2008 Prediction Survey (NVCA)

National Venture Capital Association 2008 Predictions Survey All data embargoed until: December 17, 2007

NVCA 2008 Venture Capital Predictions Survey
Second annual predictions survey
Conducted in December 2007
More than 170 respondents
Quotes and press release available – contact Emily Mendell (610-565-3904)

Venture Investment

How much will venture capitalists invest in 2008? Mean = $26.8 billion Median = $27 billion Range: $18 – 43 billion Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Of which single global investment region are you most leery? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Predictions for high growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Predictions for moderate growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Predictions for lower growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Which single industry will be overvalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2007 Predictions Survey

Which single industry will be undervalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Venture Exits

In 2008, the venture-backed U.S. IPO market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey 15 % faster pace than 2007 20 % slower pace to 2007 24 % equal pace to 2007

Which stock exchanges hold the most promise for growth for venture backed companies in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

In 2008, transaction volume in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

In 2008, transaction value in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Venture Fundraising

On average, venture capital funds raised in 2008 will be … Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

In 2008, we will see the number of venture capital firms… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Venture Performance

How will venture capital performance change over time? Short Term Returns (1-5 years) Long Term Returns (5-10 years) Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

US Economic and Political Predictions

How will the US economy trend in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Will the sub-prime credit woes be contained in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Where will the price of oil be in December 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

What will happen to the value of the US dollar in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Who will be sworn in as US president in January 2009? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

Venture Capital Historical Data

VC Fundraising 1996 – 2007 (thru Q3) Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA

Venture Capital Investment 1995 – Q3 2007 Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report; Data: Thomson Financial

Venture Exit Counts- IPOs and M&A by Year Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association

Private Equity Returns As of 6/30/07 Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association 9% 7% 6% 4% NASDAQ 8% 7% 4% 10% S&P 500 14% 11% 9% 21% All PE 13% 9% 11% 22% Buyouts 16% 21% 3% 18% > All VC 14% 10% 5% 24% Later VC 14% 18% 6% 25% Balanced VC 21% 40% -1% 8% Early VC 20 yr 10 yr 5 yr 1yr Fund Type

www.nvca.org

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2008 Prediction Survey (NVCA)

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