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Transcript

  • 1. Why Open Source Powers the Cloud
  • 2. Three Questions 2
  • 3. Three Questions Why Did the Number of US Automakers Drop by 90% Between 1920 and 1940? 2
  • 4. Three Questions Why Did the Number of US Automakers Drop by 90% Between 1920 and 1940? What Does that Mean for Cloud Computing? 2
  • 5. Three Questions Why Did the Number of US Automakers Drop by 90% Between 1920 and 1940? What Does that Mean for Cloud Computing? Why is Open Source Important Crucial to the Future of Cloud Computing? 2
  • 6. Two Facts 7
  • 7. Two Facts Change in Cost of Manufacturing Model T -75% 1913-1920 Market Share Model T 75% 1920 7
  • 8. Two Facts Change in Cost of Manufacturing Model T -75% 1913-1920 Market Share Model T 75% 1920 7
  • 9. Number of US Auto Makers 8
  • 10. Number of US Auto Makers 1920 200+ 1940 17 2010 3 8
  • 11. Number of US Auto Makers 1920 200+ 1940 17 2010 3 8
  • 12. Number of US Auto Makers 1920 200+ 1940 17 2010 3 8
  • 13. Number of US Auto Makers 1920 200+ 1940 17 2010 3 8
  • 14. 9
  • 15. 9
  • 16. 10
  • 17. 10
  • 18. Bechtel Benchmark Study Resource Bechtel Cloud Provider Bandwidth $500/megabit $10-$15/ megabit (YouTube) Sys Admin Ratio 100 servers per 17,000 servers admin per admin (Google) Storage $3.75/GB/Mo $.10/GB/Mo (Amazon) 13
  • 19. 14
  • 20. 14
  • 21. • Grows from 1MM to 100+ MM insurance claims/day in one week 14
  • 22. • Grows from 1MM to 100+ MM insurance claims/day in one week • Traditional solution: $750K new hardware + $30K/ month maintenance/hosting 14
  • 23. • Grows from 1MM to 100+ MM insurance claims/day in one week • Traditional solution: $750K new hardware + $30K/ month maintenance/hosting • Cloud solution: $600/month Amazon Web Services 14
  • 24. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? 15
  • 25. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? • Providers require scale to be competitive 15
  • 26. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? • Providers require scale to be competitive • Users will shift from being providers 15
  • 27. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? • Providers require scale to be competitive • Users will shift from being providers • The scope and scale of applications will explode 15
  • 28. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? • Providers require scale to be competitive • Users will shift from being providers • The scope and scale of applications will explode • IT will infuse every dimension of life 15
  • 29. What Lessons Does River Rouge Teach? • Providers require scale to be competitive • Users will shift from being providers • The scope and scale of applications will explode • IT will infuse every dimension of life • Our computing past is a poor predictor of our computing future 15
  • 30. What About Software?
  • 31. Provider Software 17
  • 32. Provider Software • Highly scalable 17
  • 33. Provider Software • Highly scalable • Extremely cost- effective 17
  • 34. Provider Software • Highly scalable • Extremely cost- effective • Enable flexibility 17
  • 35. Provider Software • Highly scalable • Extremely cost- effective • Enable flexibility • Enable differentiation at business level 17
  • 36. User Software 18
  • 37. User Software • Highly scalable 18
  • 38. User Software • Highly scalable • Unencumbered licensing 18
  • 39. User Software • Highly scalable • Unencumbered licensing • Enable flexibility 18
  • 40. User Software • Highly scalable • Unencumbered licensing • Enable flexibility • Enable agility 18
  • 41. User Software • Highly scalable • Unencumbered licensing • Enable flexibility • Enable agility • Enable differentiation at application level 18
  • 42. Proprietary Software Realities 19
  • 43. Proprietary Software Realities • Licenses not agile or flexible 19
  • 44. Proprietary Software Realities • Licenses not agile or flexible • Software businesses focused on old way 19
  • 45. Proprietary Software Realities • Licenses not agile or flexible • Software businesses focused on old way • Innovation occurring in open source 19
  • 46. Proprietary Software Realities • Licenses not agile or flexible • Software businesses focused on old way • Innovation occurring in open source • Open source enables cloud providers 19
  • 47. Proprietary Software Realities • Licenses not agile or flexible • Software businesses focused on old way • Innovation occurring in open source • Open source enables cloud providers • Open source enables cloud users 19
  • 48. Conclusions 20
  • 49. Conclusions • Learn from history 20
  • 50. Conclusions • Learn from history • History teaches economic scale in scalable industries 20
  • 51. Conclusions • Learn from history • History teaches economic scale in scalable industries • Cloud computing will transform the face of what we consider computing 20
  • 52. Conclusions • Learn from history • History teaches economic scale in scalable industries • Cloud computing will transform the face of what we consider computing • Open source will be a critical and vital enabler of cloud computing 20
  • 53. Conclusions • Learn from history • History teaches economic scale in scalable industries • Cloud computing will transform the face of what we consider computing • Open source will be a critical and vital enabler of cloud computing • The next twenty years will be fun ... and hard 20