SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 27
2010 Census: What is
the BIG story?


             Alvaro Lima
             Director of Research
             Boston Redevelopment Authority
During the last decade
Boston’s population
grew
In the last decade, Boston’s population grew by 4.8%…


                                                    Boston’s Population (1950 – 2010)
      850,000
                           801,444
      800,000


      750,000

                                                   697,197
      700,000

                                                               641,071
      650,000
                                                                                                  4.8%
      600,000                                                                                            617,594
                                                                                             589,141
                                                                                   574,283
      550,000                                                            562,994


      500,000


      450,000


      400,000
                          1950                 1960          1970        1980      1990      2000      2010




Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
…and it has also grown more than most other cities in the
 Northeast




Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
…it has grown faster than it did in the last two decades
   reversing the negative trend of the three decades prior to
   1980…
                                                    Boston’s Population (1950 – 2010)
      850,000


      800,000


      750,000                          -13%

      700,000
                                                           -8%
      650,000
                                                                                                              4.8%
      600,000
                                                                        -12%                    2.6%
                                                                                  2.0%
      550,000


      500,000
                          -29.7% between 1950 and 1980                                     +9.7% since 1980
      450,000


      400,000
                          1950                 1960              1970      1980          1990          2000          2010




Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
It didn't just grow   ,
it grew younger
35% of our population is between the ages of 20 and 34…


                                                     Boston's Population by Age - 2010



                                                           19%
                                                                            22%




                                                                                         0-19 years
                                                                                         20-34 years
                                                                                         35-54 years
                                                                                         55 and older

                                               24%




                                                                          35%

Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
We have the highest concentration of young adults (20-34)
    among the 25 largest cities in the country

                                                                            % of Total   Location
                                  City                 20 to 34-Year-Olds
                                                                            Population   Quotient
                   Boston                              216,213                35.0%        1.73
                   Austin                              251,064                31.8%        1.57
                   Washington DC                       188,855                31.4%        1.55
                   Atlanta                             127,101                30.3%        1.49
                   Seattle                             181,501                29.8%        1.47
                   San Francisco                       228,738                28.4%        1.40
                   Chicago                             738,578                27.4%        1.35
                   Dallas                              314,728                26.3%        1.29
                   Houston                             545,071                26.0%        1.28
                   Baltimore                           160,024                25.8%        1.27
                   Philadelphia                        392,776                25.7%        1.27
                   Los Angeles                         953,443                25.1%        1.24
                   New York                            2,035,030              24.9%        1.23
                   San Antonio                         304,784                23.0%        1.13
                   Phoenix                             330,885                22.9%        1.13

Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
… not just younger

but smarter
44.3% of Boston’s population has at least a bachelor’s degree…


                                       Educational Attainment (2000 – 2010)
     30.0%                                                                                                                                 120,000


                                                                                                 24.5%
     25.0%                                     23.8%                                                                                       100,000
                    21.1%
                                               24.0%
                                                                                                                         19.8%
     20.0%                                                              19.4%                                                              80,000
                                                                                                 20.2%
                                                                       17.7%
                       14.2%
     15.0%                                                                                                                                 60,000
                                                                                                                         15.3%

     10.0%                                                                                                                                 40,000



      5.0%                                                                                                                                 20,000



      0.0%                                                                                                                                 -
               Less than high school    High school graduate       Some college or         Bachelor's degree    Graduate or professional
                      diploma          (includes equivalency)     associate's degree                                    degree




                        2000                     2010                    % of 2000 Population                      % of 2010 Population



Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
…ranking 4th among the 25 largest cities in the country

