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Telecom Customer
Bases – Part 3
Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and
Numbers: Charts & Tables
2004-2008
[HR.CTD003.V1U1-2009]
Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research
11/4/2009
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
2
Contents
List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3
Telkomsel............................................................................................................................... 4
Telkom FWA.......................................................................................................................... 5
Telkom Group – Wireless...................................................................................................... 6
Telkom Group - All................................................................................................................ 8
Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 10
Indosat FWA........................................................................................................................ 11
Indosat Group - Wireless .................................................................................................... 12
Indosat Group - All.............................................................................................................. 14
Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 16
Bakrie Telecom.................................................................................................................... 17
Mobile-8................................................................................................................................ 18
Mobile-8 - All ....................................................................................................................... 19
HCPT.................................................................................................................................... 21
NTS ...................................................................................................................................... 22
Smart Telecom..................................................................................................................... 23
STI........................................................................................................................................ 24
Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 25
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
3
List of Figures & Tables
Figure 1 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E ...................................... 7
Figure 2 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008)........................................... 7
Figure 3 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular, FWA & FWL/PSTN Subscribers 2008E................. 9
Figure 4 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers (2004-2008) ............................. 9
Figure 5 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E ...................................... 13
Figure 6 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) - Wireless ......................... 13
Figure 7 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular, FWA & FWL Subscribers 2008E.......................... 15
Figure 8 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) - All................................... 15
Figure 9 Portion of M8’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E.......................................... 20
Figure 10 Portion of M8’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) ............................................ 20
Figure Table 1 TSEL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ............................................................ 4
Figure Table 2 Growth of TSEL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR.................................. 4
Figure Table 3 TLKM’s FWA Subscriber Base 2004-2008.................................................. 5
Figure Table 4 Growth of TLKM’s FWA Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR....................... 5
Figure Table 5 TLKM’s Wireless Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................ 6
Figure Table 6 Growth of TLKM’s Wireless Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR................. 6
Figure Table 7 TLKM Group’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008................................................ 8
Figure Table 8 Growth of TLKM Group’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR..................... 8
Figure Table 9 ISAT’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ........................................................... 10
Figure Table 10 Growth of ISAT’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR............................... 10
Figure Table 11 ISAT’s FWA Subscriber Base 2004-2008................................................ 11
Figure Table 12 Growth of ISAT’s FWA Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR..................... 11
Figure Table 13 ISAT’s Wireless Subscriber Base 2004-2008 .......................................... 12
Figure Table 14 Growth of ISAT’s Wireless Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ............... 12
Figure Table 15 ISAT Group’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008.............................................. 14
Figure Table 16 Growth of ISAT Group’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ................... 14
Figure Table 17 XL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ............................................................. 16
Figure Table 18 Growth of XL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR .................................. 16
Figure Table 19 BTEL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ........................................................ 17
Figure Table 20 Growth of BTEL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ............................. 17
