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TURNING RETAIL FOOTFALLS
            INTO GAINS
Caroline Papadatos, SVP International & Head of Global Alliances
Retail Leadership Conference, Mumbai, India
February 2013
FOOTFALLS
    =
CUSTOMERS
    =
   DATA
    =
  GAINS
ENRICHING CUSTOMER
   RELATIONSHIPS



          ®
CUSTOMER’S JOURNEY




  Mass Marketing      Targeted Marketing   Service Management
      In-Store                             Channel Management
    Point-of-Sale
Customer Experience
MARKETING MEASURES
   Awareness %
Facebook Users
  Marketing
   Reach

Impressions


    Market
 Segmentation


 Demographics
RETAIL
FOOTFALLS
     =
 FINANCIAL
   GAINS
1 lac members mentioned their favourites

            18,000 Gujaratis                           16, 000 Bengalis
     4000 GM / Directors                    1.67 lacs – Members with 2 children

             25,000 members with daughters of marriageable age

                                                 900+ million mobile phone users
 15,000 Teachers




                                                                 21,000 Marathis
 31,000 Tamilians



     6000 Doctors



46 million Indians active on Facebook          13+ million Indian broadband users
DATA & ANALYTICS
    Contact Data          Segmentation
                             Propensity
   Marketing                 Modeling
     Data                Trigger-Based
                          Campaigns
Transactional
    Data                   Geo-Targeting

   Social Media      Spend Curves
      Data
                                  Store
   Redemption                  Assortment
      Data            Pricing
                    Optmization
LONGITUDINAL CUSTOMER
VIEW             Acquisition


                       Activation %


                           Lift


                        Shift



                      Retention
CUSTOMER RETAIL
   SCORECARD
                                                         Frequency /                               Sustained Effect
                                                         Store Visits                               – ROI & Pre /
                                                                                                        Post
                                                      Basket size            Lift in spend by        engagement
                                       Customer                                  segment
                                       Acquisition
                                       High vs.
                                                             Sales
                                       Low                                                            INCREMENTAL
                                                          Penetration by
                                       Potential                                                     spend & retention
                                                            segment
                                Promo                                              Attainability
                              Responses
                              By Channel
                                                                Sales
                                 ROI
                                                              Penetration

                                      Card                                                               BRAND
                                      Activation                                                      MEASURES BY
                 Enrollment                                                                             SEGMENT
Brand Baseline                                           Brand Baseline
    (pre)                                                 (by segment)

                 3 Months             6 Months            9 Months                    12 Months         Future State




                                              Brand Metrics                 Retail Metrics         Loyalty Metrics
CAPTURING
CUSTOMER
     DATA
 INSIGHTS
Retail
Customers     Loyalty
                           Performance




   Plan A       Plan B        Plan C

   Retail        Price       Loyalty
 Experience   Promotions    Programs
CUSTOMER
   IDENTIFICATION



   Loyalty Signup
Transactional Device
   Data Collection
Behavioral Tracking
  Customer Insight
ACQUISITION BY LIST, PROFILE
                   Behavior
                      Member Base
               Best Customers
3    1    1/2



1    12   ~10%




60   50   ~Rs
LOYALTY SCORECARD
                          Low shopping
                            frequency
 Inflated customer    – Low member points
                                            Redemption barriers
       promise
                                            – Low redemptions
– High expectations




                         Low customer
                          engagement
High member signups                            High liability
  – Increased cost      – Low return on        – High cost
                       loyalty investment




                       Price Discounting
COALITION BENEFITS

               Superior
               Currency
                    =
               Footfalls
                    =
              Retail Gains
SUPERNOSSO OUTPACED OVERALL MARKET SALES BY 7.5%

 Jan 09 to Sep
                                         Supernosso Store Sales, Pre and Post Dotz                                                                         Oct 09 to
 09, Grocer                                              Launch                                                                                            July 09
 trending                                                                                                                                                  Grocer
 4.79% below                                   (% Growth vs. previous year)                                                                                trending
 market                                                                                                                                                    7.5%
                                          Super Nosso YOY Growth                    Brazil Market YOY Growth
                                                                                                                                                           over
                   Market YOY Growth pre Dotz-launch: 5.4%                                             YOY Growth since Dotz Launch: 13%                   market




          Jan     Feb     Mar      Apr     May      Jun      Jul     Aug     Sep      Oct     Nov      Dec     Jan     Feb       Mar   Apr   May   Jun '   Jul
          '09     '09     '09      '09     '09      '09      '09     '09     '09      '09     '09      '09     '10     '10       '10   '10   '10    10     '10




