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Behavioral signature of intraspecific competition and
density dependence in colony-breeding marine predators
Greg A. Breed1, W. Don Bowen2 & Marty L. Leonard1
1Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, 1355 Oxford
Street, Halifax, Nova Scotia, B3H 4J1, Canada
2Bedford Institute of Oceanography, 1 Challenger Drive,
Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, B2Y 4A2, Canada
Keywords
Animal movement, compensatory population
regulation, correlated random walk, foraging
ecology, juvenile mortality, marine mammal,
seal, switching state-space model.
Correspondence
Greg A. Breed, Department of Biological
Sciences University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
T6G 2E9, Canada. Tel: 780-492-7942;
E-mail: [email protected]
Funding information
This work was supported by the Future of
Marine Animal Populations program, Fisheries
and Oceans Canada, Dalhousie University,
and NSERC grants awarded to Marty Leonard
and W. Don Bowen. This research was
conducted under the authorization of the
Canadian Ministry of Fisheries protocol nos.
04-13, 02-91, 00-051, and 98-078.
Received: 24 May 2013; Revised: 26 July
2013; Accepted: 12 August 2013
Ecology and Evolution 2013; 3(11): 3838–
3854
doi: 10.1002/ece3.754
Abstract
In populations of colony-breeding marine animals, foraging
around colonies
can lead to intraspecific competition. This competition affects
individual forag-
ing behavior and can cause density-dependent population
growth. Where
behavioral data are available, it may be possible to infer the
mechanism of
intraspecific competition. If these mechanics are understood,
they can be used
to predict the population-level functional response resulting
from the competi-
tion. Using satellite relocation and dive data, we studied the use
of space and
foraging behavior of juvenile and adult gray seals (Halichoerus
grypus) from a
large (over 200,000) and growing population breeding at Sable
Island, Nova
Scotia (44.0 oN 60.0 oW). These data were first analyzed using
a behaviorally
switching state-space model to infer foraging areas followed by
randomization
analysis of foraging region overlap of competing age classes.
Patterns of habitat
use and behavioral time budgets indicate that young-of-year
juveniles (YOY)
were likely displaced from foraging areas near (<10 km) the
breeding colony by
adult females. This displacement was most pronounced in the
summer. Addi-
tionally, our data suggest that YOY are less capable divers than
adults and this
limits the habitat available to them. However, other segregating
mechanisms
cannot be ruled out, and we discuss several alternate
hypotheses. Mark–resight
data indicate juveniles born between 1998 and 2002 have much
reduced survi-
vorship compared with cohorts born in the late 1980s, while
adult survivorship
has remained steady. Combined with behavioral observations,
our data suggest
YOY are losing an intraspecific competition between adults and
juveniles,
resulting in the currently observed decelerating logistic
population growth.
Competition theory predicts that intraspecific competition
resulting in a clear
losing competitor should cause compensatory population
regulation. This func-
tional response produces a smooth logistic growth curve as
carrying capacity is
approached, and is consistent with census data collected from
this population
over the past 50 years. The competitive mechanism causing
compensatory regu-
lation likely stems from the capital-breeding life-history
strategy employed by
gray seals. This strategy decouples reproductive success from
resources available
around breeding colonies and prevents females from competing
with each other
while young are dependent.
Introduction
Intraspecific competition is a primary mechanism of den-
sity-dependent population regulation (Nicholson 1954;
May et al. 1974; Furness and Birkhead 1984). The type of
intraspecific competition (e.g., scramble, contest, interfer-
ence) and the limiting resource, however, can have major
effects on the functional response of a population as it
approaches carrying capacity (K) (May et al. 1974). Com-
petition is often for food resources, but it can also be for
space, breeding sites, territories, or other vital resources.
Although intraspecific competition is the most common
cause of density dependence, conclusive demonstration of
such competition usually requires removal of individuals
3838 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution License, which permits use,
distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the
original work is properly cited.
to relax competition for suspected limiting resources.
Where such manipulations cause competing population
segments to move into a previously occupied niche, expe-
rience increased survival, show better condition, or have
increased fecundity, intraspecific competition is occurring
(Dayton 1971; Paine 1984). Such manipulations are often
impractical in free-living populations, and intraspecific
competition usually must be inferred circumstantially
(Hansen et al. 1999). Such inferences are often based on
overlap or segregation in diets or space (e.g., Tinker et al.
2008a). Although the later may represent niche partition-
ing, differential response to predation risk, or other non-
competitive segregating mechanism, population growth
accompanied with decreased performance or survival in
one of the suspected competing groups more strongly
suggests intraspecific competition.
Because of the difficulty of studying wild populations,
much of our understanding of intraspecific competition
and density-dependent population dynamics relies upon
laboratory mesocosm experiments and population
modeling (e.g., Bellows 1981). Using these approaches,
Maynard-Smith and Slatkin (1973) and Bellows (1981)
predicted that different kinds of intraspecific competition
should give rise to different density-dependent functional
responses as a population approaches K. Scramble compe-
tition, where all competitors are equally able to acquire a
limiting resource, should cause overcompensatory regula-
tion, with the potential for major population-level
mortality or reproductive failures near K. When resources
become limiting, the equal competitors all receive an
inadequate ration and theoretically all starve. The number
of starving animals can be far larger than the degree to
which a population exceeds K.
Competition that results in one competitor or compet-
ing group being better able to acquire or defend a limiting
resource (e.g., contest competition) should cause compen-
satory regulation. In this case, when resources become
limiting, better competitors receive an adequate ration,
and poorer competitors starve. The number which starve
is thus directly proportional to the degree a population
exceeds K. Compensatory regulation should result in a
gradual decrease in population-level reproductive success
and a gentle approach to K. Where enough behavior and
population data are available, it should be possible to infer
the type of intraspecific competition and predict the func-
tional form of regulation experienced by a population.
Many marine birds, mammals, and reptiles breed at colo-
nies, and intraspecific competition can be keen and develop
rapidly or unexpectedly when resources around colonies
fluctuate (Furness and Birkhead 1984; Schreiber and Schrei-
ber 1984; Trillmich and Limberger 1985; Wanless et al.
2005). At the same time, colony-breeding marine species
are often top predators and may also be of conservation
concern. Understanding the population dynamics of such
species can be extremely important for population conser-
vation as well as overall ecosystem management.
Here, we examine evidence for intraspecific competi-
tion and its behavioral signature in animal movement
patterns from a growing population of gray seals (Halic-
hoerus grypus) in the Northwest Atlantic (Plate 1). This
population breeds as a colony on Sable Island, Nova Sco-
tia, and was historically suppressed by hunting and boun-
ties at coastal haulouts and nearshore waters of eastern
Canada. In the early 1960s, gray seals were considered
rare, and the Sable Island population produced only a
few hundred offspring annually. The population grew
exponentially from 1962 until the early 2000s (Bowen
et al. 2003), but more recently appears to have entered
the deceleration phase of density-dependent logistic
growth (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011).
The dramatic growth of gray seals has been accompa-
nied by major changes in the structure and functioning of
the Scotian Shelf ecosystem (Frank et al. 2005, 2011).
There is also concern that gray seal predation on com-
mercially important or rare fishes may cause serious harm
to these stocks (e.g., Trzcinski et al. 2006; Benôıt et al.
2011). Understanding the mechanism of density depen-
dence will help predict future population trends, gray seal
predation rates on fishes, gray seal impacts on the struc-
ture and stability of the Scotian Shelf ecosystem, and the
results of potential management actions. More broadly,
such information may help predict which types of behav-
iors and intraspecific interactions should be expected
around marine animal colonies and how populations
might respond to those interactions.
Our analysis focuses on differences in distribution and
habitat usage among age and sex classes to gain insight
into the forces influencing movement decisions and for-
aging behavior. To understand the context and cause of
Plate 1. Gray seals in the surf at Sable Island, Nova Scotia.
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3839
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
the differences, we synthesize our results within a larger
body of data that includes changes in survival of juve-
niles, diet breadth, physiological limitations of juveniles,
and prey distribution and quality.
Taken together, the evidence supports a number of
potential segregating mechanisms. We present the case for
several alternative hypotheses, including differential habi-
tat preference, niche partitioning, and differential
response to shark predation. Although our results do not
conclusively exclude these noncompetitive segregating
mechanisms, the pattern of habitat segregation is most
consistent with intraspecific competition and we contend
this competition is resulting in the currently observed
density-dependent population growth. Finally, we discuss
the potential impact of the hypothesized intraspecific
competition on this population and predict the functional
response of density-dependent regulation should be com-
pensatory and not overcompensatory and compare this
prediction to the observed population dynamic.
Methods
Data collection
In late May and early June 2004, twenty-four (12 male,
12 female) young-of-year (YOY), 15 adults (7 male, 8
female), and 6 subadults (2–3 years old; 4 male, 2 female)
gray seals were captured on Sable Island, Nova Scotia
(44.0°N 60.0°W). Seals were captured with handheld nets,
anaesthetized with Telazol, and Argos satellite transmitters
(Sea Mammal Research Unit model SRDL 7000) were
attached with 5-minute epoxy as described in Breed et al.
(2011a). The adults became part of a larger data set that
included a total of 81 adults tagged between 1995 and
2005 (Breed et al. 2006), allowing for comparison of
adult, subadult, and YOY at-sea movement.
Movement and spatial behavior
Argos tracking data were analyzed with a behaviorally dis-
criminating state-space model (SSM), which statistically
reduces the influence of Argos location error, estimates
locations at regular time-intervals, and infers behavioral
states. We chose a time-step of 8 h or three points per
day as this was approximately the observation frequency
of our lowest quality tracks (see Breed et al. 2009, 2011b
for more information on time-step selection and the
effect of data quality on inference and model perfor-
mance). The model explicitly estimated behavioral state
by switching between two sets of parameters describing a
correlated random walk (CRW). Displacements better fit
by parameters of high first-order autocorrelation and turn
angles near 0° were nominally termed “transiting,” while
displacements that were better fit by parameters of low
autocorrelation and turn angles near 180° were nominally
termed “foraging.” Movements inferred as “foraging”
cause animals to remain in a small area of ocean or are
part of an area-restricted search. Such movement patterns
are well documented to be associated with increased prey
capture rates (Austin et al. 2006; Dragon et al. 2012).
Transiting states were associated with rapid directional
movement.
We used a two-state model for simplicity. Fitting two
states can be performed relatively simply with fairly
course spatial data and identifying two behavioral classes
extracts considerable behaviorally relevant information.
Inferring three or more states is less straightforward and
usually requires higher quality behavioral data and often
strong Bayesian priors (Breed et al. 2012; McClintock
et al. 2012). Without such high-quality data (e.g., high
spatiotemporal resolution GPS or triaxial accelerometry
data), inferring three or more states usually encounters
significant identifiably issues. The model was fit to demo-
graphically homogenous groups of up to 15 tracks so that
short tracks could borrow power from longer tracks to
infer behavioral states (see Breed et al. 2009 for details).
