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5th Annual Survey

Supply Chain Resilience 2013
An international survey to consider the origin, causes and
consequences of supply chain disruption

Published November 2013
about the survey
Fieldwork for the fifth annual Supply Chain Resilience survey commenced on the 16th April 2013 and the survey
closed on the 16th August with 519 responses validated. All members of the Business Continuity Institute received
an individual email invitation to complete the online survey. This was then complemented by the Chartered
Institute of Purchasing and Supply inviting its members to contribute through their existing communication
channels. In addition, support is acknowledged from the following people and organizations:
•	 Colin Ive MBCI and the BRiSC community
•	 Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport
We would like to thank Zurich Insurance Group for sponsoring this research for the fifth successive year.
Authors:	

Lee Glendon CBCI, Head of Research and Advocacy at the Business Continuity Institute, and
Lyndon Bird FBCI, Technical Director at the Business Continuity Institute

Reviewer:	 Andrew Scott, Senior Communications Manager at the Business Continuity Institute

[i]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 1
Key Findings................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 1
Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................................................................................2

MAIN REPORT FINDINGS
Introduction................................................................................................................................................................................................................3
Frequency and Origin of Disruption.......................................................................................................................................... 4
Causes of Disruption...................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Consequences of Disruption................................................................................................................................................................. 7
Economic Impacts of Disruption.................................................................................................................................................... 8
Management Commitment...................................................................................................................................................................9

SUPPLY CHAIN BUSINESS CONTINUITY FINDINGS
Introduction............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 10
Supplier Business Continuity Information...................................................................................................................... 11
Assessing Effectiveness of Supplier Business Continuity ...........................................................................12

ANNEX 1 – FUNCTIONAL ROLE OF RESPONDENTS............................................................ 14
ANNEX 2 – RESPONDENT PROFILE......................................................................................................................... 15
ANNEX 3 – CAUSE OF DISRUPTION BY REGION OR COUNTRY................ 16
ANNEX 4 – CAUSE OF DISRUPTION BY SECTOR..........................................................................17
ABOUT.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18

www.thebci.org	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[ii]
Executive Summary
Introduction
This Supply Chain Resilience report is the fifth in a series that started in 2009 to consider the challenge of developing
resilient supply chains. This report, the result of a survey of 519 respondents from 71 countries, highlights the level,
range and cost of disruptions that organizations face, and demonstrates how a disruption in one organization can
spread out over the entire supply chain.

Key Findings
•	 75% of respondents still do not have full
visibility of their supply chain disruption levels.
Only 25% coordinate and report to gain an
enterprise-wide view of disruption. This is
unchanged from 2012
•	 75% of respondents experienced at least one
incident that caused disruption. This is consistent
with findings in each of the previous four years
•	 42% of disruptions originated below the tier
one supplier, an increase from 2012
•	 15% of respondents experienced disruptions
that cost in excess of €1M and 9% experienced a
single event disruption that cost in excess of €1M
•	 The primary sources of disruption were
unplanned IT or telecom outages, with 55%
stating they experienced high or some impact
from this type of disruption. This was followed
by adverse weather (40%) and outsourcer
service provision failure (37%)
•	 While insolvency in the supply chain
maintained its ninth place in 2013, other
financial risk related sources of disruption did
recede: lack of credit fell to 21st place from 12th
and currency exchange rate volatility dropped
from fifth place to 17th

www.thebci.org	

•	 Below the top three, there have been some
significant changes from 2012 to the main
causes of disruption: transport network
disruption climbed from 14th place to fourth
with 30% experiencing high or some impact.
The high profile media reporting of the danger
of cyber-attacks has resulted in this type of
disruption rising from 18th place to fifth. The
non-availability or loss of talent/skills increased
from 10th place to sixth
•	 When considering sources of disruption by
country and sector of activity, some new
sources rise to prominence: product quality
incidents are prominent in manufacturing,
engineering and construction, while in the USA
adverse weather takes the top spot in 2013 as a
source of supply chain disruption
•	 41% stated that customer complaints were
received as a consequence of disruption, an
increase from 35% in 2012, bringing it into second
place behind loss of productivity (55%) as the
primary consequence of supply chain disruption
•	 Strategic consequences maintain their presence
with 24% stating they experienced damaged to
their brand and reputation and 26% stakeholder/
shareholder concern. 3% experienced a fall of
share price as a result of a disruption

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[1]
Conclusions
Consistently high levels of supply chain disruption are being
reported with a number of threats being re-considered as new
evidence and concerns emerge.
Supply chain disruptions are not a matter of if but when, although
their relative impact on the organization can vary widely. As a
starting point it can be useful to look at your most profitable
product or service and look at the profit impact of related supplier
failure on your organization. The Business Continuity approach to
Business Impact Analysis can be a valuable technique to identify
key suppliers and operational impacts.
It is clear from the results of this survey that supply chain
disruptions continue to have a significant impact on business
performance and the problem is not being effectively managed.
One of the key challenges is to get consistent top management
support for investing in improved supply chain resilience.
The following conclusions emphasise the importance of continuing with this
type of research:

•	 Supply chain failure is still a key performance issue for business
•	 Consistent top management support is required to make a change
•	 Professional procurement practitioners can play a key role but they
need to work with Business Continuity practitioners
•	 Business Continuity is too often a tick box exercise other than in top
performers
•	 Proactive leadership, not crisis management, is required

[2]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
Main Report Findings
Introduction
This survey is the fifth in a series that started in 2009 to consider the challenge of
developing resilient supply chains. The methodology used in 2013 was consistent
with previous years although some additional questions have been added. Because
this annual survey has now collected data over a significant time period, the BCI is
also looking at producing a further report showing the trends since 2009. This will be
released during Business Continuity Awareness Week 2014.
One issue we looked at in 2013 in more detail was the extent to which non-physical
events in the supply chain were causing disruption, i.e. events where supply itself is
unaffected in the short term but could cause potential long term damage to reputation
or business viability. Two notable 2013 events are picked up in the response to this
question: the factory collapse in Bangladesh and the equine DNA scandal in Europe.
Another new question in 2013 looked to understand the extent to which supply chain
failures were generating negative and positive social media discussions. 18% of
respondents were aware of the issue while 14% did not know. As might be expected,
negative discussion outweighed positive ones by a large majority, whilst many
respondents stated that they were not aware of any discussions. This probably supports
the fact that many incidents recorded have either limited external impact and/or are
managed before they become public – but clearly there’s a potential for many more
social discussions around incidents that are not well managed.

www.thebci.org	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[3]
Frequency and Origin of Disruption
Surprisingly, it is not easy to get a full picture of the numbers and reasons for
supply chain disruption. 75% of all respondents claim they do not have the full
picture on numbers and/or causes whilst 36% do not record it formally at all.

25%
Yes, this is
coordinated and
reported across the
whole enterprise

36%

This raises a question as to why more
companies do not do this – it potentially
implies it is either too difficult to do, or not
seen as a big enough issue to invest time in
finding out. The authors believe that more
research is needed to determine why this is
case. It does seem likely however that the
value of better understanding the levels of
supply chain disruptions is not appreciated by
top management. It would also seem likely
that more management attention should be
paid to ensuring such data is collected.
There were some interesting responses
regarding the methods used to collect this
disruption data. They included:
•	 The impact of any incident/disruption
is recorded individually by affected
business units and entered into a firmwide incident reporting system

No

•	 Calculated within the business areas that
own the relationships with supply but
not shared or acted upon
•	 Risk management works in collaboration
with other departments in documenting
and reporting incidences and disruptions
•	 Any disruptions which affect supply
chain are discussed at contract
management meetings

39%
Yes, within certain
departments/functions but
not aggregated

•	 We will soon be reported on maximum
potential loss, and this will require
estimating lost opportunity and
foregone revenue, often the result of
third party poor performance

Question 7 (Tracking question). Do you record, measure and report on performance-affecting supply
chain disruptions (i.e. where an unplanned cost has been incurred or loss of productivity or revenue
experienced)? Base: 461

[4]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
32%
The source of the
disruption was at Tier 2

Question 9. Considering the supply chain incidents you are
aware of in the last 12 months, which of the following apply
in your experience? Base: 257

58%
The source of the
disruption was at Tier 1

10%
The source of the
disruption was at
Tier 3 or lower

Given this situation, it is safe to suggest that the levels of disruption reported in this survey
might well be conservative as some of the lower impact interruptions might not have been
captured. Even with this proviso however, 75% of respondents experienced at least one
supply chain incident that caused disruption. This is consistent with the findings over the
previous four years.

Of the analysed incidents, 42% were shown
to have originated below the immediate tier
one supplier. This shows a slight increase
on levels below tier one compared with
2012 and 2011. Examples of tier two events
were around quality control issues, power
outages affecting suppliers and banking
network failures.

