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Managerial Decision Making Chapter 6 Part 2  Planning Challenges in the 21st Century
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],LEARNING OBJECTIVES When you have finished studying this chapter, you should be able to:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],LEARNING OBJECTIVES  (cont’d) When you have finished studying this chapter, you should be able to:
Sources of Organizational and Entrepreneurial Decisions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6.1   Seven Steps in the Decision-Making Process Identifying opportunities  and diagnosing problems Identifying objectives Generating alternatives Evaluating alternatives Choosing implementation strategies Monitoring and evaluating Reaching decisions
Step 1: Identifying Opportunities and Diagnosing Problems ,[object Object],[object Object]
Step 2: Identifying Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 3: Generating Alternatives ,[object Object],[object Object]
Step 4: Evaluating Alternatives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 5: Reaching Decisions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Step 6: Choosing Implementation Strategies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6. 2  Keys to Effective Implementation of Decisions
Step 7: Monitoring and Evaluating ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6. 3  Two Contrasting Decision Models
Rational-Economic Model ,[object Object],[object Object]
Assumptions of the Rational-Economic Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Drawbacks of the Rational-Economic Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ethics and Decision Making ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Behavioral Decision Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concepts Important to the Behavioral Decision Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concepts Important to the Decision Model (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Fostering Quality in the Decision-Making Process ,[object Object],[object Object]
Procedures for Vigilant Decision Makers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Procedures for Vigilant Decision Makers (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Group Considerations in Decision Making ,[object Object]
Participative Models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Vroom and Yetton Decision Styles AII CI AI CII GII Lightly  autocratic Highly  democratic A  = Autocratic C  = Consultative G  = Group The manager solves the decision problem alone using information available at the time. The manager solves the decision problem alone after obtaining necessary information from subordinates. The manager solves the decision problem after obtaining ideas and suggestions from subordinates individually. The decision may or may not reflect their council. The manager solves the decision problem after obtaining ideas and suggestions from subordinates as a group. The decision may or may not reflect their council. The group analyzes the problem, identifies and evaluates alternatives, and makes a decision. The manager acts as a coordinator of the group of subordinates and accepts and implements any solution that has the support of the group
Table 6. 1  Vroom–Yago Decision-Making Styles Source:  Adapted from V. H. Vroom, “Leadership and the Decision-Making Process,”  Organizational Dynamics  (Spring 2000): 82–94. Decide style   Leader makes the decision alone and announces or sells it to the group. Leader uses his/her own expertise and may collect information from the group to help solve the problem. Consult individually style   Leader presents the problem to group members individually, gets their ideas and suggestions individually, and then makes the decision. Consult group style   Leader presents the problem to group members in a meeting, gets their suggestions, and then makes the decision.  Facilitate style   Leader presents the problem to the group in a meeting and acts as a facilitator by defining the problem to be solved and the constraints within which the decision must be made. Leader seeks concurrence from group members on a decision. Delegate Style   Leader permits the group to make the decision within prescribed limits. Group undertakes the identification and diagnosis of the problem and the development of alternative solutions and makes the decision on the selection of alternative(s).
Situational Contingencies Affecting Decision Making Participation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6. 4  Vroom and Jago Decision Model Instructions: The matrix operates like a funnel. You start at the left with a specific decision problem in mind. The column headings denote situational factors which may or may not be present in that problem. You progress by selecting High and Low (H or L) for each relevant situational factor. Proceed down from the funnel, judging only those situational factors for which a judgment is called for, until you reach the recommended process.
Participative Models (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Participative Decision Making: Group Size ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Table 6. 2  Advantages and Disadvantages of Group Decision Making ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is Groupthink? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Table 6. 3 Characteristics of Groupthink and the Types of Defective Decisions That May Result ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Defective Groupthink Decisions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Techniques for Quality in Group Decision Making ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Brainstorming ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Decision-Making Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Decision-Making Techniques  (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Classifying Decision Situations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Responses to Decision Situations Responses require creativity. Responses are routine. Alternatives are not familiar to decision makers. Alternatives are familiar to decision makers. Nonprogrammed Decisions Programmed Decisions
Strategic Decision-Making Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategy Selection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Table 6. 4  Strategic Decision-Making Matrix Objectives     Increased Increased  Total   Increased Share Output  Weighted  Profit  Market  Production Score   Alternative  0.5  0.3  0.2   Strategies/ Weight Product  2  2  3 0.5(2) 1 0.3(2) 1 0.2(3) 5 2.2   development   Horizontal  4  2  2  0.5(4) 1 0.3(2) 1 0.2(2) 5 3.0   integration Joint venture   5  3  3  0.5(5) 1 0.3(3) 1 0.2(3) 5 4.0
Evaluation of Portfolios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) Matrix ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6. 5  The BCG Growth-Share Matrix
BCG Matrix: Stars and Cash Cows ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BCG Matrix: Dogs and Question Marks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Table 6. 6  Illustration of Industry Attractiveness and Business Strength Computations Source:  Adapted from  Strategic Management: Text and Cases on Business Policy  by Hesmer, © 1984. Reprinted by permission of Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River NJ.