Figure Table 21 M8’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................................. 18
Figure Table 22 Growth of M8’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR.................................. 18
Figure Table 23 M8’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 (FWA & Mobile)................................. 19
Figure Table 24 Growth of M8’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR (All).......................... 19
Figure Table 25 HCPT’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................ 21
Figure Table 26 NTS’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................... 22
Figure Table 27 Growth of NTS’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR................................ 22
Figure Table 28 Smart’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................ 23
Figure Table 29 STI’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................................ 24
Figure Table 30 Growth of STI’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ................................. 24
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fi
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
igure Tab
10,00
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
#Subs. 16
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tabl
ble 2 Grow
0
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
,000
20
2004
6,290,508
#Su
2005
49.0
49.0
S
m/harewos
le 1 TSEL
wth of TS
004
200
2005
24,269,35
ubscrib
C
5
Subscr
L’s Subsc
SEL’s Sub
05
2006
200
53 35,597
ber - T
CAGR
2006
46.7
47.8
riber G
Telec
riber Bas
bscriber B
6
2007
06
7,171 47
Telkom
42%
200
34.5
43.3
Growth
com Custom
Tel
se 2004-20
Base – AG
2008
2007
7,890,139
msel
7
5
3
h
mer Bases –
lkom
008
GR & CAG
8
2008
65,299,991
2008
36.4
41.5
– Part 3
4
msel
GR
1
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figur
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
re Table 4
2,00
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
#Subs. 1
AGR
CAGR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
re Table 3
4 Growth
0
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
,000
20
2004
1,429,368
#
2005
184.2
184.2
S
m/harewos
3 TLKM’s
h of TLKM
004
200
2005
4,061,867
Subsc
5
2
2
Subscr
FWA Sub
M’s FWA S
05
2006
200
7 4,175
criber
CAGR
2006
2.8
70.9
riber G
Telec
T
bscriber
Subscrib
6
2007
06
5,853 6,
- TLKM
R 73%
200
52.4
64.5
Growth
com Custom
Telko
Base 200
er Base –
2008
2007
,362,844
M
7
4
5
h
mer Bases –
om FW
4-2008
– AGR & C
8
2008
12,725,425
2008
100.0
72.7
– Part 3
5
WA
CAGR
5
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure T
ure Table
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
#Subs. 17
#
AGR
CAG
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
T
Table 5 T
e 6 Growt
0
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
20
2004
7,719,876
#Subsc
200
R 59
GR 59
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S
m/harewos
Telk
TLKM’s W
th of TLK
004
200
2005
28,331,22
criber
CA
05
.9
.9
Subscr
om G
Wireless S
KM’s Wire
CAGR
05
2006
200
20 39,773
(Wire
Group
AGR 4
2006
40.4
49.8
riber G
Telec
Grou
Subscribe
eless Sub
6
2007
06
3,024 54
eless) -
p
5%
2007
36.4
45.2
Growth
com Custom
p – W
er Base 20
bscriber B
2008
2007
4,252,983
- TLKM
7
4
2
h
mer Bases –
Wirel
004-2008
Base – AG
2008
78,025,416
M
2008
43.8
44.9
– Part 3
6
less
GR &
6
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 1 P
Figure 2
91
200
rch
rvirtual.com
Portion o
2 Portion
Wirel
1.9
04E
TLKM
m/harewos
of TLKM’s
of TLKM
FWA
16%
TLK
less Su
85.7
2005E
M Cell
s Cellular
M’s Cellula
A
%
KM Gr
ubs. C
2008E
89.5
2006E
lular P
Telec
r & FWA
ar Subscr
Cellular
84%
roup
ompos
E
88.3
2007E
Portio
com Custom
Subscrib
ribers (20
sition
83
E 200
n (%)
mer Bases –
bers 2008E
004-2008)
3.7
08E
– Part 3
7
E
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
gure Tab
10,00
20,00
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
#Subs. 2
AG
CA
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
e Table 7
le 8 Grow
0
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
,000
20
2004
26,282,104
#Sub
2
GR 4
AGR 4
0.0
5.0
0.0
5.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
S
m/harewos
TLKM Gr
wth of TL
004
200
2005
37,019,88
bscribe
C
005
40.9
40.9
Subscr
Tel
roup’s Su
LKM Grou
CAGR
05
2006
200
81 48,484
er - TL
CAGR
2006
31.0
35.8
riber G
Telec
lkom
ubscriber
up’s Subs
6
2007
06
4,735 62,
LKM G
35%
2007
29.8
33.8
Growth
com Custom
m Gro
r Base 200
criber Ba
2008
2007
,940,264
Group
2
3
3
h
mer Bases –
oup -
04-2008
ase – AGR
2008
86,657,499
2008
37.7
34.8
– Part 3
8
All
R &
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
ure 3 Por
gure 4 Por
62
5.
200
rch
rvirtual.com
rtion of T
rtion of T
Sub
.0
4
04E 2
TLK
m/harewos
TLKM’s C
TLKM’s C
FWA
15%
TLK
bscribe
65.6
11.0
2005E
KM Su
C
ellular, F
2008E
Cellular &
PST
10
Cell
75
A
%
KM Gr
er Com
2008E
73.4
8.6
2006E
ubs. Po
Cellular
Telec
FWA & FW
& FWA Su
TN
0%
lular
5%
roup
mposit
E
76.1
10.1
2007E
ortion
FWA
com Custom
WL/PSTN
ubscriber
tion
7
1
E 20
(%)
mer Bases –
N Subscrib
s (2004-20
75.4
14.7
008E
– Part 3
9
bers
008)
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
gure Tab
5,00
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
#Subs. 9
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tab
ble 10 Gro
0
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
,000
20
2004
9,754,607
#
2005
48.8
48.8
S
m/harewos
ble 9 ISAT
owth of IS
004
200
2005
14,512,45
#Subsc
5
Subscr
T’s Subscr
SAT’s Sub
05
2006
200
53 16,704
criber
CAGR
2006
15.1
30.9
riber G
Telec
riber Bas
bscriber B
6
2007
06
4,639 24
r - ISAT
R 39%
200
46.9
36.0
Growth
com Custom
I
se 2004-20
Base – AG
2008
2007
4,545,422
T
7
9
0
h
mer Bases –
Indo
008
GR & CAG
8
2008
36,510,246
2008
48.7
39.1
– Part 3
10
osat
GR
6
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figur
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figur
re Table
100,0
200,0
300,0
400,0
500,00
600,00
700,00
800,00
#Subs.