25%

53%

0

1–5

6–10

13%

11–20

5%

21–50

1%

3%

51+

Question 8. How many supply chain incidents would you estimate your organization experienced in the past 12 months that caused disruption to your
organization? Base: 396 who provided a response. A further 79 stated “don’t know”.

www.thebci.org	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[5]
Question 10. How severely has your supply chain
been affected by any of the following sources
of disruption over the past 12 months? Severity
levels can be considered in terms of initial impact,
ability to continue to deliver key products
and services and recovery time, as well as the
consequences on brand and reputation. Base: 245.
Multiple responses allowed.

Adverse weather
Earthquake/tsunami
Fire
Currency exchange rate volatility
Act of terrorism

High Impact

Human illness

Some Impact

Animal disease

Low Impact

Lack of credit (cost, availability)
Insolvency (in the supply chain)
Intellectual Property violation

Causes of Disruption

Data breach
Cyber attack
Unplanned IT/telecoms outage

With regards to the known causes of
disruption, the survey asked what had
caused interruption and how severely
supply chains had been affected by it. A
wide range of sources of disruption over the
past 12 months were identified; unplanned
IT/Telecom outage being the most reported,
followed by adverse weather and outsourcer
service failure. Transport network disruption
and cyber-attack disruption had risen
considerably since 2012, with animal
diseases the least reported of known
incidents. Severity levels for each cause are
considered in terms of initial impact, ability
to continue to deliver key products and
services and recovery time, as well as the
consequences on brand and reputation. The
top three causes overall were also seen as
the top three high impact causes.
For the first time in 2013, we have also
looked at this response from a slightly
different point of view; the percentage
of organizations that actually reported
that type of incident. Almost 90% of
organizations report an IT or telecom
failure, with 55% of them recording it as
causing high or some impact. This is perhaps
predictable but even more interestingly
38% experienced at least one insolvency
in their supply chain during the year. At
the other end of this scale, 85% have not
been affected by any animal disease related
event and only 3% reported any serious
impact from it.

Industrial dispute
Civil unrest/conflict
New laws or regulations
Energy scarcity
Transport network disruption
Environmental incident
Health & Safety incident
Product quality incident
Business ethics incident
Loss of talent/skills
Outsourcer service failure
0

50

100

150

200

Adverse weather
Earthquake/tsunami
Fire
Currency exchange rate volatility
Act of terrorism
High Impact

Human illness

Some Impact

Animal disease
Lack of credit (cost, availability)

Low Impact

Insolvency (in the supply chain)
Intellectual Property violation
Data breach
Cyber attack
Unplanned IT/telecoms outage
Industrial dispute
Civil unrest/conflict
New laws or regulations
Energy scarcity
Transport network disruption
Environmental incident

Question 10. Alternative view of this question:
Prevalence of risk events. Chart shows that almost
90% of respondents record an IT or telecom
failure, while 85% have not been affected by an
animal disease related event . 38% experienced an
insolvency in their supply chain. Base: 245. Multiple
responses allowed.

[6]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

Health & Safety incident
Product quality incident
Business ethics incident
Loss of talent/skills
Outsourcer service failure
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

www.thebci.org
22%
We have only experienced
nonphysical disruption

37%
We have experienced both physical
and nonphysical disruption

41%
We have only experienced
physical disruption
Question 11. What has been your experience of physical and non-physical disruption in your supply chain? Non-physical disruption is defined here as an incident that does not
cause a short-term interruption to supply of a product or service but may require a crisis response particularly in terms of communicating with stakeholders and have mediumlonger term supply chain consequences, for example, data breach, or a business ethics incident. Base: 240

Consequences of Disruption
It is becoming increasingly clear that both physical and
non-physical issues can cause disruption in the supply
chain. Non-physical disruption is defined here as an
incident that does not cause a short term interruption
to supply of a product or service but may require a
crisis response particularly in terms of communicating
with stakeholders and have medium-longer term
supply chain consequences, for example, data breach,
or a business ethics incident. Only 41% reported that
all their supply chain disruptions were due to physical
events alone, so 59% of all respondents recognized the
importance of taking this wider threat into account.
Examples given included:
•	 Media focus on supplier working environment
at factories after building collapse (Bangladesh)
leading to new government regulations, even
though our company did not use suppliers in
collapsed factory
•	 The horse meat scandal caused interruption to
supplies in our staff canteens. We also had to issue
HR statements on the safety of food served to staff
and visitors
The conclusion we draw is that is that resilience
professionals need to be prepared to deal with
non-physical events and not just those which affect
short-term availability.

www.thebci.org	

We identified 15 different generic consequences, some of which had an immediate
financial impact and others which had the potential for long term damage.
In order of importance they were ranked as:
•	 Loss of productivity
•	 Customer complaints received
•	 Increased cost of working
•	 Service outcome impaired
•	 Loss of revenue
•	 Damage to brand/reputation/image
•	 Product release delay
•	 Product recall/withdrawal
•	 Payment of service credits
•	 Share price fall
•	 Stakeholder/shareholder concern
•	 Delayed cash flows
•	 Expected increase in regulatory scrutiny
•	 Loss of regular customers
•	 Fine by regulator for non-compliance
Whilst loss of productivity maintains its place as the most likely negative
outcome from a supply chain disruption, 41% stated that customer complaints
were received as a consequence of disruption, an increase from 35% in 2012,
bringing it into second place behind loss of productivity (55%) as the primary
consequence of supply chain disruption.
Strategic consequences maintain their presence in 2013 with 24% stating they
experienced damaged to their brand and reputation and 26% stakeholder/
shareholder concern.

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[7]
Economic Impacts of Disruption
We asked respondents to estimate the cumulative cost to their
organization of supply chain disruption over the past 12 months.
Considerations included a loss of revenue and/or increased cost of
working. Responses were collated in Euros and we found that 15%
experienced an annual cost of disruption of more than €1M.

€250M – €500M

€101M – €250M

1%

1%

We also asked about the largest single loss and found that 9%
experienced a single event loss of more than €1M. This compares
with 21% in 2012 and 17% in 2011. Hurricane Sandy and some major
IT outages contributed to some of the larger losses experienced this
year. Here is one specific example from the construction industry:
Quality issues with concrete from 2nd tier vendor delayed
construction of parking garage. Delay resulted in extra overhead
costs for project management and testing and lost revenue.

1%

2%

€250M – €500M

€11M – €50M

5%

€1M – €10M

8%

6%

€1M – €10M

More than €1 Million

15%

9%

More than €1 Million

€500,000 – €1 Million

7%

5%

€500,000 – €1 Million

8%

9%

25%

19%

€250,000 – €500,000

€50,000 – €250,000

€250,000 – €500,000

Less than €50,000

Question 14 (New question). What would
you estimate the cumulative cost to your
organization of supply chain disruption has
been over the past 12 months? Please consider
loss of revenue and/or increased cost of
working. Please give your response in EUROs
(x-rate: 1GBP = 1.2EURO; 1US$ = 0.8EURO).
Base: 157 responses.

[8]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

€11M – €50M

€50,000 – €250,000

Less than €50,000

45%

59%

Question 15 (tracking question):
Considering the single most
significant incident in the last 12
months what was the approximate
financial cost (loss of revenue and/
or increased cost of working)?
Please give your response in EUROs
(x-rate: 1GBP = 1.2EURO; 1US$ =
0.8EURO). Base: 150 responses.

www.thebci.org
Management Commitment
There is a significant contrast between those who have top
management commitment, even on an inconsistent basis, and
those who have low commitment. 100% of those citing low
commitment experienced at least one disruption. 47% of the
low commitment group stated that disruption was not recorded
systematically and only 3% had an enterprise wide view. 40% of
this subgroup stated their BCM programme did not account for
supply chain disruption and 61% had supply chains where half or
less of key suppliers had Business Continuity in place. This group
also restrict themselves to just asking suppliers whether they have
a ‘BCP’ (54%) – far behind their overall comparative groups.

www.thebci.org	

One survey respondent also noted that it took the failure of
a key supplier for top management to pay attention to this
subject. Although this is a cynical view, it seems to be one that
is held in various degrees of seriousness and severity by many
supply chain practitioners.

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[9]
Supply Chain Business Continuity Findings
Introduction
Although around 75% of respondents felt that they included consideration of supply chain disruption in their BCM
programmes, the extent to which this is validated is highly variable. Around 20% do not even ask their key suppliers
(new or existing) if they have any Business Continuity arrangements in place.
Almost 50% of survey respondents stated that half or less of their key suppliers had any BC arrangements in place
even for their own needs. It is a safe assumption that such suppliers are more vulnerable to disruption than better
prepared companies and the consequences will hit the client organization as well as the supplier organization.
Only 10% of respondents stated that all of their key suppliers have BC arrangements in place.

