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2011 CONVENIENCE RETAIL OUTLOOK

                                                                      December 2010

               Summary of Survey Results




                                                                    117 South Cook Street #339
                                                                      Barrington, Illinois 60010
                                                                           phone: 847.722.2732
                                                                               fax: 847.382.1801
                Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.    davidbishop@balvor.com
Composition of Retailer Respondents
(Retailers completed online survey between 11/9/10 and 11/22/10)


       Number of Stores Operated
                  (Percent of Retailers)

                            500+
                         Stores, 4%
                201 - 500
                 Stores,
                                                                                Top-Line Characteristics
                  11%                                                           # of retailers: 113
         51 - 200
         Stores,                                                                # of store represented: 10,510
           10%                                                                  1-10 store operator share: 54%
                                                    1- 10
                                                   Stores,
                                                    54%
             11 - 50
             Stores,
              21%




Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.           2
2010 Dollar Sales Trends YTD - PCYA
(Weighted Average*)




                                 4.2%




                                                                                                            2.8%




                             Foodservice                                                                 Merchandise

* Based on store count
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                 3
2010 Dollar Sales Trends YTD - PCYA
(Weighted Average* – Grouped by # of Stores Operated)




                                                                                         5.3%
                                                                                                         5.1%


                                                                                                                4.3%

                                                         3.7%



                                                                                                                       2.5%
                                              2.3%




         0.9%       1.0%



              1- 10                               11 - 50                                    51 - 200              201+

                                                            Foodservice         Merchandise

* Based on store count
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                        4
2011 Competitive Threats – Level of Concern
(Percent of Retailers*)



             Other convenience stores offering fuel discounts                            24%                                  56%



 Grocery stores partnering with specific convenience chains
                                                                                            27%                             48%
                   to offer fuel discounts



    Foodservice operators expanding into morning day-part                           18%                               44%




                     Drug stores selling beer in more locations                        21%                      33%




          Drug stores offering commissary-driven fresh foods                 9%                          38%


                                                                                               Very Concerned    Somewhat Concerned
* Ranked in descending order based on percent concerned.
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                5
Potential Changes to Dispensed Beverages in 2011
(Percent of Retailers*)



         11%
                                                                                                               No, Already Did in '10
                                                          25%
                                 16%                                                                           Somewhat Likely
         38%
                                                                                                               Extremely Likely


                                 25%                                                    11%

                                                          23%
                                                                                        18%
                                                                                                         7%
                                                                                                                              6%
                                                                                                         11%
                                 15%                                                                                          7%
         14%
                                                                                        12%
                                                          10%                                                                 9%
                                                                                                         7%

Raise retail prices on     Upgrade hot    Add iced coffee to     Consider re-       Adjust cup sizes Introduce a smaller
   hot dispensed       dispensed beverage   the offering         branding hot      offered with cold    cup size in hot
     beverages             equipment                         dispensed beverages dispensed beverages dispensed beveraes


* Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011.
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                  6
Potential Changes to Foodservice in 2011
(Percent of Retailers*)




                 9%                                                                                                       No, Already Did in '10
                                                                                                                          Somewhat Likely
                                                                                                                          Extremely Likely
                 32%
                                             13%
                                                                             12%
                                                                                                                                     10%
                                             13%                                                              3%
                                                                             15%                              17%
                                                                                                                                     10%

                                             13%
                 9%                                                                                                                   9%
                                                                              7%
                                                                                                              4%

         Expand range of           Develop private-label   Install a wholesaler,                         Change product      Franchise with a
      products on roller grill           offerings       fresh-food express case                            suppliers      branded foodservice
                                                                                                                                 concept

* Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011.
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                             7
Potential Changes to Packaged Merchandise in 2011
(Percent of Retailers*)




               8%
                                       6%
                                                                                                                         No, Already Did in '10
               37%                    36%                                                                                Somewhat Likely
                                                                5%
                                                                                                                         Extremely Likely
                                                               31%
                                                                                             4%
                                                                                            22%               4%
                                                                                                                                       4%
                                                                                                             21%                      14%




                                                                                                                                      11%
               8%                      9%
                                                                7%                          8%
                                                                                                              5%

       Add new product          Leverage multi-          Use more       Reduce SKU counts                Introduce new        Introduce private
          categories            vendor displays      manufacturer floor                                      services            label across
                                                      shipper displays                                                            categories


* Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011.
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                            8
Retailer Outlook for 2011
(Percent of Retailers*)



