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Notes on Senegal’s PPP
strategy for its rural
electrification program
Email : ahe@yiitidi.com www.yiitidi.com Yiitidi Ltd 71-75 Shelton
Street
Rural Electrification
Rural electrification is a complicated issue
because:
• of user affordability
• rural inaccessibility
• low population densities and dispersed
households
• low project profitability, and
• over-dependence on subsidies and
increasing fiscal deficit.
Senegal and its infrastructure
gap
• 196.000 km2 (1/3 of France or ½
of Japan)
• 14 million population of which
57% live in a rural areas.
• GDP per capita is US$ 1,046.59
(2013), more than 60% of the
rural population lives under the
poverty line.
• Only 56% of the total population
- but significantly only 26% of the
rural population- has access to
electricity.
Agence Sénégalais
d’Electrification Rurale ASER
ASER was created as
centralized agency for RE and
developed a two pronged
strategy:
• PPER: Large Priority RE
program.
• ERIL: Small sized programs
based on local initiative.
Agence Sénégalais
d’Electrification Rurale ASER
PPER:
Only 6 concessions
were signed by 2012
and still 2 large
concessions are to
been assigned.
Agence Sénégalais
d’Electrification Rurale ASER
ERIL: Uncertainty in ERIL framework discourages
investment
Hence, the rural electrification issue is not
Requirements for the
success of a PPP program
The three basic requirements that make a
PPP work are:
• Economics
• Politics
• Execution.
Economics
Successful PPP programs require:
• sound fundamentals;
• a structure that optimizes cost, quality, and
service.
Although in theory the two concession models,
ensure profitability for operators, profitability
still has to be proven.
Economics: Fundamentals
By crossing
data from
Mobile use
and electricity
use D-4-D
provided data
for
assessment
of potential
demand and
thus the
financial
viability of
Economics: Fundamentals
Determination of zones and their financial viability
Politics
Successful PPP require:
• Securing political champions
• Building stakeholder support
• Environmental & social
impact
• Solid regulatory environment
Politics
Securing political champions, fully achieved in
Senegal, with the full support of top leaders.
Politics
• Building stakeholder
support, which has
proven difficult:
i. High political profile
of electrification
issues resulting in
lack of continuity
ii. Obstacles in
aligning objectives
between ASER &
SENELEC;
Politics
• Environmental & social
impact
i. cumbersome process to
assess of environmental and
social impacts
• Solid regulatory environment
i. Negotiations between
stakeholders accounting for
long delays
Execution
Successful PPP require:
• the right mix of local and global experts
• support a transparent, competitive bid
process and
• plan for ongoing contract monitoring and
review.
Conclusions
Senegal’s Rural Electrification program
has tackled many issues proactively but
has encountered difficulties to gain
momentum
• For private investors, the access to real
data will enable sound feasibility & viability
studies, and reactivate private investment in
both PPER & ERIL.
• Inherent conflict of ERIL projects stepping
into PPER areas under concession must be
addressed. Private investors need a clear
Thank you
Email : ahe@yiitidi.com www.yiitidi.com Yiitidi Ltd 71-75 Shelton
Street

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PPP Project: Notes of Senegal's PPP strategy for its rural electrification program

  • 1. Notes on Senegal’s PPP strategy for its rural electrification program Email : ahe@yiitidi.com www.yiitidi.com Yiitidi Ltd 71-75 Shelton Street
  • 2. Rural Electrification Rural electrification is a complicated issue because: • of user affordability • rural inaccessibility • low population densities and dispersed households • low project profitability, and • over-dependence on subsidies and increasing fiscal deficit.
  • 3. Senegal and its infrastructure gap • 196.000 km2 (1/3 of France or ½ of Japan) • 14 million population of which 57% live in a rural areas. • GDP per capita is US$ 1,046.59 (2013), more than 60% of the rural population lives under the poverty line. • Only 56% of the total population - but significantly only 26% of the rural population- has access to electricity.
  • 4. Agence Sénégalais d’Electrification Rurale ASER ASER was created as centralized agency for RE and developed a two pronged strategy: • PPER: Large Priority RE program. • ERIL: Small sized programs based on local initiative.
  • 5. Agence Sénégalais d’Electrification Rurale ASER PPER: Only 6 concessions were signed by 2012 and still 2 large concessions are to been assigned.
  • 6. Agence Sénégalais d’Electrification Rurale ASER ERIL: Uncertainty in ERIL framework discourages investment Hence, the rural electrification issue is not
  • 7. Requirements for the success of a PPP program The three basic requirements that make a PPP work are: • Economics • Politics • Execution.
  • 8. Economics Successful PPP programs require: • sound fundamentals; • a structure that optimizes cost, quality, and service. Although in theory the two concession models, ensure profitability for operators, profitability still has to be proven.
  • 9. Economics: Fundamentals By crossing data from Mobile use and electricity use D-4-D provided data for assessment of potential demand and thus the financial viability of
  • 10. Economics: Fundamentals Determination of zones and their financial viability
  • 11. Politics Successful PPP require: • Securing political champions • Building stakeholder support • Environmental & social impact • Solid regulatory environment
  • 12. Politics Securing political champions, fully achieved in Senegal, with the full support of top leaders.
  • 13. Politics • Building stakeholder support, which has proven difficult: i. High political profile of electrification issues resulting in lack of continuity ii. Obstacles in aligning objectives between ASER & SENELEC;
  • 14. Politics • Environmental & social impact i. cumbersome process to assess of environmental and social impacts • Solid regulatory environment i. Negotiations between stakeholders accounting for long delays
  • 15. Execution Successful PPP require: • the right mix of local and global experts • support a transparent, competitive bid process and • plan for ongoing contract monitoring and review.
  • 16. Conclusions Senegal’s Rural Electrification program has tackled many issues proactively but has encountered difficulties to gain momentum • For private investors, the access to real data will enable sound feasibility & viability studies, and reactivate private investment in both PPER & ERIL. • Inherent conflict of ERIL projects stepping into PPER areas under concession must be addressed. Private investors need a clear
  • 17. Thank you Email : ahe@yiitidi.com www.yiitidi.com Yiitidi Ltd 71-75 Shelton Street