                SN YOY Growth pre Dotz-Launch: 0.7%                                                 Market YOY Growth since Dotz-launch: 5.5%
Sources: Abras BR Metrics Grocery sales Trend (www.abras.com.br ) - using the “REAL” numbers for the brazil market YOY growth.
CHANGING
CUSTOMER
 BEHAVIOR
CUSTOMER
   RELATIONSHIPS
   (RECIPROCITY)

               Rewards
Data          Recognition
              Relevance
REWARDS
                             Dream
              Aspirational
Attainable
DATA FUELS RELEVANCE
                                                                           Potential to migrate or
                                                                           consolidate spend in
                                                                           Organized Retail
Indicator of increased                                  Grocery
retail spending potential             Value Added       Spends,
                                      Services on      Frequency
                                     smart phone?


                                                                                       Opportunities to drive
                                 Travel                         Specialty              cross-shop between
                              frequency,                      Retail Spends,           brands
                               national /                      Frequency,
                            international?                     Preferences


                                      Drive two-      % of overall
                                     wheeler, four-    spend on
                                      wheeler?        credit card?
                                       Premium           Which
Indicators of household                  gas?         categories?
spending and                                                                   Identification of potential for
consumption                                                                    increased card usage
PERSONALIZATION
                                     1:1 tailored
                                     and
                                     relevant
                                     messaging


Ability to
integrate into
broader
marketing
platform                            Highly
                                    personalized
                                    to individual
                                    locale




  Insight into
  using                            Currency more
  currency vs.                     cost-efficient
  price                            (lower offer)
  discounts
RELEVANCE SELLS
RECOGNITION
IMPORTANCE VS. SATISFACTION



                              40% pt. gap




                                        27
Welcoming customers                             Interaction with Senior management




Teachers from UP understanding the finer   Doctors from Ahmedabad & Surat, busy in
details of jewellery manufacturing                               Diamond Session
RESULTS
RAPID-FIRE
3 R’S AT WORK


MCI Friends & Family Program

  –   22 members in your “calling circle”
  –   10M customers within 24 months
  –   Market share lift of 6%
  –   Lower COA
  –   Higher conversion rate
                                            30
Product
Revenue
          Assortment




  6%
             15%
                       SEGMENTATION
Average Basket Size                     Average Transactions/Member

                                                                15%
                   25%
                                             3            2.7
120    26%                                        42%
              96                           2.5
100                         1%                     1.9
                                                                      27%

        76                                   2                                1.8
 80
                          63 64            1.5                          1.4
 60
                                             1
 40
                                           0.5
 20
                                             0
  0                                              DM Responder         DM Control
      DM Responder       DM Control
                                                        Pre     Promo
        Pre          Promo

• Promotion lifted average basket size by 25% and average transactions per
  member by 15% pre vs. post
PROMOTIONAL IMPACT
Lift _ The Power of The Currency1




                                1   AIR MILES Reward Program, 2008

                                                                 33
                                                                33
“POTENTIAL”
Who are my most important Customers?
      SEGMENTATION
                  Most current sales come from                                                  Biggest opportunity comes
                  Families with Children                                                        from Active Singles and
                                                                                                Couples

                                         Segment Current Value & Potential Value
 Sales $




             Value-    Famililies    Older      Familes with   Working    Active      Active        Empty       Golden
           Conscious   with Teens   Familieis     Young        Singles   Couples      Singles       Nesters     Years
            Families                             Children


                                                 Current Sales      Potential Sales

                 Provides the foundations for Customer-Centric strategy by
                  identifying, quantifying & prioritizing Customer Segments
APPAREL & FOOTWEAR RESULTS
                                          AIR MILES                           AIR MILES
     AIR MILES                        Same store sales                     annual member
member vs. non-member                  rewards markets                     spend increase
                                      vs. rest of Canada                 during bonus period
                                                                                                    84%
        82                                 5.2                                  62                  ROI!
        %                                  %                                    %




  Average spend / member                 Same store sales                Average spend / member




   • On average, Air Miles members responding to bonus offers spend 74% more at a footwear partner
   • For example, a four-month bonus offer of 10x the Air Miles at the footwear partner resulted in 62%
     increase in annual spend per Collector and 44% increase in spend per transaction, generating a
     84% ROI for the retailer


   35
PRODUCT SEQUENCING
Definitions
                                 Visit #1                Visit #2         Visit #3
                           Plumbing     Drywall           Paint           Cabinetry




                        “Sequence Rule: {Plumbing & Drywall} => {Paint} => {Cabinetry}”
• Support (%): 2%
  – 2% of collectors purchased Plumbing and Drywall in one visit and then purchased paint and cabinetry
    in the next two visits (regardless of any other items purchased in those visits)