                                                                    Bachelor's  Graduate or     Bachelor's
       Rank                           City
                                                                     degree professional degree or higher
           1     Seattle, Washington                                          33.1%        22.9%      56.0%
           2     San Francisco, California                                    31.4%        19.5%      50.9%
           3     Washington, District of Columbia                             23.2%        26.9%      50.1%
           4     Boston, Massachusetts                                        24.5%        19.8%      44.3%
           5     Austin, Texas                                                27.5%        16.1%      43.6%
           6     Portland, Oregon                                             26.3%        15.9%      42.2%
           7     Denver, Colorado                                             25.4%        15.5%      40.9%
           8     San Diego, California                                        24.1%        16.3%      40.4%
           9     Charlotte, North Carolina                                    25.9%        12.8%      38.7%
          10     San Jose, California                                         23.2%        13.4%      36.6%
          11     Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee                                20.0%        13.6%      33.6%
          12     Chicago, Illinois                                            20.2%        13.2%      33.4%
          13     New York, New York                                           19.9%        13.4%      33.3%
          14     Columbus, Ohio                                               21.3%        10.4%      31.7%
          15     Los Angeles, California                                      20.4%        10.3%      30.7%
          16     Dallas, Texas                                                18.5%        10.4%      28.9%
          17     Houston, Texas                                               17.4%        11.0%      28.4%
          18     Louisville-Jefferson, Kentucky                               16.4%        11.0%      27.4%
          19     Indianapolis, Indiana                                        17.6%         9.0%      26.6%
          20     Fort Worth, Texas                                            18.5%         7.5%      26.0%

                                                                                                              11
Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
and the city became more

diverse
Today less than half of Boston’s population is white, compared
    to close to 70% in 1980…

                      1980                                               1990                          2000
                      1%     3%                                        0% 5%    1%
                                                                                0                        3%
                 6%                                                                                8% 1%
                                                                 11%                             0%

                                                                                           14%
      22%
                                                                                                              49.5%
                                                           24%
                                                                                     59%
                                           68%

                                                                                             24%




                         2010
                       2%    2%
                 9%
            0%




      18%

                                               47%
        22%



Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
Boston’s neighborhoods are more diverse today than they
were in 2000


                                                             North
                                                           Dorchester                         2010          2000
                                             Back Bay/     0.80            South
                                            Beacon Hill                  Dorchester
                                                           0.70
                                       South                                      Harbor
                                       Boston              0.60                   Islands
                                                           0.50
                          Mattapan                         0.40                             Boston
                                                           0.30

                                                           0.20
                  Charlestown                                                                  South End
                                                           0.10

                                                           0.00

                        West
                                                                                               Roslindale
                       Roxbury


                             Central                                                        Hyde Park


                                     Allston/                                      Jamaica
                                     Brighton                                        Plain
                                                Feneway/
                                                                         Roxbury
                                                Kenmore
                                                           East Boston


Source: US Census 2010, BRA Research Division Analysis
Immigrants are a
big part of this
story…
Historically, Boston has had a greater proportion of foreign-
      born residents than the Commonwealth and the country…

                            Foreign-born Population 1850 – 2009 (% of total population)

       40%
                                                                                                                           Boston

       35%                                                                                                                 Massachusetts

                                                                                                                           United States
       30%


       25%


       20%


       15%


       10%


        5%


        0%
                 1850


                         1860


                                  1870


                                          1880


                                                   1890


                                                           1900


                                                                    1910


                                                                            1920


                                                                                        1930


                                                                                               1940


                                                                                                      1950


                                                                                                             1960


                                                                                                                    1970


                                                                                                                           1980


                                                                                                                                    1990


                                                                                                                                           2000


                                                                                                                                                  2006


                                                                                                                                                         2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
Boston ranks 6th among the 25 largest cities in the U.S. in
    proportion of the population that is foreign-born…

      Foreign Born Rank                    % Foreign Born   City                Population Rank
                   1                               39.1%    Los Angeles, CA           2
                   2                               38.6%    San Jose, CA              10
                   3                               37.2%    New York, NY              1
                   4                               35.5%    San Francisco, CA         13
                   5                               28.7%    Houston, TX               4
                   6                              26.9%     Boston, MA                22
                   7                               26.1%    San Diego, CA             8
                   8                               25.3%    Dallas, TX                9
                   9                               24.6%    El Paso, TX               19
                  10                               20.7%    Chicago, IL               3
                  11                               20.0%    Phoenix, AZ               6
                  12                               18.7%    Austin, TX                14
                  13                               17.2%    Seattle, WA               23
                  14                               16.9%    Fort Worth, TX            16
                  15                               14.4%    San Antonio, TX           7
                  16                               14.4%    Charlotte, NC             17
                  17                               13.5%    Washington, DC            24
                  18                               11.6%    Philadelphia, PA          5
                  19                               11.0%    Columbus, OH              15
                  20                               10.9%    Nashville, TN             25
                  21                               9.4%     Jacksonville, FL          11
                  22                               9.0%     Indianapolis, IN          12
                  23                               7.1%     Baltimore, MD             21
                  24                               6.2%     Memphis, TN               20
                  25                               4.8%     Detroit, MI               18


Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.
Without the influx of immigrants, Boston’s population would
             be smaller today than it was in 1990…

                                               Boston’s Population Trends – (1990 – 2010)
             650,000


                                                                                                   623,134

             600,000
                                                                          590,490
                                                                                                             Native
                                             573,287
                                                                                                             Total
             550,000
Population




             500,000



                                             461,798
                                                                                                   457,239
             450,000
                                                                          436,742


             400,000




             350,000
                                      1990                        2000                      2010
                                                                   Year

 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
Boston’s labor force would be smaller as well as its output

                  Boston’s Workforce Trends (1990 – 2010)                                                  Boston Output Trends (in 2010 dollar)
             450,000                                                                                $100,000,000,000
                                                                                                                               Native
                           Native Employed                                                                                     Total
                                                                                                     $90,000,000,000
                           Total Employed                                                                                                                          $87 billion
             400,000                                             403,386
                                                                                                     $80,000,000,000


                                                                                                     $70,000,000,000
             350,000                                                                                                                                               $67 billion

                                                                                                     $60,000,000,000
Population




                                                                                       U.S.Dollar
             300,000                                             302,502
                                                                                                     $50,000,000,000
                               288,076          283,576
                                                                                                     $40,000,000,000            $38 billion

             250,000
                                                                                                     $30,000,000,000   $26 billion            $29 billion
                               229,843

                                                203,454                                              $20,000,000,000        $21 billion
             200,000

                                                                                                     $10,000,000,000

             150,000
                                                                                                                 $-
                        1990             2000             2010
                                                                                                                        1990              2000              2010
                                         Year
                                                                                                                                          Year


  Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 Regional Economic Modeling and Corporate, BRA Research Division Analysis
Immigrants also contribute as consumers and entrepreneurs by
creating jobs, wealth and paying taxes

  Consumer Impact
         – Total Consumer Spending: $3.48 billion
         – Indirect Jobs: 29,044 jobs
         – Total Direct Taxes Paid: $940 million                                             Total Impact
                                                                                                      – Total Gross State Product:
                                                                                                        $9.79 billion
                                                                                                      – State and Federal Taxes:
                                                                                                        $1.54 billion
                                                                                                      – Total Direct & Indirect
  Business Impact                                                                                      Jobs: 74,025
         – Number of Businesses: 7,988
         – Total Number of Employees
                  • Direct Jobs: 20,713 jobs
                  • Indirect Jobs: 24,267 jobs
         – Total Annual Sales: $3.78 Billion


Source: 2010 Regional Economic Modeling and Corporate, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
…today most immigrants come from the Caribbean, Latin America
 and Asia, contributing to Boston’s “majority-minority” status


                                              Boston’s Top Ten Immigrant Communities

                       Haiti                                                                                              10.2%


                      China                                                                                8.9%


       Dominican Republic                                                                           8.3%


                   Vietnam                                                     4.2%


                El Salvador                                                    4.2%


                    Jamaica                                                    4.2%


                  Colombia                                        3.3%


                     Ireland                                      3.3%


                      Brazil                                     3.1%


        Trinidad & Tobago                                 2.5%


                            0.0%                   2.0%                 4.0%          6.0%   8.0%                 10.0%           12.0%



Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.
Progress has been made
but there are still
barriers to
integration
32.1% of immigrants have not completed high school compared
 to 23.1% of native born


                                         Educational Attainment by Nativity – 2010
    35.0%
                  32.1%

    30.0%


    25.0%                                                                                                           24.0%
                          23.1%          21.9%                                                                                                   Foreign-Born

                                                                                                                                                 Native-Born
    20.0%                                                              18.1%
                                                 16.8%                                                       16.8%

