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重庆市区县 GDP 核算简介
  Introduction of county GDP accounting
               of Chongqing
—— 中国 - 联 合国技联 合作联 联 信托基金联 目国联 研联 会
           International Workshop
    Regional Products and Income Accounts

                                秦 瑶
                              Qin Yao
                           重庆市统计局
                Chongqing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
                            2010 年 3 月
                             Mar. 2010
主要内容
                        CONTENT

1                       重庆市简介
             Brief Introduction of Chongqing


2                  区县 GDP 核算工作概述
    Overview of county GDP accounting of Chongqing


                   联 普年度核算方法              LOGO
3    Annual accounting for the economic census year


                非 联联 普 联 年度核算方法
4   Annual accounting for the non-economic census year


                    联 联 及解决 联 法
5                 Problems & solutions
重庆市简介
                  Brief Introduction of Chongqing

               重庆处于青藏高原与长江中下游平原的过渡地带,在中国
地理位置           西南部
Location       Chongqing located in southwest of China, the transitional
               zone of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the Yangtze River Plain.



               历史上三次定为国都、三次成立直辖市                  LOGO
历史沿革
               Chongqing has been selected as the capital three
History
               times and as the Municipality three times in history.




年轻的直辖市         第三次成立直辖市: 1997 年
Young
               As municipality for third time in 1997
Municipality
重庆市简介
               Brief Introduction of Chongqing




面积         幅员面积 8.24 万平方公里
Area       82.4 thousand square kilometers



                                              LOGO


地形        地形大势由南北向长江河谷倾斜,起伏较大
Terrain   Sloping from north and south to the Yangtze River
          valley, with great terrain undulation
重庆市简介
                          Brief Introduction of Chongqing


地貌以丘陵、山地为主,坡地
面积较大
Landscape are mainly hills and
mountains. There are large area of
hillside field.
                                                    LOGO



                                       分布着典型的石林、峰林、溶
                                       洞、峡谷等喀斯特景观
                                       There are typical stone forest, peak
                                       forest, caves, canyons and other
                                       karst landscapes
重庆市简介
              Brief Introduction of Chongqing


河流      主要河流有长江、嘉陵江、乌江、涪江、綦江等
River   The main rivers are Yangtze River, Jialing River, Wujiang
        River, Fujiang River, Qijiang River, etc.


         城市依山而建,是一座美丽的山水城市
山城       The city, built along mountains, is a beautiful city with
                                               LOGO
         mountains and rivers.
重庆市简介
                              Brief Introduction of Chongqing
    下辖 40 个行政区县,是我国行政辖区最大、人口最多、管理行政单元最多的城市
;
With 40 districts and counties, Chongqing is the city which covers largest area, largest
population, and most administrative units in China.
 2009 年底全市户籍人口 3276 万人,常住人口 2859 万人
 At the end of 2009, the number of registered resident is 32.76 millions, and the number of
permanent resident is 28.59 millions.

                                                                  LOGO
概述
                                                                   OVERVIEW

    基本模式与国家统计局制定的地区 GDP核算方法一致,根据实际情况对重庆区县 GDP 核算进行改革。



    County GDP accounting of Chongqing is basically in line with the provincial GDP accounting ,which is developed by NBS, and improved

    based on the actual situation of Chongqing municipality.




                                                                                                      LOGO
概述
                                      OVERVIEW


   2006 年              2007 年             2008 年            2009 年
  YEAR2006            YEAR2007           YEAR2008          YEAR2009




                    出台 3 个关于完            出台 5 个关于完
                                                 LOGO      出台 1 个关于完
 正式发文改革
                    善 GDP 核算的文           善 GDP 核算的文        善 GDP 核算的文
 区县核算工作
                          件                    件                 件
Official document
                    Three documents      Three documents    One document
  was officially
                      regarding the        regarding the    regarding the
issued to reform
                     improvement of       improvement of   improvement of
   the county                            GDP accounting
                    GDP accounting                         GDP accounting
   accounting          were issued        were issued        was issued
概述
                          OVERVIEW

                            核算频率
                        Accounting frequency




                                                 LOGO
                                                   季度核算
    年度核算
Annual accounting                              Quarterly accounting
仅在经济普查年度开                                      每季度核算,其中,四
展,常规年度不进行                                      季度核算全年 数 据
核算                                             Launched in every
It’s launched only in                          quarter. Annual data
the economic census                             is estimated in the
year, doesn’t launch                           fourth quarter.
in non-economic
census year.
概述
           OVERVIEW

   1                     1

            In economic census year,
经济普查年度核算
            Value-added of industrial
中,规模以上工业
            enterprises above
增加值由局工业处
            designated size is charged
负责,二、三产业
                              LOGO
            by division of industrial
的其他所有行业由
            statistics. The other of the
  核算处负责
            secondary and tertiary
            industries is charged by
            division of account
概述
              OVERVIEW

    2                        2
                 The basic data for
季度 GDP 核算涉及      quarterly GDP accounting
的基础数据由核算处        is collected by division of
                 accounts, CQBS,
统一反馈             and feedback to each
                 county
                                   LOGO
概述
             OVERVIEW

    3                     3

2008 年起,区县      Since 2008,County GDP
                accounting is estimated
“准下算一级”和“       by both CQBS and
下算一级”双轨运        county bureaus of
行,发布并使用准        statistics.    LOGO
下算数据,下算的        The published data is
                estimated by county
数据反馈给各区县        bureaus which is
内部掌握            reviewed by CQBS.
经普年度核算方法
    Annual accounting for the economic census year




                 资料来源
1             Data Source

                 分行业核算方法
2                                    LOGO
          Estimation Method by Sections
经普年度核算方法
                         Annual accounting for the economic census year

经济普查调查范围为第二、三产业的经济活动单位,不涵盖第一产业活动,因此,
经济普查年度不核算农业增加值。
The scope of economic census include all economic units of the secondary and tertiary
industries, excluding the units of the first industry. So the value-added of agriculture is not
renewedly accounted in economic census year. The data source is as follow:


                            资料来源 Data source
                            资料来源 Data source
                                                                     LOGO




                                                                            住户调查
        经普数据                成本费用调查                  常规专业统计
                              增加值率                                            资料
         Data of            Value-added               Routine               Data of
        economic            ratio of cost            statistics            household
         census                survey                                        survey
经普年度核算方法
             Annual accounting for the economic census year



                    工业按成本费用调查的收入法增加值率计算行业小类增加值
                    ,逐级合并生成工业增加值
                    The value-added of industry is calculated by combination of the
                    value-added of each industries which is estimated by value added
                    ratio of income approach, from industrial cost survey.

