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Aviva plc
Interim Results 2018
Disclaimer
Cautionary statements:
This should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This presentation contains, and we may
make other verbal or written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results,
strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “projects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “likely”, “target”, “goal”,
“guidance”, “trends”, “future”, “estimates”, “potential” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and
uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the
global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the impact of various local and international political, regulatory and
economic conditions; market developments and government actions (including those arising from the referendum on UK membership of the European Union); the effect of credit spread
volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value
of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact
of changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations
on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken
on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate
capital management initiatives; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates
and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities and
results of operations; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability
of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; regulatory approval of extension of use of the Group’s internal model for
calculation of regulatory capital under the European Union’s Solvency II rules; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs
(“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies,
estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or
failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events (including cyber attack); risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures;
our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the
necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective
compensation to our customers; the effect of fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the
effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes
to our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to proposed
changes in UK law; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the
timing/regulatory approval impact, integration risk, and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to
announced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government or
regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and
other factors, please see ‘Other information – Shareholder Information – Risks relating to our business’ in Aviva’s most recent Annual Report. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the
forward looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which
such statements are made.
EPS Cash
HY 2018 key financial metrics
Operating EPS
26.8p, +4%
9.25p per share
+10%
DividendCapital
Solvency II ratio
1
187%, -11pp
Cash remittances
2
£1.49bn, +28%
4
All footnotes on page 48
7 out of 8 major markets delivered strong growth
UK3,4,5
Ireland
France6
Canada
Singapore Italy7
Poland
Aviva Investors
£(13)m £(84)m
5
£1,040m +10% £279m +12% £95m +8%
£76m +7% £50m +14% £46m +10% £82m +9%
All footnotes on page 48
UK
Ireland
France Canada
Singapore Italy7
LT Savings net inflows £2.5bn
Annuity sales +83%
GI COR8 94.3%
AIMS improved performance
Positive cost-income jaws
Investment in talent
Mix shift to U/L & protection
Operating expenses -2%
GI COR8 95.5%
GI COR8 104.6%
Weather 2.2ppts above LTA
Early signs underlying improvement
Net inflows £2.3bn driven by hybrid
and with-profits
GI COR8 97.4%
Completed sale of Avipop
VNB9 +43%
Growth from volume and mix
Aviva FA: 772 advisers
Poland
Aviva Investors
Major markets performance highlights
6
Maintained high quality mix
U/L & protection c85% of sales
GI COR8 89.0%
GI COR8 87.1%
NWP flat as market cycle evolves
Completed Friends First acquisition
All footnotes on page 48
Confidence in achieving >5% FY growth ambition
7
H1 Headwinds
*
2018 FY
Ambition
FY Outlook
- Canada -£84m
- UK Weather -£60m
- Disposals -£83m
+ Organic growth
+ Canada stabilisation
+ 2017/18 Capital returns
EPS growth >5%
*HY18 on HY17
Double-digit dividend growth underpins FY confidence
Interim dividend up 10%
5.85p
6.75p
7.42p
8.40p
9.25p
10%
+13%
+10%
+15%
HY18HY17HY16HY15HY14
Interim dividend
9.25p
2018 share buyback
£600m
8
All footnotes on page 48
9
Disciplined deployment of surplus capital
£600m buyback announced
£376m completed YTD*
Organic
growth
Capital
returns
Bolt-on
M&A
Invest to grow – internally funded
GCS, AFA, Aviva Investors, BPA, LT savings
c.£500m target
€146m: completed acquisition of Friends First in Ireland
c.£900m target
€500m 6.875% T2 repaid in May
2018 capital deployment: YTD progress
Debt
deleveraging
H2 outlook
$575m to repay
7.875% RT1 Nov 18
c.£400m
Unused budget will reduce
debt or roll into 2019
Invest to grow
Business as usual
£224m
Remainder to complete
*As at 31 July 2018
+4% +28%
HY 2018 key messages
On track for >5%
operating EPS target
in FY18
Confidence reflected
in continued growth in
the dividend
+10%187%
Strong and resilient
capital position
maintained
Surplus deployed to
de-lever and provide
additional returns
10
Operating EPS SII Capital1
Cash
remittances2
Interim
dividend
All footnotes on page 48
12
Operating profit
£m HY17 HY18 Change
Major markets UK Insurance4,5
942 1,040 10%
Aviva Investors 71 76 7%
Canada 71 (13) n/a
France (excl. Antarius) 250 279 12%
Poland 88 95 8%
Italy (excl. Avipop) 75 82 9%
Ireland 44 50 14%
Singapore 42 46 10%
Total major markets 1,583 1,655 5%
Strategic investments (33) (59) (79)%
Corporate costs, non insurance & other (66) (62) 6%
Group debt costs4
(189) (184) 3%
FPI 70 71 1%
Contribution from disposals* 100 17 (83)%
Operating profit 1,465 1,438 (2)%
Operating EPS
26.8p
+4%
Operating EPS
after I&R costs
26.8p
+8%
*Disposals include Antarius in France, Avipop in Italy and Spain
All footnotes on page 48
13
Net asset value10
(14)p
(19)p
27p
Opening NAV per share
at 1 January 2018
423p
(4)p
Pension movement 3p
FX
Investment variances
& short-term fluctuations
Share buyback (5)p
Dividends
Operating profit
Closing NAV per share
at 30 June 2018
411p
Other
Disposals
AVIF amortisation
£105m
£52m
HY18HY17HY16
Integration & restructuring costs
14.9p
7.9p
2.5p
HY18HY17HY16
Basic EPS
1p
(2)p
1p
£0m
All footnotes on page 48
14
Operating profit
5
689
727
831
185
207
195
7%
10%
HY18
1,040
HY174
942
HY164
881
UK Insurance3
Life
GI
Health
Performance
£m
• Unique, large scale multi-line insurer with unparalleled
brand & distribution and a top 3 rank across multiple
product lines
• Long term savings net flows up 17% to £2.5bn (HY17:
£2.1bn), BPA volumes
9
x5 to £1.5bn (HY17: £0.3bn)