The movement parameters themselves were similar across
all groups, and this approach is validated in an analysis in
the appendix of Breed et al. (2009), which shows that
tracks fit individually had similar estimates of movement
parameters and inferred behavioral states as those fit in
groups. The SSM was implemented using the freely avail-
able software packages R and WinBUGS (Spiegelhalter
et al. 2007; R Development Core Team 2012). Working
code and implementation details of this behavior-switch-
ing SSM can be found in Breed et al. (2009, 2011b).
Dive and time budget data
The 45 Argos tags deployed in 2004 collected diving data,
but Argos bandwidth limited the data available to 3-h
binned summaries of dive characteristics. Numerous dive
characteristics were available, but we chose three key vari-
ables: maximum dive depth, mean dive duration, and
haulout (i.e., time spent on land as indicated by wet/dry
switches), which are most strongly limited by physiologi-
cal immaturity. Dive data were used to investigate age-
related differences in diving ability. Haulout data were
compared to SSM foraging locations that occurred within
10, 20, and 30 km of shore as well as those beyond
30 km to produce time budgets of time spent foraging in
areas of varying accessibility relative to haulout sites.
These budgets were used to investigate displacement of
juveniles from the most accessible foraging regions to
more distant areas by adults and to validate the kernel
overlap analysis, which we describe shortly. Time budgets
3840 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
and binned dive summary characteristics of demographic
groups were statistically compared using mixed-effects
models with either a log or logit link in the nlme package
of R (R Development Core Team 2012).
Spatial distribution and habitat use
Clumps of inferred foraging locations from YOY, adult
males, and adult females, appear to occur in different
areas on the Scotian Shelf. To test if these apparent differ-
ences were caused by chance or were real, we employed
the kernel density overlap analysis described in Breed
et al. (2006). In this analysis, we overlay the kernel densi-
ties of different groups and measure their areal overlap.
To test if this overlap is larger or smaller than might be
expected by chance, we compare the size of the overlap to
the overlap of kernels calculated from two null groups.
These null groups are produced by randomly assigning
tracks to each of two groups to be compared instead of
grouping them according to their age by sex demographic
class. If the real overlap is smaller than a large set (95%)
of randomly produced null overlaps, the lack of overlap is
significant and biologically relevant.
The method was modified to include the behavioral state
information available in switching SSM results. As our goal
was to test for differences in foraging areas, kernels were
constructed using only at-sea SSM inferred foraging loca-
tions, excluding transit locations and all locations within
2 km of shore. The size of the grid (100 by 100 nodes, with
10.75 km between nodes), the fixed kernel smoothing, and
width parameters, as well as the choice of 98.5% density
contour used to calculate the range overlaps, were the same
as those used in Breed et al. (2006).
Kernels were computed for YOY, adult males, and
adult females for each month from June to January.
There were too few data to include subadults and too few
data from YOY to compare with adults from February to
May (Table 1). Areal overlap of the 98.5% density con-
tour was calculated first for male versus female YOY to
test for evidence of sexual segregation within this age
group, then for adult males versus YOY and again for
adult females versus YOY. Adult males versus adult
females were not tested because the results of a similar
analysis can be found in Breed et al. (2006).
A randomization analysis was used to test the null
hypothesis that kernel overlap in a given monthly pair-
wise comparison was no larger than expected by chance
given the sample available. To create a null test statistic,
tracks were randomly assigned to two groups after the
real overlap had been calculated for that month. Tracks
were randomly shuffled by individual seal (as opposed to
individual point) so that the appropriate sample sizes and
individual random effect were imposed. The two groups
were composed of the same number of tracks as the real
observations (Pesarin 2001). Kernel densities were calcu-
lated for each of the two random groups, and the size of
the overlap of their respective 98.5% density contours
used as the null test statistic (Fig. 1). The random assign-
ments were permuted 1000 times without replacement. P-
values were determined by the proportion of random
overlaps that were smaller than the observed overlap, so
that if the observed real overlap was smaller than all 1000
randomly generated overlaps, then P ≤ 0.001.
For most months tested, 1–3 tracks terminated due to
tag failure during the month and thus contributed an
incomplete sample of points. Similarly, because we used
only the inferred foraging locations and individual ani-
mals had differing ratios of foraging to transiting, each
animal contributed a different number of points to the
monthly kernels. We did not up- or down-weight these
samples based on the differing contributions of each ani-
mal. The randomization analysis employed is fundamen-
tally robust to such data imbalances (Pesarin 2001).
Although short tracks may skew or bias individual kernel
densities constructed with them, the variously sized tracks
were randomly assigned to each of the two possible null
kernels to create the 1000 null overlaps. If 95% of the null
overlaps are still larger than the true overlap, any skew or
bias introduced by the unevenness in track sample is unli-
kely to account for this difference, as the null overlaps
were also created using the imbalanced data. Increasingly
imbalanced data will not skew or bias results, but instead
gradually lower the power of the analysis as the sample
becomes more imbalanced. In the case of this analysis,
when data become increasingly imbalanced, the overlap
of the null kernels shrinks. When the imbalance is too
high, the true overlap size ranks above the a = 0.05 level
Table 1. Sample sizes for the kernel density randomization
analysis.
Month
Number of Tracks Number of Locations
Males Females YOY Males Females YOY
Jun 14 14 24 364 509 1088
Jul 14 15 23 594 627 1017
Aug 14 15 23 473 515 960
Sep 26 25 19 622 653 843
Oct 32 31 17 1158 1363 895
Nov 31 31 17 1367 1989 862
Dec 25 28 14 1027 1480 561
Jan 18 24 13 186 496 475
Total 43 38 24 7022 9538 7239
“Number of Tracks” is the number of animals with locations in
a
given month. Animals whose tracks spanned more than one
month
were counted in the sample of each month the track spanned.
“Num-
ber of Locations” is the number of at-sea SSM inferred foraging
loca-
tions recorded in a given month; inferred transiting, haulout,
and
locations within 2 km of shore were excluded.
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3841
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
when compared to the null overlaps. So, even if there is
segregation of habitat use, it is not detected because the
imbalanced data do not provide sufficient statistical
power.
To visualize differences in foraging areas as calculated
from kernel densities, we took advantage of the normal-
ized property of kernels. After normalizing, the volume
under a 3-d kernel density surface equals one regardless
of how many points were used to construct it. Given this,
subtracting a kernel from itself will produce a perfectly
flat surface equal to zero everywhere. Subtracting different
kernels from each other will produce a surface with
positive and negative regions which will vary depending
upon how habitat usage differed between the groups.
In the case of kernel A minus kernel B, positive regions
will indicate where habitat use was high for the population
of animals used to construct kernel A and low for the
population represented by kernel B; negative regions
would indicate the opposite. Regions near zero indicate
where habitat use was similar in both A and B. The result-
ing 3-d surface can then be contoured to highlight habitats
that were used differentially between two groups of ani-
mals. We term this surface the “kernel density anomaly.”
Because journal space is limited, we did not visualize
46ºN
(A)
(B)
45ºN
44ºN
43ºN
46ºN
45ºN
44ºN
43ºN
Random overlap
63ºW 62ºW 61ºW 60ºW 59ºW 58ºW 57ºW
63ºW 62ºW 61ºW 60ºW 59ºW 58ºW 57ºW
True overlap
Figure 1. Example of one permutation of
random overlap versus true overlap of kernel
densities, in this case comparing adult females
(black) to YOY (blue) in July. Red contour
indicates the overlap of the 98.5% density
area between the two kernels. Panel (A) shows
the true overlap of the two groups, while (B)
shows the overlap when tracks are assigned to
each group randomly. Overlap of 1000
permutations of group assignment was
compared to true overlap to assess if true
overlap was smaller than would be produced
by chance given the sample available.
3842 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
kernel density anomalies for every month, but instead cal-
culated and plotted anomalies by season: summer (July–
September), autumn (October–December), and winter
(January–April); monthly kernel density anomaly plots
are, however, provided in Figs. S1–S10. The kernel density
overlap analysis and the kernel density anomaly figures
were produced using custom scripts in MATLAB Version
7.13 (MATLAB 2011) and visualized using the M Map
mapping toolbox (Pawlowicz 2011). Working MATLAB
code for the kernel overlap analysis, as well as sample data
from August, is included as electronic supplement.
Results
Spatial distribution and habitat use
SSM model diagnostics (MCMC convergence, Rhat val-
ues, etc.) suggest good model performance and reasonable
behavioral inference for all tracks reported here (SSM
diagnostics are reported in the appendices of Breed et al.
2009, 2011a). Older tracks with large data gaps (multiple
gaps >2 days, and/or high spatial error) did not perform
as well and were subsequently removed from the analysis
(see Breed et al. 2011b for a careful analysis of the effect
of data quality on location estimation and behavioral
inference). The proportion of at-sea behaviors inferred as
foraging, transiting, or uncertain varied dynamically
through the year and by demographic group and was also
subject to variation between individuals; these results are
explored in depth in Breed et al. (2009, 2011a). An exam-
ple SSM fit to an Argos track of a juvenile gray seal is
shown in Fig. 2.
Results of the randomization tests revealed no signifi-
cant differences between the monthly utilization distribu-
tions of male and female YOY (Table 2). Therefore, the
sexes were combined into a single sample of YOY for
comparison with adults.
Comparisons of YOY with adults indicate significant
segregation of space use (Table 2). Although their distri-
butions differed only marginally in June, areas used by
YOY and adult females overlapped significantly less than
expected during July, August, October, November, and
January. Segregation was most pronounced in the sum-
mer and fall, when YOY used areas off the tips of Sable
Island, Banqreau, and Western Bank, while adult females
occupied areas immediately adjacent to Sable Island and
the tops of the nearby Middle and Canso Banks (Figs. 3A,
4A, 5A). Spatial overlap between YOY and adult males
was less than expected during June and also from
November to January (Table 2). Adult males also occu-
pied areas adjacent to Sable in summer, but not as much
as adult females, and used areas near the continental shelf
break more than YOY (Figs. 3B, 4B, 5B).
The winter pattern of habitat use differed markedly
from that during summer and fall. YOY did not use
regions near Sable Island and instead foraged over off-
shore banks scattered across the northern half of the Sco-
tian Shelf (Fig. 5A,B). For all groups, winter foraging
locations tended to be farther from Sable Island and
became more diffuse—animals both spread out as they
move away from Sable and also forage in less discrete
patches than other seasons.
Dive depths and time budgets
On average, adults made deeper dives than YOY, but
owing to a large number of shallow dives made by all
demographic classes, the means of the entire dive-depth
distribution were not significantly different (Fig. 6,
Table 3). However, when examining only the tails of the
dive-depth distributions (dives >150 m), adults clearly
make many more deep dives than YOY. When mixed-
effects models for dive bouts are adjusted to only examine
bins with dives deeper than 50 m, these differences
become statistically detectable and are strongly significant
in summer and fall (Table 3). The differences disappear
in winter either because YOY dive performance has
improved with age (Noren et al. 2005; Bennett et al.
2010), a strong ecological driver intercedes, or both.
Additionally, YOY average dive durations were half that
of adults year-round, a strongly significant difference
(Table 3). Overall, YOY made significantly shorter and
shallower dives than adults. Subadult dive-depth profiles
and mean dive durations were intermediate between YOY
and adults (Table 3, Table S1).