  分产业               建筑业按 2008 年区县建筑安装工程投资完成额结构分劈全
 核算方法               市经济普查建筑业增加值数据 LOGO
                    The value-added of construction of economic census is
Estimation          divided according to the proportion of investment of
Method by           construction and installation of each county in 2008.
 Sections
                    第三产业增加值根据普查财务表指标,使用收入法进行核
                    算,其中,证券、保险业根据产业活动单位收入分劈全市
                    增加值
                    The value-added of the tertiary industry is accounted by income
                    approach according to indicator of finance sheet of census. The
                    value-added of security and insurance is divided by income of
                    industry unit.
非经普年度核算方法
    Annual accounting for the non-economic census year




                 基本核算方法
1           Basic Estimation Method

                  资料来源
2                Data Source
                                      LOGO
                分行联 核算方法
3         Estimation Method by Sections

                数据联 核流程
4            Data Review Process
经普年度核算方法
                     Annual accounting for the non-economic census year


非经济普查年度按季度开展区县 GDP 核算工作,其中,四季度核算数为全年数据。
基本核算方法如下:
Launched in every quarter. In the fourth quarter, the annual data is accounted. The Basic
Methods are as follows:

现价增加值计算方法
Value-added    at current price
 增加值率法 :                                             LOGO
Value added ratio approach:
现价增加值=现价总产出 × 现价增加值率
Value added at current price = output× value added ratio
相关价值量指标速度推算法 :
Estimated according to indices of relative indicators:
现价增加值=上年同期现价增加值 × 相关价值量指标的现价发展速度
Value-added at current price = value added at last period ×indices of relative

 indicator
经普年度核算方法
                 Annual accounting for the non-economic census year



 不变价增加值计算方法
 Value-added at constant price
缩减法:
Deflation approach :
当期不变价增加值=当期现价增加值 ÷ 价格指数
Value added at constant price = value added at current price ÷price
                                               LOGO
indices
速度推算法 :
Estimated according to indices of relative indicators:
当期不变价增加值=上年同期不变价增加值 × 当期不变价增加值发展速度
Value added at constant current price = value added at last period
×indices of relative indicator
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项数据)
                         Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 indicators )

     市统计局(             5 个处室, 36 项数据)
      CQBS(5 divisions,36 indicators )
     工业处            规上工业现价增加值
   Division of      Value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at current price
industry statistics 规上工业可比价增长速度
(2 项 /2indicator) Growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size at constant price


                                                                           LOGO

     贸易处            批发和零售业销售额现价增长速度
Division of trade   Growth rate of total sales of wholesale and retail at current price
    statistics      住宿和餐饮业营业额增长速度
       (2           Growth rate of business revenue of hotels and catering service at current price
项 /2indicator)
     投资处            建筑业总产值增长速度
   Division of      Growth rate of total output value of construction
  investment        建筑安装工程投资增长速度
    statistics      Growth rate of investment of construction and installation
       (3
 项 /3indicator)     商品房销售面积增长速度
                    Growth rate of floor space of commercialized buildings sold
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项数据)
                      Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 indicators )

    市统计局(           5 个处室, 36 联 数据)
    CQBS(5       divisions,36 indicators )
    人口处          房地产业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬
 Division of     Payments of employed persons in urban units for real estate
 population
  statistics     科学研究、技术服务和地质勘查业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬
   (5 项 )        Payments of employed persons in urban units for scientific research,
(5 indicators)   technical service and geologic prospecting
                 水利、环境和公共设施管理业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬                       LOGO
                 Payments of employed persons in urban units for management of water
                 conservancy, environment and public facilities
                 教育业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬
                 Payments of employed persons in urban units for education
                 卫生、社会保障和社会福利业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬
                 Payments of employed persons in urban units for health, social security and
                 social welfare
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项
                                 数据)
  市统计局(                  Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55
             5 个处室, 36 项数据 )
  CQBS(5 divisions,36 indicators ) indicators )

   核算处         建筑业现价增加值
 Division of   Value-added of construction at current price
  accounts
  (24 项 )       建筑业不变价增长速度
(24 indicators) Indices of construction at constant price
                分行业缩减指数 (14 项 )
                Deflator by sector(14 indicator)
                                                              LOGO
               分行业调整系数 (7 项 )
               Adjustment factor by sector(7 indicator)
               居民自有住房不变价增加值增长速度
               Indices of value-added of residents of owner-occupied housing at
               constant price
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项
                                     数据)
                        Data Sources ( 8 bureaus,55
 重庆调查总队( 3 个处室, 5 项数据)
NBS Survey Office in Chongqing indicators ) indicators)
                                 (3 divisions,5
            农业处            农业现价增加值
    Division of agricultureValue added of agriculture at current price
            survey
                           农业增加值可比价增长速度
            (2 项 )
                           Indices of value added of agriculture at constant price
        (2 indicators)

                                                                     LOGO
         工业调查处               全市规模以下工业增加值现价增长速度
    Division of industrial   Indices of value added of industry enterprises below
            survey           designated size at current price
            (2 项 )
        (2 indicators)       全市规模以下工业增加值不变价增长速度
                             Indices of value added of industry enterprises below
                             designated size at constant price
         消费价格处           居民消费价格指数
    Division of consumer Consumer price indices
            price
     (1 项 / 1 indicator)
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项
                                   数据)
 市级部门(      6 个部门, 14 项数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus,55
 Municipal bureau ( 6 bureaus , 14 indicators ) )
                                      indicators
       市交委               公路客运周转量
Municipal committee of   Passenger-kilometers on highways
   communication         公路货运周转量
       (4 项 )            Freight ton-kilometers on highways
    (4indicators)
                         水路客运周转量
                         Passenger-kilometers on waterways
                         水路货运周转量                                 LOGO
                         Freight ton-kilometers on waterways




      成都铁路局              铁路客运发到量
  Bureau of Chengdu      Number of passengers dispatched from& arrived at railway station
        railway          铁路货运发到量
       (2 项 )            Volume of freight dispatched from& arrived at railway station
     (2indicators)
      市邮政公司              邮政业务总量增长速度
Municipal administration Growth rate of business volume of postal and telecommunication
       of posts          services
资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项
                                   数据)
  市级部门( 6 个部门, 14 项数据)   Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55
                                    indicators )
Municipal bureau ( 6 bureaus , 14 indicators )
           市人民银行              金融机构人民币存款余额
    Chongqing operations      Total deposit balance of RMB
    office of People’s Bank   金融机构人民币贷款余额
      (2 项 /2indicators)      Total loan balance of RMB


