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General Petraeus (Rtd), the 2013 winner of the RUSI Chesney Gold Medal, speaking at RUSI, London, in
2010. Image courtesy of RUSI.
additional American troops. The surge,
however, did not simply entail the
addition of more forces. Indeed, the most
important element of the surge was the
surge of ideas – the concepts that would
guide the augmented military and civilian
contingents. Each of the components of
the new campaign – security, governance,
economic development, rule of law and
so on – was designed to complement the
others. Progress in one area enabled, or
reinforced, progress in another.
Central to the new strategy was the
recognition that the decisive terrain in
Iraq was the human terrain, and also that
we would not be able to kill or capture
our way out of the industrial-strength
insurgency that was tearing apart the
very fabric of Iraqi society.
There were six key elements to this
strategy. First, a focus on the security of
the people, by living with them in their
neighbourhoods – in small, joint security
stations – rather than consolidating
our forces on sprawling, isolated
bases. Second, an explicit decision to
aggressively support reconciliation with
Sunni insurgents who were willing to
become part of the solution in Iraq rather
than remain a continuing part of the
problem – and, later, to do the same with
Shia militia fighters. Third, an increase in
the tempo of targeted special operations
raids to capture or kill irreconcilable
insurgent and militia leaders. Fourth,
additional attention to the reform,
rebuilding and then expansion of Iraqi
police and military forces – with a halt of
the transition of security tasks to them
for several months until the situation
improved. Fifth, the overhaul of our
detainee operations by establishing a
rehabilitation initiative – after recognising
that our detention facilities had
unwittingly become terrorist universities.
Sixth, a host of co-ordinated civil-military
initiatives to help the Iraqis restore basic
services, build local institutions, establish
the rule of law, repair and construct
infrastructure, rebuild the energy sector,
and support Iraqi efforts to resolve their
differences through politics rather than
through violence.
Without the new, comprehensive
civil-military strategy to guide the
employment of all the assets at our
disposal – enabled enormously by the
additional forces – we would not have
been able to make sufficient progress
in our campaign before the crucial
congressional hearings that were held
in Washington in September 2007. Had
we lost the remaining political support
on Capitol Hill, we would have lost the
campaign. But I truly did believe we could
turn the tide in Iraq as we did during the
surge, though I was not certain in the
early months that we could do so as
rapidly as we eventually did.
The ultimate success was
foreshadowed by a handful of localised
successes on the part of some of our
most capable commanders and units
in the years prior to 2007. There were,
in fact, several brigade and battalion
commanders who had carried out
effective counter-insurgency operations
prior to the surge. There were also units
that had pursued reconciliation, including
the 101st
Airborne Division in the first
year of the war, when I was privileged to
be its commander.
However, the surge marked the
first time that the entire Multinational
Force and its civilian partners carried out
a comprehensive counter-insurgency
campaign theatre-wide. The surge also
marked the first time that reconciliation
was pursued systematically throughout
the country, when I directed that we
would support the nascent Sunni
Awakening outside Ramadi – seeking to
set off a chain reaction throughout Sunni
Arab areas – and, subsequently, that we
would pursue similar activities in areas
challenged by violent Shia militias as well.
It is, of course, worth recalling that
the strategy during the surge was guided
by a new US field manual produced in
2006 after an unprecedentedly rapid
drafting process by a superb team of
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or, as in the case of Somalia, regional
forces such as AMISOM that could carry
out the required ground operations.
We provided a variety of enablers –
funding, equipment, advisers, training
and intelligence – as well as civilian
programmes in order to start addressing
some of the root causes of the instability.
Needless to say, such an approach is
always preferable to having to deploy a
large ground element, except where the
host nation is unable to deal with the
situation on its own and our national
interests warrant the commitment of
our forces.
Lessons for the Future
So, what have we learned from all of this?
What policy implications, war-fighting
lessons and institutional insights should
we draw from the counter-insurgency
decade?
In answering these questions, I
will recall some personal observations
I made in an article for the US Army’s
Military Review published in 2006.
Entitled ‘Learning Counterinsurgency:
Observations from Soldiering in Iraq’,3
I wrote it in late 2005 after my second
tour in Iraq (which had lasted fifteen-
and-a-half months), during which
we established the train-and-equip
mission. As I look back now, it strikes
me that although those observations
were intended to inform leaders at the
operational and tactical levels in Iraq, the
same lessons apply to the strategic and
policy realms.
The most significant lesson we
have learned – as I observed in 2005 –
is the importance of ‘analyzing the costs
and benefits before each operation’.