The Industry Attractiveness/Business Strength Matrix (GE Matrix) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6. 6  The GE Industry Attractiveness/Business Strength Matrix
Implications for Leaders ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications for Leaders ,[object Object],[object Object]

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Chap06

  • 1. Managerial Decision Making Chapter 6 Part 2 Planning Challenges in the 21st Century
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Figure 6.1 Seven Steps in the Decision-Making Process Identifying opportunities and diagnosing problems Identifying objectives Generating alternatives Evaluating alternatives Choosing implementation strategies Monitoring and evaluating Reaching decisions
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Figure 6. 2 Keys to Effective Implementation of Decisions
  • 13.
  • 14. Figure 6. 3 Two Contrasting Decision Models
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Vroom and Yetton Decision Styles AII CI AI CII GII Lightly autocratic Highly democratic A = Autocratic C = Consultative G = Group The manager solves the decision problem alone using information available at the time. The manager solves the decision problem alone after obtaining necessary information from subordinates. The manager solves the decision problem after obtaining ideas and suggestions from subordinates individually. The decision may or may not reflect their council. The manager solves the decision problem after obtaining ideas and suggestions from subordinates as a group. The decision may or may not reflect their council. The group analyzes the problem, identifies and evaluates alternatives, and makes a decision. The manager acts as a coordinator of the group of subordinates and accepts and implements any solution that has the support of the group
  • 28. Table 6. 1 Vroom–Yago Decision-Making Styles Source: Adapted from V. H. Vroom, “Leadership and the Decision-Making Process,” Organizational Dynamics (Spring 2000): 82–94. Decide style Leader makes the decision alone and announces or sells it to the group. Leader uses his/her own expertise and may collect information from the group to help solve the problem. Consult individually style Leader presents the problem to group members individually, gets their ideas and suggestions individually, and then makes the decision. Consult group style Leader presents the problem to group members in a meeting, gets their suggestions, and then makes the decision. Facilitate style Leader presents the problem to the group in a meeting and acts as a facilitator by defining the problem to be solved and the constraints within which the decision must be made. Leader seeks concurrence from group members on a decision. Delegate Style Leader permits the group to make the decision within prescribed limits. Group undertakes the identification and diagnosis of the problem and the development of alternative solutions and makes the decision on the selection of alternative(s).
  • 29.
  • 30. Figure 6. 4 Vroom and Jago Decision Model Instructions: The matrix operates like a funnel. You start at the left with a specific decision problem in mind. The column headings denote situational factors which may or may not be present in that problem. You progress by selecting High and Low (H or L) for each relevant situational factor. Proceed down from the funnel, judging only those situational factors for which a judgment is called for, until you reach the recommended process.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Responses to Decision Situations Responses require creativity. Responses are routine. Alternatives are not familiar to decision makers. Alternatives are familiar to decision makers. Nonprogrammed Decisions Programmed Decisions
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Table 6. 4 Strategic Decision-Making Matrix Objectives Increased Increased Total Increased Share Output Weighted Profit Market Production Score Alternative 0.5 0.3 0.2 Strategies/ Weight Product 2 2 3 0.5(2) 1 0.3(2) 1 0.2(3) 5 2.2 development Horizontal 4 2 2 0.5(4) 1 0.3(2) 1 0.2(2) 5 3.0 integration Joint venture 5 3 3 0.5(5) 1 0.3(3) 1 0.2(3) 5 4.0
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. Figure 6. 5 The BCG Growth-Share Matrix
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Table 6. 6 Illustration of Industry Attractiveness and Business Strength Computations Source: Adapted from Strategic Management: Text and Cases on Business Policy by Hesmer, © 1984. Reprinted by permission of Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River NJ.
  • 52.
  • 53. Figure 6. 6 The GE Industry Attractiveness/Business Strength Matrix
  • 54.
  • 55.