    15.0%                                                                                                                                  14.1%
                                                               12.6%
                                                                                                                                   11.4%
    10.0%

                                                                                       5.3%
     5.0%                                                                                      3.8%


     0.0%
                  Less than HS           High School           Some College        Associates Degree Bachelors Degree Graduate Degree




Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis
… a higher proportion of foreign-born residents have limited
English proficiency in 2009 than in 2000

                                                   English Proficiency – 2010

                                   2000                                                                             2009

                            7.7%                                                                             8.5%




                                           92.3%                                                                             91.5%




                        English Proficient                                                               English Proficient
                        Limited English Proficiency                                                      Limited English Proficiency




Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis
The income gap between foreign and native born grows with
    level of education


                               Wage Differential By Educational Attainment
      $100,000
                                                                                                                         $94,550

        $90,000


        $80,000


        $70,000                                                                                        $66,867
                                                                                                                    $62,679
        $60,000


        $50,000
                                                                                                                                     Foreign-Born
                                                                                    $42,253
                                                                                                 $40,284
        $40,000                                                                                                                      Native-Born
                                                                 $32,241      $36,250
                                                           $30,145
        $30,000                               $28,149
                                        $22,198
                     $17,402
        $20,000           $16,318

        $10,000


             $-
                    Less than High       High School       Some College     Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree   Graduate Degree
                        School




Source: 2009 American Community Survey Public Use Micro-data Sample (PUMS), BRA Research Division Analysis
These outcomes are the result of barriers that do not allow immigrants to
 gain the education, learn the language and acquire the skills they
 need, hampering their integration


                                                                  Integration depends on the
                               Integration Paths                  “Opportunity Structure”
Higher Income




                                                                  immigrants encounter:
                                                     Upward
                                                   Integration
                                                                   Work permits

                                                                   Education & Training
                Middle Class
                                                                   Certification

                                                                   Language Acquisition
Lower Income




                                                   Downward
                                                   Integration
                                                                   Access to Employment

                                              Years in the U.S.    Fair Labor Practices

                                                                   etc…
…and this is the work
ahead of us today

Thank you

More Related Content

Similar to 2010 census the big story

The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued Prosperity
The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued ProsperityThe importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued Prosperity
The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued ProsperityInstituto Diáspora Brasil (IDB)
 
City of Austin - Volunteerism Benchmarking Study
City of Austin -  Volunteerism Benchmarking StudyCity of Austin -  Volunteerism Benchmarking Study
City of Austin - Volunteerism Benchmarking StudyDavid J. Neff
 
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic Overview
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic OverviewENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic Overview
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic OverviewMatt Forshee
 
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11uipublicaffairs
 
Reardon Massachusetts Housing Institute
Reardon Massachusetts Housing InstituteReardon Massachusetts Housing Institute
Reardon Massachusetts Housing Institutetimothygreardon
 
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projects
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities ProjectsCommunication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projects
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projectsethan.watrall
 
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...Livable Buckhead / BATMA
 
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro Atlanta
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro AtlantaChanging Demographics of Georgia and Metro Atlanta
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro AtlantaARCResearch
 
Part I Chinatown Then and Now
Part I Chinatown Then and NowPart I Chinatown Then and Now
Part I Chinatown Then and NowAALDEF
 
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)Marvin Ward
 
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperity
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperityThe Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperity
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperityInstituto Diáspora Brasil (IDB)
 

Similar to 2010 census the big story (20)

The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued Prosperity
The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued ProsperityThe importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued Prosperity
The importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued Prosperity
 
City of Austin - Volunteerism Benchmarking Study
City of Austin -  Volunteerism Benchmarking StudyCity of Austin -  Volunteerism Benchmarking Study
City of Austin - Volunteerism Benchmarking Study
 
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic Overview
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic OverviewENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic Overview
ENCORE Fayette - Fayette County Economic Overview
 
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11
Census 2010 :: Presentation 09/12/11
 
Black Male Achievement: Talking Stock, Moving Forward
Black Male Achievement: Talking Stock, Moving ForwardBlack Male Achievement: Talking Stock, Moving Forward
Black Male Achievement: Talking Stock, Moving Forward
 
