O presidente da Comissão Nacional de População e Desenvolvimento (CNPD) e subsecretário de Ações Estratégicas da Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos (SAE), Ricardo Paes de Barros, participou da primeira reunião da Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe em 15 de agosto de 2013.
Paes de Barros participou de painel na Conferência que abordou temas como as desigualdades territoriais, a mobilidade espacial e a vulnerabilidade ambiental.
Similar to Apresentação utilizada por Ricardo Paes de Barros na Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe (20)
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Apresentação utilizada por Ricardo Paes de Barros na Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe
1.
2. 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
HDI
Percentage of municipalities
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities according to HDI, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Brazil - 2010
3. 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
HDI
Percentage of municipalities and countries
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities and countries of the World according to
HDI, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Brazil - 2010
World- 2010
Uganda
Netherlands
85%
4. 0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
1. Brazilian spatial disparities: HDI bimodal distribution
6. 2. Why spatial inequality is so important for development
Development as a result of local collective
action
Local protagonism
Advantages of local development
Common knowledge of local specificities
Mutual acquaintance promote trust and solidarity
Logistic lower cost
Spatial inequality: external solidarity
10. 0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
11. 0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
12. 0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000 - 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
2000
2010
13. 3. Reducing inequality: evolution of the HDI distribution around the median
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Below 80% of the HDI median value Between 80% and 120% of the HDI median value Above 120% of the HDI median value
Percentageofmunicipalities(%)
Municipalities according to its position with respect to the HDI median value
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities with respect to the HDI median value,
2000 and 2010
2000
2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
14. 0.50
0.52
0.54
0.56
0.58
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
0.76
0.78
0.80
1 10 100 1000
HDI
Population Size (in thousands of people)
HDI according to municipality population , Brazil, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Differentials among municipalities with distinct population sizes
15. 27.0
27.5
28.0
28.5
29.0
29.5
30.0
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Growthratebetween2000and2010(%)
Municipalities ordered by population size (deciles)
Growth rate in HDI by municipal population: Brazil, 2000-10
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development ReportSource: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Municipalities with
smaller population size
Municipalities with
larger population size
3. Equating differentials among municipalities with different population sizes
16. 3. Differentials in informal labor relations among municipalities with
different population sizes
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Proportionofthelaborforceemploeyedwihtoutaa
formallaborcontract(%)
PopulationDeciles
Degree of informality by population size of municipality, 2000 e 2010
Source:SAE/PR, based on DemographicCensus2000 and 2010
2010
2000
Municipalities with
smaller population size
Municipalities with
larger population size
17. 1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Annualgrowthrate(%)
Average annual growth rate of income in Brazilian rural areas, 2001-2011
Source:SAE/PR, basedonnational HouseholdSample Survey2001 e 2011
Bottom10%
Top
10%
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
18. 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011
Percentageofthetotalpopulationineacharea(%)
Year
Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011
Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011
Rural
Urban
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
19. 35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011
Percentageofpopulationineacharea(2001=100)
Year
Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011
Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011
Rural
Urban
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
20. Brazilian 120 “TERRITÓRIOS DA CIDADANIA”
Municipalities covered by the Program
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
22. Socioeconomic Relations between rural communities and EDZs
CAU
Communities with universal basic services
COP
Reference community
CAP
Communities with some non-basic services
ZED
SPECIAL DEVELOPMENT ZONE
4. Provincial programs: ProAcre - Program for Social Inclusion and Sustainable
Economic Development in the State of Acre
24. Fonte: MI, MDA
Program Objective
Ministério da Integração Nacional - MI
Programa de Desenvolvimento Regional, Territorial Sustentável e
Economia Solidária (antigo PROMESO)
Esse programa se subdivide nas seguintes ações:
Formular e implementar os marcos legais das Políticas Nacionais de
Desenvolvimento Regional e de Ordenamento Territorial, contribuindo
para a redução das desigualdades regionais e ocupação racional do
território.
PNDR - Política Nacional de Desenvolvimento Regional
Reduzir as desigualdades entre as regiões brasileiras e a promover a
equidade no acesso a oportunidades de desenvolvimento, estimulando o
desenvolvimento regional em múltiplas escalas, com foco particular nos
territórios selecionados e de ação prioritária.
PAPL - Política Nacional para APLs
Estruturar e adensar arranjos produtivos locais e cadeias produtivas nos
territórios, por meio da dinamização econômica e da inclusão produtiva.
ZEE - Política de Implementação do Zoneamento Ecológico
Econômico
Elaborar e implementar o Zoneamento Ecológico-Econômico para a
promoção do ordenamento e da gestão ambiental territorial.
RIDES - Regiões Integradas de Desenvolvimento
Articular e harmonizar as ações administrativas da União, dos Estados e
dos Municípios para a promoção de projetos que visem à dinamização
econômica de territórios de baixo desenvolvimento
Ministério do Desenvolvimento Agrário – MDA
PTC - Programa Territórios da Cidadania
Implementar ações de organização e gestão territorial; inclusão
produtiva; infraestrutura rural e gestão social.
PRONAT - Programa Nacional de Desenvolvimento Sustentável de
Territórios Rurais
Acelerar processos de desenvolvimento locais e sub-regionais que
ampliem as oportunidades de geração de renda de forma
descentralizada e sustentável, articulados a redes de apoio e cooperação
solidária.
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
25. 5. Local and regional management matter
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
AnnualGrowthRate(%)
Income percentile
Average annual growth rate in per capita income by percentile for two
neighboring Brazilian states, 2001-2011
Neighboring
State A
Neighboring
State B