Haulout and nearshore time budgets also differed
among adults, subadults, and YOY. Through the summer
and early fall, adults consistently spent about 20% of their
time hauled out (Fig. 7A). Haulout increased in Decem-
ber at the start of the breeding season, peaked in January,
then decreased but remained elevated over the winter as
compared to summer. YOY and subadults displayed less
dramatic seasonal fluctuations than adults, spending 20–
30% of their time hauled out in summer and early fall,
10–15% in late fall, and 5–10% in January and February
(Fig. 7A).
Comparison of at-sea time budgets provided an esti-
mate of time animals spent in shallow, coastal habitat
versus offshore habitat. Adults, especially adult females,
spent 50–80% of their time within 10 km of shore during
summer (Tab. 4, Fig. 7B–D). Adults abruptly ended
coastal habitat use in October, and from October to April
approached shore only to haulout. Subadults also heavily
used inshore habitats and spent more than 50% of their
time at sea within 10 km of shore from July to December,
moving away from shorelines in January. Unlike adults or
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3843
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
subadults, YOY spent little or no time foraging near shore
at any time of year (Table 4, Fig. 7B–D), a strongly sig-
nificant difference compared with adult time budgets.
Finally, during the summer, YOY spent significantly more
time in the band between 10 and 30 km of shore than
adults (Table 4). This corroborates the kernel overlap
analysis and suggests YOY either do not prefer or are
displaced from waters within 10 km of shore to habitats
between 10 and 30 km from shore.
Discussion
Our data clearly demonstrate a number of key behavioral
differences between YOY and adult gray seals in diving
behavior and habitat use. We show that YOY make
shallower, shorter dives compared with adults. The
shorter dives limit the benthic habitats available to YOY.
We further show that foraging habitats are spatially segre-
gated, with YOY either preferring benthic habitats farther
from haulout sites or that YOY are excluded from the
most accessible foraging areas near haulout sites by older
animals, particularly in the summer.
The spatial segregation of foraging areas could arise
from both competitive and noncompetitive ecological
mechanisms. However, the perceived potential for the
Sable Island gray seal population to negatively impact
commercial fish stocks (Benôıt et al. 2011) has led to
the funding of ecological and demographic investiga-
tions of unusual intensity and duration resulting in
excellent data on age-specific survival, diet, reproductive
69ºW 66ºW 63ºW 60ºW
44ºN
46ºN
48ºN
50ºN
Figure 2. Example behavior-switching SSM
model fit to a two-year-old subadult gray seal
tracked by the Argos satellite network. This
animal was outfitted with an Argos PTT tag
manufactured by the Sea Mammal Research
Unit in June 2004 and was tracked until May
2005.
Table 2. Kernel density overlap randomization results of three
demographic comparisons.
Month
YOY sexual segregation YOY versus Adult Females YOY
versus Adult Males
% Overlap Random P % Overlap Random P % Overlap Random
P
Jun 34.5 33.6 � 0.3 0.21 33.1 34.5 � 0.4 0.052 26.4 32.3 � 0.4
0.050
Jul 38.4 41.5 � 0.3 0.24 17.6 34.1 � 0.3 0.001 33.3 36.5 � 0.3
0.798
Aug 36.0 35.7 � 0.4 0.06 16.0 35.7 � 0.3 0.024 23.0 34.7 � 0.3
0.690
Sep 24.8 30.5 � 0.4 0.08 26.9 32.4 � 0.3 0.124 21.6 34.8 � 0.4
0.133
Oct 40.3 35.0 � 0.4 0.38 32.7 44.6 � 0.4 0.003 26.7 38.5 � 0.3
0.319
Nov 31.4 31.5 � 0.4 0.26 34.1 47.9 � 0.4 0.048 15.4 37.4 � 0.3
0.006
Dec 36.8 36.2 � 0.4 0.44 32.1 33.5 � 0.3 0.223 30.0 36.1 � 0.4
0.047
Jan 11.9 17.8 � 0.3 0.17 5.1 31.8 � 0.4 <0.001 9.7 33.0 � 0.3
<0.001
Overlaps were divided by the area of the larger home range
(bounded by the 98.5% contour) to create a normalized
percentage.
Bold values indicate statistically significant habitat segregation.
3844 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
investment, and lifetime reproductive success to comple-
ment our findings on space use and movement (e.g.,
Austin et al. 2004; Iverson et al. 2004; Bowen et al.
2007; Lang et al. 2009; den Heyer et al. In press). We
synthesize our new results within this larger body of
data. Using these data, we discuss a number of poten-
tial segregating mechanisms. Although our data cannot
conclusively demonstrate intraspecific competition as the
segregating mechanism, we argue this hypothesis is best
supported given the data available. Finally, we speculate
that this competition is resulting in, or at least consis-
tent with, compensatory density-dependent population
regulation.
Case for intraspecific competition
Exclusion of YOY from areas near Sable Island
Kernel anomalies, time budgets, and the randomization
analysis indicate YOY avoid nearshore habitats to forage
at more distant foraging patches from foraging areas near
Sable Island. There are three likely reasons for this.
First, adults and YOY might feed on different prey and
these prey are located in different areas around Sable
Island. Other observations suggest that this is unlikely.
Although YOY foraged farther from Sable, they used shal-
low banks to the east, west, and north that are similar to
(A)
(B)
Figure 3. July to September kernel density
anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY and
(B) adult males versus YOY. White points are
SSM foraging locations of YOY, while black
points are foraging locations from adults. Blue
points indicate areas used more heavily by
YOY, while yellow and red points indicate
regions used more heavily by adults. Green
areas were used equally, while white were
used by neither group. Kernel density anomaly
plots for each month (as opposed to season)
are available in Figs. S1–S10.
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3845
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
the sandy areas around the island. All age groups foraged
in shallow areas and made shallow dives in the summer
and early fall, suggesting a large degree of overlap in the
use of shallow sandy areas and therefore prey taken.
Although we have no summer diet data for subadults or
YOY, during spring, individual YOY consume a wide
range of prey species, suggesting a generalist foraging
strategy of taking any prey item they encounter and are
able to catch (Beck et al. 2007). Beck et al. (2007) also
showed that adults are usually highly specialized on one
or a small number of prey types. As a group, adult
females consume the same broad spectrum of prey items
as YOY, but they are individually specialized, so the varia-
tion is between rather than within individuals. Such spe-
cializations have been shown to lead to more efficient
foraging and arise when intraspecific competition limits
resources (Holbrook and Schmitt 1992; Tinker et al.
2008b).
The second potential cause of spatial segregation is dif-
ferential response to predation. The large number of seals
using Sable Island attract sharks, which prey on both gray
and harbor seals (Phoca vitulina) (Brodie and Beck 1983).
In winter, seals are thought to be incidentally killed by
Greenland sharks (Somniosus microcephalus), while migra-
tory sharks such as white sharks (Carcharodon carcharias)
target seals as prey in the summer (Lucas and Stobo
(A)
(B)
Figure 4. October to December kernel density
anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY (B)
and adult males versus YOY. See Fig. 3 legend
for explanation of color.
3846 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
2000). The small size of juveniles makes them more
vulnerable to shark predation, and they suffer greater
shark-induced mortality than adults. Vulnerable gray seal
YOY may forage farther from the colony to lessen preda-
tion risk, and travel through near-shore waters around
the colony quickly when moving to and from haulout.
Many species balance predation risk against potential
foraging success or efficiency (e.g., Mittelbach 1981; Lima
and Valone 1986; Sih et al. 1998), and YOY may
undertake longer trips with more transit time to avoid
sharks around the colony. Thus, differential response to
predation risk by YOY is another possible explanation of
the observed patterns given available observations.
Finally, and we believe most likely, intraspecific com-
petition with adults, females in particular, may exclude
YOY from foraging near Sable Island as well as other
key foraging areas during summer and early fall. The
population of gray seals breeding on Sable Island grew
exponentially from 1962 into the early 2000s, with an
estimated 2004 population of 159,000 animals (Trzcinski
et al. 2006). The rate of increase in pup production has
recently declined and is now following a logistic growth
curve (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011). Most of this popula-
tion feeds on the Scotian Shelf, with considerable forag-
ing effort focused near Sable Island (Trzcinski et al.
2006; Breed et al. 2011a; this study). This large increase
(A)
(B)
Figure 5. January to April kernel density
anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY and
(B) adult males versus YOY. See Fig. 3 legend
for explanation of color.
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3847
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
in population size has likely increased competition for
prey. Mark–resight data from uniquely marked females
indicate that animals born between 1998 and 2002
recruited into the reproductive population at half the
rate of animals born in the late 1980s (Fig. 8). Over
the same period, adult survival has remained high (den
Heyer et al In press). These observations, combined
with at-sea distribution of YOY compared with adults,
suggest that YOY are being outcompeted by adults and
particularly by adult females. Spatial segregation of for-
aging areas has been implicated as evidence of intraspe-
cific competitions around marine breeding colonies in
other species (e.g., Gr�emillet et al. 2004; Field et al.
2005), until this study, however, survival data have
never been available to confirm if or how the apparent
competition affects the population.
0 50 100 200 300
A
du
lt
m
al
es
0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300
0 50 100 200 300
A
du
lt
fe
m
al
es
0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300
0 50 100 200 300
S
ub
−a
du
lts
0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300
0 50 100 200 300
Max dive depths
Y
ou
ng
−o
f−
ye
ar
0 50 100 200 300
Depth (m)
0 50 100 200 300
Summer Fall Winter
Figure 6. Probability density histograms and kernel densities
(black line) of maximum depths reached during each 3-h bin
from the onboard TDR
of tags deployed in 2004 (8 adult females, 7 adult males, 24
YOY, and 6 subadults).
3848 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
To understand how intraspecific competition may be
responsible for the observed segregation patterns, we first
need to understand seasonal fish migration patterns on the
Scotian Shelf and around Sable Island. Fish migrations are
caused by seasonal changes in water temperature, oceanog-
raphy, and primary productivity (Perry and Smith 1994;
Swain et al. 1998; Comeau et al. 2002). These migrations
have been best documented in ground fish species, includ-
ing Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogram-
mus aeglefinus), silver hake (Merluccius bilinearis), and
American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) (Perry and
Smith 1994; Swain et al. 1998). None of these species are
especially prominent in gray seal diets (Beck et al. 2007),
but the seasonal pattern of fish migration is pervasive and
present in a large fraction of fish species on the Scotian Shelf
(Horsman and Shackell 2009).
The general migratory pattern is for fish to move into
warm, shallow water in the summer to forage, while win-
tering in deep basins where waters remain above zero
(Perry and Smith 1994) to avoid freezing.
In summer, waters become warm and productive,
which cause fish to move out of wintering areas and into
shallow areas such as the broad, shallow, sandy platform
surrounding Sable Island to forage. This migration brings
prey within close proximity of the main seal colony. As
they forage through the summer, fishes develop increased
lipid reserves, which peak in August or September
(Comeau et al. 2002). The net result of warm productive
Table 3. Mixed-effects analysis of three key dive parameters by
demographic groups.
