, Italy, Ireland,
Netherlands, UK, Spain (3)
Europe: Amsterdam,
Bordeaux, Brussels,
London, Lyon, Madrid,
Manchester, Milan,
Moscow, Paris, Stockholm,
Vienna, Warsaw(4)
Russia Switzerland Estonia, Sweden, Finland Greece
Europe: UK, Denmark,
Norway, Germany, France,
Switzerland, Austria (5)
Traction
#2 in UK, Netherlands,
France after Just Eat
1.3M app installs from zero
installs 12 months ago.
Biggest growth in France
and UK
#1 in Russia
Partnership with Just Eat
(2011)
#1 in Switzerland
#1 in Finland
#2 in Greece after Delivery
Hero
1 M app installs from zero
installs 12 months ago.
Expansion to 7 countries in
2 years.
#2 in Denmark after Just
Eat
10
Source: Dealroom estimates, press releases, SimilarWeb, Priori Data.
1. In Europe. 2. ROW: Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, UAE. 3. ROW: United states, Canada, Colombia (Bogotá), Brazil (São Paulo), Australia, Thailand, UAE, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Japan (Tokyo), South Africa. 4. RWO: USA
Scale
Countries 15 11 65 1 6
Restaurants 62K 29K 128K 35K 1K
Gross merchandise value (GMV) € 3.4B € 1.2B € 3.8B € 3.6B € 0.5B
Net revenues (2017E) € 545M € 147M € 495M € 579M € 490M
Market position
Market leadership in UK, Denmark, Italy Netherlands USA UK
Market leader EBITDA margin 50% (UK) 60% profitable
EBITDA margin in new markets <0% <0% <0%
Group EBITDA margin (2017E) 38% <0% profitable ex Foodora 29% 25%
Growth
% revenue growth ('16-'18E) 23% 32% 30% 18% 10%
Valuation
Enterprise value € 3.7B € 1.2B €3-3.5 billion € 2.4B € 2.2B
EV / Net sales (2017E) 6.8x 8.4x 6-7x 4.9x 4.4x
EV / EBITDA (2017E) 17.9x - – 16.9x 17.6x
P / E (2017E) 28.4x - – 29.9x 24.6x
Overwhelming majority of value is created in only a
few developed markets generating most earnings
11
+
+
=
Source: annual reports, equity research, Bloomberg.
1. Introduction
2. Food tech economics
3. Consolidation wave
4. Market size and market share
5. Investment and exits
Contents
Market leadership is key for profitability. Result:
consolidation and disposal of loss-making markets
HQ London Berlin Berlin Amsterdam
Selected
brands
Acquisitions
W. Europe: Sindelantal.com, Fillmybelly, Meal2go,
Clickeat.it, Urbanbite, AlloResto, Orogo, Clicca e
Mangia, DeliveRex, Hellofood IT, Takeaway UK,
Hungryhouse UK, La Nevera Roja, PizzaBo IT,
Eatcity.ie.
LatAm: ifood (JV), Sindelantal.mx, Hellofood MX &
BR, Foodpanda MX & BR
Canada & USA: Grubcanada, Yummyweb, Orderit.ca,
Skipthedishes.
Australia & New Zeland: MenuLog
W. Europe: HungryHouse UK, EatNow UK
E. Europe: Foodarena.ch, Efood.gr, Damejidlo,
Jidloted, OnlinePizza Norden (OnlinePizza, Mat24,
PizzaOnline, PizzaPortal, Mjam, WillEssen),
Lieferheld.de, Pizza.de, 9coockies, Foodora.
Foodpanda.
LatAm: Hellofood LatAm, Click delivery, Subdelivery,
PedidosYa.
Middle East: Talabat.com, Yameksepeti.
Asia: Baedaltong.
E. Europe: Delivery Club, Pauza.hr, Donesi.com,
Netpincer.hu.
LatAm: PedidosYa, SeMeAntoja, Superantojo, Entrega
Delivery, Peixe Urbano, DeliYami, Janamesa.
Middle East: 24h.ae, Hungerstation, EatOye.
India: Tastykhana, Just Eat India.
Asia: Singapore-Dine, Food Runner, Koziness,
Delivery.com HK
W. Europe: Thuisbezorgd.nl, Pizza.fr, Pizza.be, Rsto-in
BE, TanteBep.nl, Pizza.pt, Just Eat BE & NL, food-
express.
E. Europe: Lieferando, Lieferservice.ch, Pyszne.pl,
Lieferservice.de, Resto-in DE
Asia: Vietnammm.
Disposals
W. Europe: Just Eat BE & NL (to Takeaway)
E. Europe: Online Pizza (Sweden, Minority stake)
LatAm: Hellofood Brazil (to ifood)
India: Just Eat India (to Foodpanda)
E. Europe: Hungryhouse UK (to Just Eat)
LatAm: Tastykhana, PedidosYa MX, SeMeAntoja,
Superantojo (to Foodpanda)
China: Waimai Chaoren (Chinnese subsidiary)
E. Europe: Delivery Club (to Mail.ru)
India: Foodpanda Indonesia closes down
LatAm: Hello Food MX & BR (to Just Eat)
Hellofood Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and
Peru (to Delivery Hero)
Asia: Foodpanda Vietnam (to Vietnammm)
W.Europe: Takeaway.com UK (to Just Eat)
PizzaBo IT, Hellofood IT (to Just Eat)
Lat Am: Hellofood MX & BR (to Just Eat)
13
HelloFresh
€0.6B
Quandoo
€210M
La Nevera
Roja €80M
Bookatable
€108M
iens.nl €10M
Yemeksepeti
€0.5B
Kochzauber Foodinho
Takeaway
€1.0B IPO
Hungryhouse
€240M
SinDelantal
€4M
e-food.gr
€12M
Spotistic
La Nevera
Roja
Just Eat BE/NL
€23M
Delivery Club
€91M
DameJidlo Volo.de Uncover ES Food Foodist €4M Mat.se €3M
Just Eat €1.8B
IPO
Jidloted
Clicca e
Mangia
Vinguiden Gourmondo
Takeaway.co
m UK
L'Epicier
Toqué
LaFourchette
€127M
restOpolis Deliverex
Linas Matk.