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
re Table 1
12 Growt
0
000
000
000
00
00
00
00
00
2004
2004
62,716
#Su
2005
332.4
332.4
S
m/harewos
11 ISAT’s
th of ISAT
4
2005
2005
271,158
ubscrib
CA
5
4
4
Subscr
FWA Sub
T’s FWA S
2006
200
378,
ber - I
AGR 8
2006
39.7
145.7
riber G
Telec
In
bscriber
Subscribe
2007
06
727 6
SAT F
7%
200
65.8
115.
Growth
com Custom
ndos
Base 200
er Base –
2008
2007
627,934
FWA
7
8
.5
h
mer Bases –
sat FW
4-2008
– AGR & C
2008
761,589
2008
21.3
86.7
– Part 3
11
WA
CAGR
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
ure Table
5,00
10,00
15,00
20,00
25,00
30,00
35,00
40,000
#Subs. 9
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
Table 13
e 14 Grow
0
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
2
2004
9,817,323
#Subs
2005
50.6
R 50.6
S
m/harewos
Indo
ISAT’s W
wth of ISA
2004
200
2005
14,783,61
scriber
CA
5
6
6
Subscr
osat G
Wireless S
AT’s Wire
CAGR
05
2006
200
1 17,083
r (Wire
Group
AGR 4
2006
15.6
31.9
riber G
Telec
Grou
Subscribe
eless Sub
6
2007
06
3,366 25
eless)
p
40%
2007
47.4
36.9
Growth
com Custom
up - W
er Base 20
scriber B
2008
2007
5,173,356
- ISAT
7
4
9
h
mer Bases –
Wirel
004-2008
Base – AG
2008
37,271,835
T
2008
48.1
39.6
– Part 3
12
less
GR &
5
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure 5
ure 6 Por
99
200
rch
rvirtual.com
Portion o
tion of IS
Wirel
9.4
04E
ISAT
m/harewos
of ISAT’s
SAT’s Cel
ISA
less Su
98.2
2005E
T Cellu
s Cellular
llular Sub
Cellu
98%
FWA
2%
AT Gro
ubs. C
2008E
97.8
2006E
ular P
Telec
r & FWA S
bscribers
ular
%
oup
ompos
E
97.5
2007E
Portion
com Custom
Subscribe
s (2004-20
sition
98
E 200
n (%)
mer Bases –
ers 2008E
08) - Wire
8.0
08E
– Part 3
13
E
eless
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Figure
gure Tab
5,00
10,00
15,00
20,00
25,00
30,000
35,000
40,000
#Subs.
AGR
CAG
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
e Table 15
le 16 Gro
0
00,000
00,000
00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
2
2004
9,837,323
#Sub
200
50.
R 50.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S
m/harewos
5 ISAT Gr
owth of IS
2004
200
2005
14,805,33
bscrib
C
05
5
5
Subscr
Ind
roup’s Su
SAT Grou
CAGR
05
2006
200
35 17,109
ber - IS
CAGR 4
2006
15.6
31.9
riber G
Telec
dosat
ubscriber
up’s Subs
6
2007
06
9,998 25,
SAT Gr
40%
2007
47.3
36.8
Growth
com Custom
t Gro
r Base 200
criber Ba
2008
2007
,203,835
roup
7
3
8
h
mer Bases –
oup -
04-2008
ase – AGR
2008
37,313,980
2008
48.0
39.6
– Part 3
14
All
R &
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Figu
F
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
ure 7 Por
Figure 8 P
99
200
rch
rvirtual.com
rtion of T
Portion o
Sub
9.2
04E
C
m/harewos
TLKM’s C
f ISAT’s C
F
2
ISA
bscribe
98.0
2005E
ISA
Cellula
ellular, F
Cellular S
PSTN
0.11%
Cellu
97.8
FWA
2.04%
AT Gro
er Com
2008E
97.6
2006E
AT Gro
ar Port
Telec
FWA & FW
Subscribe
N
%
ular
5%
oup
mposit
E
97.4
2007E
oup
tion (%
com Custom
WL Subsc
ers (2004
tion
97
E 200
%)
mer Bases –
cribers 20
-2008) - A
7.8
08E
– Part 3
15
008E
All
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fi
Figure Ta
5,00
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
#Subs. 3
AGR
CAGR
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
igure Tab
ble 18 Gr
0
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
,000
20
2004
3,791,000
2005
84.1
84.1
S
m/harewos
ble 17 XL
rowth of X
004
200
2005
6,978,519
#Subs
C
5
Subscr
’s Subscr
XL’s Subs
05
2006
200
9 9,527
scribe
CAGR
2006
36.5
58.5
riber G
Telec
Ex
riber Base
scriber B
6
2007
06
7,970 15
er - XL
62%
200
62.4
59.8
Growth
com Custom
xcelc
e 2004-20
Base – AG
2008
2007
5,469,000
7
4
8
h
mer Bases –
omin
008
R & CAG
8
2008
26,015,517
2008
68.2
61.9
– Part 3
16
ndo
GR
7
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
Fig
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fig
gure Tabl
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000,
5,000,
6,000,
7,000,0
8,000,0
#Subs.
