6. Akin Adesina
President of the African
Development Bank 2016
“We need to
invest in gray
matter
infrastructure.”
“Neuronal
infrastructure is
quite possibly going
to be the most
important
infrastructure.”
Jim Kim
President, World Bank 2016
We couldn’t have said it better
ourselves..
8. 2. Africa is off track to
reach global targets—
but there is hope.
9. 9
Stunting
children under 5
Wasting
children under 5
Overweight
children under 5
Anemia
women aged
15-49 years
Exclusive
Breastfeeding, <6
months
Adult Overweight +
Obesity (BMI≥ 25)
Adult Obesity
(BMI≥ 30)
Adult Diabetes
(Raised blood glucose)
3465
3
7
1
16
17
23
1
23
34
987
52
312
54
54
53 1
Global Target
Missing data Off course, little/no progress Off course, some progress On courseOn course, at risk
Number of African countries at various stages of progress against global targets on nutrition
11. Nutrition feeds into 12 of the 17 SDGs — and
dozens of the indicators used to track the
SDGs
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
3
7
7
12
12
Goal 12: Sustainable cons &…
Goal 17: Global Partnerships
Goal 8: Growth & Employment
Goal 16: Peace and Justice
Goal 4: Education
Goal 6: WASH
Goal 10: Reduce Inequality
Goal 11: Cities
Goal 1: Poverty
Goal 2: Hunger and Nutrition
Goal 3: Healthy Lives
Goal 5: Gender Equality
Number of indicators highly relevant to nutrition
Number of indicators not highly relelvant to nutrition
12. 4. There is a gap between
current commitments and need
13. There are not enough SMART targets
in African nutrition country plans
75 73
55
45
35
10
Stunting Exclusive
breastfeeding
Wasting Anaemia in
women
Low birth
weight
Under 5
overweight
Percent of 40 African Nutrition Plans with SMART Targets
for…
14. Few African Countries have Targets for
Diet Related NCDs
Source: Unpublished self-reported data from the NCD Country Capacity Survey, provided by the WHO
Surveillance and Population-based Prevention Unit, Department for Prevention of NCDs. Printed with permission.
%
Percent of 40 countries with targets for…
40
35
15
Obesity Diabetes Salt Reduction
16. Commitment and Impact go hand in hand
• Countries: Nutrition targets & rate of stunting reduction
• Companies: Targets & performance
• Donors: Public commitment & spending on nutrition
Commitment and Impact go hand in
hand
25. The ingredients for
success are well
known… ...and can
lead
to rapid
improvement
s
in nutrition.Political leadership
& SMART
commitment
Brazil
Ethiopia
Maharashtra
Nutrition-
oriented
development
Bangladesh
Colombia
Ghana
Tanzania
Data
Systems
Guatemala
Indonesia
Peru
Strong
implementation
Argentina
Burkina Faso
Chile
27. To meet WHA targets by 2025 nutrition specific
funding will have to multiply
Governments x 2
Donors x 3.5
Total x 3
Funding gaps: Substantial but bridgeable
28. Source: OPM and SUN SMS
More general government expenditure
could be directed towards nutrition-
sensitive actions
Budget allocations to nutrition
sensitive actions in these
countries are relatively low
4.8
2.1
1.5 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5
0.1
%ofGeneralGovernmentExpenditures
31. Look outside nutrition to affect
nutrition status, e.g. mothers’ age at
birth
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Stunting(%)
Mothers aged <18 at the time of the birth ≥18
32. 4. Tackle malnutrition in all its
forms
25%A quarter of all African countries
have serious levels of undernutrition
and adult overweight/obesity
33. Under 5 Stunting
Women’s Anemia
Adult Overweight
(BMI ≥ 25)Ethiopia, Rwanda
Ghana, Senegal
Angola, Benin, Burkina Faso,
Burundi, Cameroon, Central
African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Congo (Republic of
The), Côte d’Ivoire, Democratic
Republic of the Congo, Djibouti,
Eritrea, Gambia, Guinea,
Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Liberia,
Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger,
Nigeria, Sao Tome and Principe,
Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan,
Togo, Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia,
Zimbabwe
Algeria, Gabon,
Morocco,
Seychelles,
Tunisia
Botswana,
Egypt,
Equatorial
Guinea,
Lesotho,
Libya,
Namibia,
South Africa,
Swaziland
Countries with
Multiple
Burdens of
Malnutrition
34. • Develop political strategies for an
enabling environment for nutrition
improvement
• Build food environments for
diverse diets
• Implement interventions before
and during first 1000 days
Find “Double Duty” Actions to address
multiple forms of malnutrition
35. Malnutrition is not destiny. Ending it is a political
choice—supported by SMART commitments for
accountability.
Many countries are on course to meet targets.
Many more are on the verge of doing so.
Coexistence of multiple forms of malnutrition is
the new normal. Nutrition stakeholders need to
unite and then grow the nutrition constituency.
Three takeaways
36. Three things you can do
• Challenge decision makers with evidence on
the slow pace of malnutrition reduction
• Make those essential but challenging
alliances for nutrition with those outside
your immediate circle
• Make SMART commitments for nutrition
and ask others to do the same
This is the third GNR
Produced by an independent expert group
It covers all countries
it covers all forms of nutrition
It is data driven
The GNR was called for at the N4G summit in London in 2013 to strengthen accountability of nutrition stakeholders to citizens. The first one was in 2014.