           市地税局               信息传输、计算机服务和软件业营业税                  LOGO
      Municipal bureau        Operation tax of information transmission, computer service
       of local taxation      and software
            (4 项 )            文化、体育和娱乐业营业税
        (4 indicators)        Operation tax of culture, sports and entertainment
                              租赁和商务服务业营业税
                              Operation tax of renting and business activities
                              居民和其他服务业营业税
                              Operation tax of household services and other service
         市财政局                 一般公共服务支出增长速度
     Municipal bureau of      Growth rate of public service expenditure
          Finance
     (1 项 /1 indicators)
分行业核算方法
                         Estimation Method by Sections

第一产业

Primary   industry

现价增加值、不变价增加值发展速度均由重庆调查总队农业调查处直接核定。
Growth rate of value added at current price and constant price are approved
by the division of agriculture survey of NBS Survey Office in Chongqing.
                                                        LOGO

当期不变价增加值
= 上年同期不变价增加值
× 不变价增加值发展速度
Value added at constant price=
value added at constant price at last period
×indices of value added at constant price
分行业核算方法
                              Estimation Method by Sections
      工业
      Industry
不变价增加值增长速度
= 规模以上工业不变价增加值增长速度 × 上年年度规模以上工业现价增加值占全部
工业现价增加值的比重 + 规模以下工业不变价增加值增长速度 × 上年年度规模以下
工业现价增加值占全部工业现价增加值的比重
Growth rate of value added at constant price                       LOGO
= growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at
constant price ×proportion of value added of industrial enterprises above
designated size at current price last year +growth rate of value added of
industrial enterprises below designated size at constant price × proportion of
value added of industrial enterprises below designated size at current price last
year
分行业核算方法
                              Estimation Method by Sections
   工业现价增加值
   Industrial Value added at current price
1 、若规模以上工业现价增加值小于全口径工业增加值 , 那么 :
Ⅰ.If the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at
    current price is smaller than value added of total industry, then:

    现价增加值发展速度 = 当期不变价增加值发展速度 × 工业品厂价格指数
                                                             LOGO
 Indices of value added at current price = indices of value added at constant


 price ×PPI
分行业核算方法
                            Estimation Method by Sections
   工业现价增加值
   Industrial Value added at current price
 2 、若规模以上工业现价增加值大于全口径工业增加值 , 那么 :
Ⅱ. If the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at
     current price is larger than value added of total industry, then:

    现价增加值发展速度 = (规模以上工业增加值 + 规模以下工业增加值) ÷
上                                                           LOGO
     年工业增加值
    Indices of value added at current price= ( value added of industrial
    enterprises above designated size+ value added of industrial enterprises
    below designated size ) ÷value added of industry last year
分行业核算方法
                         Estimation Method by Sections
   工业现价增加值
   Industrial Value added at current price
规模以上工业增长速度:由市统计局工业处审定;
Growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size :
Validated by division of industrial statistics CQBS

规模以下工业增长速度:执行全市的核算制度。
                                                         LOGO
Growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises below designated size :
Be in line with municipal level.
分行业核算方法
                            Estimation Method by Sections

 建筑业
Construction
当期现价增加值及发展速度由市统计局核算处根据分区县建筑业总产值和建筑安装
工程投资情况统一核算。
Value added and indices are estimated by division of accounts, CQBS, according
to total output value and investment of construction and installation by county.
                                                           LOGO
不变价增加值发展速度
= 建筑业现价增加值发展速度
÷ 缩减指数
Indices of value added at constant price
=indices of value added at current price
÷deflator of construction
分行业核算方法
                               Estimation Method by Sections
                                          交通运输、仓储和邮政业
                                          Transport, Storage and Post

                                          不变价增加值增长速度
                                          = 公路、水路、铁路运输客货运周转量及邮政
                                          业的加权平均速度 × 调整系数
                                          Growth rate of value added at constant price
                                                                  LOGO
                                          =weighted average growth rate of highways,
                                          waterways, railways passenger-kilometers and
                                          freight ton-kilometers and post×adjustment
                                          coefficient


现价增加值发展速度
= 不变价增加值发展速度 × 交通运输、仓储和邮政业缩减指数
Indices of value added at current price
 =indices of value added at constant price ×deflator of transport, storage and post
分行业核算方法
                               Estimate Method by Section
批发和零售业
Wholesale    and retail trade


现价增加值增长速度
= 批发和零售业商品销售额增长速度 × 调整系数
Growth rate of value added at current price=growth rate of total
sales of wholesale and retail trade×adjustment coefficient LOGO



不变价增加值发展速度
= 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 批发和零售业缩减指数
Indices of value added at constant price
=indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of
wholesale and retail trade
分行业核算方法
                               Estimation Method by Sections
     住宿和餐饮业
     Hotels and Catering
现价增加值增长速度 = 住宿和餐饮业营业收入增长速度 × 调整系数
Growth rate of value added at current price =growth rate of business revenue of hotels
and catering ×adjustment coefficient

不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 住宿和餐饮业缩减指数
                                                                  LOGO
Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price
÷deflator of accommodation and catering
分行业核算方法
                                       Estimation Method by Sections
 金融业
 Financial intermediation


现价增加值增长速度
= 人民币存贷款余额增长速度 × 调整系数
Growth rate of value added at current price =Growth rate of
total deposit& loan balance of RMB×adjustment coefficient
                                                                   LOGO
不变价增加值发展速度
= 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 金融业缩减指数
Indices of value added at constant price
=indices of value added at current price ÷ deflator of financial
intermediation
分行业核算方法
                              Estimate Method by Section
 房地产业
 Real estate



不变价增加值增长速度
=[ 商品房销售面积增长速度 × 经普年度房地产开发经营业增加值占房地产业的比
重 + (房地产业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬发展速度 ÷ 居民消费价格指数 -1 ) ×
经普年度物业管理业、房地产中介、其他房地产业增加值占房地产业的比重+居
                             LOGO
民自有住房增长速度 × 经普年度居民自有住房增加值占房地产业的比重 ]× 调整系数

Growth rate of value added at constant price =[growth rate of floor space of commercialized
buildings×proportion of value added of real estate development and management in
economic census year + ( indices of earning of employed person in real estate urban
units÷PPI-1 ) × proportion of value added of residence service, intermediary institution of
real estate, other real estate in economic census year + growth rate of fictitious expenditure of
own housing service × proportion of value added of fictitious expenditure of own housing
service in economic census year ] ×adjustment coefficient
分行业核算方法
                                    Estimation Method by Sections