driven by M&S win
• 94.3% GI COR
8
(HY17: 93.2%) with PY releases and
improved underlying performance more than offset by 3pp
(£60m) higher weather costs
• Continued benefits from positive longevity developments,
driving an increase in ‘Other’ of £98m
• £1.25bn of Friends Life specials remitted to date,
exceeding 2016-18 target of £1bn
All footnotes on page 48
15
Life
UK Insurance profit drivers
General Insurance
89
106
2,1102,105
309 322
133
108
HY17 HY18
Operating profit (£m)
Long-term savings
• £121bn AuA (HY17: £109bn; FY17:
£118bn)
• £23bn Platform AuA (+12% vs. FY17)
• Stable inforce margin (25bps))
Annuities & Equity Release
• £2.6bn PVNBP
9
(+83%)
• Our largest ever BPA win (£0.9bn)
• Temporarily reduced NB margin
pending origination of target asset mix
Protection
• New business sales down: pricing
discipline in competitive market
• Actions taken following adverse
claims experience in 2H17
Net written premiums (£m)
• Maintained disciplined growth in our
preferred channels in a soft market
• +5% Commercial Non Motor
• +11% Direct Home
93.2 94.3
Combined ratio8
(%)
• Weather vs. budget: adverse (0.2)pp
in CY vs. favourable 2.8pp in PY
• 2.0pp benefit from PY releases
(HY17: 0.5pp)
• Normalised COR of 96.1% improved
by 0.4pp
Operating profit (£m)
• Underwriting result down 15% mainly
due to higher weather costs despite
continued underlying progression
207 195
HY18HY174
All footnotes on page 48
16
Operating profit
Canada
Performance
Target COR 94-96%
by 2020
• Small improvement on 2H17 loss despite materially elevated
weather losses and challenging conditions in motor market
• COR
8
104.6% (HY17: 98.9%; 2H17: 105.3%) with c2pp higher
weather costs following significant wind & ice storms
• Commercial COR 97.8% while Personal COR remained >100%
• Normalised COR 101.9% (HY17: 96.9%; 2H17: 104.4%); early
signs of progress from recovery plan
• NWP +5% (excl. FX) to £1.5bn with rate increases in Personal
Lines and underwriting discipline in Commercial Lines
• Encouraging progress from remediating actions to date around
pricing, risk selection, distribution and claims; Further work
necessary to return COR to targeted 94-96% range by 2020
(23) (15)
58
(8)(11)(10)
40
(31)
26
100
HY182H17HY17HY16*
(6)
Operating profit
excl. weather & PYD
Weather vs. budgetPY development
£71m
£(25)m
£(13)m
£88m
*HY16 excludes RBC (acquired 2H16)
All footnotes on page 48
17
Operating profit
49
71
76
45%
HY18
7%
HY16 HY17
Aviva Investors
FM
Performance
• Stable average AUM in difficult market environment while we
continue to invest to expand capabilities
• Investment to build equities team and broaden distribution
coverage in the US & Europe
• Revenue growth exceeded expense growth with operating
profit margin increasing to 27% (HY17: 26%)
• £347bn AUM (FY17: £351bn15
) with £3.7bn net outflows
primarily in internal legacy products
• AIMS AUM £12.0bn (FY17: £12.6bn): improved relative
performance
• External clients were 35% of revenue and 21% of AuM at
HY18, stable period to period
£m
All footnotes on page 48
18
Operating profit
173
196
229
16
54
50
32%
HY18
12%
279
HY17HY16
189
250
France*
GI & Health
Life
Performance
• Strong distribution footprint, with increased brand
recognition providing an opportunity to expand our
presence with customers
• VNB
9
up 10% to £123m (HY17: £111m) driven by higher
volumes and improved mix
• Protection and unit-linked sales contributed 49% of
PVNBP
9
(HY17: 46%)
• COR
8
95.5% (HY17: 93.2%) with adverse PYD partly offset
by lower large losses & continued underlying improvements
• GI NWP +4% (excl. FX) mainly from pricing actions
• Increased focus on efficiency with operating expenses
down 2% (excl. FX)
£m
(excl. Antarius)
*All numbers exclude Antarius (disposal completed 1Q17)
All footnotes on page 48
19
Operating profit
60
77
86
11
9
8%
40%
HY18
95
HY17
88
HY16
63
3
Poland
GI
Life
Performance
• High ROCE multi-line franchise with 15% share of profit
pool
• Life operating profit +8% (excl. FX) with higher assets under
management driving increased fee income
• VNB
9
£25m (HY17: £28m); Maintained high quality mix with
protection & unit-linked sales c85% of total new business
sales
• COR
8
89.0% (HY17: 86.2%) with lower NWP from
underwriting actions on Personal Motor in softening market
• Continued focus on digital strategy with new propositions
under development
£m
All footnotes on page 48
20
Operating profit
67 67 68
10 8
14
75
HY16
77
9%
(3)%
HY18
82
HY17
Italy*
Life
GI
Performance
£m
• Multi-line business with major bancassurance partnerships
and a growing IFA franchise
• £2.3bn net inflows (HY17: £0.9bn; FY17: £2.3bn) from
continued success of capital-light ‘hybrid’ and WP products
• VNB
9
nearly tripled to £146m (HY17: £50m) from higher
volumes and improved with-profit margins
• Strong flows to drive growth in life operating profit in the
second half
• COR
8
improved to 97.4% (HY17: 98.7%) from remediating
motor book; NWP down 10% (excl. FX)
• Completed sale of Avipop JV to Banco BPM for €265m
(excl. Avipop)
*All numbers exclude Avipop (disposal completed 1Q18)
All footnotes on page 48
Ireland
21
Operating profit
12
6
13
20
38
37
14%
38%
HY18
50
HY17
44
HY16
32
Life
GI
Performance
£m
• Largest multi-line insurer with strong brand and 15%
market share in both Life and GI
• COR
8
87.1% (HY17: 84.7%) with lower PY releases and
less benign weather partly offset by improved underlying
performance
• NWP stable at £223m (HY17: £221m) as focus remained
on pricing discipline
• Life operating profit benefitted from asset optimisation on
annuity book
• Friends First acquisition completed in June - integration in
progress
All footnotes on page 48
22
Operating profit
(11)
50 47
57
(5)(6)
10%
(5)%
HY18
46
HY17
42
HY16
44
Singapore
GI & Health
Life
Performance
£m
• Top 6 in Life & Health segment with opportunity to take
additional share through disruptive distribution strategy
• Life operating profit up 22% (excl. FX) to £57m from
strong growth in FA channel partly offset by investment
to build scale in GI & Health
• Aviva Financial Advisers: up 49% to 772 advisers at
HY18 (HY17: 518; FY17: 673)
• VNB
9
up 47% (excl. FX) to £62m (HY17: £44m) with
double-digit volume growth from FA channel and further
mix shift: protection sales 47% of PVNBP
9
(HY17: 42%)
All footnotes on page 48
23
Capital generation
£0.9bn
£(1.0)bn
£(0.8)bn
£11.0bn
£12.2bn
£0.1bn
£0.2bn£(0.2)bn
Disposals 30-Jun-18Dividend2018 capital
returns
Market, FX
and other
31-Dec-17
£(0.4)bn
Other capital
actions
Debt &
centre costs
BU underlying
generation
Underlying
capital
generation
£0.7bn
Operating capital
generation
£0.9bn
198%
1
187%
1
• £1.8bn impact from dividend payment, £600m share buyback and
€500m debt repayment
• OCG: £0.2bn lower reflecting reduced profitability in Canada, timing
differences due to BPA asset origination and impacts from disposals
All footnotes on page 48
24
HY18 operating EPS
2018 outlook
Targeting operating EPS growth >5%
?
