This document summarizes the methodology of a Cuban public opinion survey conducted from September 5 to October 4, 2007. It provides details on the sample size of 584 Cuban adults aged 18 and older interviewed across 14 provinces. The margin of error for the survey results is ±4% with a 95% level of confidence.

1. Cuban Public Opinion Survey
September 5-October 4, 2007

2. Detailed Methodology
The national survey is based on personal interviews.
The fieldwork was conducted September 5-October 4, 2007.
The sample size is 584 Cuban adults, age 18 and older.
Interviews conducted in 14 of 15 Cuban provinces. The exception is
Los Pinos Island, a region that is statistically irrelevant.
The sample was stratified by 14 provinces then by different sub-units
provinces,
within each province. The interviewers were allocated gender and age
quotas they had to complete. The final selection of each interviewee
was random.
The sample distribution for province, gender and age are base on the
2002 Cuban Census.
The margin of error is ±4 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence.
g p p

3. Sample Distribution

4. Sample Distribution: Gender and Age
Age
Gender
60+ 18 to 29
16.0% 22.8%
Female
48.6% Male 50 to 59
51.4% 15.2%
51 4% 15 2%
30 to 39
25.2%
40 to 49
20.8%
20 8%

5. Sample Distribution: Race and Education

6. Sample Distribution: Province

7. Cuba’s C
C b ’ Current Ci
t Circumstance
t

8. In general, do you think that things in Cuba are going…?
40%
33.7%
35%
30%
25%
19.9% 19.9%
20%
15.4%
15%
9.8%
10%
5% 1.4%
0%
VERY WELL WELL SO,SO BADLY VERY BADLY NO ANSWER

9. What do you think is the biggest problem in Cuba?
11.6
FOOD SCARICTY
42.5
LOW SALARIES, HIGH COST OF LIVING
4.8
EMBARGO, ISOLATION
3.6
36
TRANSPORTATION
3.8
LACK OF HOUSING, POOR HOUSING CONDITIONS
18.2
LACK OF FREEDOMS, POLITICAL SYSTEM
4.3
OTHER
6.3
NO PROBLEM
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

10. Do you believe the current goverment will succeed in
resolving this problem in the next few years?
l i thi bl i th tf ?

11. If you do not believe the current government will be
successful, what kind of government could best help solve
this
thi problem?
bl ?
(N=419)

12. What is the ability of the current Cuban government to
solve the country’s problems?
yp
(Breakdown by issue)
(N = 419)
100
90
80
52.4
52 4
70 63.2
68.2 70.4
79.0
60
88.5
50
40
30
47.6
20 36.8
31.8 29.6
21.0
10
11.5
11
0
Low salaries, Lack of Food scarcity Embargo, Lack of Transportation
high cost of freedoms, isolation housing, poor
living political system housing
conditions
YES NO

13. Attitudes toward
Political and Economic Change

14. Attitudes toward Political Change
When you think about political changes that might transform the current
system into a real democracy – with multi-party elections, freedom of
speech and freedom of expression – d you believe that th
h df d f i do b li th t those changes
h
will improve, worsen or have no effect on your life?

15. Attitudes toward Political Change
What do you think would improve if these political changes were to occur?
4.8
EVERYTHING
4.8
NOTHING
5.5
FOOD SCARCITY
18.5
ECONOMY
2.4
WORK
5.5
WE COULD CHOOSE OUR…
15.4
FREEDOM
7.4
PARTICIPATION
5.0
WE COULD TRAVEL
0 5 10 15 20

16. Attitudes toward Political Change
What do you think would get worse if these political changes were to occur?
1.7
EVERYTHING
22.8
NOTHING
2.7
27
EDUCATION
2.4
HEALTH SERVICE
11.0
INSECURITY WILL INCREASE
5.3
SOCIAL DIVISION, SOCIAL INEQUALITY
,
2.4
CORRUPTION
5.1
CHANGE WILL BE VIOLENT
11.9
OTHER
34.6
34 6
NO ANSWER
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

17. Attitudes toward Economic Change
When you think about economic changes that might transform the current system
into a market economy – with economic freedoms, private property and the
possibility of Cubans having their own businesses – do you believe that these
changes would improve, worsen or have no effect on your daily life?

18. Attitudes toward Economic Change
What do you think would improve if these economic changes were to occur?
2.6
EVERYTHING
3.6
NOTHING
9.9
FOOD SCARCITY
11.1
ECONOMY
4
4.5
WORK
12.8
SALARIES WOULD IMPROVE
4.3
FREEDOM
0.3
PARTICIPATION
3.6
WE COULD TRAVEL
10.4
COMMERCE WOULD IMPROVE, MORE ACCESS TO PRODUCTS
5.1
51
I WOULD HAVE MORE OPPORTUNITIES TO PROGRESS
1.5
ONE CURRENCY INSTEAD OF TWO
1.7
HOUSING WOULD IMPROVE
3.6
OTHER
11.8
NO ANSWER
13
BETTER PURCHASING POWER
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

19. Attitudes toward Economic Change
What do you think would get worse if these economic changes were to occur?
1.0
EVERYTHING
28.5
NOTHING
2.7
EDUCATION
0.9
HEALTH SERVICE
9.4
INSECURITY WILL INCREASE
6.0
60
SOCIAL DIVISION SOCIAL INEQUALITY
DIVISION,
1.7
CORRUPTION
2.1
OUTSIDERS WILL COME TO TAKE ADVANTAGES
9.6
OTHER
37.7
NO ANSWER
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

20. Cubans’ Perspectives on
the Outside World

21. Does the situation in Cuba resemble
oes e s ua o Cu a ese e
that of other countries, or is it unique?
YES
9.2%
9 2%
NO, IT´S U QU
O, S UNIQUE
90.8%

22. If yes, which country does Cuba resemble?
(N=49)
18.8
BOLIVIA
16.7
CHINA
4.2
42
NORTH KOREA
39.6
VENEZUELA
FORMER SOVIET 6.3
UNION
14.6
OTHER
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

23. Elections and Successions

24. Regarding the upcoming elections, do you prefer the
current system in which all the candidates are of the same
system,
ideology, or would you prefer a different system in which
you could choose among candidates from different parties?

25. Do you think Cubans should vote to decide
who succeeds Fidel Castro?

26. Cubans’ Access to
Information Technology

27. Internet and E-Mail

28. Cell Phone Usage