现价增加值发展速度
= 房地产业不变价增加值发展速度 × 居民消费、房屋销售数、土地交易、房屋租赁的
加权价格指数
Indices of value added at current price =indices of value added at constant price
×weighted average price indices of consumer, building sale, land trade and building rental


                                                                            LOGO
居民自有住房折旧
不变价增加值发展速度:由国家统计局核算司核定。



Growth rate of fictitious expenditure of own
housing service : Approved by the department
of national accounts, NBS
分行业核算方法
                             Estimation Method by Sections
 营利性服务业
 Profit-oriented services

现价增加值增长速度 = 营利性服务业的营业税增长速度 × 调整系数
Growth rate of value added at current price =growth rate of operation taxes of
profit-oriented services× adjustment coefficient
                                                           LOGO
不变价增加值发展速度
= 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 营利性服务业缩减指数
Indices of value added at constant price
=indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of
profit-oriented services
分行业核算方法
                                Estimation Method by Sections
 非营利性服务业
 Non-profit services

现价增加值增长速度
=[ 一般公共服务支出增长速度 × 经普年度公共管理和社会组织业增加值占非营利性服
务业的比重 + 不含公共管理和社会组织业的非营利性服务业城镇单位从业人员劳动报
                              LOGO
酬增长速度 × ( 1- 经普年度公共管理和社会组织业占非营利性服务业的比重) ]× 调
整系数
Growth rate of value added at current price
=[Growth rate of public service expenditure ×proportion of value added of public administration
and social organizations in economic census year + growth rate of payment of employed
persons in urban units for non-profit services excluding public administration and social
organizations × (1- proportion of value added of public administration and social organizations
in economic census year ) ]×adjustment coefficient
分行业核算方法
                            Estimation Method by Sections

 非营利性服务业
 non-profit services
不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 非营利性服务业缩减指数
Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current
price ÷deflator of non-profit services

                                                           LOGO
数据审核流程
                          Data Review Process


                             收集资料
                             市局下算
                           Collect basic              公布结果
                          data,estimated              Publicize
                             by CQBS                    GDP



反馈资料                        流程                     LOGO
Feedback
Basic Data                process
                                       会议联审
                                       Review on
              区 联 核算                    meeting
             Estimate
             by county
             bureau of
             statistics
数据审核流程
                    Data Review Process

                    数据衔接情
                      况
                     Data matching
    总 量                                  速 度
   Volume                             Growth rate

全市与区县汇总                               全市与区县汇总
差距控制在 2%                              差距控制在 1 个
                    总量 Volume        LOGO
                                       百分点以内
      左右
   The gap                           The gap between
 between city      速度 Growth rate      province and
                                       summary of
and summary of                           county is
   county is                          controlled in 1
controlled in 2%                     percentage point
问题及解决办法
                                    Problems & Solution

1                     各专业市级核算数与区县汇总数没有衔接
     The municipal data and summary of county in industry statistics are unequal


                             无法取得规模以下工业数据
2   The data of industrial enterprises below designated size can’t be obtained


                                      LOGO
                       市级核算与区县核算采用的指标不完全一致
3    The indicators used in city accounting are not fully consistent with the indicators
     used in county accounting


                                 指标的代表性问题
4                          The representation of indicators


                          专业统计与核算方法不衔接
5   Different estimate method between division of industrial statistics and accounts
专业市级数与区县汇总数没有衔接
          How to integrate by section


逐步                                                    四季度 全面衔接
推进                                           Quarter 4 Match up entirely
专业
数据                                      三季度 贸易业衔接
衔接                           Quarter 3 Match up in trade statistics
                                                         LOGO
Match                         二季度 建筑业衔接
  up
 step           Quarter 2 Match up in construction statistics
  by
 step                 一季度 工业衔接
        Quarter 1 Match up in industrial statistics
无法取得规模以下工业数据
                             How to obtain the data

                                   建立调查网络                    从 2010 年开始每年
                              Establish survey network         投入 4000 万
•规模以下工业
Industrial enterprises                                        Since2010,400
below designated size                                          million RMB is
•资质以下建筑业                                                     supported yearly
Construction enterprises
                                   市政府提供经费
below designated size
•资质以下房地产业
                                 Fund is supported by    •农产品调查
                                 municipal government    Survey of primary
Real estate enterprises                                  products
below designated size              区县为总体                 LOGO
                                                         •农村住户调查

•限下批零住餐业                      Sampling population is     Survey of rural
Wholesale and retail              each county            household
                                                         •城市住户调查
trade enterprises below                                  Survey of urban
designated size                 十二大调查网络                  household
•服务业                           12 survey networks        •消费品价格调查

Services                                                 Survey of consumer
•个体户                                                     price
                                                         •生产资料价格调查
Individual entrepreneur
                                                         Survey of means of
                               解决区域代表性问题                 production price
                                                         •劳动工资统计
                              County representation      Wage statistics
采用的指标不完全一致
                                  The indicators are not fully consistent

          全市 GDP 核算                                                 区县 GDP 核算
   GDP accounting of municipality                             GDP accounting of county




      住宿和餐饮业社零额
Total retail sales of accommodation and
                  catering                                       住宿和餐饮业营业额
    限额以上住宿业营业额                                                LOGO revenue of hotels and
                                                               Business
                                                                            catering
Business revenue of enterprises above
      designated size of hotels               指标对比
      批发和零售业社零额                               Compare            批发和零售业销售额
   Total retail sales of wholesale and                        Total sales of wholesale and retail
       批发和零售业销售额 retail trade                                                trade
           电信业务总量                                            信息传输、计算机服务和软件业营业税
          Business volume of                                 Operation tax of information transmission,
      telecommunication service                                  computer service and software
原因及解决办法
       Reason& How to resolve


                 Difference in
   指标相关度                   TEXT
                   indicator
核算模式 不同
                  correlation
 不同



 对区县核算来说,      For county
                             LOGO
 销售总额涵盖了批      accounting, sales
 发和零售业两方面      value covers 2 sides,
 内容,比仅涵盖零      wholesale and retail.
 售内容的社零额相      It's more correlative
 关度更高          to value added than
               total retail sale.
原因及解决办法
       Reason& How to resolve


    统计制度          Difference in
                            TEXT
核算模式 不同            statistical
 不同                  content




 电信业务总量只对                       LOGO
                 Business volume of
 市级数据进行统计       telecommunication
 ,没有分区县数据       service is only surveyed
                in provincial level, not in
 ,因此,采用营业       county level. So value
 税作为相关指标        added is estimated
                according to operation
                tax.
指标的代表性问题
                                   The representation of indicators
                                                                  银行业仅利润已达 130.13
                                 指标的代表性问题                         亿元,同比增长 40% 以上
                           The representation of indicators       Profit of bank
                                                                  reach13.01billion , with
                                                                  growth rate up to 40%