Reardon Massachusetts Housing Institute
Reardon Massachusetts Housing InstituteReardon Massachusetts Housing Institute
Reardon Massachusetts Housing Institute
 
What the Future Holds for CUs
What the Future Holds for CUsWhat the Future Holds for CUs
What the Future Holds for CUs
 
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projects
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities ProjectsCommunication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projects
Communication & Collaboration in International Digital Humanities Projects
 
State of the Community for Chapel Hill 2020
State of the Community for Chapel Hill 2020State of the Community for Chapel Hill 2020
State of the Community for Chapel Hill 2020
 
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...
Trends in the Atlanta Region and Buckhead — Demographics and Growth Seminar –...
 
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro Atlanta
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro AtlantaChanging Demographics of Georgia and Metro Atlanta
Changing Demographics of Georgia and Metro Atlanta
 
Part I Chinatown Then and Now
Part I Chinatown Then and NowPart I Chinatown Then and Now
Part I Chinatown Then and Now
 
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)
Economic trends in the district of columbia (sge)
 
Balancing Supply Chain Risk & Capitalisation 2012
Balancing Supply Chain Risk & Capitalisation 2012Balancing Supply Chain Risk & Capitalisation 2012
Balancing Supply Chain Risk & Capitalisation 2012
 
Boston's Equity Challenges
Boston's Equity ChallengesBoston's Equity Challenges
Boston's Equity Challenges
 
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperity
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperityThe Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperity
The Importance of Immigrants to Boston's Continued prosperity
 
Boston by the Numbers
Boston by the Numbers Boston by the Numbers
Boston by the Numbers
 
Boston by the Numbers: Population - Past and Future
Boston by the Numbers:  Population - Past and Future Boston by the Numbers:  Population - Past and Future
Boston by the Numbers: Population - Past and Future
 
JPMGuidetoRetirement
JPMGuidetoRetirementJPMGuidetoRetirement
JPMGuidetoRetirement
 
Boston's Equity Challenges
Boston's Equity ChallengesBoston's Equity Challenges
Boston's Equity Challenges
 

More from bostonredevelop

Colliers Overview June 2013
Colliers Overview June 2013Colliers Overview June 2013
Colliers Overview June 2013bostonredevelop
 
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013Peter Meade Chamber May 2013
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013bostonredevelop
 
Building up downtown crossing
Building up downtown crossingBuilding up downtown crossing
Building up downtown crossingbostonredevelop
 
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentation
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentationDec. 11 2012 south end presentation
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentationbostonredevelop
 
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 12012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1bostonredevelop
 
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfronts
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston WaterfrontsA Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfronts
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfrontsbostonredevelop
 
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developments
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of DevelopmentsDowntown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developments
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developmentsbostonredevelop
 

More from bostonredevelop (11)

Colliers Overview June 2013
Colliers Overview June 2013Colliers Overview June 2013
Colliers Overview June 2013
 
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013Peter Meade Chamber May 2013
Peter Meade Chamber May 2013
 
Building up downtown crossing
Building up downtown crossingBuilding up downtown crossing
Building up downtown crossing
 
Meade naiop march 2013
Meade   naiop march 2013Meade   naiop march 2013
Meade naiop march 2013
 
Boston's south end
Boston's south endBoston's south end
Boston's south end
 
Converse photos blog
Converse photos blogConverse photos blog
Converse photos blog
 
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentation
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentationDec. 11 2012 south end presentation
Dec. 11 2012 south end presentation
 
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 12012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1
2012 dec11cmaa breakfast 1
 
Link images
Link imagesLink images
Link images
 
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfronts
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston WaterfrontsA Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfronts
A Sampling of Downtown and South Boston Waterfronts
 
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developments
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of DevelopmentsDowntown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developments
Downtown and South Boston Waterfront: A Sampling of Developments
 

