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THE ROLE OF PROFESSIONAL RISK
In Implementing Industrial Energy Improvements
Christopher Russell,
Principal
Energy PathFINDER .com
(443) 636-7746
2014
CHRISTOPHER RUSSELL…
•  Principal, Energy Pathfinder Management Consulting, LLC
•  Visiting Fellow, American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
•  Energy Manager for Howard County, MD, 2010-2012
•  Director of industrial programs, Alliance to Save Energy (1999-2006)
•  Author: “The Industrial Energy Harvest”
•  MBA, University of Maryland
•  Master of Arts – Urban Studies, University of Maryland
•  B.A., McGill University
Connecting the dots between
energy choices and business success.
2©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
“The beginning of knowledge
is the discovery of
something we do not
understand.”
-- Frank Herbert
1920-1986
Author of “Dune”
3©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Background: Industrial Energy
•  One third of the US energy pie, 12.5% of GDP
•  Efficient use offsets need for regional utility infrastructure
investment
•  No energy, no production, no revenue
•  Cost of doing business (tax deduction)
•  Energy managers in the cost bulls-eye
•  Spend money to save money?
4©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
U.S. Department of Energy, Advanced Manufacturing Office). 2012. Manufacturing Energy and Carbon Footprint, NAICS
31-33). Washington, DC: DOE http://www1.eere.energy.gov/manufacturing/resources/footprints.html
5
Industrial Energy: Gross to Net
6©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Risks …and Opportunities
•  Technical risk
•  Accountability risk
•  Measurement risk
•  Investment risk
•  Management risk
7©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Methodology
•  Casual distillation of 80 interviews of industrial energy
practitioners & experts, 2012-14
•  No hypothesis– only a review of evident trends
8©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
“Opportunity is missed
by most people
because it is dressed in
overalls and looks like
work.”
-- Thomas Alva Edison
1847 - 1931
American inventor and businessman
9©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Technical Risk
•  Fugitive energy: destroys physical assets
•  Real time energy data = pulse on operations
•  Failure to M&V = accepting risk of failure
•  Monetize energy + non-energy benefits
•  No energy assessment? IAC database
10©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Industrial Assessment Database
http://iac.rutgers.edu/database/
15,000 Energy assessment results:
Recommendations, costs, savings
Sort by plant size, type and location
©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com 1111
Accountability Risk
•  Competing priorities: output comes first
•  Invisibility: no performance metrics for energy
•  Reluctance to change what’s not broken
•  Energy waste = small percent of expenses
•  Delegation to unempowered staff.
•  Bias for hardware over soft/human issues
•  Energy choices: shaping cash flows for years, decades
•  Energy manager: Inside or outside hire?
•  Convert recommendations into implementations
•  Map the decisions: coordinate with/support other agendas
12©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Measurement Risk
• Quantify: energy savings, investment rates of
return, participation/support
• Ill-chosen metrics? Failure to measure?
• Good metrics:
•  Easy to collect on an ongoing basis
•  Easy to understand
•  Link to staff accountabilities
• Subject of regular management discussion?
13©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Investment Risk
•  Profit = retained earnings = capital.
Capital has to go somewhere…
Compare investment options?
•  Common justification = short payback
•  Benchmark = return on invested assets
14©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
15©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Payback vs. Rate of Return
Management Risk
•  Energy management: conceived in isolation
•  Top management support? Yeah, but…
•  Sideways, incremental victories
•  Departmental affinities, complementarities
•  Departmental turf issues
•  Budget stand-off?
•  Monetize: cost, benefits, cost of doing nothing
•  Document, communicate, celebrate
16©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
Energy Management è Change è Risk & Reward?
17©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
High
YIELD
BUSINESS PLAN:
PLAN-DO-CHECK-ACT
•  Monetize energy position
•  Document costs to do/not do
•  Seek mutual affinities
SYSTEMATIC VALUE HARVESTING
COMPONENT APPROACH
•  Driven by breakdowns, rebates
•  Compete for capex
•  Address symptoms, not root causes
FEAST OR FAMINE PROJECT HUNTING
Low
YIELD
EMPHASIZE BEHAVIOR,
PERSONAL CHOICE
•  Authority? Moral suasion?
•  Accountability? Burn out?
SPRAY & PRAY
DON’T MANAGE ENERGY
•  Minimal change, low hassle factor
•  Absorb energy price, tech risk
DENY & DEFLECT
Low RISK High RISK
“Change is not compulsory…
[but then] neither is
survival.”