22%

21%

16%

20%

11%

<10%

10%

11% –25%

26% –50%

51% –75%

76% –99%

100%

Question 24. Considering your key suppliers, what percentage of them would you say have Business Continuity arrangements in place to address their
own needs? Base: 292

[10]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
Supplier Business Continuity Information
It was interesting that amongst the Business Continuity practitioner
respondents the most frequently cited methodology to identify key suppliers
was a Business Impact Analysis (BIA). This would normally be an embedded
process within the BCM lifecycle. For those who do not include supply chain as
part of their BCM programme and those individuals who are more purchasing/
supply focused, the key techniques were seen to be Strategic Positioning along
with Supplier Spend/Volume.
Business Continuity information sought from a supplier understandably varies
with the criticality of the supplier under scrutiny. Only 31% settle for the
presence of a BCP. 43% claim to check if suppliers have a BCM programme,
not just a documented plan and others look for compliance with external good
practice like the BCI’s Good Practice Guidelines or BS25999-1 Code of Practice
for BCM. Only 40% check whether the suppliers programme is relevant to the
product or service being purchased – a surprising omission. Only 16% look for
the credentials of those who run the BCM programme, another indication that
the importance of BCM quality control is not fully appreciated.

Others approaches noted include:
•	 Ask BCM questions at tender stage depending on
value and risk of project
•	 Rate suppliers on a matrix value base upon a defined
list of questions
•	 Audit suppliers using one or more of the following
techniques
›	Obtain physical evidence
›	Conduct a review via WebEx
›	 Undertake site visits to obtain positive assurance of
control environment
›	Check system for implementation, operation,
maintenance, review and continuous improvement
of BCM programme
•	 Demand alignment to ISO 22301 or BS25999 or the
BCI Good Practice Guidelines.
A surprisingly high 31% claim they demand formal
certification against a management system standard
like ISO22301, which does not seem consistent with
other evidence the BCI has from other research. This
is probably aspirational rather than current practice,
but might indicate a trend in this direction. Conversely
others argue that certification in itself does not
guarantee that those certified will have appropriate
arrangements in place for the benefit of their customers.
It has been observed that the quality of those certifying
others has not always felt satisfactory and that many
organizations scramble to put their house in order to
pass certifications or other form of audit surveillance.

43%

We check whether they have a BCM programme not just a
business continuity plan

40%

We look for compliance with recognised good practice
(e.g. BCI’s Good Practice Guidelines, BS 25999-1)

40%

We check whether their programme is relevant to the
product or service we are buying

39%

We look for alignment to a recognised standard
(e.g. ISO 22301)

39%

We check whether the scope of their BCM programme
is appropriate

Some illustrative comments follow:
•	 Self-assessment questionnaires have only been used
with respect to pandemic preparedness. For the most
part, we rely on supplier BC plan documentation,
information on test cycles and audit reports

39%

We look where responsibility for BCM is held in the
organization (and involvement of senior management)

•	 All key suppliers will complete a questionnaire
and those categorised as ‘High’ will be subject to
independent audit

33%

We look for certification to a recognised
standard (e.g. BS 25999-2, ISO 22301)

•	 We do a little of most things but it is not a
coordinated effort, we are in the process of trying to
better coordinate this now

31%

We only check for the presence of a business
continuity plan

•	 Individual contract managers do their own thing.
There is not as yet a firm-wide procedure, but there
will be soon

16%

We look for the credentials of those who run
the BCM programme e.g. are they certified?

Question 25. What information do you seek in order to better understand the Business
Continuity arrangements of key suppliers? Base: 331

www.thebci.org	

•	 Provision of evidence of regular testing is a
requirement for all our key suppliers. Additionally
with some of them we conduct joint exercise
scenarios – this is something we find particularly
valuable and are planning to do more of in the future
»	 We ask if we can participate in a joint exercise but
this is not always possible. We ask if they participate
in the industry-wide exercise

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[11]
Assessing Effectiveness of Supplier
Business Continuity
Results in 2013 continue to indicate a passive approach to reviewing the likely
effectiveness of supplier BC arrangements with 41% waiting until contract
renewal and a 16% not reviewing at all.

41%

26%

26%

At contract renewal

At scheduled review meetings as part
of existing governance processes

Ad hoc/when we get the opportunity

17%

With any major change
event at our end

14%

When a new,
significant external
risk is identified

14%

It was also recognized however, that this was not
a simple problem for which there is one solution.
Supply Chain Resilience is very complicated and
is not just about continuity. Different parts of
the organization need the supply chain to deliver
different and potentially conflicting outcomes. For
example, cheapest, best quality, ethically sourced,
socially responsible are objectives that are sometimes
impossible to reconcile.
One particular concern is that 30% of respondents
are completely in the dark when it comes to knowing
where they fit in a supplier’s priorities if an incident
strikes. Typical respondent quotes are worrying as they
seemingly fail to understand the real purpose of having
supply chain continuity. They include:
•	 Some understand the importance they represent to
our ability to solve disruptions, other are lower and
do not play a significant part
•	 We don’t care where we are in the ranking as long as
they can meet our recovery requirements
•	 We think we know, and we might be deluding
ourselves on this aspect
•	 We suspect that due to our size we would be low on
the priority scale

With any major
change event at
their end

16%

30%
No, we do not know
for any key suppliers

Never

Question 28. How often do you review your Business Continuity requirements with
key suppliers and their capability to meet them? Base: 348

The sample for 2013 actually shows regression from the levels in 2012 across
all of the more proactive indicators such as reviewing with major change events
or when a new threat is identified.
Some positive experiences included:
•	 Asking suppliers whether they have actually activated their BCPs in other
client engagements and requesting they share the relevant findings
•	 Asking suppliers how they identify their own ‘critical suppliers’ and what due
diligence they undertake on those critical suppliers
•	 Taking an end to end approach, ensuring the vendor has a BC program and
plan, the business has recovery capability built into their BCPs for reduced
services in the event of a supplier being impacted, as well as contingency plans
owned and developed by the business to cover total loss of a material supplier
•	 Understanding the risk appetite of the directors of the supplier can be
a highly valuable guide as to whether the organization takes resilience
seriously and their responsibility to their customers’ continuity
•	 Rolling out a programme whereby operationally disruptive suppliers as
opposed to suppliers who may well be categorised as significant by financial
value only have been identified. Then conduct an annual due diligence
programme on these suppliers. On top of which there should be regular (at
least quarterly) meetings with (potentially) operationally disruptive suppliers

[12]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

24%
Yes, for most
key suppliers

12%
Yes, for all key
suppliers

34%
Yes, for some

key suppliers

Question 29. If your key suppliers were affected by a
significant disruption, which required them to prioritise
service between customers, do you know where your
organization would be in their ranking? Base 336. Figures
exclude those who do not have any key suppliers (20)

www.thebci.org
13%

10%

Not applicable

Every proposal

8%

16%

Don’t know

Majority

13%

Not at all

14%
Rarely

26%
Somtimes

Question 30. When tendering for new business clients over the past 12 months, how often have you had to provide assurance to clients that your own
Business Continuity arrangements are sufficient? Base: 367

22%
No

Another concerning finding is that, compared to 2012, the need for tenderers
to provide appropriate levels of BCM assurance has declined. In 2012 33%
provided assurance for every (or the majority of) proposals compared with just
26% in 2013.
On a positive note however, it does seem that when Business Continuity
features in contractual discussions it is much more integrated into the process.
In 2012, 29% stated that BC was an afterthought, while in 2013 this figure is
down to just 14%. We interpret this as suggesting that where it is important to
do so, Business Continuity is more likely to be seriously when discussed during
the tender phase.
Some examples of effective Business Continuity provision during a supply
chain disruption are:
•	 We employed continuity plans that maintained customer service without
any loss incurred to the customer, and in some cases, the customer did not
know we were experiencing anything other than business as usual, and this
was very well received
•	 During Hurricane Sandy, supplies were increased in advance of the storm,
enabling our retail locations to remain open during and after the storm
•	 We were able to instigate our own BCP to cater for staff payments when the
bank’s IT systems failed. We were also able to work with our client base to
structure invoice payments. The bank were of little to no use at all

36%
Yes

, but only
where the contract
risk is deemed high
enough to warrant
such discussions

28%
Yes, an integral

part of our
procurement process
from the start

14%
Yes, but after the

purchase decisions
have essentially
been taken

Question 31. Does Business Continuity feature as part of your
supplier contractual discussions? Base: 356

www.thebci.org	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[13]
Annex 1: Functional Role of Respondents
For supply chain respondents, there are some notable
distinctions from the other groups:
•	 89% experienced at least one disruption compared with 75%
in the overall sample
•	 48% of incidents originated at tier 2 or lower
•	 Only 10% use scheduled supplier meetings to review BC.
45% wait for contract renewal and for 35% it’s ad hoc. This
demonstrates a lack of in-life contract management

•	 Top five causes of disruption (high+some impact)
1.	 Product quality (42%)
2.	 Transport network (40%)
3.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (30%)
4.	 Adverse weather (29%)
5.	 Service failure by outsourcer (23%)

2%
Security

3%
Emergency Planning

9%
IT DR/IT Service Continuity

9%
Other

9%
Supply Chain

56%
Business Continuity

12%
Risk Management

Question 1. Base: 519. Other includes internal audit, quality, health and safety, and “line of business roles”

[14]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
Question 2 and Question 3. 519 total responses (reviewed).
Survey fieldwork 25th June to 22nd August 2013. Responses
from 71 countries across 15 sectors.