2010 census the big story

  • 1. 2010 Census: What is the BIG story? Alvaro Lima Director of Research Boston Redevelopment Authority
  • 2. During the last decade Boston’s population grew
  • 3. In the last decade, Boston’s population grew by 4.8%… Boston’s Population (1950 – 2010) 850,000 801,444 800,000 750,000 697,197 700,000 641,071 650,000 4.8% 600,000 617,594 589,141 574,283 550,000 562,994 500,000 450,000 400,000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 4. …and it has also grown more than most other cities in the Northeast Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 5. …it has grown faster than it did in the last two decades reversing the negative trend of the three decades prior to 1980… Boston’s Population (1950 – 2010) 850,000 800,000 750,000 -13% 700,000 -8% 650,000 4.8% 600,000 -12% 2.6% 2.0% 550,000 500,000 -29.7% between 1950 and 1980 +9.7% since 1980 450,000 400,000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 6. It didn't just grow , it grew younger
  • 7. 35% of our population is between the ages of 20 and 34… Boston's Population by Age - 2010 19% 22% 0-19 years 20-34 years 35-54 years 55 and older 24% 35% Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 8. We have the highest concentration of young adults (20-34) among the 25 largest cities in the country % of Total Location City 20 to 34-Year-Olds Population Quotient Boston 216,213 35.0% 1.73 Austin 251,064 31.8% 1.57 Washington DC 188,855 31.4% 1.55 Atlanta 127,101 30.3% 1.49 Seattle 181,501 29.8% 1.47 San Francisco 228,738 28.4% 1.40 Chicago 738,578 27.4% 1.35 Dallas 314,728 26.3% 1.29 Houston 545,071 26.0% 1.28 Baltimore 160,024 25.8% 1.27 Philadelphia 392,776 25.7% 1.27 Los Angeles 953,443 25.1% 1.24 New York 2,035,030 24.9% 1.23 San Antonio 304,784 23.0% 1.13 Phoenix 330,885 22.9% 1.13 Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 9. … not just younger but smarter
  • 10. 44.3% of Boston’s population has at least a bachelor’s degree… Educational Attainment (2000 – 2010) 30.0% 120,000 24.5% 25.0% 23.8% 100,000 21.1% 24.0% 19.8% 20.0% 19.4% 80,000 20.2% 17.7% 14.2% 15.0% 60,000 15.3% 10.0% 40,000 5.0% 20,000 0.0% - Less than high school High school graduate Some college or Bachelor's degree Graduate or professional diploma (includes equivalency) associate's degree degree 2000 2010 % of 2000 Population % of 2010 Population Source: 2000 Census Summary File 3, 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 11. …ranking 4th among the 25 largest cities in the country Bachelor's Graduate or Bachelor's Rank City degree professional degree or higher 1 Seattle, Washington 33.1% 22.9% 56.0% 2 San Francisco, California 31.4% 19.5% 50.9% 3 Washington, District of Columbia 23.2% 26.9% 50.1% 4 Boston, Massachusetts 24.5% 19.8% 44.3% 5 Austin, Texas 27.5% 16.1% 43.6% 6 Portland, Oregon 26.3% 15.9% 42.2% 7 Denver, Colorado 25.4% 15.5% 40.9% 8 San Diego, California 24.1% 16.3% 40.4% 9 Charlotte, North Carolina 25.9% 12.8% 38.7% 10 San Jose, California 23.2% 13.4% 36.6% 11 Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee 20.0% 13.6% 33.6% 12 Chicago, Illinois 20.2% 13.2% 33.4% 13 New York, New York 19.9% 13.4% 33.3% 14 Columbus, Ohio 21.3% 10.4% 31.7% 15 Los Angeles, California 20.4% 10.3% 30.7% 16 Dallas, Texas 18.5% 10.4% 28.9% 17 Houston, Texas 17.4% 11.0% 28.4% 18 Louisville-Jefferson, Kentucky 16.4% 11.0% 27.4% 19 Indianapolis, Indiana 17.6% 9.0% 26.6% 20 Fort Worth, Texas 18.5% 7.5% 26.0% 11 Source: 2010 American Community Survey, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 12. and the city became more diverse
  • 13. Today less than half of Boston’s population is white, compared to close to 70% in 1980… 1980 1990 2000 1% 3% 0% 5% 1% 0 3% 6% 8% 1% 11% 0% 14% 22% 49.5% 24% 59% 68% 24% 2010 2% 2% 9% 0% 18% 47% 22% Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 14. Boston’s neighborhoods are more diverse today than they were in 2000 North Dorchester 2010 2000 Back Bay/ 0.80 South Beacon Hill Dorchester 0.70 South Harbor Boston 0.60 Islands 0.50 Mattapan 0.40 Boston 0.30 0.20 Charlestown South End 0.10 0.00 West Roslindale Roxbury Central Hyde Park Allston/ Jamaica Brighton Plain Feneway/ Roxbury Kenmore East Boston Source: US Census 2010, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 15. Immigrants are a big part of this story…