AGR
CAGR
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tabl
le 20 Gro
0
0,000
0,000
,000
,000
000
000
000
000
20
2004
192,029
#
2005
153.4
153.4
S
m/harewos
e 19 BTE
wth of BT
04
2005
2005
486,604
#Subsc
C
5
4
4
Subscr
L’s Subsc
TEL’s Su
5
2006
200
1,547
criber
CAGR
2006
218.0
183.9
riber G
Telec
Bak
criber Ba
bscriber
2007
06
7,557 3,
- BTE
148%
200
146.
171.
Growth
com Custom
krie T
ase 2004-2
Base – AG
2008
2007
,820,701
L
7
.9
.0
h
mer Bases –
Telec
2008
GR & CA
2008
7,304,543
2008
91.2
148.3
– Part 3
17
com
AGR
3
No
Harew
http://
ov. 4
F
Ptg
wos.Resear
/www.ligar
Fi
Figure Tab
500
1,000
1,500,
2,000,
2,500,
3,000,0
3,500,0
#Subs.
#S
AGR
CAGR
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
igure Tab
ble 22 Gr
0
0,000
,000
,000
,000
000
000
000
20
2004
414,300
Subscr
2005
91.9
91.9
Cellu
m/harewos
ble 21 M8
rowth of M
04
2005
2005
794,900
riber (
CA
5
ular Su
8’s Subscr
M8’s Subs
5
2006
200
1,825
(Cellul
AGR 5
2006
129.7
109.9
ubscrib
Telec
riber Bas
scriber B
2007
06
5,900 3,
lar) - M
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ase 2004-2
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m
– Part 3
23
com
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20
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600
700
800
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CAGR
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200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
1200.0
1400.0
Percentage
rch
rvirtual.com
gure Tab
ble 30 Gr
0
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00,000
00,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
0,000
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116
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69.8
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2006
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criber
CAGR
2
1
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riber G
Telec
riber Bas
bscriber B
2007
2007
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r - NTS
320%
2007
30.5
41.0
Growth
com Custom
se 2004-20
Base – AG
2008
2
4 78
S
2
1
3
h
mer Bases –
S
008
GR & CAG
2008
84,343
2008
152.6
319.7
– Part 3
24
STI
GR
Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3
Harewos.Research
http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
Nov. 4
25
Abbreviations & Notes
AGR Annual Growth Rate
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
2008E At the end of year 2008
FWL Fixed WireLine
PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network
FWA Fixed Wireless Access
TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia / PT. Telkom Indonesia
ISAT PT. Indosat
XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama
M-8/M8 PT. Mobile-8
BTEL PT. Bakrie Telecom
TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)
HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication
NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular
STI PT. Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia
Smart PT. Smart Telecom

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Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3

  • 1. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3 Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2004-2008 [HR.CTD003.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/4/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos
  • 2. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 2 Contents List of Figures & Tables........................................................................................................ 3 Telkomsel............................................................................................................................... 4 Telkom FWA.......................................................................................................................... 5 Telkom Group – Wireless...................................................................................................... 6 Telkom Group - All................................................................................................................ 8 Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 10 Indosat FWA........................................................................................................................ 11 Indosat Group - Wireless .................................................................................................... 12 Indosat Group - All.............................................................................................................. 14 Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 16 Bakrie Telecom.................................................................................................................... 17 Mobile-8................................................................................................................................ 18 Mobile-8 - All ....................................................................................................................... 19 HCPT.................................................................................................................................... 21 NTS ...................................................................................................................................... 22 Smart Telecom..................................................................................................................... 23 STI........................................................................................................................................ 24 Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 25