Annex 2: Respondent Profile
Respondents to this survey were based in 71 countries … and worked in all
15 SIC sectors offered.

29% Financial &
Insurance Service

17% Professional
Service

12% Public Admin
& Defence

11% IT &
Communication

8%
Manufacturing

4% Energy &
Utilities

4% Retail/
Wholesale

3% Health &
Social Care

3% Transport
& Storage

3% Engineering/
Construction

1% Education

1% Media &
Entertainment

1% Support
Services

1% Mining &
Quarrying

1% Agri, Forestry
& Fishing

1% Not Assigned

1%
1% Switzerland

1%
Nigeria

Germany

2%

1%

1%

1%

Keyna
Denmark

Japan

2%

2%

2%

UAE

Belgium

Singapore

New Zealand

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

Canada

Netherlands

South Africa

India

Australia

18%

www.thebci.org	

32%

19%

US

UK

Other
(54 Countries)

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[15]
Annex 3: Cause of Disruption by Region or Country

Continental Europe
(28 countries)

Sub-Saharan Africa
(10 countries)

MENA region
(10 countries)

Asia Region
(9 countries)

Central & Latin America
(9 countries)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (49%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (56%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (62%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (56%)

1.	 Transport network
disruption (75%)

2.	 Outsourcer service
failure (44%)

2.	 Outsourcer service
failure (56%)

2.	 Outsourcer service
failure (43%)

2.	 Transport network
disruption (53%)

2.	 Adverse weather (63%)

3.	 Adverse weather (31%)

3.	 Loss of talent/skills
(40%)

3.	 Civil unrest/conflict
(31%)

3.	 Fire (47%)

4.	 Transport network
disruption (36%)

4.	 Currency exchange rate
volatility (25%)

5.	 Energy scarcity (33%)

5.	 Health and safety
incident (25%)

USA

Canada

Australia

New Zealand

UK

1.	 Adverse weather (45%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (100%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (71%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (33%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/
Telecom outage (57%)

2.	 Transport network
disruption (50%)

2.	 Adverse weather (59%)

2.	 Data breach (33%)

2.	 Adverse weather (47%)

4.	 Loss of talent/skills
(32%)

4.	 Cyber attack (40%)

5.	 Cyber attack (27%)

2.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (41%)

5.	 Outsourcer service
failure (40%)

3.	 Outsourcer service
failure (56%)
4.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (50%)
5.	 Loss of talent/
skills (50%)

3.	 Transport network
disruption (30%)

3.	 Outsourcer service
failure (35%)

3.	 New laws/regulations
(33%)

3.	 Outsourcer service
failure (40%)

4.	 Product quality incident
(27%)

4.	 Outsourcer service
failure (33%)

4.	 Health and safety
incident (35%)

4.	 Product quality incident
(33%)

4.	 Loss of talent/
skills (26%)

5.	 Loss of talent/skills
(21%)

[16]	

3.	 Adverse weather (43%)

5.	 Fire (20%)

5.	 New laws/regulations
(24%)

5.	 Act of terrorism (20%)

5.	 Transport network
disruption (23%)

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
Annex 4: Cause of Disruption by Sector

Financial & Insurance
Services

Professional Services

Public Administration
& Defence

IT & Communication
Services

Manufacturing

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (64%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (70%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (50%)

1.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (48%)

1.	 Transport network
disruption (43%)

2.	 Outsourcer service
failure (38%)

2.	 Outsourcer service
failure (68%)

2.	 Adverse weather (36%)

2.	 Adverse weather (33%)

2.	 Product quality
incident (42%)

3.	 Loss of talent/skills (28%)

3.	 Cyber attack (29%)

3.	 Adverse weather (33%)

3.	 Adverse weather (47%)
4.	 Outsourcer service
failure (24%)

4.	 Outsourcer service
failure (25%)

3.	 Energy scarcity (35%)

4.	 Transport network
disruption (21%)

4.	 Transport network
disruption (43%)
5.	 Loss of talent/skills (35%)

5.	 Transport network
disruption (22%)

5.	 Loss of talent/skills (24%)

5.	 Loss of talent/skills (20%)

Energy & Utility
Services

Retail & Wholesale

Health & Social Care

Transport & Storage

Engineering &
Construction

1.	 Product quality
incident (44%)

1.	 Adverse weather (71%)

1.	 Adverse weather (50%)

1.	 Adverse weather (67%)

1.	 Product quality (57%)

2.	 Loss of talent/skills (44%)

2.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (40%)

2.	 Transport network
disruption (50%)

2.	 Transport network
disruption (56%)

2.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (57%)

3.	 Civil unrest/
conflict (33%)

3.	 Transport network
disruption (39%)

3.	 Insolvency (50%)

3.	 Outsourcer service
failure (56%)

3.	 Adverse weather (57%)

4.	 Lack of credit (30%)

4.	 Product quality
incident (31%)

5.	 Industrial dispute (30%)
5.	 Environmental
incident (31%)

www.thebci.org	

4.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (43%)
5.	 Product quality
incident (43%)

4.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (35%)
5.	 Outsourcer service
failure (33%)

4.	 Unplanned IT/Telecom
outage (44%)
5.	 Health & Safety
incident (33%)

4.	 New laws/
regulations (50%)
5.	 Transport network
disruption (43%)

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[17]
About The Bci
Based in Caversham, United Kingdom, the Business Continuity Institute (BCI) was established in
1994 to ‘promote the art and science of business continuity management’ and to assist organizations
in preparing for and surviving minor and large scale manmade and natural disasters. The Institute
enables members to obtain guidance and support from their fellow practitioners, as well as offering
professional training and certification programmes to disseminate and validate the highest standards of
competence and ethics. It has over 7,000 members in more than 100 countries, active in an estimated
2,500 organizations in private, public and third sectors. For more information go to: www.thebci.org
The BCI Corporate Partnership, established in 2007,
offers corporate membership of the BCI with over 90
member organizations including: Aon Risk Consulting,
BAE Systems, Bank Muscat, BP International, British
American Tobacco, BSI Management Systems, BT,
Cabinet Office, Continuity Central, ContinuitySA,
Continuity Shop, DHL Supply Chain, DNV Business
Assurance, Dubai Electricity and Water, eBay, GE
Healthcare Bio-Sciences, GlaxoSmithKline, Hewlett
Packard, Hill Dickinson, IBM, KPN Corporate Market,
LRQA, Milton Keynes Council, National Grid, Phoenix,
Prudential, PwC, Reed Elsevier, Royal Ahold, Royal Mail,
The Oil and Gas Holding Company, Transnet SOC, T‐
Systems, UNICEF, United Nations Secretariat, VocaLink
and Zurich Insurance Group. To join as a corporate
member, go to: www.bcipartnership.com

Contacting The BCI
Lyndon Bird FBCI
Technical Director and Board Member
10‐11 Southview Park
Marsack Street
Caversham
RG4 5AF
UK
Phone	
Email	

+44 (0)118 947 8215
Lyndon.bird@thebci.org

About Zurich
Zurich is a thought leader in supply chain risk management. It has developed supply chain risk assessment
tools and an innovative and award winning supply chain insurance product. The company has extensive
experience of working with clients to help them make their supply chains more resilient.
Zurich Insurance Group (Zurich) is a leading multi‐
line insurance provider with a global network of
subsidiaries and offices in Europe, North America,
Latin America, Asia‐Pacific and the Middle East as well
as other markets. It offers a wide range of general
insurance and life insurance products and services
for individuals, small businesses, mid‐sized and large
companies as well as multinational corporations.
Zurich employs about 60,000 people serving
customers in more than 170 countries. Founded
in 1872, the Group is headquartered in Zurich,
Switzerland. Zurich Insurance Company Ltd (ZURN)
is listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange and has a level I
American Depositary Receipt program (ZFSVY) which
is traded over‐the‐counter on OTCQX. For further
information about Zurich, go to: www.zurich.com