-
Organic growth in major markets: >5%
Canada: about flat because of weather
Capital returns: c4-5%
+
Sources of EPS growth
+
-
Perimeter changes: c(3)%
Tax: c(1)-(2)%
FX, weather & other
Longevity may contribute in 2018 & 2019
unless trends reverse
Underlying growth: c5%
Capital returns offset adverse impact from disposals
Small positive impact from FX & operating tax rate
Managing change spend in line with performance:
c(1)% net impact from combination of longevity,
weather & change spend
Reported operating EPS growth: 4%
+
+
-
=
• Residual impacts from disposals to date
• FPI completion expected late 2018
+4% +28%
HY 2018 key messages
On track for >5%
operating EPS target
in FY18
Confidence reflected
in continued growth in
the dividend
+10%187%
Strong and resilient
capital position
maintained
Surplus deployed to
de-lever and provide
additional returns
25
Operating EPS SII Capital1
Cash
remittances
2
Interim
dividend
All footnotes on page 48
Appendix
UK profit overview
28
£m Operating profit Margin Driver
HY17
£m
HY18
£m
∆ HY17
% bps
HY18
% bps
FY17
% bps
Target range HY17 HY18
Long Term
Savings
New (40) (41) (2)% n/a n/a n/a FY (90)-(100)
Existing 129 147 14% 25bps 25bps 25bps 25-30bps 105bn
(Opening assets)
118bn
(Opening assets)
Total 89 106 19%
Annuities &
Equity
Release
New 109 108 (1)% 8% 4% 8% 7.5-8.5% 1,435m
(PVNBP)
2,631m
(PVNBP)
Existing 200 214 7% 70bps 71bps 68bps 55-70bps 57bn
(Opening assets)
61bn
(Opening assets)
Total 309 322 4%
Protection
New 67 51 (25)% 52% 48% 52% 40-50% 128m
(APE)
106m
(APE)
Existing 66 57 (14)% 8% 6% 6% 7.5-8.5% 1.69bn
(In-force premiums)
1.77bn
(In-force premiums)
Total 133 108 (19)%
Legacy 187 188 0% 40bps 48bps 41bps 35-40bps 81bn
(Opening assets)
78bn
(Opening assets)
-
GI3
Underwriting 135 115 (15)% 2,105m
(GI & Health NWP)
93.2%
(GI COR)
2,110m
(GI & Health NWP)
LTIR & other4
72 80 11%
Total 207 195 (6)%
Health3
Total 8 14 75%
Other5
9 107 n/a FY £150-200m
Total 942 1,040 10%
UK profit overview
All footnotes on page 48
94.3%
(GI COR)
Earnings per share
30
Operating earnings per share
HY17 HY18
Group operating profit 1,465 1,438
Less operating tax (311) (303)
Minority Interest (73) (46)
DCI and fixed rate tier 1 notes (23) (6)
Preference shares (9) (9)
Total operating earnings after tax, MI & DCI and preference shares 1,049 1,074
Weighted average number of shares 4,061 4,009
Operating earnings per share 25.8 26.8
All footnotes on page 48
31
Basic earnings per share
HY17 HY18
Operating profit attributable to shareholders 1,049 1,074
Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on long-term business (129) (419)
Short-term fluctuation in return on investments backing non long-term business (166) (160)
Economic assumption changes on GI & Health business (10) 27
Impairment of goodwill, joint ventures and associates and other amounts expensed (19) -
Amortisation and impairment of intangibles (71) (82)
Amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business (201) (178)
Profit/(loss) on disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries, JVs and associates 192 31
Integration and restructuring costs (40) -
Other11 - 22
Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders 605 315
Weighted average number of shares 4,061 4,009
Basic earnings per share 14.9p 7.9p
All footnotes on page 48
Returns
33
Operating return on total capital employed
1. Following a correction to accounting and modelling for annual management charge rebates in UK Life, prior year comparatives have been restated
18.8%
14.3%
12.2%12.3%
10.1%
22.9%
12.9%
13.6%
7.1%
11.8%
20.1%
16.0%
13.6%
-1.5%
13.1%
FMAsiaEurope 3CanadaUK3
HY18HY17HY16
All footnotes on page 48
34
Operating return on total capital employed & return on equity
Group return on equityGroup return on capital employed
12.7%12.4%
11.0%
HY18HY17HY16
9.5%9.3%
8.8%
HY18HY17HY16
All footnotes on page 48
35
`
£m Before tax After tax
Weighted average
shareholders’ funds including
non-controlling interests
Return on Equity %
United Kingdom Life3,5
831 659 10,883 12.1%
United Kingdom General Insurance3,5
209 169 1,720 19.7%
United Kingdom 1,040 828 12,603 13.1%
Canada (13) (10) 1,325 (1.5)%
Europe 526 374 5,495 13.6%
Asia 132 128 1,596 16.0%
Fund management 74 53 527 20.1%
Corporate and Other Business12
(132) (85) 5,597 n/a
Return on total capital employed 1,627 1,288 27,143 9.5%
Subordinated debt (188) (152) (6,988) 4.4%
Senior debt (1) (1) (1,417) 0.1%
Return on total equity 1,438 1,135 18,738 12.1%
Less: Non-controlling interests — (46) (1,141) 8.1%
Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes — (6) (730) 4.9%
Preference capital — (9) (200) 8.5%
Return on equity shareholders' funds — 1,074 16,667 12.7%
Analysis of operating return on equity
All footnotes on page 48
Capital & debt
37
Solvency II – sensitivities
Impact on solvency cover ratio
30/06/2018 solvency cover ratio: 187%
1
25bps increase in interest rate 4%
100bps increase in interest rate 12%
25bps decrease in interest rate (6)%
50bps decrease in interest rate (12)%
50bps increase Corporate Bond spread13 (4)%
100bps increase Corporate Bond spread13 (8)%
50bps decrease in Corporate Bond spread13 4%
Credit downgrade on annuity portfolio14 (4)%
10% increase in market value of equity 2%
10% decrease in market value of equity (2)%
25% decrease in market value of equity (5)%
10% increase in maintenance and investment expenses (8)%
10% increase in lapse rates (3)%
5% increase in mortality / morbidity rates – life assurance (3)%
5% decrease in mortality rates – annuity business (12)%
5% increase in gross loss ratios (3)%
All footnotes on page 48
HY18 £bn % of SCR % of own funds
Tier 1 22.1 128% 78%
T1 unrestricted 19.6 113% 69%
T1 restricted 2.5 15% 9%
Tier 2 5.8 33% 21%
Tier 3 0.4 2% 1%
28.3 163% 100%
38
Solvency II own funds by tier
• Regulatory view of own funds
adjusted by £4.7bn due to with-profits
funds, pension schemes, notional
reset of transitionals and other pro-
forma adjustments
• Shareholder view coverage ratio of
187%
1
Shareholder viewRegulatory view*
*Estimated
All footnotes on page 48
External debt – a balanced maturity profileSubordinated debt profile
8.250% 6.875%
7.875%
6.875% 5.902%
6.625%
12.000%
8.250%
6.125%
8.25%
7.875%
6.875% 6.875% 5.9021%
All callable debt instruments have been presented at optional first call dates at nominal values converted to GBP using 30 June 2018 rates.
