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Innovation at the
    Margins
      Simon Chadwick
 AMAI Annual Conference
Mexico City, September 2009
Innovation


     successful introduction of something
► “The
 new and useful”
► Change,   departure, introduction, invention,
 novelty
“Innovation comes from the margins”

           Shari Morwood, IBM
              October, 2006
How easy is it to innovate?
The difference between larger and
            smaller companies
►   Larger companies:
     Innovation requires process
         ► Business   plans, research, approvals, committees, testing, RoI
     Many ideas battling for resources
     Capital access is a competition with all the other needs of the
      business
     Often easier to acquire a successful start-up

►   Smaller companies:
       Often start-ups
       Innovation is the reason for being – one BIG IDEA!
       Access to capital (private equity or venture capital)
       Rapid iteration in the market
       Failure baked in as a necessity for success
Do large MR companies innovate?

► Yes!
     Research International: MicroTest
     Millward Brown: BrandZ, Link
     GfK: Outdoor media monitoring
     Arbitron: PPM
► BUT:the majority of large company new
 products come from acquisition
Examples of acquired innovation
  Acquiring      Acquired     Acquired
  Company        Company      Innovation
Kantar        MaPS          Brand Tracking
IPSOS         Livra         Communities
GfK           Arbor         Brand Tracking
Nielsen       Buzzback      WOM
                            Passive
TNS           Compete
                            measurement
Why do large companies acquire
            innovation?
► Because   innovation is occurring on a larger
  scale and at a faster pace than at any time
  in our industry’s history
► Larger companies innovate at a slower pace
  – therefore risk being overtaken by
  “disruptive technologies”
► “If you can’t beat them, eat them”
Disruptive Technology
Why so much disruptive innovation
             today?
► Technology
   Internet
   Social Media

► Popular   “new ideas” books
   E.g. “Wisdom of Crowds”, “Tipping Point”,
    “Freakonomics”

► Pre-recession    availability of capital
Some examples
Technology: Qualitative
Technology: Integrated Qual/Quant




     Research>!mpact

      Optimum!nsight
Technology: Shopper Insights
3d C-Store
Technology: Online Sample




Providing online sample direct from Social Media
Technology: Communities


                  Researcher



   Listening                     Surveying




    Participant                Participant

                  Observing
New Ideas: Wisdom of Crowds
Galton’s surprise findings



collective                       actual
  guess                          weight
    =                              =
 1197 lbs                       1198 lbs
IEM - The original Predictive Market



X 656
Polls                          ¾
(1988 -
 2008)
Use of Predictive Markets
► Concept   Testing
► Political polling
► Integrated product testing
► Ad testing


      More accurate than probability-based tests
New Ideas: Integrated Research
Summary
► Availability
             of capital + popular new ideas +
  technology = the most productive era ever
  in research for “Innovation at the Margins”
► Large companies will copy and will acquire
  these innovations so that they enter the
  mainstream
► Many will result in profound changes to
  what we today regard as “market research”
Thank you!

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How Small Companies and New Technologies Drive Innovation in Market Research

  • 1. Innovation at the Margins Simon Chadwick AMAI Annual Conference Mexico City, September 2009
  • 2. Innovation successful introduction of something ► “The new and useful” ► Change, departure, introduction, invention, novelty
  • 3. “Innovation comes from the margins” Shari Morwood, IBM October, 2006
  • 4. How easy is it to innovate?
  • 5. The difference between larger and smaller companies ► Larger companies:  Innovation requires process ► Business plans, research, approvals, committees, testing, RoI  Many ideas battling for resources  Capital access is a competition with all the other needs of the business  Often easier to acquire a successful start-up ► Smaller companies:  Often start-ups  Innovation is the reason for being – one BIG IDEA!  Access to capital (private equity or venture capital)  Rapid iteration in the market  Failure baked in as a necessity for success
  • 6. Do large MR companies innovate? ► Yes!  Research International: MicroTest  Millward Brown: BrandZ, Link  GfK: Outdoor media monitoring  Arbitron: PPM ► BUT:the majority of large company new products come from acquisition
  • 7. Examples of acquired innovation Acquiring Acquired Acquired Company Company Innovation Kantar MaPS Brand Tracking IPSOS Livra Communities GfK Arbor Brand Tracking Nielsen Buzzback WOM Passive TNS Compete measurement
  • 8. Why do large companies acquire innovation? ► Because innovation is occurring on a larger scale and at a faster pace than at any time in our industry’s history ► Larger companies innovate at a slower pace – therefore risk being overtaken by “disruptive technologies” ► “If you can’t beat them, eat them”
  • 10. Why so much disruptive innovation today? ► Technology  Internet  Social Media ► Popular “new ideas” books  E.g. “Wisdom of Crowds”, “Tipping Point”, “Freakonomics” ► Pre-recession availability of capital
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Technology: Integrated Qual/Quant Research>!mpact Optimum!nsight
  • 20.
  • 21. Technology: Online Sample Providing online sample direct from Social Media
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Technology: Communities Researcher Listening Surveying Participant Participant Observing
  • 25. New Ideas: Wisdom of Crowds
  • 26. Galton’s surprise findings collective actual guess weight = = 1197 lbs 1198 lbs
  • 27. IEM - The original Predictive Market X 656 Polls ¾ (1988 - 2008)
  • 28. Use of Predictive Markets ► Concept Testing ► Political polling ► Integrated product testing ► Ad testing More accurate than probability-based tests
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Summary ► Availability of capital + popular new ideas + technology = the most productive era ever in research for “Innovation at the Margins” ► Large companies will copy and will acquire these innovations so that they enter the mainstream ► Many will result in profound changes to what we today regard as “market research”