Females Males Subadults YOY
Average Duration (min)
Summer 5.3 � 0.4 4.9 � 0.6 3.2*** � 0.4 2.0*** � 0.3
Fall 5.1 � 0.3 4.7 � 0.4 3.4*** � 0.3 2.1*** � 0.2
Winter 4.9 � 0.4 3.6* � 0.4 4.2 � 0.3 2.5*** � 0.2
Max Depth (m)
Summer 49.4 � 5 69.4 � 12 53.5 � 8 43.8 � 7
Fall 60.1 � 7 71.5 � 12 54.6 � 8 47.5 � 6
Winter 68.0 � 7 73.7 � 15 77.5 � 15 71.5 � 9
Max Depth bins >50 m
Summer 91.8 � 6 92.0 � 11 80.6 � 9 70.8** � 6
Fall 83.9 � 5 85.2 � 8 85.5 � 9 69.4* � 5
Winter 90.9 � 7 109.9 � 15 89.2 � 12 83.1 � 8
Differences between groups within each season were statically
com-
pared. *, **, and *** denote significant difference from adult
females
(the reference group) at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001 levels,
respectively. Models were fit with a log link, and the estimated
parameters shown here have been back-transformed by
exponentia-
tion. A version of these results where parameters are estimated
by
month instead of season is available in Table S1.
Month
P
ro
po
rt
io
n
of
ti
m
e
J J A S O N D J F M
Proportion of time hauled−out
0.
0
0.
2
0.
4
0.
6
0.
8
1.
0 Adult males
Adult females
Sub−adults
YOY
Month
P
ro
po
rt
io
n
of
ti
m
e
J J A S O N D J F M
Use of water < 10 km from shore
0.
0
0.
2
0.
4
0.
6
0.
8
1.
0
Month
P
ro
po
rt
io
n
of
ti
m
e
J J A S O N D J F M
Use of water < 20 km from shore
(A) (B)
(C) (D)
0.
0
0.
2
0.
4
0.
6
0.
8
1.
0
Month
P
ro
po
rt
io
n
of
ti
m
e
J J A S O N D J F M
Use of water < 30 km from shore
0.
0
0.
2
0.
4
0.
6
0.
8
1.
0
Figure 7. Box and whisker plots of monthly
time budgets for haulout (A) and use of water
within 10 km (B), 20 km (C), and 30 km (D) of
shore. Negative values are possible in (B–D)
because error in location observation
introduced noise. This occasionally caused
onshore, hauled out (as observed by wet/dry
switches) to be observed as offshore.
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3849
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
summer months is larger numbers of energy rich prey
close to the population center of gray seals. The accessible
prey allow animals to accumulate blubber with a relatively
modest foraging effort over the summer. Thus, the sum-
mer aggregation of prey in shallow, often nearshore, water
sets up an intraspecific competition for these easily acces-
sible resources.
In late fall and early winter, all ages of gray seals move
foraging effort far offshore, likely following the return
migrations of their prey into deeper waters along shelf
edges and into shelf basins where water remains warm.
Lipid reserves of prey also gradually become depleted
through the winter, and individual prey captures are thus
less energetically rewarding (Smigielski et al. 1984;
Robards et al. 1999; Comeau et al. 2002; Kitts et al. 2004;
Rosen and Trites 2004). So although the winter prey dis-
tribution relaxes intraspecific competition, prey are less
accessible and of lower quality so that foraging gray seals
of all ages must rely on blubber reserves accumulated
during the summer and fall to comfortably survive the
winter. If YOY are accumulating less blubber during the
summer because they are displaced from areas where prey
are most accessible and/or of high quality, they conse-
quently incur decreased winter survival. We believe this is
the action responsible for the complex patterns of space
use and survival observed in Sable Island gray seals over
the past 20 years.
Compensatory versus overcompensatory
population regulation in colonially breeding
marine animals
If intraspecific competition is affecting YOY in the way
we hypothesize with YOY physically displaced from key
summer and fall foraging areas and the lost foraging
opportunities causing increased mortality, then we may
draw some further inferences about how the population
dynamic is being affected by these interactions. Male and
female adults, as well as subadults, are experiencing nei-
ther increased mortality nor displacement. Thus, the com-
petition is producing a clear loser. As there are clear
winners and losers, winning competitors receive an ade-
quate ration while losing competitors do not, the compe-
tition should lead to compensatory density-dependent
population regulation (Nicholson 1954; May et al. 1974;
Turchin 2003). This should lead to a gradual approach to
the population’s carrying capacity, which is consistent
with census data (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011), and also gray
seal population trajectories in Scotland (SCOS 2011).
Although gray seals and some other phocid seals are cap-
ital breeders (Schulz and Bowen 2005), which provide
energy for their offspring entirely based on stored reserves,
Table 4. Time budgets for occupancy of nearshore waters
(haulout excluded) by month and demographic group.
Month
% of total time budget within 10 km of shore % of total time
budget between 10 and 30 km of shore
Adult Females Adult Males Subadults YOY Adult Females
Adult Males Subadults YOY
June 18 3 3 4 8 7 16 17
July 54 21* 55 8*** 6 6 10 16†
August 74 50 60 14*** 4 18 14 26††
September 60 48 58 8*** 10 9 17 30††
October 9 17 48†† 6‡‡ 3 19 22† 32††
November 16 1 51†† 13‡‡ 6 3 16 24††
December 25 12 26 1** 11 7 18 11
January 7 19 5 2 5 4 19 8
Adult females, which used inshore waters to a greater degree
than any other group, are the default reference group for
significance comparisons.
*, **, and *** denote significantly less time spent in a region
than adult females at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001 levels,
respectively. Simi-
larly, †, ††, and ††† denote significantly more time spent in a
region than adult females at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001
levels, respectively.
In months when subadults used inshore regions most heavily, ‡
and ‡‡ denote significantly less time in a region than subadults
at the P < 0.05
and P < 0.01 levels, respectively. Variances in these average
time budgets are visualized in Fig. 7.
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Age
C
um
m
ul
at
iv
e
re
cr
ui
tm
en
t (
%
)
1985−89 year classes
1998−02 year classes
Figure 8. Recruitment to the breeding population by females
branded from 1985 to 1989 (red and orange shades) and 1998 to
2002 (blue shades). Data from den Heyer et al. (In press).
3850 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
most colony-breeding marine animals are income breeders
(e.g., penguins, sea lions, fur seals, alcid and procellariiform
sea birds). Income breeding species acquire resources to
provision–dependent young by making repeated foraging
trips during the provisioning period. During this period of
offspring dependence, parents are central-place foragers
and restricted to foraging nearby so they may regularly pro-
vision young. They must also meet their own energetic
needs, which, if resource patches are distant, can dominate
the resources acquired during foraging trips leaving few
resources for dependent young (e.g., Arnould et al. 1996;
Boyd 1999). These limitations should lead to scramble
competition among adults foraging to provision young in
areas around colonies. Theoretically, in a scramble compe-
tition, once a resource becomes limiting the population
reaches a break point, and no individuals are able to
acquire sufficient resources (Nicholson 1954; Turchin
2003). This leads to sudden, large increases in mortality.
Such mass reproductive failures are often observed in
income breeding otariids and seabirds (Trillmich and Lim-
berger 1985; Trites and Donnelly 2003; Wanless et al.
2005). However, truly catastrophic overcompensatory col-
lapses rarely occur. Females may abandon offspring when
they cannot collect enough resources. At abandonment,
females move away from the colonies to lessen competi-
tion. This relaxes the intraspecific competition around the
colony and greatly dampens the overcompensatory effect
(Satterthwaite and Mangel 2012). Still, year-to-year off-
spring survival at colonies of fur seals and sea lions is much
more volatile than observed in Sable Island gray seals.
The functional response of density dependence in this
gray seal population is compensatory due, at least in part,
to a capital-breeding life history affecting the nature of
intraspecific competition near K. In addition to increased
mortality of juveniles as the population approaches K, we
expect a gradual lowering of fecundity in adult females,
gradual decrease in adult survival, and a smooth approach
to carrying capacity. The colony of gray seals breeding at
Sable Island is ecologically and behaviorally similar to fur
seal and sea lion colonies elsewhere, but the life-history
difference (capital vs. income breeding) induces a differ-
ent functional response to density dependence, which in
turn causes population stability and resilience to year-to-
year changes in prey availability. Such a stable population
of predators would be expected to induce ecosystem sta-
bility (Heithaus et al. 2008) and require a different man-
agement plan compared with other colony-breeding
marine animals.
Acknowledgments
This work would not have been possible without contri-
butions from a number of people. Most importantly, we
thank Ransom Myers for generous intellectual and finan-
cial support. We also thank Ian D. Jonsen and Wade
Blanchard for help with statistical analysis and modeling.
Mark Lewis, Ian Jonsen, Roland Langrock, and Martin
Biuw also provided helpful and constructive comments to
earlier drafts of this work. Sara Iverson, Shelly Lang, Da-
mian Lidgard, and Jim McMillian provided help in the
field. This work was supported by the Future of Marine
Animal Populations program, Fisheries and Oceans Can-
ada, Dalhousie University, and NSERC grants awarded to
Marty Leonard and W. Don Bowen. This research was
conducted under the authorization of the Canadian Min-
istry of Fisheries protocol nos. 04-13, 02-91, 00-051, and
98-078.
Conflict of Interest
None declared.
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John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Noren, S. R., S. J. Iverson, and D. J. Boness. 2005.
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Supporting Information
Additional Supporting Information may be found in the
online version of this article:
Data S1.Complete Matlab code, instructions, and sample
data to run the kernel overlap randomization analysis.
Figure S1. Kernel density anomaly plot for June. Cold
colors and white points represent YOY; warm colors and
black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY,
Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S2. Kernel density anomaly plot for July. Cold col-
ours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and
black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY,
Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S3. Kernel density anomaly plot for August. Cold
colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours
and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus
YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S4. Kernel density anomaly plot for September.
Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col-
ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver-
sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S5. Kernel density anomaly plot for October. Cold
colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours
and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus
YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S6. Kernel density anomaly plot for November.
Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col-
ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John
Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3853
G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals
ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver-
sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S7. Kernel density anomaly plot for December.
Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col-
ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver-
sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S8. Kernel density anomaly plot for January. Cold
colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours
and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus
YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S9. Kernel density anomaly plot for February.
Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col-
ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver-
sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Figure S10. Kernel density anomaly plot forMarch. Cold
colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours
and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus
YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
Table S1. Max dive depth, Max dive depth of bins with
group by month (versus. season as in the main text).
3854 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al.
Please answer the following four questions, each with an essay
of 3-4 paragraphs. I expect you to provide a well-organized and
convincing narrative, including proper sentence structure,
grammar, and punctuation. Repeating the question as part of
your answer is unlikely to improve the quality of your response.
I will also not look favorably on bulleted lists, sentence
fragments, or other short-hand devices more suitable to an
outline than a short essay.
1. We recently watched a video in which Lawrence Lessig
made an impassioned plea for expansion of fair use of
copyrighted material. Briefly describe the concept of fair use
and the limitations that have been placed on it, especially due to
the explosion of user-generated content on YouTube. Please
comment on the tension between the rights of artists to maintain
exclusive use of their creations versus the potential benefits
from transformative reuse.