£259m
£162m
£600m
£400m£400m
£700m
£796m
£619m
£575m
£500m
£450m
£800m
£500m
£210m
£436m
20382030202920262025202420232022
£1,300m
2021
£871m
20202018 2019
Tier 3Tier 2Restricted Tier 1
All footnotes on page 48
Balance sheet
41
Total managed assets
Participating assets by typeAssets by liabilities covered
HY18
356,018
78,135
153,371
124,512
HY17
350,238
80,758
142,493
126,987
Shareholder funds
Policyholder funds
Participating funds
56,780 52,840
70,207 71,672
126,987 124,512
HY18HY17
UK With-profits
style
Euro-style
Shareholder assets by type
67,280 64,914
13,22113,478
78,13580,758
HY18HY17
GI, Health
& other
Annuity &
non-profit
£m
All footnotes on page 48
42
Shareholder assets
Shareholder assets by type
9,065 9,970
18,975 19,636
27,065 23,323
23,061
23,080
HY18
78,135
2,126
HY17
80,758
2,592
Corporate debt by rating
Government debt by rating
9% 10% 41% 29%
9%
1%
22% 66% 5%
5%
2%
Less than BBB
Non-ratedBBB
A
AA
AAA
Non-ratedAA
AAA Less than BBBA
BBB
Total: £23,323m
Total: £23,080
£m
Corporate bonds
Other
Government debt
Mortgage loans
Other debt
All footnotes on page 48
43
Shareholder assets
Corporate bonds by industry Loans by type
9%
16%
17%
7%
6%
9%
2%
14%
20%
Financials - Banks
Real estate
Oil & gas
Communications
Other
Industrial
Consumer services
Financials - Insurance & other
Utilities
5%
9%
15%
71%
Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans
Loans & advances to banks
Mortgage loans
Other
Total: £27,717m
All footnotes on page 48
44
Shareholder assets – Mortgage loans
Mortgage loans Commercial real estate portfolio
83% 85%
61% 58% 56% 55%
9
1,4921,583
1.4x 1.5x
2.1x 2.2x 2.5x 2.6x
FY17FY16FY15FY14FY13 HY18
Loans
in arrears
Loan
interest
cover
48%
37%
15%
Total: £19,636m
Securitised mortgage loans & equity release
Commercial
Healthcare, infrastructure & PFI
Commercial: £7,271m
LTV
All footnotes on page 48
Other
46
Disposals
Consideration Period Completion Operating
profit (before
tax & MI)
(£m)
Operating
profit (after
tax & MI)
Operating EPS (p)
Antarius €500m FY17 1Q17 22 6 0.2
Spain €677m
FY17 Sept ’17 (Part I) 76 30 0.6
HY18 Jul ’18 (Part II) 9 3 0.1
Avipop €265m
FY17
March ‘18
51 18 0.4
HY18 8 3 0.1
FPIL £340m
FY17
Pending
119 122 3.0
HY18 71 71 1.8
All footnotes on page 48
47
Estimated amortisation of acquired value of in-force
£0m
£100m
£200m
£300m
£400m
£500m
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
FPI
FL UK
Other Aviva businesses
This is our latest estimated projection as provided at FY17 and is subject to a number of factors including the effects of markets.
We announced the sale of FPI in July 2017. It is expected to complete in late 2018.
All footnotes on page 48
48
Footnotes
1. The estimated Solvency II position represents the shareholder view only. See Section 8i of the Analyst Pack for more details.
2. Cash remitted to Group and Solvency II operating capital generation are managed at legal entity level. As Ireland constitutes a branch of the United Kingdom
business, cash remittances from Ireland are not aligned to the new management structure within Europe, but they are reported within United Kingdom.
3. Following the launch of UK Insurance which brings together UK Life, UK General Insurance and UK Health into a combined business, the Ireland Life and
General Insurance businesses have been aligned to the new management structure and reported within Europe. As a result, comparative balances have been
restated.
4. Prior year comparatives have been restated for the impact of the AGH loan. This restatement has been applied to these slides only and has not been applied to
the Analyst Pack.
5. Non-insurance operations relating to the UK have been reclassified to their respective market segments to better align with the segmental note as per note B5
‘Segmental Information’ of the Analyst Pack.
6. Excludes Antarius (disposed of).
7. Excludes Avipop (disposed of).
8. The combined operating ratio is now reported on an earned basis. Comparatives have now been aligned to reflect this change.
9. PVNBP and VNB are presented on an adjusted Solvency II basis.
10. NAV is presented net of tax and MI.
11. Other includes a gain of £36 million relating to negative goodwill on the acquisition of Friends First (refer to Note B4(a) of the Analyst Pack) and a charge of £14
million relating to goodwill payments to preference shareholders which were announced on 30 April 2018.