• Confidence (%): 20%
  – Of those customers that purchase Plumbing and Drywall on one trip and Paint on subsequent trip,
    20% purchased Cabinetry after that

• Lift: 3.2
  – Collectors who purchase Plumbing and Drywall on one trip and Paint on a subsequent trip are 3.2
    times more likely to purchase Cabinetry then people who do not

                                                  36
PAGE PRODUCTIVITY
FOOTFALLS…
MEASUREABLE GAINS
Zone 1        Zone 4




Zone 2        Zone 3
FROM LOYALTY TO RETAIL GAINS

                           Marketing         Category &
                                                                  Operational
      Loyalty            Effectiveness         Product
                                                                  Optimization
                          & Efficiency       Management

                                                 Product           Store, Branch &
    Customer ID             Modeling
                                              Rationalization     Online Experience
Enrolment / Activation    Segmentation
                                            Product & Category    Staff Development
   Direct Targeting      Direct Marketing      Development       Real Estate Strategy


  Acquisition            Improved ROI        Improved Margins     Return on Capital
  Basket Size            Improved            New Product          Reduced
  Frequency of           Response Rates      Innovation           Turnover
  visits                 Resource            Partner              Incremental sales
  Spend                  Allocation          Management
Workshop by Loyalty One- Turning customer footfalls into nancial gains

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Workshop by Loyalty One- Turning customer footfalls into nancial gains

