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The Academy of Financial Trading
Market Volatility
www.academyft.comsupport@academyft.com
Market Volatility explained
Any Advice or information provided by the Academy of Financial Trading is General Advice Only - It
does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on
this information. By viewing any material provided by the Academy of Financial Trading or using any
information or tools you agree that this is general educational material and you will not hold any person
or entity responsible for loss or damages resulting from the content or general advice provided here by
The Academy of Financial Trading, its employees, directors or fellow members. Futures, Contracts for
Difference (CFDs), Options, and spot currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large
potential risks. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in CFDs
and leveraged forex markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. No representation is
being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in
any material provided by the Academy of Financial Trading. The past performance of any trading
system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Risk Warning
Volatility – the way to describe market
movements
In its simplest form volatility really describes the pace at
which prices move higher or lower, and how wildly they swing
Market Volatility explained
Markets
These can be prices of just about anything. However,
Volatility has been more exhaustively studied, measured and
described in Financial Markets
It really just measures the changing of a market’s price
relative to time
It would then follow that Markets prone to high volatility
present to us as traders much more opportunities
Markets
Low Volatility
This typically describes a Market that is not moving
very much or has a low price change relative to time
Traders who seek to make profits from small movement typically
favour such an environment or set of circumstances
Most traders who are employing scalping techniques (trading short
term movements) might trade certain markets based on their
volatility – simply because it is more favourable to them or more
conducive to their strategy's’ success
Market Volatility explained
High Volatility – the scary one!
Most investors tend to steer clear of highly volatile markets –
many see it as too risky
Sometimes analysts may use historical volatility - how much
volatility an asset has had over the past 12 months – as a way
to gauge or estimate future volatility. Some may use Monte
Carlo methods
In finance, Monte Carlo methods are used to simulate the various
sources of uncertainty that affect the value of an asset, and then to
calculate a representative value given these possible value of the
underlying inputs
Markets
Based on the calculations and outputs an investor may make
decisions he sees as ones that encompass all possible scenarios
Market Volatility explained
Markets
The Conclusion
In general, price volatility can be caused by factors that
produce wild swings in demand and supply
They can also be affected by human emotions - this
makes predictions harder
Our method uses a more favourable approach of position sizing based on
volatility – this keeps us out of being overly dependent of one market, or
even having our overall portfolio exposure affected by certain volatility
As technical traders we use recent facts and established patterns to base our
future predictions upon
The classical Economic way to calculate Volatility is it is computed as the annualized
standard deviation of the percentage change in the daily price.
http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/volatility.html#ixzz3VVgvplzS
Market Volatility explained
www.academyft.com
support@academyft.com
Contact us anytime on
Ire: +353 (0) 1 553 0174
UK: +44 (0) 207 760 1614
USA: +1 347 627 0001
Keep Learning!
academyft.com

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Market Volatility

  • 1. The Academy of Financial Trading Market Volatility www.academyft.comsupport@academyft.com
  • 2. Market Volatility explained Any Advice or information provided by the Academy of Financial Trading is General Advice Only - It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information. By viewing any material provided by the Academy of Financial Trading or using any information or tools you agree that this is general educational material and you will not hold any person or entity responsible for loss or damages resulting from the content or general advice provided here by The Academy of Financial Trading, its employees, directors or fellow members. Futures, Contracts for Difference (CFDs), Options, and spot currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in CFDs and leveraged forex markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in any material provided by the Academy of Financial Trading. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Risk Warning
  • 3. Volatility – the way to describe market movements In its simplest form volatility really describes the pace at which prices move higher or lower, and how wildly they swing Market Volatility explained Markets These can be prices of just about anything. However, Volatility has been more exhaustively studied, measured and described in Financial Markets It really just measures the changing of a market’s price relative to time It would then follow that Markets prone to high volatility present to us as traders much more opportunities
  • 4. Markets Low Volatility This typically describes a Market that is not moving very much or has a low price change relative to time Traders who seek to make profits from small movement typically favour such an environment or set of circumstances Most traders who are employing scalping techniques (trading short term movements) might trade certain markets based on their volatility – simply because it is more favourable to them or more conducive to their strategy's’ success Market Volatility explained
  • 5. High Volatility – the scary one! Most investors tend to steer clear of highly volatile markets – many see it as too risky Sometimes analysts may use historical volatility - how much volatility an asset has had over the past 12 months – as a way to gauge or estimate future volatility. Some may use Monte Carlo methods In finance, Monte Carlo methods are used to simulate the various sources of uncertainty that affect the value of an asset, and then to calculate a representative value given these possible value of the underlying inputs Markets Based on the calculations and outputs an investor may make decisions he sees as ones that encompass all possible scenarios Market Volatility explained
  • 6. Markets The Conclusion In general, price volatility can be caused by factors that produce wild swings in demand and supply They can also be affected by human emotions - this makes predictions harder Our method uses a more favourable approach of position sizing based on volatility – this keeps us out of being overly dependent of one market, or even having our overall portfolio exposure affected by certain volatility As technical traders we use recent facts and established patterns to base our future predictions upon The classical Economic way to calculate Volatility is it is computed as the annualized standard deviation of the percentage change in the daily price. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/volatility.html#ixzz3VVgvplzS Market Volatility explained
  • 7. www.academyft.com support@academyft.com Contact us anytime on Ire: +353 (0) 1 553 0174 UK: +44 (0) 207 760 1614 USA: +1 347 627 0001 Keep Learning! academyft.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Refer to cost of producing in the US
  2. On human emotions For example, in February 2012, the U.S and Europe threatened sanctions against Iran for developing weapons-grade uranium. In retaliation, Iran threatened to close the Straits of Hormuz, restricting oil supply. Even though the supply of oil did not change, traders bid up the price of oil to nearly $110 in March. By June, they bid down the oil price to $80 a barrel on fears of slowing growth in China.