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S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Fast Rise in Manufacturing Wages
Gabriela Alessio
Meredith Leigh
Nirmal Shah
Brian Sackey
Cause Analysis and Effects
AGENDA
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
1. Summary
2. Manufacturing in the U.S.
3. The Disconnect: Perception & Facts
4. Current Situation in the U.S.
5. The Reality
6. Examples
7. What Can Management Do?
8. Operational Leverage
9. Conclusion
10.Bibliography
2
SUMMARY
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Issue: Manufacturing wages are rising at a rapid
pace in some major industrial states
Cause:Shortage of specific skills and falling
unemployment rates
• More companies are forced to offer
higher pays to attract talent
• Invest in new machinery
• Outsource labor & processess
Consequences:
Manufacturing in the U.S.
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
$ R & D x2.91
$1 of goods produced
= $1.32 additional
5 states add over half a
trillion dollars a year
75% of private R&D 1 manufacturing job
creates 2.91 other jobs
Source: The National Association of Manufacturers, Skills Gap Report 2013
In 2013, manufacturers contributed $2.08 trillion to the economy,
up from $2.03 trillion in 2012. This was 12.5% of GDP.
The Disconnect: Perception & Facts
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Source: The National Association of Manufacturers, Skills Gap Report 2013
While Manufacturing is filled with high paying jobs, people aren’t joining the field
Only 30% of parents
encourage their kids to
enter manufacturing
77% of Americans fear the
loss of domestic manufac-
turing jobs to other countries
+70%
77%
+70% of Americans view
Manufacturing as the most
important industry for a
strong economy
Only 17% of people
consider manufacturing
as a top career choice
STEM
17%
?
BUT
Current situation in the U.S.
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
$21.08
(up 25%)
$19.37
(up 9%)
$24.81
(up 6%)
Nationally:
$19.56%
Up 4%
Change in Factory Wages
Aug. 2011 – Aug. 2014
Baby boomers retire
Skill shortages develop
Pay increases spread
through the country
Wage growth for:
• Machine Operators
• Repair People
• Electricians
• Engineers
• Specialists
Even in two-tiered wage scale dominated states, like Michigan, there has
been significant recent growth (2.5% in 3 months vs. 1.6% nationally) Serious Skills Gap
The Reality
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
A 2014 Skills Gap Report from The National Association of Manufacturers shows:
82%
a moderate to severe shortage
of available, qualified workers
Reported
67%
Anticipate the shortage to grow
worse in the next 3 to 5 years
Source: Jim Timmon’s Remarks to the SMART Manufacturing Summit, May 20, 2014
Companies are being forced to use temporary
agencies at nearly double the cost of staff workers
“Job hoppers” who change companies to achieve higher wages attain
much higher wage growth than workers who stay in the same place
What can
management do to
cope this expenses?
Examples
Sullivan
Palatek
(Michigan)
Using welders from temp-agencies
at double the cost of staff welders
CEO considering buying robotic
equipment or bringing in workers
from Mexico
-250 on waitlist for welding school in TX
-One student works 55-60 hours a week
at $17, but with overtime, takes home
upwards of $800 a week.
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Thor
Industries
(Elkhart, IN)
Strong rebound on engines &
recreational vehicles, but still
short on staff.
Help wanted signs everywhere,
driving wage cost up pinched
profit margins in 4th quarter
(ending July 31)
Loadcraft
Industries
(Brady, TX)
Wages have risen 4-5% this year
compared to 2-3% in recent
years.
Workers who are offered higher
wages across town are suddenly
just gone.
What can Management do?
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
 Fixed Costs
 Variable Costs
 Wages as Fixed Costs
 Wages as Variable Costs
$
$
$
$
$
Invest in new machinery and automatization
Outsource partial operations
Outsource employees
Pay higher wages
• Tax
• Fixed overhead
• Depreciation
• Insurance
• Leases
• Interest on loans
• Supervisor salaries*
• Direct Materials
• Variable overhead
• Transportation
• LABOR
FIXED VARIABLE
What can Management do?