12. The Corporate and other business loss before tax of £132 million comprises corporate costs of £99 million, other business operating loss (net of investment
return) of £74 million, partly offset by interest on internal lending arrangements of £5 million and finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £36 million.
13. Credit spread movement for corporate bonds with credit rating A at 10 year duration, with the other ratings and durations stressed by the same proportion
relative to the stressed capital requirement.
14. An immediate full letter downgrade on 20% of the annuity portfolio bonds (e.g. from AAA to AA, from AA to A).
15. Following a review of external funds under management, comparative amounts have been amended from those previously reported to reflect the fact that
certain crossholdings had not been correctly eliminated on consolidation. The effect of this change is to reduce external funds under management by £2.5
billion.

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Aviva HY 2018 key metrics up 4-10

  • 2. Disclaimer Cautionary statements: This should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This presentation contains, and we may make other verbal or written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “projects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “likely”, “target”, “goal”, “guidance”, “trends”, “future”, “estimates”, “potential” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the impact of various local and international political, regulatory and economic conditions; market developments and government actions (including those arising from the referendum on UK membership of the European Union); the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact of changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities and results of operations; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; regulatory approval of extension of use of the Group’s internal model for calculation of regulatory capital under the European Union’s Solvency II rules; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events (including cyber attack); risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to proposed changes in UK law; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing/regulatory approval impact, integration risk, and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to announced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see ‘Other information – Shareholder Information – Risks relating to our business’ in Aviva’s most recent Annual Report. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
  • 3.
  • 4. EPS Cash HY 2018 key financial metrics Operating EPS 26.8p, +4% 9.25p per share +10% DividendCapital Solvency II ratio 1 187%, -11pp Cash remittances 2 £1.49bn, +28% 4 All footnotes on page 48
  • 5. 7 out of 8 major markets delivered strong growth UK3,4,5 Ireland France6 Canada Singapore Italy7 Poland Aviva Investors £(13)m £(84)m 5 £1,040m +10% £279m +12% £95m +8% £76m +7% £50m +14% £46m +10% £82m +9% All footnotes on page 48
  • 6. UK Ireland France Canada Singapore Italy7 LT Savings net inflows £2.5bn Annuity sales +83% GI COR8 94.3% AIMS improved performance Positive cost-income jaws Investment in talent Mix shift to U/L & protection Operating expenses -2% GI COR8 95.5% GI COR8 104.6% Weather 2.2ppts above LTA Early signs underlying improvement Net inflows £2.3bn driven by hybrid and with-profits GI COR8 97.4% Completed sale of Avipop VNB9 +43% Growth from volume and mix Aviva FA: 772 advisers Poland Aviva Investors Major markets performance highlights 6 Maintained high quality mix U/L & protection c85% of sales GI COR8 89.0% GI COR8 87.1% NWP flat as market cycle evolves Completed Friends First acquisition All footnotes on page 48
  • 7. Confidence in achieving >5% FY growth ambition 7 H1 Headwinds * 2018 FY Ambition FY Outlook - Canada -£84m - UK Weather -£60m - Disposals -£83m + Organic growth + Canada stabilisation + 2017/18 Capital returns EPS growth >5% *HY18 on HY17
  • 8. Double-digit dividend growth underpins FY confidence Interim dividend up 10% 5.85p 6.75p 7.42p 8.40p 9.25p 10% +13% +10% +15% HY18HY17HY16HY15HY14 Interim dividend 9.25p 2018 share buyback £600m 8 All footnotes on page 48
  • 9. 9 Disciplined deployment of surplus capital £600m buyback announced £376m completed YTD* Organic growth Capital returns Bolt-on M&A Invest to grow – internally funded GCS, AFA, Aviva Investors, BPA, LT savings c.£500m target €146m: completed acquisition of Friends First in Ireland c.£900m target €500m 6.875% T2 repaid in May 2018 capital deployment: YTD progress Debt deleveraging H2 outlook $575m to repay 7.875% RT1 Nov 18 c.£400m Unused budget will reduce debt or roll into 2019 Invest to grow Business as usual £224m Remainder to complete *As at 31 July 2018
  • 10. +4% +28% HY 2018 key messages On track for >5% operating EPS target in FY18 Confidence reflected in continued growth in the dividend +10%187% Strong and resilient capital position maintained Surplus deployed to de-lever and provide additional returns 10 Operating EPS SII Capital1 Cash remittances2 Interim dividend All footnotes on page 48
  • 11.
  • 12. 12 Operating profit £m HY17 HY18 Change Major markets UK Insurance4,5 942 1,040 10% Aviva Investors 71 76 7% Canada 71 (13) n/a France (excl. Antarius) 250 279 12% Poland 88 95 8% Italy (excl. Avipop) 75 82 9% Ireland 44 50 14% Singapore 42 46 10% Total major markets 1,583 1,655 5% Strategic investments (33) (59) (79)% Corporate costs, non insurance & other (66) (62) 6% Group debt costs4 (189) (184) 3% FPI 70 71 1% Contribution from disposals* 100 17 (83)% Operating profit 1,465 1,438 (2)% Operating EPS 26.8p +4% Operating EPS after I&R costs 26.8p +8% *Disposals include Antarius in France, Avipop in Italy and Spain All footnotes on page 48
  • 13. 13 Net asset value10 (14)p (19)p 27p Opening NAV per share at 1 January 2018 423p (4)p Pension movement 3p FX Investment variances & short-term fluctuations Share buyback (5)p Dividends Operating profit Closing NAV per share at 30 June 2018 411p Other Disposals AVIF amortisation £105m £52m HY18HY17HY16 Integration & restructuring costs 14.9p 7.9p 2.5p HY18HY17HY16 Basic EPS 1p (2)p 1p £0m All footnotes on page 48