2. Illegal trade in endangered animals and animal parts has
brought a number of species to the brink of extinction. Outline
the features that make certain types of animals more likely to be
endangered, and comment on the potential for private ownership
and husbandry to alleviate or eliminate this concern. Include as
a part of your response the extra difficulties presented by the
extremely high value of some of these animal parts, and
potential responses discussed by Allen in his paper on the
Rhino’s horn.
3. During the February 27th class, Dr. Jeffrey Barrows gave a
forceful presentation about human trafficking in the United
States. It was especially disturbing to hear that girls as young
as twelve are enticed into sex trafficking, that many adult
prostitutes started into the business in their early teens, and that
most prostitutes are also addicted to drugs. Describe how this
information would impact an economic analysis of the sex trade,
especially one that might view prostitution as a market with
suppliers and customers engaging in voluntary exchange of
services.
4. The illegal trade in human organs brings together
economics and ethical concerns in a number of troubling ways.
Describe how the current organ donation system in the United
States leads almost inevitably to an illegal market for organs.
Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of a well regulated
organ sale market in the US, one that likely would involve a
high degree of regulation and control by the federal
government.

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Behavioral Signatures of Intraspecific Competition in Colony-Breeding Marine Predators

  • 1. Behavioral signature of intraspecific competition and density dependence in colony-breeding marine predators Greg A. Breed1, W. Don Bowen2 & Marty L. Leonard1 1Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, 1355 Oxford Street, Halifax, Nova Scotia, B3H 4J1, Canada 2Bedford Institute of Oceanography, 1 Challenger Drive, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, B2Y 4A2, Canada Keywords Animal movement, compensatory population regulation, correlated random walk, foraging ecology, juvenile mortality, marine mammal, seal, switching state-space model. Correspondence Greg A. Breed, Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada. Tel: 780-492-7942; E-mail: [email protected] Funding information This work was supported by the Future of
  • 2. Marine Animal Populations program, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Dalhousie University, and NSERC grants awarded to Marty Leonard and W. Don Bowen. This research was conducted under the authorization of the Canadian Ministry of Fisheries protocol nos. 04-13, 02-91, 00-051, and 98-078. Received: 24 May 2013; Revised: 26 July 2013; Accepted: 12 August 2013 Ecology and Evolution 2013; 3(11): 3838– 3854 doi: 10.1002/ece3.754 Abstract In populations of colony-breeding marine animals, foraging around colonies can lead to intraspecific competition. This competition affects individual forag- ing behavior and can cause density-dependent population growth. Where behavioral data are available, it may be possible to infer the
  • 3. mechanism of intraspecific competition. If these mechanics are understood, they can be used to predict the population-level functional response resulting from the competi- tion. Using satellite relocation and dive data, we studied the use of space and foraging behavior of juvenile and adult gray seals (Halichoerus grypus) from a large (over 200,000) and growing population breeding at Sable Island, Nova Scotia (44.0 oN 60.0 oW). These data were first analyzed using a behaviorally switching state-space model to infer foraging areas followed by randomization analysis of foraging region overlap of competing age classes. Patterns of habitat use and behavioral time budgets indicate that young-of-year juveniles (YOY) were likely displaced from foraging areas near (<10 km) the breeding colony by adult females. This displacement was most pronounced in the summer. Addi- tionally, our data suggest that YOY are less capable divers than adults and this
  • 4. limits the habitat available to them. However, other segregating mechanisms cannot be ruled out, and we discuss several alternate hypotheses. Mark–resight data indicate juveniles born between 1998 and 2002 have much reduced survi- vorship compared with cohorts born in the late 1980s, while adult survivorship has remained steady. Combined with behavioral observations, our data suggest YOY are losing an intraspecific competition between adults and juveniles, resulting in the currently observed decelerating logistic population growth. Competition theory predicts that intraspecific competition resulting in a clear losing competitor should cause compensatory population regulation. This func- tional response produces a smooth logistic growth curve as carrying capacity is approached, and is consistent with census data collected from this population over the past 50 years. The competitive mechanism causing compensatory regu-
  • 5. lation likely stems from the capital-breeding life-history strategy employed by gray seals. This strategy decouples reproductive success from resources available around breeding colonies and prevents females from competing with each other while young are dependent. Introduction Intraspecific competition is a primary mechanism of den- sity-dependent population regulation (Nicholson 1954; May et al. 1974; Furness and Birkhead 1984). The type of intraspecific competition (e.g., scramble, contest, interfer- ence) and the limiting resource, however, can have major effects on the functional response of a population as it approaches carrying capacity (K) (May et al. 1974). Com- petition is often for food resources, but it can also be for space, breeding sites, territories, or other vital resources. Although intraspecific competition is the most common cause of density dependence, conclusive demonstration of such competition usually requires removal of individuals
  • 6. 3838 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. to relax competition for suspected limiting resources. Where such manipulations cause competing population segments to move into a previously occupied niche, expe- rience increased survival, show better condition, or have increased fecundity, intraspecific competition is occurring (Dayton 1971; Paine 1984). Such manipulations are often impractical in free-living populations, and intraspecific competition usually must be inferred circumstantially (Hansen et al. 1999). Such inferences are often based on overlap or segregation in diets or space (e.g., Tinker et al. 2008a). Although the later may represent niche partition- ing, differential response to predation risk, or other non- competitive segregating mechanism, population growth
  • 7. accompanied with decreased performance or survival in one of the suspected competing groups more strongly suggests intraspecific competition. Because of the difficulty of studying wild populations, much of our understanding of intraspecific competition and density-dependent population dynamics relies upon laboratory mesocosm experiments and population modeling (e.g., Bellows 1981). Using these approaches, Maynard-Smith and Slatkin (1973) and Bellows (1981) predicted that different kinds of intraspecific competition should give rise to different density-dependent functional responses as a population approaches K. Scramble compe- tition, where all competitors are equally able to acquire a limiting resource, should cause overcompensatory regula- tion, with the potential for major population-level mortality or reproductive failures near K. When resources become limiting, the equal competitors all receive an inadequate ration and theoretically all starve. The number
  • 8. of starving animals can be far larger than the degree to which a population exceeds K. Competition that results in one competitor or compet- ing group being better able to acquire or defend a limiting resource (e.g., contest competition) should cause compen- satory regulation. In this case, when resources become limiting, better competitors receive an adequate ration, and poorer competitors starve. The number which starve is thus directly proportional to the degree a population exceeds K. Compensatory regulation should result in a gradual decrease in population-level reproductive success and a gentle approach to K. Where enough behavior and population data are available, it should be possible to infer the type of intraspecific competition and predict the func- tional form of regulation experienced by a population. Many marine birds, mammals, and reptiles breed at colo- nies, and intraspecific competition can be keen and develop rapidly or unexpectedly when resources around colonies
  • 9. fluctuate (Furness and Birkhead 1984; Schreiber and Schrei- ber 1984; Trillmich and Limberger 1985; Wanless et al. 2005). At the same time, colony-breeding marine species are often top predators and may also be of conservation concern. Understanding the population dynamics of such species can be extremely important for population conser- vation as well as overall ecosystem management. Here, we examine evidence for intraspecific competi- tion and its behavioral signature in animal movement patterns from a growing population of gray seals (Halic- hoerus grypus) in the Northwest Atlantic (Plate 1). This population breeds as a colony on Sable Island, Nova Sco- tia, and was historically suppressed by hunting and boun- ties at coastal haulouts and nearshore waters of eastern Canada. In the early 1960s, gray seals were considered rare, and the Sable Island population produced only a few hundred offspring annually. The population grew exponentially from 1962 until the early 2000s (Bowen
  • 10. et al. 2003), but more recently appears to have entered the deceleration phase of density-dependent logistic growth (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011). The dramatic growth of gray seals has been accompa- nied by major changes in the structure and functioning of the Scotian Shelf ecosystem (Frank et al. 2005, 2011). There is also concern that gray seal predation on com- mercially important or rare fishes may cause serious harm to these stocks (e.g., Trzcinski et al. 2006; Benôıt et al. 2011). Understanding the mechanism of density depen- dence will help predict future population trends, gray seal predation rates on fishes, gray seal impacts on the struc- ture and stability of the Scotian Shelf ecosystem, and the results of potential management actions. More broadly, such information may help predict which types of behav- iors and intraspecific interactions should be expected around marine animal colonies and how populations might respond to those interactions.
  • 11. Our analysis focuses on differences in distribution and habitat usage among age and sex classes to gain insight into the forces influencing movement decisions and for- aging behavior. To understand the context and cause of Plate 1. Gray seals in the surf at Sable Island, Nova Scotia. ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3839 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals the differences, we synthesize our results within a larger body of data that includes changes in survival of juve- niles, diet breadth, physiological limitations of juveniles, and prey distribution and quality. Taken together, the evidence supports a number of potential segregating mechanisms. We present the case for several alternative hypotheses, including differential habi- tat preference, niche partitioning, and differential response to shark predation. Although our results do not
  • 12. conclusively exclude these noncompetitive segregating mechanisms, the pattern of habitat segregation is most consistent with intraspecific competition and we contend this competition is resulting in the currently observed density-dependent population growth. Finally, we discuss the potential impact of the hypothesized intraspecific competition on this population and predict the functional response of density-dependent regulation should be com- pensatory and not overcompensatory and compare this prediction to the observed population dynamic. Methods Data collection In late May and early June 2004, twenty-four (12 male, 12 female) young-of-year (YOY), 15 adults (7 male, 8 female), and 6 subadults (2–3 years old; 4 male, 2 female) gray seals were captured on Sable Island, Nova Scotia (44.0°N 60.0°W). Seals were captured with handheld nets, anaesthetized with Telazol, and Argos satellite transmitters (Sea Mammal Research Unit model SRDL 7000) were
  • 13. attached with 5-minute epoxy as described in Breed et al. (2011a). The adults became part of a larger data set that included a total of 81 adults tagged between 1995 and 2005 (Breed et al. 2006), allowing for comparison of adult, subadult, and YOY at-sea movement. Movement and spatial behavior Argos tracking data were analyzed with a behaviorally dis- criminating state-space model (SSM), which statistically reduces the influence of Argos location error, estimates locations at regular time-intervals, and infers behavioral states. We chose a time-step of 8 h or three points per day as this was approximately the observation frequency of our lowest quality tracks (see Breed et al. 2009, 2011b for more information on time-step selection and the effect of data quality on inference and model perfor- mance). The model explicitly estimated behavioral state by switching between two sets of parameters describing a correlated random walk (CRW). Displacements better fit
  • 14. by parameters of high first-order autocorrelation and turn angles near 0° were nominally termed “transiting,” while displacements that were better fit by parameters of low autocorrelation and turn angles near 180° were nominally termed “foraging.” Movements inferred as “foraging” cause animals to remain in a small area of ocean or are part of an area-restricted search. Such movement patterns are well documented to be associated with increased prey capture rates (Austin et al. 2006; Dragon et al. 2012). Transiting states were associated with rapid directional movement. We used a two-state model for simplicity. Fitting two states can be performed relatively simply with fairly course spatial data and identifying two behavioral classes extracts considerable behaviorally relevant information. Inferring three or more states is less straightforward and usually requires higher quality behavioral data and often strong Bayesian priors (Breed et al. 2012; McClintock
  • 15. et al. 2012). Without such high-quality data (e.g., high spatiotemporal resolution GPS or triaxial accelerometry data), inferring three or more states usually encounters significant identifiably issues. The model was fit to demo- graphically homogenous groups of up to 15 tracks so that short tracks could borrow power from longer tracks to infer behavioral states (see Breed et al. 2009 for details). The movement parameters themselves were similar across all groups, and this approach is validated in an analysis in the appendix of Breed et al. (2009), which shows that tracks fit individually had similar estimates of movement parameters and inferred behavioral states as those fit in groups. The SSM was implemented using the freely avail- able software packages R and WinBUGS (Spiegelhalter et al. 2007; R Development Core Team 2012). Working code and implementation details of this behavior-switch- ing SSM can be found in Breed et al. (2009, 2011b). Dive and time budget data
  • 16. The 45 Argos tags deployed in 2004 collected diving data, but Argos bandwidth limited the data available to 3-h binned summaries of dive characteristics. Numerous dive characteristics were available, but we chose three key vari- ables: maximum dive depth, mean dive duration, and haulout (i.e., time spent on land as indicated by wet/dry switches), which are most strongly limited by physiologi- cal immaturity. Dive data were used to investigate age- related differences in diving ability. Haulout data were compared to SSM foraging locations that occurred within 10, 20, and 30 km of shore as well as those beyond 30 km to produce time budgets of time spent foraging in areas of varying accessibility relative to haulout sites. These budgets were used to investigate displacement of juveniles from the most accessible foraging regions to more distant areas by adults and to validate the kernel overlap analysis, which we describe shortly. Time budgets 3840 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by
  • 17. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. and binned dive summary characteristics of demographic groups were statistically compared using mixed-effects models with either a log or logit link in the nlme package of R (R Development Core Team 2012). Spatial distribution and habitat use Clumps of inferred foraging locations from YOY, adult males, and adult females, appear to occur in different areas on the Scotian Shelf. To test if these apparent differ- ences were caused by chance or were real, we employed the kernel density overlap analysis described in Breed et al. (2006). In this analysis, we overlay the kernel densi- ties of different groups and measure their areal overlap. To test if this overlap is larger or smaller than might be expected by chance, we compare the size of the overlap to the overlap of kernels calculated from two null groups.
