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B RINGING E UROPE AND T HIRD COUNTRIES CLOSER
TOGETHER THROUGH RENEWABLE E NERGIES

The BETTER project

Andreas Tuerk, Dorian Frieden, JR
Robert Pasiscko, Zoran Kordic, UNDP

Zagreb, 09 December 2013
PROJECT PRESENTATION (2/2)
 CIEMAT (Spain)

Centro de Invest. Energ. Mediamb. Tecn

 DLR (Germany)

Deutsches Zentrum Für Luft-und raumfahrt e.V

 ECN (Netherlands)

Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands

 JOANNEUM (Austria)
Forshungsgesellschaft Mbh

 NTUA (Greece)

National Technical University of Athens

 OME (France)

Observatoire Méditerranéen de l’Energie

 PIK (Germany)

Postdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

 TUWIEN (Austria)

Vienna University of Technology

 UNDP (International)

United Nations Development Programme
PROJECT PRESENTATION (1/2)
 BETTER: Bringing Europe and Third countries closer together
through renewable Energies (BETTER);
 Intelligent Energy for Europe Programme, managed by the
Executive Agency for Competitiveness and Innovation (EACI);
 Started: 1st July 2012;
 Expected Completion Date: 1st January 2015;
 Coordinator: CIEMAT, Madrid
http://better-project.net
OBJECTIVES

Assess,
through
case
studies,
involvement and integrated analysis:

stakeholders

•to what extent cooperation with third countries can
help Europe achieve its RES targets in 2020 and
beyond
•trigger the deployment of RES electricity projects in
third countries and
•create synergies and win-win circumstances for all
involved parties.
Where can get the EU (green) energy from?
EU RES directive
• The RES Directive (2009/28/EC) sets binding national
2020 RES targets for all EU member states
• These targets do not explicitly reflect the national
resource availability
-> Its not about capacity extension only
but also on energy efficiency
Adoption of RES directive and RES
targets in the West Balkan countries
METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK

Case studies (N.Africa, W.Balkans and Turkey) will
investigate in detail the technical, socio-economic and
environmental aspects of RES cooperation.

Top -Down

COMMUNICATION AND
DISSEMINATION

• Detailed quantitative cost-benefit evaluation of
feasible policy approaches as well as power system
analysis (Green-X, HIREPs Models)
• Other possible “co-effects” (such as impacts on EU
climate targets, energy security and macro-economic
aspects).

Bottom -up

STAKEHOLDERS INVOLVEMENT

Integrated assessment will be undertaken from the
“EU plus third countries” perspective, including:
Motivation for cooperation mechanisms

Renewable energy targets are calculated based on:
• current RES share
• country GDP
Do not take into account renewable energy potentials!
Different options how to reach the targets

MS

domestically
RES
Directive ->
RES targets

WB

NREAP
(Renewable
energy
Action Plan)

Cooperation
mechanism

 most of the Member States plan to fulfill their renewable energy targets
domestically
 4 Member States namely France, Greece, Italy, and Spain noted in their
forecast documents that they may use cooperation mechanisms to develop
renewable energy in third countries
Basic principle of cooperation mechanisms
•

•

Cooperation mechanisms were introduced to allow countries with high renewable energy
potentials and/or low production costs (COUNTRY A) to sell their renewable energy surplus
to those countries that have either low renewable energy endowments and/or have higher
generation costs (COUNTRY B).
The main idea behind this is to reach the targets in a more cost-effectively way and to reduce
the overall costs in achieving it.

COUNTRY A
(low/expansive
RES potential)

Money transfer
RES transfer

COUNTRY B
(high/cheap
RES potential)
Types of cooperation mechanisms
Cooperation Mechanisms are defined in Directive 2009/28/EC as followed:
•
Statistical transfers between MS (Article 6)
•
Joint projects between MS (Article 7 and 8)
•
Joint projects between MS and third countries, under the condition that RES electricity is imported to the
EU (Article 9 and 10)
•
Joint support schemes (Article 11)
Cooperation
Mechanisms