€30M
Wine &
Cocktail Gd.
Table-booker Quick Resto
Restau-
rantes.com
Lieferando
€50M
MyTable Volo Foodora Resto-in Pizzabo WirWinzer
Resto-In BE&
DE
Delivery Club
Pizza.de
€300M
Rocket €6.7B Cookening BestTables Todovino.com KochAbo Food Express RetNemt Vinocasting
Yemeksepeti
€40M
Hungryhouse Foodist
5CUPS and
some sugar
Clickdelivery.
gr €3M
Lieferservice ClickDelivery
Restaurant-
Kritik.de
Pizzabo Delinero
Restaurantes
.com
Todovino
MySwiss-
Chocolate
iqPOSitive
Gold&Green
Foods
Foodpanda
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Consolidation wave started in 2014 and still ongoing.
France and Italy could be next
Just Eat
Delivery Hero
Takeaway.com
141. Assumption of majority stake by Rocket Internet.
Uber EATS
Amsterdam, Bordeaux,
Brussels, London, Lyon,
Madrid, Manchester, Milan,
Moscow, Paris, Stockholm,
Vienna, Warsaw
Europe post consolidation: France and Italy remain
as crowded markets
Dominantly #1 in UK, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Denmark
Also #1 France
#1 in Germany (not dominant), Sweden, Finland
#2 in Poland
Present across Eastern Europe since FoodPanda
acquisition in December 2016
Present across Eastern Europe (and Asia and LatAm)
Focus on emerging markets
Dominantly #1 in Benelux and Poland
Strong #2 in Germany
Leader in premium segment
Strong #2 in France
15
1. Introduction
2. Food tech economics
3. Consolidation wave
4. Market size and market share
5. Investment and exits
Contents
UK is by far largest market. Massive growth potential
in Europe via online penetration and order frequency
17
People ordering food Market size (GMV) (1) Online market (GMV) (1)
3M
3M
3M
4M
5M
6M
6M
10M
19M
23M
30M
33M
43M
46M
56M
Norway
Finland
Denmark
Switzerland
Sweden
Austria
Belgium
Netherlands
Poland
Spain
Italy
France
Russia
UK
Germany
5.3%
10.8%
11.9%
13.4%
13.5%
15.2%
16.2%
17.0%
17.3%
19.0%
19.1%
23.4%
27.4%
32.7%
49.1%
Italy
Norway
Spain
France
Russia
Germany
Sweden
Switzerland
Finland
Austria
Belgium
Poland
Denmark
Netherlands
UK
Online penetration
€ 0.4B
€ 0.4B
€ 0.5B
€ 0.6B
€ 0.8B
€ 0.8B
€ 0.8B
€ 1.1B
€ 1.2B
€ 1.5B
€ 2.5B
€ 3.0B
€ 4.3B
€ 4.5B
€ 7.2B
Finland
Norway
Denmark
Switzerland
Sweden
Belgium
Austria
Russia
Poland
Netherlands
Italy
Spain
France
Germany
UK
Online
Offline
€ 0.0B
€ 0.1B
€ 0.1B
€ 0.1B
€ 0.1B
€ 0.2B
€ 0.2B
€ 0.2B
€ 0.2B
€ 0.2B
€ 0.4B
€ 0.5B
€ 0.6B
€ 0.8B
€ 3.5B
Norway
Finland
Switzerland
Poland
Sweden
Denmark
Austria
Belgium
Russia
Italy
Spain
Netherlands
France
Germany
UK
UK is by far the
largest market,
thanks to high order
frequency and online
penetration.
Vast majority of
offline (80%+) (2) is
take-out collection
Estimates based
1. GMV = Gross Market Value.
2. Dealroom estimate based on Morgan Stanley UK survey report.
Total market
(offline and
online) is
growing about
5% per year.
€ 3,538M
€ 784M
€ 578M
€ 491M
€ 357M
€ 182M
€ 174M
€ 153M
€ 152M
€ 150M
€ 130M
€ 120M
€ 102M
€ 100M
€ 43M
UK
Germany
France
Netherlands
Spain
Italy
Russia
Belgium
Austria
Denmark
Sweden
Poland
Switzerland
Finland
Norway
Just Eat Delivery Hero Takeaway.com Deliveroo Uber EATS Other
Domino’s, Pizza Hut, others
Just Eat leads UK, Spain, Italy, Denmark. Takeaway
leads Benelux and Poland
18
Gross market value (GMV)
€ 784M
€ 578M
€ 491M
€ 357M
€ 182M
€ 174M
€ 153M
€ 152M
€ 150M
€ 130M
€ 120M
€ 102M
€ 100M
€ 43M
€ 0M € 100M € 200M € 300M € 400M € 500M € 600M € 700M € 800M
Germany
France
Netherlands
Spain
Italy
Russia
Belgium
Austria
Denmark
Sweden
Poland
Switzerland
Finland
Norway
Delivery Club
Eat.ch
WOLT
Takeaway.com has
built a €1 billion+
business out of #1
Netherlands
position.