  • 14. 14 Operating profit 5 689 727 831 185 207 195 7% 10% HY18 1,040 HY174 942 HY164 881 UK Insurance3 Life GI Health Performance £m • Unique, large scale multi-line insurer with unparalleled brand & distribution and a top 3 rank across multiple product lines • Long term savings net flows up 17% to £2.5bn (HY17: £2.1bn), BPA volumes 9 x5 to £1.5bn (HY17: £0.3bn) driven by M&S win • 94.3% GI COR 8 (HY17: 93.2%) with PY releases and improved underlying performance more than offset by 3pp (£60m) higher weather costs • Continued benefits from positive longevity developments, driving an increase in ‘Other’ of £98m • £1.25bn of Friends Life specials remitted to date, exceeding 2016-18 target of £1bn All footnotes on page 48
  • 15. 15 Life UK Insurance profit drivers General Insurance 89 106 2,1102,105 309 322 133 108 HY17 HY18 Operating profit (£m) Long-term savings • £121bn AuA (HY17: £109bn; FY17: £118bn) • £23bn Platform AuA (+12% vs. FY17) • Stable inforce margin (25bps)) Annuities & Equity Release • £2.6bn PVNBP 9 (+83%) • Our largest ever BPA win (£0.9bn) • Temporarily reduced NB margin pending origination of target asset mix Protection • New business sales down: pricing discipline in competitive market • Actions taken following adverse claims experience in 2H17 Net written premiums (£m) • Maintained disciplined growth in our preferred channels in a soft market • +5% Commercial Non Motor • +11% Direct Home 93.2 94.3 Combined ratio8 (%) • Weather vs. budget: adverse (0.2)pp in CY vs. favourable 2.8pp in PY • 2.0pp benefit from PY releases (HY17: 0.5pp) • Normalised COR of 96.1% improved by 0.4pp Operating profit (£m) • Underwriting result down 15% mainly due to higher weather costs despite continued underlying progression 207 195 HY18HY174 All footnotes on page 48
  • 16. 16 Operating profit Canada Performance Target COR 94-96% by 2020 • Small improvement on 2H17 loss despite materially elevated weather losses and challenging conditions in motor market • COR 8 104.6% (HY17: 98.9%; 2H17: 105.3%) with c2pp higher weather costs following significant wind & ice storms • Commercial COR 97.8% while Personal COR remained >100% • Normalised COR 101.9% (HY17: 96.9%; 2H17: 104.4%); early signs of progress from recovery plan • NWP +5% (excl. FX) to £1.5bn with rate increases in Personal Lines and underwriting discipline in Commercial Lines • Encouraging progress from remediating actions to date around pricing, risk selection, distribution and claims; Further work necessary to return COR to targeted 94-96% range by 2020 (23) (15) 58 (8)(11)(10) 40 (31) 26 100 HY182H17HY17HY16* (6) Operating profit excl. weather & PYD Weather vs. budgetPY development £71m £(25)m £(13)m £88m *HY16 excludes RBC (acquired 2H16) All footnotes on page 48
  • 17. 17 Operating profit 49 71 76 45% HY18 7% HY16 HY17 Aviva Investors FM Performance • Stable average AUM in difficult market environment while we continue to invest to expand capabilities • Investment to build equities team and broaden distribution coverage in the US & Europe • Revenue growth exceeded expense growth with operating profit margin increasing to 27% (HY17: 26%) • £347bn AUM (FY17: £351bn15 ) with £3.7bn net outflows primarily in internal legacy products • AIMS AUM £12.0bn (FY17: £12.6bn): improved relative performance • External clients were 35% of revenue and 21% of AuM at HY18, stable period to period £m All footnotes on page 48
  • 18. 18 Operating profit 173 196 229 16 54 50 32% HY18 12% 279 HY17HY16 189 250 France* GI & Health Life Performance • Strong distribution footprint, with increased brand recognition providing an opportunity to expand our presence with customers • VNB 9 up 10% to £123m (HY17: £111m) driven by higher volumes and improved mix • Protection and unit-linked sales contributed 49% of PVNBP 9 (HY17: 46%) • COR 8 95.5% (HY17: 93.2%) with adverse PYD partly offset by lower large losses & continued underlying improvements • GI NWP +4% (excl. FX) mainly from pricing actions • Increased focus on efficiency with operating expenses down 2% (excl. FX) £m (excl. Antarius) *All numbers exclude Antarius (disposal completed 1Q17) All footnotes on page 48
  • 19. 19 Operating profit 60 77 86 11 9 8% 40% HY18 95 HY17 88 HY16 63 3 Poland GI Life Performance • High ROCE multi-line franchise with 15% share of profit pool • Life operating profit +8% (excl. FX) with higher assets under management driving increased fee income • VNB 9 £25m (HY17: £28m); Maintained high quality mix with protection & unit-linked sales c85% of total new business sales • COR 8 89.0% (HY17: 86.2%) with lower NWP from underwriting actions on Personal Motor in softening market • Continued focus on digital strategy with new propositions under development £m All footnotes on page 48
  • 20. 20 Operating profit 67 67 68 10 8 14 75 HY16 77 9% (3)% HY18 82 HY17 Italy* Life GI Performance £m • Multi-line business with major bancassurance partnerships and a growing IFA franchise • £2.3bn net inflows (HY17: £0.9bn; FY17: £2.3bn) from continued success of capital-light ‘hybrid’ and WP products • VNB 9 nearly tripled to £146m (HY17: £50m) from higher volumes and improved with-profit margins • Strong flows to drive growth in life operating profit in the second half • COR 8 improved to 97.4% (HY17: 98.7%) from remediating motor book; NWP down 10% (excl. FX) • Completed sale of Avipop JV to Banco BPM for €265m (excl. Avipop) *All numbers exclude Avipop (disposal completed 1Q18) All footnotes on page 48
  • 21. Ireland 21 Operating profit 12 6 13 20 38 37 14% 38% HY18 50 HY17 44 HY16 32 Life GI Performance £m • Largest multi-line insurer with strong brand and 15% market share in both Life and GI • COR 8 87.1% (HY17: 84.7%) with lower PY releases and less benign weather partly offset by improved underlying performance • NWP stable at £223m (HY17: £221m) as focus remained on pricing discipline • Life operating profit benefitted from asset optimisation on annuity book • Friends First acquisition completed in June - integration in progress All footnotes on page 48
  • 22. 22 Operating profit (11) 50 47 57 (5)(6) 10% (5)% HY18 46 HY17 42 HY16 44 Singapore GI & Health Life Performance £m • Top 6 in Life & Health segment with opportunity to take additional share through disruptive distribution strategy • Life operating profit up 22% (excl. FX) to £57m from strong growth in FA channel partly offset by investment to build scale in GI & Health • Aviva Financial Advisers: up 49% to 772 advisers at HY18 (HY17: 518; FY17: 673) • VNB 9 up 47% (excl. FX) to £62m (HY17: £44m) with double-digit volume growth from FA channel and further mix shift: protection sales 47% of PVNBP 9 (HY17: 42%) All footnotes on page 48
