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eMealy

Market Size
Estimation
How much money in the food
app market?

Two approaches for the market size estimation
:

   Top-Down approach: Get an estimate of the
    total market size and funnel down to the
    food market. This will give us the available
    market.

   Bottom-Up approach: Estimate how much a
    food app can get from ads building
    on assumptions for CPM and number of
    views. This will give us an estimate of the
    attainable market.
The total app market in 2012 will be
worth $22 billion

Top-Down : How do we make money from the app?

   The standard forms of monetizing a        70000
                                                                                    62600
    mobile app are: app sale, premium
                                              60000
    services and ads
                                              50000
   We sourced information in the market
                                              40000
    size for this three axes :
       App market revenues (app              30000
        purchases): $7.1 bln in 2011 to $37                         21900
                                              20000
        bln in 2015 [Canalys 2011]
                                                      11570
       In-app purchases: $0.97 bln in        10000
        2011 to $5.6 bln in 2015 [IHS 2012]
                                                  0
       Mobile advertising: $3.3 bln in               2011          2012            2015
        2011 to $20 bln in 2015 [Gartner                paid app purchases [M$]
        2011]                                           in-app purchases [M$]
                                                        mobile advertisement [M$]
Food apps acount for $207 million of
revenues in 2012

Top-Down : How much of the total app market cake is taken by food apps?

   Of all the downloads, 3.1% are in          700

    "healthcare & fitness"                                                                597
                                               600
    category, 6% in the "lifestyle"
    category [Chomp 2012]                      500


   Food apps get classified in either         400
    of these categories, and eMealy
    explores both.                             300
                                                                          207

   So we spent some time sampling             200

    AppAnnie.com to estimate the               100
                                                        110

    percentage of food apps in each
    of the categories.                           0
                                                        2011             2012             2015
   Then we were ready to estimate                            paid app purchases [M$]
    the food apps market size from the                        in-app purchases [M$]
    total market size and the                                 mobile advertisement [M$]
The market value of advertisement in
the lifestyle category is 10M

Bottom-up : Value of ads in the lifestyle category

   In 2012, it’s expected a level of 600+ M Smartphones, from which 60% will be active users
    of apps

   The share of lifestyle category is 6% from total apps downloads

   The number of views vary with the retention rate and we estimate to be above 470 B

   Assuming an average mobile CPM of $25, total revenues from ads in the lifestyle market
    values about 10 M
The market for food apps is
young and relatively small
Alternative revenue streams should be found


   With conventional web app monetization we
    are approaching a market of $207 million
    and can expect to attain revenues of at most
    $10 million through advertisement

   This market potential is growing fast, but
    still small

   We need explore alternative revenue
    streams and use the app to capture users

   Conventional monetization can be used to
    bootstrap the development

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Market size estimation

  • 2. How much money in the food app market? Two approaches for the market size estimation :  Top-Down approach: Get an estimate of the total market size and funnel down to the food market. This will give us the available market.  Bottom-Up approach: Estimate how much a food app can get from ads building on assumptions for CPM and number of views. This will give us an estimate of the attainable market.
  • 3. The total app market in 2012 will be worth $22 billion Top-Down : How do we make money from the app?  The standard forms of monetizing a 70000 62600 mobile app are: app sale, premium 60000 services and ads 50000  We sourced information in the market 40000 size for this three axes :  App market revenues (app 30000 purchases): $7.1 bln in 2011 to $37 21900 20000 bln in 2015 [Canalys 2011] 11570  In-app purchases: $0.97 bln in 10000 2011 to $5.6 bln in 2015 [IHS 2012] 0  Mobile advertising: $3.3 bln in 2011 2012 2015 2011 to $20 bln in 2015 [Gartner paid app purchases [M$] 2011] in-app purchases [M$] mobile advertisement [M$]
  • 4. Food apps acount for $207 million of revenues in 2012 Top-Down : How much of the total app market cake is taken by food apps?  Of all the downloads, 3.1% are in 700 "healthcare & fitness" 597 600 category, 6% in the "lifestyle" category [Chomp 2012] 500  Food apps get classified in either 400 of these categories, and eMealy explores both. 300 207  So we spent some time sampling 200 AppAnnie.com to estimate the 100 110 percentage of food apps in each of the categories. 0 2011 2012 2015  Then we were ready to estimate paid app purchases [M$] the food apps market size from the in-app purchases [M$] total market size and the mobile advertisement [M$]
  • 5. The market value of advertisement in the lifestyle category is 10M Bottom-up : Value of ads in the lifestyle category  In 2012, it’s expected a level of 600+ M Smartphones, from which 60% will be active users of apps  The share of lifestyle category is 6% from total apps downloads  The number of views vary with the retention rate and we estimate to be above 470 B  Assuming an average mobile CPM of $25, total revenues from ads in the lifestyle market values about 10 M
  • 6. The market for food apps is young and relatively small Alternative revenue streams should be found  With conventional web app monetization we are approaching a market of $207 million and can expect to attain revenues of at most $10 million through advertisement  This market potential is growing fast, but still small  We need explore alternative revenue streams and use the app to capture users  Conventional monetization can be used to bootstrap the development