United Kingdom
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Takeaway and Delivery going head to head in
Germany. Just Eat maintaining growth in UK
Germany
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Netherlands
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Switzerland
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Delivery Hero
Takeaway
Takeaway
Delivery Hero
Deliveroo (0.3 M)
Deliveroo (0.1 M)
0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Takeaway
Takeaway
Deliveroo (0.2 M) Deliveroo (0.08 M)
0 M
3 M
6 M
9 M
12 M
15 M
18 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Just Eat
Just Eat
Deliveroo
Deliveroo (1.1 M)
Uber Eats (0.4 M)
19
0.0 M
0.2 M
0.4 M
0.6 M
0.8 M
1.0 M
1.2 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Eat.ch
Delivery Hero (0.06 M)
Takeaway (0.06 M)
Delivery Hero (0.05 M)
Takeaway (0.05 M)
Uber Eats (0.02 M)
0.0 M
0.5 M
1.0 M
1.5 M
2.0 M
2.5 M
3.0 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Telepizza
Deliveroo (0.5 M)
Just Eat
Just Eat (1 M)
Telepizza (0.9 M)
France
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
France is crowded market, consolidation likely.
In Italy, Just Eat is doing very well
Spain
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Italy
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Greece
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
20
0.0 M
0.5 M
1.0 M
1.5 M
2.0 M
2.5 M
3.0 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Just Eat
Deliveroo
Takeaway (0.6 M)
Takeaway (0.1 M)
Delivery Hero (0.4 M)
0.0 M
0.5 M
1.0 M
1.5 M
2.0 M
2.5 M
3.0 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forky (0.1 M)
Delivery Hero
Deliveroo (0.2 M)
Uber Eats (0.4 M)
Deliveroo (0.5 M)
Just Eat (0.9 M)
Delivery Hero (0.2 M)
Russia
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Takeaway is outperforming in Poland. Mobile
penetration in Russia is growing fast
Poland
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Czech Republic
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Turkey
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Takeaway
Takeaway (0.70 M)Delivery- Hero (1 M)
Delivery- Hero (0.32)0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Delivery Club
Delivery Club
21
0 M
1 M
2 M
3 M
4 M
5 M
6 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Delivery Hero
12 M
13 M
14 M
15 M
16 M
17 M
18 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Delivery- Hero
Norway
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Nordics so far less crowded. Growth in relatively
calm markets. Wolt is a strong local player
Sweden
2016web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Finland
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
Denmark
2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data)
0.0 M
0.2 M
0.4 M
0.6 M
0.8 M
1.0 M
1.2 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Hungry.DK
Just Eat
Just Eat
22
0.00 M
0.03 M
0.06 M
0.09 M
0.12 M
0.15 M
0.18 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
Delivery Hero
Delivery Hero
Just Eat
Just Eat
Uber Eats
0.0 M
0.4 M
0.8 M
1.2 M
1.6 M
2.0 M
2.4 M
Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Delivery Hero
Delivery Hero
1. Introduction
2. Food tech economics
3. Consolidation wave
4. Market size and market share
5. Investment and exits
Contents
€ 46M
€ 135M
€ 50M
€ 12M € 3M
€ 36M
€ 80M
€ 24M
€ 123M
€ 244M
€ 834M
€ 20M
€ 814M
€ 256M
€ 174M
€ 146M
€ 396M
€ 130M
€ 351M
€ 171M10
16
6
9
11
15
20 20
24
35
27
18
30
26
25
28
49
40
36
38
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Amount raised (€M)
Top 3 rounds (€M)
Total number of rounds
Mega-rounds have slowed down due to focus on
profitability. But number of rounds is still increasing
24
Delivery Hero
€46M
Just Eat
€46M
Delivery Hero
€27M
Delivery Hero
€80M
Takeaway
€94M
Delivery
Hero
€77M
HelloFresh
€46M
Rocket Internet
€405M
Delivery Hero
€318M
Foodpanda
€55M
Delivery Hero
€496M
HelloFresh
€130M
Foodpanda
€104M
Delivery
Hero
€100M
Foodpanda
€91M
HelloFresh
€77M
Deliveroo
€64M
Deliveroo
€91M
Jumia
€300M
Deliveroo
€91M
Jumia
€50M
HelloFresh
€85M
Deliveroo
€250M
€ 242M
€ 144M
€ 1,222M
€ 1,391M
€ 1,048M
41
66
104
109
163
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Annual food tech funding Quarterly food tech funding
Jumia
€75M
Jumia
€ 300M
Deliveroo
€ 250M
HelloFresh
€ 85M
Delivery Hero
€ 496M
Rocket Internet
€ 405M
HelloFresh
€ 130M
Delivery Hero
€ 318M
Takeaway
€ 94M
Food Panda
€ 104M
Delivery Hero € 46M
Just Eat € 42M
Delivery Hero € 25M Delivery Hero
€ 27M
A large number of VCs are still heavily invested in
the Food Tech space
Investors Selected top funded tech companies
25
Mark Evans
Henrik Rosendahl, Janus Friis, Suranga Chandratillake
Shukri Shammas, Tom Glocer, DIG Investments, Alex Madonald
Kiren Tanna, Benjamin Bauer, Ralf Wenzel, Masoud Kamali, Ralf Wenzel, Masoud Kamali
Thomas Griesel
Neil Rimer
Fabrice Grinda, Oleg Tscheltzoff
€ 1,236M
€ 431M
€ 353M
€ 293M
€ 35M
€ 33M
€ 31M
Delivery Hero
Deliveroo
HelloFresh
Foodpanda
Velocity
Vivino
Gousto
Valued over $1 billion
Majority owned by Rocket.