  • 3. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 3 List of Figures & Tables Figure 1 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E ...................................... 7 Figure 2 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008)........................................... 7 Figure 3 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular, FWA & FWL/PSTN Subscribers 2008E................. 9 Figure 4 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers (2004-2008) ............................. 9 Figure 5 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E ...................................... 13 Figure 6 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) - Wireless ......................... 13 Figure 7 Portion of TLKM’s Cellular, FWA & FWL Subscribers 2008E.......................... 15 Figure 8 Portion of ISAT’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) - All................................... 15 Figure 9 Portion of M8’s Cellular & FWA Subscribers 2008E.......................................... 20 Figure 10 Portion of M8’s Cellular Subscribers (2004-2008) ............................................ 20 Figure Table 1 TSEL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ............................................................ 4 Figure Table 2 Growth of TSEL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR.................................. 4 Figure Table 3 TLKM’s FWA Subscriber Base 2004-2008.................................................. 5 Figure Table 4 Growth of TLKM’s FWA Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR....................... 5 Figure Table 5 TLKM’s Wireless Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................ 6 Figure Table 6 Growth of TLKM’s Wireless Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR................. 6 Figure Table 7 TLKM Group’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008................................................ 8 Figure Table 8 Growth of TLKM Group’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR..................... 8 Figure Table 9 ISAT’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ........................................................... 10 Figure Table 10 Growth of ISAT’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR............................... 10 Figure Table 11 ISAT’s FWA Subscriber Base 2004-2008................................................ 11 Figure Table 12 Growth of ISAT’s FWA Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR..................... 11 Figure Table 13 ISAT’s Wireless Subscriber Base 2004-2008 .......................................... 12 Figure Table 14 Growth of ISAT’s Wireless Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ............... 12 Figure Table 15 ISAT Group’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008.............................................. 14 Figure Table 16 Growth of ISAT Group’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ................... 14 Figure Table 17 XL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ............................................................. 16 Figure Table 18 Growth of XL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR .................................. 16 Figure Table 19 BTEL’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 ........................................................ 17 Figure Table 20 Growth of BTEL’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ............................. 17 Figure Table 21 M8’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................................. 18 Figure Table 22 Growth of M8’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR.................................. 18 Figure Table 23 M8’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008 (FWA & Mobile)................................. 19 Figure Table 24 Growth of M8’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR (All).......................... 19 Figure Table 25 HCPT’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................ 21 Figure Table 26 NTS’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................... 22 Figure Table 27 Growth of NTS’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR................................ 22 Figure Table 28 Smart’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008........................................................ 23 Figure Table 29 STI’s Subscriber Base 2004-2008............................................................ 24 Figure Table 30 Growth of STI’s Subscriber Base – AGR & CAGR ................................. 24