  • 18. These null groups are produced by randomly assigning tracks to each of two groups to be compared instead of grouping them according to their age by sex demographic class. If the real overlap is smaller than a large set (95%) of randomly produced null overlaps, the lack of overlap is significant and biologically relevant. The method was modified to include the behavioral state information available in switching SSM results. As our goal was to test for differences in foraging areas, kernels were constructed using only at-sea SSM inferred foraging loca- tions, excluding transit locations and all locations within 2 km of shore. The size of the grid (100 by 100 nodes, with 10.75 km between nodes), the fixed kernel smoothing, and width parameters, as well as the choice of 98.5% density contour used to calculate the range overlaps, were the same as those used in Breed et al. (2006). Kernels were computed for YOY, adult males, and adult females for each month from June to January.
  • 19. There were too few data to include subadults and too few data from YOY to compare with adults from February to May (Table 1). Areal overlap of the 98.5% density con- tour was calculated first for male versus female YOY to test for evidence of sexual segregation within this age group, then for adult males versus YOY and again for adult females versus YOY. Adult males versus adult females were not tested because the results of a similar analysis can be found in Breed et al. (2006). A randomization analysis was used to test the null hypothesis that kernel overlap in a given monthly pair- wise comparison was no larger than expected by chance given the sample available. To create a null test statistic, tracks were randomly assigned to two groups after the real overlap had been calculated for that month. Tracks were randomly shuffled by individual seal (as opposed to individual point) so that the appropriate sample sizes and individual random effect were imposed. The two groups
  • 20. were composed of the same number of tracks as the real observations (Pesarin 2001). Kernel densities were calcu- lated for each of the two random groups, and the size of the overlap of their respective 98.5% density contours used as the null test statistic (Fig. 1). The random assign- ments were permuted 1000 times without replacement. P- values were determined by the proportion of random overlaps that were smaller than the observed overlap, so that if the observed real overlap was smaller than all 1000 randomly generated overlaps, then P ≤ 0.001. For most months tested, 1–3 tracks terminated due to tag failure during the month and thus contributed an incomplete sample of points. Similarly, because we used only the inferred foraging locations and individual ani- mals had differing ratios of foraging to transiting, each animal contributed a different number of points to the monthly kernels. We did not up- or down-weight these samples based on the differing contributions of each ani- mal. The randomization analysis employed is fundamen-
  • 21. tally robust to such data imbalances (Pesarin 2001). Although short tracks may skew or bias individual kernel densities constructed with them, the variously sized tracks were randomly assigned to each of the two possible null kernels to create the 1000 null overlaps. If 95% of the null overlaps are still larger than the true overlap, any skew or bias introduced by the unevenness in track sample is unli- kely to account for this difference, as the null overlaps were also created using the imbalanced data. Increasingly imbalanced data will not skew or bias results, but instead gradually lower the power of the analysis as the sample becomes more imbalanced. In the case of this analysis, when data become increasingly imbalanced, the overlap of the null kernels shrinks. When the imbalance is too high, the true overlap size ranks above the a = 0.05 level Table 1. Sample sizes for the kernel density randomization analysis. Month
  • 22. Number of Tracks Number of Locations Males Females YOY Males Females YOY Jun 14 14 24 364 509 1088 Jul 14 15 23 594 627 1017 Aug 14 15 23 473 515 960 Sep 26 25 19 622 653 843 Oct 32 31 17 1158 1363 895 Nov 31 31 17 1367 1989 862 Dec 25 28 14 1027 1480 561 Jan 18 24 13 186 496 475 Total 43 38 24 7022 9538 7239 “Number of Tracks” is the number of animals with locations in a given month. Animals whose tracks spanned more than one month were counted in the sample of each month the track spanned. “Num- ber of Locations” is the number of at-sea SSM inferred foraging loca- tions recorded in a given month; inferred transiting, haulout, and
  • 23. locations within 2 km of shore were excluded. ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3841 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals when compared to the null overlaps. So, even if there is segregation of habitat use, it is not detected because the imbalanced data do not provide sufficient statistical power. To visualize differences in foraging areas as calculated from kernel densities, we took advantage of the normal- ized property of kernels. After normalizing, the volume under a 3-d kernel density surface equals one regardless of how many points were used to construct it. Given this, subtracting a kernel from itself will produce a perfectly flat surface equal to zero everywhere. Subtracting different kernels from each other will produce a surface with positive and negative regions which will vary depending
  • 24. upon how habitat usage differed between the groups. In the case of kernel A minus kernel B, positive regions will indicate where habitat use was high for the population of animals used to construct kernel A and low for the population represented by kernel B; negative regions would indicate the opposite. Regions near zero indicate where habitat use was similar in both A and B. The result- ing 3-d surface can then be contoured to highlight habitats that were used differentially between two groups of ani- mals. We term this surface the “kernel density anomaly.” Because journal space is limited, we did not visualize 46ºN (A) (B) 45ºN 44ºN 43ºN 46ºN
  • 25. 45ºN 44ºN 43ºN Random overlap 63ºW 62ºW 61ºW 60ºW 59ºW 58ºW 57ºW 63ºW 62ºW 61ºW 60ºW 59ºW 58ºW 57ºW True overlap Figure 1. Example of one permutation of random overlap versus true overlap of kernel densities, in this case comparing adult females (black) to YOY (blue) in July. Red contour indicates the overlap of the 98.5% density area between the two kernels. Panel (A) shows the true overlap of the two groups, while (B) shows the overlap when tracks are assigned to each group randomly. Overlap of 1000 permutations of group assignment was compared to true overlap to assess if true
  • 26. overlap was smaller than would be produced by chance given the sample available. 3842 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. kernel density anomalies for every month, but instead cal- culated and plotted anomalies by season: summer (July– September), autumn (October–December), and winter (January–April); monthly kernel density anomaly plots are, however, provided in Figs. S1–S10. The kernel density overlap analysis and the kernel density anomaly figures were produced using custom scripts in MATLAB Version 7.13 (MATLAB 2011) and visualized using the M Map mapping toolbox (Pawlowicz 2011). Working MATLAB code for the kernel overlap analysis, as well as sample data from August, is included as electronic supplement. Results Spatial distribution and habitat use SSM model diagnostics (MCMC convergence, Rhat val- ues, etc.) suggest good model performance and reasonable
  • 27. behavioral inference for all tracks reported here (SSM diagnostics are reported in the appendices of Breed et al. 2009, 2011a). Older tracks with large data gaps (multiple gaps >2 days, and/or high spatial error) did not perform as well and were subsequently removed from the analysis (see Breed et al. 2011b for a careful analysis of the effect of data quality on location estimation and behavioral inference). The proportion of at-sea behaviors inferred as foraging, transiting, or uncertain varied dynamically through the year and by demographic group and was also subject to variation between individuals; these results are explored in depth in Breed et al. (2009, 2011a). An exam- ple SSM fit to an Argos track of a juvenile gray seal is shown in Fig. 2. Results of the randomization tests revealed no signifi- cant differences between the monthly utilization distribu- tions of male and female YOY (Table 2). Therefore, the sexes were combined into a single sample of YOY for
  • 28. comparison with adults. Comparisons of YOY with adults indicate significant segregation of space use (Table 2). Although their distri- butions differed only marginally in June, areas used by YOY and adult females overlapped significantly less than expected during July, August, October, November, and January. Segregation was most pronounced in the sum- mer and fall, when YOY used areas off the tips of Sable Island, Banqreau, and Western Bank, while adult females occupied areas immediately adjacent to Sable Island and the tops of the nearby Middle and Canso Banks (Figs. 3A, 4A, 5A). Spatial overlap between YOY and adult males was less than expected during June and also from November to January (Table 2). Adult males also occu- pied areas adjacent to Sable in summer, but not as much as adult females, and used areas near the continental shelf break more than YOY (Figs. 3B, 4B, 5B). The winter pattern of habitat use differed markedly
  • 29. from that during summer and fall. YOY did not use regions near Sable Island and instead foraged over off- shore banks scattered across the northern half of the Sco- tian Shelf (Fig. 5A,B). For all groups, winter foraging locations tended to be farther from Sable Island and became more diffuse—animals both spread out as they move away from Sable and also forage in less discrete patches than other seasons. Dive depths and time budgets On average, adults made deeper dives than YOY, but owing to a large number of shallow dives made by all demographic classes, the means of the entire dive-depth distribution were not significantly different (Fig. 6, Table 3). However, when examining only the tails of the dive-depth distributions (dives >150 m), adults clearly make many more deep dives than YOY. When mixed- effects models for dive bouts are adjusted to only examine bins with dives deeper than 50 m, these differences become statistically detectable and are strongly significant
  • 30. in summer and fall (Table 3). The differences disappear in winter either because YOY dive performance has improved with age (Noren et al. 2005; Bennett et al. 2010), a strong ecological driver intercedes, or both. Additionally, YOY average dive durations were half that of adults year-round, a strongly significant difference (Table 3). Overall, YOY made significantly shorter and shallower dives than adults. Subadult dive-depth profiles and mean dive durations were intermediate between YOY and adults (Table 3, Table S1). Haulout and nearshore time budgets also differed among adults, subadults, and YOY. Through the summer and early fall, adults consistently spent about 20% of their time hauled out (Fig. 7A). Haulout increased in Decem- ber at the start of the breeding season, peaked in January, then decreased but remained elevated over the winter as compared to summer. YOY and subadults displayed less dramatic seasonal fluctuations than adults, spending 20– 30% of their time hauled out in summer and early fall,
  • 31. 10–15% in late fall, and 5–10% in January and February (Fig. 7A). Comparison of at-sea time budgets provided an esti- mate of time animals spent in shallow, coastal habitat versus offshore habitat. Adults, especially adult females, spent 50–80% of their time within 10 km of shore during summer (Tab. 4, Fig. 7B–D). Adults abruptly ended coastal habitat use in October, and from October to April approached shore only to haulout. Subadults also heavily used inshore habitats and spent more than 50% of their time at sea within 10 km of shore from July to December, moving away from shorelines in January. Unlike adults or ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3843 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals subadults, YOY spent little or no time foraging near shore at any time of year (Table 4, Fig. 7B–D), a strongly sig- nificant difference compared with adult time budgets. Finally, during the summer, YOY spent significantly more
  • 32. time in the band between 10 and 30 km of shore than adults (Table 4). This corroborates the kernel overlap analysis and suggests YOY either do not prefer or are displaced from waters within 10 km of shore to habitats between 10 and 30 km from shore. Discussion Our data clearly demonstrate a number of key behavioral differences between YOY and adult gray seals in diving behavior and habitat use. We show that YOY make shallower, shorter dives compared with adults. The shorter dives limit the benthic habitats available to YOY. We further show that foraging habitats are spatially segre- gated, with YOY either preferring benthic habitats farther from haulout sites or that YOY are excluded from the most accessible foraging areas near haulout sites by older animals, particularly in the summer. The spatial segregation of foraging areas could arise from both competitive and noncompetitive ecological
  • 33. mechanisms. However, the perceived potential for the Sable Island gray seal population to negatively impact commercial fish stocks (Benôıt et al. 2011) has led to the funding of ecological and demographic investiga- tions of unusual intensity and duration resulting in excellent data on age-specific survival, diet, reproductive 69ºW 66ºW 63ºW 60ºW 44ºN 46ºN 48ºN 50ºN Figure 2. Example behavior-switching SSM model fit to a two-year-old subadult gray seal tracked by the Argos satellite network. This animal was outfitted with an Argos PTT tag manufactured by the Sea Mammal Research Unit in June 2004 and was tracked until May 2005.