                     40%


                                                                          58%
                                                                                                         Somewhat Optimistic
                                                                                                         Extremely Optimistic




                     44%



                                                                                                            25%



                                                                          14%

                                                                                                              3%
               Your Company                                  Convenience Industry                        US Economy

* Ranked in descending order based on percent optimistic.
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                          9
Retailer Outlook for 2011 – “Your Company”
(Percent of Retailers - Grouped by # of Stores Operated)




                                                                                                36%      36%
                                                    42%



               41%
                                                                                                64%      64%

                                                    54%



               29%




              1- 10                               11 - 50                                    51 - 200    201+

                                                   Extremely Optimistic          Somewhat Optimistic

* Based on store count
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.          10
Retailer Outlook for 2011


       Classification of Comments                                               Positive themes
        (Percent of Retailers Responding)                                       •       Competitive positioning (delivering value in
                                                                                        more ways today)
                                                                                •       Customer service (focusing on better satisfying
                                                                                        needs of customers)
                                                                                •       Foodservice (becoming better at serving up a
                                                                                        quality lineup of fresh products)
                                            Negative,                           •       Economy (getting better – albeit slower than
                                              30%                                       expected)


                                                                                Negative themes
                  Positive,                                                     •       Competitive threats (discounting is helping
                    70%                                                                 sales, but hurting profits)
                                                                                •       Economy (creating an on-going drag on
                                                                                        consumer spending)
                                                                                •       Supply-side inflation (higher input costs –
                                                                                        especially in foodservice)


Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                    11
Retailer Outlook for Company’s Prospects in 2011
(Percent of Retailers)


                                                                  Somewhat Optimistic
                                                                  Extremely Optimistic

                                 42%
                                                                                                            55%




                                 36%



                                                                                                            19%




                            Foodservice                                                                  Merchandise

Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                 12
Retailer Outlook for Company’s Prospects in 2011
(Percent of Retailers - Grouped by # of Stores Operated)


                       Foodservice                                                                In-Store Merchandise
                                                                                                                          64%
                                        27%                                                                                               64%
                       42%
                                                          29%                                              54%
     49%
                                        64%
                                                                                         51%

                                                          50%
                       46%
                                                                                                                          36%
                                                                                                                                          29%
                                                                                                           25%
     22%

                                                                                         10%

     1- 10            11 - 50         51 - 200           201+                           1 - 10            11 - 50       51 - 200         201+

             Extremely Optimistic     Somewhat Optimistic                                        Extremely Optimistic   Somewhat Optimistic


Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                          13
2011 Dollar Sales Targets – v. ‘10
(Weighted Average*)




                                 5.1%


                                                                                                            4.2%




                             Foodservice                                                                 Merchandise

* Based on store count
Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                 14
2011 Dollar Sales Targets – v. ‘10
(Percent of Retailers)



                                     42%


     36%
                              34%

                                                              30%


                                                      23%
            20%




                                                                                                                 2%           2%   2%
                                                                                     4%      4%             1%

 Up more than 6%            Up 3 to 5.9%           Flat to Up 2.9%            Flat to Down 2.9%          Down 3 to 5.9%   Down more than 6%

                                                            Foodservice         Merchandise


Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010.

                                                     Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                        15
David Bishop
Managing Partner, Balvor LLC