Type
cooperation

Statistical transfers

Only
transfer
shares

Joint
projects
between MS

Main actors

Eligible for
West
Balkan
countries

Type
transferred
energy

Governments

Yes,
but
unlikely –
because of
statistics 

No transfer of
energy

Project-based

Governments

No

Heat/transport/el
ectricity

Joint
projects
between MS and
third countries

Physical transfer

Governments

Yes

Electricity

Joint
schemes

Common
scheme

Governments

Yes,
but
unlikely

Heat/transport/el
ectricity

support

of

statistical
of RES

support

of
In focus: West Balkan region

•
•

The green columns represent the share of renewable energy against projected 2020 energy
demand
The differences between the green (RES potential) and red columns (RES target) represents
the energy that could be sold via cooperation mechanisms.
In focus: Joint projects between MS and WB

Money transfer

RES

Country A
(low/expensive RES
potential)

Project investor

s
t ran

fer

Notification

EU
Comission

Country B
(high/cheap RES
potential)

Framework Agreement

Support payment (feed-in-tariffs)

MWh
Projected renewable electricity surplusses - Valleys of Opportunity
(VoO)

RES transfer
Study case: The Serbia Italian Cooperation
Joint project on Ibar river
•
•
•

Italy stated in its National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) that it would import 6 TWh per
year of electricity from the Balkans, via Montenegro through the marine energy cable (2015)
During 2009, Serbia and Italy signed Memorandum of understanding to implement joint projects
It was decided that the first project in mutual cooperation would be the construction of
hydroelectric power plants on the Ibar

Technology

Hydro power

Capacity of hydro power plants

118 MW

Construction time

7 years

Investment costs

300 mil. €

Location

Ibar river

Production

443,400 MWh

Number of parks

10

Cooperation mechanism

Joint project between MS and third countries
Study case: The Serbia Italian Cooperation
Costs (red color) and benefits (blue color) from cooperation
Cost and benefits

Base case scenario (Italy produces Cooperation scenario
hydro power domestically)
electricity from Serbia)

Generation costs (€c/kWH)

20-22

10-12

Electricity market price (€c/kWh)

6-7

3-4

Grid related costs (€c/kWh)

0.5

n/a

Transmission related costs (€c/kWh)

-

0,75

TOTAL COSTS (€c/kWh)

~15

~5

Indirect costs and benefits

CO2
Industrial Leadership
Other pollutants
Economic activity
Employment
Energy Security

CO2
Industrial Leadership
Other pollutants
Economic activity
Employment
Energy Security

(Italy

buys
Action plans roadmap and Stakehodolders dialogue
• Action plans for each contry
• roadmap for the region
• We need YOUR feedback and
input!

2013

2014
Do the West Balkans benefit from
RES cooperation?
• Are there win-win situations?
• Can potentials be exploited that cannot be exploited with
national feed-in tarriffs?
• Economic benefits?
• Environmaltal effects? Eg biodiversity loss?
• Social implications?
Linking the Balkans with Italy

• Planned new grid connections will significantely change the
energy market in the region
• Low feed-in tarifs barrier for some technologies
• New business cases for renewables and/or
fossils
Our research agenda
Strategic consideration for each WB country:
Domestic target achievement vs trade: Do the Balkans
need the potential for 2020 or later?
Trading with the EU or within the region?
Can the cooperation mechanisms lead to new business
models for the region adn how could they look like?
Could the cooperation mechanisms assist in avoiding a
fossil lock-in?
Possible role and design of different cooperation
mechanism with different pros and cons
Bosnia and Herzegovina
•
•
•
•
•
•

Target of 40% renewables by 2020
Currently large hydro and lignite electricity
More fossil plants and hydro planned
Will Bosnia be able to expand wind up to 2020?
Can export create business cases for non-hydro?
New 400 kV to Serbia planned (to export hydro
electricity)
• Regulatory and administrative barriers?
BIH: potential and targets
BIH: energy scenarios
Montenegro
• RES target of 33%
• Currently large hydro, fossils and biomass
• Focus is mainly on large and small hydro, but also wind
and biomass power expansion is envisioned.
• Planned submarine interconnection cable between
Montenegro and Italy should offer new possibilities for
international cooperation.
Montenegro: RES potentials and
targets
FYROM Macedonia
• RES target of 28%
• Strong expansion of hydroelectric generation is planned.
• A Feed-In Tariff is in place, with a budgetary limit for nonhydro technologies.
• 400 kV to Greece, 400kV to Albania-Italy only after 2016
• Limited financial support for solar and wind
Macedonia: RES potentials and
targets
Croatia
• 20% RES target
• Currently thermal and large hydro electricity generation
• Increase of renewable electricity generation, especially
wind and biomass, but far below wind potentials
• Increased biomass heat and solar energy use for
heating.
• Wind energy could be available for export, if grid to Italy
is enhanced
• current grid capacity for new wind power plants is
estimated at a maximum of 360 MW
• EU MS since July 2013: No third country status anymore
Croatia: RES potentials and targets
Albania
• Albanian electricity generation mainly hydro
• Albania has accepted a RES target of 38% by 2020
• NREAP:

• Focus on hydro and renewable heat (biomass,
solar thermal)
• Possible use of cooperation mechanism until 2020
for wind expansion
• Current grid connections are insufficient for large scale
export, new cable to be built to Italy (to enable wind
energy export)
AL: potential and targets
AL: Energy Efficiency pathway critical
Serbia
• RES target of 27%
• Lignite fired TPPs, large hydro power and biomass as
the major renewable energy source
• Increase of wind planned (500MW), but also biomass
electricity and heat.
• Planned wind expansion at the upper limit of what the
Serbian grid is expected to be able to absorb (NREAP)
• Feed-in Tariff for solar photovoltaics limited to 10 MW of
capacity.
• Interest in using cooperation mechanisms for hydro and
solar projects in Serbia.
SR: RES potentials and targets
SR: energy demand
Kosovo*
• Strong expansion of hydroelectric generation is planned
(large HPP Zhur)
• Feed-In-Tariff for solar photovoltaic generation is to start
in 2014.
• Planned renewables would exceed RES targets if Zhur is
impemented
• Surplus renewables could be sold via the cooperation
mechanisms.
• 400 kV connection to Albania only in 2017
Kosovo*: RES potentials and targets
Cooperation within the region?
• Current lack of cooperation between countries led to an
inefficient regional energy system as opposed pre-1990,
where region was a net electricity exporter
• Cooperation between some countries in the region
unlikely (eg Serbia and Kosovo), in others cooperation is
emerging (Albania and Kosovo, or Macedonia and
Kosovo)
• Joint Projects within the region an option
• Joint Support schemes however unlikely in the near
future
Conclusions
• Export of those renewable potential in the next years that
cannot be financed by the countries
• Export for those RES potentials that cannot be
integrated in the countries grids, eg wind
• Meeting the RES targets will be a challenge
• More efficient use and improvement of existing
infrastructure is key to meet the RES targets and
may enable to export electricity
Thanks for your attention!

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7 andreas tuerk better_zagreb_09_12 10h03