This observation was meant to instil
the reflex of testing each envisioned
operation or initiative by asking a simple
but critically important question: ‘Will
this operation (or policy) take more bad
guys off the street than it creates by its
conduct?’ As noted earlier, several of
the early missteps in Iraq that fuelled
the insurgency resulted from initiatives
that failed that test. Moreover, such a
concept easily translates to the strategic
and policy arenas where interventions
are considered. Clearly, we must be clear-
eyed, coldly realistic and professionally
objective during deliberations over the
possible use of force. Above all, the
decision-making processes must be
imbued with intellectual humility, not
hubris.
In order to maintain professional
objectivity, we need well-developed
intelligence to inform our decisions
and actions. Thus a second of my
observations in 2005 – that ‘intelligence
is the key to success’ – obviously obtains
at higher levels as well. Needless to say,
intelligence analyses must be carefully
examined and challenged, but not
swayed or influenced. As the military
adage goes: assess the situation; do not
situate the assessment. This must be
heeded at all levels; it is the cornerstone
of sound policy-making.
This observation can be followed
with one I offered about the need for
appreciation of local customs, practices
and religions – that is to say, that ‘Cultural
awareness is a force multiplier’. Clearly,
we must achieve and maintain a very
detailed, granular understanding of
the countries and societies in which we
operate – and not just at the macro level,
but village by village, valley by valley as
well.
A fourth observation I put forward
in late 2005 was that ‘everyone
must do nation-building’, whether
they like it or not. Linked to this was
another observation that ‘success in
a counterinsurgency requires more
than just military operations’. These
principles run deep in both history
and common sense; nonetheless, they
remain contested, particularly by some
who would like to return the focus of
the military exclusively to its so-called
traditional war-fighting tasks. My caution
would be that shedding the capabilities
for stability operations will not make
future needs for these capabilities
disappear. Indeed, as the biggest of the
US Army’s doctrinal ‘big ideas’ reminds
us, all future operations will continue to
include some mix of offensive, defensive
and stability operations; the key is to
determine the right mix for each specific
endeavour and each specific geographic
area. Indeed, this observation further
reminds us that most future campaigns
will be comprehensive civil-military
endeavours, requiring us to employ every
available tool in our diplomatic, economic
and defence arsenals in complementary
fashion – and to do so in concert with
coalition partners and host-nation
elements.
Of course, given the understandable
desire to minimise the scale of
commitments abroad, we will have to
place a greater emphasis on security
assistance and advisory programmes
that enable others to meet their
security challenges. Along these lines,
it would be wise to recognise that an
ounce of prevention in the international
arena will often be worth a pound of
cure. This, of course, recalls another
observation from my early days in Iraq,
that ‘money is ammunition’ at a certain
point in a counter-insurgency campaign
– something that is equally true at the
strategic level.
To add a cautionary note from one
of Britain’s own insurgents of the past,
T E Lawrence once warned: ‘Do not try
to do too much with your own hands’.
This again points to the fact that a light
footprint is obviously desirable whenever
possible. Indeed, it is typically the right
approach – except when it is the wrong
approach, that is, when it is not enough.
And in those cases, policy-makers need
to be forthright in determining, assessing,
considering and then explaining our
interests, our options and, ultimately,
our actions. Moreover, all of this must be
captured in a coherent strategic narrative,
a point persuasively explained by Emile
Simpson’s recent work, War From The
Ground Up.4
On Leadership
Perhaps the most important lesson of
all – and one that I highlighted in my
article in late 2005 and have reaffirmed
many times since – is that ‘There is
no substitute for flexible, adaptable
leaders’. This holds especially true in
counter-insurgency operations, which
some observers have described as the
‘graduate level of warfare’ due to their
complexity.
We have, during the past decade,
developed very experienced leaders who
have learned a great deal about irregular
warfare – about how to prepare for
and conduct it. They have also learned
a great deal about training, equipping
and enabling foreign forces. In fact, over
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he voiced such thoughts.) In any event,
that observation will be increasingly true
in the years ahead, as gradual shifts in
power continue and as the authority and
influence of international organisations
are challenged. In fact, this likely would be
a very good time not only to reaffirm, yet
again, the value of NATO, but to expand
the economic ties and trade agreements
between its members so that we may help
each other to strengthen the foundations
of our economic power – foundations
which are, after all, also critical to the
maintenance of our military capabilities.