  • 4. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fi Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig igure Tab 10,00 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 #Subs. 16 AGR CAGR 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure Tabl ble 2 Grow 0 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 ,000 20 2004 6,290,508 #Su 2005 49.0 49.0 S m/harewos le 1 TSEL wth of TS 004 200 2005 24,269,35 ubscrib C 5 Subscr L’s Subsc SEL’s Sub 05 2006 200 53 35,597 ber - T CAGR 2006 46.7 47.8 riber G Telec riber Bas bscriber B 6 2007 06 7,171 47 Telkom 42% 200 34.5 43.3 Growth com Custom Tel se 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2007 7,890,139 msel 7 5 3 h mer Bases – lkom 008 GR & CAG 8 2008 65,299,991 2008 36.4 41.5 – Part 3 4 msel GR 1
  • 5. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figur Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Figur re Table 4 2,00 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 #Subs. 1 AGR CAGR 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com re Table 3 4 Growth 0 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 ,000 20 2004 1,429,368 # 2005 184.2 184.2 S m/harewos 3 TLKM’s h of TLKM 004 200 2005 4,061,867 Subsc 5 2 2 Subscr FWA Sub M’s FWA S 05 2006 200 7 4,175 criber CAGR 2006 2.8 70.9 riber G Telec T bscriber Subscrib 6 2007 06 5,853 6, - TLKM R 73% 200 52.4 64.5 Growth com Custom Telko Base 200 er Base – 2008 2007 ,362,844 M 7 4 5 h mer Bases – om FW 4-2008 – AGR & C 8 2008 12,725,425 2008 100.0 72.7 – Part 3 5 WA CAGR 5
  • 6. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figu wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure T ure Table 10,00 20,00 30,00 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 #Subs. 17 # AGR CAG 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com T Table 5 T e 6 Growt 0 00,000 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 20 2004 7,719,876 #Subsc 200 R 59 GR 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 S m/harewos Telk TLKM’s W th of TLK 004 200 2005 28,331,22 criber CA 05 .9 .9 Subscr om G Wireless S KM’s Wire CAGR 05 2006 200 20 39,773 (Wire Group AGR 4 2006 40.4 49.8 riber G Telec Grou Subscribe eless Sub 6 2007 06 3,024 54 eless) - p 5% 2007 36.4 45.2 Growth com Custom p – W er Base 20 bscriber B 2008 2007 4,252,983 - TLKM 7 4 2 h mer Bases – Wirel 004-2008 Base – AG 2008 78,025,416 M 2008 43.8 44.9 – Part 3 6 less GR & 6
  • 7. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 1 P Figure 2 91 200 rch rvirtual.com Portion o 2 Portion Wirel 1.9 04E TLKM m/harewos of TLKM’s of TLKM FWA 16% TLK less Su 85.7 2005E M Cell s Cellular M’s Cellula A % KM Gr ubs. C 2008E 89.5 2006E lular P Telec r & FWA ar Subscr Cellular 84% roup ompos E 88.3 2007E Portio com Custom Subscrib ribers (20 sition 83 E 200 n (%) mer Bases – bers 2008E 004-2008) 3.7 08E – Part 3 7 E
  • 8. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure gure Tab 10,00 20,00 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 #Subs. 2 AG CA 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 Percentage rch rvirtual.com e Table 7 le 8 Grow 0 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 ,000 20 2004 26,282,104 #Sub 2 GR 4 AGR 4 0.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 S m/harewos TLKM Gr wth of TL 004 200 2005 37,019,88 bscribe C 005 40.9 40.9 Subscr Tel roup’s Su LKM Grou CAGR 05 2006 200 81 48,484 er - TL CAGR 2006 31.0 35.8 riber G Telec lkom ubscriber up’s Subs 6 2007 06 4,735 62, LKM G 35% 2007 29.8 33.8 Growth com Custom m Gro r Base 200 criber Ba 2008 2007 ,940,264 Group 2 3 3 h mer Bases – oup - 04-2008 ase – AGR 2008 86,657,499 2008 37.7 34.8 – Part 3 8 All R &
  • 9. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figu Fig wos.Resear /www.ligar ure 3 Por gure 4 Por 62 5. 200 rch rvirtual.com rtion of T rtion of T Sub .0 4 04E 2 TLK m/harewos TLKM’s C TLKM’s C FWA 15% TLK bscribe 65.6 11.0 2005E KM Su C ellular, F 2008E Cellular & PST 10 Cell 75 A % KM Gr er Com 2008E 73.4 8.6 2006E ubs. Po Cellular Telec FWA & FW & FWA Su TN 0% lular 5% roup mposit E 76.1 10.1 2007E ortion FWA com Custom WL/PSTN ubscriber tion 7 1 E 20 (%) mer Bases – N Subscrib s (2004-20 75.4 14.7 008E – Part 3 9 bers 008)
  • 10. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig gure Tab 5,00 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 #Subs. 9 AGR CAGR 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure Tab ble 10 Gro 0 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 ,000 20 2004 9,754,607 # 2005 48.8 48.8 S m/harewos ble 9 ISAT owth of IS 004 200 2005 14,512,45 #Subsc 5 Subscr T’s Subscr SAT’s Sub 05 2006 200 53 16,704 criber CAGR 2006 15.1 30.9 riber G Telec riber Bas bscriber B 6 2007 06 4,639 24 r - ISAT R 39% 200 46.9 36.0 Growth com Custom I se 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2007 4,545,422 T 7 9 0 h mer Bases – Indo 008 GR & CAG 8 2008 36,510,246 2008 48.7 39.1 – Part 3 10 osat GR 6