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
$
$
$
$
$
Investing on
Machines
Rising Wages
even more
Outsourcing People
or Processes
$
MAXIMIZE Profit
MINIMIZE Cost
$ $ $ $
$ $
$
$
FIXED VARIABLE
OPERATIONAL
LEVERAGE
Manage the
right mix of
fixed & variable
costs
VARIABLEFIXED
Operational Leverage
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Degree to which a firm or project incurs a
combination of fixed and variable costs
• High Gross Margin
• High proportion of Fixed Costs
High Fixed Cost Company
More Operational Leverage
• High Gross Margin
• Low proportion of Fixed Costs
Low Fixed Cost Company
Less Operational Leverage
Pros
Cons
• Magnifies results, making gains look better
• Magnifies results, making losses look worse
• Increases risks because it makes returns less predictable over time
$100.0 $100.0
$35.0
$65.0
$65.0
$35.0
$50.0
$20.0
$15.0
$15.0
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Base Case
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
Operational Leverage
35%
50%
65%
20%
$150.0 $150.0
$52.5
$97.5
$97.5
$52.5
$50.0
$20.0
$47.5
$32.5
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Increased Revenue
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
35%
33%
65%
13%
35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
50% vs 20%
Net Income
15% = 15% 35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
33% vs 13%
Net Income
32% vs 22%
$100.0 $100.0
$35.0
$65.0
$65.0
$35.0
$50.0
$20.0
$15.0
$15.0
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Base Case
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
Operational Leverage
35%
50%
65%
20%
35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
50% vs 20%
$150.0 $150.0
$52.5
$97.5
$97.5
$52.5
$50.0
$20.0
$47.5
$32.5
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Increased Revenue
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
35%
33%
65%
13%
Net Income
15% = 15% 35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
33% vs 13%
Net Income
32% vs 22%
∆= 17% vs 7%
$50.0 $50.0
$17.5 $32.5
$32.5 $17.5
$50.0
$20.0
$(17.5) $(2.5)
$(50.0)
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Decreased Revenue
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
$100.0 $100.0
$35.0
$65.0
$65.0
$35.0
$50.0
$20.0
$15.0
$15.0
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Base Case
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
Operational Leverage
35%
50%
65%
20%
35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
50% vs 20%
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
35%
100%
65%
40%
Net Income
15% = 15% 35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
100% vs 40%
Net Income
-35% vs -5%
-35% -5%
$50.0 $50.0
$17.5 $32.5
$32.5 $17.5
$50.0
$20.0
$(17.5) $(2.5)
$(50.0)
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Decreased Revenue
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
$100.0 $100.0
$35.0
$65.0
$65.0
$35.0
$50.0
$20.0
$15.0
$15.0
$-
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
$350.0
$400.0
High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company
Base Case
(Thousands of dollars)
Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income
Operational Leverage
35%
50%
65%
20%
35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
50% vs 20%
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
35%
100%
65%
40%
Net Income
15% = 15% 35% vs 65%
Variable Costs Fixed Costs
100% vs 40%
Net Income
-35% vs -5%
-35% -5%
∆= -50% vs -20%
Conclusion
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
• Manufacturing companies should consider increasing their degree of
operating leverage with the purchase of new machines to maximize profit
in times of increased production
• Increased re-shoring due to wage hikes internationally, including China,
will continue to boost domestic production levels.
• Automation decreases need for high-cost, low supply labor force, and
produces the most beneficial cost structure for companies in the
manufacturing industry considering the economic climate
Bibliography
S E 7 E N S U M M I T S
G R O U P
Hagerty, James. "Manufacturing Wages Rise Fast in Some Areas." The Wall Street Journal. Dow Jones &
Company, 8 Oct. 2014. Web. 14 Nov. 2014.
Espinoza, Richard. "3 Trends Affecting US Manufacturing." Environmental Leader RSS. N.p., 7 Aug. 2014.
Web. 14 Nov. 2014. <http://www.environmentalleader.com/2014/08/07/3-trends-affecting-us-
manufacturing/>.
Jan, Obaidullah. "Degree of Operating Leverage." Accounting Explained. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2014.
<http://accountingexplained.com/managerial/cvp-analysis/operating-leverage>.
Schmedt, Fred. "The Concept of Operating Leverage." The Samuel Roberts Noble Foundation. N.p., n.d.