Focus now on profitability
Folded into Delivery Hero at €500M
valuation
€2-4 billion valuation
Selected top VC-backed exits in FoodTech so far
Company Transaction Investors
Just Eat
£ 1.5B
IPO
Takeaway
€ 1.B
IPO
Yemeksepeti
$ 589M
acquisition by Delivery Hero
LaFourchette
$ 140M
acquisition by TripAdvisor
Quandoo
€ 210M
acquisition by Recruit Holdings
La nevera roja
€ 80M
acquisition by just eat
Bookatable
€ 108M
acquisition by Michelin
Delivery Club
$ 100M
acquisition by mail.ru group
More online resources
Food Companies Food Exits
Food Funding Rounds Food Map
27
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Food Delivery Tech in Europe

  • 1. Food Delivery Tech: Battle for the European Consumer March 2017 data contribution from Research by
  • 2. Manual curation & research by Dealroom Machine learning and natural language processing 12,000+ contributors (founders, VCs, analysts) Automatic data feeds and web crawlers ■ Founded in 2013 in Amsterdam, Dealroom provides a 360° view on Europe’s high-growth industries, tracking over 500,000 companies and 10,000 investors in Europe and beyond ■ Dealroom enables venture capital & private equity firms, corporates, consultants and investment banks to find growth opportunities, conduct market intelligence research, and stay ahead of developments ■ Data is sourced and consolidated from multiple sources, including: internal manual research; contributions from over 12,000 local market experts such as journalists, VCs and founders; automatic data feeds and crawlers; machine learning and natural language processing to organise data and spot below the radar companies ■ Dealroom membership is free Authors of this report: ■ Yoram Wijngaarde (yoram@dealroom.co) Founder & CEO at Dealroom Formerly M&A at Lehman Brothers and NOAH ■ Sara de Miguel (sara@dealroom.co) Data Analyst at Dealroom Carlos III University, Madrid Consolidating multiple data sources… About Dealroom 2 … resulting in rich data-driven intelligence
  • 3. About Priori Data ■ Priori Data is a leading mobile market intelligence company ■ Priori’s solutions provide customers with insights to help them understand, benchmark, and track their mobile market share so that they can win their mobile markets ■ Priori enables app businesses, agencies, marketers, and analysts to benchmark performance against competitors, reveal competitor mobile strategy, discover new opportunities, and identify emerging trends in the app stores ■ The Company was founded in Berlin in 2013 by alumni of Morgan Stanley, Google, and the University of Cambridge Contributors to this report: ■ Patrick Kane (patrick@prioridata.com) Founder & CEO at Priori Data Vestar Capital Partners, Morgan Stanley, INSEAD ■ Simon Singharaj (simon@prioridata.com) Director of Marketing at Priori Data Jumia, Microsoft, EDHEC Resulting in global, real-time Proprietary Data on apps Priori’s crawlers collect Public Data from App Stores... APPS 4m+ PUBLISHERS 1m+ TOP CHARTS 35k+ COUNTRIES 57 LANGUAGES 35 ...which is combined with Confidential Data from partners PARTNER APPS 20k+ PARTNER PUBLISHERS 1k+ MONTHLY DOWNLOADS 150m+ MONTHLY REVENUE $50m+ Market Trends Competitive Tracking API
  • 4. 1. Introduction 2. Food tech economics 3. Consolidation wave 4. Market size and market share 5. Investment and exits Contents
  • 5. Introduction 5 About this report ▪ This report combines proprietary data from Dealroom and Priori Data with annual reports, investor presentations and equity research from Just Eat, Takeaway.com and Rocket Internet. SimilarWeb data was used for online usage ▪ By combining these data-points, a market model was constructed to estimate the size and market share of key European markets Eating habits ▪ Consumers are seeking convenience, resulting in a drive towards on-demand delivery and away from home-cooking ▪ Supermarkets are most likely to lose in this trend. Prepared grocery models (HelloFresh) are gaining scale, but economically not validated yet ▪ Majority of restaurants see trend as “a good thing for business” according to a recent UK survey by Morgan Stanley Consolidation and IPOs ▪ Just Eat and Takeaway.com have so far benefitted the most from this trend, through asset-light software-only operations with 50%+ margins ▪ Both outperformed: Just Eat’s share price more than doubled in 2 years since it’s IPO. Takeaway.com is up > 40% since their Oct ‘16 IPO ▪ Their model requires #1 or #2 market position to be profitable. Result: a wave of consolidation, and still more M&A anticipated (France?) Increased competition ▪ Deliveroo, Uber EATS and Amazon entered the market and scaled rapidly with a model offering full-service logistics ▪ This model involves more operating risk and requires enough population density (and higher order value) to work (Take Eat Easy failed) ▪ So far, these new models have not taken share from existing online marketplaces, but rather created a new premium market segment Challenges ▪ Delivery Hero (38% Rocket