Contacting Zurich
Nick Wildgoose
Global Supply Chain Product Leader
Zurich Global Corporate
London Underwriting Centre
3 Minster Court, Mincing Lane
London
EC3R 7DD
UK
Phone	
Email	

+44 (0)20 7648 3066
nick.wildgoose@uk.zurich.com

About Cips
The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) is the world’s largest procurement and
supply professional organization. It is the worldwide centre of excellence on purchasing and supply
management issues. CIPS has a global community of over 88,000 in 150 different countries, including
senior business people, high‐ranking civil servants and leading academics. The activities of purchasing
and supply chain professionals have a major impact on the profitability and efficiency of all types of
organization and CIPS offers corporate solutions packages to improve business profitability. For further
information about CIPS, go to: www.cips.org

[18]	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

www.thebci.org
www.thebci.org	

BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013	

[19]
10‐11 Southview Park
Marsack Street
Caversham
RG4 5AF
UK
+44 (0)118 947 8215
www.thebci.org

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Supply chain-resilience-2013-en

  • 1. 5th Annual Survey Supply Chain Resilience 2013 An international survey to consider the origin, causes and consequences of supply chain disruption Published November 2013
  • 2. about the survey Fieldwork for the fifth annual Supply Chain Resilience survey commenced on the 16th April 2013 and the survey closed on the 16th August with 519 responses validated. All members of the Business Continuity Institute received an individual email invitation to complete the online survey. This was then complemented by the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply inviting its members to contribute through their existing communication channels. In addition, support is acknowledged from the following people and organizations: • Colin Ive MBCI and the BRiSC community • Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport We would like to thank Zurich Insurance Group for sponsoring this research for the fifth successive year. Authors: Lee Glendon CBCI, Head of Research and Advocacy at the Business Continuity Institute, and Lyndon Bird FBCI, Technical Director at the Business Continuity Institute Reviewer: Andrew Scott, Senior Communications Manager at the Business Continuity Institute [i] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 3. Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 1 Key Findings................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 1 Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................................................................................2 MAIN REPORT FINDINGS Introduction................................................................................................................................................................................................................3 Frequency and Origin of Disruption.......................................................................................................................................... 4 Causes of Disruption...................................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Consequences of Disruption................................................................................................................................................................. 7 Economic Impacts of Disruption.................................................................................................................................................... 8 Management Commitment...................................................................................................................................................................9 SUPPLY CHAIN BUSINESS CONTINUITY FINDINGS Introduction............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 10 Supplier Business Continuity Information...................................................................................................................... 11 Assessing Effectiveness of Supplier Business Continuity ...........................................................................12 ANNEX 1 – FUNCTIONAL ROLE OF RESPONDENTS............................................................ 14 ANNEX 2 – RESPONDENT PROFILE......................................................................................................................... 15 ANNEX 3 – CAUSE OF DISRUPTION BY REGION OR COUNTRY................ 16 ANNEX 4 – CAUSE OF DISRUPTION BY SECTOR..........................................................................17 ABOUT.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18 www.thebci.org BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [ii]
  • 4. Executive Summary Introduction This Supply Chain Resilience report is the fifth in a series that started in 2009 to consider the challenge of developing resilient supply chains. This report, the result of a survey of 519 respondents from 71 countries, highlights the level, range and cost of disruptions that organizations face, and demonstrates how a disruption in one organization can spread out over the entire supply chain. Key Findings • 75% of respondents still do not have full visibility of their supply chain disruption levels. Only 25% coordinate and report to gain an enterprise-wide view of disruption. This is unchanged from 2012 • 75% of respondents experienced at least one incident that caused disruption. This is consistent with findings in each of the previous four years • 42% of disruptions originated below the tier one supplier, an increase from 2012 • 15% of respondents experienced disruptions that cost in excess of €1M and 9% experienced a single event disruption that cost in excess of €1M • The primary sources of disruption were unplanned IT or telecom outages, with 55% stating they experienced high or some impact from this type of disruption. This was followed by adverse weather (40%) and outsourcer service provision failure (37%) • While insolvency in the supply chain maintained its ninth place in 2013, other financial risk related sources of disruption did recede: lack of credit fell to 21st place from 12th and currency exchange rate volatility dropped from fifth place to 17th www.thebci.org • Below the top three, there have been some significant changes from 2012 to the main causes of disruption: transport network disruption climbed from 14th place to fourth with 30% experiencing high or some impact. The high profile media reporting of the danger of cyber-attacks has resulted in this type of disruption rising from 18th place to fifth. The non-availability or loss of talent/skills increased from 10th place to sixth • When considering sources of disruption by country and sector of activity, some new sources rise to prominence: product quality incidents are prominent in manufacturing, engineering and construction, while in the USA adverse weather takes the top spot in 2013 as a source of supply chain disruption • 41% stated that customer complaints were received as a consequence of disruption, an increase from 35% in 2012, bringing it into second place behind loss of productivity (55%) as the primary consequence of supply chain disruption • Strategic consequences maintain their presence with 24% stating they experienced damaged to their brand and reputation and 26% stakeholder/ shareholder concern. 3% experienced a fall of share price as a result of a disruption BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [1]
  • 5. Conclusions Consistently high levels of supply chain disruption are being reported with a number of threats being re-considered as new evidence and concerns emerge. Supply chain disruptions are not a matter of if but when, although their relative impact on the organization can vary widely. As a starting point it can be useful to look at your most profitable product or service and look at the profit impact of related supplier failure on your organization. The Business Continuity approach to Business Impact Analysis can be a valuable technique to identify key suppliers and operational impacts. It is clear from the results of this survey that supply chain disruptions continue to have a significant impact on business performance and the problem is not being effectively managed. One of the key challenges is to get consistent top management support for investing in improved supply chain resilience. The following conclusions emphasise the importance of continuing with this type of research: • Supply chain failure is still a key performance issue for business • Consistent top management support is required to make a change • Professional procurement practitioners can play a key role but they need to work with Business Continuity practitioners • Business Continuity is too often a tick box exercise other than in top performers • Proactive leadership, not crisis management, is required [2] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 6. Main Report Findings Introduction This survey is the fifth in a series that started in 2009 to consider the challenge of developing resilient supply chains. The methodology used in 2013 was consistent with previous years although some additional questions have been added. Because this annual survey has now collected data over a significant time period, the BCI is also looking at producing a further report showing the trends since 2009. This will be released during Business Continuity Awareness Week 2014. One issue we looked at in 2013 in more detail was the extent to which non-physical events in the supply chain were causing disruption, i.e. events where supply itself is unaffected in the short term but could cause potential long term damage to reputation or business viability. Two notable 2013 events are picked up in the response to this question: the factory collapse in Bangladesh and the equine DNA scandal in Europe. Another new question in 2013 looked to understand the extent to which supply chain failures were generating negative and positive social media discussions. 18% of respondents were aware of the issue while 14% did not know. As might be expected, negative discussion outweighed positive ones by a large majority, whilst many respondents stated that they were not aware of any discussions. This probably supports the fact that many incidents recorded have either limited external impact and/or are managed before they become public – but clearly there’s a potential for many more social discussions around incidents that are not well managed. www.thebci.org BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [3]