                                                                  证券融资额增长 28%
                                                                  Growth rate of securities
                                                                  capital up to 28%
                                                                  LOGO
                                                                  保险保费收入增长 69.9%
2009 年 1-9 月                                                      Growth rate of revenue of
JAN. to SEP,2009                                                  insurance fee up to 69.9%

人民币存贷款余额增长 18.5%
Growth rate of total deposit & loan balance of           人民币存贷款余额不能完全
RMB is 18.5%                                               代表金融业发展趋势
                                                          Growth rate of total deposit&
                                                          loan balance of RMB cannot
金融业增加值为 123.17 亿元,同比增长                                    represent growth of financial
5.9%                                                         intermediation entirely.
Financial intermediation value added is
12.32billion , Growth rate is 5.9%
专业统计与核算方法不衔接
                                      Different methods

                                                               2008 年进行改革,对于这部分
全口径工业与规模以上工业数                                                  区县,使用规上加规下的合计
据不匹配,部分区县规上工业                          核算方法不衔
                                                               数作为全口径工业增加值
大于全口径工业                                   接                    Since 2008,it is reformed in
It’s not match up between total        Different estimate      accounting of industrial value
industrial value added and value            methods            added. The total industrial value
added of Industrial enterprises                                added is the sum of industrial
above size. The value added of                                 enterprises above and below
Industrial enterprises above size                              designated size.
is larger than total industrial                                LOGO
value added


                   专业统计                                              核算
           Estimated by industrial                          Estimated by accounts
                 statistics
                                                                   固定基期
          如:工业统计的基期不固定
                                                              Fix the base date
         e.g. Base date is unfixed
            in industrial statistics
D4 2.重庆市区县gdp核算简介