Web. 14 Nov. 2014. <http://www.noble.org/ag/economics/operatingleverage/>.

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Manufacturing Wages On The Rise

  • 1. S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Fast Rise in Manufacturing Wages Gabriela Alessio Meredith Leigh Nirmal Shah Brian Sackey Cause Analysis and Effects
  • 2. AGENDA S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P 1. Summary 2. Manufacturing in the U.S. 3. The Disconnect: Perception & Facts 4. Current Situation in the U.S. 5. The Reality 6. Examples 7. What Can Management Do? 8. Operational Leverage 9. Conclusion 10.Bibliography 2
  • 3. SUMMARY S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Issue: Manufacturing wages are rising at a rapid pace in some major industrial states Cause:Shortage of specific skills and falling unemployment rates • More companies are forced to offer higher pays to attract talent • Invest in new machinery • Outsource labor & processess Consequences:
  • 4. Manufacturing in the U.S. S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P $ R & D x2.91 $1 of goods produced = $1.32 additional 5 states add over half a trillion dollars a year 75% of private R&D 1 manufacturing job creates 2.91 other jobs Source: The National Association of Manufacturers, Skills Gap Report 2013 In 2013, manufacturers contributed $2.08 trillion to the economy, up from $2.03 trillion in 2012. This was 12.5% of GDP.
  • 5. The Disconnect: Perception & Facts S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Source: The National Association of Manufacturers, Skills Gap Report 2013 While Manufacturing is filled with high paying jobs, people aren’t joining the field Only 30% of parents encourage their kids to enter manufacturing 77% of Americans fear the loss of domestic manufac- turing jobs to other countries +70% 77% +70% of Americans view Manufacturing as the most important industry for a strong economy Only 17% of people consider manufacturing as a top career choice STEM 17% ? BUT
  • 6. Current situation in the U.S. S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P $21.08 (up 25%) $19.37 (up 9%) $24.81 (up 6%) Nationally: $19.56% Up 4% Change in Factory Wages Aug. 2011 – Aug. 2014 Baby boomers retire Skill shortages develop Pay increases spread through the country Wage growth for: • Machine Operators • Repair People • Electricians • Engineers • Specialists Even in two-tiered wage scale dominated states, like Michigan, there has been significant recent growth (2.5% in 3 months vs. 1.6% nationally) Serious Skills Gap
  • 7. The Reality S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P A 2014 Skills Gap Report from The National Association of Manufacturers shows: 82% a moderate to severe shortage of available, qualified workers Reported 67% Anticipate the shortage to grow worse in the next 3 to 5 years Source: Jim Timmon’s Remarks to the SMART Manufacturing Summit, May 20, 2014 Companies are being forced to use temporary agencies at nearly double the cost of staff workers “Job hoppers” who change companies to achieve higher wages attain much higher wage growth than workers who stay in the same place What can management do to cope this expenses?
  • 8. Examples Sullivan Palatek (Michigan) Using welders from temp-agencies at double the cost of staff welders CEO considering buying robotic equipment or bringing in workers from Mexico -250 on waitlist for welding school in TX -One student works 55-60 hours a week at $17, but with overtime, takes home upwards of $800 a week. S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Thor Industries (Elkhart, IN) Strong rebound on engines & recreational vehicles, but still short on staff. Help wanted signs everywhere, driving wage cost up pinched profit margins in 4th quarter (ending July 31) Loadcraft Industries (Brady, TX) Wages have risen 4-5% this year compared to 2-3% in recent years. Workers who are offered higher wages across town are suddenly just gone.