  • 11. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figur Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Figur re Table 100,0 200,0 300,0 400,0 500,00 600,00 700,00 800,00 #Subs. AGR CAGR 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com re Table 1 12 Growt 0 000 000 000 00 00 00 00 00 2004 2004 62,716 #Su 2005 332.4 332.4 S m/harewos 11 ISAT’s th of ISAT 4 2005 2005 271,158 ubscrib CA 5 4 4 Subscr FWA Sub T’s FWA S 2006 200 378, ber - I AGR 8 2006 39.7 145.7 riber G Telec In bscriber Subscribe 2007 06 727 6 SAT F 7% 200 65.8 115. Growth com Custom ndos Base 200 er Base – 2008 2007 627,934 FWA 7 8 .5 h mer Bases – sat FW 4-2008 – AGR & C 2008 761,589 2008 21.3 86.7 – Part 3 11 WA CAGR
  • 12. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figu wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure ure Table 5,00 10,00 15,00 20,00 25,00 30,00 35,00 40,000 #Subs. 9 AGR CAGR 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com Table 13 e 14 Grow 0 00,000 00,000 00,000 00,000 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 2 2004 9,817,323 #Subs 2005 50.6 R 50.6 S m/harewos Indo ISAT’s W wth of ISA 2004 200 2005 14,783,61 scriber CA 5 6 6 Subscr osat G Wireless S AT’s Wire CAGR 05 2006 200 1 17,083 r (Wire Group AGR 4 2006 15.6 31.9 riber G Telec Grou Subscribe eless Sub 6 2007 06 3,366 25 eless) p 40% 2007 47.4 36.9 Growth com Custom up - W er Base 20 scriber B 2008 2007 5,173,356 - ISAT 7 4 9 h mer Bases – Wirel 004-2008 Base – AG 2008 37,271,835 T 2008 48.1 39.6 – Part 3 12 less GR & 5
  • 13. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figu wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 5 ure 6 Por 99 200 rch rvirtual.com Portion o tion of IS Wirel 9.4 04E ISAT m/harewos of ISAT’s SAT’s Cel ISA less Su 98.2 2005E T Cellu s Cellular llular Sub Cellu 98% FWA 2% AT Gro ubs. C 2008E 97.8 2006E ular P Telec r & FWA S bscribers ular % oup ompos E 97.5 2007E Portion com Custom Subscribe s (2004-20 sition 98 E 200 n (%) mer Bases – ers 2008E 08) - Wire 8.0 08E – Part 3 13 E eless
  • 14. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure gure Tab 5,00 10,00 15,00 20,00 25,00 30,000 35,000 40,000 #Subs. AGR CAG 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com e Table 15 le 16 Gro 0 00,000 00,000 00,000 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 2 2004 9,837,323 #Sub 200 50. R 50. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 S m/harewos 5 ISAT Gr owth of IS 2004 200 2005 14,805,33 bscrib C 05 5 5 Subscr Ind roup’s Su SAT Grou CAGR 05 2006 200 35 17,109 ber - IS CAGR 4 2006 15.6 31.9 riber G Telec dosat ubscriber up’s Subs 6 2007 06 9,998 25, SAT Gr 40% 2007 47.3 36.8 Growth com Custom t Gro r Base 200 criber Ba 2008 2007 ,203,835 roup 7 3 8 h mer Bases – oup - 04-2008 ase – AGR 2008 37,313,980 2008 48.0 39.6 – Part 3 14 All R &
  • 15. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Figu F wos.Resear /www.ligar ure 7 Por Figure 8 P 99 200 rch rvirtual.com rtion of T Portion o Sub 9.2 04E C m/harewos TLKM’s C f ISAT’s C F 2 ISA bscribe 98.0 2005E ISA Cellula ellular, F Cellular S PSTN 0.11% Cellu 97.8 FWA 2.04% AT Gro er Com 2008E 97.6 2006E AT Gro ar Port Telec FWA & FW Subscribe N % ular 5% oup mposit E 97.4 2007E oup tion (% com Custom WL Subsc ers (2004 tion 97 E 200 %) mer Bases – cribers 20 -2008) - A 7.8 08E – Part 3 15 008E All
  • 16. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fi Figure Ta 5,00 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 #Subs. 3 AGR CAGR 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com igure Tab ble 18 Gr 0 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 ,000 20 2004 3,791,000 2005 84.1 84.1 S m/harewos ble 17 XL rowth of X 004 200 2005 6,978,519 #Subs C 5 Subscr ’s Subscr XL’s Subs 05 2006 200 9 9,527 scribe CAGR 2006 36.5 58.5 riber G Telec Ex riber Base scriber B 6 2007 06 7,970 15 er - XL 62% 200 62.4 59.8 Growth com Custom xcelc e 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2007 5,469,000 7 4 8 h mer Bases – omin 008 R & CAG 8 2008 26,015,517 2008 68.2 61.9 – Part 3 16 ndo GR 7
  • 17. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fig Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig gure Tabl 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000, 5,000, 6,000, 7,000,0 8,000,0 #Subs. AGR CAGR 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure Tabl le 20 Gro 0 0,000 0,000 ,000 ,000 000 000 000 000 20 2004 192,029 # 2005 153.4 153.4 S m/harewos e 19 BTE wth of BT 04 2005 2005 486,604 #Subsc C 5 4 4 Subscr L’s Subsc TEL’s Su 5 2006 200 1,547 criber CAGR 2006 218.0 183.9 riber G Telec Bak criber Ba bscriber 2007 06 7,557 3, - BTE 148% 200 146. 171. Growth com Custom krie T ase 2004-2 Base – AG 2008 2007 ,820,701 L 7 .9 .0 h mer Bases – Telec 2008 GR & CA 2008 7,304,543 2008 91.2 148.3 – Part 3 17 com AGR 3
