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1. Monthly Snap
Snapshot – Nifty 50

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CONTENTS
Latest Updates
Technical Analysis
• Moving average
• Fibonacci Retracement
• Pivot Point
Daily & Weekly charts
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Latest Updates
5th Aug-
• Ranbaxy Laboratories has announced its second quarter results. The company's Q2 net
profit was down 25% at Rs 243 crore versus Rs 326 crore. Its net sales were down 4.41%
at Rs 2,055 crore versus Rs 2,150 crore
4Th Aug-
• ACC has reported a fall of 6% (YoY) in profits for the first quarter of CY11. During the
period, consolidated profit after tax of the company declined to Rs 328 crore as against
Rs 349.5 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal. Net sales jumped 17% to Rs 2,539
crore from Rs 2,167 crore year-on-year. EBITDA in the April-June quarter was Rs 547.5
crore versus Rs 551 crore in the year ago period.
3rd Aug-
• Bharti Airtel, country's largest telecom operator, has reported a fall of more than
13% (QoQ) in profits for first quarter of FY12. During the period, consolidated net
profit of the company declined to Rs 1,215 crore as against Rs 1400.7 crore in the
previous quarter. Consolidated net sales increased over 4% to Rs 16,975 crore
from Rs 16,260 crore quarter-on-quarter.
2nd Aug-
• Grasim Industries has reported a sales turnover of Rs 1,043.94 crore and a net
profit of Rs 314.13 crore for the quarter ended Jun '11.
For the quarter ended Jun 2010 the sales turnover was Rs 964.47 crore and net
profit was Rs 223.83 crore
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1st Aug-
• Federal Bank has reported its results for the quarter ended Jun '11.
Interest earned for the quarter was Rs 1,244.71 crore and net profit was Rs
146.16 crore. For the quarter ended Jun 2010 the interest earned was Rs 951.79
crore and net profit was Rs 131.86 crore.
29th July
• Ambuja Cements has reported a sales turnover of Rs 2,189.07 crore and a net
profit of Rs 347.50 crore for the quarter ended Jun '11. The sales turnover was Rs
2,088.39 crore and net profit was Rs 391.21 crore.
• Shares of JSW Steel, Sesa Goa and NMDC crashed after the Karnataka
Lokayukta indicted these companies for dubious practices in mining iron ore in the
state.
28th July
• Cigarettes to hotels major ITC beat analysts’ expectations as first quarter net
profit rose 24.5% year-on-year to Rs 1,332.72 crore.
26th July
• RBI raises repo rates by 50 basis points to 8% & reverse repo rate by 50 basis
points to 7%.
25th July
• Reliance Industries has reported a sales turnover of Rs 81,018.00 crore and a
net profit of Rs 5,661.00 crore for the quarter ended Jun '11.
23rd July
• Axis Bank’s first quarter (April-June) net profit surged 27% year-on-year to Rs
942 crore, beating analysts’ estimates by a wide margin. Net interest income, the
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difference between interest earned and interest paid—climbed 14% to Rs 1724.1
crore, driven by a healthy growth in the loan book.
21st July
• Dr Reddy's Labs has reported a 21.5% fall in its first quarter. FY12 net profit
came to be Rs 263 crore against Rs 335 crore in the previous quarter. As per
IFRS Net sales too declined nearly 2% to Rs 1,978 crore from Rs 2,017 crore
quarter-on-quarter.
• Hero Honda Motors' first quarter net profit rose 13.5% from a year ago to Rs
557.89 crore, boosted by strong growth in sales volumes. Revenue of India’s
largest two-wheeler maker accelerated 32% year-on-year to Rs 5,683.33 crore.
19th July
• HDFC bank’s first quarter (April-June) net profit rose more than 33% to Rs 1,085
crore, compared to the same period last year. Net interest income in the April-
June period jumped 18.6% year-on-year to Rs 2,848 crore from Rs 2,401 crore a
year back.
15th July-
• India's largest software services exporter Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has
reported net profit of Rs 2,380 crore in the quarter ended June 2011, which was
better than expectations as against Rs 2,380.9 crore in previous quarter, as per
International Financial Reporting Standards. However, earnings before interest
and tax (EBIT) was down by 1.7% at Rs 2,826 crore from Rs 2,875.7 crore on
quarter-on-quarter basis. EBIT margin grew at 26.2% - less as compared to
28.3% in previous quarter.
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TECHNICAL VIEW
Moving averages
Moving Averages 20 Day 50 Day 100 Day 200 Day
Daily 5524 5512 5591 5662
Weekly 5594 5705 5415 4839
Fibonacci retracement levels (Weekly)
SCRIPT 0.0% 23.6% 38.2% 50.0% 61.8% 100.0%
NIFTY 6338.50 4887.26 4438.97 3990.67 3436.03 2538.45
Weekly Pivot
SCRIPT R4 R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3 S4
Nifty 6601 6165 5729 5470 5293 5034 4857 4421 3985
Daily Pivot
SCRIPT R4 R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3 S4
Nifty 5525 5412 5299 5255 5186 5142 5073 4959 4846
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Daily & Weekly C
Chart of S&P Nifty
Daily Analysis
On the daily chart of Nifty, In July Nifty followed its upward channel and took resi
resistance
of its resistance trendline drawn from its peak and reversed to en at 5211.25 past
line end
week. In the end, it has made a broader symmetrical triangle break out past week
driven by negative
tive global cues, fears of U.S economy going in
recession after its rating downgarded to AA+ by S&P European debt crisis played
S&P.
their part and dragged Nifty to its lowest level since July 2010.
ifty
In the coming month, If Nifty sust
sustains the level of 5180 and trades above it for most part
of the coming week then can see some pullback and ret
retrace back to the level of 5400-
5
5500 to test its long standing resistance line drawn from peak of 6338 The trading
6338.
range for Nifty would be 5240 to 55
5500. On the other Side, If Nifty breaks the level of
break
5150 and trades below it then ca further correct to 4950 and then the trading range for
can r
Nifty would be 5180 – 4950 for the coming month.
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Weekly Analysis
If we look at a broader chart of Nifty, we can see it is working quite well with
retracement of its rally started from 2
2540 (March 2009) to its peak at 6338 (Nov 2010).
(
Nifty consolidated at the retracement level of 23.6% and has given a closing below this
y
retracement, also, it has been taking support of its long standing support trendline
drawn from troughs of July 2008 and has been giving closing above it for the past one
year.
Last week Nifty gave a closing before its crucial trendline and if in coming weeks it
trades below it and gives a closing below this trendline; then we can see further
below
downside and it may test the retracement level of 38.2% which comes around 4900.
%
But, If Nifty sustains the level of 52
5200 in the coming week and manages to give a
man
closing above 5300, then we can see a short term pullback rally to 5500 where it could
, see
resist its upward resistance line drawn from peak of 6338.
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