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D4 2.重庆市区县gdp核算简介

  • 1. 重庆市区县 GDP 核算简介 Introduction of county GDP accounting of Chongqing —— 中国 - 联 合国技联 合作联 联 信托基金联 目国联 研联 会 International Workshop Regional Products and Income Accounts 秦 瑶 Qin Yao 重庆市统计局 Chongqing Municipal Bureau of Statistics 2010 年 3 月 Mar. 2010
  • 2. 主要内容 CONTENT 1 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 2 区县 GDP 核算工作概述 Overview of county GDP accounting of Chongqing 联 普年度核算方法 LOGO 3 Annual accounting for the economic census year 非 联联 普 联 年度核算方法 4 Annual accounting for the non-economic census year 联 联 及解决 联 法 5 Problems & solutions
  • 3. 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 重庆处于青藏高原与长江中下游平原的过渡地带,在中国 地理位置 西南部 Location Chongqing located in southwest of China, the transitional zone of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the Yangtze River Plain. 历史上三次定为国都、三次成立直辖市 LOGO 历史沿革 Chongqing has been selected as the capital three History times and as the Municipality three times in history. 年轻的直辖市 第三次成立直辖市: 1997 年 Young As municipality for third time in 1997 Municipality
  • 4. 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 面积 幅员面积 8.24 万平方公里 Area 82.4 thousand square kilometers LOGO 地形 地形大势由南北向长江河谷倾斜,起伏较大 Terrain Sloping from north and south to the Yangtze River valley, with great terrain undulation
  • 5. 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 地貌以丘陵、山地为主,坡地 面积较大 Landscape are mainly hills and mountains. There are large area of hillside field. LOGO 分布着典型的石林、峰林、溶 洞、峡谷等喀斯特景观 There are typical stone forest, peak forest, caves, canyons and other karst landscapes
  • 6. 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 河流 主要河流有长江、嘉陵江、乌江、涪江、綦江等 River The main rivers are Yangtze River, Jialing River, Wujiang River, Fujiang River, Qijiang River, etc. 城市依山而建,是一座美丽的山水城市 山城 The city, built along mountains, is a beautiful city with LOGO mountains and rivers.
  • 7. 重庆市简介 Brief Introduction of Chongqing 下辖 40 个行政区县,是我国行政辖区最大、人口最多、管理行政单元最多的城市 ; With 40 districts and counties, Chongqing is the city which covers largest area, largest population, and most administrative units in China. 2009 年底全市户籍人口 3276 万人,常住人口 2859 万人 At the end of 2009, the number of registered resident is 32.76 millions, and the number of permanent resident is 28.59 millions. LOGO
  • 8. 概述 OVERVIEW 基本模式与国家统计局制定的地区 GDP核算方法一致,根据实际情况对重庆区县 GDP 核算进行改革。  County GDP accounting of Chongqing is basically in line with the provincial GDP accounting ,which is developed by NBS, and improved  based on the actual situation of Chongqing municipality. LOGO
  • 9. 概述 OVERVIEW 2006 年 2007 年 2008 年 2009 年 YEAR2006 YEAR2007 YEAR2008 YEAR2009 出台 3 个关于完 出台 5 个关于完 LOGO 出台 1 个关于完 正式发文改革 善 GDP 核算的文 善 GDP 核算的文 善 GDP 核算的文 区县核算工作 件 件 件 Official document Three documents Three documents One document was officially regarding the regarding the regarding the issued to reform improvement of improvement of improvement of the county GDP accounting GDP accounting GDP accounting accounting were issued were issued was issued
  • 10. 概述 OVERVIEW 核算频率 Accounting frequency LOGO 季度核算 年度核算 Annual accounting Quarterly accounting 仅在经济普查年度开 每季度核算,其中,四 展,常规年度不进行 季度核算全年 数 据 核算 Launched in every It’s launched only in quarter. Annual data the economic census is estimated in the year, doesn’t launch fourth quarter. in non-economic census year.
  • 11. 概述 OVERVIEW 1 1 In economic census year, 经济普查年度核算 Value-added of industrial 中,规模以上工业 enterprises above 增加值由局工业处 designated size is charged 负责,二、三产业 LOGO by division of industrial 的其他所有行业由 statistics. The other of the 核算处负责 secondary and tertiary industries is charged by division of account
  • 12. 概述 OVERVIEW 2 2 The basic data for 季度 GDP 核算涉及 quarterly GDP accounting 的基础数据由核算处 is collected by division of accounts, CQBS, 统一反馈 and feedback to each county LOGO
  • 13. 概述 OVERVIEW 3 3 2008 年起,区县 Since 2008,County GDP accounting is estimated “准下算一级”和“ by both CQBS and 下算一级”双轨运 county bureaus of 行,发布并使用准 statistics. LOGO 下算数据,下算的 The published data is estimated by county 数据反馈给各区县 bureaus which is 内部掌握 reviewed by CQBS.
  • 14. 经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the economic census year 资料来源 1 Data Source 分行业核算方法 2 LOGO Estimation Method by Sections
  • 15. 经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the economic census year 经济普查调查范围为第二、三产业的经济活动单位,不涵盖第一产业活动,因此, 经济普查年度不核算农业增加值。 The scope of economic census include all economic units of the secondary and tertiary industries, excluding the units of the first industry. So the value-added of agriculture is not renewedly accounted in economic census year. The data source is as follow: 资料来源 Data source 资料来源 Data source LOGO 住户调查 经普数据 成本费用调查 常规专业统计 增加值率 资料 Data of Value-added Routine Data of economic ratio of cost statistics household census survey survey
  • 16. 经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the economic census year 工业按成本费用调查的收入法增加值率计算行业小类增加值 ,逐级合并生成工业增加值 The value-added of industry is calculated by combination of the value-added of each industries which is estimated by value added ratio of income approach, from industrial cost survey. 分产业 建筑业按 2008 年区县建筑安装工程投资完成额结构分劈全 核算方法 市经济普查建筑业增加值数据 LOGO The value-added of construction of economic census is Estimation divided according to the proportion of investment of Method by construction and installation of each county in 2008. Sections 第三产业增加值根据普查财务表指标,使用收入法进行核 算,其中,证券、保险业根据产业活动单位收入分劈全市 增加值 The value-added of the tertiary industry is accounted by income approach according to indicator of finance sheet of census. The value-added of security and insurance is divided by income of industry unit.
  • 17. 非经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the non-economic census year 基本核算方法 1 Basic Estimation Method 资料来源 2 Data Source LOGO 分行联 核算方法 3 Estimation Method by Sections 数据联 核流程 4 Data Review Process
  • 18. 经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the non-economic census year 非经济普查年度按季度开展区县 GDP 核算工作,其中,四季度核算数为全年数据。 基本核算方法如下: Launched in every quarter. In the fourth quarter, the annual data is accounted. The Basic Methods are as follows: 现价增加值计算方法 Value-added at current price 增加值率法 : LOGO Value added ratio approach: 现价增加值=现价总产出 × 现价增加值率 Value added at current price = output× value added ratio 相关价值量指标速度推算法 : Estimated according to indices of relative indicators: 现价增加值=上年同期现价增加值 × 相关价值量指标的现价发展速度 Value-added at current price = value added at last period ×indices of relative indicator
  • 19. 经普年度核算方法 Annual accounting for the non-economic census year  不变价增加值计算方法  Value-added at constant price 缩减法: Deflation approach : 当期不变价增加值=当期现价增加值 ÷ 价格指数 Value added at constant price = value added at current price ÷price LOGO indices 速度推算法 : Estimated according to indices of relative indicators: 当期不变价增加值=上年同期不变价增加值 × 当期不变价增加值发展速度 Value added at constant current price = value added at last period ×indices of relative indicator
  • 20. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 indicators ) 市统计局( 5 个处室, 36 项数据)  CQBS(5 divisions,36 indicators ) 工业处 规上工业现价增加值 Division of Value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at current price industry statistics 规上工业可比价增长速度 (2 项 /2indicator) Growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size at constant price LOGO 贸易处 批发和零售业销售额现价增长速度 Division of trade Growth rate of total sales of wholesale and retail at current price statistics 住宿和餐饮业营业额增长速度 (2 Growth rate of business revenue of hotels and catering service at current price 项 /2indicator) 投资处 建筑业总产值增长速度 Division of Growth rate of total output value of construction investment 建筑安装工程投资增长速度 statistics Growth rate of investment of construction and installation (3 项 /3indicator) 商品房销售面积增长速度 Growth rate of floor space of commercialized buildings sold
