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Innovation and the Future

               Tim O’Reilly

              June 25, 2011
     MakerFaire Kansas City
I started out as a computer book publisher
What We Really Do At O'Reilly

 Find interesting technologies and people
  innovating from the edge

 Amplify their effectiveness by spreading the
  information needed for others to follow them.

 Our goal: “Changing the world by spreading the
  knowledge of innovators.”
“The future is here. It’s
 just not evenly
 distributed yet.”

       - William Gibson
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
 We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
  futures they are already living in
 We then look for trend data that tells us that a
  particular future is becoming mainstream
 We do our best to think about possible
  consequences
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
 We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
  futures they are already living in
 We then look for trend data that tells us that a
  particular future is becoming mainstream
 We do our best to think about possible
  consequences
Innovation as a four-cylinder engine




  Image source: http://www.musicombustion.com/engineering.html
1. Have fun: How cool would it be to FLY?!!??
Have fun! OMG, I could have my own computer!
Fly solo across the Atlantic
Put a man on the moon
“thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season”

                                     - T.S. Eliot
2. Think big: “A PC on every desk and in every home.”
Think big: “Access to all the world’s information”
3. Figure out how to actually build a business
4. The power of platforms: Create value for others
4. The power of platforms: Create value for others




            2
http://www.google.com/economicimpact/
Create more value than you capture
The Firing Order of the Innovation Engine
 First cylinder: Have fun!
 Second cylinder: “Hey, we can change the world!”
 Third cylinder: Build products, business models,
  companies, and entire industries
 Fourth cylinder: Maintain your ecosystem: Create
  more value than you capture
So where are people having fun today?
“It’s easier to invent the future
than it is to predict it.”

                         - Alan Kay
Reinventing the Faire
          Low Tech Meets High Tech
For More Information
   Twitter: @timoreilly, @oreillymedia, @make
   Blog: http://radar.oreilly.com
   My personal archive: http://tim.oreilly.com
   Maker Movement: http://makezine.com
Innovation and the Future

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Innovation and the Future

  • 1.
  • 2. Innovation and the Future Tim O’Reilly June 25, 2011 MakerFaire Kansas City
  • 3. I started out as a computer book publisher
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. What We Really Do At O'Reilly  Find interesting technologies and people innovating from the edge  Amplify their effectiveness by spreading the information needed for others to follow them.  Our goal: “Changing the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators.”
  • 10. “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed yet.” - William Gibson
  • 11. O’Reilly Radar Methodology  We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are already living in  We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream  We do our best to think about possible consequences
  • 12. O’Reilly Radar Methodology  We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are already living in  We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream  We do our best to think about possible consequences
  • 13. Innovation as a four-cylinder engine Image source: http://www.musicombustion.com/engineering.html
  • 14. 1. Have fun: How cool would it be to FLY?!!??
  • 15. Have fun! OMG, I could have my own computer!
  • 16. Fly solo across the Atlantic
  • 17. Put a man on the moon
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. “thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season” - T.S. Eliot
  • 22. 2. Think big: “A PC on every desk and in every home.”
  • 23. Think big: “Access to all the world’s information”
  • 24.
  • 25. 3. Figure out how to actually build a business
  • 26. 4. The power of platforms: Create value for others
  • 27. 4. The power of platforms: Create value for others 2
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Create more value than you capture
  • 32. The Firing Order of the Innovation Engine  First cylinder: Have fun!  Second cylinder: “Hey, we can change the world!”  Third cylinder: Build products, business models, companies, and entire industries  Fourth cylinder: Maintain your ecosystem: Create more value than you capture
  • 33. So where are people having fun today?
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. “It’s easier to invent the future than it is to predict it.” - Alan Kay
  • 40. Reinventing the Faire Low Tech Meets High Tech
  • 41. For More Information  Twitter: @timoreilly, @oreillymedia, @make  Blog: http://radar.oreilly.com  My personal archive: http://tim.oreilly.com  Maker Movement: http://makezine.com

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