  • 34. Table 2. Kernel density overlap randomization results of three demographic comparisons. Month YOY sexual segregation YOY versus Adult Females YOY versus Adult Males % Overlap Random P % Overlap Random P % Overlap Random P Jun 34.5 33.6 � 0.3 0.21 33.1 34.5 � 0.4 0.052 26.4 32.3 � 0.4 0.050 Jul 38.4 41.5 � 0.3 0.24 17.6 34.1 � 0.3 0.001 33.3 36.5 � 0.3 0.798 Aug 36.0 35.7 � 0.4 0.06 16.0 35.7 � 0.3 0.024 23.0 34.7 � 0.3 0.690 Sep 24.8 30.5 � 0.4 0.08 26.9 32.4 � 0.3 0.124 21.6 34.8 � 0.4 0.133 Oct 40.3 35.0 � 0.4 0.38 32.7 44.6 � 0.4 0.003 26.7 38.5 � 0.3 0.319 Nov 31.4 31.5 � 0.4 0.26 34.1 47.9 � 0.4 0.048 15.4 37.4 � 0.3 0.006 Dec 36.8 36.2 � 0.4 0.44 32.1 33.5 � 0.3 0.223 30.0 36.1 � 0.4 0.047 Jan 11.9 17.8 � 0.3 0.17 5.1 31.8 � 0.4 <0.001 9.7 33.0 � 0.3 <0.001 Overlaps were divided by the area of the larger home range (bounded by the 98.5% contour) to create a normalized percentage. Bold values indicate statistically significant habitat segregation. 3844 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
  • 35. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. investment, and lifetime reproductive success to comple- ment our findings on space use and movement (e.g., Austin et al. 2004; Iverson et al. 2004; Bowen et al. 2007; Lang et al. 2009; den Heyer et al. In press). We synthesize our new results within this larger body of data. Using these data, we discuss a number of poten- tial segregating mechanisms. Although our data cannot conclusively demonstrate intraspecific competition as the segregating mechanism, we argue this hypothesis is best supported given the data available. Finally, we speculate that this competition is resulting in, or at least consis- tent with, compensatory density-dependent population regulation. Case for intraspecific competition Exclusion of YOY from areas near Sable Island Kernel anomalies, time budgets, and the randomization
  • 36. analysis indicate YOY avoid nearshore habitats to forage at more distant foraging patches from foraging areas near Sable Island. There are three likely reasons for this. First, adults and YOY might feed on different prey and these prey are located in different areas around Sable Island. Other observations suggest that this is unlikely. Although YOY foraged farther from Sable, they used shal- low banks to the east, west, and north that are similar to (A) (B) Figure 3. July to September kernel density anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY and (B) adult males versus YOY. White points are SSM foraging locations of YOY, while black points are foraging locations from adults. Blue points indicate areas used more heavily by YOY, while yellow and red points indicate regions used more heavily by adults. Green
  • 37. areas were used equally, while white were used by neither group. Kernel density anomaly plots for each month (as opposed to season) are available in Figs. S1–S10. ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3845 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals the sandy areas around the island. All age groups foraged in shallow areas and made shallow dives in the summer and early fall, suggesting a large degree of overlap in the use of shallow sandy areas and therefore prey taken. Although we have no summer diet data for subadults or YOY, during spring, individual YOY consume a wide range of prey species, suggesting a generalist foraging strategy of taking any prey item they encounter and are able to catch (Beck et al. 2007). Beck et al. (2007) also showed that adults are usually highly specialized on one
  • 38. or a small number of prey types. As a group, adult females consume the same broad spectrum of prey items as YOY, but they are individually specialized, so the varia- tion is between rather than within individuals. Such spe- cializations have been shown to lead to more efficient foraging and arise when intraspecific competition limits resources (Holbrook and Schmitt 1992; Tinker et al. 2008b). The second potential cause of spatial segregation is dif- ferential response to predation. The large number of seals using Sable Island attract sharks, which prey on both gray and harbor seals (Phoca vitulina) (Brodie and Beck 1983). In winter, seals are thought to be incidentally killed by Greenland sharks (Somniosus microcephalus), while migra- tory sharks such as white sharks (Carcharodon carcharias) target seals as prey in the summer (Lucas and Stobo (A) (B) Figure 4. October to December kernel density
  • 39. anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY (B) and adult males versus YOY. See Fig. 3 legend for explanation of color. 3846 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. 2000). The small size of juveniles makes them more vulnerable to shark predation, and they suffer greater shark-induced mortality than adults. Vulnerable gray seal YOY may forage farther from the colony to lessen preda- tion risk, and travel through near-shore waters around the colony quickly when moving to and from haulout. Many species balance predation risk against potential foraging success or efficiency (e.g., Mittelbach 1981; Lima and Valone 1986; Sih et al. 1998), and YOY may undertake longer trips with more transit time to avoid sharks around the colony. Thus, differential response to
  • 40. predation risk by YOY is another possible explanation of the observed patterns given available observations. Finally, and we believe most likely, intraspecific com- petition with adults, females in particular, may exclude YOY from foraging near Sable Island as well as other key foraging areas during summer and early fall. The population of gray seals breeding on Sable Island grew exponentially from 1962 into the early 2000s, with an estimated 2004 population of 159,000 animals (Trzcinski et al. 2006). The rate of increase in pup production has recently declined and is now following a logistic growth curve (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011). Most of this popula- tion feeds on the Scotian Shelf, with considerable forag- ing effort focused near Sable Island (Trzcinski et al. 2006; Breed et al. 2011a; this study). This large increase (A) (B) Figure 5. January to April kernel density anomaly for (A) adult females versus YOY and
  • 41. (B) adult males versus YOY. See Fig. 3 legend for explanation of color. ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3847 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals in population size has likely increased competition for prey. Mark–resight data from uniquely marked females indicate that animals born between 1998 and 2002 recruited into the reproductive population at half the rate of animals born in the late 1980s (Fig. 8). Over the same period, adult survival has remained high (den Heyer et al In press). These observations, combined with at-sea distribution of YOY compared with adults, suggest that YOY are being outcompeted by adults and particularly by adult females. Spatial segregation of for- aging areas has been implicated as evidence of intraspe- cific competitions around marine breeding colonies in other species (e.g., Gr�emillet et al. 2004; Field et al.
  • 42. 2005), until this study, however, survival data have never been available to confirm if or how the apparent competition affects the population. 0 50 100 200 300 A du lt m al es 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300 A du lt fe m al es 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300
  • 43. S ub −a du lts 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300 0 50 100 200 300 Max dive depths Y ou ng −o f− ye ar 0 50 100 200 300 Depth (m) 0 50 100 200 300 Summer Fall Winter Figure 6. Probability density histograms and kernel densities (black line) of maximum depths reached during each 3-h bin from the onboard TDR
  • 44. of tags deployed in 2004 (8 adult females, 7 adult males, 24 YOY, and 6 subadults). 3848 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. To understand how intraspecific competition may be responsible for the observed segregation patterns, we first need to understand seasonal fish migration patterns on the Scotian Shelf and around Sable Island. Fish migrations are caused by seasonal changes in water temperature, oceanog- raphy, and primary productivity (Perry and Smith 1994; Swain et al. 1998; Comeau et al. 2002). These migrations have been best documented in ground fish species, includ- ing Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogram- mus aeglefinus), silver hake (Merluccius bilinearis), and American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) (Perry and Smith 1994; Swain et al. 1998). None of these species are especially prominent in gray seal diets (Beck et al. 2007),
  • 45. but the seasonal pattern of fish migration is pervasive and present in a large fraction of fish species on the Scotian Shelf (Horsman and Shackell 2009). The general migratory pattern is for fish to move into warm, shallow water in the summer to forage, while win- tering in deep basins where waters remain above zero (Perry and Smith 1994) to avoid freezing. In summer, waters become warm and productive, which cause fish to move out of wintering areas and into shallow areas such as the broad, shallow, sandy platform surrounding Sable Island to forage. This migration brings prey within close proximity of the main seal colony. As they forage through the summer, fishes develop increased lipid reserves, which peak in August or September (Comeau et al. 2002). The net result of warm productive Table 3. Mixed-effects analysis of three key dive parameters by demographic groups. Females Males Subadults YOY
  • 46. Average Duration (min) Summer 5.3 � 0.4 4.9 � 0.6 3.2*** � 0.4 2.0*** � 0.3 Fall 5.1 � 0.3 4.7 � 0.4 3.4*** � 0.3 2.1*** � 0.2 Winter 4.9 � 0.4 3.6* � 0.4 4.2 � 0.3 2.5*** � 0.2 Max Depth (m) Summer 49.4 � 5 69.4 � 12 53.5 � 8 43.8 � 7 Fall 60.1 � 7 71.5 � 12 54.6 � 8 47.5 � 6 Winter 68.0 � 7 73.7 � 15 77.5 � 15 71.5 � 9 Max Depth bins >50 m Summer 91.8 � 6 92.0 � 11 80.6 � 9 70.8** � 6 Fall 83.9 � 5 85.2 � 8 85.5 � 9 69.4* � 5 Winter 90.9 � 7 109.9 � 15 89.2 � 12 83.1 � 8 Differences between groups within each season were statically com- pared. *, **, and *** denote significant difference from adult females (the reference group) at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001 levels, respectively. Models were fit with a log link, and the estimated parameters shown here have been back-transformed by exponentia- tion. A version of these results where parameters are estimated by month instead of season is available in Table S1.