Conclusions
The missions of the past decade have
required a team effort,5
and the progress
in the various undertakings of the post-
9/11 period has typically been achieved
by coalitions of the willing working
together. The United States has, to be
sure, led the largest of these endeavours
– but no other country has been more
instrumental or sacrificed more as a
partner than the United Kingdom. Indeed,
British soldiers, diplomats, development
experts and intelligence officers have
repeatedly demonstrated that they are
worthy heirs to the legacy handed down
by those who served before them and
demonstrated such intellect, courage,
resourcefulness, capacity for initiative
and, yes, endearing quirkiness, as well as
a capacity to ‘keep calm and carry on’ in
the face of enormous challenges.
In the eleven years following 9/11,
no American was more privileged than I
in serving with those personnel from the
UK in missions of consequence to our two
countries. It was an awesome honour
indeed.
Shortly after I resigned last
November, I received an e-mail from
one of my great British deputies in Iraq
during the surge, which quoted an SAS
colonel from the Second World War era:
‘True riches cannot be bought’, Colonel
Paddy Mayne had observed. ‘One cannot
buy the experience of brave deeds or
the friendship of companions to whom
one is bound forever by ordeals suffered
in common; true friendship itself is an
emerald simply beyond price.’
I have been fortunate to accumulate
a number of those priceless emeralds, the
true friendships of which Colonel Mayne
spoke; and many of these – founded on
shared experiences during tough missions
in the Balkans, Iraq, Afghanistan and
elsewhere – were with those who served
the UK. The bands of brothers that were
forged out of those experiences have
developed into friendships that truly
represent emeralds beyond price, and
their infinite worth was proven in recent
months when those friendships were so
important to me and to my family.
As I have previously noted, there
was a reason – beyond having another
opportunity to run in Hyde Park – that
I used to stop in London almost every
time I travelled back to the United States
from Iraq, Afghanistan or elsewhere in
my various capacities. In essence, those
visits here reflected my deep respect
and profound gratitude for the United
Kingdom, which has been and will
continue to be the United States’ closest
partner in international endeavours.
General David H Petraeus (Rtd) served
for thirty-seven years in the US military,
including as Commander of coalition
forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and as
Commander of the US Central
Command. Following retirement from
the military in August 2011, he served as
the Director of the CIA until November
2012.
Notes
1 I would like to single out General Ray
Odierno and his successor, General
Lloyd Austin, for their great leadership
as the operational-level architects of the
campaign; General Stanley McChrystal
and then Admiral Bill McRaven for their
expert, visionary command of the Special
Mission Unit component; Lieutenant
Generals Sir Graeme Lamb, Sir William
Rollo and John Cooper (my deputies
who helped to launch the process of
reconciliation and then helped to guide
the overall effort so superbly); Major
Generals Sir Paul Newton and Chris
Hughes, Emma Sky (my special adviser
on reconciliation) and their US diplomatic
counterparts who helped to shepherd the
reconciliation effort. I would also like to
recognise Ambassador Ryan Crocker who,
along with a host of US, UK and other
nations’ diplomats, worked in complete
partnership with those of us in uniform to
ensure progress in a host of civil tasks that
were needed to solidify and build on the
military progress on the ground. On the
UK side, thanks, also, to Sir John Scarlett
and Sir John Sawers for their team’s work
together with US intelligence agencies,
and sincere thanks to those who served
as the secretary of state for defence in
those years as well.
2 In this regard, I would like to acknowledge
the contributions of Ambassadors Mark
Sedwill and Simon Gass, General Sir Nick
Parker, Lieutenant General Sir James
Bucknall and Major General Phil Jones,
each of whom was hugely important in
helping to shape and guide the effort
during my time as the commander of
ISAF. I also need to thank two Chiefs
of the Defence Staff, Air Chief Marshal
Sir Jock Stirrup and General Sir David
Richards, for the great support that they
provided in both Afghanistan and Iraq.
3 David H Petraeus, ‘Learning
Counterinsurgency: Observations from
Soldiering in Iraq’, Military Review
(January/February 2006), <http://
usacac.army.mil/cac2/AIWFC/COIN/
repository/Learning_COIN_Mil_Review-
Petraeus%28Jan-Feb06%29.pdf>,
accessed 10 July 2013.
4 Emile Simpson, War From The Ground
Up: Twenty-First-Century Combat as
Politics (London: Hurst & Co, 2012).
5 In the past, I have always noted that I
would accept an award – such as the
Chesney Gold Medal – only inasmuch
as I could do so on behalf of those
with whom I was privileged to serve
in the important endeavours of the
past decade, when our armed forces
were faced with two of our greatest
challenges in as many generations. That
group included not just those in uniform,
but those of the intelligence services,
diplomatic corps and development
organisations as well.
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