  • 18. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fi Figure Tab 500 1,000 1,500, 2,000, 2,500, 3,000,0 3,500,0 #Subs. #S AGR CAGR -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com igure Tab ble 22 Gr 0 0,000 ,000 ,000 ,000 000 000 000 20 2004 414,300 Subscr 2005 91.9 91.9 Cellu m/harewos ble 21 M8 rowth of M 04 2005 2005 794,900 riber ( CA 5 ular Su 8’s Subscr M8’s Subs 5 2006 200 1,825 (Cellul AGR 5 2006 129.7 109.9 ubscrib Telec riber Bas scriber B 2007 06 5,900 3, lar) - M 59% 200 65.0 93.7 ber Gr com Custom M e 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2007 ,012,800 Mobile 7 0 7 rowth mer Bases – Mobil 008 GR & CAG 2008 2,671,900 e 8 2008 -11.3 59.4 – Part 3 18 le-8 GR 0
  • 19. No Harew http:// ov. 4 F Figu wos.Resear /www.ligar igure Tab ure Table 500 1,000 1,500, 2,000, 2,500, 3,000,0 3,500,0 #Subs. AGR CAGR -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com ble 23 M8 e 24 Grow 0 0,000 ,000 ,000 000 000 000 000 200 2004 414,300 #S 2005 91.9 R 91.9 S m/harewos 8’s Subscr wth of M8 04 2005 2005 794,900 Subscr CA 5 9 9 Subscr riber Bas 8’s Subscr 5 2006 200 0 1,825 iber - AGR 6 2006 129.7 109.9 riber G Telec M se 2004-20 riber Bas 2007 06 5,900 3,0 Mobil 64% 2007 65.0 93.7 Growth com Custom Mobil 008 (FWA se – AGR & 2008 2007 012,800 e 8 7 0 7 h mer Bases – le-8 - A & Mobil & CAGR 2008 3,004,400 2008 -0.3 64.1 – Part 3 19 All le) (All)
  • 20. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figure 9 Figure S 10 200 rch rvirtual.com 9 Portion 10 Portio Subscr 0.0 04E C m/harewos n of M8’s C on of M8’ F 11 M riber C 100.0 2005E M Cellula Cellular & s Cellular Cellu 88.9 FWA .07% Mobile Compo 100.0 2006E Mobile ar Port Telec & FWA Su r Subscri ular 93% 8 osition 100.0 2007E 8 tion (% com Custom ubscribe ibers (200 n 2008E 0 88 E 200 %) mer Bases – rs 2008E 04-2008) E 8.9 08E – Part 3 20
  • 21. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig 1, 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 #Subs. rch rvirtual.com ure Table 0 000,000 000,000 000,000 000,000 000,000 . # m/harewos e 25 HCP 2007 2007 2,039,406 Subsc PT’s Subsc criber 121% Telec criber Ba 2008 - Hutc % com Custom ase 2004-2 2008 4,500,609 ch mer Bases – HC 2008 – Part 3 21 CPT
  • 22. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fi Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fig igure Tab 5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,00 3,50 #Subs. AGR CAGR -10000.0 0.0 10000.0 20000.0 30000.0 40000.0 50000.0 60000.0 70000.0 80000.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure Tab ble 27 Gro 0 500,000 000,000 500,000 000,000 00,000 00,000 00,000 2005 . 21,537 # 2 - R - S m/harewos le 26 NTS owth of N 2005 7 1 #Subs C 2006 -41.0 -41.0 Subscr S’s Subsc NTS’s Sub 2006 2006 12,715 criber CAGR 4 2 - - riber G Telec riber Bas bscriber B 2007 2007 4,788 r - NTS 432% 2007 -62.3 -52.8 Growth com Custom se 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2 3,2 S 2 67 4 h mer Bases – N 008 GR & CAG 2008 34,800 2008 7460.6 431.6 – Part 3 22 NTS GR
  • 23. No Harew http:// ov. 4 wos.Resear /www.ligar Figu 6 8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 #Subs. rch rvirtual.com ure Table 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 000,000 200,000 400,000 600,000 . #Subs m/harewos e 28 Smar 2007 2007 115,000 scriber 1 rt’s Subsc r - Sm 1231% Telec Sma criber Ba 2008 art Te com Custom art T ase 2004-2 2008 1,530,823 elecom mer Bases – Telec 2008 m – Part 3 23 com
  • 24. No Harew http:// ov. 4 Fi Ptg wos.Resear /www.ligar Fi igure Tab 10 20 30 40 500 600 700 800 #Subs. AGR CAGR 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 800.0 1000.0 1200.0 1400.0 Percentage rch rvirtual.com gure Tab ble 30 Gr 0 00,000 00,000 00,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 0,000 2 2005 . 10,609 # 20 116 116 S m/harewos ble 29 STI owth of S 2005 2 9 1 #Subs C 006 69.8 69.8 Subscr I’s Subscr STI’s Sub 2006 2006 34,713 criber CAGR 2 1 44 riber G Telec riber Bas bscriber B 2007 2007 310,464 r - NTS 320% 2007 30.5 41.0 Growth com Custom se 2004-20 Base – AG 2008 2 4 78 S 2 1 3 h mer Bases – S 008 GR & CAG 2008 84,343 2008 152.6 319.7 – Part 3 24 STI GR
  • 25. Telecom Customer Bases – Part 3 Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos Nov. 4 25 Abbreviations & Notes AGR Annual Growth Rate CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate 2008E At the end of year 2008 FWL Fixed WireLine PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network FWA Fixed Wireless Access TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia / PT. Telkom Indonesia ISAT PT. Indosat XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama M-8/M8 PT. Mobile-8 BTEL PT. Bakrie Telecom TSEL PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel) HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular STI PT. Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia Smart PT. Smart Telecom