  • 21. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 indicators ) 市统计局( 5 个处室, 36 联 数据) CQBS(5 divisions,36 indicators ) 人口处 房地产业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬 Division of Payments of employed persons in urban units for real estate population statistics 科学研究、技术服务和地质勘查业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬 (5 项 ) Payments of employed persons in urban units for scientific research, (5 indicators) technical service and geologic prospecting 水利、环境和公共设施管理业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬 LOGO Payments of employed persons in urban units for management of water conservancy, environment and public facilities 教育业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬 Payments of employed persons in urban units for education 卫生、社会保障和社会福利业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬 Payments of employed persons in urban units for health, social security and social welfare
  • 22. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项 数据) 市统计局( Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 5 个处室, 36 项数据 ) CQBS(5 divisions,36 indicators ) indicators ) 核算处 建筑业现价增加值 Division of Value-added of construction at current price accounts (24 项 ) 建筑业不变价增长速度 (24 indicators) Indices of construction at constant price 分行业缩减指数 (14 项 ) Deflator by sector(14 indicator) LOGO 分行业调整系数 (7 项 ) Adjustment factor by sector(7 indicator) 居民自有住房不变价增加值增长速度 Indices of value-added of residents of owner-occupied housing at constant price
  • 23. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项 数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus,55  重庆调查总队( 3 个处室, 5 项数据) NBS Survey Office in Chongqing indicators ) indicators) (3 divisions,5 农业处 农业现价增加值 Division of agricultureValue added of agriculture at current price survey 农业增加值可比价增长速度 (2 项 ) Indices of value added of agriculture at constant price (2 indicators) LOGO 工业调查处 全市规模以下工业增加值现价增长速度 Division of industrial Indices of value added of industry enterprises below survey designated size at current price (2 项 ) (2 indicators) 全市规模以下工业增加值不变价增长速度 Indices of value added of industry enterprises below designated size at constant price 消费价格处 居民消费价格指数 Division of consumer Consumer price indices price (1 项 / 1 indicator)
  • 24. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项 数据) 市级部门( 6 个部门, 14 项数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus,55 Municipal bureau ( 6 bureaus , 14 indicators ) ) indicators 市交委 公路客运周转量 Municipal committee of Passenger-kilometers on highways communication 公路货运周转量 (4 项 ) Freight ton-kilometers on highways (4indicators) 水路客运周转量 Passenger-kilometers on waterways 水路货运周转量 LOGO Freight ton-kilometers on waterways 成都铁路局 铁路客运发到量 Bureau of Chengdu Number of passengers dispatched from& arrived at railway station railway 铁路货运发到量 (2 项 ) Volume of freight dispatched from& arrived at railway station (2indicators) 市邮政公司 邮政业务总量增长速度 Municipal administration Growth rate of business volume of postal and telecommunication of posts services
  • 25. 资料来源( 8 个部门、 55 项 数据)  市级部门( 6 个部门, 14 项数据) Data Sources ( 8 bureaus ,55 indicators ) Municipal bureau ( 6 bureaus , 14 indicators ) 市人民银行 金融机构人民币存款余额 Chongqing operations Total deposit balance of RMB office of People’s Bank 金融机构人民币贷款余额 (2 项 /2indicators) Total loan balance of RMB 市地税局 信息传输、计算机服务和软件业营业税 LOGO Municipal bureau Operation tax of information transmission, computer service of local taxation and software (4 项 ) 文化、体育和娱乐业营业税 (4 indicators) Operation tax of culture, sports and entertainment 租赁和商务服务业营业税 Operation tax of renting and business activities 居民和其他服务业营业税 Operation tax of household services and other service 市财政局 一般公共服务支出增长速度 Municipal bureau of Growth rate of public service expenditure Finance (1 项 /1 indicators)
  • 26. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections 第一产业 Primary industry 现价增加值、不变价增加值发展速度均由重庆调查总队农业调查处直接核定。 Growth rate of value added at current price and constant price are approved by the division of agriculture survey of NBS Survey Office in Chongqing. LOGO 当期不变价增加值 = 上年同期不变价增加值 × 不变价增加值发展速度 Value added at constant price= value added at constant price at last period ×indices of value added at constant price
  • 27. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  工业  Industry 不变价增加值增长速度 = 规模以上工业不变价增加值增长速度 × 上年年度规模以上工业现价增加值占全部 工业现价增加值的比重 + 规模以下工业不变价增加值增长速度 × 上年年度规模以下 工业现价增加值占全部工业现价增加值的比重 Growth rate of value added at constant price LOGO = growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at constant price ×proportion of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at current price last year +growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises below designated size at constant price × proportion of value added of industrial enterprises below designated size at current price last year
  • 28. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  工业现价增加值  Industrial Value added at current price 1 、若规模以上工业现价增加值小于全口径工业增加值 , 那么 : Ⅰ.If the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at current price is smaller than value added of total industry, then: 现价增加值发展速度 = 当期不变价增加值发展速度 × 工业品厂价格指数 LOGO Indices of value added at current price = indices of value added at constant price ×PPI
  • 29. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  工业现价增加值  Industrial Value added at current price 2 、若规模以上工业现价增加值大于全口径工业增加值 , 那么 : Ⅱ. If the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size at current price is larger than value added of total industry, then: 现价增加值发展速度 = (规模以上工业增加值 + 规模以下工业增加值) ÷ 上 LOGO 年工业增加值 Indices of value added at current price= ( value added of industrial enterprises above designated size+ value added of industrial enterprises below designated size ) ÷value added of industry last year
  • 30. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  工业现价增加值  Industrial Value added at current price 规模以上工业增长速度:由市统计局工业处审定; Growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size : Validated by division of industrial statistics CQBS 规模以下工业增长速度:执行全市的核算制度。 LOGO Growth rate of value added of industrial enterprises below designated size : Be in line with municipal level.
  • 31. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  建筑业 Construction 当期现价增加值及发展速度由市统计局核算处根据分区县建筑业总产值和建筑安装 工程投资情况统一核算。 Value added and indices are estimated by division of accounts, CQBS, according to total output value and investment of construction and installation by county. LOGO 不变价增加值发展速度 = 建筑业现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 缩减指数 Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of construction
  • 32. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections 交通运输、仓储和邮政业 Transport, Storage and Post 不变价增加值增长速度 = 公路、水路、铁路运输客货运周转量及邮政 业的加权平均速度 × 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at constant price LOGO =weighted average growth rate of highways, waterways, railways passenger-kilometers and freight ton-kilometers and post×adjustment coefficient 现价增加值发展速度 = 不变价增加值发展速度 × 交通运输、仓储和邮政业缩减指数 Indices of value added at current price =indices of value added at constant price ×deflator of transport, storage and post
  • 33. 分行业核算方法 Estimate Method by Section 批发和零售业 Wholesale and retail trade 现价增加值增长速度 = 批发和零售业商品销售额增长速度 × 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at current price=growth rate of total sales of wholesale and retail trade×adjustment coefficient LOGO 不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 批发和零售业缩减指数 Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of wholesale and retail trade
  • 34. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  住宿和餐饮业  Hotels and Catering 现价增加值增长速度 = 住宿和餐饮业营业收入增长速度 × 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at current price =growth rate of business revenue of hotels and catering ×adjustment coefficient 不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 住宿和餐饮业缩减指数 LOGO Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of accommodation and catering