  • 1. TURNING RETAIL FOOTFALLS INTO GAINS Caroline Papadatos, SVP International & Head of Global Alliances Retail Leadership Conference, Mumbai, India February 2013
  • 2. FOOTFALLS = CUSTOMERS = DATA = GAINS
  • 3. ENRICHING CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS ®
  • 4. CUSTOMER’S JOURNEY Mass Marketing Targeted Marketing Service Management In-Store Channel Management Point-of-Sale Customer Experience
  • 5. MARKETING MEASURES Awareness % Facebook Users Marketing Reach Impressions Market Segmentation Demographics
  • 6. RETAIL FOOTFALLS = FINANCIAL GAINS
  • 7. 1 lac members mentioned their favourites 18,000 Gujaratis 16, 000 Bengalis 4000 GM / Directors 1.67 lacs – Members with 2 children 25,000 members with daughters of marriageable age 900+ million mobile phone users 15,000 Teachers 21,000 Marathis 31,000 Tamilians 6000 Doctors 46 million Indians active on Facebook 13+ million Indian broadband users
  • 8. DATA & ANALYTICS Contact Data Segmentation Propensity Marketing Modeling Data Trigger-Based Campaigns Transactional Data Geo-Targeting Social Media Spend Curves Data Store Redemption Assortment Data Pricing Optmization
  • 9. LONGITUDINAL CUSTOMER VIEW Acquisition Activation % Lift Shift Retention
  • 10. CUSTOMER RETAIL SCORECARD Frequency / Sustained Effect Store Visits – ROI & Pre / Post Basket size Lift in spend by engagement Customer segment Acquisition High vs. Sales Low INCREMENTAL Penetration by Potential spend & retention segment Promo Attainability Responses By Channel Sales ROI Penetration Card BRAND Activation MEASURES BY Enrollment SEGMENT Brand Baseline Brand Baseline (pre) (by segment) 3 Months 6 Months 9 Months 12 Months Future State Brand Metrics Retail Metrics Loyalty Metrics
  • 11. CAPTURING CUSTOMER DATA INSIGHTS
  • 12.
  • 13. Retail Customers Loyalty Performance Plan A Plan B Plan C Retail Price Loyalty Experience Promotions Programs
  • 14. CUSTOMER IDENTIFICATION Loyalty Signup Transactional Device Data Collection Behavioral Tracking Customer Insight
  • 15. ACQUISITION BY LIST, PROFILE Behavior Member Base Best Customers
  • 16.
  • 17. 3 1 1/2 1 12 ~10% 60 50 ~Rs
  • 18. LOYALTY SCORECARD Low shopping frequency Inflated customer – Low member points Redemption barriers promise – Low redemptions – High expectations Low customer engagement High member signups High liability – Increased cost – Low return on – High cost loyalty investment Price Discounting
  • 19. COALITION BENEFITS Superior Currency = Footfalls = Retail Gains
  • 20. SUPERNOSSO OUTPACED OVERALL MARKET SALES BY 7.5% Jan 09 to Sep Supernosso Store Sales, Pre and Post Dotz Oct 09 to 09, Grocer Launch July 09 trending Grocer 4.79% below (% Growth vs. previous year) trending market 7.5% Super Nosso YOY Growth Brazil Market YOY Growth over Market YOY Growth pre Dotz-launch: 5.4% YOY Growth since Dotz Launch: 13% market Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun ' Jul '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '09 '10 '10 '10 '10 '10 10 '10 SN YOY Growth pre Dotz-Launch: 0.7% Market YOY Growth since Dotz-launch: 5.5% Sources: Abras BR Metrics Grocery sales Trend (www.abras.com.br ) - using the “REAL” numbers for the brazil market YOY growth.
  • 22. CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS (RECIPROCITY) Rewards Data Recognition Relevance
  • 23. REWARDS Dream Aspirational Attainable
  • 24. DATA FUELS RELEVANCE Potential to migrate or consolidate spend in Organized Retail Indicator of increased Grocery retail spending potential Value Added Spends, Services on Frequency smart phone? Opportunities to drive Travel Specialty cross-shop between frequency, Retail Spends, brands national / Frequency, international? Preferences Drive two- % of overall wheeler, four- spend on wheeler? credit card? Premium Which Indicators of household gas? categories? spending and Identification of potential for consumption increased card usage
  • 25. PERSONALIZATION 1:1 tailored and relevant messaging Ability to integrate into broader marketing platform Highly personalized to individual locale Insight into using Currency more currency vs. cost-efficient price (lower offer) discounts
  • 28. Welcoming customers Interaction with Senior management Teachers from UP understanding the finer Doctors from Ahmedabad & Surat, busy in details of jewellery manufacturing Diamond Session
  • 30. 3 R’S AT WORK MCI Friends & Family Program – 22 members in your “calling circle” – 10M customers within 24 months – Market share lift of 6% – Lower COA – Higher conversion rate 30
  • 31. Product Revenue Assortment 6% 15% SEGMENTATION
  • 32. Average Basket Size Average Transactions/Member 15% 25% 3 2.7 120 26% 42% 96 2.5 100 1% 1.9 27% 76 2 1.8 80 63 64 1.5 1.4 60 1 40 0.5 20 0 0 DM Responder DM Control DM Responder DM Control Pre Promo Pre Promo • Promotion lifted average basket size by 25% and average transactions per member by 15% pre vs. post
  • 33. PROMOTIONAL IMPACT Lift _ The Power of The Currency1 1 AIR MILES Reward Program, 2008 33 33
  • 34. “POTENTIAL” Who are my most important Customers? SEGMENTATION Most current sales come from Biggest opportunity comes Families with Children from Active Singles and Couples Segment Current Value & Potential Value Sales $ Value- Famililies Older Familes with Working Active Active Empty Golden Conscious with Teens Familieis Young Singles Couples Singles Nesters Years Families Children Current Sales Potential Sales Provides the foundations for Customer-Centric strategy by identifying, quantifying & prioritizing Customer Segments
  • 35. APPAREL & FOOTWEAR RESULTS AIR MILES AIR MILES AIR MILES Same store sales annual member member vs. non-member rewards markets spend increase vs. rest of Canada during bonus period 84% 82 5.2 62 ROI! % % % Average spend / member Same store sales Average spend / member • On average, Air Miles members responding to bonus offers spend 74% more at a footwear partner • For example, a four-month bonus offer of 10x the Air Miles at the footwear partner resulted in 62% increase in annual spend per Collector and 44% increase in spend per transaction, generating a 84% ROI for the retailer 35
  • 36. PRODUCT SEQUENCING Definitions Visit #1 Visit #2 Visit #3 Plumbing Drywall Paint Cabinetry “Sequence Rule: {Plumbing & Drywall} => {Paint} => {Cabinetry}” • Support (%): 2% – 2% of collectors purchased Plumbing and Drywall in one visit and then purchased paint and cabinetry in the next two visits (regardless of any other items purchased in those visits) • Confidence (%): 20% – Of those customers that purchase Plumbing and Drywall on one trip and Paint on subsequent trip, 20% purchased Cabinetry after that • Lift: 3.2 – Collectors who purchase Plumbing and Drywall on one trip and Paint on a subsequent trip are 3.2 times more likely to purchase Cabinetry then people who do not 36
  • 39. FROM LOYALTY TO RETAIL GAINS Marketing Category & Operational Loyalty Effectiveness Product Optimization & Efficiency Management Product Store, Branch & Customer ID Modeling Rationalization Online Experience Enrolment / Activation Segmentation Product & Category Staff Development Direct Targeting Direct Marketing Development Real Estate Strategy Acquisition Improved ROI Improved Margins Return on Capital Basket Size Improved New Product Reduced Frequency of Response Rates Innovation Turnover visits Resource Partner Incremental sales Spend Allocation Management