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Making your own smart ‘machine learning’ thermostat
Data Donderdag – 19 november 2015 – Niek Temme
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
Quirky needs your Wink Hub
back after a botched security
update
- CNET -
18 – 50 billion
connected devices by 2020
- Gartner, IDC, Cisco -	
device hub cloud
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
Quirky needs your Wink
Hub back after a botched
security update
- CNET -	
18 – 50 billion
connected devices by
2020
- Gartner, IDC, Cisco -	
device hub cloud
Device Connection
Cloud
- Storage
- Analitics
How Smart, Connected Products
Are Transforming Companies
Michael E. Porter James E. Heppelmann	
oktober	2015
The device
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1 A01_1933
A01_1933
A01_1982
A01_1982
A01_1933
A01_1884
A01_1933
A01_1982
A01_1933
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094222_9670832 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1933
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094222_9796804 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1933
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094222_9919598 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1982
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9043289 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1982
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9166720 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1933
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9294077 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1884
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9416375 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1933
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9540631 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1982
40b5af00_rx000A01_8574094223_9669088 column=fd:cd, timestamp=1425905812807, value=1933
Connection & Storage
3	sensors	
1000	values		
per	scecond	
In	one	year	
	
31	bilion	rows			
	
+/-	800GB
?
Analytics
increase maintain
61 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6
Smart Temp - Sensor value - 2015-03-19
8	
10	
12	
14	
16	
18	
20	
0	 10	 20	 30	 40	 50	 60	
Temperature	°C	
Minutes	
Act	temp	
Set	temp	
Making it smart
00:00 00:10 00:3000:20 00:40 00:50 01:00
6 min 5 min 4 min 3 min 2 min 2 min
Making it smart
Score
score =
( [number of times boiler goes on] * 10 * 60 ) +
( [total minutes boiler is on] * 2 ) +
( absolute( [maximum reached temperature]
– [set temperature] ) ) +
( if([overshoot]=true ) then 3600 else 0 )
00:00 00:10 00:3000:20 00:40 00:50 01:00
4 min 4 min 4 min 3 min 3 min 2 min
00:00 00:10 00:3000:20 00:40 00:50 01:00
2 min 2 min 2 minoff off off
scenario
tempdif: 7 ℃
outempdif: 8 ℃
initial
improved
k-means	clustering
Thank you
questions or feedback?
http://niektemme.com/2015/08/09/smart-thermostat/
niektemme@gmail.com
@niektemme
linkedin.com/in/niektemme
EXTRA SLIDES
•  1000 values per second
•  Why 1000?
•  Solved with in-memory database
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
2 3 4
5 6 7
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
Quirky needs your Wink
Hub back after a botched
security update
- CNET -	
18 – 50 billion
connected devices by
2020
- Gartner, IDC, Cisco -
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
2 3 4
5 6 7
I II III
Making your own smart ‘machine learning’ thermostat using
Arduino, AWS, HBase, Spark, Raspberry PI and XBee
niektemme.com/2015/08/09/smart-thermostat
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
2 3 4
5 6 7
I II III
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
2 3 4
5 6 7
I II III
Start with ‘IoT’
Used scenario
•  Scenario = pattern of six 10 minute intervals
For example 5 4 3 2 2 2
•  The tempdif = (set – inside) temperature
•  The outtempdif = (set – outside) temperature
•  Raspberry PI selects (given a tempdif and outtempdiff)
–  50% of the time: best temperature scenario
–  50% of the time: alternative scenario
•  Used scenario and tempdif and outtempdiff used to select this
scenario are uploaded to the server.
Making it smart
Minutes	per	run	–	maintain	room	temperature	 Minutes	per	run	–	maintain	room	temperature	(alternaKve)
Two step process
A.  Score each used scenario
B.  Cluster and rank scenarios in each
cluster
B. Cluster and select
Making it smart
8	
10	
12	
14	
16	
18	
20	
0	 10	 20	 30	 40	 50	 60	
Temperature	°C	
Minutes	
Act	temp	
Set	temp	
8	
10	
12	
14	
16	
18	
20	
0	 10	 20	 30	 40	 50	 60	
Temperature	°C	
Minutes	
Act	temp	
Set	temp
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
2 3 4
5 6 7
I II III
00:00 00:10 00:3000:20 00:40 00:50 01:00
6 min 5 min 4 min 3 min 2 min 2 min
61 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6
increase maintain
8	
10	
12	
14	
16	
18	
20	
0	 10	 20	 30	 40	 50	 60	
Temperature	°C	
Minutes	
Act	temp	
Set	temp	
Making it smart
00:00 00:10 00:3000:20 00:40 00:50 01:00
6 min 6 min 6 min 2 min off 2 min
Arduino
+
XBee
RaspPI
+
XBee
AWS
HBase
Spark
Boiler
Device Connection
Cloud
- Storage
- Analitics
How Smart, Connected Product
Are Transforming Companies
Michael E. Porter James E. Heppelmann	
oktober	2015
Personal journey

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Smart thermometer-niek