  • 1. B RINGING E UROPE AND T HIRD COUNTRIES CLOSER TOGETHER THROUGH RENEWABLE E NERGIES The BETTER project Andreas Tuerk, Dorian Frieden, JR Robert Pasiscko, Zoran Kordic, UNDP Zagreb, 09 December 2013
  • 2. PROJECT PRESENTATION (2/2)  CIEMAT (Spain) Centro de Invest. Energ. Mediamb. Tecn  DLR (Germany) Deutsches Zentrum Für Luft-und raumfahrt e.V  ECN (Netherlands) Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands  JOANNEUM (Austria) Forshungsgesellschaft Mbh  NTUA (Greece) National Technical University of Athens  OME (France) Observatoire Méditerranéen de l’Energie  PIK (Germany) Postdam Institute for Climate Impact Research  TUWIEN (Austria) Vienna University of Technology  UNDP (International) United Nations Development Programme
  • 3. PROJECT PRESENTATION (1/2)  BETTER: Bringing Europe and Third countries closer together through renewable Energies (BETTER);  Intelligent Energy for Europe Programme, managed by the Executive Agency for Competitiveness and Innovation (EACI);  Started: 1st July 2012;  Expected Completion Date: 1st January 2015;  Coordinator: CIEMAT, Madrid http://better-project.net
  • 4. OBJECTIVES Assess, through case studies, involvement and integrated analysis: stakeholders •to what extent cooperation with third countries can help Europe achieve its RES targets in 2020 and beyond •trigger the deployment of RES electricity projects in third countries and •create synergies and win-win circumstances for all involved parties.
  • 5. Where can get the EU (green) energy from?
  • 6. EU RES directive • The RES Directive (2009/28/EC) sets binding national 2020 RES targets for all EU member states • These targets do not explicitly reflect the national resource availability -> Its not about capacity extension only but also on energy efficiency
  • 7. Adoption of RES directive and RES targets in the West Balkan countries
  • 8. METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK Case studies (N.Africa, W.Balkans and Turkey) will investigate in detail the technical, socio-economic and environmental aspects of RES cooperation. Top -Down COMMUNICATION AND DISSEMINATION • Detailed quantitative cost-benefit evaluation of feasible policy approaches as well as power system analysis (Green-X, HIREPs Models) • Other possible “co-effects” (such as impacts on EU climate targets, energy security and macro-economic aspects). Bottom -up STAKEHOLDERS INVOLVEMENT Integrated assessment will be undertaken from the “EU plus third countries” perspective, including:
  • 9. Motivation for cooperation mechanisms Renewable energy targets are calculated based on: • current RES share • country GDP Do not take into account renewable energy potentials!
  • 10. Different options how to reach the targets MS domestically RES Directive -> RES targets WB NREAP (Renewable energy Action Plan) Cooperation mechanism  most of the Member States plan to fulfill their renewable energy targets domestically  4 Member States namely France, Greece, Italy, and Spain noted in their forecast documents that they may use cooperation mechanisms to develop renewable energy in third countries
  • 11. Basic principle of cooperation mechanisms • • Cooperation mechanisms were introduced to allow countries with high renewable energy potentials and/or low production costs (COUNTRY A) to sell their renewable energy surplus to those countries that have either low renewable energy endowments and/or have higher generation costs (COUNTRY B). The main idea behind this is to reach the targets in a more cost-effectively way and to reduce the overall costs in achieving it. COUNTRY A (low/expansive RES potential) Money transfer RES transfer COUNTRY B (high/cheap RES potential)
  • 12. Types of cooperation mechanisms Cooperation Mechanisms are defined in Directive 2009/28/EC as followed: • Statistical transfers between MS (Article 6) • Joint projects between MS (Article 7 and 8) • Joint projects between MS and third countries, under the condition that RES electricity is imported to the EU (Article 9 and 10) • Joint support schemes (Article 11) Cooperation Mechanisms Type cooperation Statistical transfers Only transfer shares Joint projects between MS Main actors Eligible for West Balkan countries Type transferred energy Governments Yes, but unlikely – because of statistics  No transfer of energy Project-based Governments No Heat/transport/el ectricity Joint projects between MS and third countries Physical transfer Governments Yes Electricity Joint schemes Common scheme Governments Yes, but unlikely Heat/transport/el ectricity support of statistical of RES support of
  • 13. In focus: West Balkan region • • The green columns represent the share of renewable energy against projected 2020 energy demand The differences between the green (RES potential) and red columns (RES target) represents the energy that could be sold via cooperation mechanisms.
  • 14. In focus: Joint projects between MS and WB Money transfer RES Country A (low/expensive RES potential) Project investor s t ran fer Notification EU Comission Country B (high/cheap RES potential) Framework Agreement Support payment (feed-in-tariffs) MWh
  • 15. Projected renewable electricity surplusses - Valleys of Opportunity (VoO) RES transfer
  • 16. Study case: The Serbia Italian Cooperation Joint project on Ibar river • • • Italy stated in its National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) that it would import 6 TWh per year of electricity from the Balkans, via Montenegro through the marine energy cable (2015) During 2009, Serbia and Italy signed Memorandum of understanding to implement joint projects It was decided that the first project in mutual cooperation would be the construction of hydroelectric power plants on the Ibar Technology Hydro power Capacity of hydro power plants 118 MW Construction time 7 years Investment costs 300 mil. € Location Ibar river Production 443,400 MWh Number of parks 10 Cooperation mechanism Joint project between MS and third countries