  • 9. What can Management do? S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P  Fixed Costs  Variable Costs  Wages as Fixed Costs  Wages as Variable Costs $ $ $ $ $ Invest in new machinery and automatization Outsource partial operations Outsource employees Pay higher wages • Tax • Fixed overhead • Depreciation • Insurance • Leases • Interest on loans • Supervisor salaries* • Direct Materials • Variable overhead • Transportation • LABOR FIXED VARIABLE
  • 10. What can Management do? S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P $ $ $ $ $ Investing on Machines Rising Wages even more Outsourcing People or Processes $ MAXIMIZE Profit MINIMIZE Cost $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ FIXED VARIABLE OPERATIONAL LEVERAGE Manage the right mix of fixed & variable costs VARIABLEFIXED
  • 11. Operational Leverage S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Degree to which a firm or project incurs a combination of fixed and variable costs • High Gross Margin • High proportion of Fixed Costs High Fixed Cost Company More Operational Leverage • High Gross Margin • Low proportion of Fixed Costs Low Fixed Cost Company Less Operational Leverage Pros Cons • Magnifies results, making gains look better • Magnifies results, making losses look worse • Increases risks because it makes returns less predictable over time
  • 12. $100.0 $100.0 $35.0 $65.0 $65.0 $35.0 $50.0 $20.0 $15.0 $15.0 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Base Case (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income Operational Leverage 35% 50% 65% 20% $150.0 $150.0 $52.5 $97.5 $97.5 $52.5 $50.0 $20.0 $47.5 $32.5 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Increased Revenue (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P 35% 33% 65% 13% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 50% vs 20% Net Income 15% = 15% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 33% vs 13% Net Income 32% vs 22%
  • 13. $100.0 $100.0 $35.0 $65.0 $65.0 $35.0 $50.0 $20.0 $15.0 $15.0 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Base Case (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income Operational Leverage 35% 50% 65% 20% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 50% vs 20% $150.0 $150.0 $52.5 $97.5 $97.5 $52.5 $50.0 $20.0 $47.5 $32.5 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Increased Revenue (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P 35% 33% 65% 13% Net Income 15% = 15% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 33% vs 13% Net Income 32% vs 22% ∆= 17% vs 7%
  • 14. $50.0 $50.0 $17.5 $32.5 $32.5 $17.5 $50.0 $20.0 $(17.5) $(2.5) $(50.0) $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Decreased Revenue (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income $100.0 $100.0 $35.0 $65.0 $65.0 $35.0 $50.0 $20.0 $15.0 $15.0 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Base Case (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income Operational Leverage 35% 50% 65% 20% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 50% vs 20% S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P 35% 100% 65% 40% Net Income 15% = 15% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 100% vs 40% Net Income -35% vs -5% -35% -5%
  • 15. $50.0 $50.0 $17.5 $32.5 $32.5 $17.5 $50.0 $20.0 $(17.5) $(2.5) $(50.0) $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Decreased Revenue (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income $100.0 $100.0 $35.0 $65.0 $65.0 $35.0 $50.0 $20.0 $15.0 $15.0 $- $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 $300.0 $350.0 $400.0 High Fixed Cost Company Low Fixed Cost Company Base Case (Thousands of dollars) Revenue Variable Costs Gross Profit Fixed Costs Net Income Operational Leverage 35% 50% 65% 20% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 50% vs 20% S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P 35% 100% 65% 40% Net Income 15% = 15% 35% vs 65% Variable Costs Fixed Costs 100% vs 40% Net Income -35% vs -5% -35% -5% ∆= -50% vs -20%
  • 16. Conclusion S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P • Manufacturing companies should consider increasing their degree of operating leverage with the purchase of new machines to maximize profit in times of increased production • Increased re-shoring due to wage hikes internationally, including China, will continue to boost domestic production levels. • Automation decreases need for high-cost, low supply labor force, and produces the most beneficial cost structure for companies in the manufacturing industry considering the economic climate
  • 17. Bibliography S E 7 E N S U M M I T S G R O U P Hagerty, James. "Manufacturing Wages Rise Fast in Some Areas." The Wall Street Journal. Dow Jones & Company, 8 Oct. 2014. Web. 14 Nov. 2014. Espinoza, Richard. "3 Trends Affecting US Manufacturing." Environmental Leader RSS. N.p., 7 Aug. 2014. Web. 14 Nov. 2014. <http://www.environmentalleader.com/2014/08/07/3-trends-affecting-us- manufacturing/>. Jan, Obaidullah. "Degree of Operating Leverage." Accounting Explained. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2014. <http://accountingexplained.com/managerial/cvp-analysis/operating-leverage>. Schmedt, Fred. "The Concept of Operating Leverage." The Samuel Roberts Noble Foundation. N.p., n.d. Web. 14 Nov. 2014. <http://www.noble.org/ag/economics/operatingleverage/>.