The computing trend that will change everything

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This talk, given at the VERGE conference in Washington DC on March 15, 2012, describes in about 9 minutes the implications of the long-term trend in the energy efficiency of computing that we described in this refereed journal article: Koomey, Jonathan G., Stephen Berard, Marla Sanchez, and Henry Wong. 2011. "Implications of Historical Trends in The Electrical Efficiency of Computing." IEEE Annals of the History of Computing. vol. 33, no. 3. July-September. pp. 46-54. [http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MAHC.2010.28]

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The computing trend that will change everything

  1. 1. The computing trend that will change everything Jonathan Koomey Consulting Professor, Stanford University jgkoomey@stanford.edu http://www.koomey.com March 15, 2012
  2. 2. Computing efficiency ubling about every year and a half since the 1940s 100x improvement every decade abled the existence of laptops and smart phones
  3. 3. Images courtesy of Josh Smith, U mplications: More and tter mobile computing sensors, controls Power from batteries light heat motion or even stray radio and TV signals
  4. 4. Deeper implications Customized data collection (nanodata, not big data) Ever more precise control of processes Real-time analysis Enabling “the internet of things” Bottom line: better matching of energy services demanded with those supplied
  5. 5. hese trends still have a long way to run ssst: Researchers at Purdue and the University of ew South Wales have just created a reliable one atom transistor…
  6. 6. Further reading Koomey, Jonathan G., Stephen Berard, Marla Sanchez, and Henry Wong. 2011. "Implications of Historical Trends in the Electrical Efficiency of Computing."  IEEE Annals of the History of Computing.  vol. 3 3 , n o . 3 . J u l y - S e p t e m b e r . p p . 4 6 - 5 4 . [ h t t p : / / doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MAHC.2010.28] Greene, Kate. 2011. "A New and Improved Moore's Law." In Technology Review. September 12. [http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/ 38548/?p1=A1] Eisenberg, Anne. 2010. "Bye-Bye Batteries: Radio Waves as a Low- Power Source." The New York Times.  New York, NY.  July 18. p. BU3. [http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/18/business/18novel.html]

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