  • 17. Study case: The Serbia Italian Cooperation Costs (red color) and benefits (blue color) from cooperation Cost and benefits Base case scenario (Italy produces Cooperation scenario hydro power domestically) electricity from Serbia) Generation costs (€c/kWH) 20-22 10-12 Electricity market price (€c/kWh) 6-7 3-4 Grid related costs (€c/kWh) 0.5 n/a Transmission related costs (€c/kWh) - 0,75 TOTAL COSTS (€c/kWh) ~15 ~5 Indirect costs and benefits CO2 Industrial Leadership Other pollutants Economic activity Employment Energy Security CO2 Industrial Leadership Other pollutants Economic activity Employment Energy Security (Italy buys
  • 18. Action plans roadmap and Stakehodolders dialogue • Action plans for each contry • roadmap for the region • We need YOUR feedback and input! 2013 2014
  • 19. Do the West Balkans benefit from RES cooperation? • Are there win-win situations? • Can potentials be exploited that cannot be exploited with national feed-in tarriffs? • Economic benefits? • Environmaltal effects? Eg biodiversity loss? • Social implications?
  • 20. Linking the Balkans with Italy • Planned new grid connections will significantely change the energy market in the region • Low feed-in tarifs barrier for some technologies • New business cases for renewables and/or fossils
  • 21. Our research agenda Strategic consideration for each WB country: Domestic target achievement vs trade: Do the Balkans need the potential for 2020 or later? Trading with the EU or within the region? Can the cooperation mechanisms lead to new business models for the region adn how could they look like? Could the cooperation mechanisms assist in avoiding a fossil lock-in? Possible role and design of different cooperation mechanism with different pros and cons
  • 22. Bosnia and Herzegovina • • • • • • Target of 40% renewables by 2020 Currently large hydro and lignite electricity More fossil plants and hydro planned Will Bosnia be able to expand wind up to 2020? Can export create business cases for non-hydro? New 400 kV to Serbia planned (to export hydro electricity) • Regulatory and administrative barriers?
  • 25. Montenegro • RES target of 33% • Currently large hydro, fossils and biomass • Focus is mainly on large and small hydro, but also wind and biomass power expansion is envisioned. • Planned submarine interconnection cable between Montenegro and Italy should offer new possibilities for international cooperation.
  • 27. FYROM Macedonia • RES target of 28% • Strong expansion of hydroelectric generation is planned. • A Feed-In Tariff is in place, with a budgetary limit for nonhydro technologies. • 400 kV to Greece, 400kV to Albania-Italy only after 2016 • Limited financial support for solar and wind
  • 29. Croatia • 20% RES target • Currently thermal and large hydro electricity generation • Increase of renewable electricity generation, especially wind and biomass, but far below wind potentials • Increased biomass heat and solar energy use for heating. • Wind energy could be available for export, if grid to Italy is enhanced • current grid capacity for new wind power plants is estimated at a maximum of 360 MW • EU MS since July 2013: No third country status anymore
  • 30. Croatia: RES potentials and targets
  • 31. Albania • Albanian electricity generation mainly hydro • Albania has accepted a RES target of 38% by 2020 • NREAP: • Focus on hydro and renewable heat (biomass, solar thermal) • Possible use of cooperation mechanism until 2020 for wind expansion • Current grid connections are insufficient for large scale export, new cable to be built to Italy (to enable wind energy export)
  • 32. AL: potential and targets
  • 33. AL: Energy Efficiency pathway critical
  • 34. Serbia • RES target of 27% • Lignite fired TPPs, large hydro power and biomass as the major renewable energy source • Increase of wind planned (500MW), but also biomass electricity and heat. • Planned wind expansion at the upper limit of what the Serbian grid is expected to be able to absorb (NREAP) • Feed-in Tariff for solar photovoltaics limited to 10 MW of capacity. • Interest in using cooperation mechanisms for hydro and solar projects in Serbia.
  • 35. SR: RES potentials and targets
  • 37. Kosovo* • Strong expansion of hydroelectric generation is planned (large HPP Zhur) • Feed-In-Tariff for solar photovoltaic generation is to start in 2014. • Planned renewables would exceed RES targets if Zhur is impemented • Surplus renewables could be sold via the cooperation mechanisms. • 400 kV connection to Albania only in 2017
  • 38. Kosovo*: RES potentials and targets
  • 39. Cooperation within the region? • Current lack of cooperation between countries led to an inefficient regional energy system as opposed pre-1990, where region was a net electricity exporter • Cooperation between some countries in the region unlikely (eg Serbia and Kosovo), in others cooperation is emerging (Albania and Kosovo, or Macedonia and Kosovo) • Joint Projects within the region an option • Joint Support schemes however unlikely in the near future
  • 40. Conclusions • Export of those renewable potential in the next years that cannot be financed by the countries • Export for those RES potentials that cannot be integrated in the countries grids, eg wind • Meeting the RES targets will be a challenge • More efficient use and improvement of existing infrastructure is key to meet the RES targets and may enable to export electricity
  • 41. Thanks for your attention!