Biography
David is the managing partner of Balvor LLC, which is a sales and marketing                         P: 847.722.2732
firm that provides consulting, sales support, research, and analytic services to
                                                                                                    davidbishop@balvor.com
retailers, product suppliers, financial analyst and other organizations.
Balvor’s services support various food channels, covering both foodservice and
retail classes of trade.                                                                 Public Accomplishments
David has helped many leading retailers evaluate new retail concepts, enhance            White Papers
annual category planning processes, and develop new business support                     • Convenience Channel Opportunity: Insights for the Dairy Industry, Dairy
methods related to assortment rationalization, space allocations, or branding              Management Inc., 2010.
strategies.
                                                                                         • Are Retailers Doing Enough? Preventing Underage Access to Tobacco at
He helps product suppliers improve their competitive positioning, trade                    Retail, Center for Responsible Tobacco Retailing, Inc., 2009.
programs, and category management capabilities by better understanding
what retailers’ value while also benchmarking versus peer companies.                     • Accelerating Cigar Profits Through an Increased Strategic Focus, John
                                                                                           Middleton Inc., 2008.
David also has extensive experience with activity-based costing, channel sales
                                                                                         • How to Succeed in Convenience Retail:A Practical Guide for Product
strategy, merchandising assessments, trade communication, and custom
                                                                                           Suppliers, NACS, 2007.
analytical support for both consumer packaged goods and foodservice
industries.                                                                              Industry Research
Prior to founding Balvor in 2008, David spent 12 years at Willard Bishop in              • SKU Rationalization Survey, NACS/Balvor, March 2010.
various positions, including most recently as partner. David began his career            • Motor Fuels Retailer Survey, Balvor/NACS, January 2010.
with The Levy Restaurants in operations for new store concepts where he
focused on beverage and financial programs.                                              • State of Foodservice, Convenience Store Decisions, 2008 - present.
                                                                                         • Tobacco Retail Survey, Convenience Store News, 2008 – present.
                                                                                         Current Industry Affiliations
                                                                                         • Convention and Events Committee, NACS, 2007 – present
                                                                                         • Supplier Advisory Board, Convenience Store Decisions, 2006 – present
                                                                                         • NACSPAC Member, 2008 - present



                                                           Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved.                                                         16

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Balvor 2011 convenience retail outlook