This is the outline of the talk
Malnutrition leads to:
Human suffering, obviously
Health related consequences. e.g. the 45% of under 5 mortality linked to malnutrition
But also economic consequences
Here are
Two quotes from leaders of development banks—quite extraordinary—is this the beginning of a sea change in the way financial institutions think about nutrition?
YES
globally we are off course to meet the targets set by the World health Assembly, but there is hope because many countries are actually on track...
We are now in the SDG era.
The SDGs are great for malnutrition reduction because they
challenge us to end malnutrition, by 2030
cover all forms of malnutrition
stress that we should leave no one behind
highlight the indivisibility of SDGs
There are gaps between current commitments and need
These commitments are of a political, technical & financial nature
Setting SMART (specific, measurable, relevant, achievable and time-bound) targets is one indicator of commitment
This analysis is from the WHO team.
Unfortunately looking at 122 country nutrition plans, less than half have set SMART targets for the 6 WHA maternal and child nutrition indicators.
Stunting and EBF fare the best. Wasting, perhaps surprisingly, is given lower priority when it comes to setting SMART targets.
KB: Analysis of plans from 40 of 54 African countries.
On the NCD side of things, less than a third of 174 countries surveys by WHO had targets (SMART or not) for obesity, diabetes and reduction of salt intake
Why are we worried about SMART targets?
Because
they lend themselves to stronger accountability
but also
2. they go hand in hand with performance (see next slide)
In the report we give lots of qualitative examples of how commitment improved performance in reducing malnutrition
But we also provide some suggestive quantitative evidence
countries that set nutrition targets have higher rates of stunting reduction
companies that set targets for key aspects of their performance, tend to perform better on those aspects (ATNI data)
donors that make lots of public declarations about nutrition in their various documents tend to spend more on nutrition as a % of their overall spending
Causality is difficult to establish here. Determined stakeholders make commitments and back them up.
But the qualitative work in the report suggests that the making of commitments makes it harder to back out of action.
We can’t have results without good implementation.
This slide shows that when it comes to nutrition specific interventions there is a wide range of coverage achieved by different countries.
This is good and bad news.
Bad news because we want more countries with high coverage.
Good news in the sense that some countries have achieved high coverage but they are not obviously wealthier than the countries that have not.
We need to understand more about why some countries are near the top of the lines and some are near the bottom
We need more data to guide action and promote accountability, especially at the subnational level.
Here are some DHS data and we show stunting rates for the administrative units with the highest and lowest stunting rates (ordered by gap).
There are wide disparities. At more disaggregated levels these may be equally large.
But we don’t have very disaggregated pictures of nutrition outcomes (or coverage rates of programmes)
Any solutions? (next slide)
One contribution could be from small area estimation maps. They combine survey and census data to give highly disaggregated nutrition maps.
They are common in poverty analyses and programming, less so in nutrition.
WFP is a leader in this area and we recommend more of these maps now be produced.
We have outlined the 7 key findings
Now we do the same for the 5 calls to action.
First of all, make nutrition more of a political issue. Technical issues are of course vital, but so too is political action.
Don’t accept current situation.
For example, look at this very simple extrapolation.
For women’s anemia if we continue the current rate of progress as reported in Stevens 2013 Lancet paper, we will reach the Anemia target for women (prevalence of 15%) in 2084, not 2025.
Clearly this is unacceptable, but this is a potentially powerful political message that is not being made strongly enough.
And political leadership is vital for progress in nutrition
In the past 3 GNRs we have highlighted several countries experiences on moving nutrition indicators. They are listed.
Many factors are responsible and we have listed 4 sets.
Central to these is political commitment.
Remember: Ghana & Maharashtra halved their stunting rates 12 years. When forces are aligned properly rapid change can happen.
Implementation takes financial resources.
Some of it needs to be new.
Some of it needs to be allocated differently.
But its not just about more money.
Its also about making existing allocations to food and agriculture, health, education, social protection, WASH and women’s empowerment more effective in reducing malnutrition
The graph shows the percent of government expenditures going to nutrition sensitive programmes (using the SUN donor network definition).
The countries on the right of the graph allocated much less of their budgets to nutrition sensitive programmes than other countries—the potential to increase is clear.
To really make development work for nutrition, nutrition champions have to grow the circle of commitment for nutrition
This means getting out of our comfort zones and forging alliances with other sectors.
We need to find partners in these other sectors.
Some of the changes in them (to make them more nutrition oriented) might be very powerful for nutrition.
For example, the data we present shows a strong association between age of mother at birth and stunting rates of her children. (countries on left of graph)
How important for nutrition status might be a law that sets a floor for the minimum age of marriage that is consistent with health outcomes for the mother and child?
We don’t know, but we should find out.
44% of all countries are facing multiple forms of under nutrition and NCD related nutrition outcomes
this % is likely to grow -- the latter are increasing faster than the former are declining
what are these so called double duty interventions we mentioned earlier?
Examples
building the enabling environment for malnutrition reduction
food environments that promote diverse diets
interventions prior to (adolescents) and during 1000 day window; e.g. Barker hypothesis
Education in schools—setting norms about healthy diets at an early age
We need to do much more to find them
There is a lot of detail in the report and the slides.
But really there are 3 overarching messages that we would like you to leave with
politics matters. Malnutrition is not destiny. We can choose to end it.
even though the world is off track to meet WHA targets, many countries are on course to meet these targets and many others are close to being so. There are many successes out there.
Nutrition champions need to come together to raise nutrition on the political agenda
But nutrition is not just about what governments and donors and businesses and CSOs can do, it is about what each of us in this room can do
Here are three things you can do