owned) is likely getting ready to IPO. However, it is being challenged in some key markets by Takeaway (Germany, Poland) and Just Eat (Italy). It absorbed loss making Food Panda but still lacks a clear cash-cow market position anywhere ▪ Conceivable that Delivery Hero is instead acquired by someone like Priceline, Expedia, Recruit ▪ Deliveroo was hit with strikes after trying to convert its drivers to a pay-per-delivery wage ▪ Uber lost some of its aura of invincibility. But now another powerhouse is also around the corner: Amazon ▪ Fully integrated models with own kitchen have struggled to make economics work (Spoonrocket closed) but others (Sprig, Maple, Forky) are working to get the economics right Outlook ▪ Just Eat and Takeaway.com has so far enjoyed a rapid path to profitability (Takeaway.com built a €1 billion business in relatively small market) ▪ There is still big upside, as online penetration of delivery and take-out is only about 15% in many parts of Europe (50% in UK and 30% in NL) ▪ The various models (Deliveroo vs. Just Eat) might soon converge: Just Eat is already starting to offer logistics services to restaurants to continue expanding their footprint. Delivery Hero is heavily investing in the roll-out of Foodora, its full-service logistics brand ▪ The last mile and waste reduction are key to further unlocking the potential: high hopes for autonomous delivery (e.g. Starship Technologies)
  • 6. Eating habits are evolving. Convenience is the driver Grocery Delivery Prepared Groceries Food Delivery Restaurant Bookings Meal Substitutes Agritech Waste Reducing Delivery & portal Online Supermarkets: : Own fleet Delivery software Vertically integrated 6
  • 7. 1. Introduction 2. Food tech economics 3. Consolidation wave 4. Market size and market share 5. Investment and exits Contents
  • 8. 8 Key considerations between the various models. Operating risk ranging from low to very high Home cooking No cooking Supermarkets Prepared groceries Software only Own fleet & logistics Vertically integrated Online supermarket eCommerce Positives: v Huge market v Migration online v High customer life-time value v Revenues growing 15% YoY v EBITDA margin 7% Weekly boxes of around €50-100 / box Positives: v Nearly 1 million active subscribers Avg € 750 revenue per sub v Starting to focus on profitability by reducing marketing spend (but: churn and LTV are undisclosed) 12-15% commission / restaurant does delivery Positives: v Just Eat and Takeaway beating expectations v Autonomous delivery potential v New entrants (Deliveroo, Amazon, Uber are targeting different premium segment, so far) V EBITDA margin 50-60% in strong markets 30% commission + delivery fee Positives: v Ability to advertise on packaging and on delivery vehicles v Autonomous delivery potential v Own kitchen to optimize fleet utilisation v Model works best in dense + affluent areas v Positioned as premium Own kitchen and delivery logistics Positives: v Entire GMV equals revenue v Domino’s UK has validated this business model, at scale: 10% revenue growth 25% EBITDA margin Considerations: x EBITDA-Capex negative x Cooking is losing its appeal x Prevailing wisdom in tech circles that this is a winner-takes-all logistics play that may well become dominated by Amazon Considerations: x Still EBITDA negative. Cost structure: Cost of goods 43% Fulfilment cost 35-40% Marketing cost: 30% (discretionary) Other opex: 3% = => Negative 15% EBITDA margin Considerations: x Difficult economics in competitive and new markets as low as 100% (FoodPanda) or close to 0% (Germany) x May need to soon invest in logistics to continue growth) Considerations: x Foodora is highly loss making for Delivery Hero, but it continues to invest heavily in roll-out x Take Eat Easy closed operations x Dealing with rider strikes x Amazon moving in too Considerations: x Operating risk: capacity utilization, minimal waste are key x Spoonrocket x Less choice for consumer (one menu) Market verdict: - Market values Ocado at EBITDA multiples similar to Amazon (17-18x 2017E EBITDA) Market verdict: - Push to profitability, which will curb growth Market verdict: - Strong performance of public players - No clear sign of Delivery Hero IPO yet Market verdict: - Strong VC backing of Deliveroo model Market verdict: - Domino’s is valued 17-18x EBITDA - VCs hesitant following SpoonRocket