  • 7. Frequency and Origin of Disruption Surprisingly, it is not easy to get a full picture of the numbers and reasons for supply chain disruption. 75% of all respondents claim they do not have the full picture on numbers and/or causes whilst 36% do not record it formally at all. 25% Yes, this is coordinated and reported across the whole enterprise 36% This raises a question as to why more companies do not do this – it potentially implies it is either too difficult to do, or not seen as a big enough issue to invest time in finding out. The authors believe that more research is needed to determine why this is case. It does seem likely however that the value of better understanding the levels of supply chain disruptions is not appreciated by top management. It would also seem likely that more management attention should be paid to ensuring such data is collected. There were some interesting responses regarding the methods used to collect this disruption data. They included: • The impact of any incident/disruption is recorded individually by affected business units and entered into a firmwide incident reporting system No • Calculated within the business areas that own the relationships with supply but not shared or acted upon • Risk management works in collaboration with other departments in documenting and reporting incidences and disruptions • Any disruptions which affect supply chain are discussed at contract management meetings 39% Yes, within certain departments/functions but not aggregated • We will soon be reported on maximum potential loss, and this will require estimating lost opportunity and foregone revenue, often the result of third party poor performance Question 7 (Tracking question). Do you record, measure and report on performance-affecting supply chain disruptions (i.e. where an unplanned cost has been incurred or loss of productivity or revenue experienced)? Base: 461 [4] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 8. 32% The source of the disruption was at Tier 2 Question 9. Considering the supply chain incidents you are aware of in the last 12 months, which of the following apply in your experience? Base: 257 58% The source of the disruption was at Tier 1 10% The source of the disruption was at Tier 3 or lower Given this situation, it is safe to suggest that the levels of disruption reported in this survey might well be conservative as some of the lower impact interruptions might not have been captured. Even with this proviso however, 75% of respondents experienced at least one supply chain incident that caused disruption. This is consistent with the findings over the previous four years. Of the analysed incidents, 42% were shown to have originated below the immediate tier one supplier. This shows a slight increase on levels below tier one compared with 2012 and 2011. Examples of tier two events were around quality control issues, power outages affecting suppliers and banking network failures. 25% 53% 0 1–5 6–10 13% 11–20 5% 21–50 1% 3% 51+ Question 8. How many supply chain incidents would you estimate your organization experienced in the past 12 months that caused disruption to your organization? Base: 396 who provided a response. A further 79 stated “don’t know”. www.thebci.org BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [5]
  • 9. Question 10. How severely has your supply chain been affected by any of the following sources of disruption over the past 12 months? Severity levels can be considered in terms of initial impact, ability to continue to deliver key products and services and recovery time, as well as the consequences on brand and reputation. Base: 245. Multiple responses allowed. Adverse weather Earthquake/tsunami Fire Currency exchange rate volatility Act of terrorism High Impact Human illness Some Impact Animal disease Low Impact Lack of credit (cost, availability) Insolvency (in the supply chain) Intellectual Property violation Causes of Disruption Data breach Cyber attack Unplanned IT/telecoms outage With regards to the known causes of disruption, the survey asked what had caused interruption and how severely supply chains had been affected by it. A wide range of sources of disruption over the past 12 months were identified; unplanned IT/Telecom outage being the most reported, followed by adverse weather and outsourcer service failure. Transport network disruption and cyber-attack disruption had risen considerably since 2012, with animal diseases the least reported of known incidents. Severity levels for each cause are considered in terms of initial impact, ability to continue to deliver key products and services and recovery time, as well as the consequences on brand and reputation. The top three causes overall were also seen as the top three high impact causes. For the first time in 2013, we have also looked at this response from a slightly different point of view; the percentage of organizations that actually reported that type of incident. Almost 90% of organizations report an IT or telecom failure, with 55% of them recording it as causing high or some impact. This is perhaps predictable but even more interestingly 38% experienced at least one insolvency in their supply chain during the year. At the other end of this scale, 85% have not been affected by any animal disease related event and only 3% reported any serious impact from it. Industrial dispute Civil unrest/conflict New laws or regulations Energy scarcity Transport network disruption Environmental incident Health & Safety incident Product quality incident Business ethics incident Loss of talent/skills Outsourcer service failure 0 50 100 150 200 Adverse weather Earthquake/tsunami Fire Currency exchange rate volatility Act of terrorism High Impact Human illness Some Impact Animal disease Lack of credit (cost, availability) Low Impact Insolvency (in the supply chain) Intellectual Property violation Data breach Cyber attack Unplanned IT/telecoms outage Industrial dispute Civil unrest/conflict New laws or regulations Energy scarcity Transport network disruption Environmental incident Question 10. Alternative view of this question: Prevalence of risk events. Chart shows that almost 90% of respondents record an IT or telecom failure, while 85% have not been affected by an animal disease related event . 38% experienced an insolvency in their supply chain. Base: 245. Multiple responses allowed. [6] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 Health & Safety incident Product quality incident Business ethics incident Loss of talent/skills Outsourcer service failure 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% www.thebci.org
  • 10. 22% We have only experienced nonphysical disruption 37% We have experienced both physical and nonphysical disruption 41% We have only experienced physical disruption Question 11. What has been your experience of physical and non-physical disruption in your supply chain? Non-physical disruption is defined here as an incident that does not cause a short-term interruption to supply of a product or service but may require a crisis response particularly in terms of communicating with stakeholders and have mediumlonger term supply chain consequences, for example, data breach, or a business ethics incident. Base: 240 Consequences of Disruption It is becoming increasingly clear that both physical and non-physical issues can cause disruption in the supply chain. Non-physical disruption is defined here as an incident that does not cause a short term interruption to supply of a product or service but may require a crisis response particularly in terms of communicating with stakeholders and have medium-longer term supply chain consequences, for example, data breach, or a business ethics incident. Only 41% reported that all their supply chain disruptions were due to physical events alone, so 59% of all respondents recognized the importance of taking this wider threat into account. Examples given included: • Media focus on supplier working environment at factories after building collapse (Bangladesh) leading to new government regulations, even though our company did not use suppliers in collapsed factory • The horse meat scandal caused interruption to supplies in our staff canteens. We also had to issue HR statements on the safety of food served to staff and visitors The conclusion we draw is that is that resilience professionals need to be prepared to deal with non-physical events and not just those which affect short-term availability. www.thebci.org We identified 15 different generic consequences, some of which had an immediate financial impact and others which had the potential for long term damage. In order of importance they were ranked as: • Loss of productivity • Customer complaints received • Increased cost of working • Service outcome impaired • Loss of revenue • Damage to brand/reputation/image • Product release delay • Product recall/withdrawal • Payment of service credits • Share price fall • Stakeholder/shareholder concern • Delayed cash flows • Expected increase in regulatory scrutiny • Loss of regular customers • Fine by regulator for non-compliance Whilst loss of productivity maintains its place as the most likely negative outcome from a supply chain disruption, 41% stated that customer complaints were received as a consequence of disruption, an increase from 35% in 2012, bringing it into second place behind loss of productivity (55%) as the primary consequence of supply chain disruption. Strategic consequences maintain their presence in 2013 with 24% stating they experienced damaged to their brand and reputation and 26% stakeholder/ shareholder concern. BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [7]
  • 11. Economic Impacts of Disruption We asked respondents to estimate the cumulative cost to their organization of supply chain disruption over the past 12 months. Considerations included a loss of revenue and/or increased cost of working. Responses were collated in Euros and we found that 15% experienced an annual cost of disruption of more than €1M. €250M – €500M €101M – €250M 1% 1% We also asked about the largest single loss and found that 9% experienced a single event loss of more than €1M. This compares with 21% in 2012 and 17% in 2011. Hurricane Sandy and some major IT outages contributed to some of the larger losses experienced this year. Here is one specific example from the construction industry: Quality issues with concrete from 2nd tier vendor delayed construction of parking garage. Delay resulted in extra overhead costs for project management and testing and lost revenue. 1% 2% €250M – €500M €11M – €50M 5% €1M – €10M 8% 6% €1M – €10M More than €1 Million 15% 9% More than €1 Million €500,000 – €1 Million 7% 5% €500,000 – €1 Million 8% 9% 25% 19% €250,000 – €500,000 €50,000 – €250,000 €250,000 – €500,000 Less than €50,000 Question 14 (New question). What would you estimate the cumulative cost to your organization of supply chain disruption has been over the past 12 months? Please consider loss of revenue and/or increased cost of working. Please give your response in EUROs (x-rate: 1GBP = 1.2EURO; 1US$ = 0.8EURO). Base: 157 responses. [8] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 €11M – €50M €50,000 – €250,000 Less than €50,000 45% 59% Question 15 (tracking question): Considering the single most significant incident in the last 12 months what was the approximate financial cost (loss of revenue and/ or increased cost of working)? Please give your response in EUROs (x-rate: 1GBP = 1.2EURO; 1US$ = 0.8EURO). Base: 150 responses. www.thebci.org