  • 47. Month P ro po rt io n of ti m e J J A S O N D J F M Proportion of time hauled−out 0. 0 0. 2 0. 4 0. 6 0. 8
  • 48. 1. 0 Adult males Adult females Sub−adults YOY Month P ro po rt io n of ti m e J J A S O N D J F M Use of water < 10 km from shore 0. 0 0. 2 0. 4
  • 49. 0. 6 0. 8 1. 0 Month P ro po rt io n of ti m e J J A S O N D J F M Use of water < 20 km from shore (A) (B) (C) (D) 0.
  • 51. Use of water < 30 km from shore 0. 0 0. 2 0. 4 0. 6 0. 8 1. 0 Figure 7. Box and whisker plots of monthly time budgets for haulout (A) and use of water within 10 km (B), 20 km (C), and 30 km (D) of shore. Negative values are possible in (B–D) because error in location observation introduced noise. This occasionally caused onshore, hauled out (as observed by wet/dry switches) to be observed as offshore.
  • 52. ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3849 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals summer months is larger numbers of energy rich prey close to the population center of gray seals. The accessible prey allow animals to accumulate blubber with a relatively modest foraging effort over the summer. Thus, the sum- mer aggregation of prey in shallow, often nearshore, water sets up an intraspecific competition for these easily acces- sible resources. In late fall and early winter, all ages of gray seals move foraging effort far offshore, likely following the return migrations of their prey into deeper waters along shelf edges and into shelf basins where water remains warm. Lipid reserves of prey also gradually become depleted through the winter, and individual prey captures are thus less energetically rewarding (Smigielski et al. 1984; Robards et al. 1999; Comeau et al. 2002; Kitts et al. 2004;
  • 53. Rosen and Trites 2004). So although the winter prey dis- tribution relaxes intraspecific competition, prey are less accessible and of lower quality so that foraging gray seals of all ages must rely on blubber reserves accumulated during the summer and fall to comfortably survive the winter. If YOY are accumulating less blubber during the summer because they are displaced from areas where prey are most accessible and/or of high quality, they conse- quently incur decreased winter survival. We believe this is the action responsible for the complex patterns of space use and survival observed in Sable Island gray seals over the past 20 years. Compensatory versus overcompensatory population regulation in colonially breeding marine animals If intraspecific competition is affecting YOY in the way we hypothesize with YOY physically displaced from key summer and fall foraging areas and the lost foraging opportunities causing increased mortality, then we may
  • 54. draw some further inferences about how the population dynamic is being affected by these interactions. Male and female adults, as well as subadults, are experiencing nei- ther increased mortality nor displacement. Thus, the com- petition is producing a clear loser. As there are clear winners and losers, winning competitors receive an ade- quate ration while losing competitors do not, the compe- tition should lead to compensatory density-dependent population regulation (Nicholson 1954; May et al. 1974; Turchin 2003). This should lead to a gradual approach to the population’s carrying capacity, which is consistent with census data (Bowen et al. 2007, 2011), and also gray seal population trajectories in Scotland (SCOS 2011). Although gray seals and some other phocid seals are cap- ital breeders (Schulz and Bowen 2005), which provide energy for their offspring entirely based on stored reserves, Table 4. Time budgets for occupancy of nearshore waters (haulout excluded) by month and demographic group.
  • 55. Month % of total time budget within 10 km of shore % of total time budget between 10 and 30 km of shore Adult Females Adult Males Subadults YOY Adult Females Adult Males Subadults YOY June 18 3 3 4 8 7 16 17 July 54 21* 55 8*** 6 6 10 16† August 74 50 60 14*** 4 18 14 26†† September 60 48 58 8*** 10 9 17 30†† October 9 17 48†† 6‡‡ 3 19 22† 32†† November 16 1 51†† 13‡‡ 6 3 16 24†† December 25 12 26 1** 11 7 18 11 January 7 19 5 2 5 4 19 8 Adult females, which used inshore waters to a greater degree than any other group, are the default reference group for significance comparisons. *, **, and *** denote significantly less time spent in a region than adult females at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001 levels, respectively. Simi- larly, †, ††, and ††† denote significantly more time spent in a region than adult females at the P < 0.05, P < 0.01, P < 0.001 levels, respectively.
  • 56. In months when subadults used inshore regions most heavily, ‡ and ‡‡ denote significantly less time in a region than subadults at the P < 0.05 and P < 0.01 levels, respectively. Variances in these average time budgets are visualized in Fig. 7. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age C um m ul at iv e re cr
  • 57. ui tm en t ( % ) 1985−89 year classes 1998−02 year classes Figure 8. Recruitment to the breeding population by females branded from 1985 to 1989 (red and orange shades) and 1998 to 2002 (blue shades). Data from den Heyer et al. (In press). 3850 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. most colony-breeding marine animals are income breeders (e.g., penguins, sea lions, fur seals, alcid and procellariiform sea birds). Income breeding species acquire resources to provision–dependent young by making repeated foraging trips during the provisioning period. During this period of
  • 58. offspring dependence, parents are central-place foragers and restricted to foraging nearby so they may regularly pro- vision young. They must also meet their own energetic needs, which, if resource patches are distant, can dominate the resources acquired during foraging trips leaving few resources for dependent young (e.g., Arnould et al. 1996; Boyd 1999). These limitations should lead to scramble competition among adults foraging to provision young in areas around colonies. Theoretically, in a scramble compe- tition, once a resource becomes limiting the population reaches a break point, and no individuals are able to acquire sufficient resources (Nicholson 1954; Turchin 2003). This leads to sudden, large increases in mortality. Such mass reproductive failures are often observed in income breeding otariids and seabirds (Trillmich and Lim- berger 1985; Trites and Donnelly 2003; Wanless et al. 2005). However, truly catastrophic overcompensatory col- lapses rarely occur. Females may abandon offspring when
  • 59. they cannot collect enough resources. At abandonment, females move away from the colonies to lessen competi- tion. This relaxes the intraspecific competition around the colony and greatly dampens the overcompensatory effect (Satterthwaite and Mangel 2012). Still, year-to-year off- spring survival at colonies of fur seals and sea lions is much more volatile than observed in Sable Island gray seals. The functional response of density dependence in this gray seal population is compensatory due, at least in part, to a capital-breeding life history affecting the nature of intraspecific competition near K. In addition to increased mortality of juveniles as the population approaches K, we expect a gradual lowering of fecundity in adult females, gradual decrease in adult survival, and a smooth approach to carrying capacity. The colony of gray seals breeding at Sable Island is ecologically and behaviorally similar to fur seal and sea lion colonies elsewhere, but the life-history difference (capital vs. income breeding) induces a differ-
  • 60. ent functional response to density dependence, which in turn causes population stability and resilience to year-to- year changes in prey availability. Such a stable population of predators would be expected to induce ecosystem sta- bility (Heithaus et al. 2008) and require a different man- agement plan compared with other colony-breeding marine animals. Acknowledgments This work would not have been possible without contri- butions from a number of people. Most importantly, we thank Ransom Myers for generous intellectual and finan- cial support. We also thank Ian D. Jonsen and Wade Blanchard for help with statistical analysis and modeling. Mark Lewis, Ian Jonsen, Roland Langrock, and Martin Biuw also provided helpful and constructive comments to earlier drafts of this work. Sara Iverson, Shelly Lang, Da- mian Lidgard, and Jim McMillian provided help in the field. This work was supported by the Future of Marine
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  • 74. Ser. 294:1–8. Supporting Information Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article: Data S1.Complete Matlab code, instructions, and sample data to run the kernel overlap randomization analysis. Figure S1. Kernel density anomaly plot for June. Cold colors and white points represent YOY; warm colors and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S2. Kernel density anomaly plot for July. Cold col- ours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S3. Kernel density anomaly plot for August. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY.
  • 75. Figure S4. Kernel density anomaly plot for September. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col- ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver- sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S5. Kernel density anomaly plot for October. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S6. Kernel density anomaly plot for November. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col- ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 3853 G.A. Breed et al. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver- sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S7. Kernel density anomaly plot for December. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col- ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver-
  • 76. sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S8. Kernel density anomaly plot for January. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S9. Kernel density anomaly plot for February. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm col- ours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females ver- sus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Figure S10. Kernel density anomaly plot forMarch. Cold colours and white points represent YOY; warm colours and black points adults. Panel (A) adult females versus YOY, Panel (B) adult males versus YOY. Table S1. Max dive depth, Max dive depth of bins with group by month (versus. season as in the main text). 3854 ª 2013 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
  • 77. Intraspecific Competition in Gray Seals G.A. Breed et al. Please answer the following four questions, each with an essay of 3-4 paragraphs. I expect you to provide a well-organized and convincing narrative, including proper sentence structure, grammar, and punctuation. Repeating the question as part of your answer is unlikely to improve the quality of your response. I will also not look favorably on bulleted lists, sentence fragments, or other short-hand devices more suitable to an outline than a short essay. 1. We recently watched a video in which Lawrence Lessig made an impassioned plea for expansion of fair use of copyrighted material. Briefly describe the concept of fair use and the limitations that have been placed on it, especially due to the explosion of user-generated content on YouTube. Please comment on the tension between the rights of artists to maintain exclusive use of their creations versus the potential benefits from transformative reuse. 2. Illegal trade in endangered animals and animal parts has brought a number of species to the brink of extinction. Outline the features that make certain types of animals more likely to be endangered, and comment on the potential for private ownership and husbandry to alleviate or eliminate this concern. Include as a part of your response the extra difficulties presented by the extremely high value of some of these animal parts, and potential responses discussed by Allen in his paper on the Rhino’s horn. 3. During the February 27th class, Dr. Jeffrey Barrows gave a
  • 78. forceful presentation about human trafficking in the United States. It was especially disturbing to hear that girls as young as twelve are enticed into sex trafficking, that many adult prostitutes started into the business in their early teens, and that most prostitutes are also addicted to drugs. Describe how this information would impact an economic analysis of the sex trade, especially one that might view prostitution as a market with suppliers and customers engaging in voluntary exchange of services. 4. The illegal trade in human organs brings together economics and ethical concerns in a number of troubling ways. Describe how the current organ donation system in the United States leads almost inevitably to an illegal market for organs. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of a well regulated organ sale market in the US, one that likely would involve a high degree of regulation and control by the federal government.