  • 16. Historically, Boston has had a greater proportion of foreign- born residents than the Commonwealth and the country… Foreign-born Population 1850 – 2009 (% of total population) 40% Boston 35% Massachusetts United States 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 17. Boston ranks 6th among the 25 largest cities in the U.S. in proportion of the population that is foreign-born… Foreign Born Rank % Foreign Born City Population Rank 1 39.1% Los Angeles, CA 2 2 38.6% San Jose, CA 10 3 37.2% New York, NY 1 4 35.5% San Francisco, CA 13 5 28.7% Houston, TX 4 6 26.9% Boston, MA 22 7 26.1% San Diego, CA 8 8 25.3% Dallas, TX 9 9 24.6% El Paso, TX 19 10 20.7% Chicago, IL 3 11 20.0% Phoenix, AZ 6 12 18.7% Austin, TX 14 13 17.2% Seattle, WA 23 14 16.9% Fort Worth, TX 16 15 14.4% San Antonio, TX 7 16 14.4% Charlotte, NC 17 17 13.5% Washington, DC 24 18 11.6% Philadelphia, PA 5 19 11.0% Columbus, OH 15 20 10.9% Nashville, TN 25 21 9.4% Jacksonville, FL 11 22 9.0% Indianapolis, IN 12 23 7.1% Baltimore, MD 21 24 6.2% Memphis, TN 20 25 4.8% Detroit, MI 18 Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.
  • 18. Without the influx of immigrants, Boston’s population would be smaller today than it was in 1990… Boston’s Population Trends – (1990 – 2010) 650,000 623,134 600,000 590,490 Native 573,287 Total 550,000 Population 500,000 461,798 457,239 450,000 436,742 400,000 350,000 1990 2000 2010 Year Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 19. Boston’s labor force would be smaller as well as its output Boston’s Workforce Trends (1990 – 2010) Boston Output Trends (in 2010 dollar) 450,000 $100,000,000,000 Native Native Employed Total $90,000,000,000 Total Employed $87 billion 400,000 403,386 $80,000,000,000 $70,000,000,000 350,000 $67 billion $60,000,000,000 Population U.S.Dollar 300,000 302,502 $50,000,000,000 288,076 283,576 $40,000,000,000 $38 billion 250,000 $30,000,000,000 $26 billion $29 billion 229,843 203,454 $20,000,000,000 $21 billion 200,000 $10,000,000,000 150,000 $- 1990 2000 2010 1990 2000 2010 Year Year Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 Regional Economic Modeling and Corporate, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 20. Immigrants also contribute as consumers and entrepreneurs by creating jobs, wealth and paying taxes  Consumer Impact – Total Consumer Spending: $3.48 billion – Indirect Jobs: 29,044 jobs – Total Direct Taxes Paid: $940 million Total Impact – Total Gross State Product: $9.79 billion – State and Federal Taxes: $1.54 billion – Total Direct & Indirect  Business Impact Jobs: 74,025 – Number of Businesses: 7,988 – Total Number of Employees • Direct Jobs: 20,713 jobs • Indirect Jobs: 24,267 jobs – Total Annual Sales: $3.78 Billion Source: 2010 Regional Economic Modeling and Corporate, US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 21. …today most immigrants come from the Caribbean, Latin America and Asia, contributing to Boston’s “majority-minority” status Boston’s Top Ten Immigrant Communities Haiti 10.2% China 8.9% Dominican Republic 8.3% Vietnam 4.2% El Salvador 4.2% Jamaica 4.2% Colombia 3.3% Ireland 3.3% Brazil 3.1% Trinidad & Tobago 2.5% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Source: 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis.
  • 22. Progress has been made but there are still barriers to integration
  • 23. 32.1% of immigrants have not completed high school compared to 23.1% of native born Educational Attainment by Nativity – 2010 35.0% 32.1% 30.0% 25.0% 24.0% 23.1% 21.9% Foreign-Born Native-Born 20.0% 18.1% 16.8% 16.8% 15.0% 14.1% 12.6% 11.4% 10.0% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8% 0.0% Less than HS High School Some College Associates Degree Bachelors Degree Graduate Degree Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 24. … a higher proportion of foreign-born residents have limited English proficiency in 2009 than in 2000 English Proficiency – 2010 2000 2009 7.7% 8.5% 92.3% 91.5% English Proficient English Proficient Limited English Proficiency Limited English Proficiency Source: 2000 Census Public Use Microdata Sample and 2009 American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 25. The income gap between foreign and native born grows with level of education Wage Differential By Educational Attainment $100,000 $94,550 $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $66,867 $62,679 $60,000 $50,000 Foreign-Born $42,253 $40,284 $40,000 Native-Born $32,241 $36,250 $30,145 $30,000 $28,149 $22,198 $17,402 $20,000 $16,318 $10,000 $- Less than High High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree School Source: 2009 American Community Survey Public Use Micro-data Sample (PUMS), BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 26. These outcomes are the result of barriers that do not allow immigrants to gain the education, learn the language and acquire the skills they need, hampering their integration Integration depends on the Integration Paths “Opportunity Structure” Higher Income immigrants encounter: Upward Integration  Work permits  Education & Training Middle Class  Certification  Language Acquisition Lower Income Downward Integration  Access to Employment Years in the U.S.  Fair Labor Practices  etc…
  • 27. …and this is the work ahead of us today Thank you