  • 12. Management Commitment There is a significant contrast between those who have top management commitment, even on an inconsistent basis, and those who have low commitment. 100% of those citing low commitment experienced at least one disruption. 47% of the low commitment group stated that disruption was not recorded systematically and only 3% had an enterprise wide view. 40% of this subgroup stated their BCM programme did not account for supply chain disruption and 61% had supply chains where half or less of key suppliers had Business Continuity in place. This group also restrict themselves to just asking suppliers whether they have a ‘BCP’ (54%) – far behind their overall comparative groups. www.thebci.org One survey respondent also noted that it took the failure of a key supplier for top management to pay attention to this subject. Although this is a cynical view, it seems to be one that is held in various degrees of seriousness and severity by many supply chain practitioners. BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [9]
  • 13. Supply Chain Business Continuity Findings Introduction Although around 75% of respondents felt that they included consideration of supply chain disruption in their BCM programmes, the extent to which this is validated is highly variable. Around 20% do not even ask their key suppliers (new or existing) if they have any Business Continuity arrangements in place. Almost 50% of survey respondents stated that half or less of their key suppliers had any BC arrangements in place even for their own needs. It is a safe assumption that such suppliers are more vulnerable to disruption than better prepared companies and the consequences will hit the client organization as well as the supplier organization. Only 10% of respondents stated that all of their key suppliers have BC arrangements in place. 22% 21% 16% 20% 11% <10% 10% 11% –25% 26% –50% 51% –75% 76% –99% 100% Question 24. Considering your key suppliers, what percentage of them would you say have Business Continuity arrangements in place to address their own needs? Base: 292 [10] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 14. Supplier Business Continuity Information It was interesting that amongst the Business Continuity practitioner respondents the most frequently cited methodology to identify key suppliers was a Business Impact Analysis (BIA). This would normally be an embedded process within the BCM lifecycle. For those who do not include supply chain as part of their BCM programme and those individuals who are more purchasing/ supply focused, the key techniques were seen to be Strategic Positioning along with Supplier Spend/Volume. Business Continuity information sought from a supplier understandably varies with the criticality of the supplier under scrutiny. Only 31% settle for the presence of a BCP. 43% claim to check if suppliers have a BCM programme, not just a documented plan and others look for compliance with external good practice like the BCI’s Good Practice Guidelines or BS25999-1 Code of Practice for BCM. Only 40% check whether the suppliers programme is relevant to the product or service being purchased – a surprising omission. Only 16% look for the credentials of those who run the BCM programme, another indication that the importance of BCM quality control is not fully appreciated. Others approaches noted include: • Ask BCM questions at tender stage depending on value and risk of project • Rate suppliers on a matrix value base upon a defined list of questions • Audit suppliers using one or more of the following techniques › Obtain physical evidence › Conduct a review via WebEx › Undertake site visits to obtain positive assurance of control environment › Check system for implementation, operation, maintenance, review and continuous improvement of BCM programme • Demand alignment to ISO 22301 or BS25999 or the BCI Good Practice Guidelines. A surprisingly high 31% claim they demand formal certification against a management system standard like ISO22301, which does not seem consistent with other evidence the BCI has from other research. This is probably aspirational rather than current practice, but might indicate a trend in this direction. Conversely others argue that certification in itself does not guarantee that those certified will have appropriate arrangements in place for the benefit of their customers. It has been observed that the quality of those certifying others has not always felt satisfactory and that many organizations scramble to put their house in order to pass certifications or other form of audit surveillance. 43% We check whether they have a BCM programme not just a business continuity plan 40% We look for compliance with recognised good practice (e.g. BCI’s Good Practice Guidelines, BS 25999-1) 40% We check whether their programme is relevant to the product or service we are buying 39% We look for alignment to a recognised standard (e.g. ISO 22301) 39% We check whether the scope of their BCM programme is appropriate Some illustrative comments follow: • Self-assessment questionnaires have only been used with respect to pandemic preparedness. For the most part, we rely on supplier BC plan documentation, information on test cycles and audit reports 39% We look where responsibility for BCM is held in the organization (and involvement of senior management) • All key suppliers will complete a questionnaire and those categorised as ‘High’ will be subject to independent audit 33% We look for certification to a recognised standard (e.g. BS 25999-2, ISO 22301) • We do a little of most things but it is not a coordinated effort, we are in the process of trying to better coordinate this now 31% We only check for the presence of a business continuity plan • Individual contract managers do their own thing. There is not as yet a firm-wide procedure, but there will be soon 16% We look for the credentials of those who run the BCM programme e.g. are they certified? Question 25. What information do you seek in order to better understand the Business Continuity arrangements of key suppliers? Base: 331 www.thebci.org • Provision of evidence of regular testing is a requirement for all our key suppliers. Additionally with some of them we conduct joint exercise scenarios – this is something we find particularly valuable and are planning to do more of in the future » We ask if we can participate in a joint exercise but this is not always possible. We ask if they participate in the industry-wide exercise BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [11]
  • 15. Assessing Effectiveness of Supplier Business Continuity Results in 2013 continue to indicate a passive approach to reviewing the likely effectiveness of supplier BC arrangements with 41% waiting until contract renewal and a 16% not reviewing at all. 41% 26% 26% At contract renewal At scheduled review meetings as part of existing governance processes Ad hoc/when we get the opportunity 17% With any major change event at our end 14% When a new, significant external risk is identified 14% It was also recognized however, that this was not a simple problem for which there is one solution. Supply Chain Resilience is very complicated and is not just about continuity. Different parts of the organization need the supply chain to deliver different and potentially conflicting outcomes. For example, cheapest, best quality, ethically sourced, socially responsible are objectives that are sometimes impossible to reconcile. One particular concern is that 30% of respondents are completely in the dark when it comes to knowing where they fit in a supplier’s priorities if an incident strikes. Typical respondent quotes are worrying as they seemingly fail to understand the real purpose of having supply chain continuity. They include: • Some understand the importance they represent to our ability to solve disruptions, other are lower and do not play a significant part • We don’t care where we are in the ranking as long as they can meet our recovery requirements • We think we know, and we might be deluding ourselves on this aspect • We suspect that due to our size we would be low on the priority scale With any major change event at their end 16% 30% No, we do not know for any key suppliers Never Question 28. How often do you review your Business Continuity requirements with key suppliers and their capability to meet them? Base: 348 The sample for 2013 actually shows regression from the levels in 2012 across all of the more proactive indicators such as reviewing with major change events or when a new threat is identified. Some positive experiences included: • Asking suppliers whether they have actually activated their BCPs in other client engagements and requesting they share the relevant findings • Asking suppliers how they identify their own ‘critical suppliers’ and what due diligence they undertake on those critical suppliers • Taking an end to end approach, ensuring the vendor has a BC program and plan, the business has recovery capability built into their BCPs for reduced services in the event of a supplier being impacted, as well as contingency plans owned and developed by the business to cover total loss of a material supplier • Understanding the risk appetite of the directors of the supplier can be a highly valuable guide as to whether the organization takes resilience seriously and their responsibility to their customers’ continuity • Rolling out a programme whereby operationally disruptive suppliers as opposed to suppliers who may well be categorised as significant by financial value only have been identified. Then conduct an annual due diligence programme on these suppliers. On top of which there should be regular (at least quarterly) meetings with (potentially) operationally disruptive suppliers [12] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 24% Yes, for most key suppliers 12% Yes, for all key suppliers 34% Yes, for some key suppliers Question 29. If your key suppliers were affected by a significant disruption, which required them to prioritise service between customers, do you know where your organization would be in their ranking? Base 336. Figures exclude those who do not have any key suppliers (20) www.thebci.org