  • 9. 9 Unit economics vary widely per model and depending on market position and growth stage Source: Dealroom estimates, annual reports, interviews. Delivery costs assume 2.5-3 rides per hour and €10/hour wage. 1. Blended rate net of payment fees. 2. Estimate by Morgan Stanley, Dealroom (based on public peers). (17%) 19% (91%) (4%) 50% (50%) 38% (65%) 13% Prepared groceries (HelloFresh) Software only (Just Eat, Takeaway, Delivery Hero) Own fleet (Deliveroo, Uber EATS) Fully integrated (Forky, Sprig, Maple) Per order: Growth phase Steady state Developing markets Developed market, but competitive Market leadership Lower density areas Affluent & densely populated Developing market Developed leadership Order value € 75.0 € 75.0 € 12.0 € 20.0 € 20.0 € 20.0 € 30.0 € 10.0 € 20.0 x Commission (1) 100% 100% 12% 12% 15% 30% 35% 100% 100% = Net revenue per order € 75.0 € 75.0 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 6.0 € 10.5 € 10.0 € 20.0 -/- COGS 45% 40% – – – – – 40% 30% -/- Labour / packaging 35% 30% – – – – – 35% 30% = Product margin per order € 15.0 € 22.5 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 6.0 € 10.5 € 2.5 € 8.0 -/- Delivery (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) - - - (€ 5.0) (€ 4.0) (€ 5.0) (€ 3.0) = Gross margin per order € 13.5 € 21.0 € 1.4 € 2.4 € 3.0 € 1.0 € 6.5 (€ 2.5) € 5.0 -/- Marketing (€ 25.0) (€ 5.0) (€ 1.8) (€ 1.5) (€ 0.5) (€ 2.5) (€ 1.0) (€ 2.5) (€ 1.0) -/- Other unit costs (2) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.0) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) (€ 1.5) = EBITDA per unit (€ 13.0) € 14.5 (€ 1.3) (€ 0.1) € 1.5 (€ 3.0) € 4.0 (€ 6.5) € 2.5 % EBITDA margins:
  • 10. New entrants have so far expanded market adding new (premium) segments, rather than challenging HQ London San Francisco Moscow Zurich Helsinki Athens Copenhagen Model Software + feel & logistics Software + feel & logistics Software + portal Software + portal Software + logistics Full service Recycle Funding (€M) € 430M N/A € 10.9M N/A € 12.4M € 800K N/A Launch year 2012 2014 2011 2008 2014 2014 2015 Monthly web users (1) 7.5M (+90%) 3M (+106%) 2.4M (+85%) 0.6 M 55 K 0.11M 63K Cumulative app installs (1) 2.2M (+1,000% growth) 1.3M 5.7 M (+60% growth) N/A 0.27 M N/A 1M Other KPIs 2,134 employees Annual Revenues: £ 130M Valuation £ 761M N/A 52 employees N/A 85 employees 22 employees 62 employees Countries Europe: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Netherlands, UK, Spain (3) Europe: Amsterdam, Bordeaux, Brussels, London, Lyon, Madrid, Manchester, Milan, Moscow, Paris, Stockholm, Vienna, Warsaw(4) Russia Switzerland Estonia, Sweden, Finland Greece Europe: UK, Denmark, Norway, Germany, France, Switzerland, Austria (5) Traction #2 in UK, Netherlands, France after Just Eat 1.3M app installs from zero installs 12 months ago. Biggest growth in France and UK #1 in Russia Partnership with Just Eat (2011) #1 in Switzerland #1 in Finland #2 in Greece after Delivery Hero 1 M app installs from zero installs 12 months ago. Expansion to 7 countries in 2 years. #2 in Denmark after Just Eat 10 Source: Dealroom estimates, press releases, SimilarWeb, Priori Data. 1. In Europe. 2. ROW: Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, UAE. 3. ROW: United states, Canada, Colombia (Bogotá), Brazil (São Paulo), Australia, Thailand, UAE, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Japan (Tokyo), South Africa. 4. RWO: USA
  • 11. Scale Countries 15 11 65 1 6 Restaurants 62K 29K 128K 35K 1K Gross merchandise value (GMV) € 3.4B € 1.2B € 3.8B € 3.6B € 0.5B Net revenues (2017E) € 545M € 147M € 495M € 579M € 490M Market position Market leadership in UK, Denmark, Italy Netherlands USA UK Market leader EBITDA margin 50% (UK) 60% profitable EBITDA margin in new markets <0% <0% <0% Group EBITDA margin (2017E) 38% <0% profitable ex Foodora 29% 25% Growth % revenue growth ('16-'18E) 23% 32% 30% 18% 10% Valuation Enterprise value € 3.7B € 1.2B €3-3.5 billion € 2.4B € 2.2B EV / Net sales (2017E) 6.8x 8.4x 6-7x 4.9x 4.4x EV / EBITDA (2017E) 17.9x - – 16.9x 17.6x P / E (2017E) 28.4x - – 29.9x 24.6x Overwhelming majority of value is created in only a few developed markets generating most earnings 11 + + = Source: annual reports, equity research, Bloomberg.
  • 12. 1. Introduction 2. Food tech economics 3. Consolidation wave 4. Market size and market share 5. Investment and exits Contents
  • 13. Market leadership is key for profitability. Result: consolidation and disposal of loss-making markets HQ London Berlin Berlin Amsterdam Selected brands Acquisitions W. Europe: Sindelantal.com, Fillmybelly, Meal2go, Clickeat.it, Urbanbite, AlloResto, Orogo, Clicca e Mangia, DeliveRex, Hellofood IT, Takeaway UK, Hungryhouse UK, La Nevera Roja, PizzaBo IT, Eatcity.ie. LatAm: ifood (JV), Sindelantal.mx, Hellofood MX & BR, Foodpanda MX & BR Canada & USA: Grubcanada, Yummyweb, Orderit.ca, Skipthedishes. Australia & New Zeland: MenuLog W. Europe: HungryHouse UK, EatNow UK E. Europe: Foodarena.ch, Efood.gr, Damejidlo, Jidloted, OnlinePizza Norden (OnlinePizza, Mat24, PizzaOnline, PizzaPortal, Mjam, WillEssen), Lieferheld.de, Pizza.de, 9coockies, Foodora. Foodpanda. LatAm: Hellofood LatAm, Click delivery, Subdelivery, PedidosYa. Middle East: Talabat.com, Yameksepeti. Asia: Baedaltong. E. Europe: Delivery Club, Pauza.hr, Donesi.com, Netpincer.hu. LatAm: PedidosYa, SeMeAntoja, Superantojo, Entrega Delivery, Peixe Urbano, DeliYami, Janamesa. Middle East: 24h.ae, Hungerstation, EatOye. India: Tastykhana, Just Eat India. Asia: Singapore-Dine, Food Runner, Koziness, Delivery.com