  • 1. 2011 CONVENIENCE RETAIL OUTLOOK December 2010 Summary of Survey Results 117 South Cook Street #339 Barrington, Illinois 60010 phone: 847.722.2732 fax: 847.382.1801 Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. davidbishop@balvor.com
  • 2. Composition of Retailer Respondents (Retailers completed online survey between 11/9/10 and 11/22/10) Number of Stores Operated (Percent of Retailers) 500+ Stores, 4% 201 - 500 Stores, Top-Line Characteristics 11% # of retailers: 113 51 - 200 Stores, # of store represented: 10,510 10% 1-10 store operator share: 54% 1- 10 Stores, 54% 11 - 50 Stores, 21% Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 2
  • 3. 2010 Dollar Sales Trends YTD - PCYA (Weighted Average*) 4.2% 2.8% Foodservice Merchandise * Based on store count Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 3
  • 4. 2010 Dollar Sales Trends YTD - PCYA (Weighted Average* – Grouped by # of Stores Operated) 5.3% 5.1% 4.3% 3.7% 2.5% 2.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1- 10 11 - 50 51 - 200 201+ Foodservice Merchandise * Based on store count Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 4
  • 5. 2011 Competitive Threats – Level of Concern (Percent of Retailers*) Other convenience stores offering fuel discounts 24% 56% Grocery stores partnering with specific convenience chains 27% 48% to offer fuel discounts Foodservice operators expanding into morning day-part 18% 44% Drug stores selling beer in more locations 21% 33% Drug stores offering commissary-driven fresh foods 9% 38% Very Concerned Somewhat Concerned * Ranked in descending order based on percent concerned. Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 5
  • 6. Potential Changes to Dispensed Beverages in 2011 (Percent of Retailers*) 11% No, Already Did in '10 25% 16% Somewhat Likely 38% Extremely Likely 25% 11% 23% 18% 7% 6% 11% 15% 7% 14% 12% 10% 9% 7% Raise retail prices on Upgrade hot Add iced coffee to Consider re- Adjust cup sizes Introduce a smaller hot dispensed dispensed beverage the offering branding hot offered with cold cup size in hot beverages equipment dispensed beverages dispensed beverages dispensed beveraes * Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011. Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 6
  • 7. Potential Changes to Foodservice in 2011 (Percent of Retailers*) 9% No, Already Did in '10 Somewhat Likely Extremely Likely 32% 13% 12% 10% 13% 3% 15% 17% 10% 13% 9% 9% 7% 4% Expand range of Develop private-label Install a wholesaler, Change product Franchise with a products on roller grill offerings fresh-food express case suppliers branded foodservice concept * Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011. Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 7
  • 8. Potential Changes to Packaged Merchandise in 2011 (Percent of Retailers*) 8% 6% No, Already Did in '10 37% 36% Somewhat Likely 5% Extremely Likely 31% 4% 22% 4% 4% 21% 14% 11% 8% 9% 7% 8% 5% Add new product Leverage multi- Use more Reduce SKU counts Introduce new Introduce private categories vendor displays manufacturer floor services label across shipper displays categories * Ranked in descending order based on percent likely to change in 2011. Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 8
  • 9. Retailer Outlook for 2011 (Percent of Retailers*) 40% 58% Somewhat Optimistic Extremely Optimistic 44% 25% 14% 3% Your Company Convenience Industry US Economy * Ranked in descending order based on percent optimistic. Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 9
  • 10. Retailer Outlook for 2011 – “Your Company” (Percent of Retailers - Grouped by # of Stores Operated) 36% 36% 42% 41% 64% 64% 54% 29% 1- 10 11 - 50 51 - 200 201+ Extremely Optimistic Somewhat Optimistic * Based on store count Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 10
  • 11. Retailer Outlook for 2011 Classification of Comments Positive themes (Percent of Retailers Responding) • Competitive positioning (delivering value in more ways today) • Customer service (focusing on better satisfying needs of customers) • Foodservice (becoming better at serving up a quality lineup of fresh products) Negative, • Economy (getting better – albeit slower than 30% expected) Negative themes Positive, • Competitive threats (discounting is helping 70% sales, but hurting profits) • Economy (creating an on-going drag on consumer spending) • Supply-side inflation (higher input costs – especially in foodservice) Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 11
  • 12. Retailer Outlook for Company’s Prospects in 2011 (Percent of Retailers) Somewhat Optimistic Extremely Optimistic 42% 55% 36% 19% Foodservice Merchandise Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 12
  • 13. Retailer Outlook for Company’s Prospects in 2011 (Percent of Retailers - Grouped by # of Stores Operated) Foodservice In-Store Merchandise 64% 27% 64% 42% 29% 54% 49% 64% 51% 50% 46% 36% 29% 25% 22% 10% 1- 10 11 - 50 51 - 200 201+ 1 - 10 11 - 50 51 - 200 201+ Extremely Optimistic Somewhat Optimistic Extremely Optimistic Somewhat Optimistic Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 13
  • 14. 2011 Dollar Sales Targets – v. ‘10 (Weighted Average*) 5.1% 4.2% Foodservice Merchandise * Based on store count Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 14
  • 15. 2011 Dollar Sales Targets – v. ‘10 (Percent of Retailers) 42% 36% 34% 30% 23% 20% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 1% Up more than 6% Up 3 to 5.9% Flat to Up 2.9% Flat to Down 2.9% Down 3 to 5.9% Down more than 6% Foodservice Merchandise Source: Balvor 2011 Convenience Retail Outlook Survey, Balvor LLC, November 2010. Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 15
  • 16. David Bishop Managing Partner, Balvor LLC Biography David is the managing partner of Balvor LLC, which is a sales and marketing P: 847.722.2732 firm that provides consulting, sales support, research, and analytic services to davidbishop@balvor.com retailers, product suppliers, financial analyst and other organizations. Balvor’s services support various food channels, covering both foodservice and retail classes of trade. Public Accomplishments David has helped many leading retailers evaluate new retail concepts, enhance White Papers annual category planning processes, and develop new business support • Convenience Channel Opportunity: Insights for the Dairy Industry, Dairy methods related to assortment rationalization, space allocations, or branding Management Inc., 2010. strategies. • Are Retailers Doing Enough? Preventing Underage Access to Tobacco at He helps product suppliers improve their competitive positioning, trade Retail, Center for Responsible Tobacco Retailing, Inc., 2009. programs, and category management capabilities by better understanding what retailers’ value while also benchmarking versus peer companies. • Accelerating Cigar Profits Through an Increased Strategic Focus, John Middleton Inc., 2008. David also has extensive experience with activity-based costing, channel sales • How to Succeed in Convenience Retail:A Practical Guide for Product strategy, merchandising assessments, trade communication, and custom Suppliers, NACS, 2007. analytical support for both consumer packaged goods and foodservice industries. Industry Research Prior to founding Balvor in 2008, David spent 12 years at Willard Bishop in • SKU Rationalization Survey, NACS/Balvor, March 2010. various positions, including most recently as partner. David began his career • Motor Fuels Retailer Survey, Balvor/NACS, January 2010. with The Levy Restaurants in operations for new store concepts where he focused on beverage and financial programs. • State of Foodservice, Convenience Store Decisions, 2008 - present. • Tobacco Retail Survey, Convenience Store News, 2008 – present. Current Industry Affiliations • Convention and Events Committee, NACS, 2007 – present • Supplier Advisory Board, Convenience Store Decisions, 2006 – present • NACSPAC Member, 2008 - present Copyright © 2010 Balvor LLC. All Rights Reserved. 16