  • 16. 13% 10% Not applicable Every proposal 8% 16% Don’t know Majority 13% Not at all 14% Rarely 26% Somtimes Question 30. When tendering for new business clients over the past 12 months, how often have you had to provide assurance to clients that your own Business Continuity arrangements are sufficient? Base: 367 22% No Another concerning finding is that, compared to 2012, the need for tenderers to provide appropriate levels of BCM assurance has declined. In 2012 33% provided assurance for every (or the majority of) proposals compared with just 26% in 2013. On a positive note however, it does seem that when Business Continuity features in contractual discussions it is much more integrated into the process. In 2012, 29% stated that BC was an afterthought, while in 2013 this figure is down to just 14%. We interpret this as suggesting that where it is important to do so, Business Continuity is more likely to be seriously when discussed during the tender phase. Some examples of effective Business Continuity provision during a supply chain disruption are: • We employed continuity plans that maintained customer service without any loss incurred to the customer, and in some cases, the customer did not know we were experiencing anything other than business as usual, and this was very well received • During Hurricane Sandy, supplies were increased in advance of the storm, enabling our retail locations to remain open during and after the storm • We were able to instigate our own BCP to cater for staff payments when the bank’s IT systems failed. We were also able to work with our client base to structure invoice payments. The bank were of little to no use at all 36% Yes , but only where the contract risk is deemed high enough to warrant such discussions 28% Yes, an integral part of our procurement process from the start 14% Yes, but after the purchase decisions have essentially been taken Question 31. Does Business Continuity feature as part of your supplier contractual discussions? Base: 356 www.thebci.org BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [13]
  • 17. Annex 1: Functional Role of Respondents For supply chain respondents, there are some notable distinctions from the other groups: • 89% experienced at least one disruption compared with 75% in the overall sample • 48% of incidents originated at tier 2 or lower • Only 10% use scheduled supplier meetings to review BC. 45% wait for contract renewal and for 35% it’s ad hoc. This demonstrates a lack of in-life contract management • Top five causes of disruption (high+some impact) 1. Product quality (42%) 2. Transport network (40%) 3. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (30%) 4. Adverse weather (29%) 5. Service failure by outsourcer (23%) 2% Security 3% Emergency Planning 9% IT DR/IT Service Continuity 9% Other 9% Supply Chain 56% Business Continuity 12% Risk Management Question 1. Base: 519. Other includes internal audit, quality, health and safety, and “line of business roles” [14] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 18. Question 2 and Question 3. 519 total responses (reviewed). Survey fieldwork 25th June to 22nd August 2013. Responses from 71 countries across 15 sectors. Annex 2: Respondent Profile Respondents to this survey were based in 71 countries … and worked in all 15 SIC sectors offered. 29% Financial & Insurance Service 17% Professional Service 12% Public Admin & Defence 11% IT & Communication 8% Manufacturing 4% Energy & Utilities 4% Retail/ Wholesale 3% Health & Social Care 3% Transport & Storage 3% Engineering/ Construction 1% Education 1% Media & Entertainment 1% Support Services 1% Mining & Quarrying 1% Agri, Forestry & Fishing 1% Not Assigned 1% 1% Switzerland 1% Nigeria Germany 2% 1% 1% 1% Keyna Denmark Japan 2% 2% 2% UAE Belgium Singapore New Zealand 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% Canada Netherlands South Africa India Australia 18% www.thebci.org 32% 19% US UK Other (54 Countries) BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [15]
  • 19. Annex 3: Cause of Disruption by Region or Country Continental Europe (28 countries) Sub-Saharan Africa (10 countries) MENA region (10 countries) Asia Region (9 countries) Central & Latin America (9 countries) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (49%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (56%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (62%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (56%) 1. Transport network disruption (75%) 2. Outsourcer service failure (44%) 2. Outsourcer service failure (56%) 2. Outsourcer service failure (43%) 2. Transport network disruption (53%) 2. Adverse weather (63%) 3. Adverse weather (31%) 3. Loss of talent/skills (40%) 3. Civil unrest/conflict (31%) 3. Fire (47%) 4. Transport network disruption (36%) 4. Currency exchange rate volatility (25%) 5. Energy scarcity (33%) 5. Health and safety incident (25%) USA Canada Australia New Zealand UK 1. Adverse weather (45%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (100%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (71%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (33%) 1. Unplanned IT/ Telecom outage (57%) 2. Transport network disruption (50%) 2. Adverse weather (59%) 2. Data breach (33%) 2. Adverse weather (47%) 4. Loss of talent/skills (32%) 4. Cyber attack (40%) 5. Cyber attack (27%) 2. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (41%) 5. Outsourcer service failure (40%) 3. Outsourcer service failure (56%) 4. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (50%) 5. Loss of talent/ skills (50%) 3. Transport network disruption (30%) 3. Outsourcer service failure (35%) 3. New laws/regulations (33%) 3. Outsourcer service failure (40%) 4. Product quality incident (27%) 4. Outsourcer service failure (33%) 4. Health and safety incident (35%) 4. Product quality incident (33%) 4. Loss of talent/ skills (26%) 5. Loss of talent/skills (21%) [16] 3. Adverse weather (43%) 5. Fire (20%) 5. New laws/regulations (24%) 5. Act of terrorism (20%) 5. Transport network disruption (23%) BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 20. Annex 4: Cause of Disruption by Sector Financial & Insurance Services Professional Services Public Administration & Defence IT & Communication Services Manufacturing 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (64%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (70%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (50%) 1. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (48%) 1. Transport network disruption (43%) 2. Outsourcer service failure (38%) 2. Outsourcer service failure (68%) 2. Adverse weather (36%) 2. Adverse weather (33%) 2. Product quality incident (42%) 3. Loss of talent/skills (28%) 3. Cyber attack (29%) 3. Adverse weather (33%) 3. Adverse weather (47%) 4. Outsourcer service failure (24%) 4. Outsourcer service failure (25%) 3. Energy scarcity (35%) 4. Transport network disruption (21%) 4. Transport network disruption (43%) 5. Loss of talent/skills (35%) 5. Transport network disruption (22%) 5. Loss of talent/skills (24%) 5. Loss of talent/skills (20%) Energy & Utility Services Retail & Wholesale Health & Social Care Transport & Storage Engineering & Construction 1. Product quality incident (44%) 1. Adverse weather (71%) 1. Adverse weather (50%) 1. Adverse weather (67%) 1. Product quality (57%) 2. Loss of talent/skills (44%) 2. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (40%) 2. Transport network disruption (50%) 2. Transport network disruption (56%) 2. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (57%) 3. Civil unrest/ conflict (33%) 3. Transport network disruption (39%) 3. Insolvency (50%) 3. Outsourcer service failure (56%) 3. Adverse weather (57%) 4. Lack of credit (30%) 4. Product quality incident (31%) 5. Industrial dispute (30%) 5. Environmental incident (31%) www.thebci.org 4. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (43%) 5. Product quality incident (43%) 4. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (35%) 5. Outsourcer service failure (33%) 4. Unplanned IT/Telecom outage (44%) 5. Health & Safety incident (33%) 4. New laws/ regulations (50%) 5. Transport network disruption (43%) BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 [17]
  • 21. About The Bci Based in Caversham, United Kingdom, the Business Continuity Institute (BCI) was established in 1994 to ‘promote the art and science of business continuity management’ and to assist organizations in preparing for and surviving minor and large scale manmade and natural disasters. The Institute enables members to obtain guidance and support from their fellow practitioners, as well as offering professional training and certification programmes to disseminate and validate the highest standards of competence and ethics. It has over 7,000 members in more than 100 countries, active in an estimated 2,500 organizations in private, public and third sectors. For more information go to: www.thebci.org The BCI Corporate Partnership, established in 2007, offers corporate membership of the BCI with over 90 member organizations including: Aon Risk Consulting, BAE Systems, Bank Muscat, BP International, British American Tobacco, BSI Management Systems, BT, Cabinet Office, Continuity Central, ContinuitySA, Continuity Shop, DHL Supply Chain, DNV Business Assurance, Dubai Electricity and Water, eBay, GE Healthcare Bio-Sciences, GlaxoSmithKline, Hewlett Packard, Hill Dickinson, IBM, KPN Corporate Market, LRQA, Milton Keynes Council, National Grid, Phoenix, Prudential, PwC, Reed Elsevier, Royal Ahold, Royal Mail, The Oil and Gas Holding Company, Transnet SOC, T‐ Systems, UNICEF, United Nations Secretariat, VocaLink and Zurich Insurance Group. To join as a corporate member, go to: www.bcipartnership.com Contacting The BCI Lyndon Bird FBCI Technical Director and Board Member 10‐11 Southview Park Marsack Street Caversham RG4 5AF UK Phone Email +44 (0)118 947 8215 Lyndon.bird@thebci.org About Zurich Zurich is a thought leader in supply chain risk management. It has developed supply chain risk assessment tools and an innovative and award winning supply chain insurance product. The company has extensive experience of working with clients to help them make their supply chains more resilient. Zurich Insurance Group (Zurich) is a leading multi‐ line insurance provider with a global network of subsidiaries and offices in Europe, North America, Latin America, Asia‐Pacific and the Middle East as well as other markets. It offers a wide range of general insurance and life insurance products and services for individuals, small businesses, mid‐sized and large companies as well as multinational corporations. Zurich employs about 60,000 people serving customers in more than 170 countries. Founded in 1872, the Group is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland. Zurich Insurance Company Ltd (ZURN) is listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange and has a level I American Depositary Receipt program (ZFSVY) which is traded over‐the‐counter on OTCQX. For further information about Zurich, go to: www.zurich.com Contacting Zurich Nick Wildgoose Global Supply Chain Product Leader Zurich Global Corporate London Underwriting Centre 3 Minster Court, Mincing Lane London EC3R 7DD UK Phone Email +44 (0)20 7648 3066 nick.wildgoose@uk.zurich.com About Cips The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) is the world’s largest procurement and supply professional organization. It is the worldwide centre of excellence on purchasing and supply management issues. CIPS has a global community of over 88,000 in 150 different countries, including senior business people, high‐ranking civil servants and leading academics. The activities of purchasing and supply chain professionals have a major impact on the profitability and efficiency of all types of organization and CIPS offers corporate solutions packages to improve business profitability. For further information about CIPS, go to: www.cips.org [18] BCI Supply Chain Survey 2013 www.thebci.org
  • 23. 10‐11 Southview Park Marsack Street Caversham RG4 5AF UK +44 (0)118 947 8215 www.thebci.org