HK W. Europe: Thuisbezorgd.nl, Pizza.fr, Pizza.be, Rsto-in BE, TanteBep.nl, Pizza.pt, Just Eat BE & NL, food- express. E. Europe: Lieferando, Lieferservice.ch, Pyszne.pl, Lieferservice.de, Resto-in DE Asia: Vietnammm. Disposals W. Europe: Just Eat BE & NL (to Takeaway) E. Europe: Online Pizza (Sweden, Minority stake) LatAm: Hellofood Brazil (to ifood) India: Just Eat India (to Foodpanda) E. Europe: Hungryhouse UK (to Just Eat) LatAm: Tastykhana, PedidosYa MX, SeMeAntoja, Superantojo (to Foodpanda) China: Waimai Chaoren (Chinnese subsidiary) E. Europe: Delivery Club (to Mail.ru) India: Foodpanda Indonesia closes down LatAm: Hello Food MX & BR (to Just Eat) Hellofood Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru (to Delivery Hero) Asia: Foodpanda Vietnam (to Vietnammm) W.Europe: Takeaway.com UK (to Just Eat) PizzaBo IT, Hellofood IT (to Just Eat) Lat Am: Hellofood MX & BR (to Just Eat) 13
  • 14. HelloFresh €0.6B Quandoo €210M La Nevera Roja €80M Bookatable €108M iens.nl €10M Yemeksepeti €0.5B Kochzauber Foodinho Takeaway €1.0B IPO Hungryhouse €240M SinDelantal €4M e-food.gr €12M Spotistic La Nevera Roja Just Eat BE/NL €23M Delivery Club €91M DameJidlo Volo.de Uncover ES Food Foodist €4M Mat.se €3M Just Eat €1.8B IPO Jidloted Clicca e Mangia Vinguiden Gourmondo Takeaway.co m UK L'Epicier Toqué LaFourchette €127M restOpolis Deliverex Linas Matk. €30M Wine & Cocktail Gd. Table-booker Quick Resto Restau- rantes.com Lieferando €50M MyTable Volo Foodora Resto-in Pizzabo WirWinzer Resto-In BE& DE Delivery Club Pizza.de €300M Rocket €6.7B Cookening BestTables Todovino.com KochAbo Food Express RetNemt Vinocasting Yemeksepeti €40M Hungryhouse Foodist 5CUPS and some sugar Clickdelivery. gr €3M Lieferservice ClickDelivery Restaurant- Kritik.de Pizzabo Delinero Restaurantes .com Todovino MySwiss- Chocolate iqPOSitive Gold&Green Foods Foodpanda Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Consolidation wave started in 2014 and still ongoing. France and Italy could be next Just Eat Delivery Hero Takeaway.com 141. Assumption of majority stake by Rocket Internet.
  • 15. Uber EATS Amsterdam, Bordeaux, Brussels, London, Lyon, Madrid, Manchester, Milan, Moscow, Paris, Stockholm, Vienna, Warsaw Europe post consolidation: France and Italy remain as crowded markets Dominantly #1 in UK, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Denmark Also #1 France #1 in Germany (not dominant), Sweden, Finland #2 in Poland Present across Eastern Europe since FoodPanda acquisition in December 2016 Present across Eastern Europe (and Asia and LatAm) Focus on emerging markets Dominantly #1 in Benelux and Poland Strong #2 in Germany Leader in premium segment Strong #2 in France 15
  • 16. 1. Introduction 2. Food tech economics 3. Consolidation wave 4. Market size and market share 5. Investment and exits Contents
  • 17. UK is by far largest market. Massive growth potential in Europe via online penetration and order frequency 17 People ordering food Market size (GMV) (1) Online market (GMV) (1) 3M 3M 3M 4M 5M 6M 6M 10M 19M 23M 30M 33M 43M 46M 56M Norway Finland Denmark Switzerland Sweden Austria Belgium Netherlands Poland Spain Italy France Russia UK Germany 5.3% 10.8% 11.9% 13.4% 13.5% 15.2% 16.2% 17.0% 17.3% 19.0% 19.1% 23.4% 27.4% 32.7% 49.1% Italy Norway Spain France Russia Germany Sweden Switzerland Finland Austria Belgium Poland Denmark Netherlands UK Online penetration € 0.4B € 0.4B € 0.5B € 0.6B € 0.8B € 0.8B € 0.8B € 1.1B € 1.2B € 1.5B € 2.5B € 3.0B € 4.3B € 4.5B € 7.2B Finland Norway Denmark Switzerland Sweden Belgium Austria Russia Poland Netherlands Italy Spain France Germany UK Online Offline € 0.0B € 0.1B € 0.1B € 0.1B € 0.1B € 0.2B € 0.2B € 0.2B € 0.2B € 0.2B € 0.4B € 0.5B € 0.6B € 0.8B € 3.5B Norway Finland Switzerland Poland Sweden Denmark Austria Belgium Russia Italy Spain Netherlands France Germany UK UK is by far the largest market, thanks to high order frequency and online penetration. Vast majority of offline (80%+) (2) is take-out collection Estimates based 1. GMV = Gross Market Value. 2. Dealroom estimate based on Morgan Stanley UK survey report. Total market (offline and online) is growing about 5% per year.
  • 18. € 3,538M € 784M € 578M € 491M € 357M € 182M € 174M € 153M € 152M € 150M € 130M € 120M € 102M € 100M € 43M UK Germany France Netherlands Spain Italy Russia Belgium Austria Denmark Sweden Poland Switzerland Finland Norway Just Eat Delivery Hero Takeaway.com Deliveroo Uber EATS Other Domino’s, Pizza Hut, others Just Eat leads UK, Spain, Italy, Denmark. Takeaway leads Benelux and Poland 18 Gross market value (GMV) € 784M € 578M € 491M € 357M € 182M € 174M € 153M € 152M € 150M € 130M € 120M € 102M € 100M € 43M € 0M € 100M € 200M € 300M € 400M € 500M € 600M € 700M € 800M Germany France Netherlands Spain Italy Russia Belgium Austria Denmark Sweden Poland Switzerland Finland Norway Delivery Club Eat.ch WOLT Takeaway.com has built a €1 billion+ business out of #1 Netherlands position.