-- W. Edwards Deming
1900 - 1993
American statistician, professor, author, lecturer and
consultant
18©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
ENERGYPATHFINDER.COM
CHRISTOPHER RUSSELL
INFO@ENERGYPATHFINDER.COM
@ENERGYpathfndr
THANK
YOU!

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Russell IETC 2014

  • 1. THE ROLE OF PROFESSIONAL RISK In Implementing Industrial Energy Improvements Christopher Russell, Principal Energy PathFINDER .com (443) 636-7746 2014
  • 2. CHRISTOPHER RUSSELL… •  Principal, Energy Pathfinder Management Consulting, LLC •  Visiting Fellow, American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy •  Energy Manager for Howard County, MD, 2010-2012 •  Director of industrial programs, Alliance to Save Energy (1999-2006) •  Author: “The Industrial Energy Harvest” •  MBA, University of Maryland •  Master of Arts – Urban Studies, University of Maryland •  B.A., McGill University Connecting the dots between energy choices and business success. 2©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 3. “The beginning of knowledge is the discovery of something we do not understand.” -- Frank Herbert 1920-1986 Author of “Dune” 3©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 4. Background: Industrial Energy •  One third of the US energy pie, 12.5% of GDP •  Efficient use offsets need for regional utility infrastructure investment •  No energy, no production, no revenue •  Cost of doing business (tax deduction) •  Energy managers in the cost bulls-eye •  Spend money to save money? 4©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 5. U.S. Department of Energy, Advanced Manufacturing Office). 2012. Manufacturing Energy and Carbon Footprint, NAICS 31-33). Washington, DC: DOE http://www1.eere.energy.gov/manufacturing/resources/footprints.html 5
  • 6. Industrial Energy: Gross to Net 6©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 7. Risks …and Opportunities •  Technical risk •  Accountability risk •  Measurement risk •  Investment risk •  Management risk 7©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 8. Methodology •  Casual distillation of 80 interviews of industrial energy practitioners & experts, 2012-14 •  No hypothesis– only a review of evident trends 8©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 9. “Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work.” -- Thomas Alva Edison 1847 - 1931 American inventor and businessman 9©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 10. Technical Risk •  Fugitive energy: destroys physical assets •  Real time energy data = pulse on operations •  Failure to M&V = accepting risk of failure •  Monetize energy + non-energy benefits •  No energy assessment? IAC database 10©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 11. Industrial Assessment Database http://iac.rutgers.edu/database/ 15,000 Energy assessment results: Recommendations, costs, savings Sort by plant size, type and location ©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com 1111
  • 12. Accountability Risk •  Competing priorities: output comes first •  Invisibility: no performance metrics for energy •  Reluctance to change what’s not broken •  Energy waste = small percent of expenses •  Delegation to unempowered staff. •  Bias for hardware over soft/human issues •  Energy choices: shaping cash flows for years, decades •  Energy manager: Inside or outside hire? •  Convert recommendations into implementations •  Map the decisions: coordinate with/support other agendas 12©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 13. Measurement Risk • Quantify: energy savings, investment rates of return, participation/support • Ill-chosen metrics? Failure to measure? • Good metrics: •  Easy to collect on an ongoing basis •  Easy to understand •  Link to staff accountabilities • Subject of regular management discussion? 13©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 14. Investment Risk •  Profit = retained earnings = capital. Capital has to go somewhere… Compare investment options? •  Common justification = short payback •  Benchmark = return on invested assets 14©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 16. Management Risk •  Energy management: conceived in isolation •  Top management support? Yeah, but… •  Sideways, incremental victories •  Departmental affinities, complementarities •  Departmental turf issues •  Budget stand-off? •  Monetize: cost, benefits, cost of doing nothing •  Document, communicate, celebrate 16©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com
  • 17. Energy Management è Change è Risk & Reward? 17©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com High YIELD BUSINESS PLAN: PLAN-DO-CHECK-ACT •  Monetize energy position •  Document costs to do/not do •  Seek mutual affinities SYSTEMATIC VALUE HARVESTING COMPONENT APPROACH •  Driven by breakdowns, rebates •  Compete for capex •  Address symptoms, not root causes FEAST OR FAMINE PROJECT HUNTING Low YIELD EMPHASIZE BEHAVIOR, PERSONAL CHOICE •  Authority? Moral suasion? •  Accountability? Burn out? SPRAY & PRAY DON’T MANAGE ENERGY •  Minimal change, low hassle factor •  Absorb energy price, tech risk DENY & DEFLECT Low RISK High RISK
  • 18. “Change is not compulsory… [but then] neither is survival.” -- W. Edwards Deming 1900 - 1993 American statistician, professor, author, lecturer and consultant 18©2014 Energy PathFINDER.com