Editor's Notes

  1. In the next 10 minutes or so, I will try to convey to you what is the big story or stories behind the 2010 Census release
  2. Itgrew by 4.8% An impressive growth for any city and particularly impressive for an old, cold Northeastern city
  3. - And we grew more than most of them
  4. - More than in the last two decades, reverting the negative trend of the three decades prior to 1980
  5. - Despite the old, the cold, the closing hours of the T and the bars, and the cost of housing
  6. This is an Diversity Index calculated as the probability of finding someone in a census tract of a different race or Ethnicity That is, if in a census tract everybody is of the same race or Ethnicity (African America, Hispanic or Asian, for example) the probability of find someone of a different race or Ethnicity is zero On the other hand, If everyone is of a different race or Ethnicity, the probability of finding someone of a different race or Ethnicity is one As you can see, almost all neighborhoods of Boston became more diverse in the last decade with exception a few of them like East Boston that saw an increase in its Hispanic population becoming therefore less diverse- We also calculated the Diversity Index for age, income, language spoken at home, country of origin and education attainment and the city became more diverse along all those dimensions
  7. Boston ranks 6th among the 25th largest cities in the country in proportion of population that is foreign-born even though we rank 22th in total population
  8. Without the influx of immigrants, Boston’s population would have been smaller that that of 1990
  9. Its labor force would have been smaller and therefore its output and we could not have sustained the economic growth and the standard of living we have today
  10. But immigrants do not contribute only as workers. They contribute also as consumers and entrepreneurs and together, in the aggregate, they contributed …
  11. And obviously, immigrants contributed significantly to Boston’s “majority-minority” status
  12. -An immigrant can integrate upward or downward, that is, towards the middle and upper classes or towards the lower economic classes The direction of integration and the slope of these paths are a function not only of the characteristics of immigrants themselves (lower education, language, skills, etc) but the “opportunity structure” they encounter at arrival A good example of that is the European Union that now allows access to training, language acquisition, and jobs for all immigrants from other European countries but not for those from outside the Union So that while opportunities were enlarged for Europeans, they were closed to non-European immigrants
  13. - Jobs, language acquisition and education are some of the issues that we will be discussing in the panel that follows and in the breakout groups after that.- Thank you and have a very productive Summit