  • 23. 23 Capital generation £0.9bn £(1.0)bn £(0.8)bn £11.0bn £12.2bn £0.1bn £0.2bn£(0.2)bn Disposals 30-Jun-18Dividend2018 capital returns Market, FX and other 31-Dec-17 £(0.4)bn Other capital actions Debt & centre costs BU underlying generation Underlying capital generation £0.7bn Operating capital generation £0.9bn 198% 1 187% 1 • £1.8bn impact from dividend payment, £600m share buyback and €500m debt repayment • OCG: £0.2bn lower reflecting reduced profitability in Canada, timing differences due to BPA asset origination and impacts from disposals All footnotes on page 48
  • 24. 24 HY18 operating EPS 2018 outlook Targeting operating EPS growth >5% ? - Organic growth in major markets: >5% Canada: about flat because of weather Capital returns: c4-5% + Sources of EPS growth + - Perimeter changes: c(3)% Tax: c(1)-(2)% FX, weather & other Longevity may contribute in 2018 & 2019 unless trends reverse Underlying growth: c5% Capital returns offset adverse impact from disposals Small positive impact from FX & operating tax rate Managing change spend in line with performance: c(1)% net impact from combination of longevity, weather & change spend Reported operating EPS growth: 4% + + - = • Residual impacts from disposals to date • FPI completion expected late 2018
  • 25. +4% +28% HY 2018 key messages On track for >5% operating EPS target in FY18 Confidence reflected in continued growth in the dividend +10%187% Strong and resilient capital position maintained Surplus deployed to de-lever and provide additional returns 25 Operating EPS SII Capital1 Cash remittances 2 Interim dividend All footnotes on page 48
  • 28. 28 £m Operating profit Margin Driver HY17 £m HY18 £m ∆ HY17 % bps HY18 % bps FY17 % bps Target range HY17 HY18 Long Term Savings New (40) (41) (2)% n/a n/a n/a FY (90)-(100) Existing 129 147 14% 25bps 25bps 25bps 25-30bps 105bn (Opening assets) 118bn (Opening assets) Total 89 106 19% Annuities & Equity Release New 109 108 (1)% 8% 4% 8% 7.5-8.5% 1,435m (PVNBP) 2,631m (PVNBP) Existing 200 214 7% 70bps 71bps 68bps 55-70bps 57bn (Opening assets) 61bn (Opening assets) Total 309 322 4% Protection New 67 51 (25)% 52% 48% 52% 40-50% 128m (APE) 106m (APE) Existing 66 57 (14)% 8% 6% 6% 7.5-8.5% 1.69bn (In-force premiums) 1.77bn (In-force premiums) Total 133 108 (19)% Legacy 187 188 0% 40bps 48bps 41bps 35-40bps 81bn (Opening assets) 78bn (Opening assets) - GI3 Underwriting 135 115 (15)% 2,105m (GI & Health NWP) 93.2% (GI COR) 2,110m (GI & Health NWP) LTIR & other4 72 80 11% Total 207 195 (6)% Health3 Total 8 14 75% Other5 9 107 n/a FY £150-200m Total 942 1,040 10% UK profit overview All footnotes on page 48 94.3% (GI COR)
  • 30. 30 Operating earnings per share HY17 HY18 Group operating profit 1,465 1,438 Less operating tax (311) (303) Minority Interest (73) (46) DCI and fixed rate tier 1 notes (23) (6) Preference shares (9) (9) Total operating earnings after tax, MI & DCI and preference shares 1,049 1,074 Weighted average number of shares 4,061 4,009 Operating earnings per share 25.8 26.8 All footnotes on page 48
  • 31. 31 Basic earnings per share HY17 HY18 Operating profit attributable to shareholders 1,049 1,074 Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on long-term business (129) (419) Short-term fluctuation in return on investments backing non long-term business (166) (160) Economic assumption changes on GI & Health business (10) 27 Impairment of goodwill, joint ventures and associates and other amounts expensed (19) - Amortisation and impairment of intangibles (71) (82) Amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business (201) (178) Profit/(loss) on disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries, JVs and associates 192 31 Integration and restructuring costs (40) - Other11 - 22 Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders 605 315 Weighted average number of shares 4,061 4,009 Basic earnings per share 14.9p 7.9p All footnotes on page 48
  • 33. 33 Operating return on total capital employed 1. Following a correction to accounting and modelling for annual management charge rebates in UK Life, prior year comparatives have been restated 18.8% 14.3% 12.2%12.3% 10.1% 22.9% 12.9% 13.6% 7.1% 11.8% 20.1% 16.0% 13.6% -1.5% 13.1% FMAsiaEurope 3CanadaUK3 HY18HY17HY16 All footnotes on page 48
  • 34. 34 Operating return on total capital employed & return on equity Group return on equityGroup return on capital employed 12.7%12.4% 11.0% HY18HY17HY16 9.5%9.3% 8.8% HY18HY17HY16 All footnotes on page 48
  • 35. 35 ` £m Before tax After tax Weighted average shareholders’ funds including non-controlling interests Return on Equity % United Kingdom Life3,5 831 659 10,883 12.1% United Kingdom General Insurance3,5 209 169 1,720 19.7% United Kingdom 1,040 828 12,603 13.1% Canada (13) (10) 1,325 (1.5)% Europe 526 374 5,495 13.6% Asia 132 128 1,596 16.0% Fund management 74 53 527 20.1% Corporate and Other Business12 (132) (85) 5,597 n/a Return on total capital employed 1,627 1,288 27,143 9.5% Subordinated debt (188) (152) (6,988) 4.4% Senior debt (1) (1) (1,417) 0.1% Return on total equity 1,438 1,135 18,738 12.1% Less: Non-controlling interests — (46) (1,141) 8.1% Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes — (6) (730) 4.9% Preference capital — (9) (200) 8.5% Return on equity shareholders' funds — 1,074 16,667 12.7% Analysis of operating return on equity All footnotes on page 48
  • 37. 37 Solvency II – sensitivities Impact on solvency cover ratio 30/06/2018 solvency cover ratio: 187% 1 25bps increase in interest rate 4% 100bps increase in interest rate 12% 25bps decrease in interest rate (6)% 50bps decrease in interest rate (12)% 50bps increase Corporate Bond spread13 (4)% 100bps increase Corporate Bond spread13 (8)% 50bps decrease in Corporate Bond spread13 4% Credit downgrade on annuity portfolio14 (4)% 10% increase in market value of equity 2% 10% decrease in market value of equity (2)% 25% decrease in market value of equity (5)% 10% increase in maintenance and investment expenses (8)% 10% increase in lapse rates (3)% 5% increase in mortality / morbidity rates – life assurance (3)% 5% decrease in mortality rates – annuity business (12)% 5% increase in gross loss ratios (3)% All footnotes on page 48