  • 35. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  金融业  Financial intermediation 现价增加值增长速度 = 人民币存贷款余额增长速度 × 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at current price =Growth rate of total deposit& loan balance of RMB×adjustment coefficient LOGO 不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 金融业缩减指数 Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷ deflator of financial intermediation
  • 36. 分行业核算方法 Estimate Method by Section  房地产业  Real estate 不变价增加值增长速度 =[ 商品房销售面积增长速度 × 经普年度房地产开发经营业增加值占房地产业的比 重 + (房地产业城镇单位从业人员劳动报酬发展速度 ÷ 居民消费价格指数 -1 ) × 经普年度物业管理业、房地产中介、其他房地产业增加值占房地产业的比重+居 LOGO 民自有住房增长速度 × 经普年度居民自有住房增加值占房地产业的比重 ]× 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at constant price =[growth rate of floor space of commercialized buildings×proportion of value added of real estate development and management in economic census year + ( indices of earning of employed person in real estate urban units÷PPI-1 ) × proportion of value added of residence service, intermediary institution of real estate, other real estate in economic census year + growth rate of fictitious expenditure of own housing service × proportion of value added of fictitious expenditure of own housing service in economic census year ] ×adjustment coefficient
  • 37. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections 现价增加值发展速度 = 房地产业不变价增加值发展速度 × 居民消费、房屋销售数、土地交易、房屋租赁的 加权价格指数 Indices of value added at current price =indices of value added at constant price ×weighted average price indices of consumer, building sale, land trade and building rental LOGO 居民自有住房折旧 不变价增加值发展速度:由国家统计局核算司核定。 Growth rate of fictitious expenditure of own housing service : Approved by the department of national accounts, NBS
  • 38. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  营利性服务业  Profit-oriented services 现价增加值增长速度 = 营利性服务业的营业税增长速度 × 调整系数 Growth rate of value added at current price =growth rate of operation taxes of profit-oriented services× adjustment coefficient LOGO 不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 营利性服务业缩减指数 Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of profit-oriented services
  • 39. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  非营利性服务业  Non-profit services 现价增加值增长速度 =[ 一般公共服务支出增长速度 × 经普年度公共管理和社会组织业增加值占非营利性服 务业的比重 + 不含公共管理和社会组织业的非营利性服务业城镇单位从业人员劳动报 LOGO 酬增长速度 × ( 1- 经普年度公共管理和社会组织业占非营利性服务业的比重) ]× 调 整系数 Growth rate of value added at current price =[Growth rate of public service expenditure ×proportion of value added of public administration and social organizations in economic census year + growth rate of payment of employed persons in urban units for non-profit services excluding public administration and social organizations × (1- proportion of value added of public administration and social organizations in economic census year ) ]×adjustment coefficient
  • 40. 分行业核算方法 Estimation Method by Sections  非营利性服务业  non-profit services 不变价增加值发展速度 = 现价增加值发展速度 ÷ 非营利性服务业缩减指数 Indices of value added at constant price =indices of value added at current price ÷deflator of non-profit services LOGO
  • 41. 数据审核流程 Data Review Process 收集资料 市局下算 Collect basic 公布结果 data,estimated Publicize by CQBS GDP 反馈资料 流程 LOGO Feedback Basic Data process 会议联审 Review on 区 联 核算 meeting Estimate by county bureau of statistics
  • 42. 数据审核流程 Data Review Process 数据衔接情 况 Data matching 总 量 速 度 Volume Growth rate 全市与区县汇总 全市与区县汇总 差距控制在 2% 差距控制在 1 个 总量 Volume LOGO 百分点以内 左右 The gap The gap between between city 速度 Growth rate province and summary of and summary of county is county is controlled in 1 controlled in 2% percentage point
  • 43. 问题及解决办法 Problems & Solution 1 各专业市级核算数与区县汇总数没有衔接 The municipal data and summary of county in industry statistics are unequal 无法取得规模以下工业数据 2 The data of industrial enterprises below designated size can’t be obtained LOGO 市级核算与区县核算采用的指标不完全一致 3 The indicators used in city accounting are not fully consistent with the indicators used in county accounting 指标的代表性问题 4 The representation of indicators 专业统计与核算方法不衔接 5 Different estimate method between division of industrial statistics and accounts
  • 44. 专业市级数与区县汇总数没有衔接 How to integrate by section 逐步 四季度 全面衔接 推进 Quarter 4 Match up entirely 专业 数据 三季度 贸易业衔接 衔接 Quarter 3 Match up in trade statistics LOGO Match 二季度 建筑业衔接 up step Quarter 2 Match up in construction statistics by step 一季度 工业衔接 Quarter 1 Match up in industrial statistics
  • 45. 无法取得规模以下工业数据 How to obtain the data 建立调查网络 从 2010 年开始每年 Establish survey network 投入 4000 万 •规模以下工业 Industrial enterprises Since2010,400 below designated size million RMB is •资质以下建筑业 supported yearly Construction enterprises 市政府提供经费 below designated size •资质以下房地产业 Fund is supported by •农产品调查 municipal government Survey of primary Real estate enterprises products below designated size 区县为总体 LOGO •农村住户调查 •限下批零住餐业 Sampling population is Survey of rural Wholesale and retail each county household •城市住户调查 trade enterprises below Survey of urban designated size 十二大调查网络 household •服务业 12 survey networks •消费品价格调查 Services Survey of consumer •个体户 price •生产资料价格调查 Individual entrepreneur Survey of means of 解决区域代表性问题 production price •劳动工资统计 County representation Wage statistics
  • 46. 采用的指标不完全一致 The indicators are not fully consistent 全市 GDP 核算 区县 GDP 核算 GDP accounting of municipality GDP accounting of county 住宿和餐饮业社零额 Total retail sales of accommodation and catering 住宿和餐饮业营业额 限额以上住宿业营业额 LOGO revenue of hotels and Business catering Business revenue of enterprises above designated size of hotels 指标对比 批发和零售业社零额 Compare 批发和零售业销售额 Total retail sales of wholesale and Total sales of wholesale and retail 批发和零售业销售额 retail trade trade 电信业务总量 信息传输、计算机服务和软件业营业税 Business volume of Operation tax of information transmission, telecommunication service computer service and software
  • 47. 原因及解决办法 Reason& How to resolve Difference in 指标相关度 TEXT indicator 核算模式 不同 correlation 不同 对区县核算来说, For county LOGO 销售总额涵盖了批 accounting, sales 发和零售业两方面 value covers 2 sides, 内容,比仅涵盖零 wholesale and retail. 售内容的社零额相 It's more correlative 关度更高 to value added than total retail sale.
  • 48. 原因及解决办法 Reason& How to resolve 统计制度 Difference in TEXT 核算模式 不同 statistical 不同 content 电信业务总量只对 LOGO Business volume of 市级数据进行统计 telecommunication ,没有分区县数据 service is only surveyed in provincial level, not in ,因此,采用营业 county level. So value 税作为相关指标 added is estimated according to operation tax.
  • 49. 指标的代表性问题 The representation of indicators 银行业仅利润已达 130.13 指标的代表性问题 亿元,同比增长 40% 以上 The representation of indicators Profit of bank reach13.01billion , with growth rate up to 40% 证券融资额增长 28% Growth rate of securities capital up to 28% LOGO 保险保费收入增长 69.9% 2009 年 1-9 月 Growth rate of revenue of JAN. to SEP,2009 insurance fee up to 69.9% 人民币存贷款余额增长 18.5% Growth rate of total deposit & loan balance of 人民币存贷款余额不能完全 RMB is 18.5% 代表金融业发展趋势 Growth rate of total deposit& loan balance of RMB cannot 金融业增加值为 123.17 亿元,同比增长 represent growth of financial 5.9% intermediation entirely. Financial intermediation value added is 12.32billion , Growth rate is 5.9%
  • 50. 专业统计与核算方法不衔接 Different methods 2008 年进行改革,对于这部分 全口径工业与规模以上工业数 区县,使用规上加规下的合计 据不匹配,部分区县规上工业 核算方法不衔 数作为全口径工业增加值 大于全口径工业 接 Since 2008,it is reformed in It’s not match up between total Different estimate accounting of industrial value industrial value added and value methods added. The total industrial value added of Industrial enterprises added is the sum of industrial above size. The value added of enterprises above and below Industrial enterprises above size designated size. is larger than total industrial LOGO value added 专业统计 核算 Estimated by industrial Estimated by accounts statistics 固定基期 如:工业统计的基期不固定 Fix the base date e.g. Base date is unfixed in industrial statistics