  • 19. United Kingdom 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Takeaway and Delivery going head to head in Germany. Just Eat maintaining growth in UK Germany 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Netherlands 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Switzerland 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) 0 M 1 M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Delivery Hero Takeaway Takeaway Delivery Hero Deliveroo (0.3 M) Deliveroo (0.1 M) 0 M 1 M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Takeaway Takeaway Deliveroo (0.2 M) Deliveroo (0.08 M) 0 M 3 M 6 M 9 M 12 M 15 M 18 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Just Eat Just Eat Deliveroo Deliveroo (1.1 M) Uber Eats (0.4 M) 19 0.0 M 0.2 M 0.4 M 0.6 M 0.8 M 1.0 M 1.2 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Eat.ch Delivery Hero (0.06 M) Takeaway (0.06 M) Delivery Hero (0.05 M) Takeaway (0.05 M) Uber Eats (0.02 M)
  • 20. 0.0 M 0.5 M 1.0 M 1.5 M 2.0 M 2.5 M 3.0 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Telepizza Deliveroo (0.5 M) Just Eat Just Eat (1 M) Telepizza (0.9 M) France 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) France is crowded market, consolidation likely. In Italy, Just Eat is doing very well Spain 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Italy 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Greece 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) 20 0.0 M 0.5 M 1.0 M 1.5 M 2.0 M 2.5 M 3.0 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Just Eat Deliveroo Takeaway (0.6 M) Takeaway (0.1 M) Delivery Hero (0.4 M) 0.0 M 0.5 M 1.0 M 1.5 M 2.0 M 2.5 M 3.0 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Forky (0.1 M) Delivery Hero Deliveroo (0.2 M) Uber Eats (0.4 M) Deliveroo (0.5 M) Just Eat (0.9 M) Delivery Hero (0.2 M)
  • 21. Russia 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Takeaway is outperforming in Poland. Mobile penetration in Russia is growing fast Poland 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Czech Republic 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Turkey 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) 0 M 1 M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Takeaway Takeaway (0.70 M)Delivery- Hero (1 M) Delivery- Hero (0.32)0 M 1 M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Delivery Club Delivery Club 21 0 M 1 M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Delivery Hero 12 M 13 M 14 M 15 M 16 M 17 M 18 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Delivery- Hero
  • 22. Norway 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Nordics so far less crowded. Growth in relatively calm markets. Wolt is a strong local player Sweden 2016web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Finland 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) Denmark 2016 web visitors (SimilarWeb) 2016 app downloads (source: Priori Data) 0.0 M 0.2 M 0.4 M 0.6 M 0.8 M 1.0 M 1.2 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Hungry.DK Just Eat Just Eat 22 0.00 M 0.03 M 0.06 M 0.09 M 0.12 M 0.15 M 0.18 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Delivery Hero Delivery Hero Just Eat Just Eat Uber Eats 0.0 M 0.4 M 0.8 M 1.2 M 1.6 M 2.0 M 2.4 M Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Delivery Hero Delivery Hero
  • 23. 1. Introduction 2. Food tech economics 3. Consolidation wave 4. Market size and market share 5. Investment and exits Contents
  • 24. € 46M € 135M € 50M € 12M € 3M € 36M € 80M € 24M € 123M € 244M € 834M € 20M € 814M € 256M € 174M € 146M € 396M € 130M € 351M € 171M10 16 6 9 11 15 20 20 24 35 27 18 30 26 25 28 49 40 36 38 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Amount raised (€M) Top 3 rounds (€M) Total number of rounds Mega-rounds have slowed down due to focus on profitability. But number of rounds is still increasing 24 Delivery Hero €46M Just Eat €46M Delivery Hero €27M Delivery Hero €80M Takeaway €94M Delivery Hero €77M HelloFresh €46M Rocket Internet €405M Delivery Hero €318M Foodpanda €55M Delivery Hero €496M HelloFresh €130M Foodpanda €104M Delivery Hero €100M Foodpanda €91M HelloFresh €77M Deliveroo €64M Deliveroo €91M Jumia €300M Deliveroo €91M Jumia €50M HelloFresh €85M Deliveroo €250M € 242M € 144M € 1,222M € 1,391M € 1,048M 41 66 104 109 163 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual food tech funding Quarterly food tech funding Jumia €75M Jumia € 300M Deliveroo € 250M HelloFresh € 85M Delivery Hero € 496M Rocket Internet € 405M HelloFresh € 130M Delivery Hero € 318M Takeaway € 94M Food Panda € 104M Delivery Hero € 46M Just Eat € 42M Delivery Hero € 25M Delivery Hero € 27M
  • 25. A large number of VCs are still heavily invested in the Food Tech space Investors Selected top funded tech companies 25 Mark Evans Henrik Rosendahl, Janus Friis, Suranga Chandratillake Shukri Shammas, Tom Glocer, DIG Investments, Alex Madonald Kiren Tanna, Benjamin Bauer, Ralf Wenzel, Masoud Kamali, Ralf Wenzel, Masoud Kamali Thomas Griesel Neil Rimer Fabrice Grinda, Oleg Tscheltzoff € 1,236M € 431M € 353M € 293M € 35M € 33M € 31M Delivery Hero Deliveroo HelloFresh Foodpanda Velocity Vivino Gousto Valued over $1 billion Majority owned by Rocket. Focus now on profitability Folded into Delivery Hero at €500M valuation €2-4 billion valuation
  • 26. Selected top VC-backed exits in FoodTech so far Company Transaction Investors Just Eat £ 1.5B IPO Takeaway € 1.B IPO Yemeksepeti $ 589M acquisition by Delivery Hero LaFourchette $ 140M acquisition by TripAdvisor Quandoo € 210M acquisition by Recruit Holdings La nevera roja € 80M acquisition by just eat Bookatable € 108M acquisition by Michelin Delivery Club $ 100M acquisition by mail.ru group
  • 27. More online resources Food Companies Food Exits Food Funding Rounds Food Map 27
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