  • 38. HY18 £bn % of SCR % of own funds Tier 1 22.1 128% 78% T1 unrestricted 19.6 113% 69% T1 restricted 2.5 15% 9% Tier 2 5.8 33% 21% Tier 3 0.4 2% 1% 28.3 163% 100% 38 Solvency II own funds by tier • Regulatory view of own funds adjusted by £4.7bn due to with-profits funds, pension schemes, notional reset of transitionals and other pro- forma adjustments • Shareholder view coverage ratio of 187% 1 Shareholder viewRegulatory view* *Estimated All footnotes on page 48
  • 39. External debt – a balanced maturity profileSubordinated debt profile 8.250% 6.875% 7.875% 6.875% 5.902% 6.625% 12.000% 8.250% 6.125% 8.25% 7.875% 6.875% 6.875% 5.9021% All callable debt instruments have been presented at optional first call dates at nominal values converted to GBP using 30 June 2018 rates. £259m £162m £600m £400m£400m £700m £796m £619m £575m £500m £450m £800m £500m £210m £436m 20382030202920262025202420232022 £1,300m 2021 £871m 20202018 2019 Tier 3Tier 2Restricted Tier 1 All footnotes on page 48
  • 41. 41 Total managed assets Participating assets by typeAssets by liabilities covered HY18 356,018 78,135 153,371 124,512 HY17 350,238 80,758 142,493 126,987 Shareholder funds Policyholder funds Participating funds 56,780 52,840 70,207 71,672 126,987 124,512 HY18HY17 UK With-profits style Euro-style Shareholder assets by type 67,280 64,914 13,22113,478 78,13580,758 HY18HY17 GI, Health & other Annuity & non-profit £m All footnotes on page 48
  • 42. 42 Shareholder assets Shareholder assets by type 9,065 9,970 18,975 19,636 27,065 23,323 23,061 23,080 HY18 78,135 2,126 HY17 80,758 2,592 Corporate debt by rating Government debt by rating 9% 10% 41% 29% 9% 1% 22% 66% 5% 5% 2% Less than BBB Non-ratedBBB A AA AAA Non-ratedAA AAA Less than BBBA BBB Total: £23,323m Total: £23,080 £m Corporate bonds Other Government debt Mortgage loans Other debt All footnotes on page 48
  • 43. 43 Shareholder assets Corporate bonds by industry Loans by type 9% 16% 17% 7% 6% 9% 2% 14% 20% Financials - Banks Real estate Oil & gas Communications Other Industrial Consumer services Financials - Insurance & other Utilities 5% 9% 15% 71% Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans Loans & advances to banks Mortgage loans Other Total: £27,717m All footnotes on page 48
  • 44. 44 Shareholder assets – Mortgage loans Mortgage loans Commercial real estate portfolio 83% 85% 61% 58% 56% 55% 9 1,4921,583 1.4x 1.5x 2.1x 2.2x 2.5x 2.6x FY17FY16FY15FY14FY13 HY18 Loans in arrears Loan interest cover 48% 37% 15% Total: £19,636m Securitised mortgage loans & equity release Commercial Healthcare, infrastructure & PFI Commercial: £7,271m LTV All footnotes on page 48
  • 45. Other
  • 46. 46 Disposals Consideration Period Completion Operating profit (before tax & MI) (£m) Operating profit (after tax & MI) Operating EPS (p) Antarius €500m FY17 1Q17 22 6 0.2 Spain €677m FY17 Sept ’17 (Part I) 76 30 0.6 HY18 Jul ’18 (Part II) 9 3 0.1 Avipop €265m FY17 March ‘18 51 18 0.4 HY18 8 3 0.1 FPIL £340m FY17 Pending 119 122 3.0 HY18 71 71 1.8 All footnotes on page 48
  • 47. 47 Estimated amortisation of acquired value of in-force £0m £100m £200m £300m £400m £500m 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 FPI FL UK Other Aviva businesses This is our latest estimated projection as provided at FY17 and is subject to a number of factors including the effects of markets. We announced the sale of FPI in July 2017. It is expected to complete in late 2018. All footnotes on page 48
  • 48. 48 Footnotes 1. The estimated Solvency II position represents the shareholder view only. See Section 8i of the Analyst Pack for more details. 2. Cash remitted to Group and Solvency II operating capital generation are managed at legal entity level. As Ireland constitutes a branch of the United Kingdom business, cash remittances from Ireland are not aligned to the new management structure within Europe, but they are reported within United Kingdom. 3. Following the launch of UK Insurance which brings together UK Life, UK General Insurance and UK Health into a combined business, the Ireland Life and General Insurance businesses have been aligned to the new management structure and reported within Europe. As a result, comparative balances have been restated. 4. Prior year comparatives have been restated for the impact of the AGH loan. This restatement has been applied to these slides only and has not been applied to the Analyst Pack. 5. Non-insurance operations relating to the UK have been reclassified to their respective market segments to better align with the segmental note as per note B5 ‘Segmental Information’ of the Analyst Pack. 6. Excludes Antarius (disposed of). 7. Excludes Avipop (disposed of). 8. The combined operating ratio is now reported on an earned basis. Comparatives have now been aligned to reflect this change. 9. PVNBP and VNB are presented on an adjusted Solvency II basis. 10. NAV is presented net of tax and MI. 11. Other includes a gain of £36 million relating to negative goodwill on the acquisition of Friends First (refer to Note B4(a) of the Analyst Pack) and a charge of £14 million relating to goodwill payments to preference shareholders which were announced on 30 April 2018. 12. The Corporate and other business loss before tax of £132 million comprises corporate costs of £99 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £74 million, partly offset by interest on internal lending arrangements of £5 million and finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £36 million. 13. Credit spread movement for corporate bonds with credit rating A at 10 year duration, with the other ratings and durations stressed by the same proportion relative to the stressed capital requirement. 14. An immediate full letter downgrade on 20% of the annuity portfolio bonds (e.g. from AAA to AA, from AA to A). 15. Following a review of external funds under management, comparative amounts have been amended from those previously reported to reflect the fact that certain crossholdings had not been correctly eliminated on consolidation. The effect of this change is to reduce external funds under management by £2.5 billion.